Derek Hill — OGILVIE

Derek HillCF Chicago White Sox

Age 30 R/R 6'0" / 206 lbs MLB BB +6%HR -6% Svc 3.233 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 1.0 · 2026

wRC+†vL 126102vR 51

AVG/OBP/SLG.242 / .296 / .412

PA246

HR9

SB14

K%29

BB%6

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

55→55

SPD

60→60

EYE

40↘35

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.8peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2021

Service 3.233 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$0.9M	+1.0	$8M	+$7M
2027	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$4M	+$0.6M
2028	Arb-3	$3M	+0.6	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$14M	+$8M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	18	ROK	GCL Tigers	119	105	17	1	1	2	10	27	2	9	1	.162	.248	.248	.495	.086	.195	23	8	.225	30	-9	+1	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
2015	19	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	235	216	45	5	4	0	14	57	1	25	7	.208	.260	.269	.528	.060	.280	24	6	.233	37	-17	+2	+0	+1	+7	-0.7
2016	20	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	415	390	85	13	5	1	18	136	3	35	6	.218	.258	.285	.543	.067	.329	33	4	.235	38	-29	+5	+0	+1	+12	-1.1
2017	21	A	3 teams	267	234	43	8	4	2	21	85	5	29	5	.184	.265	.278	.543	.094	.273	32	8	.234	37	-19	+4	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
2018	22	A+	Lakeland Flying Tigers	383	353	67	8	2	2	23	157	1	35	12	.190	.241	.241	.482	.051	.333	41	6	.215	23	-33	+2	+0	+1	+11	-1.9
2019	23	AA	2 teams	591	544	104	15	4	10	28	213	11	27	14	.191	.245	.289	.534	.097	.290	36	5	.236	39	-41	-0	+0	+2	+17	-2.3
2021	25	MLB	3 teams	310	286	76	8	5	6	17	97	3	10	4	.266	.314	.392	.705	.126	.380	31	5	.309	94	-2	+0	+2	+1	+9	1.0
2022	26	AAA	2 teams	347	317	64	11	4	6	20	114	1	11	2	.202	.251	.319	.570	.117	.289	33	6	.245	46	-21	+1	+2	+1	+10	-0.7
2023	27	AAA	3 teams	425	390	102	15	5	9	25	96	3	18	5	.262	.311	.395	.706	.133	.322	23	6	.303	90	-5	+2	+1	+2	+12	1.2
2024	28	AAA	2 teams	357	331	91	15	6	14	17	109	5	13	3	.275	.320	.483	.803	.208	.367	31	5	.344	121	+9	+1	-0	+1	+10	2.1
2025	29	MLB	2 teams	196	177	35	8	0	3	12	65	4	10	1	.198	.264	.294	.558	.096	.294	33	6	.248	48	-12	+2	+5	+1	+6	0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	30	MLB	Chicago White Sox	33	28	7	0	0	1	5	10	0	4	3	.250	.364	.357	.721	.107	.353	30	15	.330	110	+0	-0	-1	-0	+1	-0.1
ROS	30	MLB	CWS	213	195	48	7	2	7	14	62	2	10	3	.246	.303	.410	.714	.164	.319	29	7	.317	101	+0	+1	+2	+1	+6	1.0
TOT	30	MLB	CWS	246	223	55	7	2	8	19	72	2	14	6	.247	.311	.404	.715	.157	.326	29	8	.319	102	+1	+0	+1	+0	+7	1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	31	MLB	CWS	231	211	51	7	2	8	15	63	3	10	3	.242	.301	.408	.709	.166	.306	27	6	.313	98	-1	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.8
2028	32	MLB	CWS	212	194	47	7	2	7	14	59	2	8	2	.242	.300	.407	.707	.165	.305	28	7	.308	94	-1	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.5
2029	33	MLB	CWS	182	166	40	5	2	6	12	52	2	6	2	.241	.300	.404	.704	.163	.303	29	7	.303	90	-2	+0	-2	+1	+5	0.2
2030	34	MLB	CWS	141	130	29	4	1	4	9	41	1	5	1	.223	.279	.362	.640	.138	.302	29	6	.296	85	-2	+1	-3	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4624	4239	944	137	49	87	269	1433	49	261	71	.223	.277	.340	.617	.117	.312	31	6	.270	64	-186	+24	+5	+17	+131	-1.0
/ 162G	—			650	596	132	19	7	12	38	201	7	37	10	.221	.276	.337	.613	.116	.310	31	6	.270	64	-26	+3	+1	+2	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	18	ROK	GCL Tigers	119	99	21	2	2	2	16	19	2	9	1	.212	.333	.333	.667	.121	.241	16	13	.304	91	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2015	19	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	235	210	50	6	5	0	20	44	1	25	7	.238	.307	.314	.622	.076	.298	19	9	.280	72	-7	+2	—	—	+7	0.2
2016	20	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	415	384	102	17	6	1	24	105	3	35	6	.266	.314	.349	.663	.083	.361	25	6	.297	85	-7	+5	—	—	+12	1.0
2017	21	A+	Lakeland Flying Tigers	38	31	6	1	0	0	5	10	1	10	0	.194	.324	.226	.550	.032	.286	26	13	.264	60	-2	+2	—	—	+1	0.1
2017	21	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	168	144	41	8	6	1	16	38	4	12	5	.285	.372	.444	.816	.160	.374	23	10	.355	130	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.1
2017	21	ROK	GCL Tigers West	61	49	8	1	1	1	10	15	0	7	0	.163	.305	.286	.591	.122	.206	25	16	.270	65	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2018	22	A+	Lakeland Flying Tigers	383	343	82	9	3	4	33	109	1	35	12	.239	.308	.318	.625	.079	.338	28	9	.283	74	-11	+2	—	—	+11	0.2
2019	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	526	470	114	19	5	14	38	147	10	21	13	.243	.313	.394	.706	.151	.321	28	7	.312	97	-2	-1	—	—	+15	1.2
2019	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	65	59	15	4	0	3	5	21	1	6	1	.254	.323	.475	.798	.220	.343	32	8	.351	127	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2021	25	MLB	Detroit Tigers	150	139	36	3	3	3	10	42	1	6	3	.259	.313	.388	.702	.129	.351	28	7	.314	98	-0	+0	+2	+1	+4	0.7
2021	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	141	125	40	5	3	4	10	39	2	4	1	.320	.380	.504	.884	.184	.434	28	7	.379	148	+8	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
2021	25	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	19	18	6	1	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	.333	.368	.389	.757	.056	.500	32	5	.342	120	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	26	MLB	Detroit Tigers	92	83	19	2	0	1	5	28	0	3	0	.229	.273	.289	.562	.060	.327	30	5	.246	46	-6	+1	+2	+1	+3	0.1
2022	26	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	255	227	52	10	4	7	22	68	1	8	2	.229	.300	.401	.701	.172	.290	27	9	.306	92	-2	+1	—	—	+7	0.6
2023	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	50	47	8	1	0	0	3	11	0	1	0	.170	.220	.191	.411	.021	.222	22	6	.194	7	-5	+0	+1	+2	+1	-0.1
2023	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	360	322	102	17	6	11	29	70	2	16	4	.317	.377	.509	.886	.193	.371	19	8	.382	151	+21	+2	—	—	+10	3.3
2023	27	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	15	12	3	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	1	.250	.400	.333	.733	.083	.250	0	13	.348	125	+0	-0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	28	MLB	Miami Marlins	172	162	39	4	2	7	5	56	2	6	2	.241	.272	.420	.692	.179	.320	33	3	.299	87	-3	+0	-0	+1	+5	0.4
2024	28	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	185	164	57	13	4	8	17	44	3	7	1	.348	.418	.622	1.040	.274	.434	24	9	.448	201	+21	+1	—	—	+5	2.8
2025	29	MLB	Chicago White Sox	149	134	29	6	0	3	9	48	3	7	0	.216	.281	.328	.609	.112	.313	32	6	.272	66	-6	+1	+5	+1	+4	0.5
2025	29	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	47	41	7	2	0	0	5	14	1	3	1	.171	.277	.220	.496	.049	.259	30	11	.241	42	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			613	565	131	16	5	14	32	185	6	23	5	.232	.280	.352	.632	.120	.318	30	5	.280	72	-19	+3	+9	+6	+17	1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Derek Hill (OGILVIE)	30	45	55	60	35	.244/.302/.410	.166	.307	9	12	27%	7%	101	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Greene 2013 · MLB	29	48→51	49→50	56→55	44	.237/.303/.391	.154	.314	16	23	29%	7%	95	+1.4	.228/.276/.352	.124	.329	12	15	33%	5%	73	-0.1	.224/.267/.328	.104	.336	8	10	34%	4%	60	-0.7
✕Justin Maxwell 2014 · MLB	30	44→45	56→60	52→60	44	.229/.300/.425	.196	.309	23	15	33%	8%	103	+1.9	.213/.278/.349	.136	.307	15	9	34%	7%	74	-0.1	.196/.261/.303	.107	.284	13	6	34%	6%	51	-0.7
✕Will Venable 2014 · MLB	31	51→56	52→55	61→60	47	.256/.313/.434	.178	.304	18	27	22%	7%	110	+2.4	.235/.296/.363	.128	.294	13	19	23%	8%	85	+0.7	.216/.282/.309	.093	.277	9	16	24%	8%	60	-0.7
●Adolis García 2023 · MLB	30	47→48	57→60	53→50	41	.247/.296/.449	.201	.311	25	18	29%	6%	108	+2.3	.234/.298/.428	.194	.289	25	13	28%	8%	103	+1.9	.224/.290/.409	.185	.270	25	11	27%	8%	91	+1.2
✕Dylan Moore 2023 · MLB	30	44→48	52→50	57→65	52	.221/.329/.392	.171	.290	19	34	29%	11%	108	+2.3	.214/.318/.385	.171	.289	18	32	30%	11%	101	+1.8	.199/.301/.374	.174	.267	20	37	31%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Dewayne Wise 2009 · MLB	31	48→40	52→60	59→55	42	.246/.291/.425	.180	.289	18	23	22%	5%	99	+1.7	.241/.281/.401	.160	.291	15	20	22%	4%	89	+0.9	.241/.277/.398	.157	.296	15	27	24%	4%	82	+0.2
✕Jeremy Hazelbaker 2018 · MLB	30	49→54	50→55	61→60	42	.240/.299/.407	.168	.334	16	19	32%	8%	97	+1.5	.205/.269/.355	.150	.321	16	18	38%	7%	72	-0.2	.162/.233/.306	.144	.260	16	20	42%	7%	40	-1.4
●Harrison Bader 2023 · MLB	29	50→55	51→55	54→55	46	.254/.312/.415	.161	.300	18	20	22%	6%	105	+2.1	.240/.292/.372	.132	.286	15	23	21%	6%	85	+0.7	.240/.297/.372	.133	.292	15	22	23%	6%	85	+0.5
✕Matt Carson 2011 · MLB	30	44→50	54→60	54→50	40	.233/.279/.412	.179	.277	22	17	25%	5%	91	+1.1	.237/.284/.406	.169	.296	20	13	26%	5%	92	+1.2	.235/.282/.385	.151	.300	17	11	27%	5%	81	+0.4
●Dairon Blanco 2023 · AAA	30	49→52	48→50	62→70	41	.242/.296/.383	.141	.312	16	41	27%	6%	90	+1.0	.254/.315/.388	.134	.326	14	69	25%	6%	99	+1.7	.253/.319/.379	.126	.320	13	95	24%	6%	96	+0.6
✕Brent Lillibridge 2013 · MLB	29	45→53	47→50	55→60	41	.225/.285/.356	.131	.303	16	29	30%	6%	79	+0.3	.215/.266/.340	.125	.292	15	22	31%	5%	66	-0.6	.203/.250/.320	.117	.276	14	23	31%	5%	51	-1.0
✕Jose Siri 2023 · MLB	28	47→52	53→60	58→55	37	.235/.284/.411	.176	.335	21	24	36%	6%	92	+1.2	.212/.267/.412	.200	.293	27	20	36%	6%	86	+0.8	.196/.255/.410	.214	.257	31	19	37%	6%	80	+0.2
✕Jonathan Villar 2021 · MLB	30	53→58	48→50	58→65	48	.260/.326/.398	.138	.331	16	34	25%	8%	106	+2.2	.241/.303/.386	.145	.309	17	22	26%	8%	94	+1.3	.232/.294/.377	.145	.296	17	20	27%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Drew Stubbs 2015 · MLB	30	49→57	48→50	57→60	44	.241/.302/.382	.141	.329	15	25	30%	8%	92	+1.2	.229/.304/.365	.136	.336	15	22	33%	9%	89	+0.9	.204/.291/.315	.111	.311	12	23	35%	10%	67	-0.3
✕Danny Santana 2021 · MLB	30	47→57	57→60	53→55	39	.246/.292/.446	.199	.316	25	20	30%	6%	105	+2.1	.234/.296/.419	.185	.287	23	17	26%	8%	100	+1.7	.216/.280/.425	.210	.235	30	22	24%	8%	93	+0.4
✕Michael A. Taylor 2019 · MLB	28	47→51	49→55	57→60	41	.233/.287/.390	.156	.318	16	28	31%	7%	88	+0.9	.227/.282/.375	.148	.314	16	21	31%	7%	82	+0.5	.236/.294/.379	.143	.303	19	14	28%	7%	86	+0.6
✕Hernán Pérez 2021 · MLB	30	46→56	49→50	52→55	43	.237/.281/.383	.145	.287	18	16	24%	6%	83	+0.6	.238/.283/.373	.135	.301	16	19	26%	6%	82	+0.5	.238/.283/.362	.124	.301	16	24	26%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Sam Haggerty 2023 · MLB	29	48→43	48→50	61→65	46	.239/.309/.386	.147	.307	15	32	26%	8%	96	+1.5	.248/.324/.382	.134	.313	12	36	23%	9%	102	+1.8	.258/.338/.390	.132	.319	9	43	21%	10%	106	+1.1
✕Mario Lisson 2013 · AA	29	45→49	50→55	54→55	44	.229/.292/.386	.157	.295	17	19	28%	7%	89	+1.0	.231/.295/.384	.153	.291	18	12	26%	7%	91	+1.1	.233/.305/.376	.142	.304	18	8	28%	8%	91	+0.8
✕Austin Slater 2023 · MLB	30	52→61	51→50	58→55	53	.255/.346/.421	.167	.328	19	24	26%	11%	121	+3.2	.248/.333/.379	.131	.338	14	13	28%	10%	105	+2.1	.238/.322/.345	.107	.332	12	7	29%	10%	89	+0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)