Cayden Wallace3B
Harrisburg Senators
Age 24
R/R
6'0" / 205 lbs
AA
HR -9%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 1.0 · 2026
wRC+†97
AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .275 / .337
PA320
HR6
SB10
K%27
BB%6
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
40→40
SPD
50→50
EYE
41↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.9peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.0 | $9M | +$8M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.7M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.3M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $12M | $19M | +$8M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 122 | 114 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 1 | 8 | 1 | .219 | .270 | .351 | .621 | .132 | .291 | 27 | 6 | .273 | 67 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | 2 teams | 568 | 516 | 111 | 22 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 148 | 6 | 18 | 6 | .215 | .281 | .343 | .624 | .128 | .278 | 26 | 7 | .274 | 68 | -21 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +16 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | 2 teams | 206 | 190 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 47 | 6 | 4 | 4 | .221 | .275 | .311 | .585 | .089 | .275 | 23 | 4 | .257 | 55 | -10 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 481 | 438 | 92 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 145 | 6 | 16 | 2 | .210 | .267 | .329 | .596 | .119 | .284 | 30 | 6 | .262 | 59 | -22 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 80 | 72 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 1 | .306 | .367 | .528 | .895 | .222 | .373 | 24 | 8 | .368 | 140 | +4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.7 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | WSH | 240 | 219 | 50 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 64 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .228 | .290 | .361 | .651 | .132 | .297 | 27 | 7 | .293 | 82 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.3 |
| TOT | 24 | MLB | WSH | 320 | 291 | 72 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 83 | 4 | 10 | 3 | .247 | .309 | .402 | .711 | .155 | .317 | 26 | 7 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | 1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 11% | WSH | 370 | 336 | 78 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 89 | 4 | 9 | 2 | .232 | .297 | .369 | .666 | .137 | .287 | 24 | 7 | .297 | 85 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 26% | WSH | 407 | 368 | 86 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 98 | 5 | 10 | 2 | .234 | .302 | .378 | .680 | .144 | .288 | 24 | 8 | .300 | 88 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 44% | WSH | 420 | 380 | 89 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 32 | 101 | 5 | 10 | 2 | .234 | .302 | .376 | .678 | .142 | .288 | 24 | 8 | .302 | 89 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 53% | WSH | 425 | 384 | 89 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 103 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .232 | .301 | .372 | .673 | .141 | .288 | 24 | 8 | .301 | 89 | -5 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 64% | WSH | 420 | 379 | 88 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 103 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .232 | .302 | .375 | .677 | .142 | .287 | 25 | 8 | .299 | 87 | -6 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 73% | WSH | 414 | 374 | 85 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 103 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .227 | .297 | .361 | .658 | .134 | .286 | 25 | 8 | .296 | 85 | -7 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 81% | WSH | 401 | 362 | 81 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 101 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .224 | .294 | .354 | .648 | .130 | .284 | 25 | 8 | .292 | 82 | -8 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 384 | 347 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 99 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .219 | .289 | .343 | .632 | .124 | .283 | 26 | 8 | .287 | 78 | -9 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +11 | 0.0 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 355 | 320 | 70 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 94 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .219 | .290 | .341 | .630 | .122 | .281 | 26 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -10 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 311 | 281 | 60 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 85 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .214 | .282 | .335 | .617 | .121 | .279 | 27 | 8 | .276 | 69 | -11 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +9 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5524 | 5008 | 1122 | 225 | 40 | 116 | 401 | 1413 | 67 | 119 | 27 | .224 | .290 | .354 | .645 | .130 | .286 | 26 | 7 | .287 | 78 | -138 | +13 | -20 | +20 | +157 | 3.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 589 | 132 | 26 | 5 | 14 | 47 | 166 | 8 | 14 | 3 | .224 | .290 | .357 | .646 | .132 | .286 | 26 | 7 | .287 | 78 | -16 | +2 | -2 | +2 | +18 | 0.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 122 | 109 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 1 | .294 | .369 | .468 | .837 | .174 | .353 | 18 | 10 | .371 | 142 | +6 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 1.1 |
| 2023 | 21 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 140 | 127 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .236 | .302 | .362 | .664 | .126 | .265 | 16 | 9 | .298 | 86 | -2 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 428 | 376 | 98 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 42 | 94 | 6 | 15 | 6 | .261 | .344 | .431 | .775 | .170 | .319 | 22 | 10 | .343 | 121 | +10 | +1 | — | — | +12 | 2.3 |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 185 | 167 | 43 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 5 | 3 | 3 | .257 | .322 | .371 | .694 | .114 | .301 | 18 | 6 | .311 | 96 | -1 | -1 | — | — | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK | ACL Royals | 21 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .263 | .333 | .263 | .596 | .000 | .333 | 19 | 5 | .284 | 75 | -1 | -0 | — | — | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 481 | 426 | 103 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 113 | 6 | 16 | 2 | .242 | .316 | .376 | .691 | .134 | .299 | 23 | 8 | .306 | 93 | -4 | +2 | — | — | +14 | 1.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Cayden Wallace (OGILVIE) | 24 | 45 | 40 | 50 | 40 | .215/.275/.337 | .122 | .283 | 6 | 7 | 27% | 6% | 70 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A |
24 | 44 | 45 | 48→50 | 42 | .218/.280/.341 | .124 | .281 | 13 | 11 | 27% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .212/.267/.334 | .122 | .269 | 14 | 7 | 26% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .195/.248/.310 | .116 | .241 | 15 | 5 | 25% | 5% | 48 | -1.0 |
|
✕Brett Harris 2022 · A |
24 | 45→50 | 45 | 49→50 | 43 | .220/.290/.339 | .119 | .296 | 12 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .239/.311/.381 | .142 | .289 | 16 | 10 | 22% | 8% | 96 | +1.5 | .236/.316/.369 | .133 | .284 | 15 | 9 | 22% | 8% | 91 | +0.9 |
|
✕Jack Marder 2014 · AA |
24 | 46 | 43→45 | 49→50 | 42 | .226/.281/.334 | .109 | .279 | 10 | 14 | 22% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .229/.293/.339 | .110 | .281 | 10 | 9 | 21% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .245/.316/.361 | .116 | .291 | 11 | 3 | 19% | 6% | 91 | +0.5 |
|
✕Mark Mathias 2019 · AA |
24 | 44→46 | 42→50 | 52→50 | 45 | .212/.285/.324 | .112 | .284 | 9 | 10 | 27% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .226/.290/.356 | .130 | .287 | 12 | 13 | 24% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .243/.319/.380 | .137 | .317 | 15 | 17 | 26% | 9% | 97 | +0.9 |
|
✕Hudson Haskin 2023 · AA |
24 | 47→46 | 45 | 49→50 | 42 | .229/.307/.356 | .127 | .308 | 12 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 89 | +0.9 | .218/.303/.327 | .109 | .315 | 10 | 17 | 32% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .196/.291/.278 | .082 | .303 | 7 | 24 | 34% | 8% | 59 | -0.4 |
|
✕Andre Lipcius 2022 · AA |
24 | 43→50 | 44→50 | 48→45 | 46 | .215/.274/.331 | .116 | .276 | 11 | 7 | 26% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .231/.302/.363 | .132 | .287 | 14 | 8 | 23% | 9% | 87 | +0.8 | .231/.303/.365 | .135 | .286 | 16 | 7 | 24% | 9% | 86 | +0.7 |
|
✕Tyler Saladino 2013 · AAA |
24 | 44→46 | 43→45 | 53→55 | 47 | .215/.289/.328 | .113 | .286 | 9 | 18 | 27% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .221/.282/.318 | .097 | .282 | 8 | 22 | 23% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .253/.299/.369 | .116 | .300 | 11 | 25 | 19% | 5% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
✕Jonathan Galvez 2015 · AAA |
24 | 48 | 43→45 | 48→55 | 41 | .231/.284/.343 | .111 | .310 | 10 | 14 | 28% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .223/.275/.325 | .102 | .308 | 8 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .216/.266/.294 | .078 | .308 | 3 | 6 | 29% | 5% | 50 | -0.9 |
|
✕Travis Jones 2010 · AA |
24 | 43→46 | 45 | 49→50 | 47 | .215/.289/.341 | .126 | .280 | 13 | 16 | 27% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .212/.279/.326 | .114 | .292 | 11 | 14 | 30% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .185/.253/.296 | .111 | .252 | 14 | 10 | 31% | 7% | 48 | -0.8 |
|
✕Mycal Jones 2012 · AA |
25 | 42→46 | 44→45 | 50→55 | 42 | .209/.269/.332 | .122 | .277 | 11 | 15 | 28% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .209/.266/.298 | .089 | .271 | 7 | 21 | 24% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .222/.282/.307 | .085 | .285 | 6 | 24 | 23% | 7% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Tim Tawa 2023 · AA |
24 | 42→43 | 46→50 | 49→50 | 46 | .211/.275/.332 | .121 | .266 | 14 | 12 | 26% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .209/.273/.344 | .135 | .272 | 16 | 11 | 28% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .204/.271/.351 | .147 | .261 | 18 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Corey Toups 2017 · AA |
24 | 46→47 | 44→45 | 56→50 | 43 | .224/.285/.348 | .124 | .297 | 10 | 16 | 27% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .204/.266/.311 | .107 | .308 | 9 | 15 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .184/.250/.275 | .091 | .296 | 8 | 16 | 38% | 7% | 40 | -1.4 |
|
✕Matt Mangini 2010 · AA |
24 | 44→50 | 44→45 | 49→45 | 40 | .218/.271/.331 | .113 | .293 | 12 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .248/.290/.362 | .114 | .327 | 11 | 6 | 26% | 5% | 81 | +0.4 | .260/.301/.363 | .103 | .345 | 10 | 4 | 26% | 5% | 83 | +0.3 |
|
✕Marco Guzman 2019 · AAA |
24 | 46 | 43→50 | 51→50 | 38 | .229/.265/.342 | .113 | .300 | 11 | 12 | 27% | 4% | 66 | -0.6 | .230/.272/.356 | .126 | .318 | 11 | 11 | 30% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .231/.271/.361 | .131 | .323 | 9 | 9 | 30% | 5% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA |
24 | 41→45 | 42→45 | 51→60 | 43 | .204/.265/.308 | .104 | .270 | 9 | 19 | 27% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .226/.285/.324 | .098 | .310 | 8 | 27 | 27% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .227/.288/.355 | .128 | .309 | 13 | 42 | 29% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Joey Ortiz 2022 · AA |
24 | 45→55 | 44→50 | 53→50 | 44 | .219/.285/.340 | .121 | .291 | 11 | 11 | 28% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .246/.301/.390 | .144 | .301 | 13 | 10 | 22% | 7% | 93 | +1.3 | .250/.313/.398 | .148 | .304 | 13 | 11 | 21% | 7% | 97 | +1.3 |
|
✕Vinny Capra 2022 · AA |
26 | 46→48 | 45 | 51→50 | 41 | .227/.282/.352 | .125 | .308 | 12 | 11 | 29% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .245/.309/.362 | .117 | .309 | 11 | 10 | 23% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .239/.308/.330 | .092 | .293 | 8 | 11 | 20% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Jake Lemmerman 2014 · AA |
25 | 44→50 | 42→45 | 51→45 | 46 | .213/.290/.322 | .110 | .290 | 10 | 10 | 28% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .194/.266/.303 | .109 | .276 | 10 | 9 | 31% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .146/.218/.245 | .099 | .206 | 10 | 4 | 33% | 8% | 20 | -1.6 |
|
✕Ryan McKenna 2021 · AA |
24 | 46→56 | 42→50 | 49→55 | 45 | .222/.287/.328 | .106 | .299 | 9 | 14 | 28% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .220/.293/.356 | .136 | .321 | 15 | 13 | 33% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .218/.295/.357 | .140 | .319 | 16 | 13 | 34% | 9% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Stuart Fairchild 2021 · AA |
25 | 44→43 | 44→50 | 47→55 | 42 | .213/.278/.333 | .119 | .289 | 10 | 10 | 29% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .224/.300/.381 | .157 | .295 | 17 | 13 | 29% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .220/.305/.384 | .164 | .292 | 18 | 16 | 29% | 8% | 91 | +0.6 |