Victor Garcia — OGILVIE

Victor GarciaC DSL Cubs Red

Age 18 L/R 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION46 act + 5 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .400 / .250

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%20

BABIP333

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.7	$14M	+$13M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.8	$13M	+$13M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.8	$12M	+$12M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+2.8	$11M	+$9M
2036	Arb-2	$9M	+2.7	$10M	+$7M
2037	Arb-3	$12M	+2.5	$9M	+$5M
Totals		$29M		$69M	+$59M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	42	36	7	0	0	0	5	9	0	1	0	194	293	194	487		250	21	12	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	42	33	8	0	0	0	8	6	0	1	0	242	390	242	633		286	14	19	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	CHC	—	46	35	11	4	1	1	9	9	0	3	1	314	455	571	1.026	257	370	20	20	429	186	+4	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.7
YTD	18	ROK	CHC	—	46	30	12	5	1	1	14	6	0	3	1	400	591	733	1.324	333	440	13	30	531	264	+9	+0	+0	+1	+1	1.1
ROS	18	ROK	CHC	0%	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	250	400	250	650		298	20	20	301	88	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	18	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		299	—	—	298	86	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	CHC	—	46	36	11	4	1	1	9	9	0	3	1	306	455	556	1.010	250	357	20	20	429	186	+4	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.7
TOT	18	ROK	CHC	—	51	39	12	4	1	1	10	10	0	3	1	308	449	538	987	231	367	20	20	416	177	+4	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	CHC	34%	143	126	29	6	1	2	15	33	1	2	1	230	317	341	658	111	297	23	10	305	92	-1	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.5
2028	20	MLB	CHC	48%	292	256	61	13	3	5	31	67	3	5	1	238	328	371	699	133	298	23	11	310	95	-2	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.3
2029	21	MLB	CHC	54%	407	357	85	18	4	7	43	93	4	7	2	238	327	370	696	132	299	23	11	314	98	-1	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.9
2030	22	MLB	CHC	57%	490	430	103	22	4	9	52	111	5	8	2	240	329	372	701	133	300	23	11	316	100	+0	+1	+0	+9	+14	2.4
2031	23	MLB	CHC	58%	520	455	110	23	5	10	55	118	5	9	2	242	330	380	710	138	301	23	11	318	102	+1	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.7
2032	24	MLB	CHC	57%	520	454	110	23	5	10	56	117	5	9	2	242	332	381	713	139	302	22	11	320	103	+2	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.7
2033	25	MLB	CHC	57%	520	454	110	23	5	10	56	117	5	9	2	242	332	381	713	139	302	22	11	321	104	+2	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.8
2034	26	MLB	CHC	57%	520	454	111	23	5	11	56	117	5	9	2	244	334	390	724	145	302	22	11	321	104	+2	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.8
2035	27	MLB	CHC	55%	520	454	110	23	4	11	56	117	5	9	2	242	332	383	715	141	301	22	11	321	104	+2	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.8
2036	28	MLB	CHC	55%	520	453	109	23	4	10	57	118	5	8	2	241	332	375	707	135	301	23	11	320	103	+2	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.7
2037	29	MLB	CHC	53%	520	453	109	23	4	10	57	119	5	8	2	241	332	375	707	135	300	23	11	318	102	+1	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.5
2038	30	MLB	CHC	53%	520	453	107	22	4	10	57	120	5	7	2	236	328	369	697	132	299	23	11	316	100	-0	+1	-2	+9	+15	2.3
2039	31	MLB	CHC	57%	504	439	102	21	4	9	55	118	5	6	1	232	325	360	685	128	296	23	11	311	97	-2	+1	-3	+9	+14	2.0
2040	32	MLB	CHC	59%	489	428	98	20	4	8	53	117	5	5	1	229	321	350	671	121	293	24	11	306	92	-4	+1	-4	+9	+14	1.6
2041	33	MLB	CHC	61%	473	414	93	18	4	8	52	115	4	4	1	225	317	345	662	121	288	24	11	299	87	-7	+0	-4	+8	+13	1.1
2042	34	MLB	CHC	57%	428	375	81	16	3	6	46	107	4	2	1	216	308	323	631	107	282	25	11	290	80	-10	+0	-5	+8	+12	0.5
2027	19	MLB	CHC	34%	49	44	10	2	0	1	5	11	0	1	0	227	306	341	647	114	299	22	10	301	89	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.2
2028	20	MLB	CHC	48%	141	124	28	6	1	2	15	32	1	2	1	226	314	339	653	113	300	23	11	305	91	-1	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.5
2029	21	MLB	CHC	54%	221	193	47	10	2	4	24	50	2	4	1	244	333	378	712	135	301	23	11	308	94	-2	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.9
2030	22	MLB	CHC	57%	277	243	57	12	2	5	29	63	3	5	1	235	324	362	686	128	301	23	10	310	96	-1	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.2
2031	23	MLB	CHC	58%	299	262	64	13	3	6	32	68	3	5	1	244	333	385	719	141	302	23	11	312	97	-1	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.4
2032	24	MLB	CHC	57%	296	259	63	13	3	6	32	67	3	5	1	243	333	386	719	143	303	23	11	314	98	-1	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.4
2033	25	MLB	CHC	57%	295	258	63	13	3	6	32	66	3	5	1	244	334	388	722	143	303	22	11	315	99	-0	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.4
2034	26	MLB	CHC	57%	294	258	63	13	3	6	31	66	3	5	1	244	332	388	720	143	303	22	11	315	99	-0	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.4
2035	27	MLB	CHC	55%	289	253	61	13	2	6	31	65	3	5	1	241	331	379	710	138	303	22	11	315	99	-0	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.4
2036	28	MLB	CHC	55%	286	250	61	13	2	6	31	65	3	5	1	244	335	384	719	140	302	23	11	314	99	-0	+1	-0	+5	+8	1.3
2037	29	MLB	CHC	53%	278	243	58	12	2	6	30	64	3	4	1	239	330	379	708	140	301	23	11	312	97	-1	+0	-1	+5	+8	1.2
2038	30	MLB	CHC	53%	274	239	57	12	2	5	30	63	3	4	1	238	331	368	699	130	300	23	11	310	95	-2	+0	-1	+5	+8	1.1
2039	31	MLB	CHC	57%	285	249	58	12	2	5	31	67	3	3	1	233	325	357	683	124	298	24	11	306	92	-3	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.9
2040	32	MLB	CHC	59%	289	252	58	12	2	5	32	69	3	3	1	230	324	353	677	123	294	24	11	300	88	-4	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.8
2041	33	MLB	CHC	61%	289	253	56	11	2	5	31	70	3	2	1	221	314	340	654	119	290	24	11	293	83	-6	+0	-3	+5	+8	0.5
2042	34	MLB	CHC	57%	242	212	47	9	2	4	26	61	2	1	0	222	312	340	652	118	284	25	11	285	76	-7	+0	-3	+4	+7	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4104	3593	851	176	33	78	442	947	41	59	14	237	327	369	697	132	299	23	11	308	94	-29	+6	-11	+73	+116	15.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	134	28	5	12	70	150	6	9	2	236	325	366	691	130	298	23	11	308	94	-5	+1	-2	+12	+18	2.5
Career	—			—	7433	6495	1536	317	63	136	803	1714	71	108	26	236	327	368	695	131	299	23	11	313	98	-17	+11	-20	+133	+211	32.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	135	28	6	12	70	150	6	9	2	238	327	371	699	134	301	23	11	313	98	-1	+1	-2	+12	+18	2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	42	33	8	0	0	0	8	6	0	1	0	242	390	242	633		286	14	19	305	92	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alex Avilalast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 3,638 PA	13	3,638	105	8	233	348	393	+65	+46	26.7	24.5
	/162	664	19	1	233	348	393	+11.9	+8.5	4.9	pk7: 22
#2Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#3Brian Schneiderlast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,522 PA	12	3,522	66	4	246	319	367	+54	+84	21.4	20.8
	/162	664	12	1	246	319	367	+10.3	+15.8	4.0	pk7: 20
#4Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#5John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#5John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	4,156	76	60	238	325	370	+74	+40	18.6	14.6
	/162	664	12	10	238	325	370	+11.9	+6.4	3.0	pk7: 11
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Garcia (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	308/449/538	231	367	1	3	20%	20%	177	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	41→50	50→40	52	218/297/315	97	275	8	8	23%	10%	73	-0.1	225/288/361	136	282	16	4	25%	8%	81	+0.4	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→59	41→50	49→50	58	241/333/346	105	301	8	10	21%	12%	96	+1.5	249/334/387	138	332	12	14	26%	11%	107	+2.2	244/330/384	140	317	13	15	25%	11%	101	+1.8
●Andrés Giménez 2017 · A	18	52→60	40→50	48→55	57	247/331/355	109	280	6	11	14%	10%	98	+1.6	236/297/336	100	298	6	18	22%	6%	78	+0.2	261/326/416	155	313	17	25	21%	5%	108	+2.0
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	189/246/313	124	271	11	8	33%	7%	50	-1.7	218/311/403	185	271	23	12	27%	11%	99	+1.3
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	45→53	42→50	52→55	54	215/320/330	115	290	9	18	26%	12%	88	+0.9	235/321/384	149	306	13	20	25%	10%	101	+1.8	236/324/395	159	305	15	21	26%	10%	102	+1.2
✕Hendry Mendez 2022 · A	18	49→53	39→45	51→45	51	232/297/329	97	272	5	7	16%	8%	76	+0.0	218/285/291	73	279	5	5	22%	8%	61	-1.0	257/332/370	113	311	11	7	20%	9%	99	+1.0
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	51→42	43→45	51→55	52	244/320/360	116	300	9	14	21%	9%	94	+1.3	228/320/325	97	311	8	17	26%	11%	85	+0.7	226/320/360	134	289	14	26	25%	12%	91	+0.8
✕Hank Conger 2007 · A	19	46→56	40→50	54→45	44	222/273/324	102	287	6	6	24%	6%	64	-0.8	243/281/378	135	290	15	6	21%	5%	82	+0.5	255/295/391	136	297	16	4	20%	5%	91	+0.7
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	45→47	40→45	46→40	48	218/285/316	97	280	7	5	24%	8%	68	-0.5	235/286/325	90	300	6	3	22%	6%	70	-0.3	247/290/366	119	318	11	2	25%	5%	79	+0.2
●Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	46→56	39→50	50	47	218/290/315	98	283	4	13	23%	7%	70	-0.3	228/279/361	133	299	12	12	27%	6%	77	+0.1	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	50→58	37→45	50	49	234/297/309	75	304	3	13	23%	8%	70	-0.3	246/314/341	95	294	8	13	18%	9%	86	+0.8	264/356/391	126	308	11	2	17%	11%	114	+2.9
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	47→57	36→45	50→45	51	217/297/292	76	290	2	9	24%	10%	67	-0.5	206/254/266	60	262	3	6	21%	5%	40	-2.4	268/309/352	83	293	9	4	12%	4%	85	+0.5
●Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→54	42→55	52→55	49	219/296/333	114	288	7	10	25%	9%	77	+0.1	195/265/303	108	302	7	13	35%	8%	56	-1.3	240/322/392	152	311	15	24	26%	11%	100	+1.2
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→50	58→50	55	210/300/285	75	268	4	16	22%	11%	66	-0.6	232/290/328	96	308	7	11	25%	7%	72	-0.2	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
●Josh Thole 2006 · A	19	46→56	37→40	47→45	53	218/297/291	73	256	5	5	16%	8%	66	-0.6	227/292/293	66	286	3	4	20%	7%	64	-0.8	281/343/378	97	316	5	4	12%	8%	106	+1.6
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	46→56	40	50→40	47	222/289/316	94	291	7	7	25%	8%	69	-0.4	242/309/331	89	308	7	5	22%	8%	82	+0.5	244/317/320	76	314	4	2	22%	9%	78	+0.1
●Brice Turang 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→50	53→60	49	216/286/282	66	296	3	14	26%	9%	59	-1.1	214/287/280	66	290	4	16	25%	9%	59	-1.1	270/345/412	142	330	14	32	21%	10%	114	+2.5
●Miguel Vargas 2019 · A	19	51→53	39→55	52→50	46	239/296/332	93	306	5	8	23%	7%	76	+0.0	248/300/371	123	304	11	8	21%	6%	88	+0.9	221/322/407	185	244	21	11	19%	12%	106	+1.7
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	46	45→50	45	51	220/308/355	135	308	10	8	30%	11%	88	+0.9	191/266/284	93	290	7	5	34%	9%	52	-1.6	183/233/258	75	242	8	4	27%	6%	29	-0.9