Michael Almanzar
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 25 | AAABAL | 450 | .241/.300/.380 | 10 | 1 | 57 | — | .209/.248/.339 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 409 | .251/.291/.381 | 9 | 0 | 50 | — | .212/.243/.312 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAASyracuse Chie… | 61 | .207/.246/.241 | 0 | 0 | 18 | — | .186/.213/.220 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 17 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 147 | 140 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 207 | 240 | 314 | 554 | 107 | 270 | 27 | 3 | 246 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 17 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | — | 99 | 89 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 348 | 414 | 472 | 886 | 124 | 411 | 15 | 8 | 397 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 203 | 188 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 53 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 262 | 293 | 555 | 85 | 271 | 26 | 4 | 253 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 531 | 487 | 120 | 27 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 114 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 246 | 298 | 376 | 674 | 129 | 296 | 21 | 6 | 298 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 234 | 220 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 55 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 182 | 224 | 245 | 470 | 64 | 232 | 24 | 4 | 214 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 191 | 177 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 220 | 270 | 311 | 581 | 90 | 266 | 20 | 3 | 262 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 498 | 454 | 136 | 36 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 77 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 300 | 356 | 458 | 814 | 159 | 336 | 15 | 7 | 359 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 92 | 81 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 185 | 275 | 235 | 509 | 49 | 238 | 21 | 8 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 561 | 507 | 136 | 29 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 100 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 268 | 332 | 432 | 763 | 164 | 302 | 18 | 7 | 336 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 18 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 167 | 294 | 461 | 176 | 91 | 28 | 6 | 205 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 188 | 166 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 277 | 358 | 422 | 780 | 145 | 333 | 21 | 6 | 351 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 19 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 211 | 235 | 446 | 118 | 154 | 21 | 5 | 211 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 37 | 35 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 270 | 371 | 642 | 143 | 241 | 14 | 3 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 540 | 502 | 113 | 26 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 93 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 225 | 273 | 301 | 574 | 76 | 266 | 17 | 5 | 259 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 15 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 77 | 77 | 154 | 77 | 7 | 0 | 60 | -73 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 450 | 410 | 99 | 23 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 106 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 241 | 300 | 380 | 680 | 139 | 299 | 24 | 7 | 301 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 390 | 366 | 93 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 92 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 254 | 295 | 385 | 680 | 131 | 313 | 24 | 4 | 301 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 19 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 294 | 516 | 118 | 188 | 11 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 61 | 58 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 246 | 241 | 487 | 34 | 261 | 20 | 3 | 225 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 17 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 147 | 141 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 177 | 205 | 277 | 482 | 99 | 251 | 35 | 3 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 99 | 92 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 261 | 313 | 359 | 672 | 98 | 322 | 22 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 203 | 191 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 168 | 213 | 225 | 438 | 58 | 255 | 35 | 3 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 531 | 497 | 97 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 151 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 195 | 235 | 274 | 509 | 78 | 258 | 28 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 234 | 223 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 82 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 152 | 185 | 206 | 392 | 54 | 224 | 35 | 3 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 191 | 179 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 54 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 173 | 217 | 246 | 463 | 73 | 228 | 28 | 2 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 498 | 468 | 119 | 28 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 109 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 254 | 294 | 385 | 678 | 130 | 302 | 22 | 4 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 561 | 519 | 128 | 25 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 123 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 247 | 295 | 376 | 671 | 129 | 293 | 22 | 5 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 18 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 167 | 294 | 461 | 176 | 84 | 33 | 6 | 148 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 188 | 170 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 253 | 321 | 371 | 691 | 118 | 317 | 26 | 4 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 19 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 211 | 235 | 446 | 118 | 130 | 32 | 5 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 540 | 511 | 102 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 116 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 236 | 260 | 496 | 61 | 245 | 21 | 3 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 450 | 422 | 88 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 129 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 209 | 248 | 339 | 587 | 130 | 262 | 29 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 390 | 372 | 79 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 110 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 212 | 243 | 312 | 555 | 99 | 275 | 28 | 3 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 61 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 213 | 220 | 433 | 34 | 242 | 23 | 2 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 17 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 233 | 47 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 74 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 202 | 241 | 279 | 520 | 77 | 285 | 30 | 4 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 17 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 246 | 229 | 60 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 54 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 262 | 310 | 376 | 686 | 114 | 329 | 22 | 5 | 307 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 203 | 191 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 168 | 213 | 225 | 438 | 58 | 252 | 35 | 3 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | A RAW | Greenville Drive | — | 203 | 188 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 53 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 262 | 293 | 555 | 85 | 271 | 26 | 4 | 253 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 531 | 497 | 97 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 151 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 195 | 235 | 274 | 509 | 78 | 266 | 28 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A RAW | Greenville Drive | — | 531 | 487 | 120 | 27 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 114 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 246 | 298 | 376 | 674 | 129 | 296 | 21 | 6 | 298 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 425 | 402 | 64 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 136 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 159 | 197 | 214 | 411 | 55 | 229 | 32 | 2 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 425 | 397 | 79 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 93 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 199 | 245 | 275 | 519 | 76 | 248 | 22 | 4 | 236 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 590 | 553 | 141 | 33 | 0 | 13 | 22 | 129 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 255 | 296 | 385 | 681 | 130 | 308 | 22 | 4 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 590 | 535 | 151 | 40 | 0 | 12 | 40 | 96 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 282 | 344 | 424 | 768 | 142 | 322 | 16 | 7 | 341 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 561 | 519 | 128 | 25 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 123 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 247 | 295 | 376 | 671 | 129 | 297 | 22 | 5 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA RAW | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 561 | 507 | 136 | 29 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 100 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 268 | 332 | 432 | 763 | 164 | 302 | 18 | 7 | 336 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 262 | 239 | 53 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 70 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 287 | 331 | 618 | 109 | 291 | 27 | 4 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 262 | 235 | 58 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 247 | 322 | 391 | 713 | 145 | 290 | 20 | 6 | 321 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 555 | 523 | 104 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 119 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 199 | 235 | 258 | 494 | 59 | 248 | 21 | 3 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 555 | 515 | 114 | 26 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 94 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 268 | 295 | 563 | 74 | 260 | 17 | 5 | 254 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 450 | 422 | 88 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 129 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 209 | 248 | 339 | 587 | 130 | 269 | 29 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA RAW | Norfolk Tides | — | 450 | 410 | 99 | 23 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 106 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 241 | 300 | 380 | 680 | 139 | 299 | 24 | 7 | 301 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 409 | 389 | 84 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 115 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 216 | 247 | 321 | 568 | 105 | 281 | 28 | 3 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 409 | 383 | 96 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 94 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 251 | 291 | 381 | 673 | 131 | 306 | 23 | 4 | 297 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 61 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 213 | 220 | 433 | 34 | 244 | 23 | 2 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA RAW | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 61 | 58 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 246 | 241 | 487 | 34 | 261 | 20 | 3 | 225 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 17 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 232 | 47 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 74 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 203 | 241 | 280 | 521 | 78 | 280 | 30 | 4 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 203 | 190 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 71 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 168 | 213 | 226 | 439 | 58 | 255 | 35 | 3 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 531 | 500 | 97 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 151 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 194 | 235 | 272 | 507 | 78 | 258 | 28 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 425 | 403 | 64 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 136 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 159 | 197 | 213 | 411 | 55 | 226 | 32 | 2 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 590 | 553 | 141 | 33 | 0 | 13 | 22 | 129 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 255 | 296 | 385 | 681 | 130 | 302 | 22 | 4 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 561 | 520 | 128 | 25 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 123 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 246 | 295 | 375 | 670 | 129 | 293 | 22 | 5 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 262 | 238 | 53 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 70 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 223 | 287 | 332 | 619 | 109 | 283 | 27 | 4 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 555 | 525 | 104 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 119 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 198 | 235 | 257 | 493 | 59 | 245 | 21 | 3 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 450 | 425 | 88 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 129 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 207 | 248 | 336 | 584 | 129 | 262 | 29 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 409 | 390 | 84 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 115 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 215 | 247 | 321 | 567 | 105 | 275 | 28 | 3 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 61 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 213 | 220 | 433 | 34 | 242 | 23 | 2 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4293 | 4027 | 849 | 171 | 12 | 63 | 158 | 1131 | 65 | 38 | 21 | 211 | 252 | 306 | 558 | 95 | 274 | 26 | 4 | 245 | 52 | -246 | -1 | +0 | +15 | +93 | -14.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 610 | 129 | 26 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 171 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 211 | 253 | 310 | 563 | 98 | 274 | 26 | 4 | 245 | 52 | -37 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 61 PAwOBA .220 → .195 (−25)K% 19.7% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.67% | ÷1.044 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.28% | ÷0.956 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 2.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.64% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷1.044 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 20.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 4.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.205 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 109, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 109, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .220 → .195; ISO .034 → .031; BABIP .261 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 390 PAwOBA .294 → .244 (−50)K% 23.6% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.59% | ÷1.005 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.85% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 2.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.28% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.72% | ÷0.997 | ×0.930 | ×0.980 | ×1.003 | 21.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.20% | ÷1.081 | ×0.830 | ×0.980 | ×1.003 | 4.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.73% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.980 | ×1.003 | 0.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.28% | ÷0.980 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 2.82% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .294 → .244; ISO .131 → .104; BABIP .313 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAANorfolk Tides · 450 PAwOBA .293 → .253 (−41)K% 23.6% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.56% | ÷0.983 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.44% | ÷1.046 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.027 | ×0.930 | ×0.977 | ×1.018 | 18.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.57% | ÷1.021 | ×0.830 | ×0.977 | ×1.018 | 6.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.66% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.977 | ×1.018 | 0.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.29% | ÷0.776 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 3.62% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 55, 1B 105, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .293 → .253; ISO .139 → .132; BABIP .299 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAANorfolk Tides · 540 PAwOBA .255 → .219 (−35)K% 17.2% → 21.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.22% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷1.060 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 3.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.11% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.29% | ÷0.989 | ×0.930 | ×0.974 | ×1.033 | 19.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.36% | ÷0.979 | ×0.830 | ×0.974 | ×1.033 | 5.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.974 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.98% | ÷1.097 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 0.77% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 92, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .255 → .219; ISO .076 → .062; BABIP .266 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 188 PAwOBA .343 → .297 (−46)K% 20.7% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.74% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.38% | ÷1.041 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.79% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 4.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.20% | ÷1.014 | ×0.970 | ×1.018 | ×1.012 | 24.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.09% | ÷1.025 | ×0.860 | ×1.018 | ×1.012 | 6.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.94% | ÷0.959 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 3.24% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 103, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 95, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .343 → .297; ISO .145 → .118; BABIP .333 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Frederick Keys · 19 PAwOBA .205 → .156 (−49)K% 21.1% → 29.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.05% | ÷0.999 | ×1.420 | — | — | 29.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷0.985 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 3.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.26% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 4.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.014 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷0.969 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 13.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.076 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 97, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .205 → .156; ISO .118 → .091; BABIP .154 → .130. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAANorfolk Tides · 18 PAwOBA .199 → .148 (−51)K% 27.8% → 32.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.78% | ÷1.025 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.025 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 3.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.027 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 7.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.899 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.007 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.223 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 6.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 145, 1B 105, 2B 80, 3B 101, K 105, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .199 → .148; ISO .176 → .121; BABIP .091 → .084. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 561 PAwOBA .330 → .294 (−35)K% 17.8% → 22.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.83% | ÷0.989 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.13% | ÷0.975 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.07% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.62% | ÷0.980 | ×0.970 | ×0.990 | ×1.027 | 21.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.13% | ÷0.987 | ×0.860 | ×0.990 | ×1.027 | 6.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | ×1.027 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.93% | ÷1.026 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 3.07% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 96, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .330 → .294; ISO .164 → .136; BABIP .302 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .