Jackson Holliday

Jackson Holliday2B Norfolk Tides

INJURED · Injured 10-Day (D10)

Age 22 L/R 5'11" / 200 lbs AAA HR +8%BB -5% Svc 1.453 · Ctrl thru 2030 peak 3.0 · 2030

wRC+†vL 2769vR 71

AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .310 / .373

PA300

HR8

SB8

K%24

BB%9

xwOBA.314

Barrel%7.8%

MLB%45%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

51↗59

PWR

42↗56

SPD

60→60

FLD

45↗50

EYE

57↗61

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.1peak

2030

Barrel%

477.8

xwOBA

550.314

Avg EV

4688.8

Whiff%

600.100

Chase%

770.265

Speed

7928.6

Bat Spd

4370.6

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.453 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$16M	+$15M
2028	Arb-1	$5M	+2.5	$21M	+$16M
2029	Arb-2	$11M	+2.9	$25M	+$15M
2030	Arb-3	$17M	+3.0	$27M	+$10M
Totals		$33M		$89M	+$56M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	A	2 teams	90	74	20	5	0	1	15	16	0	4	1	.270	.393	.378	.772	.108	.328	18	17	.339	118	+2	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.5
2023	19	A+	4 teams	581	514	141	25	9	11	64	154	2	24	9	.274	.357	.422	.779	.148	.371	27	11	.338	117	+11	+1	+0	+2	+16	3.1
2024	20	AAA	2 teams	554	479	111	28	2	14	67	152	4	12	1	.232	.331	.386	.717	.154	.306	27	12	.318	102	+1	+2	+1	+2	+16	2.2
2025	21	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	649	586	141	19	3	16	56	140	6	17	11	.241	.313	.365	.678	.125	.290	22	9	.305	91	-6	-1	-5	+2	+18	0.9
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	22	AAA	Norfolk Tides	47	45	7	2	0	0	1	16	1	1	0	.156	.191	.200	.391	.044	.241	34	2	.165	-15	-6	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.5
ROS	22	MLB	BAL	253	228	52	8	2	6	21	64	2	7	1	.228	.299	.360	.658	.132	.287	25	8	.296	85	-4	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.4
TOT	22	MLB	BAL	300	273	59	10	2	6	22	80	3	8	1	.216	.282	.333	.615	.117	.282	27	7	.276	69	-10	+1	-1	+1	+8	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 63%	BAL	686	613	144	22	4	19	61	155	7	18	3	.235	.311	.377	.688	.142	.281	23	9	.308	94	-5	+2	-3	+2	+19	1.7
2028	24	MLB 80%	BAL	698	622	148	22	4	21	64	155	7	19	3	.238	.316	.387	.703	.150	.283	22	9	.317	101	+0	+3	-3	+2	+20	2.3
2029	25	MLB 94%	BAL	703	624	151	22	4	23	66	155	7	19	3	.242	.321	.401	.722	.159	.284	22	9	.323	105	+4	+3	-3	+3	+20	2.7
2030	26	MLB	BAL	703	623	151	22	4	23	67	155	7	19	3	.242	.323	.401	.724	.159	.285	22	10	.325	107	+5	+3	-3	+3	+20	2.8
2031	27	MLB	BAL	698	618	150	22	4	23	68	154	7	19	3	.243	.325	.403	.728	.160	.285	22	10	.325	107	+5	+3	-3	+2	+20	2.8
2032	28	MLB	BAL	690	611	147	21	4	23	67	154	7	17	2	.241	.323	.401	.724	.160	.284	22	10	.324	106	+5	+3	-4	+2	+20	2.6
2033	29	MLB	BAL	678	599	144	21	4	22	67	153	7	16	2	.240	.324	.399	.723	.159	.283	23	10	.321	104	+3	+2	-4	+2	+19	2.3
2034	30	MLB	BAL	666	588	140	20	4	21	66	153	7	14	1	.238	.322	.393	.715	.155	.282	23	10	.318	102	+1	+2	-5	+2	+19	2.0
2035	31	MLB	BAL	651	576	134	19	3	20	64	152	6	11	0	.233	.316	.380	.696	.148	.281	23	10	.315	99	-1	+2	-6	+2	+18	1.7
2036	32	MLB	BAL	632	559	128	18	3	19	62	151	6	8	0	.229	.313	.374	.686	.145	.279	24	10	.310	95	-3	+2	-6	+2	+18	1.2
2037	33	MLB	BAL	602	533	120	17	3	17	59	148	5	5	0	.225	.308	.364	.672	.139	.278	25	10	.304	91	-6	+1	-7	+2	+17	0.7
2038	34	MLB	BAL	553	489	109	15	3	15	54	140	5	3	0	.223	.307	.358	.664	.135	.276	25	10	.298	86	-9	+1	-7	+2	+16	0.2
2039	35	MLB	BAL	495	441	95	13	2	13	47	131	4	2	0	.215	.297	.342	.639	.127	.274	26	9	.290	80	-11	+0	-8	+2	+14	-0.3
2040	36	MLB	BAL	433	385	80	11	2	10	41	119	4	1	0	.208	.291	.325	.615	.117	.271	27	9	.281	73	-13	+0	-8	+2	+12	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			11015	9762	2306	350	64	317	1076	2601	100	235	43	.236	.318	.383	.701	.146	.289	24	10	.314	98	-20	+30	-76	+39	+312	29.1
/ 162G	—			650	576	137	21	4	19	63	153	6	14	3	.238	.319	.387	.707	.149	.290	24	10	.314	98	-1	+2	-4	+2	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	57	42	10	4	0	0	15	10	0	1	1	.238	.439	.333	.772	.095	.312	18	26	.369	141	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	33	22	9	1	0	1	10	2	0	3	0	.409	.594	.591	1.185	.182	.400	6	30	.505	245	+5	+1	—	—	+1	0.7
2023	19	AAA	Norfolk Tides	91	75	20	4	0	2	16	17	0	1	1	.267	.396	.400	.796	.133	.321	19	18	.364	137	+4	-0	—	—	+3	0.6
2023	19	AA	Bowie Baysox	164	142	48	9	3	3	21	34	0	3	1	.338	.423	.507	.930	.169	.425	21	13	.410	172	+13	+0	—	—	+5	1.8
2023	19	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	259	207	65	11	5	5	50	54	2	17	7	.314	.452	.488	.940	.174	.405	21	19	.420	180	+23	+1	—	—	+7	3.2
2023	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	67	53	21	6	1	2	14	13	0	3	0	.396	.522	.660	1.183	.264	.500	19	21	.509	248	+11	+1	—	—	+2	1.4
2024	20	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	208	190	36	4	2	5	15	69	2	4	0	.189	.256	.311	.567	.121	.265	33	7	.256	54	-11	+1	+1	+2	+6	-0.1
2024	20	AAA	Norfolk Tides	346	266	72	25	0	10	75	77	2	8	1	.271	.434	.477	.912	.207	.341	22	22	.405	168	+27	+1	—	—	+10	3.8
2025	21	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	649	586	142	21	3	17	56	140	6	17	11	.242	.315	.375	.690	.133	.291	22	9	.311	96	-3	-1	-5	+2	+18	1.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			857	776	178	25	5	22	71	209	8	21	11	.229	.301	.360	.660	.130	.285	24	8	.298	86	-13	-0	-4	+4	+24	1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jackson Holliday (OGILVIE)	22	51→59	42→56	60	61	.236/.310/.373	.138	.293	8	8	24%	9%	94	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Vaughn Grissom 2023 · MLB	22	54→63	47→50	54→55	47	.269/.331/.403	.135	.312	15	19	19%	6%	110	+2.4	.261/.324/.385	.124	.312	12	15	19%	7%	102	+1.9	.252/.317/.372	.120	.303	11	13	20%	7%	93	+0.9
●Colby Rasmus 2009 · AAA	22	43→53	51→60	53→50	48	.221/.289/.380	.159	.263	19	16	24%	8%	87	+0.8	.243/.312/.416	.173	.291	20	10	23%	9%	105	+2.1	.237/.305/.454	.217	.309	28	3	32%	8%	109	+1.8
●CJ Abrams 2023 · MLB	22	52→53	42→55	53→60	40	.251/.293/.358	.107	.302	10	22	20%	4%	82	+0.5	.248/.303/.407	.159	.290	16	32	20%	5%	99	+1.7	.248/.310/.428	.179	.287	18	35	20%	6%	104	+2.1
✕Gavin Lux 2020 · MLB	22	50→58	49→50	50	47	.250/.307/.403	.153	.310	16	12	25%	8%	99	+1.7	.249/.315/.391	.142	.314	15	9	24%	9%	100	+1.7	.263/.338/.380	.117	.334	8	5	22%	10%	103	+1.6
✕Ryan Kalish 2011 · MLB	23	49→51	47→50	56→55	47	.244/.303/.381	.137	.299	14	21	23%	8%	92	+1.2	.232/.287/.349	.117	.296	12	22	24%	7%	77	+0.1	.216/.264/.311	.095	.291	8	20	27%	6%	53	-0.9
●Jeremy Hermida 2007 · MLB	23	50→59	50→55	53→50	56	.250/.343/.413	.163	.304	17	14	23%	12%	118	+3.0	.264/.342/.431	.167	.324	18	8	23%	10%	121	+3.2	.266/.345/.430	.165	.323	19	5	22%	10%	117	+2.5
✕Akil Baddoo 2022 · MLB	23	48→51	49→55	56→55	48	.237/.308/.393	.156	.316	16	20	29%	9%	98	+1.6	.226/.305/.368	.142	.297	14	23	27%	10%	90	+1.0	.214/.295/.378	.164	.277	17	28	28%	10%	85	+0.5
●Andrés Giménez 2022 · MLB	23	47→57	47→50	55	39	.235/.289/.376	.141	.297	15	24	26%	4%	85	+0.7	.263/.326/.414	.151	.311	16	24	20%	5%	111	+2.5	.263/.325/.396	.133	.304	14	27	18%	5%	101	+1.8
●Rickie Weeks Jr. 2006 · MLB	23	49→58	53→55	59→55	49	.246/.337/.431	.184	.302	20	19	24%	9%	120	+3.1	.251/.352/.417	.166	.310	16	23	23%	10%	123	+3.3	.253/.353/.435	.182	.308	20	13	23%	10%	124	+2.8
●Gregory Polanco 2015 · MLB	23	51→55	47→60	54→55	48	.253/.306/.393	.140	.293	14	25	19%	7%	96	+1.5	.255/.315/.405	.150	.299	15	21	19%	8%	103	+1.9	.250/.322/.455	.204	.278	24	14	19%	9%	113	+2.3
●Corey Patterson 2002 · MLB	22	44→54	49→55	51→60	43	.227/.285/.370	.144	.270	18	13	24%	6%	82	+0.5	.257/.296/.415	.158	.312	17	19	23%	4%	98	+1.6	.265/.306/.437	.171	.323	18	24	23%	5%	103	+1.8
●Domonic Brown 2011 · MLB	23	52→55	49→55	52→55	45	.257/.310/.412	.155	.316	16	18	24%	7%	103	+1.9	.252/.314/.409	.157	.300	17	14	21%	8%	105	+2.1	.252/.317/.416	.164	.286	19	11	19%	8%	101	+1.4
●Brian Goodwin 2013 · AA	22	46→52	47→60	48→50	48	.228/.298/.366	.138	.291	14	13	26%	8%	87	+0.8	.216/.287/.334	.118	.296	10	14	28%	8%	74	-0.1	.243/.309/.437	.195	.311	23	11	28%	8%	105	+1.3
✕Alek Thomas 2022 · AAA	22	50→52	48→50	50	44	.246/.306/.398	.152	.324	13	12	27%	7%	98	+1.6	.240/.291/.381	.141	.289	14	11	21%	6%	87	+0.8	.235/.283/.368	.133	.274	14	11	19%	6%	78	+0.1
●Leo Heras 2013 · AAA	23	54→64	48→50	52→55	47	.268/.315/.403	.135	.294	16	18	15%	6%	103	+1.9	.237/.300/.368	.131	.289	13	18	22%	8%	87	+0.8	.244/.318/.385	.141	.314	13	18	25%	9%	97	+0.9
●Cedric Mullins 2019 · MLB	24	46→56	48→55	53→60	44	.233/.276/.379	.145	.272	14	15	20%	5%	80	+0.4	.229/.283/.363	.134	.269	14	22	20%	6%	79	+0.3	.254/.323/.426	.171	.293	19	27	19%	8%	108	+2.3
●Andrew Benintendi 2017 · MLB	23	51→61	47→55	51→50	49	.252/.303/.403	.152	.280	12	13	15%	6%	98	+1.6	.262/.335/.421	.159	.300	16	16	17%	9%	116	+2.8	.263/.345/.422	.159	.306	16	16	19%	10%	116	+3.1
●Trent Grisham 2020 · MLB	23	42→48	50→60	54→55	50	.214/.297/.367	.153	.276	17	14	28%	10%	87	+0.8	.228/.315/.400	.172	.282	19	14	25%	10%	102	+1.9	.210/.323/.396	.186	.251	24	8	26%	13%	101	+1.3
★Austin Meadows 2017 · AAA	22	50→56	46→65	55	44	.246/.290/.384	.138	.300	11	16	22%	6%	87	+0.8	.248/.295/.411	.163	.290	17	17	20%	6%	97	+1.5	.255/.336/.495	.240	.289	30	8	23%	10%	129	+2.7
●David Dahl 2017 · MLB	23	51→58	48→60	55	40	.253/.293/.404	.151	.329	14	18	27%	5%	94	+1.3	.254/.300/.424	.170	.331	19	13	28%	6%	102	+1.9	.256/.303/.430	.173	.320	19	7	25%	6%	100	+1.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)