Carlos Mendoza2B
Buffalo Bisons
Age 26
L/R
5'6" / 165 lbs
AAA
HR +12%BB +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.9 · 2027
wRC+†77
AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .326 / .334
PA250
HR3
SB7
K%18
BB%9
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
60→60
PWR
35→35
SPD
45→45
EYE
53↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.9peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.8 | $3M | +$3M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.7M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.3M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $11M | $13M | +$2M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 300 | 258 | 57 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 28 | 40 | 10 | 25 | 14 | .221 | .321 | .275 | .596 | .054 | .260 | 13 | 9 | .268 | 63 | -12 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | 3 teams | 212 | 176 | 50 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 36 | 7 | 16 | 1 | .284 | .403 | .358 | .761 | .074 | .350 | 17 | 13 | .345 | 123 | +5 | +3 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 1.5 |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | 3 teams | 427 | 351 | 83 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 60 | 85 | 9 | 12 | 8 | .236 | .362 | .302 | .664 | .066 | .303 | 20 | 14 | .303 | 90 | -5 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | 2 teams | 273 | 225 | 54 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 55 | 5 | 8 | 6 | .240 | .352 | .289 | .641 | .049 | .308 | 20 | 12 | .288 | 78 | -7 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | 3 teams | 655 | 570 | 145 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 54 | 148 | 22 | 36 | 6 | .254 | .342 | .346 | .688 | .091 | .333 | 23 | 8 | .306 | 92 | -6 | +5 | +0 | +2 | +19 | 2.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | 3 teams | 586 | 509 | 140 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 53 | 78 | 13 | 13 | 8 | .275 | .358 | .379 | .737 | .104 | .305 | 13 | 9 | .326 | 107 | +5 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +17 | 2.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 80 | 67 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 2 | .209 | .321 | .239 | .559 | .030 | .304 | 28 | 12 | .260 | 57 | -4 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | TOR | 170 | 148 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 34 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .236 | .327 | .324 | .652 | .088 | .292 | 20 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.3 |
| TOT | 26 | MLB | TOR | 250 | 215 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 56 | 5 | 7 | 4 | .228 | .325 | .298 | .623 | .070 | .296 | 22 | 10 | .286 | 77 | -6 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB 25% | TOR | 336 | 291 | 70 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 54 | 7 | 10 | 4 | .241 | .336 | .333 | .670 | .093 | .278 | 16 | 10 | .307 | 93 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB 37% | TOR | 364 | 317 | 76 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 61 | 7 | 10 | 4 | .240 | .332 | .338 | .670 | .098 | .279 | 17 | 10 | .307 | 93 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB 47% | TOR | 373 | 325 | 77 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 38 | 65 | 7 | 10 | 4 | .237 | .330 | .332 | .662 | .095 | .279 | 17 | 10 | .306 | 92 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +11 | 0.8 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB 55% | TOR | 378 | 329 | 77 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 67 | 7 | 9 | 3 | .234 | .328 | .328 | .656 | .094 | .279 | 18 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +11 | 0.7 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB 66% | TOR | 369 | 321 | 76 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 38 | 67 | 7 | 7 | 3 | .237 | .331 | .333 | .664 | .097 | .278 | 18 | 10 | .300 | 88 | -5 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB 75% | TOR | 354 | 308 | 71 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 36 | 66 | 7 | 5 | 2 | .231 | .325 | .318 | .643 | .088 | .277 | 19 | 10 | .296 | 85 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB 83% | TOR | 326 | 284 | 65 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 63 | 6 | 4 | 1 | .229 | .322 | .320 | .642 | .092 | .276 | 19 | 10 | .291 | 81 | -7 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +9 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB 89% | TOR | 284 | 248 | 55 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 58 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .222 | .316 | .298 | .614 | .077 | .275 | 20 | 10 | .285 | 77 | -7 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +8 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5407 | 4660 | 1131 | 160 | 37 | 56 | 558 | 977 | 123 | 172 | 67 | .243 | .339 | .329 | .668 | .086 | .294 | 18 | 10 | .303 | 90 | -60 | +8 | -20 | +19 | +153 | 10.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 560 | 136 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 67 | 117 | 15 | 21 | 8 | .243 | .340 | .329 | .668 | .086 | .293 | 18 | 10 | .303 | 90 | -7 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +18 | 1.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 300 | 240 | 71 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 46 | 28 | 10 | 25 | 14 | .296 | .429 | .379 | .808 | .083 | .333 | 9 | 15 | .370 | 141 | +14 | -1 | — | — | +8 | 2.2 |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 90 | 73 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .288 | .422 | .370 | .792 | .082 | .350 | 14 | 16 | .369 | 140 | +4 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Tigers East | 95 | 65 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 0 | .415 | .596 | .523 | 1.119 | .108 | .464 | 9 | 26 | .500 | 240 | +15 | +2 | — | — | +3 | 2.1 |
| 2021 | 21 | INTL | Caribes de Anzoategui | 27 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .174 | .296 | .261 | .557 | .087 | .250 | 26 | 15 | .266 | 61 | -1 | -0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 213 | 162 | 40 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 5 | .247 | .408 | .296 | .704 | .049 | .296 | 14 | 17 | .329 | 110 | +2 | -1 | — | — | +6 | 0.7 |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 189 | 146 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 28 | 2 | 8 | 3 | .288 | .450 | .397 | .847 | .110 | .345 | 15 | 22 | .392 | 158 | +12 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 1.9 |
| 2022 | 22 | INTL | Caribes de Anzoategui | 25 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .280 | .292 | .572 | .042 | .286 | 12 | 4 | .260 | 57 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 244 | 191 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 39 | 5 | 8 | 5 | .257 | .398 | .304 | .702 | .047 | .318 | 16 | 16 | .325 | 107 | +2 | -0 | — | — | +7 | 0.9 |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 29 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .200 | .429 | .350 | .779 | .150 | .188 | 14 | 28 | .358 | 132 | +1 | -0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 515 | 420 | 113 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 70 | 89 | 18 | 32 | 5 | .269 | .396 | .374 | .769 | .105 | .329 | 17 | 14 | .351 | 127 | +16 | +4 | — | — | +15 | 3.5 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 27 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .174 | .296 | .174 | .470 | .000 | .250 | 26 | 7 | .240 | 42 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 24 | INTL | Caribes de Anzoategui | 113 | 99 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .253 | .333 | .364 | .697 | .111 | .293 | 14 | 9 | .312 | 97 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 57 | 52 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 2 | .327 | .364 | .558 | .921 | .231 | .349 | 16 | 4 | .388 | 155 | +4 | +1 | — | — | +2 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 350 | 283 | 79 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 51 | 36 | 9 | 5 | 4 | .279 | .405 | .382 | .787 | .102 | .301 | 10 | 15 | .357 | 131 | +12 | -1 | — | — | +10 | 2.2 |
| 2025 | 25 | INTL | Caribes de Anzoategui | 179 | 153 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .294 | .390 | .425 | .815 | .131 | .321 | 10 | 12 | .364 | 137 | +7 | -1 | — | — | +5 | 1.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Carlos Mendoza (OGILVIE) | 26 | 60 | 35 | 45 | 60 | .240/.326/.334 | .094 | .290 | 3 | 8 | 18% | 9% | 91 | +0.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Boog Powell 2019 · MLB |
26 | 51→58 | 40 | 46→50 | 50 | .247/.309/.338 | .091 | .301 | 8 | 15 | 20% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .223/.294/.329 | .106 | .310 | 10 | 16 | 29% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .208/.286/.314 | .106 | .301 | 9 | 18 | 31% | 10% | 65 | -0.5 |
|
✕Greg Garcia 2017 · MLB |
27 | 52→53 | 39→40 | 48→50 | 51 | .245/.325/.333 | .087 | .312 | 6 | 11 | 22% | 9% | 89 | +1.0 | .245/.340/.339 | .094 | .310 | 7 | 7 | 21% | 11% | 98 | +1.6 | .241/.350/.334 | .093 | .308 | 6 | 3 | 21% | 13% | 99 | +0.8 |
|
✕Jake Elmore 2014 · MLB |
27 | 54→62 | 39→40 | 52→55 | 53 | .255/.325/.347 | .092 | .299 | 5 | 20 | 16% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .242/.315/.313 | .071 | .288 | 4 | 17 | 16% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .242/.306/.310 | .068 | .294 | 3 | 10 | 17% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
●Adam Frazier 2018 · MLB |
26 | 60→66 | 41→50 | 49→50 | 51 | .285/.340/.392 | .108 | .320 | 6 | 15 | 13% | 7% | 110 | +2.4 | .265/.326/.401 | .136 | .296 | 12 | 7 | 14% | 7% | 107 | +2.2 | .281/.343/.403 | .122 | .310 | 10 | 6 | 12% | 7% | 109 | +1.9 |
|
✕Luis Guillorme 2021 · MLB |
26 | 54→61 | 42→40 | 46→45 | 54 | .257/.330/.366 | .109 | .306 | 9 | 8 | 18% | 9% | 99 | +1.7 | .257/.341/.345 | .088 | .307 | 7 | 5 | 17% | 11% | 98 | +1.6 | .255/.343/.324 | .069 | .303 | 4 | 1 | 16% | 11% | 88 | +0.4 |
|
✕Alden Carrithers 2011 · AA |
26 | 57→61 | 36→30 | 49→55 | 57 | .265/.345/.328 | .063 | .317 | 3 | 15 | 16% | 10% | 96 | +1.5 | .263/.331/.330 | .067 | .305 | 2 | 17 | 13% | 9% | 89 | +1.0 | .265/.332/.331 | .066 | .301 | 2 | 22 | 11% | 8% | 88 | +0.5 |
|
✕Tim Fedroff 2013 · AAA |
26 | 57→61 | 41→40 | 48→50 | 49 | .269/.324/.371 | .102 | .326 | 7 | 10 | 19% | 7% | 97 | +1.5 | .235/.300/.316 | .081 | .307 | 6 | 13 | 23% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .216/.288/.271 | .055 | .292 | 4 | 14 | 25% | 9% | 54 | -1.2 |
|
●Jesus Arredondo 2017 · AAA |
26 | 53→59 | 39→50 | 47→50 | 46 | .255/.299/.343 | .088 | .302 | 6 | 17 | 18% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .252/.302/.391 | .139 | .291 | 15 | 13 | 18% | 6% | 95 | +1.4 | .253/.307/.413 | .161 | .282 | 18 | 9 | 17% | 7% | 101 | +1.3 |
|
✕Callix Crabbe 2009 · MLB |
26 | 50→53 | 40 | 50→55 | 53 | .239/.310/.332 | .093 | .283 | 6 | 18 | 17% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .210/.280/.299 | .089 | .252 | 7 | 15 | 18% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .200/.269/.287 | .087 | .235 | 7 | 16 | 17% | 8% | 51 | -1.0 |
|
✕Grégor Blanco 2010 · MLB |
26 | 51→59 | 36→45 | 49→60 | 55 | .237/.317/.301 | .064 | .297 | 3 | 16 | 20% | 10% | 78 | +0.2 | .238/.317/.322 | .084 | .304 | 5 | 25 | 21% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .264/.341/.367 | .103 | .318 | 6 | 19 | 17% | 10% | 96 | +1.1 |
|
✕L.J. Hoes 2016 · MLB |
26 | 54→62 | 39→40 | 50 | 50 | .255/.320/.343 | .087 | .314 | 5 | 18 | 20% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .231/.288/.327 | .096 | .273 | 9 | 15 | 18% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .220/.273/.304 | .084 | .251 | 9 | 9 | 16% | 6% | 55 | -1.0 |
|
✕Nicky Lopez 2021 · MLB |
26 | 51→61 | 39→40 | 45→55 | 51 | .244/.300/.335 | .091 | .274 | 6 | 9 | 14% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .246/.310/.318 | .072 | .287 | 3 | 16 | 14% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | .245/.313/.305 | .060 | .286 | 1 | 19 | 14% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Brock Holt 2014 · MLB |
26 | 57→66 | 37→45 | 48→50 | 48 | .266/.316/.341 | .076 | .318 | 3 | 13 | 17% | 6% | 86 | +0.8 | .262/.319/.355 | .093 | .320 | 5 | 13 | 18% | 7% | 91 | +1.1 | .263/.326/.363 | .100 | .321 | 6 | 12 | 19% | 8% | 93 | +1.0 |
|
✕Jamie Johnson 2013 · AAA |
26 | 53→56 | 36→40 | 46→50 | 55 | .246/.318/.319 | .073 | .294 | 3 | 10 | 17% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .245/.321/.321 | .076 | .292 | 4 | 15 | 16% | 10% | 84 | +0.6 | .244/.329/.319 | .075 | .288 | 4 | 16 | 15% | 11% | 85 | +0.6 |
|
✕Cole Figueroa 2013 · AAA |
26 | 55→59 | 40→45 | 48→50 | 54 | .263/.324/.365 | .102 | .287 | 6 | 10 | 11% | 8% | 96 | +1.5 | .252/.306/.336 | .084 | .272 | 4 | 8 | 9% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .256/.309/.325 | .069 | .273 | 3 | 7 | 8% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Ramón Flores 2018 · MLB |
26 | 51→57 | 42→45 | 51→50 | 53 | .248/.319/.351 | .103 | .294 | 9 | 9 | 19% | 9% | 91 | +1.1 | .235/.301/.340 | .105 | .290 | 10 | 10 | 21% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .219/.283/.304 | .085 | .273 | 8 | 6 | 22% | 8% | 62 | -0.3 |
|
✕Johnny Giavotella 2013 · MLB |
26 | 56→59 | 42→45 | 49→50 | 48 | .269/.315/.376 | .107 | .306 | 8 | 10 | 15% | 6% | 95 | +1.4 | .253/.303/.356 | .103 | .288 | 8 | 11 | 14% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .262/.307/.368 | .106 | .290 | 7 | 5 | 12% | 6% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
✕Miles Mastrobuoni 2022 · AAA |
26 | 53→56 | 40→45 | 45→60 | 45 | .249/.302/.348 | .098 | .331 | 7 | 11 | 26% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .245/.305/.359 | .114 | .310 | 10 | 21 | 23% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .235/.301/.340 | .105 | .291 | 9 | 27 | 21% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 |
|
✕Terrin Vavra 2023 · MLB |
26 | 54→46 | 42→45 | 50 | 51 | .252/.334/.369 | .117 | .326 | 8 | 11 | 24% | 10% | 102 | +1.9 | .244/.313/.348 | .104 | .321 | 8 | 10 | 24% | 8% | 88 | +0.9 | .237/.301/.323 | .086 | .318 | 6 | 9 | 25% | 7% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Lastings Milledge 2011 · MLB |
26 | 55→58 | 42→50 | 49→55 | 48 | .266/.322/.377 | .111 | .308 | 9 | 16 | 17% | 6% | 98 | +1.6 | .254/.308/.368 | .114 | .287 | 11 | 19 | 15% | 6% | 91 | +1.1 | .253/.306/.362 | .109 | .280 | 11 | 27 | 14% | 6% | 84 | +0.5 |