Andrew NavigatoSS Toledo Mud Hens
Age 28 R/R 5'11" / 188 lbs AAA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
2026 ROS PROJECTION133 act + 117 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†93
AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .293 / .406
PA117
HR4
K%26
BB%7
BABIP278
ISO179
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +1.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +7.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: +0.60+0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.00.90.90.70.40.10.0+$21M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER50
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.9$3M+$2M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.7$2M+$2M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.6M
2031Arb-1$0.4M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M
2032Arb-2$0.4M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $6M +$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201921 ROKGCL Tigers West 5447 4100 3174 01 85204106310 21133 316 159 -20
201921 ROKGCL Tigers West 5445 6200 5124 01 133278178456 44182 229 234 37
202123 A+3 teams 373328 641418 311188 148 195281317598 122271 328 267 63
202123 A+3 teams 373315 771629 44868 148 244351394745 149302 2312 333 113
202224 AA2 teams 467422 9117119 2211315 154 216279396675 180242 245 289 80
202224 AA2 teams 467413 10621218 318515 154 257331448779 191277 187 341 119
202325 AA2 teams 306287 662418 12864 88 230271404675 174296 284 292 81
202325 AA2 teams 306279 7826211 20594 88 280337505842 226316 197 365 137
202426 AAAToledo Mud Hens 512464 10321430 3714510 2210 222294478772 256252 287 328 109
202426 AAAToledo Mud Hens 512446 12129521 5512610 2210 271364500864 229333 2511 380 149
202527 AAA2 teams 448410 8318315 241458 126 202260371631 168267 325 274 68
202527 AAA2 teams 448398 8420311 361298 126 211290359649 148278 298 289 80
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD28 AAADET 133117 27702 12281 30 231308342650 111281 219 284 76 -4 +1 +0 +1 +4 0.2
YTD28 AAADET 133111 28802 18231 30 252362378740 126295 1714 331 111 +2 +1 +0 +1 +4 0.8
ROS28 AAADET 10% 117106 24514 8312 31 226293406699 179274 267 307 93 -1 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.4
ROS28 MLBDET 10% 1211 2100 130 00 182250273523 91269 258 290 80 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
FULL28 AAADET 145128 29802 13311 30 227303336639 109278 219 285 76 -4 +1 +0 +2 +4 0.2
TOT28 AAADET 250223 511216 20593 61 229301372673 143280 248 295 84 -5 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729 MLBDET 36% 323292 6515111 23865 73 223291394684 171275 277 307 93 -3 +0 -1 +3 +9 0.9
202830 MLBDET 51% 343310 7116212 25915 73 229297410707 181276 277 305 92 -3 +0 -2 +4 +10 0.9
202931 MLBDET 60% 342309 6815111 25915 62 220289382671 162274 277 303 90 -4 +0 -3 +4 +10 0.7
203032 MLBDET 65% 332301 6514111 24894 52 216283379661 163272 277 298 86 -5 +0 -4 +4 +9 0.4
203133 MLBDET 68% 308279 6013110 22854 41 215282376658 161267 287 291 81 -7 +0 -4 +3 +9 0.1
203234 MLBDET 63% 268244 501018 19753 21 205271352623 148261 287 282 74 -8 +0 -5 +3 +8 -0.2
202729 MLBDET 36% 116105 24514 8312 31 229296410705 181270 277 290 80 -3 +0 -1 +1 +3 0.2
202830 MLBDET 51% 174157 36816 13462 41 229297408704 178270 267 289 80 -4 +0 -1 +2 +5 0.2
202931 MLBDET 60% 204184 41917 15543 41 223292397689 174269 267 287 78 -5 +0 -2 +2 +6 0.2
203032 MLBDET 65% 215194 42917 16583 31 216286381668 165267 277 282 74 -6 +0 -2 +2 +6 0.0
203133 MLBDET 68% 208188 39816 15573 21 207277356633 149263 277 276 69 -7 +0 -3 +2 +6 -0.2
203234 MLBDET 63% 169153 31615 12472 11 203269353622 150257 287 267 63 -7 -0 -3 +2 +5 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 1098992 21546635 8029615 176 217285381666 164270 277 282 74 -33 +1 -11 +12 +31 -0.0
/ 162G 650587 12827421 471759 104 218286385671 167271 277 282 74 -19 +0 -7 +7 +18 -0.0
Career 41933799 81418318147 275117277 10550 214281388669 174265 287 293 83 -82 +1 -19 +45 +119 6.5
/ 162G 650589 12628323 4318212 168 214281389670 175265 287 293 83 -13 +0 -3 +7 +18 1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201921 ROKGCL Tigers West 5445 6200 5124 01 133278178456 44182 229 234 37 -4 -0 +2 -0.3
202123 AAErie SeaWolves 11198 24213 10303 32 245333378711 133323 279 323 106 +1 -0 +3 0.4
202123 A+West Michigan Whitecaps 172144 34613 23383 54 236353354707 118295 2213 323 105 +1 -1 +5 0.5
202123 ALakeland Flying Tigers 9073 19803 11182 62 260372493865 233291 2012 366 138 +4 +0 +3 0.7
202224 AAErie SeaWolves 405361 9116018 257113 142 252323446769 194263 186 337 116 +7 +2 +11 2.1
202224 A+West Michigan Whitecaps 6252 15520 6142 12 288383462845 173375 2310 364 136 +3 -1 +2 0.4
202325 AAErie SeaWolves 254233 7022111 16503 87 300353545898 245339 206 389 156 +16 -1 +7 2.2
202325 ALakeland Flying Tigers 5246 8410 491 01 174255304559 130211 178 250 49 -3 -0 +1 -0.2
202426 AAAToledo Mud Hens 512446 12129521 5512610 2210 271364500864 229333 2511 380 149 +28 +0 +15 4.4
202527 AAAToledo Mud Hens 376335 7016211 281168 106 209286367653 158277 317 290 80 -8 -0 +11 0.2
202527 INTLYaquis de Obregon 7263 14410 8130 20 222310317627 95280 1811 284 76 -2 +0 +2 0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Jake Marisnicklast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 2,213 PA
102,2136381227280381+5+548.38.2
/1626641924+1.4+16.22.5pk7: 8
#3Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
41,1123618219284385+11+122.12.1
/1626642211+6.4+7.21.3pk7: 2
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Andrew Navigato (OGILVIE) 28 35 50 50 40 229/301/372 143280 66 24% 8% 84 +0.6
Jayson Nix
2011 · MLB
28 43→49 54→55 46→55 46 230/296/403 173266 2210 23% 7% 96 +1.5 216/281/350 134275 1413 26% 7% 76 +0.0 207/276/316109275101827%7%61-0.5
Andrew Young
2022 · MLB
28 43→47 57→60 48→40 38 220/302/422 202319 245 37% 6% 105 +2.1 208/285/370 162322 207 39% 8% 83 +0.6 171/257/31214226219440%8%53-0.9
Raudy Read
2022 · AAA
28 43→47 57→55 47→45 37 233/277/426 193288 266 30% 4% 94 +1.3 253/318/439 186315 225 26% 8% 115 +2.7 262/336/46620431924025%9%127+2.2
Stone Garrett
2023 · MLB
27 38→37 56→55 53→50 35 214/252/400 187277 2517 33% 4% 77 +0.1 219/282/362 143318 1610 34% 7% 79 +0.3 222/301/34111833712534%9%79+0.1
Joe Mather
2010 · MLB
28 40→46 55→60 50 46 217/281/398 182237 2312 21% 6% 89 +0.9 216/270/334 118274 1110 24% 6% 66 -0.6 204/259/30810426010825%7%51-0.7
John Mayberry Jr.
2012 · MLB
28 46→48 53→55 51→50 44 242/292/414 172284 2114 23% 6% 97 +1.5 235/294/398 163281 197 23% 7% 93 +1.3 226/292/38515927118323%8%86+0.5
Nick Dini
2021 · MLB
28 41 51→50 49→50 42 220/270/377 157256 2012 24% 5% 79 +0.3 219/286/373 154263 209 24% 7% 84 +0.6 177/272/31313621319827%9%61-0.4
Weston Wilson
2022 · AAA
27 42→43 59→55 51→55 46 231/296/433 202277 2814 28% 8% 104 +2.0 215/280/381 166290 2222 32% 8% 83 +0.6 212/291/397185265262530%9%90+0.7
Justin Leone
2005 · MLB
28 45→41 58→50 50→55 47 241/317/443 202291 269 27% 8% 115 +2.8 213/290/351 138284 1510 29% 9% 79 +0.3 202/286/351149254181627%10%76+0.1
Dilson Herrera
2021 · MLB
27 39→49 55→50 47→50 41 213/274/394 181276 2311 32% 7% 85 +0.7 203/260/354 151298 198 37% 6% 68 -0.5 146/205/28313820820041%6%25-1.1
Johan Mieses
2022 · AAA
27 37→33 56→55 48→50 41 210/275/394 185256 267 30% 6% 85 +0.7 229/303/422 193298 2511 31% 8% 104 +2.0 218/311/435216279301132%10%107+0.8
David Bote
2021 · MLB
28 46→48 53→55 48→45 51 234/322/409 175295 219 27% 10% 108 +2.3 219/293/364 145278 167 26% 8% 85 +0.7 225/292/38015528917827%7%85+0.4
J.P. Arencibia
2013 · MLB
27 41→47 59→60 46→30 42 226/279/432 206267 283 28% 6% 96 +1.5 206/245/388 182252 262 30% 4% 71 -0.3 192/225/36917723227032%3%56-1.0
Mario Lisson
2012 · AAA
28 43→49 53→55 51→55 38 225/274/393 168297 2116 32% 5% 84 +0.6 229/295/392 163290 1815 27% 7% 92 +1.2 231/301/37714630019828%7%90+0.7
Jaylin Davis
2022 · MLB
28 42→45 58→50 48→45 41 226/294/425 199301 2610 34% 7% 102 +1.8 199/277/341 142298 167 36% 8% 72 -0.2 180/265/30913027215437%9%57-0.8
Jabari Blash
2016 · AAA
27 39→41 58→60 48→50 44 214/292/419 206279 279 33% 8% 98 +1.6 208/310/397 189306 247 37% 11% 101 +1.8 194/309/38719329225639%12%95+0.9
Jason Vosler
2022 · MLB
28 44→43 55 49→40 49 233/303/420 187265 235 23% 8% 103 +1.9 216/278/387 171274 226 29% 7% 84 +0.6 206/267/37216626422430%7%72-0.2
Mike Wilson
2011 · AAA
28 39→49 55→60 50 45 214/292/395 181273 2412 31% 8% 92 +1.2 235/302/398 163315 198 30% 8% 97 +1.5 236/302/39315632418431%7%92+0.6
Cameron Rupp
2018 · MLB
29 45→48 54→60 47→30 45 233/300/416 183301 223 30% 8% 101 +1.8 206/276/375 169295 213 36% 8% 80 +0.4 174/245/33215824821038%7%54-0.7
Eric Haase
2022 · MLB
29 42→44 63→65 50→40 40 234/291/460 226302 335 34% 7% 109 +2.4 241/293/418 177315 245 30% 7% 98 +1.6 237/288/39816231522331%6%88+0.5