Garrett Mitchell
CF Milwaukee Brewers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AAAMIL | 52 | .318/.412/.636 | 4 | 4 | 141 | — | .283/.353/.522 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLBMIL | 224 | .255/.342/.469 | 8 | 11 | 128 | 1.6 | |
| 2025 | 26 | MLBMIL | 78 | .206/.289/.294 | 0 | 3 | 68 | 0.3 | |
| 2026 | 27 | MLBMIL | 531 | .262/.355/.416 | 11 | 14 | 119 | 2.6 | |
| 2027PROJ | 28 | MLBMIL | 447 | .249/.337/.425 | 14 | 28 | 116 | 2.8 | |
| 2028PROJ | 29 | MLBMIL | 434 | .246/.334/.417 | 13 | 24 | 113 | 2.3 | |
| 2029PROJ | 30 | MLBMIL | 418 | .241/.329/.407 | 12 | 20 | 110 | 2.0 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 148 | 129 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 41 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 186 | 291 | 264 | 554 | 78 | 247 | 28 | 12 | 263 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 120 | 92 | 33 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 30 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 359 | 508 | 620 | 1.128 | 261 | 491 | 25 | 23 | 488 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 68 | 61 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 311 | 373 | 459 | 832 | 148 | 548 | 41 | 9 | 366 | 135 | +3 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +1 | 0.8 |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 85 | 73 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 342 | 435 | 466 | 901 | 123 | 444 | 21 | 12 | 406 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 187 | 166 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 52 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 277 | 355 | 428 | 783 | 151 | 378 | 28 | 9 | 349 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | ACL Brewers Blue | — | 17 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 83 | 353 | 167 | 520 | 83 | 125 | 24 | 24 | 283 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 73 | 65 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 246 | 319 | 446 | 766 | 200 | 351 | 36 | 10 | 334 | 112 | +1 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 35 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 188 | 257 | 250 | 507 | 62 | 231 | 17 | 6 | 236 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 224 | 196 | 50 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 71 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 255 | 342 | 469 | 812 | 214 | 359 | 32 | 11 | 355 | 128 | +7 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +5 | 1.6 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 52 | 44 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 318 | 412 | 636 | 1.048 | 318 | 323 | 19 | 12 | 443 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 78 | 68 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 206 | 289 | 294 | 584 | 88 | 318 | 32 | 9 | 263 | 68 | -3 | +1 | +3 | +0 | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 531 | 461 | 121 | 30 | 4 | 11 | 60 | 167 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 262 | 355 | 416 | 771 | 154 | 387 | 31 | 11 | 344 | 119 | +12 | -1 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 2.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 974 | 851 | 220 | 51 | 9 | 24 | 105 | 317 | 8 | 37 | 15 | 259 | 345 | 424 | 770 | 166 | 382 | 33 | 11 | 341 | 117 | +20 | +1 | +7 | +5 | +21 | 5.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 148 | 135 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 51 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 163 | 236 | 215 | 451 | 52 | 249 | 34 | 8 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 120 | 101 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 40 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 277 | 392 | 446 | 837 | 168 | 424 | 33 | 16 | 369 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 68 | 61 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 311 | 373 | 459 | 832 | 148 | 548 | 41 | 9 | 368 | 135 | +3 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +1 | 0.8 |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 85 | 76 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 329 | 400 | 447 | 847 | 118 | 447 | 26 | 8 | 362 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 187 | 171 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 65 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 234 | 296 | 357 | 652 | 123 | 354 | 35 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers Blue | — | 17 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 71 | 235 | 143 | 378 | 71 | 83 | 35 | 12 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 73 | 65 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 246 | 319 | 446 | 766 | 200 | 351 | 36 | 10 | 333 | 112 | +1 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 35 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 182 | 229 | 242 | 471 | 61 | 237 | 20 | 3 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 224 | 196 | 51 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 71 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 260 | 347 | 480 | 826 | 219 | 359 | 32 | 11 | 357 | 128 | +7 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +5 | 1.6 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 52 | 46 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 283 | 353 | 522 | 875 | 239 | 303 | 23 | 8 | 377 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 78 | 68 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 206 | 289 | 294 | 584 | 88 | 318 | 32 | 9 | 269 | 68 | -3 | +1 | +3 | +0 | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 531 | 464 | 122 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 57 | 167 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 263 | 351 | 414 | 765 | 151 | 387 | 31 | 11 | 344 | 119 | +12 | -1 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 2.6 |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 268 | 235 | 50 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 92 | 1 | 17 | 2 | 213 | 310 | 323 | 633 | 111 | 321 | 34 | 12 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 268 | 221 | 57 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 46 | 71 | 1 | 17 | 2 | 258 | 388 | 412 | 800 | 154 | 345 | 26 | 17 | 364 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 357 | 322 | 85 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 121 | 7 | 25 | 1 | 264 | 332 | 388 | 721 | 124 | 403 | 34 | 7 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 357 | 312 | 91 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 102 | 7 | 25 | 1 | 292 | 377 | 433 | 810 | 141 | 412 | 29 | 10 | 363 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 108 | 98 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 224 | 290 | 378 | 667 | 153 | 302 | 31 | 7 | 296 | 87 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 108 | 97 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 227 | 299 | 381 | 681 | 155 | 302 | 30 | 8 | 302 | 87 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 276 | 242 | 64 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 83 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 264 | 348 | 488 | 836 | 223 | 356 | 30 | 11 | 361 | 130 | +10 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +6 | 2.0 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 276 | 240 | 64 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 81 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 267 | 355 | 500 | 855 | 233 | 351 | 29 | 11 | 372 | 130 | +10 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +6 | 2.0 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 78 | 68 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 206 | 289 | 294 | 584 | 88 | 318 | 32 | 9 | 269 | 68 | -3 | +1 | +3 | +0 | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB RAW | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 78 | 68 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 206 | 289 | 294 | 584 | 88 | 318 | 32 | 9 | 263 | 68 | -3 | +1 | +3 | +0 | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 531 | 464 | 122 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 57 | 167 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 263 | 351 | 414 | 765 | 151 | 389 | 31 | 11 | 344 | 119 | +12 | -1 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 2.6 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB RAW | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 531 | 461 | 121 | 30 | 4 | 11 | 60 | 167 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 262 | 355 | 416 | 771 | 154 | 387 | 31 | 11 | 344 | 119 | +12 | -1 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 2.6 |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 268 | 233 | 50 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 92 | 1 | 17 | 2 | 215 | 310 | 326 | 636 | 112 | 327 | 34 | 12 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 357 | 321 | 85 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 121 | 7 | 25 | 1 | 265 | 332 | 389 | 722 | 125 | 400 | 34 | 7 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 108 | 98 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 224 | 290 | 378 | 667 | 153 | 314 | 31 | 7 | 296 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 276 | 243 | 64 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 83 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 263 | 348 | 486 | 834 | 222 | 348 | 30 | 11 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 78 | 70 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 200 | 289 | 286 | 575 | 86 | 318 | 32 | 9 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 531 | 463 | 122 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 57 | 167 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 263 | 351 | 415 | 766 | 151 | 387 | 31 | 11 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 276 | 243 | 64 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 83 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 263 | 348 | 486 | 834 | 222 | 348 | 30 | 11 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 78 | 70 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 200 | 289 | 286 | 575 | 86 | 318 | 32 | 9 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 531 | 463 | 122 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 57 | 167 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 263 | 351 | 415 | 766 | 151 | 387 | 31 | 11 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIL | 100% | 451 | 395 | 99 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 48 | 132 | 5 | 29 | 5 | 252 | 340 | 427 | 767 | 174 | 340 | 29 | 11 | 340 | 116 | +9 | +4 | +3 | +2 | +10 | 3.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIL | 100% | 447 | 392 | 98 | 21 | 3 | 14 | 47 | 130 | 5 | 28 | 5 | 249 | 337 | 425 | 762 | 176 | 334 | 29 | 11 | 338 | 116 | +9 | +4 | +3 | +2 | +10 | 2.8 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIL | 100% | 434 | 380 | 94 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 46 | 128 | 5 | 24 | 4 | 249 | 336 | 419 | 755 | 170 | 337 | 29 | 11 | 336 | 113 | +7 | +3 | +2 | +2 | +9 | 2.3 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIL | 100% | 418 | 367 | 90 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 44 | 124 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 244 | 332 | 410 | 741 | 165 | 333 | 30 | 11 | 330 | 110 | +5 | +3 | +1 | +1 | +9 | 2.0 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB MLE | MIL | 100% | 399 | 351 | 85 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 41 | 120 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 239 | 326 | 398 | 724 | 159 | 328 | 30 | 10 | 323 | 105 | +2 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +9 | 1.4 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB MLE | MIL | 100% | 376 | 331 | 76 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 115 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 232 | 318 | 383 | 701 | 151 | 321 | 31 | 10 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 0.9 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB MLE | MIL | 100% | 340 | 300 | 68 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 106 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 224 | 310 | 366 | 676 | 142 | 315 | 31 | 10 | 304 | 92 | -3 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB MLE | MIL | 96% | 281 | 249 | 54 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 90 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 215 | 300 | 346 | 645 | 131 | 306 | 32 | 10 | 291 | 83 | -6 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIL | 100% | 434 | 380 | 93 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 128 | 5 | 24 | 4 | 246 | 334 | 417 | 751 | 171 | 331 | 29 | 11 | 334 | 113 | +7 | +3 | +2 | +2 | +9 | 2.3 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIL | 100% | 418 | 367 | 89 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 44 | 124 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 241 | 329 | 407 | 737 | 166 | 327 | 30 | 11 | 328 | 110 | +5 | +3 | +1 | +1 | +9 | 2.0 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB CTX | MIL | 100% | 399 | 351 | 83 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 41 | 120 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 236 | 323 | 396 | 719 | 160 | 322 | 30 | 10 | 321 | 105 | +2 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +9 | 1.4 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB CTX | MIL | 100% | 376 | 331 | 76 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 115 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 229 | 316 | 381 | 696 | 152 | 315 | 31 | 10 | 312 | 99 | -1 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 0.9 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB CTX | MIL | 100% | 340 | 300 | 67 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 106 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 222 | 308 | 364 | 671 | 142 | 309 | 31 | 10 | 302 | 92 | -3 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB CTX | MIL | 96% | 268 | 237 | 51 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 86 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 212 | 297 | 344 | 641 | 131 | 300 | 32 | 10 | 290 | 83 | -5 | -0 | -3 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3209 | 2817 | 679 | 148 | 24 | 84 | 336 | 996 | 29 | 110 | 29 | 241 | 328 | 400 | 728 | 159 | 340 | 31 | 10 | 324 | 105 | +24 | +10 | +5 | +13 | +70 | 12.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 571 | 138 | 30 | 5 | 17 | 68 | 202 | 6 | 22 | 6 | 242 | 329 | 401 | 730 | 159 | 341 | 31 | 10 | 324 | 105 | +5 | +2 | +1 | +3 | +14 | 2.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4313 | 3799 | 922 | 200 | 32 | 107 | 438 | 1334 | 44 | 180 | 38 | 243 | 328 | 397 | 725 | 154 | 343 | 31 | 10 | 323 | 105 | +33 | +14 | +9 | +14 | +79 | 15.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 573 | 139 | 30 | 5 | 16 | 66 | 201 | 7 | 27 | 6 | 243 | 329 | 396 | 725 | 154 | 343 | 31 | 10 | 323 | 105 | +6 | +3 | +2 | +3 | +14 | 2.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAANashville Sounds · 52 PAwOBA .439 → .377 (−62)K% 19.2% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.23% | ÷0.983 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.54% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷0.951 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 23.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 4.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.76% | ÷0.909 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 9.22% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 90, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .439 → .377; ISO .318 → .257; BABIP .323 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAANashville Sounds · 35 PAwOBA .231 → .220 (−11)K% 17.1% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.14% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.71% | ÷0.995 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.86% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.23% | ÷0.953 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 19.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.971 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 4.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.905 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 96, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .231 → .220; ISO .062 → .068; BABIP .231 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AABiloxi Shuckers · 187 PAwOBA .342 → .287 (−55)K% 27.8% → 34.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.81% | ÷0.976 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.56% | ÷1.027 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 5.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.14% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.19% | ÷1.060 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 25.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.89% | ÷0.973 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 7.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.75% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 1.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.51% | ÷1.012 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.81% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 112, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 95, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .342 → .287; ISO .151 → .129; BABIP .378 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAANashville Sounds · 85 PAwOBA .396 → .362 (−34)K% 21.2% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.18% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 8.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.35% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 2.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.73% | ÷0.996 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 33.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.91% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 10.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.82% | ÷0.946 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 1.41% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 99, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .396 → .362; ISO .123 → .108; BABIP .444 → .447. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Brewers Blue · 17 PAwOBA .278 → .179 (−99)K% 23.5% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.53% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 33.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.53% | ÷0.963 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 14.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.88% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 4.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.024 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.030 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 8.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.922 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 105, 2B 106, 3B 84, K 101, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .278 → .179; ISO .083 → .056; BABIP .125 → .083. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AABiloxi Shuckers · 148 PAwOBA .257 → .217 (−39)K% 27.7% → 34.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.70% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.16% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.027 | 8.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷0.993 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 23.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.124 | ×0.870 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.41% | ÷0.929 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 2.94% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 125, 3B 100, K 96, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .257 → .217; ISO .078 → .063; BABIP .247 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 120 PAwOBA .475 → .369 (−105)K% 25.0% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.001 | ×1.350 | — | — | 33.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.50% | ÷0.988 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 16.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.87% | ÷0.982 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 31.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.06% | ÷1.132 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 5.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.956 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.998 | 2.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.06% | ÷1.155 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 5.79% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 96, 2B 126, 3B 91, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .475 → .369; ISO .261 → .188; BABIP .491 → .424. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).