Clark Elliott
OF Midland RockHounds| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A/ROKOAK | 256 | .300/.442/.475 | 6 | 7 | 94 | — | .230/.347/.353 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA/A+OAK | 483 | .251/.398/.422 | 12 | 16 | 78 | — | .200/.308/.328 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAOAK | 460 | .227/.404/.337 | 8 | 22 | 74 | — | .188/.323/.270 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 26 | MLBOAK | 3 | .204/.321/.314 | 0 | 0 | 82 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ20% MLB | 27 | MLBOAK | 33 | .205/.321/.316 | 1 | 1 | 82 | -0.0 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 252 | 215 | 42 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 47 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 195 | 305 | 247 | 552 | 51 | 241 | 19 | 11 | 262 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Stockton Ports | — | 122 | 93 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 269 | 429 | 344 | 773 | 75 | 320 | 16 | 17 | 357 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Stockton Ports | — | 236 | 182 | 53 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 51 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 291 | 442 | 473 | 914 | 181 | 367 | 22 | 15 | 404 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | ROK | ACL Athletics | — | 20 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 389 | 450 | 500 | 950 | 111 | 700 | 40 | 10 | 424 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 316 | 259 | 67 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 48 | 67 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 259 | 389 | 425 | 813 | 166 | 317 | 21 | 15 | 366 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 167 | 127 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 236 | 416 | 417 | 833 | 181 | 277 | 18 | 20 | 379 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 460 | 353 | 80 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 93 | 119 | 12 | 22 | 5 | 227 | 404 | 337 | 741 | 110 | 316 | 26 | 20 | 350 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 252 | 224 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 64 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 165 | 249 | 210 | 459 | 45 | 216 | 25 | 8 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 122 | 100 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 230 | 353 | 300 | 653 | 70 | 280 | 22 | 11 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 236 | 194 | 45 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 68 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 232 | 355 | 361 | 716 | 129 | 312 | 29 | 10 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 20 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 250 | 263 | 513 | 53 | 504 | 60 | 5 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 316 | 277 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 83 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 206 | 299 | 321 | 621 | 116 | 268 | 26 | 9 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 167 | 138 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 39 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 188 | 325 | 341 | 666 | 152 | 214 | 23 | 13 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 460 | 382 | 72 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 64 | 145 | 12 | 22 | 5 | 188 | 323 | 270 | 593 | 81 | 278 | 32 | 14 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 374 | 324 | 61 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 91 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 188 | 285 | 241 | 526 | 52 | 249 | 24 | 9 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 374 | 308 | 67 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 67 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 218 | 345 | 276 | 621 | 58 | 265 | 18 | 13 | 293 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 256 | 213 | 49 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 80 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 230 | 347 | 352 | 699 | 122 | 341 | 31 | 10 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 256 | 200 | 60 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 59 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 300 | 442 | 475 | 917 | 175 | 391 | 23 | 15 | 405 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 415 | 83 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 52 | 122 | 13 | 16 | 1 | 200 | 308 | 328 | 636 | 128 | 255 | 25 | 11 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 483 | 386 | 97 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 81 | 97 | 13 | 16 | 1 | 251 | 398 | 422 | 820 | 171 | 304 | 20 | 17 | 371 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 460 | 382 | 72 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 64 | 145 | 12 | 22 | 5 | 188 | 323 | 270 | 593 | 81 | 283 | 32 | 14 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA RAW | Midland RockHounds | — | 460 | 353 | 80 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 93 | 119 | 12 | 22 | 5 | 227 | 404 | 337 | 741 | 110 | 316 | 26 | 20 | 350 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 374 | 327 | 61 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 91 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 187 | 285 | 239 | 524 | 52 | 237 | 24 | 9 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 256 | 216 | 49 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 80 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 227 | 347 | 347 | 694 | 120 | 327 | 31 | 10 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 415 | 83 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 52 | 122 | 13 | 16 | 1 | 200 | 308 | 328 | 636 | 128 | 249 | 25 | 11 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 460 | 381 | 72 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 64 | 145 | 12 | 22 | 5 | 189 | 323 | 270 | 593 | 81 | 278 | 32 | 14 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 256 | 216 | 49 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 80 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 227 | 347 | 347 | 694 | 120 | 327 | 31 | 10 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 415 | 83 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 52 | 122 | 13 | 16 | 1 | 200 | 308 | 328 | 636 | 128 | 249 | 25 | 11 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 460 | 381 | 72 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 64 | 145 | 12 | 22 | 5 | 189 | 323 | 270 | 593 | 81 | 278 | 32 | 14 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | OAK | 2% | 380 | 322 | 64 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 47 | 116 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 199 | 317 | 305 | 622 | 106 | 284 | 31 | 12 | 289 | 82 | -8 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +8 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | OAK | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 321 | 314 | 635 | 110 | 293 | 33 | 0 | 295 | 82 | -0 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | OAK | 20% | 167 | 141 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 51 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 200 | 316 | 308 | 624 | 108 | 284 | 31 | 12 | 290 | 82 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | OAK | 20% | 33 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 321 | 316 | 637 | 111 | 293 | 30 | 12 | 295 | 82 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 33 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 333 | 357 | 690 | 143 | 294 | 30 | 12 | 295 | 73 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 552 | 119 | 20 | 0 | 20 | 79 | 197 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 216 | 335 | 361 | 696 | 145 | 296 | 30 | 12 | 295 | 73 | -14 | +4 | -3 | -4 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1895 | 1607 | 320 | 50 | 12 | 28 | 213 | 536 | 56 | 66 | 13 | 199 | 314 | 297 | 611 | 98 | 276 | 28 | 11 | 277 | 73 | -7 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +7 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 551 | 110 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 73 | 184 | 19 | 23 | 4 | 200 | 314 | 299 | 613 | 100 | 276 | 28 | 11 | 277 | 73 | -14 | +2 | -3 | -4 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAMidland RockHounds · 460 PAwOBA .344 → .278 (−67)K% 25.9% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.87% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 13.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.61% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 2.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.990 | ×0.988 | 22.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.990 | ×0.988 | 4.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×0.990 | ×0.988 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.70% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .344 → .278; ISO .110 → .092; BABIP .316 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAMidland RockHounds · 316 PAwOBA .359 → .283 (−75)K% 21.2% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.20% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.87% | ÷1.078 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 9.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.22% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.40% | ÷1.012 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | ×0.998 | 20.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.77% | ÷1.131 | ×0.840 | ×0.986 | ×0.998 | 4.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.56% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.986 | ×0.998 | 1.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.043 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.19% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 102, 2B 126, 3B 130, K 98, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .359 → .283; ISO .166 → .129; BABIP .317 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 167 PAwOBA .373 → .283 (−90)K% 18.0% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.96% | ÷0.969 | ×1.270 | — | — | 23.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.76% | ÷1.048 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 13.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.59% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 2.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.53% | ÷1.078 | ×0.920 | ×0.999 | ×0.978 | 14.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.22% | ÷1.199 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×0.978 | 4.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.06% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.999 | ×0.978 | 1.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.12% | ÷0.921 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 3.50% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 116, 2B 140, 3B 130, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .373 → .283; ISO .181 → .145; BABIP .277 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AStockton Ports · 236 PAwOBA .399 → .314 (−85)K% 21.6% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.61% | ÷1.015 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.25% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 10.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.51% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 4.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.72% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×0.969 | ×0.980 | 23.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.87% | ÷0.979 | ×0.830 | ×0.969 | ×0.980 | 5.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.29% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.969 | ×0.980 | 2.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.58% | ÷1.164 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 3.08% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 101, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .399 → .314; ISO .181 → .141; BABIP .367 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Athletics · 20 PAwOBA .414 → .219 (−195)K% 40.0% → 57.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.00% | ÷0.998 | ×1.440 | — | — | 57.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷0.986 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 6.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 50.00% | ÷1.027 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 38.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.124 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 12.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.907 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.852 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 105, 2B 125, 3B 81, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .414 → .219; ISO .111 → .049; BABIP .700 → .504. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 252 PAwOBA .259 → .208 (−51)K% 18.7% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.65% | ÷0.938 | ×1.270 | — | — | 25.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.036 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 7.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.24% | ÷0.991 | ×0.920 | ×0.983 | ×0.998 | 18.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.946 | ×0.810 | ×0.983 | ×0.998 | 3.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.983 | ×0.998 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.60% | ÷1.209 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.39% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 88, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .259 → .208; ISO .051 → .039; BABIP .241 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AStockton Ports · 122 PAwOBA .358 → .294 (−64)K% 16.4% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.39% | ÷0.996 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.21% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 11.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.10% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 3.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.77% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 25.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.74% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 2.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.37% | ÷0.945 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 1.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.37% | ÷0.945 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 1.15% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 89, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .358 → .294; ISO .075 → .066; BABIP .320 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).