Ryan McKenna — OGILVIE

Ryan McKennaCF Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 29 R/R 5'10" / 195 lbs AAA HR +11%H +4% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 0.2 · 2026

wRC+†87

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .290 / .376

PA310

HR10

SB12

K%28

BB%7

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

43→43

PWR

52→52

SPD

67→67

EYE

47↗49

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.6peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.8M		$0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	18	ROK	GCL Orioles	41	36	8	0	1	0	4	9	0	1	1	.222	.300	.278	.578	.056	.286	22	10	.241	43	-3	-0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
2017	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	530	483	101	26	2	8	28	168	11	20	2	.209	.268	.321	.589	.112	.300	32	5	.252	51	-29	+3	+0	-6	+15	-1.7
2018	21	A+	3 teams	629	562	152	24	4	9	50	159	11	11	8	.270	.342	.375	.717	.105	.363	25	8	.314	99	-1	-1	+0	-7	+18	0.9
2019	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	567	507	96	21	5	8	40	165	7	25	11	.189	.258	.298	.556	.108	.260	29	7	.242	43	-36	+1	+0	-6	+16	-2.6
2021	24	MLB	2 teams	320	277	59	8	2	11	38	114	2	8	3	.213	.312	.375	.688	.162	.314	36	12	.306	92	-3	+0	+2	-3	+9	0.6
2022	25	MLB	2 teams	210	190	45	10	0	5	14	72	2	2	3	.237	.296	.368	.665	.132	.348	34	7	.280	73	-6	-1	+3	-2	+6	-0.0
2023	26	MLB	2 teams	200	179	39	9	1	4	13	66	3	7	0	.218	.282	.346	.628	.128	.315	33	6	.276	69	-7	+1	+1	-2	+6	-0.1
2024	27	AAA	3 teams	265	236	49	10	1	8	20	71	3	16	3	.208	.278	.360	.638	.153	.255	27	8	.274	68	-10	+2	-2	-3	+8	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	MLB	PHI	310	280	63	12	1	10	23	87	4	12	3	.225	.293	.382	.675	.157	.287	28	7	.299	87	-5	+1	-0	-3	+9	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	30	MLB 20%	PHI	334	302	67	13	1	10	25	95	4	13	2	.222	.290	.371	.661	.149	.285	28	7	.296	84	-6	+2	-2	-4	+9	-0.1
2028	31	MLB 33%	PHI	319	288	63	12	1	9	24	92	4	11	2	.219	.288	.361	.649	.142	.284	29	8	.292	82	-7	+1	-3	-3	+9	-0.3
2029	32	MLB 43%	PHI	300	272	59	11	1	9	22	88	3	9	1	.217	.283	.364	.647	.147	.282	29	7	.287	78	-7	+1	-4	-3	+8	-0.5
2030	33	MLB 52%	PHI	270	245	52	10	1	7	20	81	3	7	1	.212	.280	.347	.627	.135	.281	30	7	.282	74	-8	+1	-4	-3	+8	-0.7
2031	34	MLB 64%	PHI	227	206	43	8	1	6	17	70	2	5	0	.209	.276	.345	.620	.136	.279	31	7	.275	69	-8	+1	-5	-2	+6	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4522	4063	896	174	22	104	338	1337	59	147	40	.221	.290	.351	.641	.130	.299	30	7	.281	73	-136	+13	-14	-48	+128	-5.9
/ 162G	—			650	584	129	25	3	15	49	192	8	21	6	.221	.290	.351	.641	.130	.299	30	8	.281	73	-20	+2	-2	-7	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	18	ROK	GCL Orioles	41	34	9	0	1	0	6	6	0	1	1	.265	.375	.324	.699	.059	.310	15	15	.318	102	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2017	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	530	468	120	33	2	7	43	128	11	20	2	.256	.333	.380	.714	.124	.336	24	8	.319	102	+1	+3	—	—	+15	2.0
2018	21	AA	Bowie Baysox	250	213	51	8	2	3	29	56	4	4	1	.239	.341	.338	.679	.099	.312	22	12	.309	95	-1	+0	—	—	+7	0.6
2018	21	A+	Frederick Keys	301	257	97	18	2	8	37	45	6	5	6	.377	.465	.556	1.022	.179	.436	15	12	.451	203	+35	-1	—	—	+9	4.3
2018	21	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	78	61	21	6	3	1	14	16	1	2	1	.344	.474	.590	1.064	.246	.455	21	18	.450	202	+9	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2019	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	567	488	113	26	6	9	59	121	7	25	11	.232	.323	.365	.688	.133	.287	21	10	.306	92	-5	+1	—	—	+16	1.2
2021	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	197	169	31	6	1	2	24	74	2	1	0	.183	.292	.266	.559	.083	.312	38	12	.262	59	-9	+0	+2	-3	+6	-0.5
2021	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	123	101	31	3	1	11	21	33	0	7	3	.307	.426	.683	1.109	.376	.345	27	17	.467	216	+16	+0	—	—	+3	2.0
2022	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	172	156	37	10	0	2	11	55	2	2	1	.237	.296	.340	.636	.103	.350	32	6	.284	75	-5	+0	+3	-2	+5	0.1
2022	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	38	33	9	0	0	3	4	14	0	0	2	.273	.351	.545	.897	.273	.353	37	11	.381	149	+2	-1	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	139	122	31	7	0	2	9	40	3	5	0	.254	.321	.361	.682	.107	.354	29	6	.299	87	-2	+1	+1	-2	+4	0.2
2023	26	AAA	Norfolk Tides	61	55	10	2	1	3	6	21	0	2	0	.182	.262	.418	.680	.236	.226	34	10	.299	87	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	27	MLB	San Francisco Giants	15	14	3	0	0	2	1	5	0	1	1	.214	.267	.643	.910	.429	.143	33	7	.384	152	+1	-0	-2	-3	+0	-0.4
2024	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	229	195	42	10	1	6	25	50	3	15	2	.215	.314	.369	.683	.154	.252	22	11	.302	89	-3	+2	—	—	+6	0.6
2024	27	ROK	ACL Giants	21	17	7	1	0	1	4	5	0	0	0	.412	.524	.647	1.171	.235	.545	24	19	.509	247	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			523	461	102	23	1	8	45	174	7	9	2	.221	.300	.328	.628	.106	.333	33	9	.282	74	-15	+1	+4	-11	+15	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan McKenna (OGILVIE)	29	43	52	67	49	.223/.290/.376	.153	.287	10	12	28%	7%	87	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Greene 2013 · MLB	29	48→51	49→50	56→55	44	.237/.303/.391	.154	.314	16	23	29%	7%	95	+1.4	.228/.276/.352	.124	.329	12	15	33%	5%	73	-0.1	.224/.267/.328	.104	.336	8	10	34%	4%	60	-0.7
✕Michael A. Taylor 2020 · MLB	29	46→51	49→55	55→60	41	.229/.283/.385	.156	.320	16	26	33%	7%	85	+0.7	.229/.285/.364	.135	.306	15	16	29%	7%	81	+0.4	.236/.294/.379	.143	.303	19	14	28%	7%	86	+0.6
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2021 · AAA	29	47→48	50→55	58→55	42	.237/.289/.394	.157	.311	17	19	29%	7%	89	+1.0	.227/.276/.414	.187	.330	23	10	37%	6%	90	+1.0	.207/.255/.429	.222	.298	29	4	40%	6%	82	+0.2
✕Brent Lillibridge 2013 · MLB	29	45→53	47→50	55→60	41	.225/.285/.356	.131	.303	16	29	30%	6%	79	+0.3	.215/.266/.340	.125	.292	15	22	31%	5%	66	-0.6	.203/.250/.320	.117	.276	14	23	31%	5%	51	-1.0
✕Sam Haggerty 2023 · MLB	29	48→43	48→50	61→65	46	.239/.309/.386	.147	.307	15	32	26%	8%	96	+1.5	.248/.324/.382	.134	.313	12	36	23%	9%	102	+1.8	.258/.338/.390	.132	.319	9	43	21%	10%	106	+1.1
✕Eli White 2023 · MLB	29	43→50	47→50	53→60	46	.217/.291/.346	.129	.296	15	22	31%	9%	79	+0.3	.232/.302/.374	.142	.316	17	28	30%	8%	91	+1.1	.234/.299/.378	.144	.310	18	31	29%	7%	87	+0.4
✕Mario Lisson 2013 · AA	29	45→49	50→55	54→55	44	.229/.292/.386	.157	.295	17	19	28%	7%	89	+1.0	.231/.295/.384	.153	.291	18	12	26%	7%	91	+1.1	.233/.305/.376	.142	.304	18	8	28%	8%	91	+0.8
✕Dylan Moore 2022 · MLB	29	40→48	53→50	54→65	49	.213/.304/.387	.174	.271	21	28	29%	10%	95	+1.4	.217/.326/.388	.171	.291	18	33	30%	11%	105	+2.1	.207/.329/.377	.170	.285	16	41	30%	12%	100	+0.9
✕Jonathan Davis 2021 · MLB	29	47→52	45	55	45	.230/.307/.357	.127	.294	12	19	25%	7%	89	+0.9	.214/.306/.328	.114	.289	11	22	27%	9%	82	+0.5	.221/.303/.332	.112	.308	10	22	29%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Jeremy Hazelbaker 2017 · MLB	29	47→54	49→55	58→60	42	.233/.287/.393	.160	.315	16	20	30%	7%	89	+0.9	.217/.280/.374	.157	.326	16	19	36%	8%	81	+0.4	.191/.257/.337	.146	.304	15	21	40%	8%	57	-0.6
●Dairon Blanco 2022 · AAA	29	44→52	45→50	58→70	39	.218/.272/.345	.127	.297	13	32	30%	6%	70	-0.3	.254/.312/.391	.137	.329	15	59	26%	6%	98	+1.6	.268/.330/.405	.137	.349	14	90	26%	6%	107	+1.1
●Will Venable 2012 · MLB	29	48→56	51→55	61→60	47	.241/.308/.410	.169	.303	18	26	26%	8%	102	+1.9	.250/.311/.412	.162	.306	16	26	23%	8%	104	+2.0	.247/.307/.401	.154	.299	16	24	22%	7%	93	+1.0
✕George Lombard 2005 · MLB	29	48→44	47→50	56→55	45	.236/.294/.373	.137	.301	14	19	26%	7%	86	+0.8	.228/.299/.388	.160	.314	18	22	31%	8%	92	+1.2	.220/.294/.374	.154	.306	17	27	32%	8%	85	+0.4
✕Jose Siri 2023 · MLB	28	47→52	53→60	58→55	37	.235/.284/.411	.176	.335	21	24	36%	6%	92	+1.2	.212/.267/.412	.200	.293	27	20	36%	6%	86	+0.8	.196/.255/.410	.214	.257	31	19	37%	6%	80	+0.2
✕Jason Repko 2010 · MLB	29	45→48	46→50	55	42	.225/.283/.357	.132	.284	14	22	26%	6%	78	+0.2	.225/.284/.349	.124	.285	14	19	25%	6%	76	+0.1	.216/.281/.331	.115	.274	13	18	25%	7%	67	-0.2
✕Michael Helman 2023 · AAA	27	41	51→55	57→55	46	.215/.276/.371	.155	.258	19	25	25%	7%	79	+0.3	.221/.279/.380	.159	.267	19	22	24%	6%	82	+0.5	.213/.271/.381	.168	.251	20	20	24%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Lane Adams 2018 · MLB	28	46→45	47→50	60	40	.228/.280/.362	.134	.313	15	33	32%	6%	78	+0.2	.200/.262/.329	.129	.313	14	24	38%	7%	62	-0.9	.164/.235/.285	.121	.268	13	20	41%	7%	37	-1.3
✕Hernán Pérez 2019 · MLB	28	51→56	48→50	55	43	.257/.293/.398	.141	.298	16	23	20%	5%	92	+1.2	.241/.284/.388	.147	.295	18	16	24%	6%	86	+0.8	.238/.283/.362	.124	.301	16	24	26%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Drew Stubbs 2015 · MLB	30	49→57	48→50	57→60	44	.241/.302/.382	.141	.329	15	25	30%	8%	92	+1.2	.229/.304/.365	.136	.336	15	22	33%	9%	89	+0.9	.204/.291/.315	.111	.311	12	23	35%	10%	67	-0.3
✕Jorge Mateo 2023 · MLB	28	45→46	48→50	60→65	40	.225/.273/.375	.150	.289	14	31	27%	5%	78	+0.2	.223/.271/.364	.141	.282	13	39	25%	6%	75	-0.0	.218/.263/.346	.128	.274	12	54	25%	6%	65	-0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)