Harry Ford — OGILVIE

Harry FordC Rochester Red Wings

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 200 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION257 act + 171 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .325 / .328

PA171

HR3

K%26

BB%12

BABIP292

ISO109

MLB%40%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025

CONTACT46

Whiff%

1027.6%

POWER49

Bat Spd

4370.6

EYE66

Chase%

5231.2%

SPEED54

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.1	$16M	+$15M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.4	$16M	+$16M
2029	Arb-1	$5M	+2.5	$16M	+$12M
2030	Arb-2	$8M	+2.5	$15M	+$9M
2031	Arb-3	$11M	+2.4	$13M	+$6M
Totals		$27M		$76M	+$59M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	65	59	12	4	0	3	5	20	1	3	0	203	277	424	701	220	250	31	8	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	65	55	16	7	0	3	9	14	1	3	0	291	400	582	982	291	342	22	14	426	184	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Modesto Nuts	—	499	419	88	16	3	14	59	164	17	23	5	210	331	363	694	153	302	33	12	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Modesto Nuts	—	499	390	107	23	4	11	88	115	17	23	5	274	428	438	867	164	358	23	18	391	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	2 teams	—	597	504	97	18	3	13	75	148	15	24	8	192	315	317	632	125	243	25	13	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	2 teams	—	597	467	118	25	4	18	112	117	15	24	8	253	412	439	851	186	299	20	19	384	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	523	444	97	23	1	10	60	136	16	35	9	218	333	342	675	124	290	26	11	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	523	430	107	26	2	7	74	115	16	35	9	249	379	367	746	119	323	22	14	344	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	458	398	91	16	0	9	50	106	7	7	4	229	325	337	662	108	287	23	11	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	458	374	106	18	0	16	74	88	7	7	4	283	411	460	871	176	330	19	16	389	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AAA	WSH	—	257	220	42	9	0	3	31	78	4	0	3	191	302	273	575	82	277	30	12	270	65	-10	-1	+0	+5	+7	0.0
YTD	23	AAA	WSH	—	257	206	46	11	0	4	45	65	4	0	3	223	373	335	708	112	302	25	18	330	111	+3	-1	+0	+5	+7	1.4
ROS	23	AAA	WSH	40%	171	146	32	7	0	3	20	45	3	3	2	219	325	328	653	109	290	26	12	298	86	-3	-0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
ROS	23	MLB	WSH	40%	69	60	13	3	0	1	8	18	1	1	1	217	319	317	636	100	290	26	12	285	76	-2	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
FULL	23	AAA	WSH	—	326	280	55	12	0	4	39	96	5	1	4	196	306	282	588	86	280	29	12	273	67	-12	-1	+0	+6	+9	0.2
TOT	23	AAA	WSH	—	428	366	74	16	0	6	51	123	7	3	5	202	311	295	606	93	283	29	12	281	73	-13	-1	+0	+8	+12	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	WSH	64%	520	446	101	21	1	11	60	134	9	8	5	226	330	352	682	126	292	26	12	309	95	-3	-0	+0	+9	+15	2.1
2028	25	MLB	WSH	75%	520	448	103	21	1	13	59	132	8	8	5	230	330	368	698	138	293	25	11	315	99	-0	-0	+0	+9	+15	2.4
2029	26	MLB	WSH	80%	520	448	103	21	1	13	59	131	8	8	5	230	330	368	698	138	293	25	11	318	102	+1	-0	+0	+9	+15	2.5
2030	27	MLB	WSH	80%	520	448	103	21	1	13	59	131	8	8	5	230	330	368	698	138	293	25	11	318	102	+1	-0	+0	+9	+15	2.5
2031	28	MLB	WSH	81%	520	448	103	21	1	13	59	132	8	7	5	230	330	368	698	138	292	25	11	317	101	+1	-1	-1	+9	+15	2.4
2032	29	MLB	WSH	79%	520	447	102	20	1	13	60	133	8	7	4	228	330	365	695	136	291	26	12	315	100	-0	-0	-1	+9	+15	2.3
2033	30	MLB	WSH	78%	520	447	102	20	1	13	60	134	8	6	4	228	330	365	695	136	290	26	12	313	97	-2	-0	-2	+9	+15	2.0
2034	31	MLB	WSH	77%	504	433	97	19	1	12	58	131	8	5	3	224	327	356	682	132	287	26	12	308	94	-3	-0	-3	+9	+14	1.7
2035	32	MLB	WSH	77%	483	418	92	18	1	11	55	128	7	4	3	220	321	347	668	127	284	27	11	303	90	-5	-0	-3	+9	+14	1.3
2036	33	MLB	WSH	77%	441	381	81	15	0	10	50	119	7	3	2	213	315	331	646	118	279	27	11	296	85	-8	-0	-4	+8	+12	0.9
2037	34	MLB	WSH	72%	385	332	68	12	0	8	44	106	6	2	1	205	309	313	622	108	273	28	11	287	78	-10	+0	-5	+7	+11	0.3
2027	24	MLB	WSH	64%	331	285	64	13	1	7	38	85	5	5	3	225	326	351	677	126	292	26	11	297	86	-5	-0	+0	+6	+9	1.0
2028	25	MLB	WSH	75%	388	335	76	15	1	9	44	98	6	6	4	227	327	358	685	131	293	25	11	303	90	-4	-0	+0	+7	+11	1.4
2029	26	MLB	WSH	80%	415	358	84	17	1	11	47	104	7	6	4	235	335	380	715	145	293	25	11	306	93	-3	-0	+0	+7	+12	1.6
2030	27	MLB	WSH	80%	418	361	84	17	1	11	47	105	7	6	4	233	333	377	709	144	293	25	11	307	93	-3	-0	+0	+7	+12	1.6
2031	28	MLB	WSH	81%	419	361	84	17	1	11	48	106	7	6	4	233	334	377	711	144	292	25	11	306	92	-4	-0	-1	+7	+12	1.5
2032	29	MLB	WSH	79%	410	354	81	16	1	10	47	105	6	5	3	229	329	364	694	136	291	26	11	304	91	-4	-0	-1	+7	+12	1.4
2033	30	MLB	WSH	78%	404	349	79	16	1	10	46	104	6	5	3	226	327	364	691	138	290	26	11	301	89	-5	-0	-2	+7	+11	1.2
2034	31	MLB	WSH	77%	389	335	75	15	1	9	45	101	6	4	3	224	326	355	682	131	287	26	12	297	86	-6	-0	-2	+7	+11	0.9
2035	32	MLB	WSH	77%	371	320	69	14	0	8	42	98	6	3	2	216	318	334	652	119	284	26	11	292	81	-8	-0	-3	+7	+11	0.7
2036	33	MLB	WSH	77%	338	291	62	12	0	7	39	91	5	2	1	213	316	326	643	113	279	27	12	285	76	-9	+0	-3	+6	+10	0.3
2037	34	MLB	WSH	72%	278	240	49	9	0	6	32	77	4	1	1	204	308	317	625	112	273	28	12	276	70	-9	-0	-4	+5	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4230	3649	820	164	8	100	483	1092	66	50	33	225	326	356	682	132	291	26	11	298	87	-64	-3	-15	+76	+120	11.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	561	125	25	1	15	74	168	10	8	5	223	324	351	675	128	289	26	11	298	87	-10	-0	-2	+12	+18	1.8
Career	—			—	7766	6666	1472	293	16	182	892	2030	144	161	70	221	326	351	677	131	287	26	11	306	92	-67	+4	-19	+139	+220	28.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	558	123	25	1	15	75	170	12	13	6	220	326	349	676	129	286	26	12	306	92	-6	+0	-2	+12	+18	2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	65	55	16	7	0	3	9	14	1	3	0	291	400	582	982	291	342	22	14	426	184	+6	+1	—	—	+2	0.9
2022	19	A	Modesto Nuts	—	499	390	107	23	4	11	88	115	17	23	5	274	428	438	867	164	358	23	18	391	158	+32	+3	—	—	+14	5.0
2023	20	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	563	444	114	24	4	15	103	109	14	24	8	257	412	430	842	173	307	19	18	382	150	+32	+2	—	—	+16	5.1
2023	20	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	34	23	4	1	0	3	9	8	1	0	0	174	424	609	1.033	435	77	24	26	428	185	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	21	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	523	430	107	26	2	7	74	115	16	35	9	249	379	367	746	119	323	22	14	344	121	+12	+3	—	—	+15	3.1
2025	22	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	458	374	106	18	0	16	74	88	7	7	4	283	411	460	871	176	330	19	16	389	156	+29	-0	—	—	+13	4.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Iannettalast yr '19 career totals — 14 seasons, 4,253 PA	14	4,253	141	11	230	345	406	+76	-30	23.7	21.5
	/162	664	22	2	230	345	406	+11.9	-4.6	3.7	pk7: 19
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,289	102	54	226	324	358	+77	+0	16.8	14.7
	/162	664	16	8	226	324	358	+11.9	+0.1	2.6	pk7: 13
#4Welington Castillolast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA	8	2,667	97	5	254	313	425	+48	-14	13.3	13.2
	/162	664	24	1	254	313	425	+11.9	-3.4	3.3	pk7: 13
#5Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Harry Ford (OGILVIE)	23	42→46	49	54	66	202/311/295	93	283	6	3	29%	12%	73	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Luis Urías 2020 · MLB	23	48→58	47→55	47→45	48	237/314/374	137	295	14	6	24%	8%	95	+1.4	241/325/402	161	291	19	6	23%	9%	108	+2.3	232/333/399	167	273	21	3	22%	11%	108	+1.7
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	47→45	48→50	52→50	41	230/312/373	143	305	15	13	28%	6%	95	+1.4	220/304/371	151	284	18	12	28%	8%	92	+1.2	207/291/353	147	263	19	11	28%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Austin Martin 2022 · AA	23	51→52	40	51→60	52	235/345/330	95	323	7	14	26%	10%	98	+1.6	226/318/310	84	284	6	25	21%	9%	82	+0.5	265/358/344	79	323	3	22	17%	11%	104	+1.1
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2020 · AAA	23	49→55	44→50	53→50	47	236/295/364	127	291	10	13	22%	7%	84	+0.6	253/314/393	140	315	12	14	22%	8%	99	+1.7	257/313/393	137	315	12	16	21%	7%	97	+1.3
✕Miguel Amaya 2022 · AA	23	44→42	44→50	50→40	49	214/303/331	117	278	11	7	26%	9%	81	+0.4	223/308/361	138	300	15	5	29%	8%	91	+1.1	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Lastings Milledge 2009 · MLB	24	52→59	48→50	51→55	47	260/326/403	144	299	15	20	19%	7%	108	+2.3	264/319/376	112	307	10	18	17%	6%	97	+1.5	264/317/362	98	306	8	19	16%	6%	89	+0.7
●Alejandro Kirk 2021 · MLB	22	51→57	45→50	49→40	54	248/322/382	134	283	11	5	16%	9%	101	+1.8	258/337/397	139	278	16	2	13%	10%	111	+2.5	262/347/393	131	276	16	0	11%	11%	111	+1.7
✕Bryan Lavastida 2022 · AAA	23	49→44	45	48→55	46	237/303/363	127	309	12	16	26%	8%	88	+0.9	213/281/333	120	278	12	16	27%	7%	71	-0.3	219/292/337	118	281	12	27	25%	8%	74	-0.1
●Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	40→44	52→55	54→50	48	206/295/372	166	284	19	16	33%	10%	88	+0.9	216/301/395	179	269	22	10	27%	10%	96	+1.5	207/293/388	181	246	23	6	26%	10%	89	+0.7
●Dansby Swanson 2017 · MLB	23	49→55	43→55	53→55	47	240/301/357	118	297	10	12	22%	7%	85	+0.7	237/308/364	127	296	12	9	23%	9%	90	+1.0	254/322/432	178	314	22	11	25%	8%	111	+2.7
✕Gabriel Arias 2023 · MLB	23	50→58	48→50	51→50	43	246/304/383	137	322	15	8	28%	7%	93	+1.3	231/285/376	145	322	15	12	31%	6%	83	+0.6	233/280/392	159	333	17	16	34%	5%	82	+0.3
●Connor Norby 2023 · AAA	23	45→49	51→55	50	44	232/297/394	162	296	20	12	28%	7%	93	+1.3	242/301/407	165	320	20	11	29%	7%	98	+1.6	245/305/413	168	324	20	11	29%	7%	99	+1.5
●Orlando Arcia 2018 · MLB	23	50→56	45→55	51→55	44	248/291/374	126	293	13	17	20%	6%	85	+0.7	243/292/362	119	293	13	11	21%	6%	82	+0.5	245/305/406	162	273	21	3	19%	8%	97	+1.0
✕Jordan Westburg 2022 · AA	23	50	45→60	52→50	44	232/310/365	133	342	12	12	33%	8%	92	+1.2	237/299/408	171	306	19	10	28%	7%	98	+1.6	251/304/444	193	297	23	7	24%	6%	107	+1.7
●Willy Adames 2019 · MLB	23	50→52	44→65	46→50	46	241/304/360	118	321	12	10	28%	8%	87	+0.8	254/318/429	175	333	21	7	28%	9%	111	+2.5	236/326/443	207	281	27	11	26%	11%	115	+3.1
●Miguel Vargas 2023 · MLB	23	48→53	51→55	51→50	47	245/302/410	166	280	19	13	21%	7%	100	+1.7	221/308/380	159	262	17	11	22%	10%	95	+1.4	221/322/407	185	244	21	11	19%	12%	106	+1.7
●Logan Forsythe 2010 · AA	23	53→56	43→55	52→50	54	251/343/365	114	331	10	8	25%	11%	105	+2.1	244/329/350	106	327	8	13	25%	10%	95	+1.4	256/347/413	157	312	17	7	22%	11%	116	+2.6
✕Josh Smith 2023 · MLB	25	48→52	45	52→50	51	232/323/359	127	290	12	17	23%	9%	96	+1.5	233/322/361	128	285	12	11	21%	9%	96	+1.5	238/326/362	125	285	12	10	20%	9%	95	+1.1
✕Corey Joyce 2023 · AAA	24	43	48→45	49→50	47	214/311/358	144	295	16	11	31%	10%	92	+1.2	211/307/316	105	308	10	14	32%	10%	79	+0.3	212/300/316	104	302	10	14	31%	9%	72	-0.1
●Omar Infante 2005 · MLB	23	51→61	47→55	50	49	251/306/398	147	292	14	13	19%	7%	97	+1.5	246/291/386	140	284	12	11	18%	6%	88	+0.9	289/322/418	129	309	11	9	10%	4%	106	+2.1