Darnell Sweeney
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 27 | AAATOR | 332 | .236/.316/.411 | 10 | 6 | 55 | — | .190/.255/.313 |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA/AAPIT | 153 | .214/.272/.364 | 4 | 2 | 34 | — | .175/.219/.308 |
| 2021 | 30 | INTLVenados de Ma… | 90 | .197/.315/.250 | 0 | 2 | 68 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 229 | 199 | 58 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 41 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 291 | 373 | 447 | 821 | 156 | 344 | 18 | 10 | 360 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK | Ogden Raptors | — | 79 | 66 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 303 | 395 | 379 | 774 | 76 | 328 | 10 | 11 | 341 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 613 | 552 | 152 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 43 | 151 | 5 | 48 | 20 | 275 | 333 | 455 | 788 | 179 | 355 | 25 | 7 | 340 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 586 | 490 | 141 | 34 | 5 | 14 | 77 | 117 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 288 | 390 | 463 | 853 | 176 | 350 | 20 | 13 | 372 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 88 | 79 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 316 | 386 | 468 | 855 | 152 | 397 | 22 | 9 | 381 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 98 | 85 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 176 | 286 | 353 | 639 | 176 | 218 | 28 | 13 | 290 | 80 | -2 | -1 | -4 | -7 | +2 | -1.2 |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 522 | 472 | 128 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 116 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 271 | 335 | 409 | 744 | 138 | 339 | 22 | 8 | 330 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 447 | 400 | 93 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 100 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 233 | 301 | 345 | 646 | 112 | 293 | 22 | 9 | 287 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 494 | 443 | 118 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 46 | 109 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 266 | 339 | 418 | 757 | 151 | 329 | 22 | 9 | 337 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 332 | 292 | 69 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 113 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 236 | 316 | 411 | 727 | 175 | 339 | 34 | 9 | 319 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 98 | 89 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 225 | 281 | 360 | 641 | 135 | 346 | 36 | 5 | 282 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 55 | 51 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 196 | 255 | 373 | 627 | 176 | 296 | 40 | 7 | 279 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 90 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 197 | 315 | 250 | 565 | 53 | 268 | 22 | 13 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 98 | 85 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 176 | 286 | 353 | 639 | 176 | 218 | 28 | 13 | 290 | 82 | -2 | -1 | -4 | -7 | +2 | -1.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 229 | 207 | 53 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 56 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 256 | 316 | 382 | 697 | 126 | 321 | 24 | 7 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 79 | 70 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 229 | 289 | 271 | 561 | 43 | 254 | 15 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 613 | 564 | 130 | 26 | 12 | 10 | 31 | 199 | 5 | 48 | 20 | 230 | 277 | 372 | 649 | 142 | 318 | 32 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 586 | 516 | 131 | 31 | 4 | 12 | 51 | 147 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 254 | 327 | 399 | 726 | 145 | 317 | 25 | 9 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 98 | 85 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 176 | 286 | 353 | 639 | 176 | 218 | 28 | 13 | 286 | 80 | -2 | -1 | -4 | -7 | +2 | -1.2 |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 522 | 488 | 111 | 25 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 152 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 227 | 271 | 340 | 611 | 113 | 309 | 29 | 5 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 447 | 412 | 89 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 118 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 216 | 264 | 320 | 585 | 104 | 276 | 26 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 494 | 459 | 106 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 133 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 231 | 283 | 353 | 635 | 122 | 302 | 27 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 332 | 300 | 57 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 136 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 190 | 255 | 313 | 568 | 123 | 296 | 41 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 98 | 91 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 41 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 187 | 229 | 308 | 537 | 121 | 310 | 42 | 3 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 55 | 52 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 154 | 200 | 308 | 508 | 154 | 261 | 51 | 5 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 308 | 277 | 69 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 67 | 3 | 27 | 6 | 249 | 309 | 354 | 663 | 105 | 310 | 22 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 308 | 265 | 78 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 49 | 3 | 27 | 6 | 294 | 379 | 430 | 809 | 136 | 340 | 16 | 11 | 355 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 613 | 564 | 130 | 26 | 12 | 10 | 31 | 199 | 5 | 48 | 20 | 230 | 277 | 372 | 649 | 142 | 331 | 32 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ RAW | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 613 | 552 | 152 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 43 | 151 | 5 | 48 | 20 | 275 | 333 | 455 | 788 | 179 | 355 | 25 | 7 | 340 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 674 | 595 | 151 | 36 | 5 | 13 | 59 | 169 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 254 | 327 | 397 | 724 | 143 | 331 | 25 | 9 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 674 | 569 | 166 | 40 | 5 | 16 | 85 | 136 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 292 | 389 | 464 | 853 | 172 | 356 | 20 | 13 | 373 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 620 | 573 | 127 | 30 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 179 | 3 | 32 | 15 | 222 | 275 | 346 | 620 | 124 | 300 | 29 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 620 | 557 | 143 | 34 | 5 | 12 | 55 | 143 | 3 | 32 | 15 | 257 | 327 | 400 | 727 | 144 | 323 | 23 | 9 | 323 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 447 | 412 | 89 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 118 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 216 | 264 | 320 | 585 | 104 | 285 | 26 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA RAW | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 447 | 400 | 93 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 100 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 233 | 301 | 345 | 646 | 112 | 293 | 22 | 9 | 287 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 494 | 459 | 106 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 133 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 231 | 283 | 353 | 635 | 122 | 304 | 27 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA RAW | Louisville Bats | — | 494 | 443 | 118 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 46 | 109 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 266 | 339 | 418 | 757 | 151 | 329 | 22 | 9 | 337 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 332 | 300 | 57 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 136 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 190 | 255 | 313 | 568 | 123 | 309 | 41 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA RAW | Buffalo Bisons | — | 332 | 292 | 69 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 113 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 236 | 316 | 411 | 727 | 175 | 339 | 34 | 9 | 319 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 153 | 143 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 69 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 168 | 212 | 280 | 492 | 112 | 296 | 45 | 4 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 153 | 140 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 57 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 214 | 272 | 364 | 636 | 150 | 329 | 37 | 6 | 281 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | INTL MLE | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 90 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 197 | 315 | 250 | 565 | 53 | 268 | 22 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | INTL RAW | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 90 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 197 | 315 | 250 | 565 | 53 | 268 | 22 | 13 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 308 | 281 | 69 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 67 | 3 | 27 | 6 | 246 | 309 | 349 | 658 | 103 | 304 | 22 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 613 | 572 | 130 | 26 | 12 | 10 | 31 | 199 | 5 | 48 | 20 | 227 | 277 | 367 | 644 | 140 | 318 | 32 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 674 | 604 | 151 | 36 | 5 | 13 | 59 | 169 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 250 | 327 | 391 | 718 | 141 | 317 | 25 | 9 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 620 | 573 | 127 | 30 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 179 | 3 | 32 | 15 | 222 | 275 | 346 | 620 | 124 | 295 | 29 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 447 | 417 | 89 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 118 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 213 | 264 | 317 | 581 | 103 | 276 | 26 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 494 | 458 | 106 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 133 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 231 | 283 | 354 | 636 | 122 | 302 | 27 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 332 | 303 | 57 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 136 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 188 | 255 | 310 | 565 | 122 | 296 | 41 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 153 | 144 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 69 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 167 | 212 | 278 | 490 | 111 | 292 | 45 | 4 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 98 | 85 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 176 | 286 | 353 | 639 | 176 | 218 | 28 | 13 | 290 | 68 | -2 | -1 | -4 | -7 | +2 | -1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 564 | 100 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 86 | 179 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 177 | 286 | 356 | 643 | 179 | 219 | 28 | 13 | 290 | 68 | -14 | -5 | -25 | -44 | +14 | -7.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3731 | 3399 | 768 | 152 | 40 | 63 | 247 | 1090 | 27 | 165 | 96 | 226 | 284 | 350 | 634 | 124 | 310 | 29 | 7 | 269 | 68 | -2 | -1 | -4 | -7 | +2 | -1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 133 | 26 | 7 | 11 | 43 | 190 | 5 | 29 | 17 | 225 | 283 | 348 | 631 | 123 | 308 | 29 | 7 | 269 | 68 | -14 | -5 | -25 | -44 | +14 | -7.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 98 PAwOBA .274 → .228 (−46)K% 35.7% → 42.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.71% | ÷1.013 | ×1.200 | — | — | 42.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.10% | ÷1.010 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 3.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.04% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.07% | ÷1.026 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 21.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷0.901 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 6.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.992 | 1.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.953 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 3.24% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 105, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 103, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .274 → .228; ISO .135 → .113; BABIP .346 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAltoona Curve · 55 PAwOBA .271 → .202 (−69)K% 40.0% → 50.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.00% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 50.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.27% | ÷0.958 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 5.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.24% | ÷1.009 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.968 | 16.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.34% | ÷1.038 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.968 | 8.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.90% | ÷0.783 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 6.65% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 57, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 92, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .271 → .202; ISO .176 → .134; BABIP .296 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAABuffalo Bisons · 332 PAwOBA .315 → .250 (−65)K% 34.0% → 41.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.04% | ÷0.993 | ×1.200 | — | — | 41.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.34% | ÷0.954 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.90% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.46% | ÷0.970 | ×0.930 | ×0.954 | ×1.003 | 21.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.26% | ÷0.987 | ×0.830 | ×0.954 | ×1.003 | 5.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.23% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.954 | ×1.003 | 1.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.59% | ÷1.080 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 4.36% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 94, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 99, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.
Result: wOBA .315 → .250; ISO .175 → .131; BABIP .339 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAALouisville Bats · 494 PAwOBA .328 → .279 (−49)K% 22.1% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.06% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.70% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.61% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.05% | ÷1.038 | ×0.930 | ×1.044 | ×1.018 | 21.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.78% | ÷1.051 | ×0.830 | ×1.044 | ×1.018 | 6.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.20% | ÷1.113 | ×0.970 | ×1.044 | ×1.018 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.29% | ÷1.042 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 2.70% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 108, 2B 110, 3B 123, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .328 → .279; ISO .151 → .125; BABIP .329 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 447 PAwOBA .282 → .251 (−31)K% 22.4% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.37% | ÷1.018 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.50% | ÷1.035 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.22% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.67% | ÷1.028 | ×0.930 | ×1.033 | ×1.033 | 20.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.67% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×1.033 | ×1.033 | 4.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.67% | ÷1.107 | ×0.970 | ×1.033 | ×1.033 | 1.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.00% | ÷0.942 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 1.84% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 106, 2B 104, 3B 121, K 104, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .282 → .251; ISO .113 → .102; BABIP .293 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 522 PAwOBA .321 → .272 (−49)K% 22.2% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.984 | ×1.290 | — | — | 29.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.28% | ÷1.095 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 4.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.88% | ÷1.028 | ×0.900 | ×1.008 | ×1.048 | 22.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.43% | ÷0.965 | ×0.810 | ×1.008 | ×1.048 | 7.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.12% | ÷0.941 | ×0.810 | ×1.008 | ×1.048 | 1.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.53% | ÷0.866 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 2.39% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 97, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .321 → .272; ISO .138 → .120; BABIP .339 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 586 PAwOBA .364 → .311 (−53)K% 20.0% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.97% | ÷0.972 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.97% | ÷1.036 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 8.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.59% | ÷1.014 | ×0.920 | ×1.000 | ×1.027 | 21.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.12% | ÷1.053 | ×0.910 | ×1.000 | ×1.027 | 8.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.34% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.000 | ×1.027 | 1.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.75% | ÷1.026 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.01% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 103, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .364 → .311; ISO .176 → .150; BABIP .350 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 613 PAwOBA .334 → .276 (−58)K% 24.6% → 32.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.63% | ÷1.018 | ×1.340 | — | — | 32.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.85% | ÷0.971 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 5.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.82% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.69% | ÷0.993 | ×0.910 | ×1.024 | ×1.012 | 21.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.48% | ÷1.038 | ×0.820 | ×1.024 | ×1.012 | 6.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.99% | ÷1.027 | ×0.760 | ×1.024 | ×1.012 | 3.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.74% | ÷0.980 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 2.60% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 108, 3B 105, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .334 → .276; ISO .179 → .143; BABIP .355 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .