Jackson Holliday

Jackson Holliday2B Baltimore Orioles

Age 22 L/R 5'11" / 200 lbs MLB HR +8% Svc 1.453 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION209 act + 455 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 4378vR 92

AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .310 / .371

PA455

HR13

SB17

K%26

BB%10

BABIP286

ISO144

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 59 / POW 56

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT59

Whiff%

669.3%

xwOBA

470.305

POWER56

Barrel%

518.3

Avg EV

4488.7

Bat Spd

4370.6

EYE61

Chase%

9023.6%

SPEED60

Sprint

7328.4

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 857 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

225

632

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

247

312

▶▶R

ISO

107

138

▶▶R

BABIP

222

305

▶▶R

26.2%

23.7%

▶R

BB%

6.7%

8.7%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.453 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.4	$1M	+$1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.0	$15M	+$14M
2028	Arb-1	$4M	+2.4	$16M	+$13M
2029	Arb-2	$7M	+2.6	$17M	+$11M
2030	Arb-3	$11M	+2.7	$16M	+$9M
Totals		$23M		$65M	+$49M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	A	2 teams	—	90	74	20	5	0	1	15	16	0	4	1	270	393	378	772	108	328	18	17	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A	2 teams	—	90	64	19	5	0	1	25	12	0	4	1	297	494	422	916	125	346	13	28	419	179	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+	4 teams	—	581	510	138	24	10	10	68	159	2	24	9	271	359	416	774	145	374	27	12	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+	4 teams	—	581	477	154	30	9	12	101	118	2	24	9	323	443	499	942	176	408	20	17	419	178	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AAA	2 teams	—	554	479	110	27	2	14	67	150	4	12	1	230	329	382	711	152	301	27	12	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AAA	2 teams	—	554	456	108	29	2	15	90	146	4	12	1	237	367	408	775	171	311	26	16	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	649	586	138	20	3	16	56	140	6	17	11	235	309	362	670	126	283	22	9	298	86	-10	-1	-5	+2	+18	0.5
2025	21	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	649	586	142	21	3	17	56	140	6	17	11	242	315	375	690	133	291	22	9	311	96	-3	-1	-5	+2	+18	1.3
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	MLB	BAL	—	209	182	35	5	2	6	24	61	1	5	0	192	290	341	631	148	248	29	11	279	72	-7	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.1
YTD	22	MLB	BAL	—	209	179	36	5	2	6	27	57	1	5	0	201	309	352	661	151	254	27	13	299	87	-3	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.5
ROS	22	MLB	BAL	100%	455	404	92	13	3	13	45	117	3	17	3	228	310	371	681	144	282	26	10	303	90	-5	+2	-3	+2	+13	0.8
ROS	22	MLB	BAL	100%	455	404	93	13	3	13	45	117	3	17	3	230	312	374	686	144	286	26	10	302	89	-6	+2	-3	+2	+13	0.8
FULL	22	MLB	BAL	—	664	586	128	18	5	19	69	178	4	22	3	218	305	363	668	145	277	27	10	294	84	-12	+3	-3	+2	+19	0.9
TOT	22	MLB	BAL	—	664	586	127	18	5	19	69	178	4	22	3	217	303	362	665	145	275	27	10	295	84	-12	+3	-3	+2	+19	0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	BAL	92%	648	573	133	18	4	20	65	162	5	24	4	232	316	382	698	150	286	25	10	314	98	-1	+3	-5	+2	+18	1.8
2028	24	MLB	BAL	92%	648	572	136	18	4	22	66	160	5	24	4	238	322	399	721	161	288	25	10	320	103	+2	+3	-5	+2	+18	2.2
2029	25	MLB	BAL	92%	648	571	137	18	4	23	67	159	5	24	4	240	325	406	731	166	288	25	10	324	106	+5	+3	-5	+2	+18	2.4
2030	26	MLB	BAL	92%	648	571	136	18	4	23	67	158	5	24	4	238	323	405	728	166	288	24	10	325	107	+5	+3	-5	+2	+18	2.5
2031	27	MLB	BAL	92%	643	565	135	18	4	23	68	158	5	24	4	239	326	407	733	168	287	25	11	325	107	+5	+3	-5	+2	+18	2.5
2032	28	MLB	BAL	92%	635	558	132	17	4	22	67	157	5	23	4	237	324	400	723	163	287	25	11	324	106	+5	+3	-5	+2	+18	2.3
2033	29	MLB	BAL	92%	623	547	129	17	3	22	66	155	5	21	3	236	324	399	722	163	286	25	11	323	105	+4	+3	-6	+2	+18	2.1
2034	30	MLB	BAL	92%	611	537	125	16	3	21	65	153	4	18	3	233	320	391	711	158	284	25	11	320	103	+2	+2	-7	+2	+17	1.7
2035	31	MLB	BAL	92%	596	524	120	15	3	20	63	151	4	15	2	229	316	384	700	155	282	25	11	315	99	-0	+2	-7	+2	+17	1.4
2036	32	MLB	BAL	92%	577	507	115	14	3	19	61	149	4	12	2	227	315	379	693	152	278	26	11	309	95	-3	+2	-8	+2	+16	0.9
2037	33	MLB	BAL	92%	547	480	106	12	3	17	58	144	4	9	1	221	310	365	675	144	273	26	11	302	89	-7	+1	-8	+2	+15	0.4
2027	23	MLB	BAL	92%	596	527	124	17	3	19	60	149	4	22	4	235	318	387	705	152	291	25	10	313	98	-1	+3	-4	+2	+17	1.6
2028	24	MLB	BAL	92%	596	526	126	17	3	21	61	147	4	22	4	240	323	403	726	163	292	25	10	320	103	+2	+3	-4	+2	+17	2.0
2029	25	MLB	BAL	92%	596	526	127	17	3	22	61	146	4	22	4	241	325	411	736	169	292	24	10	324	106	+4	+3	-4	+2	+17	2.2
2030	26	MLB	BAL	92%	596	525	127	17	3	22	62	146	4	22	4	242	327	411	738	170	292	24	10	325	107	+5	+3	-4	+2	+17	2.2
2031	27	MLB	BAL	92%	592	521	126	17	3	22	62	145	4	22	4	242	327	413	740	171	292	24	10	325	107	+5	+3	-4	+2	+17	2.2
2032	28	MLB	BAL	92%	584	513	124	17	3	21	62	144	4	21	3	242	328	409	738	168	291	25	11	324	106	+4	+3	-5	+2	+17	2.1
2033	29	MLB	BAL	92%	573	503	121	16	3	21	61	142	4	19	3	241	327	410	737	169	290	25	11	322	105	+3	+3	-6	+2	+16	1.9
2034	30	MLB	BAL	92%	562	493	117	15	3	20	60	141	4	17	3	237	325	402	727	164	289	25	11	319	102	+2	+2	-6	+2	+16	1.6
2035	31	MLB	BAL	92%	548	481	113	15	3	19	58	139	4	14	2	235	322	397	719	162	286	25	11	315	99	-1	+2	-7	+2	+16	1.2
2036	32	MLB	BAL	92%	531	466	107	13	3	18	56	137	4	11	2	230	317	386	704	157	282	26	11	309	95	-3	+1	-7	+2	+15	0.8
2037	33	MLB	BAL	92%	503	442	98	12	2	16	53	132	3	8	1	222	309	367	676	145	277	26	11	302	89	-6	+1	-8	+2	+14	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	7589	6703	1581	211	40	256	772	1894	54	238	48	236	320	394	714	158	289	25	10	315	99	-7	+28	-68	+28	+215	20.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	135	18	3	22	66	162	5	20	4	235	319	392	711	157	288	25	10	315	99	-1	+2	-6	+2	+18	1.7
Career	—			—	9153	8058	1902	270	57	286	964	2288	66	292	60	236	323	390	713	154	292	25	11	318	102	+16	+34	-73	+33	+259	27.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	135	19	4	20	68	162	5	21	4	236	322	388	711	152	293	25	10	318	102	+1	+3	-5	+2	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	57	42	10	4	0	0	15	10	0	1	1	238	439	333	772	95	312	18	26	369	141	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	33	22	9	1	0	1	10	2	0	3	0	409	594	591	1.185	182	400	6	30	505	245	+5	+1	—	—	+1	0.7
2023	19	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	91	75	20	4	0	2	16	17	0	1	1	267	396	400	796	133	321	19	18	364	137	+4	-0	—	—	+3	0.6
2023	19	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	164	142	48	9	3	3	21	34	0	3	1	338	423	507	930	169	425	21	13	410	172	+13	+0	—	—	+5	1.8
2023	19	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	259	207	65	11	5	5	50	54	2	17	7	314	452	488	940	174	405	21	19	420	180	+23	+1	—	—	+7	3.2
2023	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	67	53	21	6	1	2	14	13	0	3	0	396	522	660	1.183	264	500	19	21	509	248	+11	+1	—	—	+2	1.4
2024	20	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	208	190	36	4	2	5	15	69	2	4	0	189	256	311	567	121	265	33	7	256	54	-11	+1	+1	+2	+6	-0.1
2024	20	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	346	266	72	25	0	10	75	77	2	8	1	271	434	477	912	207	341	22	22	405	168	+27	+1	—	—	+10	3.8
2025	21	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	649	586	142	21	3	17	56	140	6	17	11	242	315	375	690	133	291	22	9	311	96	-3	-1	-5	+2	+18	1.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	857	776	178	25	5	22	71	209	8	21	11	229	301	360	660	130	285	24	8	298	86	-13	-0	-4	+4	+24	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	11	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	24.9
	/162	664	20	20	263	315	427	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#2B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	12	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
	/162	664	19	34	243	321	402	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 14 projected seasons	14	7,941	259	257	234	315	390	+28	-20	27.5	22.6
	/162	664	22	21	234	315	390	+2.4	-1.7	2.3	pk7: 18
#3Rickie Weeks Jr.last yr '17 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,098 PA	13	5,098	161	132	246	344	420	+12	-40	23.3	22.4
	/162	664	21	17	246	344	420	+1.5	-5.2	3.0	pk7: 22
#4Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	10	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
	/162	664	17	18	260	333	416	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21
#5Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	11	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
	/162	664	20	11	251	330	422	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
#6Chris Younglast yr '18 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA	13	5,316	191	142	235	314	428	-0	+3	21.3	20.7
	/162	664	24	18	235	314	428	-0.0	+0.4	2.7	pk7: 20

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jackson Holliday (OGILVIE)	22	51→59	42→56	60	61	217/303/362	145	275	19	22	27%	10%	84	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Andrés Giménez 2022 · MLB	23	48→58	48→50	55	40	239/294/384	145	300	15	23	26%	5%	90	+1.0	262/324/407	145	309	15	24	20%	5%	108	+2.3	261/323/392	131	302	14	27	18%	5%	100	+1.7
✕Ryan Kalish 2011 · MLB	23	49→51	48→50	57→55	47	244/304/388	144	295	15	23	23%	8%	94	+1.3	227/282/337	110	293	11	21	25%	7%	72	-0.2	212/256/305	93	285	8	20	28%	5%	48	-1.0
●Colby Rasmus 2009 · AAA	22	42→52	51→60	53→50	48	221/289/380	159	263	19	17	24%	8%	87	+0.8	243/312/414	171	292	20	10	23%	9%	105	+2.1	241/308/459	219	314	28	3	32%	8%	113	+2.0
●Brice Turang 2023 · AAA	23	50→60	43→50	56→60	47	243/300/350	107	307	11	23	24%	8%	82	+0.5	250/312/363	113	307	11	31	21%	8%	91	+1.1	270/345/412	142	330	14	32	21%	10%	114	+2.5
●Akil Baddoo 2022 · MLB	23	51→54	51→55	57→55	49	251/321/420	170	331	17	20	28%	10%	110	+2.4	230/309/382	152	301	16	23	27%	10%	95	+1.4	222/303/408	186	279	21	28	27%	10%	96	+1.1
✕Brett Lawrie 2012 · MLB	22	52→55	50→55	58→55	45	256/308/428	172	309	15	19	22%	6%	106	+2.2	258/313/410	152	294	16	14	18%	6%	104	+2.0	256/313/399	143	285	16	10	16%	6%	99	+1.2
●Gregory Polanco 2015 · MLB	23	50→55	47→60	54→55	48	251/306/392	141	293	15	25	20%	7%	96	+1.5	255/315/407	152	299	15	20	19%	8%	104	+2.0	254/325/453	200	285	22	14	19%	9%	113	+2.3
★Gunnar Henderson 2023 · MLB	22	49→55	50→60	56→55	48	239/320/405	166	335	17	15	32%	10%	105	+2.1	256/333/456	200	316	22	16	25%	10%	124	+3.4	260/338/463	204	308	23	18	23%	10%	124	+3.8
●Ozzie Albies 2019 · MLB	22	52→59	49→60	56→55	45	258/303/418	160	295	16	17	19%	6%	102	+1.8	273/324/472	199	305	22	14	18%	7%	125	+3.5	275/329/488	213	303	24	15	18%	7%	127	+3.0
●Leo Heras 2013 · AAA	23	53→63	48→55	53→55	47	264/312/407	143	290	16	18	16%	6%	102	+1.9	233/295/363	130	290	11	18	23%	8%	84	+0.6	250/325/413	162	319	16	18	25%	9%	107	+1.3
●Michael Harris II 2023 · MLB	22	55→58	52→60	58→55	42	272/318/450	179	339	19	24	25%	6%	117	+2.9	272/311/443	171	319	20	19	21%	5%	112	+2.6	267/300/430	164	305	20	18	20%	4%	102	+1.7
●Trent Grisham 2020 · MLB	23	42→50	51→60	53→55	51	219/303/381	162	278	19	13	28%	10%	92	+1.2	235/321/419	184	289	21	14	25%	10%	110	+2.4	221/330/419	198	244	27	6	22%	13%	112	+1.6
✕Anthony Volpe 2023 · AAA	22	42→49	54→55	60→55	48	220/301/407	187	268	20	29	26%	8%	99	+1.7	219/284/372	153	274	16	24	25%	8%	82	+0.5	216/279/363	147	269	15	22	25%	7%	76	+0.1
●Domonic Brown 2011 · MLB	23	52→54	49→55	53→55	45	258/311/413	155	323	16	18	25%	7%	104	+2.0	250/313/403	153	296	16	13	20%	8%	102	+1.8	252/316/413	162	285	18	11	18%	8%	101	+1.4
●Corey Patterson 2002 · MLB	22	44→54	49→55	52→60	43	226/283/367	141	269	18	14	24%	6%	81	+0.4	259/298/420	161	315	17	20	23%	5%	100	+1.7	265/306/437	171	323	18	24	23%	5%	103	+1.8
✕Brett Wisely 2023 · AAA	24	47→51	49→50	55	46	237/301/388	152	305	17	24	28%	8%	94	+1.3	230/296/357	127	295	12	15	25%	8%	83	+0.6	231/293/342	111	293	10	15	23%	7%	76	+0.0
●Kolten Wong 2015 · MLB	24	52→61	45→55	58→55	45	255/297/379	124	287	13	23	17%	5%	89	+0.9	259/326/391	132	295	12	16	16%	7%	105	+2.1	274/349/416	141	313	13	20	16%	8%	116	+2.0
●B.J. Upton 2006 · MLB	21	53→60	48→60	57→60	48	261/324/412	151	330	14	29	24%	8%	109	+2.4	263/342/401	138	337	14	34	24%	10%	114	+2.7	265/358/417	152	341	15	35	24%	12%	120	+3.2
●Josh Lowe 2022 · AAA	24	47→57	53→55	58→60	45	239/303/408	169	318	21	25	31%	8%	100	+1.7	251/307/423	172	352	19	28	32%	7%	105	+2.1	252/308/426	174	353	19	33	32%	7%	102	+1.5
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	40→50	51→55	59→55	46	204/291/370	166	288	19	24	34%	10%	85	+0.7	246/324/427	181	328	21	21	29%	9%	113	+2.6	236/320/399	164	307	19	21	28%	10%	103	+1.6