Player 829769 — OGILVIE

Player 829769— DSL NYY Yankees

Age — —/— ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION147 act + 173 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .304 / .372

PA173

HR4

SB12

K%25

BB%8

BABIP300

ISO135

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	NYY	—	147	128	37	7	1	6	12	29	2	22	1	289	359	500	859	211	316	20	8	370	141	+7	+4	+0	-3	+4	1.3
YTD	—	ROK	NYY	—	147	119	45	9	2	7	21	20	2	22	1	378	479	664	1.143	286	392	14	14	476	222	+20	+4	+0	-3	+4	2.6
ROS	—	ROK	NYY	0%	173	156	37	7	1	4	13	43	2	12	1	237	304	372	676	135	297	25	8	305	92	-2	+2	+0	-3	+5	0.2
ROS	—	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		299	—	—	300	88	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	NYY	—	147	129	37	7	1	6	12	29	2	22	1	287	359	496	855	209	313	20	8	370	141	+7	+4	+0	-3	+4	1.3
TOT	—	ROK	NYY	—	320	284	74	14	2	10	25	72	4	34	2	261	329	430	759	169	308	22	8	335	115	+5	+6	+0	-6	+9	1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	NYY	0%	346	313	74	13	3	9	27	86	3	15	1	236	303	383	687	147	296	25	8	306	93	-3	+3	+0	-6	+10	0.3
2028	25	MLB	NYY	0%	428	387	91	16	3	11	34	106	4	18	2	235	304	377	681	142	296	25	8	308	94	-3	+3	+0	-8	+12	0.4
2029	25	MLB	NYY	0%	484	437	105	19	4	13	39	119	5	20	2	240	310	391	701	151	295	25	8	309	95	-3	+3	+0	-9	+14	0.6
2030	25	MLB	NYY	0%	522	470	112	20	4	14	42	128	5	22	2	238	308	387	695	149	295	25	8	310	95	-3	+4	+0	-9	+15	0.6
2031	25	MLB	NYY	0%	549	494	118	21	4	15	44	135	6	23	2	239	309	389	697	150	295	25	8	310	95	-3	+4	+0	-10	+16	0.7
2032	25	MLB	NYY	0%	568	511	122	22	4	16	46	139	6	24	2	239	309	391	700	153	295	24	8	310	96	-3	+4	+0	-10	+16	0.7
2033	25	MLB	NYY	0%	582	524	124	22	4	16	47	143	6	24	2	237	307	385	692	149	294	25	8	311	96	-3	+4	+0	-10	+16	0.8
2034	25	MLB	NYY	0%	593	534	127	23	4	16	48	145	6	25	2	238	308	386	694	148	294	24	8	311	96	-3	+4	+0	-11	+17	0.8
2027	25	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	302	89	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		297	—	—	304	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		297	—	—	305	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		297	—	—	305	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		296	—	—	306	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		296	—	—	306	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		296	—	—	306	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		296	—	—	306	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4245	3826	910	163	31	114	340	1044	43	183	16	238	307	386	693	148	296	25	8	309	95	-24	+30	+0	-76	+120	5.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	139	25	5	17	52	160	7	28	2	237	307	384	691	147	296	25	8	309	95	-4	+5	+0	-12	+18	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Wil Myerslast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA	11	4,290	156	107	252	326	437	-47	-45	10.7	10.7
#1Wil Myerslast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA	/162	664	24	17	252	326	437	-7.3	-6.9	1.7	pk7: 11
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,392	116	184	238	304	387	-49	+0	7.8	7.5
	/162	664	18	28	238	304	387	-7.5	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 7
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 829769 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	261/329/430	169	308	10	34	22%	8%	115	+1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	40→50	46→45	54→55	44	199/284/331	132	279	13	21	32%	8%	72	-0.2	219/298/335	116	289	10	19	26%	8%	79	+0.3	221/302/335	114	287	10	20	25%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Dylan Moore 2017 · A	24	44→47	43→50	55→65	47	214/294/334	120	273	10	23	24%	8%	77	+0.1	206/272/327	121	267	11	18	26%	7%	66	-0.6	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕Phillip Ervin 2017 · AA	25	42→50	46→50	55	48	211/289/341	130	257	13	25	23%	8%	77	+0.1	227/293/361	134	285	14	22	24%	7%	83	+0.6	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Eli Iorg 2008 · A	25	45→49	47→50	59→55	37	226/266/369	143	303	14	24	30%	4%	73	-0.1	228/263/347	119	315	11	17	30%	4%	66	-0.6	237/268/356	118	321	12	19	29%	3%	66	-0.5
✕Mario Lisson 2009 · AA	25	43→49	44→55	54→55	41	215/265/332	117	274	12	21	26%	5%	63	-0.8	209/255/341	132	274	15	15	29%	5%	63	-0.9	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
●Daniel Carbonell 2015 · A	24	51→54	46→55	56→55	42	250/295/384	134	308	13	18	23%	5%	89	+1.0	212/250/308	96	284	9	15	28%	4%	50	-1.7	247/291/402	155	310	17	21	25%	5%	90	+0.6
✕Justin Dean 2021 · A	24	47→49	43→45	58→65	44	222/293/335	113	314	10	23	31%	8%	76	+0.1	203/280/315	112	322	11	27	37%	8%	66	-0.6	232/303/321	89	344	6	48	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Cody Strait 2007 · A	24	43→48	47→55	57→55	40	218/276/358	140	287	14	26	29%	5%	76	+0.0	215/263/354	139	284	14	19	28%	5%	69	-0.4	220/264/345	125	286	11	17	27%	5%	62	-0.5
●Rafael Lantigua 2022 · A	24	46→55	46→45	53→55	46	228/295/364	136	304	13	20	29%	8%	85	+0.7	249/321/362	113	327	10	18	24%	9%	95	+1.4	253/329/353	100	328	8	18	23%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	48→53	41→45	53→55	40	231/281/330	100	302	7	20	26%	5%	69	-0.4	233/301/351	118	292	10	16	23%	6%	84	+0.6	231/305/357	125	285	11	18	22%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Lane Adams 2015 · AA	25	45→46	44→50	56→60	42	223/276/340	117	289	11	27	26%	6%	70	-0.3	228/280/358	130	308	14	31	29%	6%	76	+0.1	228/279/363	136	311	16	36	31%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Jared Oliva 2020 · AA	24	46→45	43→50	57→65	42	221/284/333	112	302	10	27	29%	6%	72	-0.2	215/268/322	107	303	8	24	30%	5%	62	-0.9	227/296/370	142	284	15	55	24%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Anthony Seratelli 2008 · A	25	46→49	46→45	56→55	46	229/291/363	134	291	12	19	25%	8%	82	+0.5	205/260/299	94	298	8	17	32%	7%	53	-1.5	229/300/350	121	298	13	20	26%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Anthony Norman 2010 · A	25	45→42	47→50	60→55	50	223/302/368	145	266	13	19	22%	8%	89	+0.9	213/282/332	119	290	10	11	28%	7%	71	-0.3	210/282/335	125	290	10	9	29%	7%	71	-0.1
✕José Caballero 2021 · A	24	45	43→45	52→70	46	221/293/334	113	279	10	25	24%	7%	76	+0.1	224/326/350	126	288	13	35	25%	11%	95	+1.4	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Shawn Payne 2014 · A	25	48→58	41→45	57→55	49	227/299/329	102	287	7	24	22%	8%	77	+0.1	216/285/323	107	294	8	16	27%	8%	69	-0.4	207/282/317	110	287	8	17	28%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Kyle Datres 2022 · A	26	39→40	45→50	54→55	44	194/276/317	123	270	12	18	31%	8%	66	-0.6	209/287/354	145	287	18	23	32%	8%	79	+0.3	198/279/346	148	268	20	26	32%	8%	71	-0.1
✕Brewer Hicklen 2021 · A	25	44→43	49→55	56→60	35	216/274/360	145	328	17	25	38%	5%	76	+0.0	202/278/362	160	316	20	32	40%	8%	78	+0.2	219/291/395	177	297	25	40	34%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Elijah Dunham 2022 · A	24	44→42	47→50	55→60	45	219/291/363	144	292	14	21	29%	8%	83	+0.6	212/283/362	150	289	16	27	31%	8%	80	+0.4	202/275/357	155	275	17	29	32%	8%	72	-0.2
●Ka'ai Tom 2018 · A	24	45→50	44→55	52→50	47	224/285/348	125	278	11	15	23%	7%	76	+0.1	240/302/420	180	305	20	10	27%	7%	102	+1.9	227/300/415	188	290	21	7	28%	8%	97	+1.1