Derek Hill — OGILVIE

Derek HillCF Philadelphia Phillies

Age 30 R/R 6'0" / 206 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 3.233 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION199 act + 132 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 126105vR 51

AVG/OBP/SLG.247 / .304 / .419

PA132

HR5

SB9

K%30

BB%7

BABIP322

ISO173

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

4211.9%

xwOBA

440.301

POWER55

Barrel%

6911.1

Avg EV

6189.9

Bat Spd

5271.6

EYE35

Chase%

7027.9%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.7

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 343 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

152

191

—

wRC+

133

◀◀L

wOBA

359

249

◀◀L

ISO

218

095

◀◀L

BABIP

350

307

◀L

30.3%

33.0%

◀L

BB%

7.9%

2.6%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2021

Service 3.233 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.4M	+0.4	$2M	+$1M
2027	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$3M	+$0.8M
2028	Arb-3	$3M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	18	ROK	GCL Tigers	—	119	105	17	1	1	2	10	27	2	9	1	162	248	248	495	86	195	23	8	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK	GCL Tigers	—	119	99	21	2	2	2	16	19	2	9	1	212	333	333	667	121	241	16	13	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	235	216	44	5	4	0	14	63	1	25	7	204	255	264	519	60	284	27	6	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	235	210	50	6	5	0	20	44	1	25	7	238	307	314	622	76	298	19	9	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	415	390	78	12	4	1	18	148	3	35	6	200	241	259	500	59	317	36	4	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	415	384	102	17	6	1	24	105	3	35	6	266	314	349	663	83	361	25	6	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A	3 teams	—	267	235	42	8	5	2	20	90	5	29	5	179	258	281	539	102	274	34	7	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A	3 teams	—	267	224	55	10	7	2	31	63	5	29	5	246	350	379	729	134	327	24	12	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	383	355	69	8	2	2	21	159	1	35	12	194	241	245	486	51	344	42	5	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	383	343	82	9	3	4	33	109	1	35	12	239	308	318	625	79	338	28	9	283	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	2 teams	—	591	545	102	14	4	9	27	216	11	27	14	187	240	277	517	90	288	37	5	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	2 teams	—	591	529	129	23	5	17	43	168	11	27	14	244	314	403	717	159	323	28	7	317	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	MLB	3 teams	—	310	286	78	8	6	6	17	97	3	10	4	273	320	406	726	133	391	31	5	315	99	-0	+0	+2	+1	+9	1.2
2021	25	MLB	3 teams	—	310	282	82	9	6	7	21	87	3	10	4	291	346	440	786	149	397	28	7	345	122	+8	+0	+2	+1	+9	2.0
2022	26	AAA	2 teams	—	347	318	67	14	4	5	19	112	1	11	2	211	257	327	584	116	302	32	5	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	2 teams	—	347	310	71	12	4	8	27	96	1	11	2	229	293	371	664	142	300	28	8	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	3 teams	—	425	389	98	13	4	8	26	98	3	18	5	252	304	368	671	116	314	23	6	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	3 teams	—	425	381	113	19	6	11	34	81	3	18	5	297	359	465	823	168	348	19	8	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	2 teams	—	357	331	93	16	6	15	17	109	5	13	3	281	326	502	827	221	373	31	5	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	2 teams	—	357	326	96	17	6	15	22	100	5	13	3	294	348	521	870	227	380	28	6	376	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB	2 teams	—	196	177	34	7	0	3	12	66	4	10	1	192	259	282	542	90	287	34	6	245	45	-12	+2	+5	+1	+6	0.0
2025	29	MLB	2 teams	—	196	175	36	8	0	3	14	62	4	10	1	206	280	303	583	97	300	32	7	265	61	-9	+2	+5	+1	+6	0.4
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	MLB	PHI	—	199	179	46	3	0	10	15	67	1	15	8	257	318	441	759	184	353	34	8	327	108	+2	-0	-1	-2	+6	0.4
YTD	30	MLB	PHI	—	199	179	46	3	0	10	15	67	1	15	8	257	318	441	759	184	353	34	8	330	111	+2	-0	-1	-2	+6	0.5
ROS	30	MLB	PHI	100%	132	121	30	4	1	5	9	40	1	9	3	247	304	419	723	173	322	30	7	320	103	+0	+1	+1	+0	+4	0.7
ROS	30	MLB	PHI	100%	133	122	30	4	1	5	9	40	1	9	3	246	303	418	721	172	324	30	7	315	99	-0	+1	+1	+0	+4	0.6
FULL	30	MLB	PHI	—	332	301	76	7	1	15	24	107	2	24	11	252	312	432	744	179	339	32	7	322	105	+2	+0	+0	-2	+9	1.0
TOT	30	MLB	PHI	—	331	300	76	7	1	15	24	107	2	24	11	253	312	432	745	180	340	32	7	324	106	+2	+0	+0	-2	+9	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	PHI	92%	231	212	52	7	1	9	15	71	2	14	4	245	301	415	716	170	321	31	6	317	101	+0	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.8
2028	32	MLB	PHI	92%	212	194	47	6	1	8	14	66	2	10	3	242	300	407	707	165	318	31	7	312	97	-1	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.5
2029	33	MLB	PHI	92%	182	166	40	5	1	7	12	58	2	7	2	241	300	410	710	169	313	32	7	305	91	-2	+1	-2	+1	+5	0.2
2030	34	MLB	PHI	88%	141	130	30	3	1	5	9	46	1	4	1	231	286	385	670	154	307	33	6	296	84	-2	+0	-4	+1	+4	-0.1
2027	31	MLB	PHI	92%	213	195	49	6	1	9	14	65	2	13	4	251	308	431	739	179	324	31	7	313	97	-1	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.7
2028	32	MLB	PHI	92%	195	178	43	5	1	8	13	61	2	10	3	242	301	416	716	174	320	31	7	307	93	-2	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.4
2029	33	MLB	PHI	92%	167	152	36	4	1	6	11	53	2	6	2	237	297	395	692	158	316	32	7	300	88	-2	+0	-2	+1	+5	0.1
2030	34	MLB	PHI	88%	123	113	26	3	1	4	8	40	1	3	1	230	287	381	667	150	309	33	7	291	81	-3	+0	-3	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1444	1325	315	38	10	46	87	444	14	64	18	238	292	386	677	148	319	31	6	295	84	-26	+6	+3	+9	+41	3.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	142	17	5	21	39	200	6	29	8	238	291	389	681	151	320	31	6	295	84	-12	+3	+1	+4	+18	1.5
Career	—			—	4543	4170	921	131	45	87	260	1466	47	266	73	221	274	336	611	116	315	32	6	267	62	-193	+24	+2	+16	+129	-2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	131	19	6	12	37	210	7	38	10	219	273	332	605	112	314	32	6	267	62	-28	+4	+0	+2	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	18	ROK	GCL Tigers	—	119	99	21	2	2	2	16	19	2	9	1	212	333	333	667	121	241	16	13	304	91	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2015	19	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	235	210	50	6	5	0	20	44	1	25	7	238	307	314	622	76	298	19	9	280	72	-7	+2	—	—	+7	0.2
2016	20	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	415	384	102	17	6	1	24	105	3	35	6	266	314	349	663	83	361	25	6	297	85	-7	+5	—	—	+12	1.0
2017	21	A+	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	38	31	6	1	0	0	5	10	1	10	0	194	324	226	550	32	286	26	13	264	60	-2	+2	—	—	+1	0.1
2017	21	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	168	144	41	8	6	1	16	38	4	12	5	285	372	444	816	160	374	23	10	355	130	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.1
2017	21	ROK	GCL Tigers West	—	61	49	8	1	1	1	10	15	0	7	0	163	305	286	591	122	206	25	16	270	65	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2018	22	A+	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	383	343	82	9	3	4	33	109	1	35	12	239	308	318	625	79	338	28	9	283	74	-11	+2	—	—	+11	0.2
2019	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	526	470	114	19	5	14	38	147	10	21	13	243	313	394	706	151	321	28	7	312	97	-2	-1	—	—	+15	1.2
2019	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	65	59	15	4	0	3	5	21	1	6	1	254	323	475	798	220	343	32	8	351	127	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2021	25	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	150	139	36	3	3	3	10	42	1	6	3	259	313	388	702	129	351	28	7	314	98	-0	+0	+2	+1	+4	0.7
2021	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	141	125	40	5	3	4	10	39	2	4	1	320	380	504	884	184	434	28	7	379	148	+8	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
2021	25	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	19	18	6	1	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	333	368	389	757	56	500	32	5	342	120	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	26	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	92	83	19	2	0	1	5	28	0	3	0	229	273	289	562	60	327	30	5	246	46	-6	+1	+2	+1	+3	0.1
2022	26	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	255	227	52	10	4	7	22	68	1	8	2	229	300	401	701	172	290	27	9	306	92	-2	+1	—	—	+7	0.6
2023	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	50	47	8	1	0	0	3	11	0	1	0	170	220	191	411	21	222	22	6	194	7	-5	+0	+2	+2	+1	-0.1
2023	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	360	322	102	17	6	11	29	70	2	16	4	317	377	509	886	193	371	19	8	382	151	+21	+2	—	—	+10	3.3
2023	27	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	15	12	3	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	1	250	400	333	733	83	250	0	13	348	125	+0	-0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	28	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	172	162	39	4	2	7	5	56	2	6	2	241	272	420	692	179	320	33	3	299	87	-3	+0	-0	+1	+5	0.4
2024	28	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	185	164	57	13	4	8	17	44	3	7	1	348	418	622	1.040	274	434	24	9	448	201	+21	+1	—	—	+5	2.8
2025	29	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	149	134	29	6	0	3	9	48	3	7	0	216	281	328	609	112	313	32	6	272	66	-6	+1	+5	+1	+4	0.5
2025	29	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	47	41	7	2	0	0	5	14	1	3	1	171	277	220	496	49	259	30	11	241	42	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	613	565	131	16	5	14	32	185	6	23	5	232	280	352	632	120	318	30	5	280	72	-19	+3	+9	+6	+17	1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	11	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
	/162	664	18	10	226	302	380	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Laynce Nixlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,038 PA	9	2,038	69	9	243	289	422	-13	+8	4.3	4.9
#2Laynce Nixlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,038 PA	/162	664	22	3	243	289	422	-4.1	+2.5	1.4	pk7: 5
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	1,833	62	91	240	291	392	+2	+14	4.4	4.4
	/162	664	22	33	240	291	392	+0.9	+5.2	1.6	pk7: 4
#4Leury Garcíalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,387 PA	9	2,387	34	63	253	293	351	+5	+10	3.1	4.3
	/162	664	9	18	253	293	351	+1.4	+2.7	0.9	pk7: 6
#5Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Chris Woodwardlast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,835 PA	9	1,835	33	9	242	299	370	+2	-0	2.2	2.7
	/162	664	12	3	242	299	370	+0.6	-0.0	0.8	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Derek Hill (OGILVIE)	30	45	55	60	35	253/312/432	180	340	15	24	32%	7%	106	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Dairon Blanco 2023 · AAA	30	48→49	48→50	62→70	41	239/294/378	139	312	16	42	28%	6%	88	+0.9	253/315/388	135	325	14	71	25%	6%	99	+1.7	253/321/383	130	320	13	95	24%	7%	98	+0.7
✕Dylan Moore 2023 · MLB	30	44→47	52→50	57→65	52	222/331/394	172	292	19	35	29%	11%	109	+2.4	216/319/391	175	291	18	32	30%	11%	103	+1.9	201/303/378	176	270	20	37	31%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Keon Broxton 2018 · MLB	28	46→48	54→55	59→60	44	228/304/411	183	338	21	33	37%	9%	101	+1.8	193/265/333	140	336	17	29	44%	8%	65	-0.7	156/234/267	111	299	15	30	49%	8%	33	-1.5
✕Jonathan Villar 2021 · MLB	30	51→60	47→50	58→65	48	252/319/387	135	321	15	34	25%	9%	100	+1.7	242/303/389	147	311	16	21	26%	8%	95	+1.4	238/299/388	150	305	17	20	26%	8%	89	+0.7
●Eduardo Núñez 2017 · MLB	30	56→61	49→50	58→60	46	282/322/431	150	309	16	32	15%	5%	113	+2.6	271/303/404	133	296	14	22	13%	4%	98	+1.6	263/290/383	120	286	12	18	13%	3%	85	+0.4
✕Tyler Greene 2013 · MLB	29	48→53	50	56→55	43	238/303/396	159	315	17	24	29%	7%	97	+1.5	224/272/345	121	325	12	14	33%	5%	70	-0.3	219/262/322	103	328	9	10	35%	4%	57	-0.9
✕Sam Haggerty 2023 · MLB	29	50→44	48→50	62→65	46	245/314/399	154	314	14	32	26%	8%	102	+1.8	250/325/382	132	316	11	35	22%	9%	102	+1.8	241/319/357	115	310	7	40	23%	9%	90	+0.4
✕B.J. Upton 2013 · MLB	28	46→56	57→60	57→60	49	241/310/442	201	291	24	30	26%	9%	111	+2.5	218/291/365	147	294	16	21	30%	9%	83	+0.6	226/293/371	145	300	16	25	29%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Matt Lipka 2022 · AAA	30	51→56	46→45	58→60	39	249/298/381	131	340	14	31	30%	5%	90	+1.0	227/285/340	113	331	11	34	32%	7%	74	-0.1	191/259/268	78	299	5	59	35%	8%	40	-0.9
✕Brent Lillibridge 2012 · MLB	28	46→55	49→50	55→60	44	234/299/381	147	298	18	29	27%	7%	91	+1.1	218/272/347	129	294	16	25	30%	5%	71	-0.3	201/250/309	108	278	13	26	31%	5%	49	-1.0
✕Jon Berti 2020 · MLB	30	54→63	46→45	60	48	261/330/398	137	325	13	32	23%	8%	108	+2.3	247/336/366	119	318	11	30	23%	11%	102	+1.9	270/339/373	102	338	9	39	21%	9%	102	+1.0
✕Dewayne Wise 2009 · MLB	31	48→40	53→60	59→55	42	247/294/428	181	289	19	25	22%	5%	101	+1.8	242/282/405	163	292	15	20	22%	4%	89	+1.0	248/283/416	169	302	17	27	24%	4%	90	+0.5
✕Jose Siri 2023 · MLB	28	47→57	55→65	58→55	37	240/289/431	190	334	23	24	34%	6%	100	+1.7	213/269/423	210	291	29	19	36%	6%	90	+1.0	206/264/422	216	269	31	17	36%	6%	87	+0.5
✕Will Venable 2014 · MLB	31	52→55	55→60	61→60	47	267/321/463	197	314	21	26	22%	7%	121	+3.2	239/300/373	134	299	14	18	24%	7%	89	+0.9	220/285/321	101	282	10	16	24%	7%	65	-0.4
✕Drew Stubbs 2015 · MLB	30	48→51	47→50	57→60	44	235/297/374	138	322	15	24	30%	8%	88	+0.9	222/299/354	132	324	14	22	33%	9%	84	+0.6	204/290/316	112	307	12	23	34%	10%	68	-0.2
●Mike Cameron 2003 · MLB	30	49→53	55→60	58→55	55	250/345/446	197	307	22	27	25%	12%	127	+3.6	247/335/452	205	300	23	21	25%	11%	124	+3.4	248/337/456	208	304	23	20	25%	11%	123	+3.4
✕Justin Maxwell 2012 · MLB	28	44	52→60	55→60	45	219/299/387	168	324	21	27	37%	10%	93	+1.3	222/292/401	179	318	21	15	35%	8%	94	+1.3	212/281/377	165	309	19	12	36%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Trevor Story 2023 · MLB	30	43→49	53→60	55	48	226/300/405	179	279	21	20	27%	9%	98	+1.6	233/294/394	161	303	19	24	28%	7%	92	+1.2	241/292/393	153	309	20	30	28%	6%	88	+0.5
✕Michael A. Taylor 2019 · MLB	28	48→53	49→55	56→60	42	235/289/392	156	322	16	28	31%	7%	89	+1.0	228/282/375	147	315	16	20	31%	7%	82	+0.5	242/299/384	143	312	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.8
✕Alexis Gomez 2011 · AAA	32	56→61	53→55	60→55	46	283/328/456	173	320	22	34	19%	6%	122	+3.3	257/303/402	145	299	15	21	19%	6%	97	+1.5	251/294/377	126	290	8	13	16%	4%	85	+0.2