Player 829769 — OGILVIE

Player 8297691B DSL NYY Yankees

Age — —/— ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION283 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†105

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .300 / .222

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP304

ISO152

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED67

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	ROK MLE	NYY	—	283	252	71	8	3	12	21	57	4	37	5	282	347	480	827	198	312	20	7	354	126	+9	+5	+0	-5	+6	1.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	ROK RAW	NYY	—	175	144	54	11	2	8	24	24	2	27	3	375	471	646	1.116	271	393	14	14	469	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	—	A RAW	NYY	—	108	96	31	0	2	6	9	16	2	10	2	323	393	552	945	229	333	15	8	410	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	ROK MLE	NYY	0%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	222	300	222	522		302	20	10	324	105	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	—	ROK MLE	NYY	—	293	261	73	8	3	12	22	59	4	38	5	280	345	471	816	192	311	20	8	353	125	+9	+6	+0	-5	+6	1.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	412	374	93	13	3	14	31	99	4	15	2	249	313	412	725	163	301	24	8	323	105	+2	+2	+0	-7	+9	0.6
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	471	427	106	15	4	16	36	112	5	16	2	248	314	415	729	166	300	24	8	324	105	+3	+2	+0	-8	+10	0.7
2029	25	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	512	462	116	17	4	18	39	122	6	16	2	251	318	422	740	171	299	24	8	324	106	+3	+2	+0	-9	+11	0.8
2030	25	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	540	488	122	18	4	19	41	128	6	16	2	250	316	420	736	170	299	24	8	325	106	+4	+2	+0	-10	+12	0.8
2031	25	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	561	507	127	19	4	20	43	133	6	17	2	250	317	422	739	172	299	24	8	325	106	+4	+3	+0	-10	+12	0.9
2032	25	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	576	521	129	19	4	20	44	137	6	17	2	248	313	415	728	167	298	24	8	326	107	+4	+3	+0	-10	+12	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	587	530	132	19	4	21	45	139	7	17	2	249	316	419	735	170	298	24	8	326	107	+5	+3	+0	-10	+13	1.0
2034	25	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	597	539	135	20	5	21	46	142	7	17	3	250	318	423	741	173	298	24	8	326	107	+5	+2	+0	-11	+13	1.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	NYY	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	303	—	—	321	105	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYY	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	302	—	—	321	105	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	NYY	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	301	—	—	322	106	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	NYY	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	301	—	—	322	106	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	NYY	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	301	—	—	323	106	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	NYY	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	300	—	—	323	107	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	NYY	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	300	—	—	323	107	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	NYY	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	300	—	—	324	107	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4266	3857	962	140	32	149	326	1014	47	132	17	249	316	418	734	169	299	24	8	325	106	+31	+20	+0	-76	+92	6.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	147	21	5	23	50	155	7	20	3	250	316	420	736	170	300	24	8	325	106	+5	+3	+0	-12	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alex Rioslast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,929 PA	10.4	6,929	169	253	277	321	434	-57	+11	25.0	25.4
/162	664	16	24	-5.5	+1.0	2.4	pk7: 26
#2Eric Byrneslast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,440 PA	5.2	3,440	106	125	260	321	441	-21	+3	14.9	15.2
/162	664	20	24	-4.1	+0.6	2.9	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.9	4,576	157	139	250	312	418	-51	+0	13.1	12.3
/162	664	23	20	-7.4	+0.0	1.9	pk7: 12
#3Wil Myerslast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA	6.5	4,290	156	107	252	326	437	-47	-45	10.7	10.8
/162	664	24	17	-7.3	-6.9	1.7	pk7: 11
#4Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#5Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	8.5	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
/162	664	19	6	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#6Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 829769 (OGILVIE)	25	54	55	67	47	248/312/415	166	302	11	22	24%	7%	105	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Dominic Canzone 2022 · AA	24	47→53	48→60	55→50	43	235/292/378	143	307	16	19	28%	7%	88	+0.5	245/298/420	175	291	21	12	23%	7%	101	+1.4	251/314/447	196	293	26	5	24%	8%	110	+1.4
✕César Puello 2016 · AAA	25	49→58	46→50	54→55	41	239/310/371	132	312	13	19	26%	5%	95	+0.9	256/332/371	115	336	11	21	25%	7%	102	+1.5	265/343/387	122	353	13	13	26%	7%	107	+1.1
✕Anthony Norman 2010 · A	25	45→42	47→50	60→55	50	223/302/368	145	266	13	19	22%	8%	90	+0.6	211/279/321	110	284	8	11	27%	7%	70	-0.8	206/275/315	109	281	7	9	27%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Jonny DeLuca 2022 · A	24	40→37	53→60	56→55	45	216/275/390	173	253	21	15	24%	7%	85	+0.2	224/289/407	183	256	22	16	22%	7%	95	+0.9	221/290/400	179	249	21	19	21%	7%	91	+0.4
●James Outman 2022 · AA	25	41→51	49→55	54→50	42	207/285/359	152	304	17	16	36%	8%	82	-0.0	231/317/417	186	329	22	14	34%	10%	107	+1.9	227/320/420	193	316	24	14	33%	10%	108	+1.7
●Steven Souza Jr. 2014 · AA	25	45→55	52→60	51→55	44	230/297/399	170	302	19	19	30%	8%	96	+1.0	251/321/425	174	332	21	20	29%	9%	110	+2.1	235/325/427	192	317	26	14	32%	11%	111	+1.8
✕Michael Carlin 2006 · A	25	48→46	52→60	52→45	41	245/305/418	173	309	20	7	27%	6%	103	+1.5	230/290/371	141	289	14	8	24%	6%	86	+0.3	230/286/374	144	283	14	8	23%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Alex Castellanos 2012 · AA	25	47→51	49→55	53→50	38	235/287/394	159	315	15	13	30%	5%	91	+0.6	219/284/373	154	298	16	16	31%	6%	84	+0.2	207/266/345	139	303	13	8	34%	6%	69	-0.5
✕Daulton Varsho 2020 · AA	24	48→49	50→60	55→50	46	244/303/400	156	281	18	19	20%	6%	98	+1.2	236/302/421	185	275	22	15	22%	8%	103	+1.5	228/296/424	195	260	25	15	23%	8%	98	+1.1
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	42→52	46→45	55	45	207/293/340	133	287	12	21	30%	8%	81	-0.1	221/300/334	113	289	9	19	25%	8%	82	-0.0	221/304/328	106	311	9	22	29%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Chris Heisey 2010 · AAA	25	51→52	46→55	56→55	47	250/306/389	138	287	13	18	18%	6%	96	+1.0	246/304/406	160	295	19	12	23%	6%	99	+1.3	245/303/408	163	299	20	9	25%	6%	96	+0.6
✕Keon Broxton 2015 · AA	25	45→50	47→55	54→60	39	221/274/361	141	315	15	16	34%	6%	78	-0.3	228/296/382	154	343	15	32	35%	8%	91	+0.6	224/300/388	164	339	17	38	36%	9%	92	+0.6
✕Mac Williamson 2015 · A	25	49→50	54→55	51→45	42	250/313/428	179	316	22	10	28%	6%	108	+1.9	233/292/378	145	304	17	6	28%	6%	88	+0.5	212/278/376	164	272	23	5	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Daniel Carbonell 2015 · A	24	50→53	45→50	55	42	247/292/377	130	307	13	18	24%	5%	88	+0.4	212/250/306	94	281	8	15	27%	4%	56	-1.9	243/288/376	132	309	13	21	25%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45→44	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	211/273/334	123	271	14	11	27%	7%	72	-0.7	224/287/394	170	271	21	14	25%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Terry Evans 2007 · AA	25	45→52	51→55	53→55	38	231/285/389	157	311	20	20	32%	5%	89	+0.5	236/279/383	147	328	16	21	32%	5%	84	+0.2	230/270/375	145	320	15	23	32%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Steve Selsky 2013 · A	24	50→52	48→45	53→45	40	246/297/391	145	317	15	11	27%	5%	93	+0.8	239/303/348	109	328	10	8	28%	7%	86	+0.3	249/317/346	97	354	7	4	29%	7%	89	+0.3
●Blake Dunn 2023 · A	24	51→56	48→45	60	49	240/342/387	147	348	15	27	32%	10%	110	+2.1	238/322/364	126	337	14	31	31%	8%	97	+1.1	231/317/342	111	333	12	32	31%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Nate Tenbrink 2012 · AA	25	47→53	45→50	58→50	46	228/296/364	135	295	12	17	26%	8%	86	+0.3	224/296/368	144	325	14	13	33%	8%	88	+0.4	219/293/364	145	332	15	11	36%	8%	83	+0.1
●Rafael Lantigua 2022 · A	24	45→55	45	53→55	45	223/287/353	130	295	13	20	28%	8%	81	-0.1	247/317/352	105	324	8	18	24%	9%	91	+0.7	251/326/344	93	326	6	18	23%	9%	90	+0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps