Robert Kral
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 24 | AA/A+SD | 421 | .260/.408/.485 | 16 | 2 | 101 | — | .216/.328/.398 |
| 2014 | 25 | AASD | 230 | .181/.307/.301 | 5 | 1 | 34 | — | .146/.232/.234 |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA/AA/A+SD | 94 | .175/.275/.300 | 1 | 0 | 27 | — | .132/.199/.240 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 22 | ROK | AZL Padres | — | 54 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 275 | 463 | 425 | 888 | 150 | 345 | 19 | 24 | 408 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AAA | Tucson Padres | — | 18 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 385 | 556 | 462 | 1.017 | 77 | 417 | 6 | 28 | 466 | 157 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 36 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 382 | 200 | 582 | 40 | 222 | 22 | 25 | 286 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 68 | 54 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 315 | 439 | 574 | 1.013 | 259 | 350 | 19 | 16 | 430 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 81 | 65 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 312 | 308 | 620 | 154 | 146 | 17 | 19 | 289 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 340 | 269 | 77 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 63 | 51 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 286 | 430 | 528 | 958 | 242 | 308 | 15 | 19 | 418 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 230 | 193 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 54 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 181 | 307 | 301 | 608 | 119 | 221 | 23 | 15 | 283 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 32 | 29 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 290 | 414 | 704 | 172 | 350 | 31 | 6 | 299 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 16 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 125 | 44 | 12 | 87 | -74 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 2015 | 26 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 46 | 37 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 318 | 324 | 643 | 135 | 207 | 20 | 15 | 286 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 54 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 352 | 356 | 707 | 133 | 267 | 26 | 15 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AAA MLE | Tucson Padres | — | 18 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 357 | 500 | 429 | 929 | 71 | 383 | 6 | 22 | 400 | 157 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 36 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 294 | 179 | 473 | 36 | 207 | 28 | 17 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 68 | 57 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 281 | 379 | 509 | 888 | 228 | 309 | 26 | 12 | 373 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 81 | 70 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 250 | 286 | 536 | 143 | 135 | 21 | 12 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 340 | 287 | 67 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 67 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 347 | 425 | 772 | 192 | 257 | 20 | 13 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 230 | 205 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 70 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 146 | 232 | 234 | 467 | 88 | 197 | 30 | 10 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 32 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 194 | 300 | 494 | 133 | 297 | 41 | 3 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 16 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 59 | -74 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 2015 | 26 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 46 | 39 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 250 | 282 | 532 | 128 | 171 | 28 | 11 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 54 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 352 | 356 | 707 | 133 | 300 | 26 | 15 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | ROK RAW | AZL Padres | — | 54 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 275 | 463 | 425 | 888 | 150 | 345 | 19 | 24 | 408 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 122 | 99 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 253 | 373 | 404 | 777 | 152 | 314 | 24 | 15 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 122 | 92 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 283 | 441 | 457 | 897 | 174 | 329 | 18 | 20 | 393 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 421 | 357 | 77 | 14 | 3 | 15 | 55 | 84 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 216 | 329 | 398 | 726 | 182 | 238 | 20 | 13 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 421 | 334 | 87 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 78 | 65 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 260 | 408 | 485 | 893 | 225 | 277 | 15 | 19 | 393 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 230 | 205 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 70 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 146 | 232 | 234 | 467 | 88 | 195 | 30 | 10 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA RAW | San Antonio Missions | — | 230 | 193 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 54 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 181 | 307 | 301 | 608 | 119 | 221 | 23 | 15 | 283 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 94 | 84 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 209 | 250 | 459 | 107 | 216 | 37 | 7 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 94 | 80 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 275 | 300 | 575 | 125 | 232 | 28 | 12 | 257 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 54 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 352 | 356 | 707 | 133 | 267 | 26 | 15 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 122 | 102 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 245 | 373 | 392 | 765 | 147 | 290 | 24 | 15 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 421 | 358 | 77 | 14 | 3 | 15 | 55 | 84 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 215 | 329 | 397 | 725 | 182 | 234 | 20 | 13 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 230 | 205 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 70 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 146 | 232 | 234 | 467 | 88 | 197 | 30 | 10 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 94 | 87 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 138 | 209 | 241 | 450 | 103 | 185 | 37 | 7 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 921 | 790 | 154 | 31 | 5 | 24 | 111 | 232 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 195 | 300 | 338 | 638 | 143 | 239 | 25 | 12 | 282 | 77 | -25 | -1 | +0 | +16 | +20 | 1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 558 | 109 | 22 | 4 | 17 | 78 | 164 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 195 | 300 | 341 | 640 | 145 | 239 | 25 | 12 | 282 | 77 | -18 | -0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | 0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 46 PAwOBA .283 → .244 (−38)K% 19.6% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.57% | ÷0.955 | ×1.340 | — | — | 27.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.04% | ÷0.917 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 9.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.080 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.968 | 11.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.949 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.968 | 5.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.805 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 3.95% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 61, 1B 116, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 91, BB 83 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .283 → .244; ISO .135 → .139; BABIP .207 → .171. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 32 PAwOBA .301 → .230 (−71)K% 31.2% → 41.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.25% | ÷0.980 | ×1.290 | — | — | 41.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷0.972 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 4.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.79% | ÷1.017 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.018 | 14.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.79% | ÷0.970 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.018 | 13.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.018 | 3.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.919 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 96, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .301 → .230; ISO .172 → .125; BABIP .350 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AASan Antonio Missions · 16 PAwOBA .086 → .059 (−27)K% 43.8% → 55.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 43.75% | ÷0.963 | ×1.220 | — | — | 55.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.010 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 8.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.124 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.885 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 125, K 93, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .086 → .059; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .000 → .000. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AASan Antonio Missions · 230 PAwOBA .278 → .218 (−61)K% 23.5% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.48% | ÷0.942 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.22% | ÷1.083 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 9.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.83% | ÷0.948 | ×0.920 | ×0.969 | ×0.998 | 14.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.76% | ÷1.020 | ×0.840 | ×0.969 | ×0.998 | 4.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.065 | ×0.940 | ×0.969 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.60% | ÷0.960 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.99% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 90, 2B 104, 3B 113, K 88, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .278 → .218; ISO .119 → .097; BABIP .221 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 340 PAwOBA .410 → .337 (−73)K% 15.0% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.00% | ÷1.023 | ×1.340 | — | — | 19.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.94% | ÷0.962 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 13.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.72% | ÷0.987 | ×0.910 | ×0.965 | ×0.988 | 17.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.34% | ÷0.973 | ×0.820 | ×0.965 | ×0.988 | 5.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.29% | ÷1.098 | ×0.760 | ×0.965 | ×0.988 | 1.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.96% | ÷1.052 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 5.15% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 120, K 105, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .410 → .337; ISO .242 → .204; BABIP .308 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AASan Antonio Missions · 81 PAwOBA .283 → .237 (−45)K% 17.3% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.28% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.52% | ÷1.047 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 12.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 11.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.96% | ÷1.053 | ×0.840 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 1.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.056 | ×0.940 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.872 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 5.46% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 97, 2B 111, 3B 111, K 100, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .283 → .237; ISO .154 → .149; BABIP .146 → .135. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 68 PAwOBA .431 → .373 (−58)K% 19.1% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.12% | ÷0.993 | ×1.340 | — | — | 25.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.18% | ÷0.979 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 11.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.95% | ÷0.973 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 20.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.20% | ÷1.036 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.998 | 9.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.993 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.32% | ÷0.930 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 7.22% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 95, 2B 107, 3B 99, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .431 → .373; ISO .259 → .242; BABIP .350 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AASan Antonio Missions · 36 PAwOBA .288 → .241 (−47)K% 22.2% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 16.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 16.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.946 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 5.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.968 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.919 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 104, 2B 89, 3B 94, K 101, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .288 → .241; ISO .040 → .043; BABIP .222 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).