Grenny Cumana
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 23 | AAA/AAPHI | 196 | .301/.330/.403 | 2 | 1 | 72 | — | .266/.288/.346 |
| 2020 | 24 | INTLAguilas del Z… | 35 | .233/.303/.333 | 0 | 0 | 71 | — | |
| 2021 | 25 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 177 | .259/.322/.340 | 2 | 0 | 59 | — | .225/.278/.272 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK | VSL Phillies | — | 220 | 188 | 55 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 293 | 380 | 404 | 784 | 112 | 329 | 10 | 8 | 349 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK | GCL Phillies | — | 126 | 113 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 248 | 309 | 363 | 672 | 115 | 260 | 8 | 6 | 296 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 212 | 197 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 203 | 245 | 234 | 479 | 30 | 230 | 12 | 5 | 218 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 381 | 347 | 101 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 291 | 346 | 363 | 709 | 72 | 314 | 8 | 4 | 319 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 327 | 301 | 73 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 41 | 5 | 16 | 10 | 243 | 283 | 292 | 575 | 50 | 274 | 13 | 4 | 256 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 215 | 206 | 58 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 282 | 312 | 359 | 671 | 78 | 296 | 7 | 2 | 302 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 27 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 192 | 231 | 423 | 38 | 227 | 15 | 0 | 182 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 169 | 160 | 51 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 319 | 351 | 431 | 782 | 113 | 350 | 11 | 4 | 347 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 35 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 303 | 333 | 636 | 100 | 259 | 14 | 9 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 162 | 147 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 327 | 333 | 660 | 75 | 279 | 10 | 7 | 304 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 15 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 267 | 400 | 667 | 133 | 308 | 13 | 0 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | VSL Phillies | — | 220 | 194 | 40 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 206 | 287 | 284 | 571 | 77 | 226 | 12 | 5 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 126 | 116 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 190 | 236 | 284 | 520 | 95 | 195 | 11 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 212 | 200 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 185 | 216 | 210 | 426 | 25 | 218 | 16 | 3 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 381 | 352 | 94 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 267 | 314 | 330 | 643 | 62 | 289 | 10 | 3 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 327 | 304 | 71 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 57 | 5 | 16 | 10 | 234 | 267 | 286 | 553 | 53 | 270 | 17 | 3 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 215 | 207 | 53 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 256 | 284 | 314 | 598 | 58 | 284 | 10 | 2 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 27 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 192 | 231 | 423 | 38 | 210 | 19 | 0 | 163 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 169 | 162 | 45 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 278 | 304 | 364 | 668 | 86 | 315 | 13 | 2 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 162 | 151 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 278 | 272 | 549 | 46 | 256 | 12 | 5 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | VSL Phillies | — | 220 | 194 | 40 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 206 | 287 | 284 | 571 | 77 | 238 | 12 | 5 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK RAW | VSL Phillies | — | 220 | 188 | 55 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 293 | 380 | 404 | 784 | 112 | 329 | 10 | 8 | 349 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 126 | 116 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 190 | 236 | 284 | 520 | 95 | 204 | 11 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Phillies | — | 126 | 113 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 248 | 309 | 363 | 672 | 115 | 260 | 8 | 6 | 296 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 212 | 200 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 185 | 216 | 210 | 426 | 25 | 220 | 16 | 3 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A RAW | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 212 | 197 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 203 | 245 | 234 | 479 | 30 | 230 | 12 | 5 | 218 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 381 | 352 | 94 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 267 | 314 | 330 | 643 | 62 | 296 | 10 | 3 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A RAW | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 381 | 347 | 101 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 291 | 346 | 363 | 709 | 72 | 314 | 8 | 4 | 319 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 327 | 304 | 71 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 57 | 5 | 16 | 10 | 234 | 267 | 286 | 553 | 53 | 280 | 17 | 3 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ RAW | Clearwater Threshers | — | 327 | 301 | 73 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 41 | 5 | 16 | 10 | 243 | 283 | 292 | 575 | 50 | 274 | 13 | 4 | 256 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 215 | 207 | 53 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 256 | 284 | 314 | 598 | 58 | 283 | 10 | 2 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ RAW | Clearwater Threshers | — | 215 | 206 | 58 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 282 | 312 | 359 | 671 | 78 | 296 | 7 | 2 | 302 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 196 | 188 | 50 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 266 | 289 | 346 | 634 | 80 | 306 | 14 | 2 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 196 | 186 | 56 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 301 | 330 | 403 | 733 | 102 | 333 | 11 | 3 | 324 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL MLE | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 35 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 303 | 333 | 636 | 100 | 259 | 14 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | INTL RAW | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 35 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 303 | 333 | 636 | 100 | 259 | 14 | 9 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 177 | 165 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 282 | 279 | 561 | 48 | 261 | 12 | 5 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 177 | 162 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 322 | 340 | 662 | 80 | 282 | 10 | 7 | 303 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | VSL Phillies | — | 220 | 196 | 40 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 204 | 287 | 281 | 568 | 77 | 226 | 12 | 5 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 126 | 118 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 186 | 236 | 280 | 515 | 93 | 195 | 11 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 212 | 202 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 183 | 216 | 208 | 424 | 25 | 218 | 16 | 3 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 381 | 354 | 94 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 266 | 314 | 328 | 642 | 62 | 289 | 10 | 3 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 327 | 310 | 71 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 57 | 5 | 16 | 10 | 229 | 267 | 281 | 548 | 52 | 270 | 17 | 3 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 215 | 205 | 53 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 259 | 284 | 317 | 601 | 59 | 284 | 10 | 2 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 196 | 188 | 50 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 266 | 289 | 346 | 634 | 80 | 301 | 14 | 2 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 177 | 163 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 282 | 282 | 565 | 49 | 256 | 12 | 5 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1889 | 1756 | 412 | 70 | 8 | 7 | 63 | 246 | 41 | 60 | 33 | 235 | 277 | 296 | 573 | 61 | 268 | 13 | 3 | 244 | 51 | -109 | -1 | +0 | +20 | +41 | -5.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 604 | 142 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 85 | 14 | 21 | 11 | 235 | 278 | 295 | 573 | 60 | 269 | 13 | 3 | 244 | 51 | -38 | -0 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAReading Fightin Phils · 162 PAwOBA .296 → .252 (−44)K% 9.9% → 12.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.88% | ÷0.985 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷0.989 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.988 | 5.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.85% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.66% | ÷0.989 | ×0.940 | ×0.995 | ×0.988 | 22.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.82% | ÷0.993 | ×0.870 | ×0.995 | ×0.988 | 3.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.53% | ÷1.344 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.88% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 169, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .296 → .252; ISO .075 → .053; BABIP .279 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAReading Fightin Phils · 169 PAwOBA .337 → .292 (−45)K% 10.7% → 13.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.65% | ÷0.995 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.55% | ÷0.978 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 2.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.17% | ÷1.023 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 25.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.23% | ÷0.980 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 3.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.11% | ÷0.959 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 2.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.182 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.94% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 105, 2B 96, 3B 92, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .337 → .292; ISO .113 → .092; BABIP .350 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 27 PAwOBA .176 → .163 (−13)K% 14.8% → 17.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.81% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.948 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.032 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 17.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.033 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 3.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.061 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.866 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 112, K 100, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .176 → .163; ISO .038 → .033; BABIP .227 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Clearwater Threshers · 215 PAwOBA .294 → .268 (−27)K% 7.0% → 10.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.98% | ÷0.995 | ×1.420 | — | — | 9.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.33% | ÷1.005 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 1.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.86% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 1.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.61% | ÷0.950 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×0.998 | 23.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.19% | ÷1.028 | ×0.960 | ×1.004 | ×0.998 | 3.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.004 | ×0.998 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.197 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.77% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 90, 2B 106, 3B 100, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .294 → .268; ISO .078 → .064; BABIP .296 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Clearwater Threshers · 327 PAwOBA .251 → .237 (−14)K% 12.5% → 17.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.54% | ÷1.016 | ×1.420 | — | — | 17.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.67% | ÷0.998 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 2.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 1.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.85% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 23.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.46% | ÷0.907 | ×0.960 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 3.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.002 | ×0.810 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.77% | ÷1.058 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.65% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 98, 2B 82, 3B 100, K 103, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .251 → .237; ISO .050 → .049; BABIP .274 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ALakewood BlueClaws · 381 PAwOBA .313 → .279 (−34)K% 7.9% → 10.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.87% | ÷1.030 | ×1.340 | — | — | 10.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.20% | ÷0.995 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 2.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.41% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 2.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.61% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×1.015 | 22.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.94% | ÷0.963 | ×0.820 | ×1.003 | ×1.015 | 6.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.003 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.32% | ÷0.864 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 0.30% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 101, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .313 → .279; ISO .072 → .064; BABIP .314 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ALakewood BlueClaws · 212 PAwOBA .214 → .191 (−23)K% 11.8% → 16.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.79% | ÷0.989 | ×1.340 | — | — | 15.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.72% | ÷1.027 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 3.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.47% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.77% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.028 | ×1.030 | 18.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.49% | ÷0.959 | ×0.820 | ×1.028 | ×1.030 | 3.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.043 | ×0.940 | ×1.028 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.872 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 92, 3B 109, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .214 → .191; ISO .030 → .027; BABIP .230 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKGCL Phillies · 126 PAwOBA .293 → .218 (−76)K% 7.9% → 11.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.94% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 11.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 3.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.951 | ×1.008 | 13.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.951 | ×1.008 | 5.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.951 | ×1.008 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.76% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .293 → .218; ISO .115 → .084; BABIP .260 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .