Jonny Butler

OF Lansing Lugnuts
Age 28 L/R 6'1" / 200 lbs A+ HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202324AA/A+OAK350.251/.341/.466122562—.192/.264/.333
202425A+OAK522.224/.328/.35781843—.166/.248/.264
202526A+/ROKOAK102.217/.356/.3861247—.157/.257/.281
2027PROJMLE28MLBOAK200.220/.297/.35344840.0
2028PROJ22% MLB29MLBOAK26.225/.301/.3611183-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 A+
Chase%99
BB%95
ISO80
K%80
wOBA76
Whiff%72
CompsBlake Gailen (age 28) · Anthony Norman (age 26) · Carlos Moncrief (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 84 proj PA
wRC+†84
AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .295 / .350
PA84
HR2
K%24
BB%9
ISO134
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +1.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.02728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202122 A+Lansing Lugnuts — 9079 16211 9220 10 203284291575 89259 2410 260 35 — — — — — —
202223 A+Lansing Lugnuts — 136119 29812 15330 40 244328378707 134314 2411 315 57 — — — — — —
202324 AAMidland RockHounds — 9280 23332 11211 60 287380475855 188368 2312 379 92 — — — — — —
202324 A+Lansing Lugnuts — 258227 549610 22638 192 238327463789 225284 249 347 51 — — — — — —
202425 A+Lansing Lugnuts — 522451 1012658 641116 184 224328357685 133279 2112 313 43 — — — — — —
202526 A+Lansing Lugnuts — 8368 15611 15150 20 221361382744 162269 1818 340 51 — — — — — —
202526 ROKACL Athletics — 1915 3300 340 00 200333400733 200250 2116 313 29 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202122 A+ MLELansing Lugnuts — 9081 15211 7300 10 185250272522 86249 338 220 35 — — — — — —
202223 A+ MLELansing Lugnuts — 136124 25612 10410 40 202261315576 113276 307 253 57 — — — — — —
202324 AA MLEMidland RockHounds — 9283 20222 8261 60 241315386701 145331 289 304 92 — — — — — —
202324 A+ MLELansing Lugnuts — 258235 41746 14858 192 174245315560 140237 335 244 51 — — — — — —
202425 A+ MLELansing Lugnuts — 522470 781937 451456 184 166248264511 98223 289 232 43 — — — — — —
202526 A+ MLELansing Lugnuts — 8373 12411 10200 20 164265288553 123210 2412 244 51 — — — — — —
202526 ROK MLEACL Athletics — 1916 2200 260 00 125222250472 125166 3211 211 29 — — — — — —
202122 A+ MLELansing Lugnuts — 9081 15211 7300 10 185250272522 86269 338 220 35 — — — — — —
202122 A+ RAWLansing Lugnuts — 9079 16211 9220 10 203284291575 89259 2410 260 35 — — — — — —
202223 A+ MLELansing Lugnuts — 136124 25612 10410 40 202261315576 113277 307 253 57 — — — — — —
202223 A+ RAWLansing Lugnuts — 136119 29812 15330 40 244328378707 134314 2411 315 57 — — — — — —
202324 A+ MLE2 teams — 350318 61968 221129 252 192264333597 142266 326 260 62 — — — — — —
202324 A+ RAW2 teams — 350307 7712912 33849 252 251341466807 215307 249 355 62 — — — — — —
202425 A+ MLELansing Lugnuts — 522470 781937 451456 184 166248264511 98223 289 232 43 — — — — — —
202425 A+ RAWLansing Lugnuts — 522451 1012658 641116 184 224328357685 133279 2112 313 43 — — — — — —
202526 A+ MLE2 teams — 10289 14611 12260 20 157257281538 124206 2512 238 47 — — — — — —
202526 A+ RAW2 teams — 10283 18911 18190 20 217356386742 169266 1918 335 47 — — — — — —
202122 A+ MLELansing Lugnuts — 9083 15211 7300 10 181250265515 84249 338 220 35 — — — — — —
202223 A+ MLELansing Lugnuts — 136125 25612 10410 40 200261312573 112276 307 253 57 — — — — — —
202324 A+ MLE2 teams — 350316 61968 221129 252 193264335599 142262 326 260 62 — — — — — —
202425 A+ MLELansing Lugnuts — 522466 781937 451456 184 167248266514 99223 289 232 43 — — — — — —
202526 A+ MLE2 teams — 10289 14611 12260 20 157257281538 124202 2512 238 47 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202425 A+ MLELansing Lugnuts — 522466 781937 451456 184 167248266514 99223 289 232 43 — — — — — —
202526 A+ MLE2 teams — 10289 14611 12260 20 157257281538 124202 2512 238 47 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202728 MLB MLEOAK 0% 200178 38814 18482 41 220297353650 134273 249 292 84 -4 +0 +0 -1 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202829 MLB MLEOAK 22% 120107 24513 11291 21 219295350645 131273 249 290 83 -2 +0 -1 -1 +3 -0.2
202829 MLB CTXOAK 22% 2624 5101 260 10 225301361662 136282 238 297 83 -1 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 2624 5101 260 10 208269375644 167235 238 297 55 -1 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650600 12525025 501500 250 208269375644 167235 238 297 55 -13 +5 -8 -4 +14 -0.6
Career— MLE — 14041264 233501324 11540317 547 184261301563 117247 298 249 55 -4 +0 -1 -1 +4 -0.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650585 10823611 531878 253 185262301562 116248 298 249 55 -13 +1 -4 -4 +14 -0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 83 PAwOBA .332 → .244 (−88)K% 18.1% → 23.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.07%÷0.969×1.270——23.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.07%÷1.048×0.710—×0.96811.86%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×0.9680.00%
Singles /BIP13.21%÷1.078×0.920×1.050×0.96811.46%
Doubles /BIP11.32%÷1.199×0.810×1.050×0.9687.78%
Triples /BIP1.89%÷1.150×0.850×1.050×0.9681.42%
Home runs /BIP1.89%÷0.921×0.800—×0.9681.59%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 116, 2B 140, 3B 130, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .332 → .244; ISO .162 → .121; BABIP .269 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Athletics · 19 PAwOBA .323 → .211 (−112)K% 21.1% → 30.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.05%÷0.983×1.440——30.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.79%÷0.971×0.620—×0.9409.47%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9400.00%
Singles /BIP0.00%÷1.039×0.820—×0.9400.00%
Doubles /BIP27.27%÷1.020×0.720—×0.94018.10%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.989×0.720—×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.926×0.780—×0.9400.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 108, 2B 104, 3B 98, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .323 → .211; ISO .200 → .137; BABIP .250 → .166. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 522 PAwOBA .306 → .232 (−74)K% 21.3% → 27.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.26%÷0.974×1.270——27.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.26%÷0.974×0.710—×0.9788.74%
HBP% /PA1.15%—×0.790—×0.9780.89%
Singles /BIP18.24%÷1.036×0.920×0.950×0.97815.04%
Doubles /BIP7.65%÷0.992×0.810×0.950×0.9785.80%
Triples /BIP1.47%÷1.150×0.850×0.950×0.9781.01%
Home runs /BIP2.35%÷0.867×0.800—×0.9782.12%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 107, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .306 → .232; ISO .133 → .103; BABIP .279 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 258 PAwOBA .338 → .244 (−94)K% 24.4% → 33.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.42%÷0.938×1.270——33.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.14%÷1.036×0.710—×0.9885.51%
HBP% /PA3.10%—×0.790—×0.9882.42%
Singles /BIP17.68%÷0.991×0.920×0.973×0.98815.78%
Doubles /BIP5.49%÷0.946×0.810×0.973×0.9884.52%
Triples /BIP3.66%÷1.150×0.850×0.973×0.9882.60%
Home runs /BIP6.10%÷1.209×0.800—×0.9883.99%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 88, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .338 → .244; ISO .225 → .145; BABIP .284 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAMidland RockHounds · 92 PAwOBA .369 → .304 (−65)K% 22.8% → 28.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.83%÷0.981×1.220——28.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.96%÷1.031×0.700—×1.0128.21%
HBP% /PA1.09%—×0.870—×1.0120.96%
Singles /BIP25.42%÷1.021×0.920×1.014×1.01223.50%
Doubles /BIP5.08%÷1.011×0.840×1.014×1.0124.33%
Triples /BIP5.08%÷1.150×0.940×1.014×1.0124.26%
Home runs /BIP3.39%÷0.957×0.800—×1.0122.87%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 96, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .369 → .304; ISO .188 → .154; BABIP .368 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 136 PAwOBA .311 → .253 (−58)K% 24.3% → 30.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.26%÷1.011×1.270——30.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.03%÷1.020×0.710—×0.9987.67%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×0.9980.00%
Singles /BIP20.93%÷0.996×0.920×0.987×0.99819.06%
Doubles /BIP9.30%÷0.967×0.810×0.987×0.9987.68%
Triples /BIP1.16%÷1.000×0.850×0.987×0.9980.97%
Home runs /BIP2.33%÷0.944×0.800—×0.9981.97%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 99, 2B 93, 3B 100, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .311 → .253; ISO .134 → .110; BABIP .314 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 90 PAwOBA .259 → .220 (−39)K% 24.4% → 33.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.44%÷0.998×1.350——33.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.00%÷0.938×0.710—×1.0127.66%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.810—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP21.05%÷0.961×0.910×1.050×1.01221.18%
Doubles /BIP3.51%÷1.066×0.830×1.050×1.0122.90%
Triples /BIP1.75%÷1.150×0.820×1.050×1.0121.33%
Home runs /BIP1.75%÷0.959×0.830—×1.0121.54%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 92, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 100, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .259 → .220; ISO .089 → .069; BABIP .259 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).