Jaison Chourio — OGILVIE

Jaison ChourioOF Akron RubberDucks

Age 21 S/R 6'0" / 194 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION303 act + 202 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .325 / .345

PA202

HR3

SB9

K%25

BB%11

BABIP312

ISO107

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$8M	+$7M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$8M	+$8M
2030	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$9M	+$7M
2031	Arb-2	$5M	+1.6	$9M	+$6M
2032	Arb-3	$8M	+1.6	$8M	+$4M
Totals		$19M		$44M	+$33M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL CLE Red	—	175	147	33	6	3	1	25	31	1	14	4	224	341	327	668	102	274	18	14	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL CLE Red	—	175	132	37	7	3	1	40	22	1	14	4	280	451	402	852	121	324	13	23	389	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	3 teams	—	248	217	52	11	1	1	28	80	0	20	2	240	327	313	640	74	367	32	11	284	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	3 teams	—	248	195	62	13	1	1	50	53	0	20	2	318	457	410	867	92	424	21	20	394	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	432	370	87	24	2	7	50	101	3	44	11	235	331	368	699	132	295	23	12	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	432	334	90	24	2	5	86	69	3	44	11	269	423	398	821	129	316	16	20	370	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	3 teams	—	571	492	91	7	1	2	75	170	1	19	8	185	294	215	509	30	276	30	13	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	3 teams	—	571	472	126	13	3	4	95	118	1	19	8	267	391	333	723	66	346	21	17	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	AA	CLE	—	303	268	70	14	2	6	31	76	0	18	6	261	338	396	733	134	339	25	10	320	103	+1	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.9
YTD	21	AA	CLE	—	303	255	75	16	2	7	44	58	0	18	6	294	398	455	853	161	352	19	15	377	147	+16	+1	+0	-2	+9	2.4
ROS	21	AA	CLE	2%	202	177	42	8	1	3	23	50	0	9	3	237	325	345	670	107	307	25	11	301	88	-3	+1	-0	-1	+6	0.2
ROS	21	MLB	CLE	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		308	25	0	299	87	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	21	AA	CLE	—	307	272	71	14	2	6	31	77	0	18	6	261	337	393	730	132	339	25	10	319	103	+1	+1	-0	-2	+9	0.9
TOT	21	AA	CLE	—	505	445	112	22	3	9	54	126	0	27	9	252	333	375	708	124	328	25	11	312	97	-2	+2	-0	-3	+14	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	CLE	35%	514	450	107	20	3	9	57	125	2	17	6	238	326	356	682	118	305	24	11	306	92	-5	+1	-1	-3	+15	0.7
2028	23	MLB	CLE	49%	528	463	112	21	3	11	58	125	2	17	6	242	329	371	700	130	305	24	11	313	98	-1	+1	-1	-3	+15	1.1
2029	24	MLB	CLE	53%	549	481	118	22	3	12	61	128	2	17	6	245	333	378	711	133	305	23	11	318	101	+1	+1	-1	-3	+16	1.3
2030	25	MLB	CLE	55%	564	494	122	23	3	13	62	131	3	17	6	247	335	385	719	138	305	23	11	321	103	+2	+1	-1	-3	+16	1.5
2031	26	MLB	CLE	56%	571	499	123	23	3	13	64	132	3	17	6	246	336	383	718	136	305	23	11	322	104	+3	+1	-1	-3	+16	1.6
2032	27	MLB	CLE	55%	570	498	122	23	3	13	64	132	3	17	6	245	335	382	716	137	304	23	11	322	104	+3	+1	-1	-3	+16	1.6
2033	28	MLB	CLE	55%	565	493	120	22	3	13	64	132	3	15	5	243	334	379	713	136	304	23	11	321	104	+2	+1	-2	-3	+16	1.4
2034	29	MLB	CLE	53%	555	485	117	22	2	12	63	131	2	14	5	241	331	369	700	128	303	24	11	319	102	+1	+1	-3	-3	+16	1.2
2035	30	MLB	CLE	53%	544	475	114	21	2	12	62	129	2	12	4	240	330	368	699	128	302	24	11	316	100	-0	+1	-3	-3	+15	1.0
2036	31	MLB	CLE	52%	530	462	109	20	2	11	61	128	2	11	4	236	328	359	687	123	300	24	12	312	97	-2	+1	-4	-3	+15	0.7
2037	32	MLB	CLE	52%	511	446	104	19	2	10	58	125	2	9	3	233	324	352	676	119	296	24	11	306	93	-4	+1	-5	-3	+14	0.3
2038	33	MLB	CLE	52%	481	421	96	17	2	9	55	120	2	7	2	228	320	342	662	114	292	25	11	299	87	-7	+1	-5	-3	+14	-0.1
2039	34	MLB	CLE	47%	435	382	84	14	2	8	49	112	1	5	2	220	310	330	640	110	286	26	11	291	81	-9	+0	-6	-3	+12	-0.6
2027	22	MLB	CLE	35%	181	158	38	7	1	3	20	44	1	6	2	241	330	354	684	114	305	24	11	304	91	-2	+0	-0	-1	+5	0.2
2028	23	MLB	CLE	49%	258	227	54	10	1	5	28	61	1	8	3	238	324	357	681	119	305	24	11	311	96	-1	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.4
2029	24	MLB	CLE	53%	290	255	62	12	1	6	32	68	1	9	3	243	330	369	698	125	305	23	11	315	99	-0	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.6
2030	25	MLB	CLE	55%	309	271	66	12	2	7	34	72	1	9	3	244	330	380	710	137	305	23	11	317	101	+0	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.7
2031	26	MLB	CLE	56%	318	279	69	13	2	7	35	74	1	9	3	247	333	384	717	136	305	23	11	319	102	+1	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.8
2032	27	MLB	CLE	55%	314	275	68	13	2	7	35	73	1	9	3	247	334	385	720	138	305	23	11	319	102	+1	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.8
2033	28	MLB	CLE	55%	309	270	65	12	1	7	35	72	1	8	3	241	330	370	700	130	305	23	11	318	101	+0	+0	-1	-2	+9	0.7
2034	29	MLB	CLE	53%	296	259	63	12	1	7	34	70	1	7	3	243	333	378	712	135	304	24	11	316	100	-0	+0	-1	-2	+8	0.5
2035	30	MLB	CLE	53%	286	250	59	11	1	6	33	68	1	6	2	236	327	360	687	124	303	24	12	313	98	-1	+0	-2	-2	+8	0.4
2036	31	MLB	CLE	52%	276	241	58	11	1	6	32	67	1	6	2	241	332	369	701	129	300	24	12	309	95	-2	+0	-2	-2	+8	0.3
2037	32	MLB	CLE	52%	265	232	54	10	1	5	30	65	1	5	2	233	323	349	672	116	297	25	11	304	91	-3	+0	-2	-2	+8	0.1
2038	33	MLB	CLE	52%	249	218	50	9	1	5	28	62	1	4	1	229	320	349	668	119	293	25	11	297	86	-4	+0	-3	-1	+7	-0.1
2039	34	MLB	CLE	47%	205	179	40	7	1	4	23	53	1	3	1	223	315	341	656	117	287	26	11	289	79	-5	+0	-3	-1	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3560	3118	747	139	16	75	399	850	13	89	31	240	328	367	695	127	304	24	11	311	96	-15	+5	-18	-21	+101	5.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	136	25	3	14	73	155	2	16	6	239	327	367	694	128	303	24	11	311	96	-3	+1	-3	-4	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	8545	7452	1753	323	41	160	979	2082	34	281	89	235	327	354	681	119	303	24	11	307	93	-66	+21	-36	-51	+242	11.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	133	25	3	12	74	158	3	21	7	235	326	353	679	118	302	24	11	307	93	-5	+1	-3	-4	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL CLE Red	—	175	132	37	7	3	1	40	22	1	14	4	280	451	402	852	121	324	13	23	389	156	+11	+1	—	—	+5	1.8
2023	18	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	42	35	7	1	0	0	6	15	0	1	0	200	317	229	546	29	333	36	14	260	57	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	189	149	52	12	1	1	38	37	0	19	2	349	481	463	944	114	451	20	20	423	182	+18	+3	—	—	+5	2.6
2023	18	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	17	11	3	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	0	273	529	273	802		300	6	35	406	169	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2024	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	432	334	90	24	2	5	86	69	3	44	11	269	423	398	821	129	316	16	20	370	142	+20	+4	—	—	+12	3.8
2025	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	353	285	67	6	1	2	66	77	1	9	7	235	381	284	665	49	314	22	19	319	103	+1	-1	—	—	+10	1.0
2025	20	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	27	23	6	1	0	0	4	10	0	1	0	261	370	304	675	43	462	37	15	319	102	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	20	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	191	164	53	6	2	2	25	31	0	9	1	323	413	421	833	98	383	16	13	374	144	+10	+1	—	—	+5	1.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#3Michael Tuckerlast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,732 PA	7	2,732	71	71	253	340	419	-23	-26	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	17	17	253	340	419	-5.5	-6.3	1.8	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,562	76	91	240	326	368	-21	-1	7.4	6.6
	/162	664	14	17	240	326	368	-4.0	-0.3	1.4	pk7: 6
#4Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	6	2,335	57	47	263	326	406	-24	-8	5.3	5.3
#4Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	/162	664	16	13	263	326	406	-6.7	-2.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#5Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jaison Chourio (OGILVIE)	21	35→54	33→41	56→58	52	252/333/375	124	328	9	27	25%	11%	97	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	55	219/317/294	75	290	3	19	23%	11%	77	+0.1	188/270/271	83	290	6	10	34%	10%	50	-1.7	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Dalton Pompey 2014 · A	21	44→54	40→45	57→55	44	209/274/306	96	292	6	21	29%	8%	60	-1.0	250/307/354	104	326	7	26	24%	7%	86	+0.8	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
●Ruben Sosa 2012 · A	21	44→54	35→45	52→60	47	205/274/272	67	279	2	15	26%	8%	52	-1.6	223/284/300	77	319	3	25	28%	8%	63	-0.9	278/343/388	110	350	7	31	21%	7%	106	+1.4
●Colin Walsh 2011 · A	21	45→54	40→45	53→50	52	214/297/310	95	272	8	10	23%	10%	72	-0.2	225/295/354	129	272	12	8	21%	8%	82	+0.5	238/307/358	119	303	12	6	24%	8%	85	+0.5
✕Eric Young Jr. 2006 · A	21	48→58	39→45	55→65	45	224/291/315	91	315	5	19	29%	8%	69	-0.4	250/311/347	97	318	5	40	21%	7%	86	+0.8	257/320/359	101	324	6	48	21%	7%	88	+0.9
●Abraham Almonte 2010 · A	21	46→55	40→55	58→55	42	222/265/318	96	287	7	20	25%	6%	59	-1.1	239/287/338	99	314	5	22	24%	6%	73	-0.1	227/326/416	190	273	22	11	24%	13%	108	+1.4
★Geraldo Perdomo 2021 · A	21	48→56	38→45	50→55	51	226/304/308	82	280	5	17	20%	8%	74	-0.1	202/292/288	86	269	6	12	25%	10%	64	-0.8	259/359/388	129	285	11	20	12%	12%	115	+2.3
✕Ronny Simon 2021 · A	21	46→54	41→50	52→55	46	218/278/329	112	273	6	13	22%	7%	68	-0.5	210/261/359	149	274	18	19	29%	6%	69	-0.4	261/322/377	116	323	10	29	21%	7%	95	+1.0
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A	20	47→57	41→45	58→70	45	224/278/332	108	284	7	18	23%	7%	68	-0.5	218/270/312	94	295	8	18	27%	6%	60	-1.0	266/338/377	110	363	9	50	27%	9%	101	+1.1
●Maikel Garcia 2022 · A	22	49→59	39→50	58→60	50	232/296/323	91	293	5	22	22%	8%	73	-0.1	247/302/350	103	314	8	27	22%	7%	83	+0.6	263/322/384	122	308	9	27	17%	8%	99	+1.8
✕Blake Perkins 2018 · A	21	44→51	40→50	51→55	43	214/270/306	92	286	8	15	27%	7%	59	-1.1	203/268/295	92	290	8	17	31%	8%	56	-1.3	230/313/367	137	305	14	25	27%	10%	91	+0.7
✕Manuel Guzman 2016 · A	21	48	35→45	52→55	50	223/289/282	59	281	2	20	20%	8%	60	-1.0	231/296/306	75	281	5	12	18%	8%	69	-0.4	245/313/324	79	285	5	10	15%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Geraldo Quintero 2023 · A	21	46→50	41→40	56→60	46	222/287/330	108	287	6	20	24%	7%	72	-0.2	217/282/308	91	288	7	26	25%	7%	65	-0.7	206/276/294	89	271	8	32	26%	7%	55	-0.9
●Brice Turang 2021 · A	21	45→55	36→50	54→60	50	210/287/274	63	287	3	16	26%	9%	57	-1.2	234/296/332	98	298	9	22	23%	8%	76	+0.0	270/345/412	142	330	14	32	21%	10%	114	+2.5
✕Brainer Bonaci 2023 · A	21	42	41→45	55→50	50	202/289/303	101	287	8	16	30%	10%	67	-0.5	220/278/339	119	309	13	11	31%	7%	71	-0.3	222/264/350	128	302	16	8	31%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2015 · A	20	48	36→40	55→60	51	214/312/283	70	324	3	21	31%	11%	72	-0.2	248/322/326	78	345	4	22	26%	9%	85	+0.7	268/341/345	77	366	3	29	25%	9%	95	+0.6
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→49	39→45	60→55	46	193/267/285	92	274	5	17	29%	8%	53	-1.5	216/290/303	87	291	6	17	26%	9%	67	-0.5	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
●Luis Rengifo 2018 · A	21	43→53	42→55	53→55	41	213/261/315	102	273	9	21	25%	5%	57	-1.2	234/302/352	118	290	9	18	21%	8%	84	+0.6	273/324/436	163	306	19	16	17%	6%	113	+2.0
●Cooper Hummel 2017 · A	22	40→49	38→50	52→55	51	187/278/268	80	263	4	8	28%	10%	53	-1.5	194/286/302	108	273	10	5	30%	10%	66	-0.6	222/332/370	148	300	12	19	27%	12%	99	+1.1
●Mark Zagunis 2015 · A	22	48→54	41→50	55→50	47	228/298/339	111	301	6	15	25%	8%	79	+0.3	244/333/383	139	311	12	9	24%	10%	106	+2.2	243/340/390	148	308	14	8	24%	11%	107	+1.7