Jack Larsen

PosOF

B/TL/L

Born1995-01-13

Age (2027)32

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2023

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2021	26	AA/A+SEA	491	.295/.408/.524	19	13	99	—	.241/.318/.419
2022	27	AASEA	528	.269/.373/.407	10	8	82	—	.231/.309/.343
2023	28	AAASF	129	.270/.430/.300	0	1	95	—	.266/.375/.294

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2023 AAA

BB%93

Chase%91

Max EV75

Whiff%44

K%35

Z-Con%27

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	22	ROK	AZL Mariners	—	142	109	34	4	6	3	33	33	0	5	4	312	472	541	1.013	229	425	23	23	444	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+	Modesto Nuts	—	97	82	14	4	1	1	13	29	1	0	0	171	292	280	572	110	245	30	13	267	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A	Clinton LumberKings	—	365	305	81	17	5	12	54	107	5	2	4	266	385	472	857	207	369	29	15	380	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A+	Modesto Nuts	—	514	443	105	25	6	12	65	157	1	5	1	237	336	402	738	165	337	31	13	329	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	204	173	48	6	1	11	28	46	1	2	2	277	381	514	896	237	314	23	14	390	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	287	237	73	25	2	8	45	67	4	11	5	308	427	532	958	224	399	23	16	421	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	528	450	121	24	4	10	72	107	3	8	2	269	373	407	780	138	330	20	14	352	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	129	100	27	3	0	0	26	32	2	1	1	270	430	300	730	30	397	25	20	350	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	22	ROK MLE	AZL Mariners	—	142	122	25	3	4	2	20	48	0	5	4	205	317	344	661	139	316	34	14	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	97	87	12	3	1	1	8	39	1	0	0	138	219	230	449	92	213	40	8	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	365	323	66	13	5	8	36	147	5	2	4	204	294	350	644	146	338	40	10	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A+ MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	514	465	80	16	4	13	43	215	1	5	1	172	244	308	551	135	274	42	8	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	204	184	47	6	1	10	17	55	1	2	2	255	322	462	784	207	292	27	8	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	287	255	59	18	2	6	27	92	4	11	5	231	315	388	703	157	332	32	9	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	528	472	109	20	3	9	50	129	3	8	2	231	309	343	652	112	293	24	9	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	129	109	29	3	0	0	17	35	2	1	1	266	375	294	669	28	383	27	13	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	ROK MLE	AZL Mariners	—	142	122	25	3	4	2	20	48	0	5	4	205	317	344	661	139	319	34	14	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	ROK RAW	AZL Mariners	—	142	109	34	4	6	3	33	33	0	5	4	312	472	541	1.013	229	425	23	23	444	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	462	410	77	16	5	9	44	186	6	2	4	188	276	317	593	129	313	40	10	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	462	387	95	21	6	13	67	136	6	2	4	245	365	432	797	186	342	29	15	356	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A+ MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	514	465	80	16	4	13	43	215	1	5	1	172	244	308	551	135	280	42	8	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A+ RAW	Modesto Nuts	—	514	443	105	25	6	12	65	157	1	5	1	237	336	402	738	165	337	31	13	329	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	491	439	106	24	3	16	44	147	5	13	7	241	318	419	737	178	323	30	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	491	410	121	31	3	19	73	113	5	13	7	295	408	524	932	229	363	23	15	408	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	528	472	109	20	3	9	50	129	3	8	2	231	309	343	652	112	297	24	9	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	—	528	450	121	24	4	10	72	107	3	8	2	269	373	407	780	138	330	20	14	352	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	129	109	29	3	0	0	17	35	2	1	1	266	375	294	669	28	392	27	13	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	Sacramento River Cats	—	129	100	27	3	0	0	26	32	2	1	1	270	430	300	730	30	397	25	20	350	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	ROK MLE	AZL Mariners	—	142	121	25	3	4	2	20	48	0	5	4	207	317	347	664	140	316	34	14	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	462	409	77	16	5	9	44	186	6	2	4	188	276	318	594	130	312	40	10	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A+ MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	514	465	80	16	4	13	43	215	1	5	1	172	244	308	551	135	274	42	8	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	491	439	106	24	3	16	44	147	5	13	7	241	318	419	737	178	315	30	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	528	470	109	20	3	9	50	129	3	8	2	232	309	345	653	113	293	24	9	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	129	109	29	3	0	0	17	35	2	1	1	266	375	294	669	28	383	27	13	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	2266	2017	426	82	19	49	218	760	17	34	19	211	294	344	637	132	310	34	10	281	76	-65	-1	-0	-16	+49	-3.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	122	24	5	14	63	218	5	10	5	211	294	342	636	131	309	34	10	281	76	-19	+0	-0	-5	+14	-0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AAASacramento River Cats · 129 PAwOBA .340 → .309 (−32)K% 24.8% → 27.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.81%	÷1.087	×1.200	—	—	27.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.38%	÷0.981	×0.690	—	×0.992	13.52%
HBP% /PA	1.55%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	1.45%
Singles /BIP	35.29%	÷0.992	×0.930	×1.050	×0.992	34.45%
Doubles /BIP	4.41%	÷0.992	×0.830	×1.050	×0.992	3.84%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.956	×0.970	×1.050	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.057	×0.700	—	×0.992	0.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 98, 2B 98, 3B 91, K 117, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .340 → .309; ISO .030 → .029; BABIP .397 → .383. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAArkansas Travelers · 528 PAwOBA .344 → .289 (−55)K% 20.3% → 24.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.27%	÷1.015	×1.220	—	—	24.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.45%	÷0.976	×0.700	—	×0.978	9.43%
HBP% /PA	0.57%	—	×0.870	—	×0.978	0.48%
Singles /BIP	24.20%	÷0.985	×0.920	×0.999	×0.978	22.09%
Doubles /BIP	7.00%	÷0.987	×0.840	×0.999	×0.978	5.82%
Triples /BIP	1.17%	÷1.150	×0.940	×0.999	×0.978	0.93%
Home runs /BIP	2.92%	÷0.909	×0.800	—	×0.978	2.51%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 97, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 103, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .344 → .289; ISO .138 → .117; BABIP .330 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Everett AquaSox · 287 PAwOBA .410 → .305 (−105)K% 23.3% → 32.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.34%	÷0.985	×1.350	—	—	31.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.33%	÷1.125	×0.710	—	×0.968	9.37%
HBP% /PA	1.39%	—	×0.810	—	×0.968	1.09%
Singles /BIP	22.35%	÷0.978	×0.910	×1.003	×0.968	20.20%
Doubles /BIP	14.71%	÷1.076	×0.830	×1.003	×0.968	11.02%
Triples /BIP	1.18%	÷0.929	×0.820	×1.003	×0.968	1.01%
Home runs /BIP	4.71%	÷1.078	×0.830	—	×0.968	3.51%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 96, 2B 115, 3B 86, K 97, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .410 → .305; ISO .224 → .164; BABIP .399 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAArkansas Travelers · 204 PAwOBA .384 → .327 (−57)K% 22.5% → 27.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.55%	÷1.013	×1.220	—	—	27.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.73%	÷1.144	×0.690	—	×0.988	8.18%
HBP% /PA	0.49%	—	×0.850	—	×0.988	0.41%
Singles /BIP	23.62%	÷0.999	×0.940	×1.026	×0.988	22.53%
Doubles /BIP	4.72%	÷0.975	×0.870	×1.026	×0.988	4.27%
Triples /BIP	0.79%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.026	×0.988	0.64%
Home runs /BIP	8.66%	÷0.892	×0.780	—	×0.988	7.48%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 100, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 103, BB 129 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .384 → .327; ISO .237 → .212; BABIP .314 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 A+Modesto Nuts · 514 PAwOBA .321 → .241 (−80)K% 30.5% → 41.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.54%	÷0.976	×1.340	—	—	41.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.45%	÷1.052	×0.710	—	×0.988	8.30%
HBP% /PA	0.19%	—	×0.790	—	×0.988	0.15%
Singles /BIP	21.68%	÷1.005	×0.910	×0.950	×0.988	18.42%
Doubles /BIP	8.74%	÷1.050	×0.820	×0.950	×0.988	6.41%
Triples /BIP	2.10%	÷1.022	×0.760	×0.950	×0.988	1.46%
Home runs /BIP	4.20%	÷0.768	×0.920	—	×0.988	4.97%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 54, 1B 101, 2B 110, 3B 104, K 95, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .321 → .241; ISO .165 → .140; BABIP .337 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AClinton LumberKings · 365 PAwOBA .370 → .285 (−85)K% 29.3% → 40.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.32%	÷0.990	×1.360	—	—	40.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.25%	÷0.998	×0.690	—	×0.990	9.76%
HBP% /PA	1.37%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	1.06%
Singles /BIP	23.74%	÷0.989	×0.920	×1.022	×0.990	22.35%
Doubles /BIP	8.59%	÷0.969	×0.830	×1.022	×0.990	7.45%
Triples /BIP	2.53%	÷0.900	×0.910	×1.022	×0.990	2.58%
Home runs /BIP	6.06%	÷1.013	×0.800	—	×0.990	4.74%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .370 → .285; ISO .207 → .157; BABIP .369 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 A+Modesto Nuts · 97 PAwOBA .263 → .196 (−67)K% 29.9% → 40.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.90%	÷0.990	×1.340	—	—	40.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.40%	÷1.106	×0.710	—	×0.998	8.59%
HBP% /PA	1.03%	—	×0.790	—	×0.998	0.81%
Singles /BIP	15.09%	÷1.003	×0.910	×0.999	×0.998	13.64%
Doubles /BIP	7.55%	÷0.951	×0.820	×0.999	×0.998	6.48%
Triples /BIP	1.89%	÷1.150	×0.760	×0.999	×0.998	1.24%
Home runs /BIP	1.89%	÷0.925	×0.920	—	×0.998	1.87%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 98, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .263 → .196; ISO .110 → .086; BABIP .245 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 ROKAZL Mariners · 142 PAwOBA .434 → .297 (−137)K% 23.2% → 33.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.24%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	33.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	23.24%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.975	14.05%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.975	0.00%
Singles /BIP	27.63%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.980	×0.975	21.65%
Doubles /BIP	5.26%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.980	×0.975	3.62%
Triples /BIP	7.89%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.980	×0.975	5.43%
Home runs /BIP	3.95%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.975	3.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .434 → .297; ISO .229 → .161; BABIP .425 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).