Michael Massey
2B Kansas City Royals| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | AAAKC | 54 | .333/.370/.588 | 2 | 1 | 112 | — | .269/.296/.442 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLBKC | 356 | .259/.297/.449 | 14 | 1 | 108 | 1.6 | |
| 2025 | 27 | AAAKC | 106 | .258/.321/.433 | 4 | 0 | 55 | — | .202/.255/.333 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLBKC | 277 | .244/.272/.313 | 3 | 2 | 64 | -0.4 | |
| 2026 | 28 | MLBKC | 452 | .274/.309/.430 | 13 | 3 | 107 | 1.7 | |
| 2027PROJ | 29 | MLBKC | 353 | .249/.286/.385 | 9 | 3 | 90 | 0.5 | |
| 2028PROJ | 30 | MLBKC | 341 | .246/.282/.377 | 8 | 2 | 87 | 0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ | 31 | MLBKC | 321 | .242/.277/.367 | 7 | 1 | 82 | -0.1 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 439 | 388 | 112 | 27 | 2 | 21 | 33 | 68 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 289 | 357 | 531 | 888 | 242 | 297 | 15 | 8 | 380 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 194 | 173 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 243 | 311 | 376 | 686 | 133 | 304 | 24 | 5 | 304 | 95 | -1 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 143 | 126 | 41 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 35 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 325 | 397 | 595 | 992 | 270 | 395 | 24 | 9 | 425 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 248 | 220 | 67 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 21 | 54 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 305 | 368 | 495 | 863 | 191 | 356 | 22 | 8 | 372 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 461 | 428 | 98 | 18 | 1 | 15 | 24 | 99 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 229 | 276 | 381 | 657 | 152 | 261 | 21 | 5 | 290 | 86 | -7 | +0 | +3 | +2 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 356 | 332 | 86 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 56 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 259 | 297 | 449 | 746 | 190 | 271 | 16 | 4 | 323 | 108 | +3 | +0 | +3 | +1 | +8 | 1.6 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 54 | 51 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 333 | 370 | 588 | 959 | 255 | 357 | 13 | 6 | 416 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 277 | 262 | 64 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 244 | 272 | 313 | 585 | 69 | 277 | 16 | 3 | 259 | 64 | -12 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 106 | 97 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 321 | 433 | 754 | 175 | 292 | 20 | 6 | 336 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 452 | 423 | 116 | 25 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 75 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 274 | 309 | 430 | 739 | 156 | 303 | 17 | 5 | 321 | 107 | +4 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +10 | 1.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1740 | 1618 | 406 | 78 | 5 | 49 | 78 | 319 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 251 | 292 | 396 | 688 | 145 | 281 | 18 | 4 | 301 | 90 | -21 | +2 | +4 | +8 | +38 | 3.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 439 | 397 | 90 | 21 | 2 | 17 | 24 | 90 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 227 | 284 | 418 | 703 | 191 | 237 | 21 | 5 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 194 | 173 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 243 | 311 | 376 | 686 | 133 | 304 | 24 | 5 | 308 | 95 | -1 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 143 | 130 | 33 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 254 | 312 | 446 | 758 | 192 | 335 | 31 | 6 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 248 | 227 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 67 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 256 | 302 | 414 | 716 | 159 | 306 | 27 | 6 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 461 | 428 | 99 | 18 | 1 | 16 | 24 | 99 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 231 | 279 | 390 | 669 | 159 | 261 | 21 | 5 | 296 | 86 | -7 | +0 | +3 | +2 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 356 | 333 | 87 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 56 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 261 | 297 | 459 | 757 | 198 | 271 | 16 | 4 | 328 | 108 | +3 | +0 | +3 | +1 | +8 | 1.6 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 54 | 52 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 269 | 296 | 442 | 739 | 173 | 321 | 17 | 4 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 277 | 262 | 64 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 244 | 272 | 313 | 585 | 69 | 277 | 16 | 3 | 263 | 64 | -12 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 106 | 99 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 255 | 333 | 588 | 131 | 233 | 24 | 4 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 452 | 423 | 118 | 25 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 75 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 279 | 313 | 442 | 755 | 163 | 303 | 17 | 5 | 327 | 107 | +4 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +10 | 1.7 |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 439 | 397 | 90 | 21 | 2 | 17 | 24 | 90 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 227 | 284 | 418 | 703 | 191 | 246 | 21 | 5 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ RAW | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 439 | 388 | 112 | 27 | 2 | 21 | 33 | 68 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 289 | 357 | 531 | 888 | 242 | 297 | 15 | 8 | 380 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 585 | 530 | 134 | 31 | 1 | 17 | 32 | 157 | 11 | 16 | 2 | 253 | 309 | 411 | 720 | 158 | 320 | 27 | 5 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 585 | 519 | 150 | 37 | 1 | 20 | 43 | 135 | 11 | 16 | 2 | 289 | 356 | 480 | 836 | 191 | 348 | 23 | 7 | 363 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 461 | 428 | 99 | 18 | 1 | 16 | 24 | 99 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 231 | 279 | 390 | 669 | 159 | 262 | 21 | 5 | 296 | 86 | -7 | +0 | +3 | +2 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB RAW | Kansas City Royals | — | 461 | 428 | 98 | 18 | 1 | 15 | 24 | 99 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 229 | 276 | 381 | 657 | 152 | 261 | 21 | 5 | 290 | 86 | -7 | +0 | +3 | +2 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 410 | 385 | 102 | 23 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 65 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 265 | 300 | 460 | 759 | 195 | 279 | 16 | 4 | 329 | 109 | +4 | +0 | +3 | +1 | +9 | 1.8 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 410 | 383 | 103 | 24 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 63 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 269 | 307 | 467 | 774 | 198 | 282 | 15 | 4 | 335 | 109 | +4 | +0 | +3 | +1 | +9 | 1.8 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 361 | 84 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 68 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 233 | 267 | 319 | 586 | 86 | 268 | 18 | 3 | 259 | 62 | -18 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +8 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 383 | 359 | 89 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 64 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 248 | 286 | 345 | 631 | 97 | 281 | 17 | 4 | 281 | 62 | -18 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +8 | -0.7 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 452 | 423 | 118 | 25 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 75 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 279 | 313 | 442 | 755 | 163 | 307 | 17 | 5 | 327 | 107 | +4 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +10 | 1.7 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB RAW | Kansas City Royals | — | 452 | 423 | 116 | 25 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 75 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 274 | 309 | 430 | 739 | 156 | 303 | 17 | 5 | 321 | 107 | +4 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +10 | 1.7 |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 439 | 404 | 90 | 21 | 2 | 17 | 24 | 90 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 223 | 284 | 411 | 695 | 188 | 237 | 21 | 5 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 585 | 537 | 134 | 31 | 1 | 17 | 32 | 157 | 11 | 16 | 2 | 250 | 309 | 406 | 715 | 156 | 312 | 27 | 5 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 461 | 430 | 99 | 18 | 1 | 16 | 24 | 99 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 230 | 279 | 388 | 667 | 158 | 261 | 21 | 5 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 410 | 388 | 102 | 23 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 65 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 263 | 300 | 456 | 756 | 193 | 277 | 16 | 4 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 363 | 84 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 68 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 231 | 267 | 317 | 584 | 85 | 265 | 18 | 3 | 259 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 452 | 428 | 118 | 25 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 75 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 276 | 313 | 437 | 750 | 161 | 303 | 17 | 5 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 410 | 388 | 102 | 23 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 65 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 263 | 300 | 456 | 756 | 193 | 277 | 16 | 4 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 383 | 363 | 84 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 68 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 231 | 267 | 317 | 584 | 85 | 265 | 18 | 3 | 259 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 452 | 428 | 118 | 25 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 75 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 276 | 313 | 437 | 750 | 161 | 303 | 17 | 5 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 424 | 400 | 100 | 20 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 72 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 253 | 289 | 394 | 684 | 141 | 280 | 17 | 5 | 301 | 90 | -5 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +9 | 0.7 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 353 | 333 | 83 | 17 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 60 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 249 | 286 | 385 | 671 | 135 | 278 | 17 | 5 | 296 | 90 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.5 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 341 | 322 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 59 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 250 | 286 | 386 | 672 | 137 | 278 | 17 | 4 | 296 | 87 | -5 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 321 | 303 | 75 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 245 | 280 | 376 | 656 | 131 | 275 | 18 | 4 | 290 | 82 | -7 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 341 | 322 | 79 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 59 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 282 | 377 | 659 | 131 | 276 | 17 | 4 | 291 | 87 | -5 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 321 | 303 | 74 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 277 | 367 | 644 | 125 | 273 | 18 | 4 | 285 | 82 | -7 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2402 | 2243 | 559 | 109 | 7 | 64 | 107 | 435 | 18 | 18 | 4 | 249 | 289 | 390 | 679 | 140 | 280 | 18 | 4 | 298 | 91 | -33 | +2 | +0 | +11 | +52 | 3.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 607 | 151 | 29 | 2 | 17 | 29 | 118 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 249 | 289 | 387 | 676 | 138 | 280 | 18 | 4 | 298 | 91 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +14 | 0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3745 | 3482 | 867 | 179 | 10 | 112 | 175 | 730 | 33 | 47 | 9 | 249 | 291 | 403 | 694 | 154 | 282 | 19 | 5 | 303 | 91 | -37 | +2 | +1 | +12 | +60 | 3.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 604 | 150 | 31 | 2 | 19 | 30 | 127 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 248 | 291 | 401 | 691 | 152 | 282 | 20 | 5 | 303 | 91 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +14 | 0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 106 PAwOBA .327 → .250 (−76)K% 19.8% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.81% | ÷1.007 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.66% | ÷0.935 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.83% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 2.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.108 | ×0.930 | ×0.969 | ×1.003 | 17.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.58% | ÷1.006 | ×0.830 | ×0.969 | ×1.003 | 5.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.969 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.003 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 3.68% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 122, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 101, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .327 → .250; ISO .175 → .124; BABIP .292 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 54 PAwOBA .404 → .334 (−71)K% 13.0% → 15.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.96% | ÷0.976 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.049 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.007 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 17.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.91% | ÷0.958 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 14.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.935 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.111 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.91% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 101, 2B 92, 3B 87, K 95, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .404 → .334; ISO .255 → .194; BABIP .357 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 248 PAwOBA .368 → .313 (−56)K% 21.8% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.77% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.66% | ÷0.993 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.90% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 23.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.04% | ÷1.009 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 7.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.42% | ÷0.905 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 4.85% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 99, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .368 → .313; ISO .191 → .165; BABIP .356 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 143 PAwOBA .419 → .331 (−89)K% 24.5% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.48% | ÷0.957 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.001 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 6.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.40% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 21.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.041 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 11.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 5.74% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .419 → .331; ISO .270 → .199; BABIP .395 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 439 PAwOBA .375 → .297 (−78)K% 15.5% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.49% | ÷1.013 | ×1.350 | — | — | 20.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.52% | ÷0.988 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 5.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.82% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.38% | ÷1.059 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 15.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.44% | ÷0.991 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 6.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷0.988 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.56% | ÷1.013 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 5.37% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 112, 2B 98, 3B 98, K 103, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .375 → .297; ISO .242 → .195; BABIP .297 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).