Victor Ortega — OGILVIE

Victor OrtegaC Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 22 L/R 5'8" / 200 lbs A HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION175 act + 116 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .320 / .284

PA116

HR1

K%20

BB%12

BABIP251

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.2	$12M	+$12M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.1	$11M	+$10M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.9	$9M	+$8M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.7	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-3	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.1M
Totals		$14M		$46M	+$40M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	34	28	7	1	0	0	5	6	1	0	2	250	382	286	668	36	318	18	15	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	34	25	8	1	0	0	8	4	1	0	2	320	500	360	860	40	381	12	24	410	172	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Miami	—	97	80	18	2	0	0	16	13	1	3	0	225	361	250	611	25	269	13	16	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Miami	—	97	69	18	3	0	0	27	9	1	3	0	261	474	304	779	43	300	9	28	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	—	196	164	36	7	0	0	27	36	0	4	0	220	330	262	592	43	275	18	14	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	—	196	152	41	9	0	0	39	25	0	4	0	270	419	329	748	59	315	13	20	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	256	222	44	11	1	1	27	70	6	4	0	198	302	270	572	72	283	27	11	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	256	212	51	11	1	1	37	51	6	4	0	241	369	316	685	75	311	20	14	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	MIA	—	175	144	35	10	1	4	23	28	7	0	0	243	374	410	783	167	274	16	13	342	120	+4	+0	+0	+3	+5	1.2
YTD	22	A	MIA	—	175	136	38	11	1	4	31	20	7	0	0	279	437	463	900	184	301	11	18	404	168	+13	+0	+0	+3	+5	2.2
ROS	22	A	MIA	0%	116	98	20	5	0	1	14	23	3	1	0	203	320	284	604	81	264	20	12	297	85	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.4
ROS	22	MLB	MIA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		259	—	—	276	70	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	MIA	—	175	145	35	10	1	4	23	28	7	0	0	241	374	407	780	166	272	16	13	342	120	+4	+0	+0	+3	+5	1.2
TOT	22	A	MIA	—	291	242	55	15	1	5	37	51	10	1	0	227	352	359	711	132	265	17	13	324	106	+2	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	MIA	43%	313	265	58	14	1	4	38	61	7	2	0	219	332	325	657	106	266	19	12	301	89	-4	+0	+0	+6	+9	1.1
2028	24	MLB	MIA	58%	391	333	73	17	1	6	47	77	8	3	0	219	330	330	660	111	269	20	12	308	94	-3	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.6
2029	25	MLB	MIA	65%	433	370	84	19	2	8	51	85	9	3	0	227	335	354	689	127	271	20	12	312	97	-2	+1	+0	+8	+12	1.9
2030	26	MLB	MIA	68%	459	393	88	20	2	8	54	91	9	4	0	224	331	346	677	122	271	20	12	313	98	-1	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.1
2031	27	MLB	MIA	68%	469	401	91	21	2	9	56	93	9	4	0	227	335	357	691	130	271	20	12	313	98	-1	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.2
2032	28	MLB	MIA	68%	470	402	90	21	2	8	56	94	9	3	0	224	332	346	678	122	270	20	12	312	97	-1	+1	-1	+8	+13	2.1
2033	29	MLB	MIA	66%	464	396	88	20	2	8	56	93	9	3	0	222	332	343	675	121	269	20	12	310	96	-2	+1	-1	+8	+13	1.9
2034	30	MLB	MIA	66%	456	389	86	20	1	8	55	93	9	3	0	221	331	339	670	118	268	20	12	308	94	-3	+1	-2	+8	+13	1.7
2035	31	MLB	MIA	65%	431	368	79	18	1	7	52	89	8	2	0	215	325	326	651	111	266	21	12	304	90	-5	+0	-3	+8	+12	1.3
2036	32	MLB	MIA	70%	400	341	72	16	1	6	48	84	8	2	0	211	322	317	639	106	262	21	12	298	86	-6	+0	-4	+7	+11	0.9
2037	33	MLB	MIA	74%	361	308	64	14	1	5	43	78	7	1	0	208	318	308	627	101	258	22	12	291	81	-8	+0	-4	+6	+10	0.5
2027	23	MLB	MIA	43%	135	115	25	6	0	2	16	26	3	1	0	217	328	322	650	104	262	19	12	282	74	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2028	24	MLB	MIA	58%	226	192	42	10	1	3	27	44	5	2	0	219	330	328	658	109	264	19	12	289	79	-5	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.6
2029	25	MLB	MIA	65%	281	240	53	12	1	5	33	55	6	2	0	221	330	342	671	121	266	20	12	293	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2030	26	MLB	MIA	68%	312	266	60	14	1	6	37	62	6	2	0	226	333	353	687	128	266	20	12	295	84	-6	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.9
2031	27	MLB	MIA	68%	319	272	61	14	1	6	38	63	6	2	0	224	332	349	682	125	266	20	12	295	84	-6	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.9
2032	28	MLB	MIA	68%	319	272	61	14	1	6	38	64	6	2	0	224	332	349	682	125	266	20	12	294	83	-6	+0	-0	+6	+9	0.9
2033	29	MLB	MIA	66%	308	262	57	13	1	5	37	62	6	2	0	218	328	332	660	115	265	20	12	292	82	-6	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.7
2034	30	MLB	MIA	66%	299	255	56	13	1	5	36	61	6	2	0	220	330	337	667	118	263	20	12	289	80	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.6
2035	31	MLB	MIA	65%	280	239	51	12	1	4	34	58	5	1	0	213	324	322	646	109	261	21	12	285	77	-7	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.4
2036	32	MLB	MIA	70%	281	240	50	11	1	4	34	59	5	1	0	208	319	312	631	104	258	21	12	280	73	-9	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.2
2037	33	MLB	MIA	74%	267	228	47	10	1	4	32	58	5	1	0	206	317	311	628	105	253	22	12	274	68	-10	+0	-3	+5	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3027	2582	563	129	10	50	362	612	59	18	0	218	328	334	662	116	265	20	12	289	79	-72	+4	-10	+54	+86	6.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	554	121	28	2	11	78	131	13	4	0	218	329	336	664	117	265	20	12	289	79	-15	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	5346	4558	998	226	17	79	645	1086	103	42	2	219	329	328	657	109	269	20	12	303	90	-59	+8	-15	+95	+151	18.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	554	121	27	2	10	78	132	13	5	0	218	329	329	657	110	267	20	12	303	90	-7	+1	-2	+12	+18	2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	34	25	8	1	0	0	8	4	1	0	2	320	500	360	860	40	381	12	24	410	172	+3	-1	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	19	ROK	DSL Miami	—	97	69	18	3	0	0	27	9	1	3	0	261	474	304	779	43	300	9	28	381	150	+5	+1	—	—	+3	0.9
2024	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	55	43	10	2	0	0	12	9	0	0	0	233	400	279	679	47	294	16	22	331	111	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	20	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	141	109	31	7	0	0	27	16	0	4	0	284	426	349	775	64	323	11	19	351	127	+4	+1	—	—	+4	0.9
2025	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	256	212	51	11	1	1	37	51	6	4	0	241	369	316	685	75	311	20	14	322	105	+1	+1	—	—	+7	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Austin Barneslast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,639 PA	8	1,639	35	22	225	325	344	+29	+59	12.4	12.5
	/162	664	14	9	225	325	344	+11.9	+23.8	5.0	pk7: 13
#5Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,287	52	22	220	326	334	+59	+32	11.9	10.4
	/162	664	10	5	220	326	334	+11.9	+6.5	2.4	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Ortega (OGILVIE)	22	40	25	45	55	227/352/359	132	265	5	1	17%	13%	106	+1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Dimino 2016 · A	22	48	35→40	47→50	48	223/281/286	63	285	2	6	22%	7%	57	-1.2	245/310/310	65	315	3	12	21%	8%	76	+0.1	255/321/317	62	324	3	16	20%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Miguel Arrendell 2010 · A	22	44	37→30	48→50	56	206/306/277	71	269	4	11	23%	12%	68	-0.5	210/273/291	81	276	6	9	24%	8%	56	-1.3	206/261/281	75	263	6	10	23%	7%	45	-0.8
✕Taylor Krick 2011 · A	23	43	38→30	48→40	51	205/292/282	77	270	6	7	25%	10%	63	-0.8	226/312/290	64	313	3	5	26%	8%	73	-0.1	233/324/284	51	328	2	2	26%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Noah Mendlinger 2023 · A	22	48→58	37→40	47→45	55	224/318/299	75	276	4	9	19%	10%	79	+0.3	257/340/332	75	308	3	8	16%	8%	95	+1.4	272/355/343	71	323	2	8	15%	8%	101	+1.3
✕Sherman Lacrus 2016 · A	22	46	40→30	45→50	49	222/293/313	91	261	7	7	18%	7%	71	-0.3	207/262/291	84	277	5	8	26%	6%	51	-1.7	188/240/263	74	248	4	9	25%	5%	33	-0.9
✕Greg Garcia 2012 · A	22	48→54	39→40	45→50	47	228/297/317	89	288	5	8	21%	7%	73	-0.1	240/313/334	94	308	6	10	22%	8%	85	+0.7	242/351/334	92	309	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.8
✕David Martin 2023 · A	22	45	39→30	49→30	42	211/285/301	89	298	5	7	29%	6%	65	-0.7	218/299/286	68	273	4	4	20%	8%	67	-0.5	236/329/295	58	282	5	1	16%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Roy Morales 2017 · A	22	50	35→30	47→45	48	232/295/292	60	271	3	5	15%	6%	66	-0.6	231/295/299	68	279	4	9	18%	7%	68	-0.5	271/335/332	61	323	4	8	16%	7%	90	+0.4
✕Greg Cullen 2019 · A	22	47→43	38→45	46→40	49	221/285/307	86	269	5	3	19%	8%	65	-0.7	219/305/323	104	282	9	3	24%	9%	79	+0.3	231/334/324	92	319	10	4	27%	12%	89	+0.3
✕Nelson Quiroz 2022 · A	20	46	37→40	47→40	49	214/282/293	80	268	3	4	20%	8%	60	-1.0	228/287/328	100	272	8	4	18%	7%	72	-0.2	266/310/330	64	299	2	0	12%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Juan Fuentes 2008 · A	22	48	36→40	46→40	47	226/275/296	70	271	2	5	17%	6%	57	-1.2	239/291/321	82	297	4	4	19%	7%	70	-0.3	271/325/363	92	329	4	0	18%	7%	95	+0.6
✕Carlos Alvarez 2008 · A	22	44	36→40	49→45	49	204/285/270	66	265	2	8	22%	8%	56	-1.3	227/306/316	89	269	4	8	16%	9%	77	+0.1	231/320/325	95	269	5	9	15%	9%	83	+0.2
✕Casey Turgeon 2016 · A	23	44	37→40	50→45	54	207/299/281	74	259	4	9	20%	10%	66	-0.6	209/295/308	99	267	8	7	23%	10%	71	-0.3	201/292/309	108	254	10	5	23%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Shawn Zarraga 2010 · A	21	44	36→40	48→45	47	207/285/272	64	289	4	5	28%	8%	57	-1.2	237/301/331	94	305	7	8	23%	6%	79	+0.3	277/347/362	84	322	4	2	14%	8%	106	+0.8
✕Sergio Burruel 2012 · A	21	42	35→30	42→30	47	198/274/259	61	274	3	4	27%	8%	50	-1.8	213/266/275	62	297	3	6	27%	6%	48	-1.9	241/305/316	75	293	8	1	20%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jeremy Arocho 2021 · A	22	48→46	36→30	48→60	47	224/285/296	72	288	3	10	22%	7%	62	-0.9	224/322/278	54	314	2	26	25%	12%	75	-0.0	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Dixon Mavares 2008 · A	22	46	35→30	47→50	50	212/288/274	62	252	2	11	16%	7%	59	-1.1	224/295/299	75	271	4	9	17%	8%	68	-0.5	241/316/306	65	285	2	11	15%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Richi Sanchez 2015 · A	21	49	38→45	49→50	53	229/311/311	82	291	5	8	22%	10%	78	+0.2	212/272/290	78	279	3	7	23%	7%	55	-1.4	202/252/280	79	255	0	6	20%	6%	40	-0.6
✕Josh Johnson 2008 · A	22	46→49	36→45	45→50	54	217/298/285	69	278	3	9	22%	10%	66	-0.6	227/307/305	78	295	4	10	22%	10%	74	-0.1	249/317/359	110	296	9	16	18%	9%	89	+0.6
✕Kawika Emsley-Pai 2012 · A	23	48	36→30	43→40	54	223/311/296	73	295	3	6	23%	11%	74	-0.1	190/287/263	73	275	4	7	29%	11%	56	-1.3	153/264/212	59	225	5	5	30%	12%	33	-0.8