Carlos Sanchez — OGILVIE

Carlos SanchezSS Dayton Dragons

Age 21 L/R 6'1" / 177 lbs A+ HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION574 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP301

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$5M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	182	138	49	4	1	2	40	28	3	14	4	355	508	442	950	87	431	15	22	434	180	+17	+1	—	—	+4	2.3
2023	18	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	19	16	3	2	0	0	3	8	0	0	0	188	316	312	628	125	375	42	16	293	84	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2023	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	175	128	36	12	3	1	44	44	1	9	4	281	463	445	908	164	422	25	25	411	164	+13	+0	—	—	+4	1.8
2023	18	INTL	Perth Heat	—	124	104	26	5	3	0	19	31	0	4	2	250	366	356	722	106	351	25	15	329	109	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2024	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	220	176	37	4	0	0	39	73	1	8	6	210	356	233	589	23	359	33	18	286	80	-5	-1	—	—	+5	-0.1
2024	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	88	70	15	3	0	1	16	24	0	2	1	214	360	300	660	86	304	27	18	307	94	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2025	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	228	201	49	10	2	4	22	54	1	7	5	244	320	373	693	129	312	24	10	309	95	-1	-1	—	—	+5	0.3
2025	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	264	214	66	10	4	4	45	67	1	13	9	308	431	449	879	140	431	25	17	391	151	+16	-1	—	—	+6	2.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	182	154	43	3	1	2	24	41	3	14	4	279	387	351	737	71	357	23	13	326	107	+1	+1	—	—	+4	0.7
2023	18	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	19	17	2	1	0	0	2	11	0	0	0	118	211	176	387	59	330	58	11	188	13	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	175	148	30	9	2	1	26	62	1	9	4	203	326	311	637	108	335	35	15	286	80	-4	+0	—	—	+4	-0.0
2024	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	220	186	30	3	0	0	29	105	1	8	6	161	278	177	455	16	360	48	13	223	37	-16	-1	—	—	+5	-1.3
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	88	76	12	2	0	1	10	35	0	2	1	158	256	224	479	66	254	40	11	214	31	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	228	208	44	9	2	3	16	73	1	7	5	212	271	317	588	106	298	32	7	252	57	-12	-1	—	—	+5	-0.8
2025	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	264	224	57	8	3	3	35	95	1	13	9	254	358	357	715	103	411	36	13	319	102	+1	-1	—	—	+6	0.5
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	182	154	43	3	1	2	24	41	3	14	4	279	387	351	737	71	366	23	13	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	182	138	49	4	1	2	40	28	3	14	4	355	508	442	950	87	431	15	22	434	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	318	269	51	17	3	1	47	120	1	13	6	190	312	286	599	97	336	38	15	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	3 teams	—	318	248	65	19	6	1	66	83	1	13	6	262	416	399	816	137	388	26	21	372	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	308	262	43	5	0	1	39	140	1	10	7	164	275	195	469	31	344	45	13	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	308	246	52	7	0	1	55	97	1	10	7	211	358	252	610	41	342	31	18	292	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	492	432	101	17	5	6	51	167	2	20	14	234	318	338	655	104	364	34	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	492	415	115	20	6	8	67	121	2	20	14	277	379	412	791	135	372	25	14	353	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	182	153	43	3	1	2	24	41	3	14	4	281	387	353	740	72	357	23	13	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	318	267	51	17	3	1	47	120	1	13	6	191	312	288	601	97	335	38	15	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	308	265	43	5	0	1	39	140	1	10	7	162	275	192	467	30	330	45	13	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	492	436	101	17	5	6	51	167	2	20	14	232	318	335	652	103	359	34	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	318	267	51	17	3	1	47	120	1	13	6	191	312	288	601	97	335	38	15	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	308	265	43	5	0	1	39	140	1	10	7	162	275	192	467	30	330	45	13	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	492	436	101	17	5	6	51	167	2	20	14	232	318	335	652	103	359	34	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	CIN	—	574	513	115	20	5	12	59	189	0	23	8	224	304	353	657	129	330	33	10	289	82	-12	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A+ RAW	CIN	—	325	278	87	18	4	9	45	77	0	18	6	313	409	504	912	191	406	24	14	401	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	AA RAW	CIN	—	249	210	43	6	2	6	39	70	0	5	2	205	329	338	667	133	276	28	16	309	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A+ MLE	CIN	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		298	30	10	275	72	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A+ MLE	CIN	—	584	522	116	20	5	12	60	192	0	23	8	222	302	349	651	126	327	33	10	289	82	-13	+1	-0	+6	+13	0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CIN	25%	548	485	101	17	4	10	57	175	1	14	6	208	293	322	614	113	300	32	10	281	76	-16	+0	-2	+6	+12	0.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	CIN	38%	593	524	113	20	4	13	62	183	2	15	6	216	301	344	645	128	300	31	10	290	82	-13	+1	-2	+6	+13	0.6
2029	24	MLB MLE	CIN	44%	615	543	119	21	4	14	65	185	2	16	7	219	305	350	655	131	300	30	11	295	86	-10	+0	-2	+7	+13	0.8
2030	25	MLB MLE	CIN	47%	627	554	121	21	4	15	66	186	2	16	7	218	304	352	656	134	300	30	11	298	88	-9	+0	-2	+7	+14	1.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	CIN	49%	634	559	122	21	4	15	67	188	3	16	7	218	305	351	656	132	300	30	11	299	89	-8	+0	-2	+7	+14	1.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	CIN	49%	634	558	122	21	4	15	68	189	3	16	7	219	307	351	658	133	299	30	11	299	89	-8	+0	-2	+7	+14	1.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	CIN	49%	629	554	121	21	4	15	68	188	2	15	6	218	306	352	658	134	299	30	11	298	88	-9	+1	-2	+7	+14	1.0
2034	29	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	619	545	118	20	4	15	67	186	2	14	6	217	305	350	655	134	298	30	11	296	87	-10	+0	-3	+7	+13	0.8
2035	30	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	609	536	116	20	4	14	66	185	2	12	5	216	305	347	652	131	296	30	11	293	85	-11	+0	-4	+7	+13	0.5
2036	31	MLB MLE	CIN	51%	595	523	111	19	4	13	65	183	2	10	4	212	302	338	640	126	293	31	11	289	82	-13	+0	-4	+6	+13	0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	CIN	25%	138	123	26	4	1	3	14	44	0	4	1	211	292	333	625	122	303	32	10	283	76	-4	+0	-0	+1	+3	0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	CIN	38%	228	201	44	8	2	5	24	70	1	6	2	219	305	353	659	134	303	31	11	292	82	-5	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	CIN	44%	271	240	53	9	2	7	28	82	1	7	3	221	305	362	667	142	303	30	10	298	86	-5	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.4
2030	25	MLB CTX	CIN	47%	296	262	59	10	2	8	31	88	1	8	3	225	310	370	680	145	303	30	10	301	88	-4	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.5
2031	26	MLB CTX	CIN	49%	311	274	62	11	2	8	33	92	1	8	3	226	312	369	680	142	303	30	11	302	89	-4	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.6
2032	27	MLB CTX	CIN	49%	312	274	62	11	2	8	34	93	1	8	3	226	314	369	683	142	303	30	11	302	89	-4	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.6
2033	28	MLB CTX	CIN	49%	309	272	60	10	2	8	33	92	1	7	3	221	307	360	667	140	302	30	11	301	88	-4	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.5
2034	29	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	298	263	58	10	2	8	32	90	1	7	3	221	307	365	672	144	301	30	11	299	87	-5	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.4
2035	30	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	289	255	56	10	2	7	31	88	1	6	2	220	307	357	663	137	299	30	11	296	85	-5	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.3
2036	31	MLB CTX	CIN	51%	306	269	58	10	2	7	33	94	1	5	2	216	304	346	649	130	296	31	11	292	82	-7	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2758	2433	538	93	19	69	293	833	9	66	25	221	307	360	667	139	304	30	11	298	83	-47	+3	-11	+30	+60	3.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	126	22	4	16	69	196	2	16	6	220	305	356	661	136	302	30	11	298	83	-11	+1	-3	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	7413	6507	1403	243	49	149	813	2319	28	201	92	216	305	337	642	121	308	31	11	291	83	-107	+4	-24	+65	+132	7.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	122	21	4	13	71	203	2	18	8	214	303	333	636	119	304	31	11	291	83	-11	+0	-3	+7	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#5Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4.2	2,760	64	65	218	302	350	+10	-8	4.1	3.9
/162	664	15	16	+2.4	-1.9	1.0	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Sanchez (OGILVIE)	21	50	40	50	64	202/287/311	109	298	5	11	33%	10%	72	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	39→47	41→55	46→55	42	195/250/286	91	268	9	9	30%	6%	51	-2.2	201/262/331	130	269	14	13	29%	7%	67	-1.1	222/289/387	165	276	18	21	26%	8%	87	+0.4
✕LeVon Washington 2012 · A	21	43	38→45	51→50	44	199/273/280	81	308	5	13	35%	9%	59	-1.7	234/307/336	102	347	7	13	31%	9%	84	+0.2	245/313/363	118	342	8	12	28%	8%	89	+0.2
✕Imanol Vargas 2019 · A	21	42→43	40→50	45	51	200/293/295	95	288	7	9	30%	11%	71	-0.8	206/284/345	139	314	15	7	36%	9%	78	-0.3	204/288/352	148	322	17	2	39%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	40→49	38→45	59→55	46	192/267/282	90	275	4	17	30%	8%	57	-1.8	216/291/301	85	288	6	17	25%	9%	70	-0.8	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Jake Shaffer 2009 · A	21	43→53	38→45	52→45	42	208/259/289	81	284	5	15	28%	6%	55	-2.0	250/282/361	111	317	9	7	23%	4%	80	-0.2	265/295/385	120	329	9	6	22%	3%	87	+0.3
✕Tirso Ornelas 2021 · A	21	39→49	37→50	51→45	43	189/251/258	69	273	4	6	31%	8%	45	-2.7	225/286/328	103	301	8	6	26%	7%	74	-0.5	249/307/375	126	306	13	7	22%	7%	91	+0.6
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2023 · A	21	43→44	39→55	49→50	43	209/262/300	92	280	6	8	27%	6%	59	-1.7	212/262/331	119	273	12	10	26%	6%	66	-1.1	228/287/392	163	266	21	11	23%	7%	87	+0.2
●Maikel Garcia 2021 · A	21	43→53	36→50	51→60	42	203/261/270	67	295	3	13	31%	7%	51	-2.2	244/303/338	94	314	6	24	22%	8%	82	+0.0	261/321/393	132	295	10	24	15%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Forrest Wall 2017 · A	21	46→55	40→45	52→70	43	221/273/315	93	287	7	17	25%	6%	66	-1.1	217/273/317	100	295	8	19	28%	6%	67	-1.1	253/326/354	101	349	8	50	27%	9%	92	+0.5
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2014 · A	21	47→53	40→45	52→50	45	229/283/316	87	288	8	13	23%	6%	70	-0.8	239/293/345	106	290	8	10	19%	7%	80	-0.1	243/304/370	127	291	12	9	20%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Jeisson Rosario 2021 · A	21	45→49	37→45	48→50	50	208/294/277	69	299	4	10	29%	10%	66	-1.1	208/289/302	94	299	8	12	30%	10%	70	-0.8	202/293/306	104	288	10	12	30%	11%	70	-0.5
✕Jace Jung 2023 · A	22	44→42	39→50	50→40	50	208/292/300	92	296	6	7	29%	10%	71	-0.8	215/300/370	155	288	18	4	30%	10%	90	+0.6	208/298/364	156	272	18	3	29%	11%	86	+0.3
✕Daniel Schneemann 2019 · A	22	38→48	40→50	50	43	185/251/280	94	271	8	6	33%	8%	51	-2.3	211/270/297	86	293	7	9	28%	7%	61	-1.5	223/303/368	144	295	14	13	28%	10%	87	+0.3
✕Miles Mastrobuoni 2018 · A	22	46→56	37→45	49→60	48	220/278/292	73	277	5	13	22%	8%	63	-1.4	239/298/310	71	316	4	12	24%	8%	74	-0.5	252/316/360	107	324	8	21	23%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→45	39→55	49→45	44	198/267/288	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	59	-1.7	212/274/363	151	314	18	7	36%	7%	79	-0.2	218/289/380	162	269	18	6	25%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Daryl Jones 2008 · A	21	40→50	38→45	48→50	41	195/258/273	78	261	6	13	27%	6%	52	-2.2	233/297/335	102	307	8	14	25%	7%	80	-0.1	238/305/342	104	309	8	14	24%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Anthony Seigler 2021 · A	22	42→39	37→45	49→55	47	200/278/275	74	283	5	6	29%	9%	60	-1.6	192/289/299	107	272	9	9	30%	11%	70	-0.8	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Leo Rivas 2019 · A	21	43→53	37→40	52→65	50	198/286/272	74	292	4	13	31%	10%	63	-1.4	198/277/283	85	297	6	10	32%	9%	61	-1.5	241/356/333	92	321	9	44	24%	14%	102	+1.0
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	42	182/238/271	89	250	7	11	30%	6%	43	-2.8	225/293/312	87	303	7	9	26%	8%	74	-0.6	234/307/314	80	309	6	8	24%	9%	77	-0.3
✕Ezequiel Pagan 2021 · A	21	43→53	35→45	47→50	41	203/259/259	55	288	3	14	29%	6%	48	-2.5	233/283/343	110	290	10	9	22%	5%	76	-0.4	242/294/349	107	296	10	9	21%	5%	80	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps