Petey Halpin
CF Cleveland Guardians| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AACLE | 405 | .233/.318/.399 | 12 | 12 | 68 | — | .207/.272/.346 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAACLE | 553 | .249/.323/.414 | 14 | 15 | 55 | — | .196/.254/.306 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAACLE | 193 | .259/.325/.420 | 5 | 10 | 70 | — | .225/.277/.360 |
| 2026 | 24 | MLBCLE | 195 | .225/.270/.326 | 4 | 10 | 63 | -0.2 | |
| 2027PROJ | 25 | MLBCLE | 155 | .207/.262/.315 | 3 | 7 | 63 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ65% MLB | 26 | MLBCLE | 205 | .209/.266/.320 | 4 | 8 | 65 | -0.2 |
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 19 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 246 | 221 | 65 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 50 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 294 | 363 | 425 | 789 | 131 | 376 | 20 | 9 | 351 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 434 | 382 | 100 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 45 | 92 | 5 | 16 | 7 | 262 | 346 | 385 | 731 | 123 | 330 | 21 | 10 | 330 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 510 | 452 | 110 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 126 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 243 | 317 | 372 | 689 | 128 | 311 | 25 | 9 | 306 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 405 | 356 | 83 | 15 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 95 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 233 | 318 | 399 | 716 | 166 | 281 | 23 | 11 | 317 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 553 | 493 | 123 | 29 | 5 | 14 | 51 | 156 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 249 | 323 | 414 | 737 | 164 | 332 | 28 | 9 | 326 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 195 | 178 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 225 | 270 | 326 | 596 | 101 | 257 | 18 | 5 | 261 | 63 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 193 | 174 | 45 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 259 | 325 | 420 | 744 | 161 | 305 | 21 | 8 | 328 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 195 | 178 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 225 | 270 | 326 | 596 | 101 | 257 | 18 | 5 | 261 | 63 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 246 | 227 | 55 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 67 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 242 | 298 | 348 | 646 | 106 | 336 | 27 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 434 | 394 | 91 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 115 | 5 | 16 | 7 | 231 | 300 | 325 | 625 | 94 | 313 | 26 | 8 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 510 | 464 | 105 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 157 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 226 | 283 | 341 | 624 | 114 | 307 | 31 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 405 | 367 | 76 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 118 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 207 | 273 | 346 | 619 | 139 | 265 | 29 | 8 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 553 | 509 | 100 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 196 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 196 | 254 | 306 | 560 | 110 | 291 | 35 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 195 | 178 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 225 | 270 | 326 | 596 | 101 | 257 | 18 | 5 | 262 | 63 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 193 | 178 | 40 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 48 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 225 | 277 | 360 | 637 | 135 | 275 | 25 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 246 | 227 | 55 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 67 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 242 | 298 | 348 | 646 | 106 | 340 | 27 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A RAW | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 246 | 221 | 65 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 50 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 294 | 363 | 425 | 789 | 131 | 376 | 20 | 9 | 351 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 434 | 394 | 91 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 115 | 5 | 16 | 7 | 231 | 300 | 325 | 625 | 94 | 315 | 26 | 8 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ RAW | Lake County Captains | — | 434 | 382 | 100 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 45 | 92 | 5 | 16 | 7 | 262 | 346 | 385 | 731 | 123 | 330 | 21 | 10 | 330 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 510 | 464 | 105 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 157 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 226 | 283 | 341 | 624 | 114 | 316 | 31 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA RAW | Akron RubberDucks | — | 510 | 452 | 110 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 126 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 243 | 317 | 372 | 689 | 128 | 311 | 25 | 9 | 306 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 405 | 367 | 76 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 118 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 207 | 273 | 346 | 619 | 139 | 272 | 29 | 8 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA RAW | Akron RubberDucks | — | 405 | 356 | 83 | 15 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 95 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 233 | 318 | 399 | 716 | 166 | 281 | 23 | 11 | 317 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 553 | 509 | 100 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 196 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 196 | 254 | 306 | 560 | 110 | 294 | 35 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA RAW | Columbus Clippers | — | 553 | 493 | 123 | 29 | 5 | 14 | 51 | 156 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 249 | 323 | 414 | 737 | 164 | 332 | 28 | 9 | 326 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 388 | 356 | 80 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 83 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 225 | 274 | 343 | 616 | 118 | 269 | 21 | 5 | 266 | 66 | -16 | +3 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 388 | 352 | 85 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 75 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 241 | 297 | 372 | 670 | 131 | 280 | 19 | 6 | 294 | 66 | -16 | +3 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 246 | 226 | 55 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 67 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 243 | 298 | 350 | 648 | 106 | 336 | 27 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 434 | 392 | 91 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 115 | 5 | 16 | 7 | 232 | 300 | 327 | 627 | 94 | 313 | 26 | 8 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 510 | 468 | 105 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 157 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 224 | 283 | 338 | 621 | 113 | 307 | 31 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 405 | 369 | 76 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 118 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 206 | 273 | 344 | 617 | 138 | 265 | 29 | 8 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 553 | 509 | 100 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 196 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 196 | 254 | 306 | 560 | 110 | 291 | 35 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 388 | 361 | 80 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 83 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 222 | 274 | 338 | 612 | 116 | 266 | 21 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 405 | 369 | 76 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 118 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 206 | 273 | 344 | 617 | 138 | 265 | 29 | 8 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 553 | 509 | 100 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 196 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 196 | 254 | 306 | 560 | 110 | 291 | 35 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 388 | 361 | 80 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 83 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 222 | 274 | 338 | 612 | 116 | 266 | 21 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | CLE | 100% | 380 | 351 | 73 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 104 | 2 | 16 | 3 | 208 | 263 | 318 | 580 | 110 | 272 | 27 | 6 | 261 | 63 | -17 | +2 | +2 | +1 | +8 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | CLE | 100% | 155 | 143 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 207 | 262 | 315 | 577 | 108 | 271 | 27 | 6 | 259 | 63 | -7 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | CLE | 65% | 315 | 290 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 85 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 210 | 266 | 323 | 589 | 113 | 273 | 27 | 6 | 264 | 65 | -13 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | CLE | 65% | 205 | 189 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 56 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 209 | 266 | 320 | 586 | 111 | 272 | 27 | 6 | 263 | 65 | -9 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 400 | 367 | 80 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 91 | 3 | 18 | 4 | 218 | 268 | 324 | 592 | 106 | 267 | 23 | 6 | 262 | 66 | -17 | +2 | +1 | +2 | +9 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 596 | 130 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 36 | 148 | 5 | 29 | 6 | 218 | 268 | 324 | 592 | 106 | 267 | 23 | 6 | 262 | 66 | -28 | +3 | +2 | +3 | +14 | -0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3006 | 2750 | 597 | 108 | 28 | 49 | 203 | 863 | 20 | 106 | 34 | 217 | 276 | 330 | 606 | 113 | 294 | 29 | 7 | 266 | 66 | -29 | +4 | +2 | +3 | +14 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 129 | 23 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 187 | 4 | 23 | 7 | 217 | 275 | 331 | 606 | 114 | 294 | 29 | 7 | 266 | 66 | -28 | +4 | +2 | +3 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAColumbus Clippers · 193 PAwOBA .323 → .271 (−52)K% 20.7% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.73% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 20.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 4.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 2.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 2.74% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .323 → .271; ISO .161 → .128; BABIP .305 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAColumbus Clippers · 553 PAwOBA .320 → .249 (−71)K% 28.2% → 35.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.21% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.22% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.26% | ÷0.997 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 20.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.61% | ÷1.064 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 6.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.48% | ÷1.042 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 1.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.15% | ÷1.093 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 2.79% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 108, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .320 → .249; ISO .164 → .115; BABIP .332 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAkron RubberDucks · 405 PAwOBA .312 → .268 (−44)K% 23.5% → 29.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.46% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.62% | ÷0.987 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 7.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.25% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.92% | ÷0.993 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 19.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.75% | ÷0.944 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 5.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.53% | ÷1.023 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 1.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.60% | ÷0.966 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 3.87% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 89, 3B 105, K 96, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .312 → .268; ISO .166 → .140; BABIP .281 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAkron RubberDucks · 510 PAwOBA .303 → .273 (−30)K% 24.7% → 30.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.71% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.22% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 6.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.39% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.70% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | ×0.985 | ×1.050 | 22.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.06% | ÷0.933 | ×0.860 | ×0.985 | ×1.050 | 6.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.053 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | ×1.050 | 1.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.76% | ÷0.909 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 2.49% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 111, K 95, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .303 → .273; ISO .128 → .115; BABIP .311 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Lake County Captains · 434 PAwOBA .323 → .277 (−45)K% 21.2% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.20% | ÷1.015 | ×1.270 | — | — | 26.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.37% | ÷0.975 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 7.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.79% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×1.042 | 23.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.24% | ÷1.005 | ×0.810 | ×1.011 | ×1.042 | 6.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.38% | ÷0.970 | ×0.850 | ×1.011 | ×1.042 | 1.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.07% | ÷1.134 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 1.52% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 97, 2B 101, 3B 94, K 103, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .323 → .277; ISO .123 → .097; BABIP .330 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ALynchburg Hillcats · 246 PAwOBA .342 → .278 (−65)K% 20.3% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.33% | ÷1.008 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.54% | ÷1.024 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 6.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.22% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.73% | ÷1.014 | ×0.920 | ×0.970 | ×1.045 | 23.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.19% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×0.970 | ×1.045 | 6.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.51% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.970 | ×1.045 | 2.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.58% | ÷0.950 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.51% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 102, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .342 → .278; ISO .131 → .103; BABIP .376 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).