Jacob Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Jacob GonzalezSS Charlotte Knights

Age 24 L/R 6'2" / 205 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION456 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP265

ISO121

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 37 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT37

xAVG

520.253

POWER40

Barrel%

204.4

Avg EV

3788.1

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

Sprint

3026.5

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%18%▲17% over 89 PA (45d) · proj 20%

BB%5%▼▼3% over 119 PA (60d) · proj 7%

ISO.133▲.150 over 113 AB (60d) · proj .121

HR/BB3.5%▲4.2% over 95 BBE (60d) · proj 2.9%

BABIP.254·.220 over 91 BIP (60d) · proj .258

SLASH.228/.270/.361·proj .221/.279/.342

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.6M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$3M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$6M
2029	Arb-1	$4M	+1.0	$6M	+$3M
2030	Arb-2	$7M	+0.9	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$9M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$22M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	137	111	23	3	0	1	20	23	2	1	1	207	338	261	600	54	242	17	15	281	77	-4	-0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2023	21	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	16	12	3	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	250	400	250	650		273	12	19	300	90	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2024	22	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	407	365	82	20	0	5	28	57	5	10	5	225	289	321	609	96	248	14	7	272	71	-14	+0	—	—	+9	-0.6
2024	22	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	165	143	39	7	1	3	19	17	2	7	1	273	366	399	764	126	290	10	12	345	120	+4	+1	—	—	+4	0.9
2025	23	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	171	147	30	7	0	2	20	34	3	5	0	204	312	293	604	88	250	20	12	283	77	-5	+1	—	—	+4	0.0
2025	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	368	328	80	19	2	6	28	52	4	12	3	244	311	369	680	125	267	14	8	300	89	-5	+1	—	—	+8	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	137	118	22	2	0	1	13	33	2	1	1	186	278	229	507	42	227	24	9	240	49	-8	-0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	16	13	3	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	231	333	231	564		228	19	12	252	57	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2024	22	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	407	375	77	18	0	4	18	71	5	10	5	205	251	285	537	80	229	17	4	235	45	-27	+0	—	—	+9	-1.8
2024	22	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	165	149	35	5	1	3	13	24	2	7	1	235	305	342	647	107	262	15	8	288	81	-4	+1	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	23	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	171	153	26	6	0	1	14	41	3	5	0	170	253	229	482	59	214	24	8	219	34	-13	+1	—	—	+4	-0.9
2025	23	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	368	337	77	17	2	6	19	62	4	12	3	228	278	344	622	116	246	17	5	267	67	-15	+1	—	—	+8	-0.5
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	153	131	24	2	0	1	15	36	2	1	1	183	277	221	498	38	232	24	10	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	153	123	26	3	0	1	23	25	2	1	1	211	345	260	605	49	245	16	15	283	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	572	525	112	23	1	7	30	95	7	17	6	213	265	301	566	88	244	17	5	250	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	572	508	121	27	1	8	47	74	7	17	6	238	311	343	654	104	260	13	8	293	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	539	490	101	22	2	7	33	103	7	17	3	206	266	302	568	96	242	19	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	539	475	110	26	2	8	48	86	7	17	3	232	311	345	657	114	262	16	9	295	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	153	135	24	2	0	1	15	36	2	1	1	178	277	215	492	37	227	24	10	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	572	530	112	23	1	7	30	95	7	17	6	211	265	298	563	87	239	17	5	250	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	539	494	101	22	2	7	33	103	7	17	3	204	266	300	566	95	236	19	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	153	135	24	2	0	1	15	36	2	1	1	178	277	215	492	37	227	24	10	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	572	530	112	23	1	7	30	95	7	17	6	211	265	298	563	87	239	17	5	250	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	539	494	101	22	2	7	33	103	7	17	3	204	266	300	566	95	236	19	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AAA MLE	CWS	—	456	410	100	19	1	20	34	100	7	10	4	244	313	441	754	198	274	22	7	324	105	+3	+0	+0	+5	+10	1.8
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	24	MLB RAW	CWS	—	217	200	45	9	0	6	11	41	4	2	1	225	279	360	639	135	253	19	5	285	105	+1	+0	+0	+5	+5	1.1
YTD	24	AAA RAW	CWS	—	239	200	64	12	1	19	33	49	3	8	3	320	424	675	1.099	355	338	21	14	463	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	MLB RAW	CWS	—	217	200	45	9	0	6	11	41	4	2	1	225	279	360	639	135	253	19	5	285	79	-5	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
ROS	24	AAA MLE	CWS	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		264	20	10	304	92	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	24	MLB CTX	CWS	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		265	20	10	296	92	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	24	MLB A+C	CWS	—	227	209	46	9	0	6	12	43	4	2	1	220	276	349	625	129	248	19	5	285	105	+1	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.9
TOT	24	AAA MLE	CWS	—	466	419	101	19	1	20	35	102	7	10	4	241	310	434	745	193	271	22	8	323	105	+3	+0	-0	+5	+10	1.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	618	562	130	26	2	20	43	129	8	12	4	231	295	391	687	160	264	21	7	305	92	-6	+1	-1	+7	+13	1.4
2028	26	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	647	587	136	27	2	21	46	135	9	13	5	232	298	392	689	160	264	21	7	306	93	-5	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	634	574	134	27	2	21	46	133	9	13	5	233	300	397	698	164	263	21	7	306	93	-5	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.5
2030	28	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	621	563	129	26	1	20	45	131	8	12	4	229	295	385	681	156	263	21	7	305	93	-5	+1	-2	+7	+13	1.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	609	551	125	25	1	19	45	130	8	11	4	227	295	379	674	152	263	21	7	303	91	-6	+1	-2	+7	+13	1.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	597	540	122	24	1	19	44	128	8	10	3	226	294	380	674	154	262	21	7	301	90	-7	+1	-3	+6	+13	1.0
2033	31	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	405	367	82	16	1	12	30	88	5	6	2	223	291	371	662	147	260	22	7	297	87	-6	+0	-3	+4	+9	0.4
2034	32	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	386	350	77	15	1	11	28	86	5	4	2	220	287	363	650	143	257	22	7	291	83	-8	+0	-4	+4	+8	0.1
2035	33	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	356	323	69	13	1	10	26	81	4	3	1	214	280	353	633	139	253	23	7	285	79	-9	+0	-5	+4	+8	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	402	366	85	17	1	13	28	84	5	8	3	232	296	391	686	158	265	21	7	297	92	-4	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.9
2028	26	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	421	382	89	18	1	14	30	88	6	8	3	233	299	395	694	162	265	21	7	298	93	-3	+0	-1	+5	+9	1.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	412	373	87	17	1	14	30	86	6	8	3	233	301	397	698	164	264	21	7	298	93	-3	+0	-1	+4	+9	1.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	404	367	85	17	1	13	29	85	5	8	3	232	297	390	686	158	264	21	7	297	93	-4	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.9
2031	29	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	396	359	83	17	1	13	29	84	5	7	2	231	298	393	690	162	263	21	7	295	91	-4	+1	-2	+4	+9	0.8
2032	30	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	388	351	80	16	1	12	29	83	5	6	2	228	296	382	678	154	263	21	7	293	90	-5	+0	-2	+4	+8	0.6
2033	31	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	263	239	53	11	0	8	19	57	3	4	1	222	287	368	656	146	261	22	7	289	87	-4	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.3
2034	32	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	251	228	50	10	0	8	18	56	3	3	1	219	285	368	654	149	257	22	7	284	83	-5	+0	-3	+3	+5	0.1
2035	33	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	231	209	45	9	0	7	17	53	3	2	1	215	284	359	643	144	254	23	7	277	79	-6	+0	-3	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3178	2883	658	132	6	102	230	678	41	54	19	228	295	384	679	156	263	21	7	293	83	-38	+3	-15	+34	+69	5.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	134	27	1	21	47	139	8	11	4	227	293	383	676	156	261	21	7	293	83	-8	+1	-3	+7	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	6147	5572	1242	246	15	168	432	1277	80	119	40	223	288	363	651	140	257	21	7	291	83	-58	+5	-23	+52	+106	8.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	132	26	2	18	46	135	8	13	4	224	289	367	656	143	259	21	7	291	83	-8	+1	-3	+7	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.5	3,635	111	61	228	290	380	+39	+0	9.0	8.4
/162	664	20	11	+7.1	+0.0	1.6	pk7: 8
#6Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	24	30→37	40	40	40	229/294/385	155	264	8	5	21%	7%	92	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Noe Becerra 2011 · AAA	24	45	41→30	45→40	47	217/275/309	92	267	9	9	22%	7%	66	-1.1	237/288/319	82	273	6	6	15%	6%	73	-0.6	282/332/341	59	319	2	0	12%	6%	93	+0.3
✕Matt Thaiss 2019 · AAA	24	46→50	44→50	46→45	45	229/282/353	124	281	11	7	22%	6%	78	-0.3	224/295/376	152	278	17	5	25%	9%	89	+0.5	222/303/377	155	275	18	4	25%	10%	90	+0.5
✕Jason Vosler 2018 · AA	24	40→44	46→55	41→40	43	206/271/330	125	256	13	3	25%	6%	70	-0.8	208/269/364	156	282	19	3	32%	7%	78	-0.3	213/279/377	164	265	21	3	28%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Matt Wallach 2011 · AA	25	43	46→45	42→40	43	215/265/342	126	258	13	3	22%	6%	70	-0.8	213/285/308	95	261	10	5	21%	8%	70	-0.8	195/280/260	65	247	7	3	22%	8%	58	-0.7
✕Austin Davidson 2017 · A	24	44→43	44→45	43→45	48	217/287/334	117	253	11	6	19%	7%	77	-0.3	221/282/334	113	278	9	6	23%	7%	74	-0.5	215/276/323	108	274	9	5	23%	7%	67	-0.7
✕Jaime Trejo 2009 · AAA	25	46→32	42→40	42→50	42	227/275/329	103	275	10	8	21%	5%	70	-0.8	246/303/349	103	289	10	12	18%	6%	86	+0.3	258/318/352	94	301	9	13	17%	6%	90	+0.3
✕Richie Fecteau 2018 · A	24	46	43→45	44→40	45	227/281/338	110	271	11	5	21%	6%	75	-0.5	211/257/315	104	310	8	5	33%	5%	60	-1.6	188/228/286	98	301	6	2	38%	4%	39	-1.7
✕Renae Martinez 2018 · A	24	45→32	44→45	40	44	225/279/335	110	276	12	5	23%	6%	74	-0.6	214/274/321	107	285	10	3	27%	6%	69	-0.9	194/260/302	108	265	11	2	30%	7%	57	-1.0
✕Brian Rey 2022 · AAA	24	48	45	39→45	44	240/301/360	119	277	13	7	19%	5%	88	+0.4	223/279/325	102	277	10	9	22%	5%	72	-0.7	196/245/269	72	244	6	9	21%	2%	42	-0.7
✕Cole Armstrong 2008 · AA	24	42→36	44→50	42→30	39	211/252/326	115	276	12	3	28%	5%	61	-1.5	224/260/343	119	274	12	2	23%	4%	68	-1.0	225/277/348	122	271	15	1	22%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Tristan Gray 2021 · AA	25	38→35	48→50	37→40	45	201/269/345	144	250	16	5	26%	8%	73	-0.6	193/247/339	146	271	18	5	35%	6%	63	-1.4	198/254/329	130	265	15	3	30%	6%	62	-0.9
✕Eric Duncan 2009 · AAA	24	41→44	43→50	42→45	43	204/255/313	109	256	11	5	25%	6%	59	-1.6	206/245/313	107	266	11	6	26%	5%	55	-1.9	221/258/351	130	282	15	5	27%	4%	68	-0.6
✕Taylor Lindsey 2016 · AAA	24	41→51	43→50	46→45	47	201/256/309	108	233	11	7	19%	6%	59	-1.6	198/254/310	112	250	11	7	24%	7%	59	-1.7	183/237/292	109	231	11	4	25%	6%	45	-2.0
✕Juan Carlos Gamboa 2015 · AAA	24	50	42→45	45→50	46	241/298/353	113	294	9	10	21%	7%	84	+0.2	251/302/356	105	312	9	8	22%	6%	86	+0.3	258/316/353	95	331	10	5	24%	7%	91	+0.3
✕Joe Rizzo 2022 · AA	24	45→48	45→50	41→40	41	226/274/348	122	292	14	5	27%	6%	74	-0.5	226/276/364	138	282	16	4	25%	6%	79	-0.2	223/273/364	141	271	17	2	24%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Raudy Read 2018 · AA	24	44→46	46→55	46→45	42	224/263/356	133	260	14	5	20%	4%	72	-0.7	227/262/377	150	269	18	4	23%	4%	77	-0.3	236/290/431	195	276	25	1	25%	6%	99	+0.6
✕Ben Rortvedt 2022 · MLB	24	41	45	47→40	41	208/268/328	120	275	14	4	29%	6%	68	-1.0	205/279/324	119	289	13	5	32%	8%	72	-0.7	199/285/301	102	280	11	2	31%	10%	67	-0.4
✕Eric Munson 2002 · MLB	24	42→43	47→60	45→40	43	215/270/354	139	278	14	8	28%	7%	75	-0.5	226/297/403	177	250	24	6	21%	9%	97	+1.1	225/292/422	198	244	28	3	22%	8%	96	+0.7
✕Ryne Birk 2018 · AA	23	44→43	46→45	43→50	40	221/263/346	124	273	14	6	24%	5%	70	-0.8	202/255/285	83	263	6	11	24%	6%	53	-2.1	179/237/236	57	237	1	12	23%	6%	34	-2.7
✕Marco Rivera 2009 · AAA	25	42	46→40	50→40	42	216/265/344	128	271	14	11	26%	6%	70	-0.8	238/295/326	88	292	8	6	20%	7%	77	-0.3	250/306/314	64	306	5	2	19%	7%	76	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps