Eduardo Quintero
OF Great Lakes Loons| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | A/ROK2 orgs | 345 | .285/.421/.394 | 3 | 32 | 69 | — | .208/.310/.282 |
| 2025 | 19 | A+/A2 orgs | 541 | .293/.422/.508 | 19 | 47 | 102 | — | .231/.335/.390 |
| 2026 | 20 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 555 | .295/.438/.466 | 12 | 49 | 112 | — | .256/.369/.400 |
| 2027PROJ11% MLB | 21 | MLBLAD | 22 | .227/.333/.364 | 1 | 1 | 103 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ53% MLB | 22 | MLBLAD | 275 | .234/.339/.389 | 8 | 12 | 110 | 1.0 | |
| 2029PROJ68% MLB | 23 | MLBLAD | 371 | .239/.343/.404 | 11 | 16 | 115 | 1.6 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | — | 212 | 170 | 61 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 34 | 7 | 22 | 4 | 359 | 478 | 618 | 1.096 | 259 | 418 | 16 | 15 | 468 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 112 | 92 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 196 | 333 | 283 | 616 | 87 | 257 | 20 | 16 | 290 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | — | 233 | 185 | 61 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 41 | 45 | 5 | 29 | 3 | 330 | 463 | 449 | 912 | 119 | 417 | 19 | 18 | 411 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | — | 146 | 116 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 35 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 259 | 394 | 440 | 834 | 181 | 312 | 24 | 16 | 366 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 395 | 317 | 97 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 65 | 88 | 6 | 35 | 11 | 306 | 432 | 533 | 965 | 227 | 376 | 22 | 16 | 418 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | — | 501 | 398 | 123 | 28 | 5 | 12 | 88 | 102 | 12 | 44 | 7 | 309 | 448 | 495 | 943 | 186 | 387 | 20 | 18 | 419 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 54 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 167 | 352 | 190 | 542 | 24 | 250 | 26 | 20 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL LAD Bautista | — | 212 | 179 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 42 | 7 | 22 | 4 | 212 | 325 | 341 | 666 | 128 | 255 | 20 | 11 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 112 | 96 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 31 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 156 | 270 | 229 | 499 | 73 | 234 | 28 | 12 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 233 | 202 | 47 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 66 | 5 | 29 | 3 | 233 | 329 | 307 | 636 | 74 | 320 | 28 | 10 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 146 | 122 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 45 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 213 | 324 | 352 | 676 | 139 | 278 | 31 | 12 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 395 | 337 | 80 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 46 | 121 | 6 | 35 | 11 | 237 | 339 | 404 | 743 | 166 | 318 | 31 | 12 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 501 | 422 | 108 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 64 | 130 | 12 | 44 | 7 | 256 | 369 | 400 | 770 | 145 | 338 | 26 | 13 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL LAD Bautista | — | 212 | 179 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 42 | 7 | 22 | 4 | 212 | 325 | 341 | 666 | 128 | 261 | 20 | 11 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL LAD Bautista | — | 212 | 170 | 61 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 34 | 7 | 22 | 4 | 359 | 478 | 618 | 1.096 | 259 | 418 | 16 | 15 | 468 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 345 | 298 | 62 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 97 | 6 | 32 | 6 | 208 | 310 | 282 | 592 | 74 | 299 | 28 | 11 | 271 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 345 | 277 | 79 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 59 | 67 | 6 | 32 | 6 | 285 | 421 | 394 | 815 | 108 | 364 | 19 | 17 | 372 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 541 | 459 | 107 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 63 | 167 | 9 | 47 | 13 | 233 | 337 | 390 | 727 | 157 | 321 | 31 | 12 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 541 | 433 | 127 | 22 | 7 | 19 | 88 | 123 | 9 | 47 | 13 | 293 | 422 | 508 | 930 | 215 | 359 | 23 | 16 | 404 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 555 | 468 | 120 | 25 | 5 | 11 | 71 | 144 | 13 | 49 | 7 | 256 | 370 | 402 | 771 | 145 | 345 | 26 | 13 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 555 | 440 | 130 | 29 | 5 | 12 | 99 | 116 | 13 | 49 | 7 | 295 | 438 | 466 | 904 | 170 | 375 | 21 | 18 | 405 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL LAD Bautista | — | 212 | 180 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 42 | 7 | 22 | 4 | 211 | 325 | 339 | 664 | 128 | 255 | 20 | 11 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 345 | 298 | 62 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 97 | 6 | 32 | 6 | 208 | 310 | 282 | 592 | 74 | 292 | 28 | 11 | 271 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 541 | 464 | 107 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 63 | 167 | 9 | 47 | 13 | 231 | 337 | 386 | 723 | 155 | 307 | 31 | 12 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 555 | 466 | 120 | 25 | 5 | 11 | 71 | 144 | 13 | 49 | 7 | 258 | 370 | 403 | 773 | 146 | 338 | 26 | 13 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 345 | 298 | 62 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 97 | 6 | 32 | 6 | 208 | 310 | 282 | 592 | 74 | 292 | 28 | 11 | 271 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 541 | 464 | 107 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 63 | 167 | 9 | 47 | 13 | 231 | 337 | 386 | 723 | 155 | 307 | 31 | 12 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 555 | 466 | 120 | 25 | 5 | 11 | 71 | 144 | 13 | 49 | 7 | 258 | 370 | 403 | 773 | 146 | 338 | 26 | 13 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | LAD | 11% | 611 | 522 | 121 | 23 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 154 | 10 | 28 | 6 | 231 | 337 | 370 | 707 | 139 | 298 | 25 | 12 | 320 | 103 | +2 | +3 | +1 | -4 | +13 | 0.7 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB CTX | LAD | 11% | 22 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 333 | 364 | 697 | 137 | 291 | 27 | 14 | 316 | 103 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | LAD | 53% | 517 | 442 | 105 | 19 | 4 | 14 | 62 | 126 | 8 | 23 | 5 | 238 | 343 | 394 | 737 | 156 | 299 | 24 | 12 | 331 | 110 | +6 | +3 | +1 | -3 | +11 | 1.8 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | LAD | 68% | 547 | 468 | 113 | 21 | 4 | 16 | 66 | 131 | 8 | 23 | 5 | 243 | 346 | 409 | 755 | 166 | 299 | 24 | 12 | 338 | 115 | +10 | +3 | +1 | -3 | +12 | 2.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | LAD | 71% | 560 | 479 | 118 | 21 | 4 | 18 | 67 | 132 | 9 | 23 | 5 | 246 | 348 | 418 | 766 | 172 | 300 | 24 | 12 | 342 | 118 | +12 | +3 | +1 | -3 | +12 | 2.5 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | LAD | 72% | 578 | 496 | 122 | 22 | 4 | 19 | 68 | 135 | 9 | 23 | 5 | 247 | 348 | 421 | 769 | 175 | 299 | 23 | 12 | 343 | 118 | +13 | +3 | +1 | -3 | +13 | 2.6 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | LAD | 73% | 590 | 507 | 125 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 69 | 138 | 9 | 22 | 5 | 247 | 347 | 422 | 768 | 175 | 299 | 23 | 12 | 342 | 118 | +13 | +2 | +1 | -4 | +13 | 2.6 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | LAD | 72% | 590 | 507 | 125 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 69 | 139 | 9 | 21 | 4 | 246 | 346 | 419 | 765 | 173 | 298 | 24 | 12 | 341 | 117 | +12 | +3 | +1 | -4 | +13 | 2.6 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | LAD | 71% | 582 | 501 | 121 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 68 | 138 | 8 | 18 | 4 | 244 | 344 | 414 | 758 | 170 | 297 | 24 | 12 | 338 | 115 | +10 | +2 | +1 | -3 | +13 | 2.3 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAD | 69% | 565 | 486 | 117 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 66 | 136 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 241 | 341 | 407 | 748 | 166 | 296 | 24 | 12 | 335 | 113 | +8 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +12 | 1.9 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | LAD | 68% | 552 | 476 | 113 | 20 | 4 | 16 | 64 | 134 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 238 | 337 | 399 | 736 | 161 | 294 | 24 | 12 | 330 | 109 | +6 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +12 | 1.5 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB MLE | LAD | 68% | 534 | 461 | 107 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 61 | 132 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 233 | 332 | 388 | 721 | 155 | 291 | 25 | 11 | 324 | 105 | +3 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +12 | 1.1 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB MLE | LAD | 67% | 511 | 442 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 58 | 129 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 228 | 326 | 375 | 701 | 147 | 286 | 25 | 11 | 316 | 100 | +0 | +0 | -2 | -3 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB MLE | LAD | 67% | 475 | 413 | 92 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 122 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 221 | 319 | 359 | 678 | 138 | 281 | 26 | 11 | 307 | 94 | -3 | -2 | -3 | -3 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | LAD | 53% | 275 | 236 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 67 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 234 | 339 | 389 | 728 | 155 | 291 | 24 | 12 | 328 | 110 | +3 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +6 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | LAD | 68% | 371 | 317 | 75 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 89 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 239 | 343 | 404 | 747 | 165 | 292 | 24 | 12 | 335 | 115 | +7 | +2 | +1 | -2 | +8 | 1.6 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | LAD | 71% | 398 | 341 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 48 | 94 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 242 | 345 | 413 | 758 | 171 | 292 | 24 | 12 | 339 | 118 | +8 | +2 | +1 | -2 | +9 | 1.8 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | LAD | 72% | 418 | 360 | 87 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 49 | 98 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 243 | 345 | 417 | 762 | 174 | 292 | 23 | 12 | 340 | 118 | +9 | +2 | +1 | -3 | +9 | 1.9 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | LAD | 73% | 430 | 371 | 90 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 50 | 100 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 243 | 344 | 417 | 761 | 174 | 292 | 23 | 12 | 339 | 118 | +9 | +2 | +1 | -3 | +9 | 1.9 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | LAD | 72% | 423 | 364 | 88 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 50 | 99 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 242 | 343 | 414 | 757 | 173 | 291 | 23 | 12 | 338 | 117 | +9 | +2 | +1 | -3 | +9 | 1.8 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | LAD | 71% | 414 | 356 | 86 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 49 | 98 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 240 | 341 | 409 | 750 | 170 | 290 | 24 | 12 | 335 | 115 | +7 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +9 | 1.6 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAD | 69% | 391 | 337 | 79 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 94 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 237 | 338 | 403 | 741 | 166 | 289 | 24 | 12 | 332 | 113 | +6 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 1.3 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | LAD | 68% | 377 | 325 | 76 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 44 | 92 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 234 | 334 | 395 | 729 | 161 | 287 | 24 | 12 | 327 | 109 | +4 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +8 | 1.1 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB CTX | LAD | 68% | 361 | 311 | 72 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 42 | 89 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 230 | 329 | 384 | 714 | 155 | 284 | 25 | 12 | 321 | 105 | +2 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB CTX | LAD | 67% | 344 | 298 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 87 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 224 | 323 | 371 | 694 | 147 | 280 | 25 | 11 | 313 | 100 | +0 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB CTX | LAD | 67% | 319 | 276 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 82 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 218 | 316 | 355 | 671 | 138 | 275 | 26 | 11 | 304 | 94 | -2 | -1 | -2 | -2 | +7 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 4521 | 3892 | 919 | 158 | 28 | 141 | 531 | 1089 | 63 | 130 | 31 | 236 | 337 | 400 | 737 | 164 | 290 | 24 | 12 | 330 | 109 | +63 | +14 | +1 | -27 | +98 | 15.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 560 | 132 | 23 | 4 | 20 | 76 | 157 | 9 | 19 | 4 | 236 | 336 | 398 | 735 | 162 | 290 | 24 | 12 | 330 | 109 | +9 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +14 | 2.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 8464 | 7262 | 1728 | 312 | 65 | 232 | 991 | 2095 | 132 | 350 | 80 | 238 | 340 | 395 | 735 | 157 | 300 | 25 | 12 | 329 | 109 | +91 | +20 | +1 | -41 | +148 | 22.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 558 | 133 | 24 | 5 | 18 | 76 | 161 | 10 | 27 | 6 | 238 | 340 | 396 | 736 | 158 | 300 | 25 | 12 | 329 | 109 | +9 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +14 | 2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Great Lakes Loons · 501 PAwOBA .411 → .339 (−72)K% 20.4% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.36% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 25.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 12.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.40% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 1.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.964 | ×1.027 | 23.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.964 | ×1.027 | 7.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.964 | ×1.027 | 1.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.33% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .411 → .339; ISO .186 → .153; BABIP .387 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 395 PAwOBA .413 → .324 (−89)K% 22.3% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.28% | ÷0.987 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.20% | ÷0.981 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 11.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.76% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 23.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.86% | ÷1.054 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 6.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.62% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 2.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.11% | ÷1.055 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 4.77% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 101, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .413 → .324; ISO .227 → .172; BABIP .376 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Great Lakes Loons · 146 PAwOBA .368 → .305 (−62)K% 24.0% → 31.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.97% | ÷0.980 | ×1.270 | — | — | 31.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.75% | ÷1.023 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 11.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.05% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 1.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 22.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.94% | ÷0.927 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 4.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.17% | ÷0.992 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 5.19% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .368 → .305; ISO .181 → .152; BABIP .312 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Dodgers · 233 PAwOBA .405 → .288 (−117)K% 19.3% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.31% | ÷0.984 | ×1.440 | — | — | 28.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.60% | ÷1.070 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 10.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.15% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.29% | ÷1.011 | ×0.820 | ×0.960 | ×1.008 | 26.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.720 | ×0.960 | ×1.008 | 3.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.14% | ÷0.967 | ×0.720 | ×0.960 | ×1.008 | 1.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.14% | ÷0.942 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.79% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 102, 3B 93, K 97, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .405 → .288; ISO .119 → .090; BABIP .417 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 112 PAwOBA .284 → .235 (−50)K% 19.6% → 27.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.64% | ÷0.964 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.07% | ÷0.943 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 12.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.89% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.14% | ÷1.072 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | ×1.045 | 15.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷0.973 | ×0.830 | ×1.005 | ×1.045 | 5.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.86% | ÷0.973 | ×0.910 | ×1.005 | ×1.045 | 2.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.072 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 114, 2B 95, 3B 95, K 93, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .284 → .235; ISO .087 → .077; BABIP .257 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL LAD Bautista · 212 PAwOBA .463 → .295 (−167)K% 16.0% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.04% | ÷0.999 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.09% | ÷0.980 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 10.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.30% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 2.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 16.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.03% | ÷0.990 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 6.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.15% | ÷0.969 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 3.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.68% | ÷1.319 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 1.32% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 101, 2B 98, 3B 94, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .463 → .295; ISO .259 → .138; BABIP .418 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .