Michael Massey — OGILVIE

Michael Massey2B Kansas City Royals

Age 28 L/R 6'0" / 195 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 3.395 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION246 act + 171 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 7785vR 88

AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .290 / .394

PA171

HR5

K%17

BB%5

BABIP276

ISO144

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

906.1%

xwOBA

400.297

POWER45

Barrel%

336.0

Avg EV

4989.0

Bat Spd

5972.3

EYE35

Chase%

6728.4%

SPEED40

Sprint

3726.9

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 662 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

115

547

—

wRC+

▶R

wOBA

282

299

▶R

ISO

131

145

▶R

BABIP

315

269

◀L

23.5%

14.3%

▶▶R

BB%

1.7%

4.0%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.395 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.6M	+0.4	$2M	+$1M
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.3M
2028	Arb-3	$2M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$5M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	439	397	89	22	2	17	24	90	8	12	2	224	282	418	700	194	242	21	5	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	439	388	112	27	2	21	33	68	8	12	2	289	357	531	888	242	297	15	8	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	3 teams	—	585	531	134	30	1	20	31	163	11	16	2	252	307	426	733	173	318	28	5	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	3 teams	—	585	519	150	37	1	20	43	135	11	16	2	289	356	480	836	191	348	23	7	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	461	428	101	19	1	16	24	99	4	6	2	236	283	397	680	161	268	21	5	296	85	-8	+0	+3	+2	+13	1.0
2023	25	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	461	428	98	18	1	15	24	99	4	6	2	229	276	381	657	152	261	21	5	290	80	-10	+0	+3	+2	+13	0.8
2024	26	MLB	2 teams	—	410	384	103	24	2	16	17	65	3	2	0	268	304	466	771	198	283	16	4	329	110	+5	+0	+3	+1	+12	2.1
2024	26	MLB	2 teams	—	410	383	103	24	2	16	18	63	3	2	0	269	307	467	774	198	282	15	4	335	114	+7	+0	+3	+1	+12	2.3
2025	27	MLB	2 teams	—	383	360	83	13	0	6	14	68	4	2	1	231	267	317	584	86	266	18	4	260	57	-19	+0	+1	+1	+11	-0.5
2025	27	MLB	2 teams	—	383	359	89	14	0	7	15	64	4	2	1	248	286	345	631	97	281	17	4	281	73	-12	+0	+1	+1	+11	0.2
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	MLB	KC	—	246	227	59	16	0	7	14	41	0	2	0	260	303	423	726	163	286	17	6	311	96	-1	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.8
YTD	28	MLB	KC	—	246	227	59	16	0	7	14	41	0	2	0	260	303	423	726	163	286	17	6	315	99	-0	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.8
ROS	28	MLB	KC	100%	171	160	40	8	0	5	8	29	1	1	0	250	290	394	684	144	275	17	5	297	86	-3	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.3
ROS	28	MLB	KC	100%	171	160	40	8	1	4	8	29	1	1	0	250	290	388	677	138	271	17	5	289	80	-4	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.2
FULL	28	MLB	KC	—	417	387	99	24	1	11	22	70	1	3	0	256	298	408	706	152	284	17	5	302	90	-5	+1	+0	+1	+12	1.0
TOT	28	MLB	KC	—	417	387	99	24	0	12	22	70	1	3	0	256	298	411	708	155	282	17	5	306	92	-4	+1	+0	+1	+12	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	KC	100%	410	385	94	18	1	11	20	71	2	3	1	244	285	382	667	138	273	17	5	294	83	-8	+0	-1	+1	+12	0.5
2028	30	MLB	KC	100%	404	380	92	18	1	10	19	71	2	3	0	242	282	374	655	132	271	18	5	291	81	-9	+1	-2	+1	+11	0.3
2029	31	MLB	KC	100%	389	365	88	17	1	10	19	70	2	2	0	241	282	375	658	134	269	18	5	287	78	-10	+0	-2	+1	+11	0.1
2027	29	MLB	KC	100%	410	385	93	18	1	10	20	71	2	3	1	242	283	371	654	130	269	17	5	287	77	-10	+0	-1	+1	+12	0.2
2028	30	MLB	KC	100%	404	380	91	17	1	10	19	71	2	3	0	239	279	368	648	129	268	18	5	284	75	-11	+1	-2	+1	+11	0.0
2029	31	MLB	KC	100%	389	365	86	16	1	9	19	70	2	2	0	236	277	359	636	123	265	18	5	279	72	-12	+0	-2	+1	+11	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2662	2485	600	112	8	69	123	485	23	21	4	241	284	376	660	135	272	18	5	289	79	-62	+3	-1	+11	+75	2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	607	146	27	2	17	30	118	6	5	1	241	283	376	659	135	270	18	5	289	79	-15	+1	-0	+3	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	3652	3390	824	169	9	111	176	726	37	47	8	243	288	396	684	153	275	20	5	298	86	-58	+6	-1	+13	+103	6.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	603	147	30	2	20	31	129	7	8	1	244	288	400	688	156	276	20	5	298	86	-10	+1	-0	+2	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	439	388	112	27	2	21	33	68	8	12	2	289	357	531	888	242	297	15	8	380	149	+24	+2	—	—	+12	3.9
2022	24	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	194	173	42	9	1	4	9	46	8	3	0	243	311	376	686	133	304	24	5	304	91	-2	+1	-2	+2	+5	0.4
2022	24	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	143	126	41	13	0	7	13	35	2	4	0	325	397	595	992	270	395	24	9	425	184	+13	+1	—	—	+4	1.9
2022	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	248	220	67	15	0	9	21	54	1	9	2	305	368	495	863	191	356	22	8	372	143	+12	+1	—	—	+7	2.0
2023	25	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	461	428	98	18	1	15	24	99	4	6	2	229	276	381	657	152	261	21	5	290	80	-10	+0	+3	+2	+13	0.8
2024	26	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	356	332	86	17	2	14	15	56	3	1	0	259	297	449	746	190	271	16	4	323	105	+2	+0	+3	+1	+10	1.7
2024	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	54	51	17	7	0	2	3	7	0	1	0	333	370	588	959	255	357	13	6	416	177	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2025	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	277	262	64	9	0	3	9	43	1	2	1	244	272	313	585	69	277	16	3	259	57	-14	+0	+1	+1	+8	-0.3
2025	27	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	106	97	25	5	0	4	6	21	3	0	0	258	321	433	754	175	292	20	6	336	115	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1288	1195	290	53	4	36	57	244	16	12	3	243	286	384	670	141	273	19	4	294	84	-24	+1	+4	+7	+36	2.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	9	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	1	244	293	414	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Mike Avileslast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,234 PA	10	3,234	60	78	261	295	376	+13	+4	5.8	7.2
	/162	664	12	16	261	295	376	+2.7	+0.8	1.2	pk7: 9
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	3,154	84	26	244	282	383	+11	+11	4.2	4.4
	/162	664	18	5	244	282	383	+2.4	+2.2	0.9	pk7: 5
#6Leury Garcíalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,387 PA	9	2,387	34	63	253	293	351	+5	+10	3.1	4.3
	/162	664	9	18	253	293	351	+1.4	+2.7	0.9	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Michael Massey (OGILVIE)	28	50	45	40	35	256/298/411	155	282	12	3	17%	5%	92	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rob Brantly 2018 · MLB	29	46→56	49→50	41→30	41	234/274/372	138	264	18	5	20%	4%	79	+0.3	230/282/345	115	268	12	4	19%	5%	74	-0.1	245/311/355	110	283	11	1	17%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Mason Williams 2020 · MLB	28	50→53	46→50	43→55	43	250/289/376	126	296	15	9	21%	5%	85	+0.7	235/281/367	132	300	15	10	26%	6%	79	+0.3	226/277/338	111	303	11	13	28%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Max Schrock 2023 · MLB	28	48→58	45→40	46→50	42	240/278/360	121	284	13	5	21%	4%	76	+0.1	236/295/365	129	281	13	9	20%	7%	85	+0.7	236/305/361	125	276	11	6	18%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Austin Romine 2017 · MLB	28	47→53	45	45	42	234/269/358	124	270	12	4	19%	4%	72	-0.2	235/281/361	126	287	14	4	22%	6%	78	+0.2	252/290/392	140	316	18	2	26%	5%	88	+0.3
✕Bryan Anderson 2015 · MLB	28	46→56	47→45	44→30	46	232/292/372	140	292	14	4	25%	7%	85	+0.7	206/259/321	115	293	11	4	32%	6%	58	-1.2	172/224/261	90	257	8	0	35%	5%	25	-1.4
✕Brian Buscher 2009 · MLB	28	53→57	46→45	39→45	49	262/318/390	128	289	14	4	15%	7%	101	+1.8	236/306/350	114	268	12	4	16%	8%	85	+0.7	213/296/304	91	245	8	0	16%	10%	69	-0.1
✕Nick Tanielu 2021 · AAA	28	48→52	49→50	43→40	44	244/287/396	152	281	17	5	20%	5%	89	+1.0	206/264/339	133	258	14	5	26%	6%	66	-0.6	191/254/323	132	241	14	3	26%	6%	54	-0.7
✕Kevin Howard 2009 · AAA	28	49→56	45	42→45	48	243/294/364	121	275	12	7	17%	7%	84	+0.6	243/289/355	112	278	11	6	17%	6%	79	+0.3	245/288/345	100	280	10	5	16%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Hector Paez 2006 · AAA	28	51	46→45	44→40	43	253/282/372	119	263	14	5	11%	3%	81	+0.4	247/275/368	121	266	13	4	13%	3%	77	+0.1	255/287/364	109	285	12	1	15%	2%	80	+0.1
✕Buck Britton 2014 · AAA	28	51→54	44→50	45	44	251/289/375	124	288	11	7	17%	5%	84	+0.6	237/273/357	120	269	12	7	17%	4%	72	-0.2	228/263/339	112	257	11	6	16%	4%	61	-0.6
✕Jett Bandy 2018 · MLB	28	44	49→50	44→45	43	225/287/369	144	265	18	5	23%	5%	83	+0.6	211/274/352	141	265	18	6	27%	5%	74	-0.1	186/251/306	120	242	16	2	29%	4%	50	-0.6
✕Matt Downs 2012 · MLB	28	46→50	49→50	43→50	47	232/295/385	154	265	16	6	20%	7%	91	+1.1	208/266/338	130	246	15	6	22%	6%	66	-0.6	183/238/291	107	216	13	5	22%	5%	40	-1.2
✕Phillip Evans 2021 · MLB	28	47→53	48→45	39→40	50	235/306/375	139	268	15	5	19%	8%	92	+1.2	223/292/325	102	268	10	4	20%	8%	73	-0.1	221/292/311	90	265	9	2	19%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Russ Adams 2009 · MLB	28	46→53	45	47→45	48	227/281/348	121	260	13	9	19%	7%	75	-0.0	222/274/347	125	259	13	8	19%	6%	71	-0.3	221/273/347	126	256	13	4	19%	6%	68	-0.3
✕Scott Moore 2013 · MLB	29	49→51	49→55	42→50	46	243/308/393	150	299	16	5	24%	7%	98	+1.6	207/273/342	135	273	14	3	29%	6%	70	-0.3	180/249/302	122	242	13	1	30%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Cody Asche 2017 · MLB	27	45→55	48→50	44→45	45	230/286/376	146	284	16	4	25%	7%	84	+0.6	204/272/337	133	278	14	5	30%	8%	68	-0.5	188/257/315	127	257	14	3	31%	8%	53	-1.0
✕Emmanuel Avila 2016 · AAA	27	51→58	43→45	43→45	40	251/290/363	112	294	11	7	19%	3%	82	+0.5	255/289/343	88	286	8	6	14%	4%	76	+0.0	268/309/352	83	293	9	4	12%	4%	85	+0.5
✕C.J. Hinojosa 2022 · AAA	28	53→58	46→45	43→45	42	262/293/399	138	310	13	6	20%	4%	92	+1.2	220/264/334	114	267	11	8	22%	5%	63	-0.8	201/248/297	96	242	10	6	21%	5%	45	-1.5
✕Rio Ruiz 2021 · MLB	27	44→51	49→50	40	49	226/287/370	144	265	17	3	22%	8%	82	+0.5	216/276/351	135	263	14	8	23%	7%	73	-0.1	197/254/312	115	243	10	7	23%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Conor Gillaspie 2014 · MLB	27	48→58	48→50	41→40	49	242/297/383	141	270	17	3	18%	7%	90	+1.0	256/306/396	140	293	12	3	17%	7%	97	+1.5	265/313/405	140	302	11	1	16%	6%	95	+0.8