Garrett MitchellCF Milwaukee Brewers
Age 27 L/R 6'2" / 229 lbs MLB HR -4% Svc 3.233 · Ctrl thru 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION310 act + 206 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 79116vR 130
AVG/OBP/SLG.266 / .352 / .465
PA206
HR7
SB9
K%30
BB%11
BABIP367
ISO199
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +17.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+17BATRUN: +2.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +2.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+3FLDPOS: +1.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +14.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+15REPTotal WAR: +3.70+3.7WAR
0.01.42.91.52.32.4+$28M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT45
Whiff%
906.8%
xwOBA
700.331
POWER50
Barrel%
7211.5
Avg EV
7991.1
Bat Spd
9076.5
EYE60
Chase%
9011.5%
SPEED60
Sprint
9029.7
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 363 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
61
302
wRC+
72
120
▶▶R
wOBA
279
342
▶▶R
ISO
055
199
▶▶R
BABIP
402
358
L
K%
31.1%
33.8%
L
BB%
6.6%
12.9%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2022
Service   3.233 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2028
First FA Year   2029
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$0.4M+1.5$12M+$11M
2027Arb-2$8M+2.3$17M+$10M
2028Arb-3$13M+2.4$16M+$6M
Totals $21M $45M +$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202122 AA2 teams 268236 49426 31951 172 208302318620 110319 3512 280 73
202122 AA2 teams 268221 57628 46711 172 258388412800 154345 2617 364 137
202223 AA4 teams 357322 811726 261277 251 252321373694 121395 367 307 93
202223 AA4 teams 357312 911927 361027 251 292377433810 141412 2910 363 136
202324 MLB2 teams 10898 22223 8341 41 224290378667 153306 317 299 87 -2 +0 +0 +0 +3 0.3
202324 MLB2 teams 10897 22223 9321 41 227299381681 155302 308 302 89 -1 +0 +0 +0 +3 0.3
202425 MLB2 teams 276242 6614313 29832 155 273355517872 244361 3011 369 141 +13 +1 +2 +1 +8 2.5
202425 MLB2 teams 276240 6414312 31812 155 267355500855 233351 2911 372 143 +13 +1 +2 +1 +8 2.5
202526 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 7868 14410 7251 30 206289294584 88318 329 264 60 -4 +1 +3 +0 +2 0.3
202526 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 7868 14410 7251 30 206289294584 88318 329 263 59 -4 +1 +3 +0 +2 0.3
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD27 MLBMIL 310270 742038 361022 65 274364459823 185410 3312 357 132 +11 -1 +1 +1 +9 2.1
YTD27 MLBMIL 310270 742038 361022 65 274364459823 185410 3312 363 136 +13 -1 +1 +1 +9 2.3
ROS27 MLBMIL 100% 206180 481127 22632 93 266352465817 199359 3011 351 127 +6 +1 +2 +1 +6 1.6
ROS27 MLBMIL 100% 207181 471126 22642 93 260346442788 182356 3111 342 120 +5 +1 +2 +1 +6 1.4
FULL27 MLBMIL 517451 12131514 581664 158 268357452809 184392 3211 351 127 +16 -0 +3 +2 +15 3.6
TOT27 MLBMIL 516450 12231515 581654 158 271359462820 191392 3211 355 130 +17 -0 +3 +2 +15 3.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728 MLBMIL 100% 305267 7016310 33942 124 262348457805 195357 3111 349 125 +9 +1 +3 +1 +9 2.2
202829 MLBMIL 100% 331290 7417310 361032 124 255341438779 183356 3111 347 124 +9 +1 +2 +1 +9 2.3
202930 MLBMIL 100% 347303 7818311 381093 124 257346446791 188355 3111 344 122 +9 +1 +2 +1 +10 2.2
203031 MLBMIL 100% 332290 7317310 371052 103 252340434775 183353 3211 340 119 +7 +1 +1 +1 +9 1.9
203132 MLBMIL 100% 313274 671539 341002 82 245332420752 175348 3211 334 114 +5 +1 -0 +1 +9 1.6
203233 MLBMIL 100% 283248 591328 31922 52 238327403731 165343 3311 327 108 +3 +0 -1 +1 +8 1.1
203334 MLBMIL 96% 240210 481026 26802 31 229319381700 152335 3311 317 101 +0 +0 -2 +1 +7 0.6
202728 MLBMIL 100% 305267 681639 33942 124 255341438779 184354 3111 340 118 +6 +1 +3 +1 +9 2.0
202829 MLBMIL 100% 331290 7417310 361032 124 255341438779 183353 3111 338 117 +6 +1 +2 +1 +9 2.0
202930 MLBMIL 100% 347303 7617310 381093 124 251340426766 175352 3111 336 115 +6 +1 +2 +1 +10 2.0
203031 MLBMIL 100% 332290 7216310 371052 103 248337428765 179349 3211 332 112 +5 +1 +1 +1 +9 1.7
203132 MLBMIL 100% 313274 671539 341002 82 245332420752 175345 3211 326 108 +3 +1 -0 +1 +9 1.4
203233 MLBMIL 100% 283248 591328 31922 52 238327403731 165340 3311 319 102 +1 +0 -1 +1 +8 0.9
203334 MLBMIL 96% 229201 461026 25761 31 229317388705 159332 3311 309 95 -1 +0 -2 +1 +6 0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 27902444 6081362681 30189318 9428 249336425761 176355 3211 332 112 +38 +8 +12 +11 +79 15.1
/ 162G 650569 14232619 702084 227 250335427762 178357 3211 332 112 +9 +2 +3 +3 +18 3.5
Career 34443028 7491583199 358111029 13532 247333418751 171354 3210 331 111 +43 +14 +11 +12 +98 18.3
/ 162G 650572 14230619 682095 256 248333421755 173354 3210 331 111 +8 +3 +2 +2 +18 3.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202122 AABiloxi Shuckers 148129 24103 18411 51 186291264554 78247 2812 263 59 -7 +1 +4 -0.2
202122 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers 12092 33525 28300 121 3595086201.128 261491 2523 488 232 +18 +2 +3 2.4
202223 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 6861 19302 6280 80 311373459832 148548 419 366 138 +3 +2 +1 +1 +2 0.9
202223 AAANashville Sounds 8573 25601 10182 90 342435466901 123444 2112 406 169 +7 +2 +2 1.1
202223 AABiloxi Shuckers 187166 46924 16524 71 277355428783 151378 289 349 125 +5 +1 +5 1.2
202223 ROKACL Brewers Blue 1712 1100 441 10 83353167520 83125 2424 283 75 -0 +0 +0 0.0
202324 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 7365 16213 7260 11 246319446766 200351 3610 334 114 +1 -0 +0 +0 +2 0.4
202324 AAANashville Sounds 3532 6010 261 30 188257250507 62231 176 236 39 -2 +1 +1 -0.1
202425 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 224196 501238 25711 114 255342469812 214359 3211 355 130 +8 +1 +2 +1 +6 1.8
202425 AAANashville Sounds 5244 14204 6101 41 3184126361.048 318323 1912 443 197 +6 +0 +1 0.8
202526 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 7868 14410 7251 30 206289294584 88318 329 263 59 -4 +1 +3 +0 +2 0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 443390 9921513 451502 235 254334433767 179376 3410 337 116 +8 +3 +6 +3 +13 3.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Kolten Wonglast yr '23
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA
114,28386120256330390+15+2118.417.8
/1626641319+2.4+3.22.8pk7: 17
#2Gary Matthews Jr.last yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,572 PA
114,57210893258331407-5-1016.217.2
/1626641614-0.7-1.42.3pk7: 18
#3Mark DeRosalast yr '13
career totals — 13 seasons, 4,068 PA
134,06810023269340413-3-516.417.0
/162664164-0.5-0.82.7pk7: 18
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons
133,378101121252336433+5+1618.316.3
/1626642024+0.9+3.13.6pk7: 14
#4Josh Harrisonlast yr '23
career totals — 13 seasons, 4,347 PA
134,3477391270316396+14+1615.215.4
/1626641114+2.2+2.42.3pk7: 16
#5Cameron Maybinlast yr '20
ASSS
career totals — 13 seasons, 4,182 PA
134,18272182254322375+9+613.112.8
/1626641129+1.4+1.02.1pk7: 13
#6Jake Lamblast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 2,650 PA
102,6509618235326427+7+312.012.1
/162664245+1.7+0.83.0pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Garrett Mitchell (OGILVIE) 27 45 50 60 60 271/359/462 191392 1515 32% 11% 130 +3.7
Jake Fraley
2022 · MLB
27 47→50 55→60 53→55 54 242/338/431 188308 2321 28% 12% 120 +3.1 249/333/411 162299 2021 23% 10% 113 +2.6 255/330/403148300172620%9%106+1.3
Cavan Biggio
2021 · MLB
26 48 55→60 54→50 61 241/355/432 191304 2116 26% 14% 128 +3.6 221/324/365 144292 159 27% 12% 98 +1.6 208/324/33712828113828%12%91+0.6
Steven Souza Jr.
2016 · MLB
27 50→56 55→60 51→55 49 251/329/442 190328 2321 30% 10% 120 +3.1 240/323/432 192320 2414 31% 10% 115 +2.7 236/324/431196310251330%10%112+2.0
Carlos González
2014 · MLB
28 50→56 55→60 57→55 51 257/328/448 191302 2223 23% 9% 120 +3.1 238/299/426 188277 249 23% 8% 102 +1.9 235/301/40216727220221%8%91+1.1
Mark Mathias
2023 · MLB
28 52→47 54→50 54→50 46 259/331/436 177346 2221 30% 8% 118 +3.0 248/329/373 125332 1316 27% 10% 101 +1.8 251/346/3257534261425%12%95+0.6
Randy Arozarena
2023 · MLB
28 53→57 54→55 52→55 47 264/336/457 193330 2124 26% 8% 126 +3.5 246/343/429 183306 2121 25% 10% 122 +3.3 238/346/421183296222226%11%119+3.4
Nate McLouth
2009 · MLB
27 52→55 55→60 58→60 55 264/344/467 203284 2122 16% 9% 132 +4.0 240/332/406 166266 1817 17% 11% 111 +2.5 225/326/370145252161617%12%95+1.1
Jason Kipnis
2014 · MLB
27 53→63 48→55 57→55 55 262/340/413 151311 1524 20% 10% 116 +2.8 268/340/409 141321 1218 19% 9% 115 +2.7 267/336/438171315151119%8%117+2.8
B.J. Upton
2012 · MLB
27 47→57 53→60 58→60 53 240/323/421 181297 1934 26% 11% 111 +2.5 224/296/392 168290 2024 28% 9% 92 +1.2 226/293/371145300162529%8%81+0.3
Trevor Story
2021 · MLB
28 48→49 56→60 56→55 48 250/318/447 198303 2324 26% 9% 116 +2.8 225/298/401 176280 2021 26% 8% 96 +1.5 241/292/393153309203028%6%88+0.5
Cedric Mullins
2022 · MLB
27 50→54 53→55 57→60 49 255/318/432 178288 2025 20% 8% 112 +2.6 244/310/405 161282 1827 20% 8% 102 +1.8 231/299/380150267173120%8%88+0.8
Rickie Weeks Jr.
2010 · MLB
27 49→58 53→55 55 56 246/347/434 187291 2018 22% 11% 124 +3.4 265/354/462 197320 2311 23% 10% 134 +4.1 259/353/453194315221124%10%129+4.0
Justin Ruggiano
2009 · MLB
27 52→62 50→60 54→55 40 252/308/411 159351 1723 32% 6% 102 +1.9 230/283/364 134322 1522 32% 6% 79 +0.3 267/330/463195326232224%8%122+2.2
James Outman
2023 · MLB
26 46→52 56→60 54→50 42 229/305/430 201334 2413 37% 8% 107 +2.2 230/316/424 194327 2415 35% 10% 110 +2.4 220/310/410190313241635%10%102+1.6
Jake McCarthy
2023 · MLB
26 51→59 49→50 62→60 46 251/315/408 156318 1533 25% 7% 105 +2.1 257/320/382 125308 1132 19% 7% 99 +1.7 263/323/401137306112717%6%102+1.3
Cade Marlowe
2023 · AAA
26 47→52 55 57→60 41 238/304/426 188335 2325 35% 8% 105 +2.1 215/285/351 136323 1434 35% 8% 77 +0.1 213/285/33011731694233%8%70-0.2
Harrison Bader
2021 · MLB
27 46→56 53→55 54→55 49 233/326/413 180306 2016 29% 10% 111 +2.5 246/305/401 155293 1720 22% 7% 98 +1.6 242/304/399157300201625%6%96+0.9
Eric Hinske
2004 · MLB
26 52→55 53→60 53→50 57 258/343/450 193303 1813 21% 11% 127 +3.6 254/328/418 164301 1710 20% 9% 112 +2.6 255/328/41516030217921%9%107+1.8
Preston Wilson
2001 · MLB
27 51→53 59→60 54→55 46 262/329/476 214326 2728 28% 8% 128 +3.7 264/331/478 214310 2721 23% 8% 130 +3.8 265/335/486221302281822%8%130+3.7
Michael Saunders
2015 · MLB
28 51→52 51→55 50→55 53 254/331/427 173313 1714 24% 10% 115 +2.8 243/318/415 172311 186 26% 10% 108 +2.3 218/289/38316527418227%8%83+0.4