Cayden Wallace — OGILVIE

Cayden Wallace3B Harrisburg Senators

Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION342 act + 228 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†93

AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .283 / .410

PA228

HR8

SB6

K%23

BB%5

BABIP276

ISO175

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.8	$11M	+$11M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$10M	+$9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$8M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2033	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.7M
2034	Arb-3	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M
Totals		$11M		$39M	+$34M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	122	114	24	5	3	1	7	36	1	8	1	211	262	333	596	123	299	30	6	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	122	109	32	7	3	2	12	22	1	8	1	294	369	468	837	174	353	18	10	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	2 teams	—	568	515	109	22	7	11	42	154	6	18	6	212	279	346	624	134	276	27	7	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	2 teams	—	568	503	128	27	7	13	54	117	6	18	6	254	334	414	747	159	304	21	10	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	206	191	42	9	0	3	7	47	6	4	4	220	270	314	584	94	273	23	3	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	206	186	48	10	0	3	12	37	6	4	4	258	324	360	684	102	304	18	6	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	481	437	94	22	3	10	29	147	6	16	2	215	273	348	621	133	292	31	6	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	481	426	103	21	3	10	40	113	6	16	2	242	316	376	691	134	299	23	8	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	WSH	—	342	321	83	13	3	18	17	69	2	10	1	259	300	486	786	227	275	20	5	330	111	+4	+2	+0	+1	+10	1.7
YTD	24	AA	WSH	—	342	313	93	16	3	20	24	54	2	10	1	297	350	559	909	262	303	16	7	392	158	+22	+2	+0	+1	+10	3.6
ROS	24	AA	WSH	2%	228	212	50	9	2	8	12	53	2	6	1	236	283	410	694	175	277	23	5	307	93	-2	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.6
ROS	24	MLB	WSH	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		277	20	0	301	88	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	24	AA	WSH	—	347	326	84	13	3	18	17	70	2	10	1	258	299	482	780	224	275	20	5	329	110	+4	+2	+0	+1	+10	1.7
TOT	24	AA	WSH	—	570	533	133	22	5	26	29	122	4	16	2	250	293	456	749	206	276	21	5	321	104	+2	+2	+0	+2	+16	2.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	WSH	31%	567	526	125	24	4	20	31	132	5	12	2	238	286	413	699	175	277	23	5	308	94	-4	+2	+0	+2	+16	1.6
2028	26	MLB	WSH	45%	583	539	129	24	4	21	34	135	5	12	2	239	291	416	706	176	278	23	6	310	95	-3	+2	+0	+2	+17	1.8
2029	27	MLB	WSH	49%	588	542	129	24	4	21	36	136	5	12	2	238	292	413	705	175	279	23	6	311	96	-3	+2	+0	+2	+17	1.8
2030	28	MLB	WSH	52%	587	540	129	24	4	21	37	137	5	12	2	239	294	415	709	176	278	23	6	310	95	-3	+2	-1	+2	+17	1.7
2031	29	MLB	WSH	52%	582	535	127	24	4	20	37	137	5	11	2	237	293	409	702	172	277	24	6	308	94	-4	+1	-1	+2	+16	1.5
2032	30	MLB	WSH	52%	575	529	124	23	3	20	36	137	5	10	2	234	289	403	692	168	276	24	6	305	92	-5	+1	-2	+2	+16	1.2
2033	31	MLB	WSH	51%	566	520	121	23	3	19	36	136	5	9	1	233	289	398	687	165	273	24	6	301	88	-7	+1	-3	+2	+16	0.9
2034	32	MLB	WSH	56%	557	512	116	21	3	18	35	136	5	7	1	227	283	385	667	158	270	24	6	295	84	-10	+1	-4	+2	+16	0.5
2035	33	MLB	WSH	54%	481	444	99	18	3	15	30	120	4	5	1	223	278	378	657	155	265	25	6	288	78	-12	+1	-4	+2	+14	-0.0
2036	34	MLB	WSH	49%	407	376	80	14	2	12	25	104	3	3	1	213	267	356	624	144	259	26	6	278	71	-13	+0	-5	+1	+12	-0.5
2027	25	MLB	WSH	31%	176	163	38	7	1	6	10	41	1	4	1	233	282	399	680	166	277	23	6	301	89	-2	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.4
2028	26	MLB	WSH	45%	260	241	58	11	2	9	15	60	2	6	1	241	291	415	706	174	278	23	6	304	90	-3	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.6
2029	27	MLB	WSH	49%	289	266	63	12	2	10	18	67	3	6	1	237	293	410	702	173	279	23	6	304	91	-3	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.7
2030	28	MLB	WSH	52%	303	278	67	13	2	11	19	71	3	6	1	241	297	421	718	180	278	23	6	303	90	-3	+1	-0	+1	+9	0.7
2031	29	MLB	WSH	52%	300	275	65	12	2	10	19	71	3	6	1	236	293	404	697	167	277	24	6	302	89	-4	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.6
2032	30	MLB	WSH	52%	296	272	64	12	2	10	19	70	3	5	1	235	293	404	697	169	276	24	6	299	87	-4	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.5
2033	31	MLB	WSH	51%	291	269	63	12	2	10	18	70	2	4	1	234	287	405	692	171	273	24	6	295	84	-5	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.3
2034	32	MLB	WSH	56%	311	285	65	12	2	10	20	76	3	4	1	228	286	389	675	161	270	24	6	289	79	-7	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.1
2035	33	MLB	WSH	54%	260	240	52	9	1	8	16	65	2	3	0	217	271	362	634	146	265	25	6	282	74	-8	+1	-2	+1	+7	-0.1
2036	34	MLB	WSH	49%	201	185	40	7	1	6	12	52	2	2	0	216	271	362	634	146	259	26	6	273	67	-7	+0	-2	+1	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2692	2479	576	107	17	90	166	644	24	46	8	232	287	398	685	166	276	24	6	296	84	-47	+6	-10	+10	+76	3.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	599	139	26	4	22	40	155	6	11	2	232	287	399	686	167	275	24	6	296	84	-11	+1	-2	+2	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	7098	6532	1498	286	49	220	434	1747	68	145	30	229	284	389	673	160	277	25	6	296	84	-125	+17	-20	+25	+201	10.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	136	26	4	20	40	160	6	13	3	227	283	385	667	157	275	25	6	296	84	-11	+1	-2	+2	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	122	109	32	7	3	2	12	22	1	8	1	294	369	468	837	174	353	18	10	371	142	+6	+1	—	—	+3	1.1
2023	21	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	140	127	30	5	1	3	12	23	0	3	0	236	302	362	664	126	265	16	9	298	86	-2	+1	—	—	+4	0.2
2023	21	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	428	376	98	22	6	10	42	94	6	15	6	261	344	431	775	170	319	22	10	343	121	+10	+1	—	—	+12	2.3
2024	22	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	185	167	43	10	0	3	11	33	5	3	3	257	322	371	694	114	301	18	6	311	96	-1	-1	—	—	+5	0.4
2024	22	ROK	ACL Royals	—	21	19	5	0	0	0	1	4	1	1	1	263	333	263	596		333	19	5	284	75	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	23	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	481	426	103	21	3	10	40	113	6	16	2	242	316	376	691	134	299	23	8	306	93	-4	+2	—	—	+14	1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Vinny Castillalast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,579 PA	7	3,579	117	11	253	299	421	-2	+14	10.8	10.8
	/162	664	22	2	253	299	421	-0.3	+2.5	2.0	pk7: 11
#4Alex Gonzalezlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,150 PA	6	3,150	86	34	246	304	402	-0	+23	9.7	9.7
	/162	664	18	7	246	304	402	-0.0	+4.9	2.1	pk7: 10
#5Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	9	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	1	244	293	414	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#6Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,693	91	45	233	284	400	+10	+2	5.3	5.1
	/162	664	23	11	233	284	400	+2.4	+0.6	1.3	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cayden Wallace (OGILVIE)	24	45	40	50	40	250/293/456	206	276	26	16	21%	5%	104	+2.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	43	44→45	48→50	43	215/283/333	118	286	12	11	28%	7%	72	-0.2	206/263/326	120	268	13	7	28%	5%	62	-0.9	190/242/307	117	240	15	5	27%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Mark Mathias 2019 · AA	24	44→47	44→50	52→50	46	217/293/343	126	288	11	10	27%	8%	79	+0.3	231/291/365	134	292	12	13	24%	7%	83	+0.6	246/320/384	138	320	15	17	26%	9%	98	+1.0
✕Hudson Haskin 2023 · AA	24	46→44	44→40	49→50	42	223/302/343	120	303	11	11	28%	6%	83	+0.6	215/302/318	103	314	9	18	32%	8%	77	+0.1	198/295/280	82	307	7	24	34%	8%	62	-0.4
●Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	45→50	45→50	49→50	43	220/292/339	119	296	13	11	29%	7%	78	+0.2	243/315/397	154	291	18	10	22%	8%	102	+1.9	239/320/383	144	286	17	9	22%	9%	97	+1.2
✕Andre Lipcius 2022 · AA	24	43→49	45→50	48→45	46	216/277/342	126	275	12	7	26%	8%	71	-0.3	233/304/373	140	288	16	8	23%	9%	91	+1.1	234/306/379	145	288	18	7	24%	9%	90	+1.0
✕Joey Ortiz 2022 · AA	24	44→54	43→50	53→50	44	216/281/329	114	290	9	11	28%	7%	70	-0.3	243/299/384	141	299	12	10	22%	7%	91	+1.1	247/310/396	149	300	13	11	21%	7%	96	+1.2
✕Chris Nelson 2010 · AA	24	46→52	46→50	51→50	45	227/283/362	135	282	12	13	24%	7%	79	+0.3	236/282/361	125	288	13	9	22%	5%	78	+0.2	244/287/369	125	306	12	6	24%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Ryan Cordell 2016 · AA	24	46→42	48→50	55→50	40	231/277/375	145	296	16	15	28%	5%	80	+0.4	213/258/354	141	278	16	14	29%	5%	66	-0.6	198/242/334	136	256	16	14	29%	5%	53	-0.8
✕Brian Barden 2006 · AAA	25	49→50	45	50→45	40	242/288/372	130	307	12	13	25%	4%	84	+0.6	235/286/348	113	292	10	5	22%	5%	76	+0.1	266/315/383	117	334	11	3	23%	6%	95	+0.6
✕Michael Almanzar 2015 · AAA	24	46→48	46→50	49→45	40	231/279/361	131	287	14	9	25%	5%	77	+0.1	207/245/312	105	266	11	3	26%	4%	50	-1.8	200/234/300	99	256	11	1	26%	3%	39	-1.9
✕Travis Jones 2010 · AA	24	44→47	44→45	49→50	47	216/291/336	119	284	12	16	27%	8%	76	+0.1	213/280/326	113	296	11	13	30%	7%	69	-0.4	186/255/296	110	258	13	10	32%	7%	49	-0.8
✕Andy Burns 2015 · AA	24	44→54	47→50	52→55	42	223/269/366	143	279	13	17	25%	5%	74	-0.1	233/273/332	99	288	8	11	21%	5%	66	-0.6	204/283/338	134	261	15	10	27%	10%	70	-0.2
✕Tim Tawa 2023 · AA	24	42→44	47→50	49→50	46	213/276/339	126	264	16	12	25%	8%	70	-0.3	208/272/338	130	272	15	11	28%	8%	69	-0.4	216/281/385	169	263	20	13	26%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Marco Guzman 2019 · AAA	24	47	44→45	51→50	38	232/267/350	117	302	11	12	27%	4%	69	-0.4	229/272/354	125	315	11	11	29%	5%	72	-0.2	228/269/355	126	318	8	9	30%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Blaze Alexander 2023 · AAA	24	42→48	48→45	49→50	38	209/276/352	142	316	17	13	37%	7%	75	-0.0	217/295/345	128	327	14	10	35%	8%	80	+0.4	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Mycal Jones 2012 · AA	25	43→45	45	50→55	43	216/278/345	130	286	12	15	28%	7%	72	-0.2	210/265/300	90	274	7	21	25%	6%	55	-1.4	219/277/306	87	283	6	24	24%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Starlin Rodriguez 2014 · AA	24	48→54	43→45	48→50	39	234/284/347	113	306	10	11	26%	4%	75	-0.0	221/276/345	124	287	11	9	26%	6%	72	-0.2	229/288/384	155	293	15	5	26%	6%	85	+0.4
✕Nick Loftin 2023 · AAA	24	44→53	48→50	53→50	46	225/285/363	138	263	16	18	21%	7%	81	+0.4	240/309/371	131	275	15	13	18%	8%	92	+1.2	240/320/368	128	270	14	11	16%	9%	94	+0.9
✕Tommy Field 2011 · A	24	46→53	46→45	50→45	43	229/298/358	128	297	13	10	26%	6%	85	+0.7	228/292/348	120	297	12	8	26%	7%	79	+0.3	219/289/348	130	274	13	7	24%	8%	76	+0.1
✕Corey Toups 2017 · AA	24	46→49	44→45	56→50	42	225/284/353	127	299	10	17	27%	6%	77	+0.1	204/263/312	108	308	10	15	35%	6%	58	-1.2	184/246/278	94	290	9	16	37%	6%	39	-1.5