Robert Hassell III
CF Indianapolis Indians| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AAA/AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 462 | .249/.330/.369 | 9 | 20 | 83 | — | .231/.288/.306 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAAWSH | 330 | .310/.383/.456 | 10 | 16 | 110 | — | .296/.350/.414 |
| 2025 | 23 | MLBWSH | 206 | .223/.257/.315 | 3 | 4 | 60 | -0.4 | |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA/AAPIT | 367 | .237/.322/.317 | 2 | 13 | 53 | — | .208/.270/.267 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 25 | MLBPIT | 24 | .227/.288/.330 | 0 | 1 | 76 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 26 | MLBPIT | 109 | .228/.289/.337 | 2 | 3 | 78 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 27 | MLBPIT | 142 | .227/.288/.335 | 3 | 4 | 77 | 0.0 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 19 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 87 | 78 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 205 | 287 | 410 | 698 | 205 | 245 | 29 | 10 | 310 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 429 | 365 | 118 | 31 | 3 | 7 | 57 | 74 | 3 | 31 | 6 | 323 | 419 | 482 | 901 | 159 | 385 | 17 | 13 | 398 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 122 | 108 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 311 | 296 | 608 | 74 | 319 | 29 | 11 | 284 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 391 | 342 | 99 | 20 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 78 | 2 | 23 | 3 | 289 | 374 | 442 | 815 | 152 | 346 | 20 | 11 | 363 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 476 | 414 | 93 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 52 | 152 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 225 | 318 | 324 | 642 | 99 | 331 | 32 | 11 | 294 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 69 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 189 | 377 | 302 | 679 | 113 | 209 | 13 | 23 | 326 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 82 | 69 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 290 | 380 | 348 | 728 | 58 | 380 | 26 | 12 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 69 | 64 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 125 | 188 | 156 | 345 | 31 | 170 | 25 | 7 | 166 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 264 | 229 | 62 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 55 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 271 | 360 | 371 | 731 | 100 | 333 | 21 | 11 | 331 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 29 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 286 | 370 | 656 | 111 | 292 | 14 | 3 | 280 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 100 | 89 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 281 | 360 | 517 | 877 | 236 | 333 | 22 | 8 | 385 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 206 | 197 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 62 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 223 | 257 | 315 | 572 | 91 | 311 | 30 | 4 | 258 | 60 | -10 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +4 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 330 | 294 | 91 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 35 | 57 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 310 | 383 | 456 | 839 | 146 | 357 | 17 | 11 | 374 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 343 | 307 | 73 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 86 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 238 | 316 | 319 | 635 | 81 | 324 | 25 | 10 | 292 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 24 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 417 | 278 | 694 | 56 | 286 | 17 | 25 | 341 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 206 | 197 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 62 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 223 | 257 | 315 | 572 | 91 | 311 | 30 | 4 | 258 | 61 | -10 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +4 | -0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 19 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 87 | 81 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 148 | 207 | 296 | 503 | 148 | 210 | 38 | 7 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 429 | 382 | 108 | 25 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 108 | 3 | 31 | 6 | 283 | 355 | 419 | 774 | 136 | 366 | 25 | 9 | 336 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 122 | 111 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 287 | 288 | 575 | 72 | 333 | 35 | 8 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 391 | 359 | 90 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 102 | 2 | 23 | 3 | 251 | 307 | 370 | 677 | 120 | 319 | 26 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 476 | 429 | 89 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 185 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 207 | 278 | 284 | 563 | 77 | 336 | 39 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 69 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 169 | 290 | 271 | 561 | 102 | 193 | 17 | 14 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 69 | 65 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 108 | 159 | 138 | 298 | 31 | 164 | 30 | 6 | 139 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 264 | 239 | 63 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 67 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 264 | 326 | 347 | 673 | 84 | 341 | 25 | 7 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 29 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 250 | 333 | 583 | 111 | 250 | 17 | 3 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 206 | 197 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 62 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 223 | 257 | 315 | 572 | 91 | 311 | 30 | 4 | 257 | 60 | -10 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +4 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 330 | 304 | 90 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 67 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 296 | 350 | 414 | 764 | 118 | 354 | 20 | 8 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 343 | 317 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 103 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 208 | 266 | 268 | 534 | 60 | 308 | 30 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 24 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 333 | 250 | 583 | 50 | 269 | 21 | 17 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 516 | 463 | 120 | 27 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 142 | 3 | 34 | 6 | 259 | 330 | 395 | 725 | 136 | 349 | 28 | 9 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 516 | 443 | 134 | 33 | 4 | 11 | 66 | 99 | 3 | 34 | 6 | 302 | 396 | 470 | 866 | 167 | 365 | 19 | 13 | 383 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 470 | 113 | 22 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 145 | 3 | 24 | 3 | 240 | 300 | 349 | 649 | 109 | 326 | 28 | 7 | 284 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 513 | 450 | 123 | 25 | 1 | 11 | 57 | 113 | 3 | 24 | 3 | 273 | 359 | 407 | 765 | 133 | 340 | 22 | 11 | 344 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 627 | 560 | 112 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 54 | 227 | 5 | 21 | 6 | 200 | 276 | 273 | 549 | 73 | 316 | 36 | 9 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 627 | 536 | 123 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 78 | 182 | 5 | 21 | 6 | 229 | 333 | 325 | 657 | 95 | 323 | 29 | 12 | 301 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 462 | 422 | 98 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 119 | 6 | 20 | 4 | 232 | 293 | 308 | 601 | 76 | 309 | 26 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 462 | 409 | 102 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 98 | 6 | 20 | 4 | 249 | 330 | 369 | 699 | 120 | 305 | 21 | 9 | 315 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 536 | 501 | 134 | 21 | 0 | 11 | 33 | 129 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 267 | 314 | 375 | 689 | 108 | 341 | 24 | 6 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 536 | 491 | 135 | 22 | 0 | 13 | 43 | 119 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 275 | 335 | 399 | 734 | 124 | 340 | 22 | 8 | 329 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 367 | 337 | 70 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 108 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 208 | 270 | 267 | 538 | 59 | 303 | 29 | 8 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 367 | 325 | 77 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 90 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 237 | 322 | 317 | 639 | 80 | 322 | 25 | 11 | 295 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 516 | 462 | 120 | 27 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 142 | 3 | 34 | 6 | 260 | 330 | 396 | 726 | 136 | 340 | 28 | 9 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 468 | 113 | 22 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 145 | 3 | 24 | 3 | 241 | 300 | 350 | 650 | 109 | 322 | 28 | 7 | 284 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 627 | 563 | 112 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 54 | 227 | 5 | 21 | 6 | 199 | 276 | 272 | 548 | 73 | 318 | 36 | 9 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 462 | 423 | 98 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 119 | 6 | 20 | 4 | 232 | 293 | 307 | 600 | 76 | 300 | 26 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 536 | 497 | 134 | 21 | 0 | 11 | 33 | 129 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 270 | 314 | 378 | 692 | 109 | 337 | 24 | 6 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 367 | 335 | 70 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 108 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 209 | 270 | 269 | 539 | 60 | 305 | 29 | 8 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 462 | 423 | 98 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 119 | 6 | 20 | 4 | 232 | 293 | 307 | 600 | 76 | 300 | 26 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 536 | 497 | 134 | 21 | 0 | 11 | 33 | 129 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 270 | 314 | 378 | 692 | 109 | 337 | 24 | 6 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 367 | 335 | 70 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 108 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 209 | 270 | 269 | 539 | 60 | 305 | 29 | 8 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | PIT | 10% | 380 | 347 | 79 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 103 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 228 | 288 | 333 | 621 | 105 | 300 | 27 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | PIT | 10% | 24 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 288 | 330 | 617 | 103 | 300 | 25 | 8 | 278 | 76 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | PIT | 35% | 315 | 287 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 85 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 229 | 290 | 341 | 631 | 112 | 300 | 27 | 7 | 284 | 78 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | PIT | 44% | 323 | 294 | 67 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 88 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 228 | 289 | 339 | 628 | 110 | 300 | 27 | 7 | 282 | 77 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | PIT | 49% | 324 | 296 | 67 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 89 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 227 | 287 | 334 | 621 | 108 | 299 | 27 | 7 | 280 | 75 | -9 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | PIT | 50% | 314 | 287 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 87 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 224 | 284 | 328 | 613 | 104 | 298 | 28 | 7 | 276 | 73 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB MLE | PIT | 51% | 305 | 279 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 86 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 221 | 281 | 321 | 602 | 100 | 296 | 28 | 7 | 272 | 70 | -11 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +7 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | PIT | 35% | 109 | 99 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 228 | 289 | 337 | 626 | 109 | 301 | 28 | 7 | 282 | 78 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | PIT | 44% | 142 | 130 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 39 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 227 | 288 | 335 | 623 | 107 | 300 | 27 | 7 | 281 | 77 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | PIT | 49% | 158 | 144 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 226 | 286 | 330 | 617 | 105 | 299 | 27 | 8 | 278 | 75 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | PIT | 50% | 157 | 144 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 44 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 224 | 284 | 325 | 609 | 101 | 298 | 28 | 7 | 275 | 73 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB CTX | PIT | 51% | 154 | 141 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 221 | 280 | 318 | 598 | 97 | 297 | 28 | 7 | 270 | 70 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 926 | 855 | 192 | 36 | 0 | 17 | 60 | 261 | 6 | 22 | 5 | 225 | 280 | 326 | 606 | 102 | 301 | 28 | 6 | 272 | 75 | -31 | +2 | -4 | +4 | +20 | -0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 600 | 135 | 25 | 0 | 12 | 42 | 183 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 225 | 280 | 327 | 607 | 102 | 301 | 28 | 6 | 272 | 75 | -22 | +2 | -3 | +3 | +14 | -0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4840 | 4414 | 1022 | 175 | 16 | 76 | 361 | 1369 | 27 | 181 | 37 | 232 | 294 | 330 | 624 | 99 | 316 | 28 | 7 | 279 | 75 | -64 | +6 | -6 | +8 | +44 | -1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 137 | 24 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 184 | 4 | 24 | 5 | 231 | 293 | 329 | 622 | 98 | 315 | 28 | 7 | 279 | 75 | -21 | +2 | -2 | +3 | +14 | -0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 343 PAwOBA .283 → .244 (−39)K% 25.1% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.07% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.29% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.015 | ×1.033 | 23.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.015 | ×1.033 | 6.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.015 | ×1.033 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.65% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .283 → .244; ISO .081 → .067; BABIP .324 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAAltoona Curve · 24 PAwOBA .334 → .282 (−53)K% 16.7% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 17.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.998 | 20.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 6.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .334 → .282; ISO .056 → .051; BABIP .286 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAARochester Red Wings · 330 PAwOBA .363 → .331 (−33)K% 17.3% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.27% | ÷1.028 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.30% | ÷0.978 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 7.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.69% | ÷0.987 | ×0.930 | ×1.034 | ×1.048 | 29.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.034 | ×1.048 | 4.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.034 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.22% | ÷0.960 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 3.23% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .363 → .331; ISO .146 → .118; BABIP .357 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAHarrisburg Senators · 264 PAwOBA .324 → .300 (−24)K% 20.8% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.83% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.61% | ÷1.051 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 7.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.14% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.74% | ÷1.010 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 29.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.45% | ÷0.964 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 3.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷0.915 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.87% | ÷0.990 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 2.33% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 102, 2B 93, 3B 83, K 102, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .324 → .300; ISO .100 → .089; BABIP .333 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAARochester Red Wings · 69 PAwOBA .163 → .139 (−24)K% 24.6% → 30.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.64% | ÷0.958 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.25% | ÷0.969 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.77% | ÷1.029 | ×0.930 | ×1.027 | ×1.050 | 12.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.26% | ÷0.962 | ×0.830 | ×1.027 | ×1.050 | 3.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.027 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.986 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 92, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .163 → .139; ISO .031 → .027; BABIP .170 → .164. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 29 PAwOBA .282 → .235 (−47)K% 13.8% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.79% | ÷0.974 | ×1.310 | — | — | 18.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.45% | ÷1.015 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 2.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷1.008 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 18.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.942 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.984 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 3.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 102, 2B 88, 3B 97, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .282 → .235; ISO .111 → .095; BABIP .292 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAHarrisburg Senators · 476 PAwOBA .289 → .251 (−38)K% 31.9% → 38.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.93% | ÷1.005 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.92% | ÷1.016 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 7.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.34% | ÷1.013 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 27.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.73% | ÷1.033 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 5.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.38% | ÷0.935 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.05% | ÷1.115 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 2.23% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 103, 2B 107, 3B 87, K 101, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .289 → .251; ISO .099 → .077; BABIP .331 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AFredericksburg Nationals · 69 PAwOBA .319 → .251 (−68)K% 13.0% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.04% | ÷0.978 | ×1.360 | — | — | 18.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.19% | ÷1.126 | ×0.690 | — | — | 14.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.91% | ÷1.016 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | — | 15.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.065 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | — | 1.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | — | 1.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.27% | ÷0.917 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.98% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 103, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 96, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .319 → .251; ISO .113 → .102; BABIP .209 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .