Dameury Pena
SS Dunedin Blue Jays| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROKMIN | 140 | .282/.391/.410 | 3 | 4 | 70 | — | .216/.290/.328 |
| 2025 | 19 | AMIN | 417 | .241/.320/.316 | 6 | 28 | 52 | — | .213/.274/.281 |
| 2026 | 20 | A+/ATOR | 482 | .298/.371/.373 | 2 | 24 | 91 | — | .282/.338/.350 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBTOR | 592 | .237/.294/.306 | 5 | 17 | 71 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 22 | MLBTOR | 153 | .244/.302/.330 | 2 | 5 | 79 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 23 | MLBTOR | 239 | .248/.307/.346 | 4 | 7 | 85 | 0.2 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Twins | — | 139 | 123 | 47 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 382 | 453 | 496 | 949 | 114 | 412 | 6 | 10 | 424 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Twins | — | 140 | 117 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 282 | 391 | 410 | 802 | 128 | 280 | 6 | 14 | 360 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 417 | 370 | 89 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 37 | 8 | 28 | 5 | 241 | 320 | 316 | 636 | 76 | 251 | 9 | 8 | 292 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | — | 159 | 143 | 36 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 252 | 323 | 343 | 665 | 91 | 273 | 9 | 6 | 303 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 323 | 283 | 91 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 20 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 322 | 395 | 389 | 784 | 67 | 340 | 6 | 9 | 353 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Twins | — | 139 | 127 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 244 | 309 | 315 | 624 | 71 | 264 | 8 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Twins | — | 140 | 125 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 216 | 290 | 328 | 618 | 112 | 215 | 9 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 417 | 381 | 81 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 50 | 8 | 28 | 5 | 213 | 274 | 281 | 554 | 68 | 225 | 12 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 159 | 146 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 233 | 291 | 315 | 606 | 82 | 262 | 12 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 323 | 294 | 90 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 27 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 306 | 361 | 367 | 728 | 61 | 324 | 8 | 6 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Twins | — | 139 | 127 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 244 | 309 | 315 | 624 | 71 | 267 | 8 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Twins | — | 139 | 123 | 47 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 382 | 453 | 496 | 949 | 114 | 412 | 6 | 10 | 424 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Twins | — | 140 | 125 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 216 | 290 | 328 | 618 | 112 | 216 | 9 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK RAW | FCL Twins | — | 140 | 117 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 282 | 391 | 410 | 802 | 128 | 280 | 6 | 14 | 360 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 417 | 381 | 81 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 50 | 8 | 28 | 5 | 213 | 274 | 281 | 554 | 68 | 228 | 12 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A RAW | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 417 | 370 | 89 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 37 | 8 | 28 | 5 | 241 | 320 | 316 | 636 | 76 | 251 | 9 | 8 | 292 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 439 | 124 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 46 | 10 | 24 | 11 | 282 | 340 | 351 | 690 | 68 | 310 | 10 | 6 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 482 | 426 | 127 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 34 | 10 | 24 | 11 | 298 | 371 | 373 | 744 | 75 | 318 | 7 | 8 | 336 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Twins | — | 139 | 126 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 246 | 309 | 317 | 627 | 71 | 264 | 8 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Twins | — | 140 | 126 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 214 | 290 | 325 | 615 | 111 | 215 | 9 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 417 | 382 | 81 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 50 | 8 | 28 | 5 | 212 | 274 | 280 | 554 | 68 | 225 | 12 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 441 | 124 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 46 | 10 | 24 | 11 | 281 | 340 | 349 | 689 | 68 | 304 | 10 | 6 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Twins | — | 140 | 126 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 214 | 290 | 325 | 615 | 111 | 215 | 9 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 417 | 382 | 81 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 50 | 8 | 28 | 5 | 212 | 274 | 280 | 554 | 68 | 225 | 12 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 441 | 124 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 46 | 10 | 24 | 11 | 281 | 340 | 349 | 689 | 68 | 304 | 10 | 6 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | TOR | 0% | 592 | 544 | 129 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 59 | 9 | 17 | 6 | 237 | 294 | 306 | 600 | 68 | 257 | 10 | 6 | 273 | 71 | -21 | +1 | -8 | +6 | +13 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | TOR | 34% | 446 | 409 | 100 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 45 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 243 | 301 | 329 | 630 | 86 | 259 | 10 | 6 | 285 | 79 | -11 | +1 | -5 | +5 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | TOR | 48% | 494 | 453 | 112 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 51 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 247 | 306 | 345 | 651 | 98 | 261 | 10 | 6 | 294 | 85 | -9 | +1 | -5 | +5 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | TOR | 53% | 550 | 501 | 125 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 59 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 249 | 310 | 355 | 665 | 106 | 263 | 11 | 7 | 299 | 89 | -7 | +1 | -5 | +6 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | TOR | 55% | 578 | 526 | 131 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 39 | 65 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 250 | 312 | 361 | 672 | 111 | 264 | 11 | 7 | 302 | 91 | -6 | +1 | -5 | +6 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | TOR | 56% | 590 | 537 | 134 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 40 | 69 | 8 | 17 | 6 | 250 | 312 | 363 | 675 | 113 | 265 | 12 | 7 | 303 | 91 | -6 | +1 | -5 | +6 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | TOR | 55% | 590 | 537 | 134 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 40 | 70 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 249 | 311 | 360 | 672 | 112 | 265 | 12 | 7 | 302 | 90 | -7 | +1 | -5 | +6 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | TOR | 55% | 582 | 529 | 130 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 40 | 70 | 8 | 15 | 5 | 247 | 309 | 356 | 665 | 109 | 264 | 12 | 7 | 299 | 89 | -8 | +1 | -6 | +6 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | TOR | 53% | 565 | 514 | 125 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 70 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 245 | 307 | 350 | 657 | 105 | 264 | 12 | 7 | 296 | 86 | -9 | +1 | -6 | +6 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | TOR | 53% | 552 | 503 | 123 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 37 | 70 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 242 | 303 | 343 | 646 | 101 | 262 | 13 | 7 | 292 | 83 | -11 | +0 | -7 | +6 | +12 | 0.0 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB MLE | TOR | 56% | 534 | 487 | 116 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 70 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 238 | 299 | 334 | 632 | 95 | 260 | 13 | 7 | 286 | 79 | -13 | -0 | -7 | +6 | +12 | -0.4 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB MLE | TOR | 59% | 511 | 467 | 109 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 69 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 233 | 293 | 322 | 615 | 89 | 257 | 14 | 6 | 278 | 75 | -15 | -1 | -8 | +5 | +11 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | TOR | 34% | 153 | 141 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 244 | 302 | 330 | 632 | 86 | 260 | 10 | 6 | 286 | 79 | -4 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | TOR | 48% | 239 | 218 | 54 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 248 | 307 | 346 | 654 | 98 | 262 | 10 | 6 | 295 | 85 | -4 | +1 | -2 | +3 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | TOR | 53% | 290 | 265 | 66 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 31 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 250 | 311 | 357 | 668 | 106 | 264 | 11 | 7 | 300 | 89 | -4 | +1 | -2 | +3 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | TOR | 55% | 316 | 287 | 72 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 35 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 251 | 313 | 362 | 675 | 111 | 266 | 11 | 7 | 303 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -3 | +3 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | TOR | 56% | 328 | 298 | 75 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 38 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 251 | 313 | 364 | 677 | 114 | 267 | 12 | 7 | 304 | 91 | -3 | +1 | -3 | +4 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | TOR | 55% | 325 | 295 | 73 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 39 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 250 | 312 | 362 | 674 | 112 | 266 | 12 | 7 | 303 | 90 | -4 | +1 | -3 | +3 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | TOR | 55% | 318 | 289 | 72 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 38 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 248 | 310 | 357 | 668 | 109 | 266 | 12 | 7 | 300 | 89 | -4 | +0 | -3 | +3 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | TOR | 53% | 301 | 274 | 68 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 37 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 246 | 308 | 352 | 659 | 106 | 265 | 12 | 7 | 297 | 86 | -5 | +0 | -3 | +3 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | TOR | 53% | 290 | 265 | 64 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 37 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 243 | 304 | 344 | 649 | 101 | 264 | 13 | 7 | 292 | 83 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +3 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB CTX | TOR | 56% | 302 | 275 | 66 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 40 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 239 | 300 | 335 | 634 | 96 | 261 | 13 | 7 | 287 | 79 | -7 | -0 | -4 | +3 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB CTX | TOR | 59% | 302 | 275 | 64 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 234 | 294 | 323 | 617 | 89 | 258 | 14 | 7 | 279 | 75 | -9 | -0 | -5 | +3 | +7 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3164 | 2882 | 708 | 96 | 17 | 56 | 209 | 376 | 45 | 72 | 25 | 246 | 307 | 349 | 656 | 103 | 264 | 12 | 7 | 296 | 83 | -54 | +4 | -34 | +34 | +69 | 1.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 592 | 146 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 77 | 9 | 15 | 5 | 247 | 307 | 351 | 659 | 105 | 264 | 12 | 7 | 296 | 83 | -11 | +1 | -7 | +7 | +14 | 0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 7380 | 6728 | 1648 | 219 | 40 | 120 | 481 | 849 | 107 | 212 | 72 | 245 | 306 | 343 | 649 | 98 | 263 | 12 | 7 | 291 | 83 | -110 | +9 | -67 | +66 | +134 | 3.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 146 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 42 | 75 | 9 | 19 | 6 | 246 | 306 | 347 | 653 | 101 | 264 | 12 | 6 | 291 | 83 | -12 | +1 | -7 | +7 | +14 | 0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ADunedin Blue Jays · 323 PAwOBA .347 → .320 (−27)K% 6.2% → 8.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.19% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 8.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 6.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.55% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.035 | ×1.015 | 28.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.035 | ×1.015 | 3.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.035 | ×1.015 | 1.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.31% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .347 → .320; ISO .067 → .062; BABIP .340 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Vancouver Canadians · 159 PAwOBA .295 → .267 (−28)K% 8.8% → 11.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.81% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 11.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 4.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.14% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 2.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 20.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 4.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 1.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.027 | 0.66% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .295 → .267; ISO .091 → .080; BABIP .273 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 417 PAwOBA .287 → .245 (−42)K% 8.9% → 12.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.87% | ÷0.994 | ×1.360 | — | — | 12.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.39% | ÷1.054 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 5.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.92% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | ×0.987 | ×1.030 | 19.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.00% | ÷1.032 | ×0.830 | ×0.987 | ×1.030 | 2.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.987 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.80% | ÷0.898 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 1.65% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 100, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .287 → .245; ISO .076 → .067; BABIP .251 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Twins · 140 PAwOBA .356 → .272 (−84)K% 6.4% → 9.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.43% | ÷0.974 | ×1.440 | — | — | 9.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.57% | ÷1.046 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 8.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.43% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.15% | ÷1.036 | ×0.820 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | 17.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.971 | ×0.720 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | 2.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷0.890 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 2.45% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 107, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 95, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .356 → .272; ISO .128 → .112; BABIP .280 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Twins · 139 PAwOBA .413 → .274 (−139)K% 6.5% → 7.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.47% | ÷0.999 | ×1.220 | — | — | 7.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.07% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 7.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.58% | ÷1.021 | ×0.680 | ×0.967 | ×1.008 | 20.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.02% | ÷0.966 | ×0.600 | ×0.967 | ×1.008 | 4.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.63% | ÷0.949 | ×0.600 | ×0.967 | ×1.008 | 1.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 90, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .413 → .274; ISO .114 → .071; BABIP .412 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).