Abrahan Ramirez
3B Jupiter Hammerheads| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROKNYY | 189 | .348/.447/.513 | 2 | 6 | 90 | — | .247/.319/.341 |
| 2025 | 20 | AMIA | 403 | .238/.375/.302 | 0 | 14 | 63 | — | .206/.305/.260 |
| 2026 | 21 | A+/AMIA | 354 | .253/.358/.387 | 8 | 26 | 68 | — | .217/.295/.328 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBMIA | 464 | .188/.276/.267 | 5 | 14 | 57 | -0.4 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 23 | MLBMIA | 98 | .189/.277/.275 | 1 | 3 | 64 | -0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 24 | MLBMIA | 166 | .194/.281/.289 | 3 | 5 | 69 | -0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | — | 75 | 60 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 333 | 452 | 500 | 952 | 167 | 426 | 20 | 15 | 412 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 136 | 103 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 311 | 474 | 379 | 853 | 68 | 369 | 14 | 23 | 397 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Yankees | — | 189 | 158 | 55 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 30 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 348 | 447 | 513 | 959 | 165 | 417 | 16 | 15 | 422 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 403 | 328 | 78 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 68 | 86 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 238 | 375 | 302 | 677 | 64 | 318 | 21 | 17 | 320 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 165 | 143 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 30 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 231 | 321 | 322 | 643 | 91 | 272 | 18 | 11 | 292 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 189 | 157 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 39 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 274 | 390 | 446 | 836 | 172 | 325 | 21 | 15 | 372 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Yankees | — | 75 | 63 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 206 | 315 | 302 | 617 | 95 | 277 | 25 | 11 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 136 | 112 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 23 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 214 | 348 | 241 | 589 | 27 | 264 | 17 | 16 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 189 | 170 | 42 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 44 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 247 | 319 | 341 | 660 | 94 | 328 | 23 | 10 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 403 | 350 | 72 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 46 | 115 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 206 | 305 | 260 | 565 | 54 | 297 | 29 | 11 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 165 | 148 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 203 | 272 | 284 | 555 | 81 | 237 | 23 | 8 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 189 | 166 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 53 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 229 | 316 | 367 | 683 | 139 | 292 | 28 | 11 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Yankees | — | 75 | 63 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 206 | 315 | 302 | 617 | 95 | 283 | 25 | 11 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL NYY Yankees | — | 75 | 60 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 333 | 452 | 500 | 952 | 167 | 426 | 20 | 15 | 412 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 136 | 112 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 23 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 214 | 348 | 241 | 589 | 27 | 267 | 17 | 16 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 136 | 103 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 311 | 474 | 379 | 853 | 68 | 369 | 14 | 23 | 397 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 189 | 170 | 42 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 44 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 247 | 319 | 341 | 660 | 94 | 325 | 23 | 10 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Yankees | — | 189 | 158 | 55 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 30 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 348 | 447 | 513 | 959 | 165 | 417 | 16 | 15 | 422 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 403 | 350 | 72 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 46 | 115 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 206 | 305 | 260 | 565 | 54 | 303 | 29 | 11 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A RAW | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 403 | 328 | 78 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 68 | 86 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 238 | 375 | 302 | 677 | 64 | 318 | 21 | 17 | 320 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 354 | 314 | 66 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 91 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 210 | 289 | 309 | 598 | 99 | 270 | 26 | 9 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 354 | 300 | 76 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 47 | 69 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 253 | 358 | 387 | 745 | 133 | 298 | 19 | 13 | 335 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Yankees | — | 75 | 65 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 200 | 315 | 292 | 607 | 92 | 277 | 25 | 11 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 136 | 112 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 23 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 214 | 348 | 241 | 589 | 27 | 264 | 17 | 16 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 189 | 169 | 42 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 44 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 249 | 319 | 343 | 662 | 95 | 328 | 23 | 10 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 403 | 350 | 72 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 46 | 115 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 206 | 305 | 260 | 565 | 54 | 297 | 29 | 11 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 354 | 316 | 66 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 91 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 209 | 289 | 307 | 596 | 98 | 266 | 26 | 9 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 189 | 169 | 42 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 44 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 249 | 319 | 343 | 662 | 95 | 328 | 23 | 10 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 403 | 350 | 72 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 46 | 115 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 206 | 305 | 260 | 565 | 54 | 297 | 29 | 11 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 354 | 316 | 66 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 91 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 209 | 289 | 307 | 596 | 98 | 266 | 26 | 9 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | MIA | 0% | 464 | 411 | 78 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 47 | 114 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 188 | 276 | 267 | 542 | 78 | 246 | 25 | 10 | 252 | 57 | -24 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +10 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | MIA | 34% | 285 | 252 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 69 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 195 | 282 | 288 | 570 | 93 | 249 | 24 | 10 | 263 | 64 | -12 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | MIA | 46% | 359 | 318 | 63 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 36 | 85 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 200 | 287 | 303 | 590 | 102 | 252 | 24 | 10 | 271 | 69 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIA | 52% | 399 | 353 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 40 | 94 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 204 | 290 | 312 | 602 | 108 | 254 | 24 | 10 | 275 | 73 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIA | 58% | 423 | 374 | 77 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 43 | 100 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 206 | 292 | 318 | 610 | 112 | 256 | 24 | 10 | 278 | 74 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIA | 60% | 432 | 383 | 78 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 43 | 102 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 207 | 292 | 320 | 612 | 113 | 257 | 24 | 10 | 279 | 75 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIA | 62% | 431 | 382 | 78 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 43 | 103 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 205 | 290 | 315 | 605 | 110 | 256 | 24 | 10 | 276 | 73 | -14 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIA | 63% | 422 | 374 | 75 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 42 | 102 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 203 | 287 | 308 | 596 | 106 | 255 | 24 | 10 | 273 | 71 | -15 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +9 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | MIA | 34% | 98 | 87 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 189 | 277 | 275 | 552 | 86 | 241 | 24 | 10 | 256 | 64 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | MIA | 46% | 166 | 147 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 40 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 194 | 281 | 289 | 571 | 96 | 244 | 24 | 10 | 263 | 69 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIA | 52% | 206 | 182 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 49 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 197 | 284 | 299 | 583 | 101 | 246 | 24 | 10 | 268 | 73 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIA | 58% | 244 | 215 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 58 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 199 | 286 | 304 | 590 | 105 | 248 | 24 | 10 | 270 | 74 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIA | 60% | 261 | 231 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 62 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 200 | 286 | 306 | 592 | 106 | 249 | 24 | 10 | 271 | 75 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIA | 62% | 268 | 237 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 64 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 198 | 284 | 301 | 585 | 103 | 248 | 24 | 10 | 268 | 73 | -9 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIA | 63% | 266 | 236 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 64 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 196 | 282 | 295 | 577 | 99 | 247 | 24 | 10 | 265 | 71 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1509 | 1335 | 265 | 49 | 6 | 26 | 152 | 361 | 11 | 40 | 16 | 199 | 286 | 303 | 588 | 104 | 251 | 24 | 10 | 267 | 71 | -50 | +2 | -1 | +5 | +33 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 575 | 114 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 65 | 156 | 5 | 17 | 7 | 198 | 285 | 303 | 588 | 104 | 251 | 24 | 10 | 267 | 71 | -22 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +14 | -0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4118 | 3631 | 744 | 145 | 14 | 57 | 424 | 999 | 29 | 145 | 52 | 205 | 293 | 300 | 593 | 95 | 264 | 24 | 10 | 273 | 71 | -103 | +5 | -2 | +11 | +64 | -2.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 573 | 117 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 67 | 158 | 5 | 23 | 8 | 204 | 293 | 298 | 591 | 94 | 263 | 24 | 10 | 273 | 71 | -23 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +14 | -0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AJupiter Hammerheads · 189 PAwOBA .367 → .296 (−71)K% 20.6% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.63% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | — | 10.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.53% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | — | 22.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.007 | — | 4.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.007 | — | 0.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | — | 4.07% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .367 → .296; ISO .172 → .137; BABIP .325 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 165 PAwOBA .290 → .239 (−52)K% 18.2% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 23.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 7.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.61% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.964 | ×1.012 | 19.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.964 | ×1.012 | 4.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.964 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.43% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .290 → .239; ISO .091 → .073; BABIP .272 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AJupiter Hammerheads · 403 PAwOBA .314 → .261 (−53)K% 21.3% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.34% | ÷1.014 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.63% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 11.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.99% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.97% | ÷1.019 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×1.015 | 22.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.85% | ÷0.947 | ×0.830 | ×1.023 | ×1.015 | 7.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.41% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.023 | ×1.015 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.035 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 104, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .314 → .261; ISO .064 → .058; BABIP .318 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Yankees · 189 PAwOBA .414 → .301 (−113)K% 15.9% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.87% | ÷0.972 | ×1.440 | — | — | 23.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.34% | ÷0.988 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 9.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.12% | ÷1.002 | ×0.820 | ×1.026 | ×0.995 | 23.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.94% | ÷1.087 | ×0.720 | ×1.026 | ×0.995 | 7.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.34% | ÷0.970 | ×0.720 | ×1.026 | ×0.995 | 1.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.56% | ÷1.142 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 1.06% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 100, 2B 117, 3B 94, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .414 → .301; ISO .165 → .113; BABIP .417 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL NYY Bombers · 136 PAwOBA .392 → .286 (−106)K% 14.0% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.97% | ÷0.991 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.79% | ÷0.965 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 16.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.14% | ÷0.961 | ×0.680 | ×1.044 | ×0.995 | 23.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.996 | ×0.600 | ×1.044 | ×0.995 | 2.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.600 | ×1.044 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.463 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.38% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 193, 1B 92, 2B 99, 3B 99, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .392 → .286; ISO .068 → .036; BABIP .369 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL NYY Yankees · 75 PAwOBA .413 → .282 (−131)K% 20.0% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.982 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.67% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 10.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.67% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.89% | ÷0.994 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.008 | 19.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.89% | ÷1.101 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.008 | 4.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.986 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.008 | 4.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.195 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 99, 2B 120, 3B 97, K 96, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .413 → .282; ISO .167 → .102; BABIP .426 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).