Alex Freeland — OGILVIE

Alex Freeland2B Los Angeles Dodgers

Age 24 S/R 5'11" / 200 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 0.221 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION275 act + 183 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .309 / .380

PA183

HR5

K%28

BB%9

BABIP307

ISO147

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT43

Whiff%

903.2%

xwOBA

200.273

POWER48

Barrel%

346.1

Avg EV

5389.3

Bat Spd

4771.0

EYE60

Chase%

906.6%

SPEED48

Sprint

3626.8

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.221 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.8M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.8	$13M	+$13M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$13M	+$12M
2029	Arb-1	$4M	+1.9	$12M	+$9M
2030	Arb-2	$6M	+1.8	$11M	+$6M
2031	Arb-3	$9M	+1.5	$8M	+$3M
Totals		$21M		$58M	+$44M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	36	33	6	1	0	1	1	17	2	2	0	182	250	303	553	121	333	47	3	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	36	32	10	1	0	3	2	11	2	2	0	312	389	625	1.014	312	389	31	6	440	194	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	461	410	78	12	1	8	42	175	5	31	8	190	274	283	556	93	303	38	9	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	461	392	94	17	2	9	60	131	5	31	8	240	348	362	710	122	332	28	13	323	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	3 teams	—	615	539	113	28	3	15	59	183	15	31	2	210	305	356	661	147	286	30	10	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	3 teams	—	615	507	132	32	3	18	91	133	15	31	2	260	388	442	830	181	318	22	15	373	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA	2 teams	—	605	532	123	29	1	16	61	174	4	19	6	231	315	380	695	148	307	29	10	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA	2 teams	—	605	499	125	32	1	18	94	146	4	19	6	251	374	427	800	176	313	24	16	356	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	MLB	LAD	—	275	243	56	7	2	6	26	81	1	3	2	230	307	350	657	119	316	29	9	287	78	-7	-0	+1	+1	+8	0.2
YTD	24	MLB	LAD	—	275	241	58	7	2	7	28	78	1	3	2	241	322	373	696	133	323	28	10	309	95	-2	-0	+1	+1	+8	0.8
ROS	24	MLB	LAD	100%	183	163	38	7	1	5	17	52	1	4	1	233	309	380	688	147	302	28	9	301	89	-2	+0	+1	+1	+5	0.5
ROS	24	MLB	LAD	100%	183	163	36	6	1	4	17	52	1	4	1	221	298	344	642	123	298	28	9	292	82	-4	+0	+1	+1	+5	0.3
FULL	24	MLB	LAD	—	458	406	92	13	3	10	43	133	2	7	3	227	304	347	651	121	308	29	9	289	79	-11	+0	+1	+2	+13	0.6
TOT	24	MLB	LAD	—	458	406	94	14	3	11	43	133	2	7	3	231	308	362	670	130	313	29	9	293	82	-9	+0	+1	+2	+13	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	LAD	92%	660	586	134	24	3	17	64	187	5	13	5	229	310	367	677	138	303	28	10	304	91	-7	+1	+3	+2	+19	1.8
2028	26	MLB	LAD	92%	660	586	135	24	3	18	64	187	5	13	5	230	311	374	685	143	303	28	10	306	92	-6	+1	+3	+2	+19	1.9
2029	27	MLB	LAD	92%	660	585	135	24	3	18	65	187	5	13	5	231	313	374	687	144	302	28	10	306	92	-6	+1	+3	+2	+19	1.9
2030	28	MLB	LAD	92%	652	577	131	24	2	17	65	186	5	12	4	227	311	364	675	137	302	29	10	305	92	-6	+1	+2	+2	+18	1.8
2031	29	MLB	LAD	92%	639	565	128	23	2	17	64	184	5	11	4	227	311	365	675	138	301	29	10	303	90	-7	+1	+1	+2	+18	1.5
2032	30	MLB	LAD	92%	626	554	124	22	2	16	63	181	4	10	3	224	308	357	665	134	300	29	10	300	88	-9	+1	+0	+2	+18	1.3
2033	31	MLB	LAD	92%	614	544	120	21	2	15	61	180	4	8	3	221	304	349	653	129	297	29	10	296	85	-11	+0	-0	+2	+17	0.9
2034	32	MLB	LAD	92%	601	532	115	20	2	14	60	178	4	7	2	216	300	340	641	124	294	30	10	291	81	-13	+1	-1	+2	+17	0.6
2035	33	MLB	LAD	92%	519	460	97	16	1	12	51	157	3	4	2	211	294	328	622	117	289	30	10	284	75	-14	+0	-2	+2	+15	-0.0
2027	25	MLB	LAD	92%	607	540	121	22	2	15	58	172	4	12	4	224	304	356	660	131	299	28	10	295	84	-11	+1	+2	+2	+17	1.2
2028	26	MLB	LAD	92%	607	539	122	22	2	16	59	172	4	12	4	226	307	364	671	137	299	28	10	297	85	-10	+1	+2	+2	+17	1.3
2029	27	MLB	LAD	92%	607	538	122	22	2	16	60	172	4	12	4	227	309	364	673	138	298	28	10	297	85	-10	+1	+2	+2	+17	1.3
2030	28	MLB	LAD	92%	600	532	119	21	2	15	59	171	4	11	4	224	306	355	661	132	298	28	10	296	85	-10	+1	+2	+2	+17	1.1
2031	29	MLB	LAD	92%	588	520	117	21	2	15	59	169	4	10	4	225	309	360	668	135	297	29	10	294	83	-11	+0	+1	+2	+17	0.9
2032	30	MLB	LAD	92%	576	509	113	20	2	14	58	167	4	9	3	222	306	352	658	130	296	29	10	291	81	-12	+1	+0	+2	+16	0.7
2033	31	MLB	LAD	92%	565	500	110	19	2	14	56	165	4	7	3	220	304	350	654	130	293	29	10	287	78	-14	+0	-0	+2	+16	0.4
2034	32	MLB	LAD	92%	553	489	105	18	2	13	55	164	4	6	2	215	299	339	639	125	290	30	10	282	74	-16	+0	-1	+2	+16	0.1
2035	33	MLB	LAD	92%	477	424	88	15	1	10	47	144	3	4	1	208	291	318	610	111	285	30	10	276	69	-17	+0	-2	+2	+14	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5460	4838	1069	188	19	134	539	1583	37	88	30	221	304	351	655	130	297	29	10	291	81	-119	+6	+10	+21	+155	7.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	127	22	2	16	64	188	4	10	4	220	302	349	651	128	296	29	10	291	81	-14	+0	+1	+3	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	7531	6666	1477	275	26	189	737	2228	67	178	50	222	305	356	661	134	300	30	10	297	85	-126	+16	+11	+27	+213	14.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	127	24	2	16	64	192	6	15	4	221	306	353	659	132	299	30	10	297	85	-11	+1	+1	+2	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	36	32	10	1	0	3	2	11	2	2	0	312	389	625	1.014	312	389	31	6	440	194	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	21	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	461	392	94	17	2	9	60	131	5	31	8	240	348	362	710	122	332	28	13	323	106	+3	+3	—	—	+13	1.9
2024	22	AAA	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	—	164	144	35	7	0	5	19	44	1	2	0	243	335	396	731	153	316	27	12	330	111	+2	+0	—	—	+5	0.7
2024	22	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	341	282	69	15	1	11	45	73	12	24	2	245	372	422	794	177	290	21	13	358	132	+12	+4	—	—	+10	2.6
2024	22	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	110	81	28	10	2	2	27	16	2	5	0	346	518	593	1.111	247	413	15	25	484	228	+16	+1	—	—	+3	2.0
2025	23	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	97	84	16	2	1	2	11	35	1	1	0	190	292	310	601	119	298	36	11	275	69	-3	+0	+2	+2	+3	0.4
2025	23	AAA	Oklahoma City Comets	—	508	415	109	30	0	16	83	111	3	18	6	263	389	451	840	188	315	22	16	372	143	+25	+1	—	—	+14	4.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	97	84	16	2	1	2	11	35	1	1	0	190	292	310	601	119	298	36	11	275	69	-3	+0	+2	+2	+3	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brandon Ingelast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,617 PA	13	5,617	152	45	233	301	384	+26	+73	19.8	20.5
	/162	664	18	5	233	301	384	+3.1	+8.6	2.3	pk7: 21
#2Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	5,848	146	94	225	305	358	+21	+17	9.8	9.3
	/162	664	17	11	225	305	358	+2.4	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 9
#5Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	11	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
	/162	664	18	10	226	302	380	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#6Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex Freeland (OGILVIE)	24	39→43	50→48	50→48	60	231/308/362	130	313	11	7	29%	9%	82	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Franklin 2015 · MLB	24	48→50	46→50	50	49	235/303/366	130	294	13	12	24%	9%	89	+0.9	220/278/357	137	274	15	13	25%	7%	76	+0.0	209/264/348	139	255	16	14	25%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Corey Joyce 2023 · AAA	24	43	48→45	49→50	47	214/311/358	144	295	16	11	31%	10%	92	+1.2	211/307/316	105	308	10	14	32%	10%	79	+0.3	212/300/316	104	302	10	14	31%	9%	72	-0.1
✕Ben Davis 2001 · MLB	24	46→49	47→50	45→40	51	232/303/366	134	285	14	8	24%	9%	89	+0.9	240/320/372	132	295	14	5	22%	10%	98	+1.6	238/317/368	130	292	14	3	22%	10%	89	+0.6
✕Shed Long Jr. 2020 · MLB	24	47	49→50	47→50	44	235/295/384	149	313	16	10	30%	7%	89	+1.0	221/283/359	138	302	14	10	30%	8%	79	+0.3	199/268/324	125	275	13	10	31%	8%	61	-0.2
✕Andre Lipcius 2023 · AAA	25	46→49	46→50	49→45	52	227/304/365	137	276	13	9	22%	10%	89	+0.9	230/295/372	142	285	17	7	24%	8%	87	+0.8	221/284/361	141	271	18	5	25%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Max Moroff 2018 · MLB	25	46→56	50	45→50	51	233/314/386	154	302	18	9	28%	10%	98	+1.6	212/300/363	151	280	18	8	29%	11%	87	+0.8	187/284/322	135	244	16	7	29%	11%	67	-0.3
●Bryson Stott 2022 · AAA	24	49→56	45	48→55	47	237/303/361	123	324	12	10	29%	9%	87	+0.8	247/306/373	126	296	13	20	20%	8%	91	+1.1	254/320/377	123	288	13	29	16%	8%	95	+1.4
✕Tim Raines Jr. 2004 · MLB	24	44→54	44→50	53→60	46	217/284/340	123	276	11	11	25%	7%	74	-0.1	233/275/336	103	299	8	25	24%	5%	68	-0.5	261/294/398	137	322	14	32	23%	4%	88	+0.6
✕Carter Kieboom 2021 · MLB	23	47→50	45→50	45	49	230/313/352	121	309	13	6	28%	9%	90	+1.0	218/307/339	121	279	14	5	26%	9%	85	+0.7	231/290/331	100	300	10	7	25%	7%	70	-0.2
●Luis Rengifo 2021 · MLB	24	47→55	44→55	48→55	52	230/307/350	120	282	10	14	22%	9%	86	+0.8	249/299/409	160	283	19	11	19%	6%	98	+1.6	273/324/436	163	306	19	16	17%	6%	113	+2.0
✕Bryan Lavastida 2023 · MLB	24	42→44	45	50→55	44	212/277/334	122	277	12	12	27%	7%	69	-0.4	218/287/339	121	283	12	21	26%	7%	75	-0.0	219/292/337	118	281	12	27	25%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Mark Mathias 2020 · AAA	25	46→47	47→50	53→50	46	227/294/366	139	285	13	13	25%	7%	85	+0.7	242/303/390	148	310	16	16	26%	7%	95	+1.4	258/344/393	135	350	16	20	28%	10%	111	+1.3
✕Josh Smith 2023 · MLB	25	48→52	45	52→50	51	232/323/359	127	290	12	17	23%	9%	96	+1.5	233/322/361	128	285	12	11	21%	9%	96	+1.5	238/326/362	125	285	12	10	20%	9%	95	+1.1
✕Leody Taveras 2023 · MLB	24	47→53	48→50	53→55	43	235/287/383	147	303	15	19	27%	7%	86	+0.8	239/289/372	133	294	14	21	23%	7%	84	+0.6	231/283/355	124	278	13	25	21%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Riley Unroe 2021 · AAA	25	45→48	42→50	48→55	44	218/279/323	105	295	10	12	28%	7%	67	-0.5	222/290/345	123	290	12	17	26%	8%	77	+0.1	227/311/367	139	295	15	26	27%	10%	89	+0.5
✕Steven Duggar 2018 · AAA	24	50→56	44→50	48→55	45	239/304/364	124	335	11	14	30%	8%	88	+0.9	240/297/362	122	344	9	12	30%	7%	84	+0.6	251/311/389	138	355	10	15	30%	8%	93	+0.9
●Yonathan Perlaza 2023 · AA	24	44→51	52→60	47→50	45	224/295/399	176	304	20	10	32%	9%	94	+1.3	236/306/415	179	306	19	12	28%	9%	102	+1.9	241/309/416	175	306	19	12	26%	8%	101	+1.7
✕Colin Walsh 2014 · AA	24	46→54	44→45	52→50	50	227/296/353	126	278	11	8	22%	8%	82	+0.5	229/308/333	104	324	9	8	29%	10%	82	+0.5	214/317/337	123	312	12	7	32%	13%	85	+0.5
✕Yairo Muñoz 2019 · MLB	24	50→55	48→50	47→55	43	249/295/388	138	305	16	13	24%	6%	91	+1.1	262/302/382	120	319	11	18	21%	5%	92	+1.2	270/297/370	100	322	9	23	19%	3%	82	+0.2
✕Aaron Luna 2011 · AAA	24	43→44	49→50	50→45	49	217/325/371	154	268	16	7	25%	9%	101	+1.8	232/318/376	144	295	16	9	26%	8%	98	+1.6	231/316/372	142	294	19	8	27%	7%	96	+0.7