Ryan McKenna — OGILVIE

Ryan McKennaRF Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 29 R/R 5'10" / 195 lbs AAA HR +14% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%8

BABIP289

ISO174

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT43

Whiff%

1016.0%

xAVG

100.212

POWER52

Barrel%

569.0

Avg EV

4188.4

Bat Spd

7073.5

EYE49

Chase%

4532.6%

SPEED67

Sprint

6628.1

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-3	$0.3M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2015	18	ROK	GCL Orioles	—	41	34	9	0	1	0	6	6	0	1	1	265	375	324	699	59	310	15	15	318	101	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2017	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	530	468	120	33	2	7	43	128	11	20	2	256	333	380	714	124	336	24	8	319	102	+1	+3	—	—	+11	1.6
2018	21	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	250	213	51	8	2	3	29	56	4	4	1	239	341	338	679	99	312	22	12	309	95	-1	+0	—	—	+5	0.5
2018	21	A+	Frederick Keys	—	301	257	97	18	2	8	37	45	6	5	6	377	465	556	1.022	179	436	15	12	451	191	+33	-1	—	—	+7	3.9
2018	21	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	78	61	21	6	3	1	14	16	1	2	1	344	474	590	1.064	246	455	21	18	450	191	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.0
2019	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	567	488	113	26	6	9	59	121	7	25	11	232	323	365	688	133	287	21	10	306	93	-5	+1	—	—	+12	0.8
2021	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	197	169	31	6	1	2	24	74	2	1	0	183	292	266	559	83	312	38	12	262	63	-9	+0	+2	-3	+4	-0.5
2021	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	123	101	31	3	1	11	21	33	0	7	3	307	426	683	1.109	376	345	27	17	467	202	+15	+0	—	—	+3	1.8
2022	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	172	156	37	10	0	2	11	55	2	2	1	237	296	340	636	103	350	32	6	284	78	-4	+0	+3	-2	+4	0.0
2022	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	38	33	9	0	0	3	4	14	0	0	2	273	351	545	897	273	353	37	11	381	144	+2	-1	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	139	122	31	7	0	2	9	40	3	5	0	254	321	361	682	107	354	29	6	299	88	-2	+1	+1	-2	+3	0.1
2023	26	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	61	55	10	2	1	3	6	21	0	2	0	182	262	418	680	236	226	34	10	299	88	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	27	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	15	14	3	0	0	2	1	5	0	1	1	214	267	643	910	429	143	33	7	384	146	+1	-0	-2	-3	+0	-0.4
2024	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	229	195	42	10	1	6	25	50	3	15	2	215	314	369	683	154	252	22	11	302	91	-3	+2	—	—	+5	0.5
2024	27	ROK	ACL Giants	—	21	17	7	1	0	1	4	5	0	0	0	412	524	647	1.171	235	545	24	19	509	230	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	523	461	102	23	1	8	45	174	7	9	2	221	300	328	628	106	333	33	9	282	77	-14	+1	+4	-11	+11	-0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2015	18	ROK MLE	GCL Orioles	—	41	36	8	0	1	0	4	9	0	1	1	222	300	278	578	56	251	22	10	241	49	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2017	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	530	481	102	26	2	7	30	172	11	20	2	212	274	318	592	106	302	32	6	256	59	-26	+3	—	—	+11	-1.1
2018	21	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	250	222	48	7	2	2	20	71	4	4	1	216	293	293	585	77	301	28	8	262	63	-11	+0	—	—	+5	-0.5
2018	21	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	301	272	84	14	1	5	23	64	6	5	6	309	375	423	798	114	392	21	8	355	126	+9	-1	—	—	+7	1.5
2019	22	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	567	508	96	22	5	7	39	157	7	25	11	189	256	293	550	104	244	28	7	239	48	-35	+1	—	—	+12	-2.3
2021	24	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	197	169	31	6	1	2	24	74	2	1	0	183	292	266	559	83	312	38	12	255	59	-10	+0	+2	-3	+4	-0.7
2021	24	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	123	108	28	3	1	8	14	40	0	7	3	259	344	528	872	269	316	33	11	360	130	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2022	25	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	172	156	37	10	0	2	11	55	2	2	1	237	296	340	636	103	350	32	6	273	71	-6	+0	+3	-2	+4	-0.1
2022	25	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	38	34	8	0	0	2	3	17	0	0	2	235	297	412	709	176	328	45	8	304	92	-0	-1	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	26	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	139	122	31	7	0	2	9	40	3	5	0	254	321	361	682	107	354	29	6	292	84	-3	+1	+1	-2	+3	-0.0
2023	26	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	61	57	7	1	1	2	4	26	0	2	0	123	180	281	461	158	198	43	7	215	32	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	27	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	15	14	3	0	0	2	1	5	0	1	1	214	267	643	910	429	143	33	7	403	159	+1	-0	-2	-3	+0	-0.4
2024	27	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	229	203	39	9	1	4	17	59	3	15	2	192	265	305	570	113	231	26	7	253	57	-12	+2	—	—	+5	-0.5
2024	27	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	21	19	6	1	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	316	381	526	907	211	429	33	10	344	119	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2015	18	ROK MLE	GCL Orioles	—	41	36	8	0	1	0	4	9	0	1	1	222	300	278	578	56	286	22	10	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK RAW	GCL Orioles	—	41	34	9	0	1	0	6	6	0	1	1	265	375	324	699	59	310	15	15	318	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	530	481	102	26	2	7	30	172	11	20	2	212	274	318	592	106	311	32	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	530	468	120	33	2	7	43	128	11	20	2	256	333	380	714	124	336	24	8	319	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	629	562	152	25	4	8	50	155	11	11	8	270	342	372	714	101	361	25	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	629	531	169	32	7	12	80	117	11	11	8	318	417	473	890	154	391	19	13	394	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	567	508	96	22	5	7	39	157	7	25	11	189	256	293	550	104	256	28	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA RAW	Bowie Baysox	—	567	488	113	26	6	9	59	121	7	25	11	232	323	365	688	133	287	21	10	306	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	320	277	58	8	2	10	38	114	2	8	3	209	309	361	670	152	312	36	12	295	86	-5	+0	+2	-3	+7	0.1
2021	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	320	270	62	9	2	13	45	107	2	8	3	230	344	422	766	193	325	33	14	341	86	-5	+0	+2	-3	+7	0.1
2022	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	210	190	45	10	0	4	14	72	2	2	3	237	296	353	649	116	353	34	7	279	75	-6	-1	+3	-2	+5	-0.2
2022	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	210	189	46	10	0	5	15	69	2	2	3	243	306	376	681	132	350	33	7	301	75	-6	-1	+3	-2	+5	-0.2
2023	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	200	179	38	8	1	4	13	66	3	7	0	212	277	335	612	123	306	33	6	269	68	-8	+1	+1	-2	+4	-0.3
2023	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	200	177	41	9	1	5	15	61	3	7	0	232	303	379	681	147	319	30	8	299	68	-8	+1	+1	-2	+4	-0.3
2024	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	265	236	48	10	1	7	20	71	3	16	3	203	274	343	617	140	253	27	8	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	265	226	52	11	1	9	30	60	3	16	3	230	328	407	735	177	267	23	11	323	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK MLE	GCL Orioles	—	41	37	8	0	1	0	4	9	0	1	1	216	300	270	570	54	251	22	10	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	530	484	102	26	2	7	30	172	11	20	2	211	274	316	590	105	302	32	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	629	563	152	25	4	8	50	155	11	11	8	270	342	371	713	101	351	25	8	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	567	516	96	22	5	7	39	157	7	25	11	186	256	289	545	103	244	28	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	320	277	58	8	2	10	38	114	2	8	3	209	309	361	670	152	313	36	12	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	210	192	45	10	0	4	14	72	2	2	3	234	296	349	645	115	346	34	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	200	182	38	8	1	4	13	66	3	7	0	209	277	330	607	121	306	33	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	265	240	48	10	1	7	20	71	3	16	3	200	274	338	612	138	242	27	8	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	200	182	38	8	1	4	13	66	3	7	0	209	277	330	607	121	306	33	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	265	240	48	10	1	7	20	71	3	16	3	200	274	338	612	138	242	27	8	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	29	MLB MLE	PHI	10%	25	23	5	1	0	1	2	6	0	1	0	217	280	391	671	174	286	24	8	305	92	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.7
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	29	MLB CTX	PHI	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						289	50	0	302	92	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	PHI	33%	337	304	69	13	1	10	26	88	4	13	3	227	296	375	671	148	284	26	8	302	91	-4	+1	-2	-4	+7	-0.0
2028	31	MLB MLE	PHI	46%	322	290	64	12	1	9	25	85	4	11	2	221	292	362	654	141	282	26	8	298	88	-5	+1	-2	-3	+7	-0.2
2029	32	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	303	274	61	11	1	9	23	81	3	9	2	223	290	369	659	146	278	27	8	292	84	-6	+1	-3	-3	+7	-0.5
2027	30	MLB CTX	PHI	33%	110	100	23	4	0	4	8	29	1	4	1	230	294	390	684	160	287	26	7	300	91	-1	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.0
2028	31	MLB CTX	PHI	46%	148	134	32	6	1	5	11	39	2	5	1	239	306	410	717	172	285	26	7	295	88	-2	+1	-1	-2	+3	-0.1
2029	32	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	162	147	33	6	1	5	12	43	2	5	1	224	292	381	673	156	281	27	7	290	84	-3	+1	-2	-2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	943	842	190	39	3	22	76	285	12	23	5	226	299	357	656	132	311	30	8	288	76	-21	+3	+1	-15	+20	-1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	131	27	2	15	52	196	8	16	3	226	298	357	655	131	311	30	8	288	76	-14	+2	+1	-10	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	3749	3360	746	146	19	76	284	1076	50	124	38	222	292	345	637	123	300	29	8	280	76	-29	+5	-2	-21	+33	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	129	25	3	13	49	187	9	21	7	221	292	341	634	120	300	29	8	280	76	-12	+2	-1	-9	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.4	960	19	23	223	293	343	-4	+3	0.3	0.3
/162	664	13	16	-3.0	+2.2	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan McKenna (OGILVIE)	29	43	52	67	49	228/297/382	154	286	10	14	26%	8%	92	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sam Haggerty 2023 · MLB	29	49→43	48→50	61→65	46	240/311/390	149	307	15	32	26%	8%	99	+1.2	248/323/377	129	314	11	35	23%	9%	100	+1.3	240/317/351	111	309	8	38	23%	9%	88	+0.2
✕Tyler Greene 2013 · MLB	29	47→51	50	56→55	44	237/302/395	158	312	17	24	29%	7%	97	+1.1	227/275/348	121	329	11	14	33%	5%	75	-0.5	224/267/325	102	336	8	10	34%	4%	64	-0.9
✕Dylan Moore 2022 · MLB	29	40→48	53→50	55→65	49	212/304/387	175	269	21	29	29%	10%	96	+1.0	217/326/388	171	292	18	33	30%	11%	105	+1.7	207/330/379	172	285	16	41	30%	12%	101	+0.7
✕Drew Stubbs 2014 · MLB	29	46→56	45→50	56→60	46	227/297/351	124	309	13	26	30%	9%	84	+0.2	236/305/380	144	337	16	24	32%	9%	94	+0.9	233/306/379	146	338	16	29	33%	9%	91	+0.3
✕Tim Locastro 2021 · MLB	29	50→54	45	61→60	47	242/338/374	131	289	11	27	19%	6%	106	+1.8	212/294/332	120	260	11	24	22%	5%	80	-0.1	212/302/326	115	267	11	36	23%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Jorge Mateo 2023 · MLB	28	44→48	48→50	60→65	40	224/272/373	149	288	14	32	27%	5%	80	-0.2	221/269/360	139	279	14	40	25%	6%	76	-0.4	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Michael A. Taylor 2019 · MLB	28	48→53	49→55	57→60	42	237/291/395	158	324	16	28	31%	7%	92	+0.7	228/283/376	148	313	15	20	30%	7%	85	+0.2	240/298/383	143	310	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.5
✕Dairon Blanco 2022 · AAA	29	46→51	45	58→70	41	226/281/349	122	295	12	32	27%	6%	77	-0.3	255/314/384	129	332	13	63	26%	6%	98	+1.2	267/328/397	130	350	13	90	26%	6%	104	+0.8
●Will Venable 2012 · MLB	29	48→55	50→55	62→60	47	239/307/399	160	302	17	28	26%	8%	99	+1.2	253/313/418	165	309	16	26	23%	8%	105	+1.7	252/311/413	161	306	16	24	22%	7%	99	+1.0
✕Hernán Pérez 2019 · MLB	28	51→55	48→50	55	43	256/292/399	143	296	16	21	20%	5%	93	+0.8	240/284/386	146	296	17	16	24%	6%	87	+0.4	233/279/345	112	299	13	24	26%	5%	74	-0.2
✕Mario Lisson 2013 · AA	29	46→49	48→50	54→55	45	232/295/380	148	295	15	19	26%	7%	91	+0.6	230/293/369	139	289	16	11	25%	7%	87	+0.4	230/303/360	129	300	15	8	27%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Roman Quinn 2022 · MLB	29	47→55	45	61→65	44	224/301/353	129	315	11	31	31%	8%	86	+0.3	208/302/330	122	342	11	25	38%	10%	82	+0.0	172/280/277	105	314	8	34	42%	11%	61	-0.4
✕Keon Broxton 2018 · MLB	28	47→50	52→55	60	44	227/304/401	174	339	19	33	36%	9%	99	+1.2	198/270/339	141	335	17	29	42%	8%	72	-0.7	158/234/266	107	297	14	30	48%	8%	40	-1.6
✕Adam Engel 2022 · MLB	30	47→48	51→50	55→60	42	238/302/403	165	297	18	20	26%	6%	99	+1.2	215/283/343	128	307	13	24	32%	7%	78	-0.3	196/268/306	110	296	10	29	35%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Brent Lillibridge 2013 · MLB	29	44→54	48→50	55→60	41	225/287/363	139	302	17	29	31%	6%	84	+0.1	211/262/330	119	289	14	22	31%	5%	66	-1.1	199/246/308	109	273	12	23	31%	5%	52	-1.3
✕Pokey Reese 2002 · MLB	29	48→55	45	59→55	51	236/299/363	127	265	12	28	16%	8%	87	+0.4	238/300/337	99	288	8	19	19%	8%	82	-0.0	237/299/315	78	294	6	17	20%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2021 · AAA	29	47→49	47→55	57→55	43	232/286/375	143	307	15	19	29%	7%	85	+0.2	231/281/413	182	329	22	10	35%	6%	93	+0.8	218/264/437	219	305	27	4	37%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Andrew Stevenson 2023 · MLB	29	51→58	46→50	59→60	41	248/300/384	136	322	12	24	26%	6%	93	+0.8	250/305/380	130	325	12	36	25%	6%	93	+0.8	258/316/385	127	336	11	48	25%	6%	94	+0.5
✕Tim Raines Jr. 2009 · AAA	29	52→56	47→50	60	40	258/290/403	145	314	14	27	23%	4%	93	+0.8	228/266/356	128	281	13	21	23%	5%	73	-0.6	196/230/290	94	237	11	26	22%	4%	42	-1.4
●Harrison Bader 2023 · MLB	29	50→56	50→55	55	46	254/309/409	155	298	17	21	21%	6%	102	+1.5	241/294/374	133	288	15	23	21%	6%	88	+0.5	245/306/402	157	304	19	16	25%	6%	98	+0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps