Carlos Sanchez — OGILVIE

Carlos Sanchez3B Dayton Dragons

Age 21 L/R 6'1" / 177 lbs A+ HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION370 act + 246 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .294 / .328

PA246

HR4

SB9

K%32

BB%10

BABIP312

ISO114

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$5M	+$4M
2034	Arb-2	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.6M
2035	Arb-3	$7M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$27M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	182	155	43	3	1	2	23	41	3	14	4	277	381	348	730	71	363	23	13	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	182	138	49	4	1	2	40	28	3	14	4	355	508	442	950	87	431	15	22	434	190	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	3 teams	—	318	271	51	16	3	1	45	117	1	13	6	188	306	280	586	92	325	37	14	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	3 teams	—	318	248	65	19	6	1	66	83	1	13	6	262	416	399	816	137	388	26	21	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	308	261	43	5	0	1	40	141	1	10	7	165	278	195	474	31	350	46	13	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	308	246	52	7	0	1	55	97	1	10	7	211	358	252	610	41	342	31	18	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	492	431	101	17	5	5	52	167	2	20	14	234	320	332	651	97	368	34	11	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	492	415	115	20	6	8	67	121	2	20	14	277	379	412	791	135	372	25	14	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	CIN	—	370	334	84	16	3	8	34	117	0	19	6	251	321	389	710	138	364	32	9	310	95	-2	+1	+0	+1	+10	1.1
YTD	21	A+	CIN	—	370	320	97	20	4	10	48	87	0	19	6	303	394	484	878	181	390	24	13	388	155	+23	+1	+0	+1	+10	3.7
ROS	21	A+	CIN	0%	246	219	47	9	2	4	25	79	0	9	4	214	294	328	622	114	306	32	10	278	71	-8	+0	-0	+1	+7	-0.1
ROS	21	MLB	CIN	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						309	0	0	279	72	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	CIN	—	371	335	84	16	3	8	34	117	0	19	6	251	320	388	708	137	362	32	9	310	95	-2	+1	-0	+1	+11	1.1
TOT	21	A+	CIN	—	616	553	131	25	5	12	59	196	0	28	10	237	310	365	675	128	343	32	10	297	85	-10	+2	-0	+2	+17	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	CIN	25%	548	485	104	19	4	9	56	173	2	16	7	214	298	326	624	111	306	32	10	283	75	-16	+0	-1	+2	+16	0.1
2028	23	MLB	CIN	38%	593	526	115	21	4	12	60	180	2	17	7	219	301	342	643	124	306	30	10	292	81	-12	+1	-1	+2	+17	0.6
2029	24	MLB	CIN	44%	615	545	122	22	4	14	63	183	2	18	7	224	307	356	663	132	306	30	10	297	86	-10	+1	-1	+2	+17	1.0
2030	25	MLB	CIN	47%	638	564	127	23	4	15	66	187	3	18	8	225	310	360	670	135	305	29	10	300	88	-9	+0	-1	+2	+18	1.1
2031	26	MLB	CIN	49%	637	563	127	23	4	15	66	187	3	18	8	226	310	361	671	135	305	29	10	302	89	-8	+0	-1	+2	+18	1.2
2032	27	MLB	CIN	49%	634	560	126	23	4	15	66	186	3	18	8	225	310	361	671	136	305	29	10	302	89	-8	+0	-1	+2	+18	1.2
2033	28	MLB	CIN	49%	629	555	124	22	4	15	66	186	3	17	7	223	309	359	668	135	304	30	10	300	88	-8	+1	-2	+2	+18	1.1
2034	29	MLB	CIN	48%	619	545	121	22	4	14	66	184	3	16	7	222	309	354	664	132	303	30	11	298	87	-9	+0	-3	+2	+18	0.8
2035	30	MLB	CIN	48%	609	537	118	21	4	13	65	182	2	14	6	220	306	346	653	127	302	30	11	295	84	-11	+0	-3	+2	+17	0.6
2027	22	MLB	CIN	25%	138	123	26	5	1	2	14	44	0	4	2	211	292	317	609	106	309	32	10	283	75	-4	+0	-0	+0	+4	0.0
2028	23	MLB	CIN	38%	228	202	45	8	2	5	23	69	1	7	3	223	305	356	662	134	308	30	10	292	82	-5	+0	-0	+1	+6	0.2
2029	24	MLB	CIN	44%	271	240	54	10	2	6	28	80	1	8	3	225	309	358	667	133	308	30	10	297	86	-4	+0	-0	+1	+8	0.4
2030	25	MLB	CIN	47%	301	266	60	11	2	7	31	88	1	9	4	226	309	361	670	135	308	29	10	300	88	-4	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.5
2031	26	MLB	CIN	49%	313	277	64	12	2	8	32	92	1	9	4	231	313	375	688	144	308	29	10	301	89	-4	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.6
2032	27	MLB	CIN	49%	312	275	63	11	2	8	33	92	1	9	4	229	314	371	685	142	308	29	11	301	89	-4	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.6
2033	28	MLB	CIN	49%	309	272	61	11	2	7	33	91	1	8	3	224	310	357	667	132	307	29	11	300	88	-4	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.5
2034	29	MLB	CIN	48%	298	263	59	11	2	7	32	89	1	8	3	224	311	361	672	137	306	30	11	298	86	-5	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.4
2035	30	MLB	CIN	48%	289	255	57	10	2	7	31	87	1	7	3	224	310	361	671	137	304	30	11	295	84	-5	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2460	2174	489	89	17	57	257	732	8	69	29	225	309	360	669	135	309	30	10	298	86	-39	+2	-6	+9	+70	3.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	129	24	4	15	68	193	2	18	8	225	309	359	667	134	309	30	10	298	86	-10	+0	-2	+2	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	7068	6217	1369	246	47	135	759	2193	30	218	100	220	308	340	648	120	315	31	11	292	82	-146	+4	-15	+25	+200	7.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	126	23	4	12	70	202	3	20	9	220	309	337	646	117	316	31	11	292	82	-13	+0	-1	+2	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	182	138	49	4	1	2	40	28	3	14	4	355	508	442	950	87	431	15	22	434	190	+19	+1	—	—	+5	2.5
2023	18	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	19	16	3	2	0	0	3	8	0	0	0	188	316	312	628	125	375	42	16	293	82	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	175	128	36	12	3	1	44	44	1	9	4	281	463	445	908	164	422	25	25	411	172	+14	+0	—	—	+5	2.0
2023	18	INTL	Perth Heat	—	124	104	26	5	3	0	19	31	0	4	2	250	366	356	722	106	351	25	15	329	110	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2024	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	220	176	37	4	0	0	39	73	1	8	6	210	356	233	589	23	359	33	18	286	77	-6	-1	—	—	+6	-0.0
2024	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	88	70	15	3	0	1	16	24	0	2	1	214	360	300	660	86	304	27	18	307	93	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	228	201	49	10	2	4	22	54	1	7	5	244	320	373	693	129	312	24	10	309	94	-1	-1	—	—	+6	0.4
2025	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	264	214	66	10	4	4	45	67	1	13	9	308	431	449	879	140	431	25	17	391	157	+17	-1	—	—	+7	2.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#4Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#5Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,461	55	67	223	305	354	+9	-8	4.1	3.9
	/162	664	15	18	223	305	354	+2.4	-2.2	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Sanchez (OGILVIE)	21	50	40	50	64	237/310/365	128	343	12	28	32%	10%	85	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕LeVon Washington 2012 · A	21	44	38→45	51→50	44	201/274/280	78	315	5	13	35%	9%	54	-1.4	234/309/337	103	350	7	13	32%	9%	83	+0.6	243/313/365	123	341	8	12	29%	8%	88	+0.4
✕Imanol Vargas 2019 · A	21	42→44	40→50	45	51	200/293/295	95	288	7	9	30%	11%	67	-0.5	207/285/347	140	314	15	7	36%	9%	76	+0.1	205/290/360	154	326	18	2	39%	10%	79	+0.2
●Tirso Ornelas 2021 · A	21	40→50	37→50	51→45	44	190/253/260	70	276	4	6	31%	8%	40	-2.4	225/286/334	109	301	10	6	27%	7%	72	-0.2	249/309/383	134	307	16	7	23%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→49	39→45	60→55	46	193/267/285	92	274	5	17	29%	8%	53	-1.5	216/290/303	87	291	6	17	26%	9%	67	-0.5	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Leo Rivas 2019 · A	21	42→52	37→40	52→65	49	195/284/270	75	291	4	13	32%	10%	56	-1.3	196/276/282	86	296	6	10	32%	10%	56	-1.3	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Jake Shaffer 2009 · A	21	43→53	38→45	52→45	42	208/259/289	81	284	5	15	28%	6%	49	-1.8	247/279/356	109	314	8	7	23%	4%	75	-0.0	261/290/378	116	326	9	6	22%	3%	81	+0.3
✕Miles Mastrobuoni 2018 · A	22	46→56	37→45	49→60	48	219/277/289	70	279	5	13	22%	8%	56	-1.3	237/297/309	72	317	5	12	24%	8%	70	-0.3	253/316/365	112	324	9	21	23%	8%	88	+0.7
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→45	39→55	49→45	44	198/267/288	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	53	-1.5	217/280/375	158	316	19	7	36%	7%	82	+0.5	220/290/392	172	269	20	6	26%	8%	86	+0.6
✕Jeisson Rosario 2021 · A	21	46→49	37→45	48→50	51	210/297/281	71	303	4	10	29%	11%	64	-0.8	206/287/306	100	300	9	12	31%	10%	66	-0.6	197/291/307	109	288	11	12	32%	11%	65	-0.4
✕Daniel Schneemann 2019 · A	22	38→48	40→50	50	43	185/251/280	94	271	8	6	33%	8%	44	-2.1	209/267/297	88	289	7	9	28%	7%	55	-1.4	226/305/375	149	299	15	13	28%	10%	88	+0.7
✕Carlos Rodríguez 2023 · A	22	45→55	39→40	52→50	44	215/277/301	86	296	5	16	28%	7%	60	-1.0	254/306/336	82	309	4	15	18%	7%	80	+0.4	259/308/332	73	304	4	16	16%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Ezequiel Pagan 2021 · A	21	43→53	35→45	47→50	41	203/259/259	55	288	3	14	29%	6%	41	-2.3	234/284/345	111	293	10	9	23%	5%	75	-0.0	242/294/349	107	300	10	9	22%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Thomas Milone 2016 · A	21	43→44	36→45	50→55	39	204/250/268	65	283	3	14	28%	5%	40	-2.4	197/250/267	70	287	3	12	31%	6%	40	-2.4	243/298/369	125	340	8	17	29%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Raynel Delgado 2021 · A	21	46→56	37→40	50→60	42	217/268/291	74	307	4	9	30%	6%	53	-1.5	197/260/284	87	287	7	14	32%	7%	49	-1.8	242/304/336	94	333	8	32	28%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Darrell Ceciliani 2011 · A	21	43→53	38→45	52→55	41	206/262/282	77	274	6	13	26%	6%	49	-1.8	235/289/327	92	315	6	16	26%	6%	72	-0.2	253/291/359	107	338	9	26	27%	4%	78	+0.2
✕BJ Boyd 2015 · A	22	42→52	37→45	48→50	43	200/253/275	75	271	5	10	27%	6%	43	-2.2	243/286/327	84	307	5	11	21%	5%	69	-0.4	263/312/378	116	318	12	10	20%	6%	92	+0.7
✕Daryl Jones 2008 · A	21	40→50	38→45	48→50	41	195/258/273	78	261	6	13	27%	6%	46	-2.0	232/296/336	104	307	9	14	26%	7%	78	+0.2	235/302/342	107	308	9	14	25%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Anthony Seigler 2021 · A	22	42→39	37→50	49→55	47	199/276/274	74	283	5	6	29%	9%	53	-1.5	192/289/301	109	273	9	9	30%	12%	67	-0.5	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Micah Johnson 2013 · A	22	44→54	38→45	52→60	43	207/271/289	82	312	5	13	33%	8%	54	-1.4	258/305/356	98	336	5	31	23%	6%	85	+0.7	274/320/374	100	348	5	36	22%	6%	93	+1.1
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2014 · A	21	47→53	40→50	51→50	45	226/279/312	86	285	8	13	23%	6%	63	-0.8	236/289/337	101	290	7	10	20%	7%	74	-0.1	245/307/382	136	293	13	9	20%	7%	91	+0.9