Cayden Wallace — OGILVIE

Cayden Wallace3B Harrisburg Senators

Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION531 act + 8 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .125 / .125

PA8

HR0

K%25

BB%6

BABIP277

ISO131

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$17M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	122	109	32	7	3	2	12	22	1	8	1	294	369	468	837	174	353	18	10	371	137	+5	+1	—	—	+3	0.9
2023	21	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	140	127	30	5	1	3	12	23	0	3	0	236	302	362	664	126	265	16	9	298	88	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2023	21	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	428	376	98	22	6	10	42	94	6	15	6	261	344	431	775	170	319	22	10	343	118	+9	+1	—	—	+9	2.0
2024	22	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	185	167	43	10	0	3	11	33	5	3	3	257	322	371	694	114	301	18	6	311	97	-1	-1	—	—	+4	0.3
2024	22	ROK	ACL Royals	—	21	19	5	0	0	0	1	4	1	1	1	263	333	263	596		333	19	5	284	78	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2025	23	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	481	426	103	21	3	10	40	113	6	16	2	242	316	376	691	134	299	23	8	306	94	-4	+2	—	—	+10	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	122	114	24	5	2	1	7	33	1	8	1	211	262	316	578	105	298	27	6	269	68	-5	+1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2023	21	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	140	131	26	4	1	3	8	28	0	3	0	198	245	313	558	115	218	20	6	235	45	-9	+1	—	—	+3	-0.6
2023	21	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	428	387	84	18	5	8	31	126	6	15	6	217	285	351	637	134	291	29	7	278	74	-13	+1	—	—	+9	-0.3
2024	22	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	185	171	38	9	0	2	7	40	5	3	3	222	273	310	583	88	270	22	4	260	62	-8	-1	—	—	+4	-0.5
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	21	19	4	0	0	0	1	6	1	1	1	211	286	211	496		266	29	5	202	23	-2	-0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2025	23	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	481	438	92	20	3	8	28	139	6	16	2	210	267	324	591	114	269	29	6	257	60	-23	+2	—	—	+10	-1.0
2022	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	122	114	24	5	2	1	7	33	1	8	1	211	262	316	578	105	287	27	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	122	109	32	7	3	2	12	22	1	8	1	294	369	468	837	174	353	18	10	371	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	568	517	108	22	6	10	40	154	6	18	6	209	274	333	606	124	274	27	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	568	503	128	27	7	13	54	117	6	18	6	254	334	414	747	159	304	21	10	332	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	206	190	42	9	0	2	8	46	6	4	4	221	275	300	575	79	278	22	4	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	206	186	48	10	0	3	12	37	6	4	4	258	324	360	684	102	304	18	6	308	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	481	438	92	20	3	8	28	139	6	16	2	210	267	324	591	114	281	29	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Harrisburg Senators	—	481	426	103	21	3	10	40	113	6	16	2	242	316	376	691	134	299	23	8	306	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	122	113	24	5	2	1	7	33	1	8	1	212	262	319	581	106	298	27	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	568	517	108	22	6	10	40	154	6	18	6	209	274	333	606	124	273	27	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	206	190	42	9	0	2	8	46	6	4	4	221	275	300	575	79	270	22	4	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	481	444	92	20	3	8	28	139	6	16	2	207	267	320	587	113	269	29	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	568	517	108	22	6	10	40	154	6	18	6	209	274	333	606	124	273	27	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	206	190	42	9	0	2	8	46	6	4	4	221	275	300	575	79	270	22	4	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	481	444	92	20	3	8	28	139	6	16	2	207	267	320	587	113	269	29	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	WSH	—	531	497	126	21	4	22	26	109	4	17	5	254	296	445	741	191	281	21	5	314	99	-1	+1	+0	+2	+12	1.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA RAW	WSH	—	318	290	87	16	3	18	23	50	2	9	1	300	354	562	916	262	308	16	7	395	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AAA RAW	WSH	—	213	194	59	10	1	11	15	40	2	8	4	304	360	536	896	232	331	19	7	389	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	AA MLE	WSH	2%	8	8	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	125	125	125	250		279	25	0	303	91	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	24	AA MLE	WSH	—	539	505	127	21	4	22	26	111	4	17	5	251	293	440	733	188	279	21	5	314	99	-1	+1	+0	+2	+12	1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	WSH	31%	562	521	125	23	4	18	31	125	5	13	4	240	289	403	692	163	279	22	6	304	92	-6	+1	+0	+2	+12	1.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	WSH	45%	577	534	129	24	4	19	33	128	5	14	4	242	292	408	700	167	280	22	6	306	93	-5	+1	+0	+2	+13	1.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	WSH	49%	582	537	129	24	3	19	35	130	5	14	4	240	293	402	695	162	280	22	6	307	94	-4	+1	+0	+2	+13	1.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	WSH	52%	581	535	128	24	3	19	36	130	5	13	4	239	293	402	695	163	280	22	6	307	94	-4	+1	-1	+2	+13	1.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	WSH	52%	576	530	125	23	3	18	36	130	5	12	3	236	291	392	683	157	279	23	6	305	92	-5	+1	-1	+2	+12	0.9
2032	30	MLB MLE	WSH	52%	569	524	124	23	3	18	35	130	5	11	3	237	291	395	686	158	278	23	6	302	90	-7	+1	-2	+2	+12	0.7
2033	31	MLB MLE	WSH	51%	401	369	86	16	2	12	25	93	4	7	2	233	289	385	674	152	275	23	6	297	87	-6	+1	-3	+1	+9	0.2
2034	32	MLB MLE	WSH	56%	384	354	81	15	2	11	24	91	3	5	2	229	283	376	659	147	272	24	6	291	83	-8	+0	-4	+1	+8	-0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	WSH	31%	174	161	39	7	1	6	9	39	2	4	1	242	291	410	701	168	277	22	5	295	92	-2	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	WSH	45%	257	238	57	11	1	8	15	57	2	6	2	239	290	395	685	155	278	22	6	298	93	-2	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.5
2029	27	MLB CTX	WSH	49%	286	264	63	12	1	9	17	64	3	7	2	239	292	394	686	155	279	22	6	299	94	-2	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.6
2030	28	MLB CTX	WSH	52%	300	276	65	12	1	10	18	67	3	7	2	236	290	395	684	159	278	22	6	298	94	-2	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.6
2031	29	MLB CTX	WSH	52%	297	274	64	12	1	9	18	67	3	6	2	234	288	383	671	150	277	23	6	296	92	-3	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.5
2032	30	MLB CTX	WSH	52%	293	270	63	12	1	9	18	67	3	5	2	233	289	385	674	152	276	23	6	294	90	-3	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.3
2033	31	MLB CTX	WSH	51%	207	190	44	8	1	6	13	48	2	3	1	232	288	379	667	147	274	23	6	289	87	-3	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.1
2034	32	MLB CTX	WSH	56%	214	197	44	8	1	6	13	51	2	3	1	223	278	365	644	142	270	24	6	284	83	-4	+0	-2	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2028	1870	439	82	8	63	121	460	20	41	13	235	288	388	677	153	277	23	6	295	84	-22	+3	-6	+7	+44	2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	141	26	3	20	39	147	6	13	4	235	289	389	678	154	278	23	6	295	84	-7	+1	-2	+2	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5617	5171	1194	228	35	155	338	1331	56	135	39	231	285	378	664	148	279	24	6	293	84	-44	+7	-10	+15	+92	6.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	138	26	4	18	39	154	6	16	5	231	284	378	662	147	279	24	6	293	84	-7	+1	-2	+2	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Kevin Pillarlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,353 PA	6.6	4,353	114	108	256	294	407	+9	+16	12.6	12.4
/162	664	17	16	+1.4	+2.5	1.9	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	5.4	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
/162	664	24	1	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#5Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#6Tim Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,743 PA	2.6	1,743	63	13	248	301	431	+19	-13	6.1	6.1
/162	664	24	5	+7.1	-4.8	2.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.1	2,035	64	42	238	288	397	+7	+2	4.4	4.3
/162	664	21	14	+2.4	+0.7	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cayden Wallace (OGILVIE)	24	45	40	50	40	237/284/398	161	279	10	9	22%	5%	91	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	45	45	48→50	43	224/290/348	124	291	13	11	27%	6%	81	-0.1	210/266/326	116	267	13	7	26%	5%	68	-1.0	191/245/302	111	237	14	5	25%	5%	51	-1.2
✕Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	44→52	44→45	49→50	43	218/288/335	117	294	12	11	29%	7%	78	-0.3	241/313/376	135	292	15	10	22%	8%	96	+1.0	238/318/367	129	288	14	9	21%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Hudson Haskin 2023 · AA	24	47→45	44→40	49→50	42	225/305/347	122	302	11	11	27%	6%	87	+0.4	212/299/312	100	310	8	18	32%	7%	77	-0.3	190/287/264	74	299	6	24	34%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Jack Marder 2014 · AA	24	46	42→45	49→50	42	224/280/330	106	275	9	14	22%	5%	73	-0.6	231/295/337	106	282	9	9	21%	6%	80	-0.1	248/319/355	107	294	9	3	18%	6%	92	+0.3
✕Joey Ortiz 2022 · AA	24	45→55	43→50	54→50	44	218/283/334	116	289	10	11	27%	7%	75	-0.5	243/298/379	136	297	11	10	21%	7%	91	+0.6	246/308/389	142	298	12	11	21%	7%	94	+0.8
✕Chris Nelson 2010 · AA	24	46→56	45→50	51→50	45	227/283/359	132	281	12	13	23%	7%	80	-0.1	247/292/377	130	299	13	9	21%	5%	88	+0.4	257/301/390	133	311	13	7	21%	5%	91	+0.5
✕Michael Almanzar 2015 · AAA	24	47→50	45	49→45	41	232/280/355	124	286	13	9	24%	5%	78	-0.3	205/244/296	91	265	8	3	25%	4%	51	-2.3	197/232/280	84	256	8	1	26%	3%	40	-2.3
✕Mark Mathias 2019 · AA	24	43→46	42→50	52→50	46	210/285/321	111	276	8	10	26%	8%	73	-0.6	224/286/345	121	284	10	13	24%	7%	79	-0.2	238/314/366	128	312	14	17	27%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Andre Lipcius 2022 · AA	24	43→49	44→45	48→45	46	214/273/331	117	273	11	7	25%	8%	70	-0.8	230/300/357	127	286	13	8	23%	9%	86	+0.3	229/301/358	129	284	15	7	24%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Brian Barden 2006 · AAA	25	49→50	45	50→45	40	242/290/373	130	308	12	13	25%	5%	86	+0.3	235/287/348	113	292	10	5	22%	6%	80	-0.2	265/312/381	117	333	11	3	23%	5%	94	+0.4
✕Tim Tawa 2023 · AA	24	42→44	45→55	49→50	46	211/275/328	117	264	14	12	25%	8%	70	-0.8	213/275/347	134	274	15	11	27%	7%	76	-0.4	224/287/394	170	271	21	14	25%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Ryan Cordell 2016 · AA	24	46→43	48→50	55→50	40	233/279/376	143	297	16	15	27%	5%	83	+0.1	216/261/356	140	281	15	14	28%	5%	72	-0.7	202/246/339	137	261	15	14	28%	5%	61	-0.8
✕Alan Espinoza 2015 · AAA	24	47	44→50	49→45	43	233/284/346	113	284	12	9	22%	6%	78	-0.3	226/272/369	143	266	17	6	22%	5%	79	-0.2	247/287/387	140	284	16	3	19%	4%	87	+0.2
✕Yairo Muñoz 2018 · AAA	23	47→55	44→45	50→55	39	234/264/354	120	283	12	14	22%	4%	72	-0.7	257/302/384	127	318	13	15	22%	6%	93	+0.8	271/315/381	111	327	11	18	20%	5%	92	+0.4
✕Travis Jones 2010 · AA	24	44→48	44→45	49→50	47	218/292/335	118	284	11	16	26%	8%	79	-0.2	214/281/326	112	293	11	13	29%	7%	72	-0.7	186/255/295	109	253	13	10	31%	7%	55	-0.9
✕Joshua Rodriguez 2009 · AA	24	45→54	44→45	51→50	48	221/283/342	121	278	10	11	24%	8%	76	-0.4	234/297/342	108	304	9	9	24%	8%	82	-0.0	241/303/338	98	310	10	6	24%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Andy Burns 2015 · AA	24	45→55	46→50	52→55	43	226/273/365	139	277	12	17	23%	6%	78	-0.3	230/272/325	95	282	7	11	20%	5%	68	-1.0	199/279/320	121	257	13	10	27%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Jake Lemmerman 2013 · AA	24	47→50	43→45	50→45	46	224/297/338	114	298	9	8	26%	8%	82	-0.0	199/274/302	103	276	9	9	29%	8%	65	-1.2	178/257/272	94	246	9	9	30%	9%	50	-1.2
✕Jonathan Galvez 2015 · AAA	24	48	43→45	47→55	42	232/285/343	112	309	10	13	28%	6%	78	-0.3	224/277/327	103	308	8	10	28%	6%	71	-0.8	216/264/293	78	305	3	6	29%	5%	55	-1.0
✕Blaze Alexander 2023 · AAA	24	44→48	48→45	49→50	39	217/285/358	141	323	16	13	36%	7%	82	-0.0	224/302/354	130	333	14	10	34%	8%	87	+0.4	239/319/362	123	339	12	15	30%	8%	93	+0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps