Alex Freeland

2B Los Angeles Dodgers
Age 25 S/R 5'11" / 200 lbs MLB HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.994 · Ctrl thru 2032
Overview
MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2033
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422AAA/AA/A+2 orgs615.260/.388/.442183189—.219/.316/.360
202523AAALAD508.263/.389/.4511618103—.246/.333/.397
202523MLBLAD97.190/.292/.31021780.4
202624AAALAD182.259/.357/.4305980—.224/.297/.364
202624MLBLAD269.234/.330/.32544920.6
2027PROJ25MLBLAD272.212/.301/.33967850.3
2028PROJ82% MLB26MLBLAD258.213/.302/.34366860.3
2029PROJ82% MLB27MLBLAD265.212/.301/.34066850.3
Last 3 seasons WAR 1.0  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2032Service0.994First FA2033
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$1M2031Arb-2$1M2032Arb-3$1M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2025-2026
Avg EV61
Bat Spd47
Barrel%38
Speed37
xwOBA32
Form.230/.339/.360 ▲▲ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .215/.302/.343
CompsOswaldo Cabrera (age 25) · Nick Franklin (age 25) · Taylor Walls (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†85
AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .301 / .339
PA272
HR6
SB7
K%25
BB%11
BABIP267
ISO121
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +1.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +5.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
0.00.51.00.50.30.30.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
ToolsStatcast %ile · 2025-2026
CONTACT
xAVG
100.207
POWER
Barrel%
386.7
Avg EV
6189.9
Bat Spd
4771.0
SPEED
Sprint
3726.9
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%20%▲▲13% over 46 PA (60d) · proj 25%
BB%14%▲▲22% over 46 PA (60d) · proj 11%
ISO.130·.139 over 36 AB (60d) · proj .128
HR/BB3.5%·3.3% over 30 BBE (60d) · proj 3.5%
BABIP.274·.276 over 29 BIP (60d) · proj .273
SLASH.230/.339/.360▲▲proj .215/.302/.343
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2025
Service   0.994 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.5$2M+$1M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1M+$0.4M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1M+$0.4M
2030Arb-1$1M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Arb-2$1M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2032Arb-3$1M———
Totals $2M $5M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202220 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 3632 10103 2112 20 3123896251.014 312389 316 440 78 — — — — — —
202321 A+Great Lakes Loons — 461392 941729 601315 318 240348362710 122332 2813 323 61 — — — — — —
202422 AAAOklahoma City Baseball Club — 164144 35705 19441 20 243335396731 153316 2712 330 72 — — — — — —
202422 AATulsa Drillers — 341282 6915111 457312 242 245372422794 177290 2113 358 76 — — — — — —
202422 A+Great Lakes Loons — 11081 281022 27162 50 3465185931.111 247413 1525 484 155 — — — — — —
202523 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 9784 16212 11351 10 190292310601 119298 3611 275 78 -3 +0 +2 +2 +2 0.4
202523 AAAOklahoma City Comets — 508415 10930016 831113 186 263389451840 188315 2216 372 103 — — — — — —
202624 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 269231 54904 32741 40 234330325654 91323 2812 298 92 -3 +1 +1 +2 +6 0.6
202624 AAAOklahoma City Comets — 182158 41635 24360 93 259357430788 171308 2013 352 80 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 366315 701116 431092 50 222319321640 98317 3012 292 84 -7 +1 +3 +4 +8 0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202220 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 3633 8102 1162 20 242306455760 212348 443 284 78 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 461410 811327 421655 318 198280290570 93299 369 258 61 — — — — — —
202422 AAA MLEOklahoma City Baseball Club — 164150 32604 13531 20 213280333614 120307 328 275 72 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 341296 581218 319312 242 196298324622 128249 279 280 76 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 11090 27922 18212 50 300427511938 211366 1916 397 155 — — — — — —
202523 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 9784 16212 11351 10 190292310601 119298 3611 283 78 -3 +0 +2 +2 +2 0.4
202523 AAA MLEOklahoma City Comets — 508443 10928013 551313 186 246333397731 151307 2611 321 103 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 269231 551004 32741 40 238333333667 95323 2812 304 92 -3 +1 +1 +2 +6 0.6
202624 AAA MLEOklahoma City Comets — 182165 37534 17430 93 224297364660 139281 249 286 80 — — — — — —
202220 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 3633 8102 1162 20 242306455760 212400 443 284 78 — — — — — —
202220 A RAWRancho Cucamonga Quakes — 3632 10103 2112 20 3123896251.014 312389 316 440 78 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 461410 811327 421655 318 198280290570 93306 369 258 61 — — — — — —
202321 A+ RAWGreat Lakes Loons — 461392 941729 601315 318 240348362710 122332 2813 323 61 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLE3 teams — 615535 11728314 6316715 312 219318361679 142289 2710 300 89 — — — — — —
202422 AA RAW3 teams — 615507 13232318 9113315 312 260388442830 181318 2215 373 89 — — — — — —
202523 AAA MLE2 teams — 605527 12530115 661664 196 237327383710 146312 2711 315 99 — — — — — —
202523 AAA RAW2 teams — 605499 12532118 941464 196 251374427800 176313 2416 356 99 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLE2 teams — 451396 921537 491171 133 232318338657 106310 2611 297 87 -7 +1 +1 +2 +10 0.6
202624 MLB RAW2 teams — 451389 951539 561101 133 244341368708 123316 2412 320 87 -7 +1 +1 +2 +10 0.6
202220 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 3633 8102 1162 20 242306455760 212348 443 284 78 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 461411 811327 421655 318 197280290570 92299 369 258 61 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLE3 teams — 615532 11728314 6316715 312 220318363681 143285 2710 300 89 — — — — — —
202523 AAA MLE2 teams — 605530 12530115 661664 196 236327381708 145306 2711 315 99 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLE2 teams — 451398 921537 491171 133 231318337655 106306 2611 297 87 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 AA MLE3 teams — 615532 11728314 6316715 312 220318363681 143285 2710 300 89 — — — — — —
202523 AAA MLE2 teams — 605530 12530115 661664 196 236327381708 145306 2711 315 99 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLE2 teams — 451398 921537 491171 133 231318337655 106306 2611 297 87 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLELAD 100% 380334 721328 40963 93 216305343648 128273 2511 294 85 -7 +1 +1 +1 +8 0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXLAD 100% 272239 50916 29692 72 212301339640 127267 2511 290 85 -5 +1 +1 +1 +6 0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLELAD 82% 315277 601127 33802 72 216305347652 130273 2510 295 86 -5 +1 +1 +1 +7 0.4
202927 MLB MLELAD 82% 323284 611127 34822 72 215304344648 129273 2511 294 85 -6 +1 +1 +1 +7 0.4
203028 MLB MLELAD 82% 324285 611127 34832 62 213302339642 126272 2610 291 83 -7 +0 +0 +1 +7 0.2
203129 MLB MLELAD 82% 314276 591027 33812 52 211299333632 122270 2611 287 81 -7 +0 -0 +1 +7 0.0
203230 MLB MLELAD 82% 305268 551016 32802 31 208296325620 117268 2610 283 77 -8 +0 -1 +1 +7 -0.2
202826 MLB CTXLAD 82% 258227 48816 27652 62 213302343645 130267 2510 292 86 -4 +0 +1 +1 +6 0.3
202927 MLB CTXLAD 82% 265233 49916 28672 62 212301340641 128267 2511 291 85 -5 +0 +1 +1 +6 0.3
203028 MLB CTXLAD 82% 266234 49916 28682 52 210299335634 125266 2611 288 83 -5 +0 +0 +1 +6 0.2
203129 MLB CTXLAD 82% 257227 47816 27671 41 207296329625 121264 2611 284 81 -6 +0 -0 +1 +6 0.1
203230 MLB CTXLAD 82% 250221 45815 26661 31 204293321613 116262 2610 280 77 -7 +0 -1 +1 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 16621457 30853635 17944210 298 211302328630 117277 2711 288 84 -34 +3 +3 +8 +36 1.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650570 12121214 701734 113 212303330633 118277 2711 288 84 -13 +1 +1 +3 +14 0.6
Career— MLE — 40213530 7701491985 416110639 13130 218307343651 125290 2810 292 84 -45 +4 +4 +10 +48 2.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650571 12524314 671796 215 219307345652 126291 2810 292 84 -13 +1 +1 +3 +14 0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAOklahoma City Comets · 182 PAwOBA .344 → .286 (−58)K% 19.8% → 23.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.78%÷1.000×1.200——23.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.19%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0339.40%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0330.00%
Singles /BIP22.13%÷1.000×0.930×0.975×1.03320.72%
Doubles /BIP4.92%÷1.000×0.830×0.975×1.0334.11%
Triples /BIP2.46%÷1.000×0.970×0.975×1.0332.40%
Home runs /BIP4.10%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0332.96%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .344 → .286; ISO .171 → .137; BABIP .308 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAOklahoma City Comets · 508 PAwOBA .367 → .321 (−46)K% 21.9% → 25.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.85%÷1.015×1.200——25.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.14%÷1.083×0.690—×1.04810.78%
HBP% /PA0.59%—×0.940—×1.0480.58%
Singles /BIP20.72%÷0.951×0.930×1.001×1.04821.26%
Doubles /BIP9.87%÷0.969×0.830×1.001×1.0488.87%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.970×1.001×1.0480.00%
Home runs /BIP5.26%÷0.956×0.700—×1.0484.04%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 90, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 103, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .367 → .321; ISO .188 → .161; BABIP .315 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AATulsa Drillers · 341 PAwOBA .351 → .280 (−71)K% 21.4% → 27.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.41%÷0.959×1.220——27.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.20%÷1.048×0.700—×1.0279.06%
HBP% /PA3.52%—×0.870—×1.0273.14%
Singles /BIP20.10%÷1.042×0.920×0.974×1.02717.74%
Doubles /BIP7.18%÷1.003×0.840×0.974×1.0276.01%
Triples /BIP0.48%÷1.142×0.940×0.974×1.0270.39%
Home runs /BIP5.26%÷1.063×0.800—×1.0274.07%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 108, 2B 101, 3B 128, K 92, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.

Result: wOBA .351 → .280; ISO .177 → .139; BABIP .290 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAOklahoma City Baseball Club · 164 PAwOBA .322 → .275 (−47)K% 26.8% → 32.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.83%÷0.990×1.200——32.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.59%÷1.021×0.690—×1.0508.22%
HBP% /PA0.61%—×0.940—×1.0500.60%
Singles /BIP23.00%÷0.977×0.930×0.996×1.05022.89%
Doubles /BIP7.00%÷0.930×0.830×0.996×1.0506.53%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.126×0.970×0.996×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP5.00%÷0.896×0.700—×1.0504.10%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 95, 2B 86, 3B 125, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .322 → .275; ISO .153 → .126; BABIP .316 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Great Lakes Loons · 110 PAwOBA .473 → .397 (−76)K% 14.5% → 18.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.55%÷0.990×1.270——18.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA24.55%÷1.037×0.710—×0.99816.78%
HBP% /PA1.82%—×0.790—×0.9981.43%
Singles /BIP21.54%÷1.004×0.920×1.005×0.99819.79%
Doubles /BIP15.38%÷0.950×0.810×1.005×0.99813.15%
Triples /BIP3.08%÷0.948×0.850×1.005×0.9982.77%
Home runs /BIP3.08%÷1.036×0.800—×0.9982.37%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 90, K 98, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .473 → .397; ISO .247 → .221; BABIP .413 → .366. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Great Lakes Loons · 461 PAwOBA .317 → .258 (−59)K% 28.4% → 35.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.42%÷1.004×1.270——35.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.58%÷0.992×0.710—×1.0129.11%
HBP% /PA1.08%—×0.790—×1.0120.87%
Singles /BIP25.29%÷0.975×0.920×0.982×1.01223.71%
Doubles /BIP6.51%÷1.011×0.810×0.982×1.0125.19%
Triples /BIP0.77%÷0.997×0.850×0.982×1.0120.65%
Home runs /BIP3.45%÷0.951×0.800—×1.0122.93%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 95, 2B 102, 3B 99, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.

Result: wOBA .317 → .258; ISO .122 → .097; BABIP .332 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 36 PAwOBA .427 → .284 (−143)K% 30.6% → 44.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.56%÷0.930×1.360——44.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.56%÷1.072×0.690—×1.0153.63%
HBP% /PA5.56%—×0.780—×1.0154.40%
Singles /BIP28.57%÷0.981×0.920—×1.01527.21%
Doubles /BIP4.76%÷0.923×0.830—×1.0154.35%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910—×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP14.29%÷1.247×0.800—×1.0159.30%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 86, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .427 → .284; ISO .312 → .172; BABIP .389 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).