Victor Garcia — OGILVIE

Victor GarciaC DSL Cubs Red

Age 18 L/R 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION94 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP293

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$58M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+1.2	$5M	+$3M
2036	Arb-2	$8M	+1.2	$4M	+$2M
2037	Arb-3	$11M	+1.0	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$16M		$31M	+$21M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	42	33	8	0	0	0	8	6	0	1	0	242	390	242	633		286	14	19	305	93	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	42	36	7	0	0	0	5	9	0	1	0	194	293	194	487		231	21	12	229	41	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	42	36	7	0	0	0	5	9	0	1	0	194	293	194	487		250	21	12	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	42	33	8	0	0	0	8	6	0	1	0	242	390	242	633		286	14	19	305	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	42	37	7	0	0	0	5	9	0	1	0	189	293	189	482		231	21	12	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	42	37	7	0	0	0	5	9	0	1	0	189	293	189	482		231	21	12	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	CHC	—	94	74	16	5	1	1	17	23	1	4	4	216	370	351	721	135	288	24	18	320	103	+0	-1	+0	+2	+2	0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	CHC	—	94	63	18	6	1	1	28	16	1	4	4	286	511	460	971	175	354	17	30	433	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	CHC	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		290	22	11	291	83	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	CHC	—	103	82	17	5	1	1	18	25	1	4	4	207	356	329	686	122	276	24	17	317	101	+0	-1	+0	+2	+2	0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	143	124	28	6	1	2	17	35	1	3	1	226	324	339	663	113	290	24	12	298	87	-2	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.4
2028	20	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	292	253	56	11	2	4	34	70	3	5	2	221	321	328	649	107	292	24	12	304	92	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2029	21	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	407	352	81	16	3	7	47	97	5	8	3	230	329	352	681	122	293	24	12	308	95	-2	+0	+0	+7	+9	1.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	490	425	98	19	4	9	56	116	6	9	4	231	329	358	686	127	294	24	11	312	97	-2	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2031	23	MLB MLE	CHC	58%	520	449	106	21	4	10	60	122	6	10	4	236	334	367	701	131	295	23	12	314	99	-1	+0	+0	+9	+11	2.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	520	449	106	21	4	10	60	122	6	10	4	236	334	367	701	131	296	23	12	316	100	-0	+0	+0	+9	+11	2.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	520	449	107	21	4	11	60	122	6	10	4	238	336	376	712	138	296	23	12	317	101	+1	+0	+0	+9	+11	2.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	520	449	107	21	4	11	60	122	6	10	4	238	336	376	712	138	296	23	12	318	101	+1	+0	+0	+9	+11	2.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	520	448	106	21	4	11	61	122	6	10	4	237	336	375	711	138	295	23	12	318	101	+1	+0	+0	+9	+11	2.2
2036	28	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	520	448	105	20	4	11	61	123	6	10	4	234	334	371	705	136	295	24	12	317	101	+0	+0	-1	+9	+11	2.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	520	448	104	20	4	10	61	124	6	10	4	232	332	362	694	129	294	24	12	315	99	-0	+0	-1	+9	+11	2.0
2038	30	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	520	448	102	20	3	10	61	125	6	9	4	228	328	353	681	125	293	24	12	312	98	-2	+0	-2	+9	+11	1.7
2039	31	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	504	434	98	19	3	9	59	123	6	9	4	226	327	346	672	120	290	24	12	308	95	-3	+0	-3	+9	+11	1.4
2040	32	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	489	423	94	18	3	9	57	121	6	9	3	222	323	343	666	121	287	25	12	303	91	-5	+1	-4	+9	+11	1.1
2041	33	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	473	410	88	16	3	8	55	120	5	8	3	215	315	327	642	112	282	25	12	296	86	-8	+0	-4	+8	+10	0.7
2042	34	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	428	370	78	14	3	7	50	111	5	7	3	211	313	322	635	111	277	26	12	287	81	-10	+0	-5	+8	+9	0.2
2027	19	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	49	43	10	2	0	1	6	12	0	1	0	233	327	349	675	116	293	24	12	292	87	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	141	122	28	6	1	2	16	34	2	3	1	230	329	344	673	115	295	24	11	297	92	-1	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.4
2029	21	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	221	191	45	9	2	4	25	53	3	4	2	236	333	366	700	131	296	24	11	301	95	-1	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2030	22	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	277	240	56	11	2	5	32	65	3	5	2	233	331	358	689	125	296	23	12	304	97	-1	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	CHC	58%	299	259	61	12	2	6	34	70	4	6	2	236	333	367	700	131	297	23	11	306	99	-0	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	296	256	60	12	2	6	34	69	4	6	2	234	333	367	701	133	298	23	11	308	100	-0	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.2
2033	25	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	295	255	60	12	2	6	34	69	4	6	2	235	334	369	703	133	298	23	12	309	101	+0	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.3
2034	26	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	294	254	60	12	2	6	34	69	4	6	2	236	336	370	706	134	298	23	12	310	101	+0	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.3
2035	27	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	289	249	59	12	2	6	34	68	4	5	2	237	338	373	711	137	298	24	12	310	101	+0	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.2
2036	28	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	286	246	58	11	2	6	34	68	4	5	2	236	338	370	708	134	297	24	12	309	101	+0	+0	-0	+5	+6	1.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	278	240	55	11	2	5	33	66	3	5	2	229	330	354	684	125	296	24	12	307	99	-0	+0	-1	+5	+6	1.0
2038	30	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	274	237	55	11	2	5	32	66	3	5	2	232	331	359	690	127	295	24	12	304	98	-1	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.9
2039	31	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	263	227	52	10	2	5	31	64	3	5	2	229	330	357	686	128	293	24	12	300	95	-2	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.8
2040	32	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	254	219	48	9	2	4	30	63	3	4	2	219	321	333	655	114	289	25	12	295	91	-3	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.6
2041	33	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	265	229	49	9	2	4	31	67	3	5	2	214	316	323	639	109	285	25	12	288	86	-4	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.4
2042	34	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	220	190	40	7	2	3	26	57	2	4	1	211	312	316	628	105	279	26	12	280	81	-5	+0	-3	+4	+5	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4001	3457	796	156	29	74	466	960	49	75	28	230	330	356	686	126	296	24	12	303	96	-18	+4	-10	+71	+87	13.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	562	129	25	5	12	76	156	8	12	5	230	330	356	686	126	295	24	12	303	96	-3	+1	-2	+12	+14	2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7437	6423	1472	284	53	139	865	1786	85	138	55	229	328	355	683	126	294	24	12	310	96	-35	+5	-20	+132	+160	24.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	561	129	25	5	12	76	156	7	12	5	230	329	357	685	127	295	24	12	310	96	-3	+0	-2	+12	+14	2.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Chris Snyderlast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,435 PA	3.7	2,435	77	0	225	329	385	+43	+73	19.3	18.1
/162	664	21	0	+11.9	+19.9	5.3	pk7: 17
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	3.3	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
/162	664	19	8	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.1	4,052	76	74	230	326	356	+72	+36	16.8	13.3
/162	664	12	12	+11.9	+5.9	2.7	pk7: 10
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Garcia (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	215/315/311	96	290	0	1	25%	12%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	40→50	50→40	52	216/294/311	95	269	7	8	22%	9%	74	-0.5	225/287/355	130	281	15	4	24%	8%	81	-0.1	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	65	-1.2	190/247/308	118	273	11	8	33%	7%	55	-1.9	213/305/387	174	267	21	12	27%	11%	94	+0.7
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	50→58	37→45	50	49	234/297/309	75	303	3	13	23%	8%	74	-0.6	243/310/336	93	291	7	13	18%	9%	85	+0.2	261/353/385	124	305	11	2	17%	11%	110	+2.2
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	74	-0.6	214/320/283	69	272	4	14	20%	11%	78	-0.3	222/318/349	127	252	16	10	19%	9%	90	+0.3
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→60	41→50	49→50	58	237/329/342	104	299	8	10	22%	12%	94	+0.9	248/333/382	134	332	12	14	26%	11%	104	+1.6	244/329/380	136	317	13	15	25%	11%	100	+1.3
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	51	43→50	50→55	51	244/315/357	114	300	9	14	21%	9%	92	+0.7	228/318/325	97	308	8	17	26%	11%	86	+0.3	228/320/369	141	283	16	24	24%	11%	94	+0.8
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	47→57	36→45	50→45	51	217/297/292	76	290	2	9	24%	10%	71	-0.8	206/254/266	60	262	3	6	21%	5%	47	-2.5	278/317/371	94	319	8	6	15%	4%	95	+0.7
●Willy Adames 2014 · A	18	44→53	37→60	43→50	55	202/304/287	85	274	3	9	25%	12%	73	-0.6	220/288/329	109	333	6	7	33%	8%	75	-0.5	238/319/443	205	285	27	12	26%	10%	111	+2.2
●Andrés Giménez 2017 · A	18	52→60	40→50	48→55	57	247/331/355	109	280	6	11	14%	10%	98	+1.2	235/295/332	97	297	6	18	22%	5%	79	-0.2	260/325/413	154	312	16	25	21%	5%	105	+1.5
✕Hendry Mendez 2022 · A	18	49→56	39→45	51→45	51	232/296/328	96	272	5	7	16%	8%	78	-0.3	222/288/298	76	282	5	5	21%	8%	68	-1.0	258/330/364	106	310	10	6	19%	9%	97	+0.8
✕Hank Conger 2007 · A	19	46→56	40→50	54→45	44	222/273/324	102	287	6	6	24%	6%	68	-1.0	243/281/377	134	290	14	6	21%	5%	84	+0.1	251/302/378	128	291	13	2	18%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	45→47	40→45	46→40	48	218/285/316	97	280	7	5	24%	8%	72	-0.7	233/285/324	91	297	6	3	22%	6%	72	-0.7	243/287/342	99	309	8	2	23%	5%	75	-0.2
✕Marco Vargas 2023 · A	18	47	38→40	50→60	51	221/294/308	87	285	4	13	23%	9%	73	-0.6	208/298/278	70	288	3	18	26%	11%	68	-1.0	213/291/276	63	314	3	36	30%	10%	62	-0.7
✕Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	46→56	39→50	50	47	218/290/315	98	283	4	13	23%	7%	74	-0.6	226/277/349	123	297	11	12	27%	6%	76	-0.4	254/305/388	134	310	14	13	22%	6%	92	+0.7
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	46	45→50	45	51	220/308/355	135	308	10	8	30%	11%	89	+0.5	191/267/284	93	292	7	5	34%	9%	57	-1.8	188/237/266	78	247	8	4	27%	6%	40	-0.9
●Miguel Vargas 2019 · A	19	50→52	39→55	52→50	45	238/294/331	93	306	5	8	23%	7%	78	-0.3	246/298/362	116	303	10	8	21%	6%	86	+0.3	224/326/406	183	249	21	12	19%	12%	105	+1.6
✕Nelson Quiroz 2021 · A	19	44	37→40	47→40	45	209/268/279	70	271	5	6	24%	7%	56	-1.9	225/291/332	107	274	8	5	20%	8%	77	-0.3	252/305/321	69	287	2	0	12%	6%	75	-0.1
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	50	36→45	55→45	57	230/329/297	67	301	2	9	22%	12%	84	+0.2	231/325/325	94	288	8	10	21%	11%	89	+0.5	229/319/329	99	290	10	8	22%	11%	86	+0.1
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	55	216/324/330	114	293	8	18	27%	12%	91	+0.6	237/321/380	143	308	13	20	25%	10%	100	+1.3	237/324/389	152	306	14	21	25%	10%	100	+0.9
✕Leo Rivas 2016 · A	18	44→54	37→40	52→65	44	204/291/284	80	291	3	16	28%	8%	68	-1.0	208/298/282	74	292	3	17	27%	10%	69	-0.9	241/356/333	92	321	9	44	24%	14%	102	+1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps