Jacob Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Jacob GonzalezSS Charlotte Knights

Age 24 L/R 6'2" / 205 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION434 act + 266 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†100

AVG/OBP/SLG.242 / .311 / .408

PA266

HR9

SB5

K%21

BB%8

BABIP277

ISO167

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 37 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT37

xwOBA

480.306

POWER40

Barrel%

101.5

Avg EV

3888.2

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

Sprint

3226.6

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+1.6	$13M	+$12M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.7	$20M	+$19M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.8	$19M	+$19M
2029	Arb-1	$6M	+2.8	$18M	+$13M
2030	Arb-2	$10M	+2.7	$16M	+$9M
2031	Arb-3	$14M	+2.5	$14M	+$5M
Totals		$33M		$100M	+$78M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	153	130	24	2	0	1	16	35	2	1	1	185	284	223	507	38	232	23	10	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	153	123	26	3	0	1	23	25	2	1	1	211	345	260	605	49	245	16	15	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	572	526	114	22	1	9	29	102	7	17	6	217	267	314	581	97	248	18	5	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	572	508	121	27	1	8	47	74	7	17	6	238	311	343	654	104	260	13	8	293	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	2 teams	—	539	490	107	23	1	11	33	106	7	17	3	218	277	337	614	118	252	20	6	270	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	2 teams	—	539	475	110	26	2	8	48	86	7	17	3	232	311	345	657	114	262	16	9	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AAA	CWS	—	434	383	99	18	1	20	39	103	7	8	3	258	338	467	805	209	303	24	9	346	123	+11	+0	+0	+5	+12	2.9
YTD	24	AAA	CWS	—	434	373	106	20	1	23	49	93	7	8	3	284	378	528	906	244	322	21	11	393	159	+29	+0	+0	+5	+12	4.7
ROS	24	AAA	CWS	100%	266	240	58	11	1	9	20	55	4	5	2	242	311	408	719	167	273	21	8	316	100	+0	+0	-0	+3	+8	1.0
ROS	24	MLB	CWS	100%	266	240	58	11	1	9	20	55	4	5	2	242	311	408	719	167	274	21	8	308	94	-2	+0	-0	+3	+8	0.9
FULL	24	AAA	CWS	—	700	623	157	29	2	29	59	158	11	13	5	252	328	445	772	193	292	23	8	331	112	+9	+1	-0	+8	+20	3.8
TOT	24	AAA	CWS	—	700	623	157	29	2	29	59	158	11	13	5	252	328	445	772	193	292	23	8	335	114	+11	+1	-0	+8	+20	4.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	CWS	82%	660	596	144	28	2	23	50	137	9	12	4	242	310	411	721	169	274	21	8	318	101	+1	+1	-1	+7	+19	2.7
2028	26	MLB	CWS	82%	660	595	144	28	2	23	51	137	9	12	4	242	311	412	723	170	275	21	8	319	103	+2	+1	-1	+7	+19	2.8
2029	27	MLB	CWS	82%	660	594	144	28	2	23	52	138	9	12	4	242	313	412	725	170	276	21	8	320	103	+2	+1	-1	+7	+19	2.8
2030	28	MLB	CWS	82%	660	593	143	28	2	22	53	140	9	12	4	241	313	406	719	165	276	21	8	319	102	+2	+1	-2	+7	+19	2.7
2031	29	MLB	CWS	82%	651	585	140	27	2	22	53	139	8	11	4	239	311	405	716	166	275	21	8	317	101	+1	+1	-2	+7	+18	2.5
2032	30	MLB	CWS	82%	638	573	136	26	2	21	52	138	8	9	3	237	310	400	709	162	274	22	8	315	99	-1	+1	-3	+7	+18	2.2
2033	31	MLB	CWS	82%	625	561	131	25	1	20	51	137	8	8	3	234	306	389	695	155	272	22	8	311	96	-3	+0	-4	+7	+18	1.9
2034	32	MLB	CWS	82%	613	551	126	24	1	19	49	137	8	6	2	229	301	379	680	151	269	22	8	305	92	-6	+0	-4	+7	+17	1.4
2035	33	MLB	CWS	82%	528	475	107	20	1	16	42	121	6	4	1	225	296	373	669	147	265	23	8	298	87	-8	+0	-5	+6	+15	0.8
2036	34	MLB	CWS	77%	447	403	88	16	1	13	36	105	5	3	1	218	291	360	650	141	260	23	8	290	80	-10	+0	-6	+5	+13	0.2
2037	35	MLB	CWS	73%	377	340	71	12	1	10	30	91	4	2	1	209	281	338	619	129	254	24	8	279	72	-12	+0	-6	+4	+11	-0.3
2027	25	MLB	CWS	82%	541	488	118	23	1	19	41	112	7	10	3	242	310	410	720	168	275	21	8	310	95	-3	+1	-1	+6	+15	1.8
2028	26	MLB	CWS	82%	541	487	119	23	2	19	42	113	7	10	3	244	313	417	730	172	276	21	8	311	96	-2	+1	-1	+6	+15	1.9
2029	27	MLB	CWS	82%	541	486	119	23	2	19	43	114	7	10	3	245	315	418	733	173	277	21	8	312	97	-2	+1	-1	+6	+15	1.9
2030	28	MLB	CWS	82%	541	486	118	23	1	19	43	114	7	9	3	243	313	412	725	169	277	21	8	311	96	-2	+1	-1	+6	+15	1.8
2031	29	MLB	CWS	82%	534	479	114	22	1	18	43	114	7	9	3	238	310	401	711	163	276	21	8	310	95	-3	+1	-2	+6	+15	1.7
2032	30	MLB	CWS	82%	523	469	112	22	1	17	42	113	7	8	3	239	311	399	710	160	275	22	8	307	93	-4	+0	-3	+6	+15	1.4
2033	31	MLB	CWS	82%	512	460	108	21	1	17	41	112	6	6	2	235	306	396	701	161	273	22	8	303	90	-6	+0	-3	+5	+15	1.2
2034	32	MLB	CWS	82%	503	451	105	20	1	16	41	112	6	5	2	233	305	388	693	155	270	22	8	298	86	-8	+0	-4	+5	+14	0.8
2035	33	MLB	CWS	82%	433	390	88	16	1	13	35	99	5	4	1	226	298	372	669	146	266	23	8	291	81	-9	+0	-4	+5	+12	0.4
2036	34	MLB	CWS	77%	346	311	68	12	1	10	28	81	4	2	1	219	292	360	652	141	261	23	8	282	74	-10	+0	-4	+4	+10	-0.1
2037	35	MLB	CWS	73%	275	248	52	9	1	7	22	67	3	1	0	210	282	339	621	129	254	24	8	272	67	-10	+0	-5	+3	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5556	4995	1179	225	14	183	441	1206	70	79	26	236	307	397	704	161	274	22	8	303	90	-61	+5	-29	+60	+157	13.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	138	26	2	21	52	141	8	9	3	236	307	396	703	159	275	22	8	303	90	-7	+1	-3	+7	+18	1.6
Career	—			—	8049	7252	1677	320	20	242	617	1718	103	131	43	231	301	381	682	150	268	21	8	303	90	-93	+9	-36	+86	+228	19.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	136	26	2	20	50	139	8	11	3	232	301	386	687	154	269	21	8	303	90	-7	+1	-3	+7	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	137	111	23	3	0	1	20	23	2	1	1	207	338	261	600	54	242	17	15	281	74	-4	-0	—	—	+4	-0.0
2023	21	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	16	12	3	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	250	400	250	650		273	12	19	300	88	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2024	22	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	407	365	82	20	0	5	28	57	5	10	5	225	289	321	609	96	248	14	7	272	67	-15	+0	—	—	+12	-0.4
2024	22	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	165	143	39	7	1	3	19	17	2	7	1	273	366	399	764	126	290	10	12	345	122	+4	+1	—	—	+5	1.0
2025	23	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	171	147	30	7	0	2	20	34	3	5	0	204	312	293	604	88	250	20	12	283	74	-5	+1	—	—	+5	0.1
2025	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	368	328	80	19	2	6	28	52	4	12	3	244	311	369	680	125	267	14	8	300	88	-5	+1	—	—	+10	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Eduardo Escobarlast yr '23 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,114 PA	12	5,114	164	23	253	305	430	+29	+16	21.1	21.1
	/162	664	21	3	253	305	430	+3.7	+2.0	2.7	pk7: 21
#2Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	5,817	182	81	235	302	390	+58	+0	18.5	16.7
	/162	664	21	9	235	302	390	+6.6	+0.0	2.1	pk7: 15
#3Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	9	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
#3Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	/162	664	23	11	249	308	437	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	24	30→37	40	40	40	252/328/445	193	292	29	13	23%	8%	114	+4.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●J.P. Crawford 2019 · MLB	24	41→51	43→45	49→50	50	203/285/318	115	257	10	8	24%	9%	69	-0.4	241/318/362	121	299	10	9	21%	9%	94	+1.3	264/356/391	126	308	11	2	17%	11%	114	+2.9
✕Jason Vosler 2018 · AA	24	40→43	48→55	41→40	43	207/273/350	142	258	17	3	27%	6%	72	-0.2	207/268/376	169	282	22	3	34%	7%	77	+0.1	215/280/388	173	267	23	3	28%	7%	82	+0.3
●José Fermín 2023 · AAA	24	44→50	43→45	45→55	52	215/294/321	106	241	11	11	16%	8%	74	-0.1	232/319/362	130	252	13	19	14%	9%	95	+1.4	256/343/399	143	276	14	28	13%	10%	110	+1.2
●Josh VanMeter 2019 · AAA	24	43→47	44→55	49→50	44	214/264/335	121	267	10	11	24%	6%	63	-0.8	230/301/402	172	282	19	13	25%	9%	98	+1.6	226/311/408	182	273	21	13	25%	10%	101	+1.1
✕Chris Snelling 2007 · MLB	25	48→39	45	43→40	48	233/313/359	127	297	12	8	25%	8%	92	+1.2	225/317/330	105	285	9	6	23%	10%	86	+0.8	226/327/314	88	278	7	1	19%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Isan Díaz 2020 · MLB	24	41→42	49→55	45	43	211/278/363	152	288	17	8	32%	8%	78	+0.2	216/289/370	154	291	18	7	30%	9%	84	+0.6	193/273/381	188	236	29	8	32%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Jaime Trejo 2009 · AAA	25	46→32	43→45	42→50	42	229/276/339	110	275	11	8	21%	4%	70	-0.3	250/305/360	110	292	11	12	18%	6%	88	+0.9	266/324/366	100	309	11	13	17%	6%	95	+0.6
✕Ruben Gotay 2007 · MLB	24	46→51	44→45	44→50	45	227/276/346	118	267	11	8	20%	6%	72	-0.2	239/310/365	126	291	12	8	21%	9%	91	+1.1	232/338/349	117	300	9	1	23%	13%	96	+1.0
✕Eric Munson 2002 · MLB	24	42→43	47→60	45→40	43	215/270/354	139	279	14	8	28%	7%	72	-0.2	226/297/403	177	251	24	6	21%	9%	97	+1.5	228/295/436	207	245	30	3	22%	8%	101	+1.1
✕Matt Thaiss 2019 · AAA	24	46→50	45→55	46→45	45	227/279/354	127	279	12	7	23%	6%	75	-0.0	224/293/384	160	275	19	5	25%	9%	89	+1.0	224/303/389	165	274	20	4	25%	9%	92	+0.9
✕Nick Fortes 2022 · MLB	25	44	46→45	47→45	46	220/285/349	129	256	15	7	20%	6%	77	+0.1	226/286/352	126	257	15	8	18%	6%	78	+0.2	233/280/331	98	262	9	1	14%	4%	68	-0.2
✕Austin Davidson 2017 · A	24	45→40	43→45	43→45	48	219/288/334	115	257	10	6	19%	7%	74	-0.1	218/279/332	114	277	10	6	24%	7%	69	-0.4	210/271/321	111	270	9	5	25%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Noe Becerra 2011 · AAA	24	44	41→30	45→40	46	216/269/309	93	264	9	9	22%	7%	59	-1.1	232/278/315	83	267	6	6	15%	5%	63	-0.8	274/319/333	59	310	3	0	12%	5%	84	+0.2
✕Taylor Lindsey 2016 · AAA	24	40→50	44→50	46→45	47	202/257/318	116	233	12	7	20%	6%	56	-1.3	199/254/320	121	252	13	7	26%	7%	56	-1.3	183/237/305	121	232	13	4	27%	6%	42	-1.7
✕Greg Cullen 2021 · A	24	45→43	42→45	43→40	49	220/303/328	108	276	10	3	23%	8%	79	+0.3	231/322/336	105	312	10	5	27%	10%	89	+1.0	231/334/324	92	319	10	4	27%	12%	89	+0.3
✕Brian Rey 2022 · AAA	24	48	46→50	40→45	44	238/300/363	125	275	14	7	19%	5%	87	+0.8	222/278/326	104	275	10	9	23%	5%	68	-0.5	193/242/264	71	239	6	9	21%	2%	32	-0.8
✕Cole Armstrong 2008 · AA	24	42→36	44→50	42→30	39	211/252/326	115	277	13	3	28%	5%	56	-1.3	226/261/354	128	276	14	2	23%	4%	68	-0.5	228/278/362	134	273	17	1	23%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Juan Carlos Gamboa 2015 · AAA	24	47	42→45	45→50	45	228/284/334	106	283	9	10	22%	6%	72	-0.2	236/284/338	102	301	10	8	24%	5%	72	-0.2	237/296/326	89	318	10	5	27%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Eric Duncan 2009 · AAA	24	41	45→50	42→45	42	207/257/326	119	257	12	5	25%	6%	58	-1.2	203/242/316	113	262	12	6	27%	4%	49	-1.8	211/250/348	137	273	16	5	29%	4%	60	-0.6
✕Reid Brignac 2010 · MLB	24	47→51	45→50	45→50	41	231/268/357	126	279	11	8	22%	5%	71	-0.3	224/270/329	105	279	10	7	23%	6%	64	-0.8	223/287/325	101	284	9	6	23%	8%	68	-0.3