Jett WilliamsSS Nashville Sounds
Age 22 R/R 5'7" / 179 lbs AAA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
2026 ROS PROJECTION358 act + 238 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†77
AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .296 / .347
PA238
HR5
SB12
K%26
BB%10
BABIP270
ISO138
MLB%14%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -21.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-22BATRUN: +4.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+5RUNFLD: -0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +6.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+6POSREP: +16.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+17REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
0.01.42.90.01.62.02.32.42.4+$58M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 49
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT49
scouting grade only
POWER49
scouting grade only
EYE65
scouting grade only
SPEED61
scouting grade only
DEFENSE50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2026
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSPre-Arb$0.3M+0.0$0.1M+$0.0M (cut)
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.6$12M+$11M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.0$14M+$13M
2029Arb-1$5M+2.3$15M+$11M
2030Arb-2$8M+2.4$14M+$9M
2031Arb-3$12M+2.4$13M+$6M
Totals $27M $68M +$50M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202218 ROKFCL Mets — 4134 7111 293 60 206308382690 176231 225 262 59 — — — — — —
202218 ROKFCL Mets — 4132 8111 463 60 250385438822 188259 1510 354 129 — — — — — —
202319 A3 teams — 534435 791748 7917515 457 182327294621 113276 3315 288 79 — — — — — —
202319 A3 teams — 534410 10822813 10411815 457 263429451880 188335 2219 394 160 — — — — — —
202420 AA4 teams — 249213 391210 27728 124 183298249547 66275 2911 256 54 — — — — — —
202420 AA4 teams — 249201 441132 39658 124 219367333700 114311 2616 328 109 — — — — — —
202521 AA2 teams — 572508 11631714 541644 349 228307400707 171304 299 304 91 — — — — — —
202521 AA2 teams — 572486 12734717 761314 349 261366465831 204321 2313 365 137 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 AAAMIL — 358318 62748 33934 214 195279318596 123245 269 265 61 -16 +3 +0 +4 +10 0.1
YTD22 AAAMIL — 358304 71959 47784 214 234344385729 151282 2213 328 109 +4 +3 +0 +4 +10 2.1
ROS22 AAAMIL 14% 238210 44835 23623 123 209296347642 138266 2610 286 77 -6 +1 -0 +3 +7 0.4
ROS22 MLBMIL 14% 3330 6101 390 20 200273333606 133264 279 276 70 -1 +0 -0 +0 +1 0.1
FULL22 AAAMIL — 391348 68849 361024 234 195278319597 124246 269 266 62 -17 +3 -0 +4 +11 0.1
TOT22 AAAMIL — 596528 10615713 561557 337 201286329615 129255 269 274 68 -22 +4 -0 +6 +17 0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBMIL 54% 562498 10820614 531436 256 217300365665 149272 259 298 86 -9 +3 -0 +6 +16 1.6
202824 MLBMIL 68% 577511 11421616 551436 266 223306382688 159275 2510 305 92 -5 +3 -0 +6 +16 2.0
202925 MLBMIL 74% 594526 11922617 571466 276 226309388697 162276 2510 309 95 -3 +3 -0 +6 +17 2.3
203026 MLBMIL 77% 605535 12122618 581487 276 226310391701 164276 2410 311 96 -3 +3 -0 +6 +17 2.4
203127 MLBMIL 76% 608537 12222618 591497 276 227312391703 164276 2510 311 96 -2 +3 -0 +7 +17 2.4
203228 MLBMIL 76% 604533 12022617 591497 266 225311385695 159276 2510 310 96 -3 +3 -1 +6 +17 2.3
203329 MLBMIL 74% 596526 11821617 591486 245 224310384694 160275 2510 309 94 -4 +3 -2 +6 +17 2.1
203430 MLBMIL 73% 586517 11421516 581476 215 221306373680 153274 2510 306 92 -5 +2 -3 +6 +17 1.8
203531 MLBMIL 73% 572504 11020515 571466 184 218305367672 149272 2610 302 90 -7 +2 -3 +6 +16 1.5
203632 MLBMIL 72% 554488 10519514 551436 143 215302361663 145269 2610 297 86 -9 +2 -4 +6 +16 1.0
203733 MLBMIL 72% 524463 9717513 511385 102 210295352647 143265 2610 291 81 -12 +1 -5 +6 +15 0.6
203834 MLBMIL 68% 476422 8514411 461295 72 201288332619 130260 2710 282 74 -14 +1 -5 +5 +13 0.0
203935 MLBMIL 63% 421373 731249 411174 41 196282322604 126254 2810 273 67 -16 +0 -6 +5 +12 -0.5
202723 MLBMIL 54% 304269 581137 29773 143 216299357656 141270 2510 287 78 -7 +2 -0 +3 +9 0.6
202824 MLBMIL 68% 390346 7614410 37974 174 220302370672 150273 259 295 84 -7 +2 -0 +4 +11 1.0
202925 MLBMIL 74% 438388 8616412 421085 204 222306376682 155274 2510 299 87 -7 +2 -0 +5 +12 1.3
203026 MLBMIL 77% 464411 9317513 451145 215 226310387697 161274 2510 300 88 -6 +2 -0 +5 +13 1.4
203127 MLBMIL 76% 464411 9117413 451145 215 221306377683 156274 2510 301 88 -6 +2 -0 +5 +13 1.4
203228 MLBMIL 76% 460407 9016413 451145 204 221306376682 155274 2510 300 88 -6 +2 -1 +5 +13 1.3
203329 MLBMIL 74% 443391 8616412 441105 174 220307373680 153273 2510 298 86 -7 +2 -1 +5 +13 1.1
203430 MLBMIL 73% 430379 8415412 431085 153 222309377686 156272 2510 296 85 -8 +2 -2 +5 +12 0.9
203531 MLBMIL 73% 416368 7914411 411064 133 215300364664 149270 2510 292 82 -9 +1 -2 +4 +12 0.7
203632 MLBMIL 72% 401354 7513410 401044 102 212299356655 144267 2610 287 78 -10 +1 -3 +4 +11 0.4
203733 MLBMIL 72% 378334 691239 371004 82 207293341635 135263 2610 281 73 -11 +1 -3 +4 +11 0.1
203834 MLBMIL 68% 322285 56937 31873 51 196282323605 126258 2710 273 67 -12 +1 -4 +3 +9 -0.2
203935 MLBMIL 63% 266236 45726 26742 31 191277314590 123252 2810 264 60 -12 +0 -4 +3 +8 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 52094609 99417848136 508132254 18641 216301364665 148270 2510 292 81 -110 +21 -21 +56 +148 9.5
/ 162G— — 650575 12422617 631657 235 216301363664 148270 2510 292 81 -14 +3 -3 +7 +18 1.2
Career— — 89137833 169132286223 8932328110 36581 216305364669 148275 2610 299 87 -131 +41 -31 +96 +253 23.2
/ 162G— — 650571 12223616 651708 276 214303359662 145272 2610 299 87 -10 +3 -2 +7 +18 1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202218 ROKFCL Mets — 4132 8111 463 60 250385438822 188259 1510 354 129 +1 +1 — — +1 0.4
202319 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies — 2622 5100 2101 10 227320273593 45385 388 271 65 -1 +0 — — +1 -0.0
202319 A+Brooklyn Cyclones — 162127 38927 33322 121 2994515671.018 268352 2020 444 198 +18 +2 — — +5 2.5
202319 ASt. Lucie Mets — 346261 651266 697612 326 249427410837 161322 2220 380 149 +19 +4 — — +10 3.4
202420 AAASyracuse Mets — 3022 8400 870 10 3645335451.079 182533 2327 478 224 +4 +0 — — +1 0.5
202420 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies — 10187 15410 10254 22 172287241529 69242 2510 255 53 -5 -0 — — +3 -0.3
202420 ASt. Lucie Mets — 1712 3000 431 21 250471250721 333 1824 367 139 +1 +0 — — +0 0.1
202420 INTLScottsdale Scorpions — 10180 18322 17303 71 225380388768 163327 3017 349 125 +3 +1 — — +3 0.7
202521 AAASyracuse Mets — 151134 28527 14351 22 209289433721 224223 239 314 98 -0 -0 — — +4 0.4
202521 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies — 421352 9929510 62963 327 281393477871 196357 2315 383 151 +24 +4 — — +12 4.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1B.J. Uptonlast yr '16
career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA
125,858164300243321402+14+1724.524.5
/1626641934+1.6+2.02.8pk7: 25
#2Rougned Odorlast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA
104,42417870230288422+16+3215.215.0
/1626642711+2.4+4.92.3pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
95,220140184220301372+52+315.113.4
/1626641823+6.6+0.31.9pk7: 12
#3Khalil Greenelast yr '09
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA
72,8359025245302422+30+1413.013.0
/162664216+7.1+3.23.0pk7: 13
#4Drew Stubbslast yr '16
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA
83,14392161244314394+3+1612.212.3
/1626641934+0.6+3.32.6pk7: 12
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jett Williams (OGILVIE) 22 42→49 48→49 62→61 65 201/286/329 129255 1333 26% 9% 68 +0.5 ————————— —————————
✕Anthony Volpe
2023 · AAA 		22 42→49 54→55 60→55 48 220/301/407 187268 2029 26% 8% 99 +1.7 219/284/372 153274 1624 25% 8% 82 +0.5 216/279/363147269152225%7%76+0.1
✕Masyn Winn
2023 · AA 		21 47→54 44→50 61→55 44 226/282/354 129300 928 27% 7% 76 +0.1 240/293/376 136286 1416 21% 7% 86 +0.8 254/312/374120299111118%7%92+1.0
●Maikel Garcia
2023 · MLB 		23 50→59 42→50 57→60 47 243/299/352 109307 927 23% 8% 82 +0.5 255/311/368 113311 926 20% 8% 92 +1.2 263/322/38412230892717%8%99+1.8
●Matt McLain
2023 · AA 		23 40→50 51→55 59→55 46 204/291/370 166288 1924 34% 10% 85 +0.7 246/324/427 181328 2121 29% 9% 113 +2.6 236/320/399164307192128%10%103+1.6
✕Jake Marisnick
2013 · AA 		22 46→52 44→60 56→55 41 224/281/349 125285 1019 25% 5% 75 -0.0 231/279/352 121296 1223 25% 4% 75 -0.0 226/290/423196302251833%6%96+0.7
✕Ryan Kalish
2011 · MLB 		23 49→51 48→50 57→55 47 244/304/388 144295 1523 23% 8% 94 +1.3 227/282/337 110293 1121 25% 7% 72 -0.2 212/256/3059328582028%5%48-1.0
✕Oswald Peraza
2022 · AAA 		22 50→52 47→50 55→60 40 248/294/385 137317 1527 26% 5% 89 +1.0 225/284/365 140282 1728 26% 6% 81 +0.4 212/279/345133261182925%6%70-0.3
✕José Rodríguez
2023 · AA 		22 50→52 46→50 57→55 43 250/286/381 131291 1328 19% 5% 85 +0.7 227/260/350 123283 1426 25% 4% 66 -0.6 218/247/333116273152726%3%52-0.7
●Ke'Bryan Hayes
2020 · AAA 		23 49→55 44→50 53→50 47 236/295/364 127291 1013 22% 7% 84 +0.6 253/314/393 140315 1214 22% 8% 99 +1.7 257/313/393137315121621%7%97+1.3
✕Taylor Motter
2012 · A 		22 49→50 42→55 55 53 235/311/343 108288 920 21% 10% 85 +0.7 230/295/334 104286 920 21% 8% 76 +0.1 214/291/39518126123527%9%90+0.6
✕Delino DeShields
2016 · MLB 		23 50→55 41→45 61→65 50 234/311/345 110308 733 25% 9% 85 +0.7 234/311/329 95312 831 25% 10% 82 +0.5 233/316/3188530663624%10%79+0.2
✕Mario Lisson
2006 · A 		22 46→49 43→55 57→55 49 219/303/341 122299 919 28% 10% 82 +0.5 220/282/336 116290 1121 26% 7% 72 -0.2 231/301/37714630019828%7%90+0.7
●Victor Robles
2019 · MLB 		22 50→54 43→50 55→60 44 239/305/361 122297 825 22% 6% 89 +0.9 236/310/372 136297 1222 24% 6% 94 +1.3 283/353/38710535265120%6%113+0.9
✕Ceddanne Rafaela
2023 · AA 		22 46→48 51→55 58→55 37 235/272/402 167295 1819 27% 4% 85 +0.7 240/277/395 155301 1723 26% 4% 85 +0.7 247/287/396150298152022%4%88+0.7
●Jakob Marsee
2023 · A 		22 44→48 43→50 58→60 54 209/313/325 116289 921 28% 12% 83 +0.6 220/319/358 138276 1533 24% 11% 94 +1.3 216/315/358142266164024%11%89+1.0
●Zack Gelof
2022 · A 		22 49→50 47→55 54→55 43 236/299/379 142334 1517 32% 8% 90 +1.0 235/298/420 185327 2420 34% 8% 101 +1.8 229/294/414185314242433%8%95+1.2
●Orlando Arcia
2017 · MLB 		22 48→56 42→55 54→55 42 231/270/346 114282 819 21% 5% 68 -0.5 245/290/362 117297 1214 21% 6% 82 +0.5 245/305/40616227321319%8%97+1.0
✕Jordan Lawlar
2023 · AA 		21 51→52 49→50 59→60 43 244/312/395 151347 1725 33% 8% 100 +1.7 221/298/355 134303 1327 29% 8% 84 +0.6 212/295/356143284133228%9%80+0.2
✕Brett Jackson
2011 · AA 		22 49 45→50 57→55 46 231/307/368 137327 1120 31% 9% 91 +1.1 206/279/356 150326 1619 38% 9% 76 +0.1 186/261/335149304161941%8%61-0.8
✕Ryan Brett
2014 · AA 		22 52→58 42→45 59→60 44 249/294/358 109301 827 20% 5% 82 +0.5 242/279/345 103296 818 20% 4% 72 -0.2 230/262/3269628781522%3%57-0.7