Harry Ford — OGILVIE

Harry FordC Rochester Red Wings

INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 200 lbs AAA HR -9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 2.5 · 2029

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .320 / .337

PA200

HR4

K%26

BB%11

MLB%40%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

36↗48

PWR

45↗49

SPD

55↘52

FLD

46→46

EYE

59↗70

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.5peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$16M	+$15M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.3	$20M	+$19M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+2.5	$22M	+$21M
2030	Arb-2	$5M	+2.5	$23M	+$18M
2031	Arb-3	$8M	+2.4	$22M	+$14M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+2.2	$21M	+$10M
Totals		$26M		$123M	+$96M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Mariners	65	59	12	4	0	3	5	20	1	3	0	.203	.277	.424	.701	.220	.250	31	8	.299	87	-1	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.3
2022	19	A	Modesto Nuts	499	417	91	18	3	11	61	158	17	23	5	.218	.341	.355	.696	.137	.317	32	12	.308	94	-3	+3	+0	+9	+14	2.3
2023	20	A+	2 teams	597	508	99	19	3	13	71	156	15	24	8	.195	.311	.321	.632	.126	.251	26	12	.283	75	-17	+2	+0	+11	+17	1.2
2024	21	AA	Arkansas Travelers	523	448	92	21	1	8	56	142	16	35	9	.205	.315	.310	.626	.105	.280	27	11	.284	76	-14	+3	+0	+9	+15	1.3
2025	22	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	458	397	92	16	0	10	51	109	7	7	4	.232	.330	.348	.677	.116	.292	24	11	.305	92	-4	-0	+0	+8	+13	1.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	23	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	82	72	11	2	0	0	7	26	2	0	2	.153	.247	.181	.427	.028	.234	32	9	.215	23	-7	-1	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
ROS	23	MLB	WSH	118	103	21	4	0	2	12	31	2	3	1	.204	.299	.301	.600	.097	.281	26	10	.289	79	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
TOT	23	MLB	WSH	200	175	32	6	0	2	19	57	4	3	3	.183	.278	.251	.529	.069	.254	28	10	.258	56	-10	-1	+0	+4	+6	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB 56%	WSH	512	441	97	19	1	10	56	120	10	12	6	.220	.321	.336	.657	.116	.279	23	11	.305	92	-5	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2028	25	MLB 74%	WSH	520	448	102	20	1	12	57	120	10	12	6	.228	.328	.357	.685	.129	.281	23	11	.312	97	-2	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.3
2029	26	MLB 89%	WSH	520	448	103	20	1	13	57	120	10	12	6	.230	.330	.366	.696	.136	.282	23	11	.317	100	+0	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.5
2030	27	MLB	WSH	520	447	103	20	1	13	58	121	10	12	6	.230	.332	.367	.699	.136	.283	23	11	.317	101	+0	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.5
2031	28	MLB	WSH	520	447	102	20	1	13	58	122	10	11	5	.228	.330	.365	.695	.136	.282	23	11	.316	100	-0	+0	-1	+9	+15	2.4
2032	29	MLB	WSH	520	447	102	20	1	13	58	123	10	10	5	.228	.330	.365	.695	.136	.281	24	11	.314	98	-1	+0	-1	+9	+15	2.2
2033	30	MLB	WSH	520	447	100	19	1	12	59	125	9	9	5	.224	.326	.351	.677	.128	.280	24	11	.310	96	-2	-0	-2	+9	+15	2.0
2034	31	MLB	WSH	504	433	97	19	1	12	57	123	9	6	4	.224	.327	.356	.682	.132	.279	24	11	.307	93	-4	-0	-3	+9	+14	1.7
2035	32	MLB	WSH	483	417	91	17	1	11	54	120	9	4	3	.218	.321	.343	.664	.125	.277	25	11	.302	89	-6	-0	-3	+9	+14	1.3
2036	33	MLB	WSH	441	381	81	15	1	9	49	113	8	2	2	.213	.315	.328	.643	.115	.275	26	11	.296	85	-7	-0	-4	+8	+12	0.9
2037	34	MLB	WSH	385	332	69	13	1	7	43	102	7	1	1	.208	.312	.316	.628	.108	.273	26	11	.290	80	-9	-0	-5	+7	+11	0.4
2038	35	MLB	WSH	326	281	58	11	1	6	36	90	6	0	1	.206	.310	.317	.626	.110	.271	28	11	.282	74	-9	-0	-5	+6	+9	-0.0
2039	36	MLB	WSH	266	231	44	8	0	4	29	76	4	0	0	.190	.292	.277	.569	.087	.268	29	11	.274	68	-10	+0	-6	+5	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8297	7132	1556	303	19	182	927	2091	170	186	77	.218	.322	.343	.665	.124	.280	25	11	.302	90	-98	+6	-29	+148	+235	26.8
/ 162G	—			650	559	121	24	1	14	73	164	13	15	6	.216	.321	.338	.660	.122	.278	25	11	.302	90	-8	+1	-2	+12	+18	2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Mariners	65	55	16	7	0	3	9	14	1	3	0	.291	.400	.582	.982	.291	.342	22	14	.426	184	+6	+1	—	—	+2	0.9
2022	19	A	Modesto Nuts	499	390	107	23	4	11	88	115	17	23	5	.274	.428	.438	.867	.164	.358	23	18	.391	158	+32	+3	—	—	+14	5.0
2023	20	A+	Everett AquaSox	563	444	114	24	4	15	103	109	14	24	8	.257	.412	.430	.842	.173	.307	19	18	.382	150	+32	+2	—	—	+16	5.1
2023	20	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	34	23	4	1	0	3	9	8	1	0	0	.174	.424	.609	1.033	.435	.077	24	26	.428	185	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	21	AA	Arkansas Travelers	523	430	107	26	2	7	74	115	16	35	9	.249	.379	.367	.746	.119	.323	22	14	.344	121	+12	+3	—	—	+15	3.1
2025	22	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	458	374	106	18	0	16	74	88	7	7	4	.283	.411	.460	.871	.176	.330	19	16	.389	156	+29	-0	—	—	+13	4.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Harry Ford (OGILVIE)	23	36→48	45→49	55→52	70	.220/.320/.337	.117	.288	4	6	26%	11%	90	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	46	49→50	52→50	42	.230/.311/.380	.151	.300	16	13	28%	6%	97	+1.5	.224/.309/.378	.154	.287	18	12	27%	8%	95	+1.4	.208/.294/.355	.146	.264	19	11	28%	9%	79	+0.2
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2020 · AAA	23	49→54	42→50	53→50	47	.236/.294/.349	.114	.293	8	14	22%	7%	79	+0.3	.250/.311/.387	.137	.311	12	13	22%	8%	97	+1.5	.256/.313/.394	.138	.313	12	16	21%	7%	95	+1.2
●Luis Urías 2020 · MLB	23	49→59	45→55	47→45	49	.241/.318/.369	.128	.300	12	6	23%	8%	95	+1.4	.239/.323/.393	.154	.292	17	6	23%	9%	105	+2.1	.228/.330/.386	.157	.270	19	3	22%	11%	99	+1.3
✕Austin Martin 2022 · AA	23	50	40	51→60	51	.232/.340/.330	.098	.317	7	14	26%	10%	96	+1.5	.224/.319/.308	.084	.281	6	25	21%	9%	82	+0.5	.251/.338/.332	.081	.305	5	25	18%	10%	92	+0.6
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	41→51	51→55	58→55	46	.207/.294/.372	.165	.295	18	24	34%	10%	87	+0.8	.244/.322/.424	.180	.328	20	21	30%	9%	112	+2.6	.242/.325/.399	.157	.318	18	21	28%	10%	104	+1.4
✕Lastings Milledge 2009 · MLB	24	52→58	48→50	50→55	47	.257/.325/.401	.144	.300	15	19	19%	7%	107	+2.2	.263/.318/.377	.114	.306	11	18	17%	6%	98	+1.6	.264/.316/.363	.099	.305	8	19	16%	6%	88	+0.7
✕Nick Senzel 2018 · AA	23	52→56	46→50	49→50	45	.252/.308/.396	.144	.327	12	13	26%	7%	98	+1.6	.248/.303/.399	.151	.320	14	16	26%	7%	97	+1.5	.250/.307/.393	.144	.308	14	17	23%	7%	94	+0.6
✕Miguel Amaya 2022 · AA	23	42	44→50	49→40	49	.210/.296/.330	.120	.268	12	7	25%	9%	78	+0.2	.225/.309/.364	.139	.303	15	5	29%	8%	92	+1.2	.233/.304/.378	.146	.278	16	1	22%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Joey Ortiz 2022 · AA	24	45→55	44→50	53→50	44	.219/.285/.340	.121	.291	11	11	28%	7%	74	-0.1	.246/.301/.390	.144	.301	13	10	22%	7%	93	+1.3	.250/.313/.398	.148	.304	13	11	21%	7%	97	+1.3
●Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	39→43	51→55	54→50	47	.204/.289/.363	.160	.282	18	16	33%	10%	82	+0.5	.215/.301/.392	.177	.270	21	10	27%	10%	95	+1.4	.206/.293/.385	.178	.247	22	6	26%	10%	88	+0.6
✕Bryan Lavastida 2022 · AAA	23	49→44	45	48→55	46	.241/.306/.370	.129	.314	13	16	26%	8%	91	+1.1	.215/.282/.336	.121	.279	12	16	26%	7%	72	-0.2	.220/.293/.341	.120	.280	13	27	25%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Corey Joyce 2023 · AAA	24	43	46→45	49→50	48	.214/.309/.343	.130	.291	14	12	30%	9%	87	+0.8	.210/.307/.314	.104	.303	9	14	31%	10%	79	+0.3	.210/.307/.291	.081	.310	5	16	30%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Miguel Vargas 2023 · MLB	23	48→52	51→55	51→50	48	.244/.304/.405	.161	.281	19	12	21%	7%	99	+1.7	.220/.307/.378	.158	.261	16	11	22%	10%	94	+1.3	.211/.309/.373	.162	.247	16	10	21%	11%	91	+1.0
●Luis Rengifo 2020 · MLB	23	49→55	44→50	50→55	49	.236/.302/.359	.123	.287	10	17	21%	8%	86	+0.8	.233/.293/.362	.129	.278	13	13	20%	7%	83	+0.6	.267/.318/.414	.147	.301	17	16	17%	6%	105	+1.6
✕Eguy Rosario 2023 · AAA	23	45→49	48→55	51→55	44	.226/.288/.373	.147	.292	15	21	28%	7%	84	+0.6	.212/.274/.363	.151	.280	17	17	29%	7%	76	+0.1	.189/.253/.336	.147	.253	17	17	32%	7%	57	-0.6
●Jonathan India 2022 · MLB	25	48→51	49→50	49→50	51	.237/.336/.389	.152	.300	16	11	25%	10%	109	+2.4	.244/.339/.389	.145	.295	15	11	22%	10%	110	+2.4	.239/.338/.373	.134	.288	14	11	21%	10%	101	+1.6
●Brian Goodwin 2014 · AA	23	46→52	45→60	50	48	.226/.299/.357	.132	.297	12	15	27%	9%	85	+0.7	.214/.278/.326	.112	.294	10	13	29%	8%	67	-0.5	.243/.309/.437	.195	.311	23	11	28%	8%	105	+1.3
✕Lou Marson 2011 · MLB	25	48→54	40	50	52	.229/.305/.324	.095	.283	7	10	21%	9%	79	+0.3	.216/.299/.301	.085	.278	5	11	22%	10%	70	-0.3	.224/.319/.289	.065	.297	1	9	22%	12%	72	-0.1
✕Garrett Mitchell 2022 · AA	23	47	45→50	56→60	48	.223/.306/.345	.122	.333	14	20	34%	10%	85	+0.7	.239/.311/.374	.135	.355	13	26	33%	9%	94	+1.3	.249/.323/.406	.156	.360	16	32	33%	9%	102	+0.8
✕Andy Burns 2014 · AA	23	47→57	47→50	53→55	45	.235/.290/.380	.146	.294	13	19	24%	7%	86	+0.8	.234/.279/.354	.120	.288	10	14	22%	5%	75	-0.0	.200/.281/.330	.130	.257	15	10	27%	10%	67	-0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)