Derek Hill
RF Philadelphia Phillies| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28 | AAAMIA | 185 | .348/.418/.622 | 8 | 7 | 134 | — | .294/.348/.512 |
| 2024 | 28 | MLBMIA | 172 | .241/.272/.420 | 7 | 6 | 96 | 0.4 | |
| 2025 | 29 | AAAMIA | 47 | .171/.277/.220 | 0 | 3 | 7 | — | .116/.191/.140 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLBCWS | 149 | .216/.281/.328 | 3 | 7 | 69 | 0.5 | |
| 2026 | 30 | MLBPHI | 216 | .241/.291/.442 | 11 | 13 | 97 | 0.1 | |
| 2027PROJ | 31 | MLBPHI | 167 | .245/.300/.435 | 7 | 11 | 100 | 0.3 | |
| 2028PROJ82% MLB | 32 | MLBPHI | 128 | .239/.294/.421 | 5 | 6 | 95 | -0.2 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 55
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 18 | ROK | GCL Tigers | — | 119 | 99 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 212 | 333 | 333 | 667 | 121 | 241 | 16 | 13 | 304 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 235 | 210 | 50 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 44 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 238 | 307 | 314 | 622 | 76 | 298 | 19 | 9 | 280 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 415 | 384 | 102 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 105 | 3 | 35 | 6 | 266 | 314 | 349 | 663 | 83 | 361 | 25 | 6 | 297 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 38 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 194 | 324 | 226 | 550 | 32 | 286 | 26 | 13 | 264 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 168 | 144 | 41 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 38 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 285 | 372 | 444 | 816 | 160 | 374 | 23 | 10 | 355 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | GCL Tigers West | — | 61 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 163 | 305 | 286 | 591 | 122 | 206 | 25 | 16 | 270 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 383 | 343 | 82 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 109 | 1 | 35 | 12 | 239 | 308 | 318 | 625 | 79 | 338 | 28 | 9 | 283 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 526 | 470 | 114 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 38 | 147 | 10 | 21 | 13 | 243 | 313 | 394 | 706 | 151 | 321 | 28 | 7 | 312 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 65 | 59 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 254 | 323 | 475 | 798 | 220 | 343 | 32 | 8 | 351 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 150 | 139 | 36 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 259 | 313 | 388 | 702 | 129 | 351 | 28 | 7 | 314 | 102 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 141 | 125 | 40 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 320 | 380 | 504 | 884 | 184 | 434 | 28 | 7 | 379 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 19 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 368 | 389 | 757 | 56 | 500 | 32 | 5 | 342 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 92 | 83 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 229 | 273 | 289 | 562 | 60 | 327 | 30 | 5 | 246 | 55 | -5 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 255 | 227 | 52 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 68 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 229 | 300 | 401 | 701 | 172 | 290 | 27 | 9 | 306 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 50 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 170 | 220 | 191 | 411 | 21 | 222 | 22 | 6 | 194 | 17 | -5 | +0 | +2 | +2 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 360 | 322 | 102 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 70 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 317 | 377 | 509 | 886 | 193 | 371 | 19 | 8 | 382 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 15 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 250 | 400 | 333 | 733 | 83 | 250 | 0 | 13 | 348 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 172 | 162 | 39 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 56 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 241 | 272 | 420 | 692 | 179 | 320 | 33 | 3 | 299 | 96 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 185 | 164 | 57 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 348 | 418 | 622 | 1.040 | 274 | 434 | 24 | 9 | 448 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 149 | 134 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 48 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 216 | 281 | 328 | 609 | 112 | 313 | 32 | 6 | 272 | 69 | -5 | +1 | +5 | +1 | +3 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 47 | 41 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 171 | 277 | 220 | 496 | 49 | 259 | 30 | 11 | 241 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 216 | 199 | 48 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 69 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 241 | 291 | 442 | 733 | 201 | 311 | 32 | 6 | 318 | 97 | -1 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +5 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 829 | 764 | 179 | 21 | 6 | 25 | 45 | 254 | 7 | 36 | 9 | 234 | 283 | 376 | 659 | 141 | 316 | 31 | 5 | 290 | 82 | -18 | +4 | +8 | +4 | +18 | 1.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 119 | 105 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 181 | 265 | 295 | 560 | 114 | 200 | 23 | 8 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 235 | 216 | 45 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 208 | 260 | 269 | 528 | 60 | 283 | 26 | 6 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 415 | 391 | 83 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 145 | 3 | 35 | 6 | 212 | 251 | 279 | 529 | 66 | 327 | 35 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 38 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 152 | 243 | 182 | 425 | 30 | 269 | 37 | 8 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 168 | 149 | 31 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 53 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 208 | 280 | 322 | 603 | 114 | 304 | 32 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers West | — | 61 | 53 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 132 | 220 | 245 | 466 | 113 | 158 | 36 | 10 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 383 | 353 | 67 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 157 | 1 | 35 | 12 | 190 | 241 | 241 | 482 | 51 | 322 | 41 | 6 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 526 | 482 | 96 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 180 | 10 | 21 | 13 | 199 | 255 | 295 | 549 | 95 | 287 | 34 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 150 | 139 | 36 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 259 | 313 | 388 | 702 | 129 | 351 | 28 | 7 | 319 | 102 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 141 | 128 | 37 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 47 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 289 | 336 | 438 | 773 | 148 | 404 | 33 | 5 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 19 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 316 | 333 | 649 | 56 | 434 | 42 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 92 | 83 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 229 | 273 | 289 | 562 | 60 | 327 | 30 | 5 | 249 | 55 | -5 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 255 | 234 | 49 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 80 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 209 | 260 | 346 | 606 | 137 | 285 | 31 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 50 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 170 | 220 | 191 | 411 | 21 | 222 | 22 | 6 | 194 | 17 | -5 | +0 | +2 | +2 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 360 | 330 | 88 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 86 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 267 | 314 | 397 | 711 | 130 | 327 | 24 | 6 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 15 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 231 | 333 | 308 | 641 | 77 | 209 | 0 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 172 | 162 | 39 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 56 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 241 | 272 | 420 | 692 | 179 | 320 | 33 | 3 | 310 | 96 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 185 | 170 | 50 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 53 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 294 | 348 | 512 | 860 | 218 | 391 | 29 | 6 | 366 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 149 | 134 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 48 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 216 | 281 | 328 | 609 | 112 | 313 | 32 | 6 | 271 | 69 | -5 | +1 | +5 | +1 | +3 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 47 | 43 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 116 | 191 | 140 | 331 | 23 | 218 | 36 | 6 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 216 | 199 | 47 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 69 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 236 | 286 | 422 | 708 | 186 | 311 | 32 | 6 | 311 | 97 | -1 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 119 | 105 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 181 | 265 | 295 | 560 | 114 | 221 | 23 | 8 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Tigers | — | 119 | 99 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 212 | 333 | 333 | 667 | 121 | 241 | 16 | 13 | 304 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 235 | 216 | 45 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 208 | 260 | 269 | 528 | 60 | 287 | 26 | 6 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A RAW | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 235 | 210 | 50 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 44 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 238 | 307 | 314 | 622 | 76 | 298 | 19 | 9 | 280 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 415 | 391 | 83 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 145 | 3 | 35 | 6 | 212 | 251 | 279 | 529 | 66 | 332 | 35 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A RAW | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 415 | 384 | 102 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 105 | 3 | 35 | 6 | 266 | 314 | 349 | 663 | 83 | 361 | 25 | 6 | 297 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 267 | 235 | 43 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 89 | 5 | 29 | 5 | 183 | 262 | 285 | 547 | 102 | 279 | 33 | 7 | 240 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 267 | 224 | 55 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31 | 63 | 5 | 29 | 5 | 246 | 350 | 379 | 729 | 134 | 327 | 24 | 12 | 323 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 383 | 353 | 67 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 157 | 1 | 35 | 12 | 190 | 241 | 241 | 482 | 51 | 333 | 41 | 6 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ RAW | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 383 | 343 | 82 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 109 | 1 | 35 | 12 | 239 | 308 | 318 | 625 | 79 | 338 | 28 | 9 | 283 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 591 | 543 | 107 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 203 | 11 | 27 | 14 | 197 | 252 | 291 | 543 | 94 | 293 | 34 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 591 | 529 | 129 | 23 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 168 | 11 | 27 | 14 | 244 | 314 | 403 | 717 | 159 | 323 | 28 | 7 | 317 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 310 | 286 | 78 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 97 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 273 | 320 | 406 | 726 | 133 | 391 | 31 | 5 | 314 | 99 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | +7 | 1.0 |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 310 | 282 | 82 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 87 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 291 | 346 | 440 | 786 | 149 | 397 | 28 | 7 | 345 | 99 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | +7 | 1.0 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 347 | 317 | 68 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 108 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 215 | 263 | 331 | 595 | 117 | 303 | 31 | 6 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 347 | 310 | 71 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 96 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 229 | 293 | 371 | 664 | 142 | 300 | 28 | 8 | 290 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 425 | 390 | 99 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 97 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 254 | 304 | 369 | 673 | 115 | 317 | 23 | 6 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 425 | 381 | 113 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 81 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 297 | 359 | 465 | 823 | 168 | 348 | 19 | 8 | 359 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 357 | 332 | 90 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 109 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 271 | 314 | 470 | 784 | 199 | 363 | 31 | 4 | 339 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 357 | 326 | 96 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 100 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 294 | 348 | 521 | 870 | 227 | 380 | 28 | 6 | 376 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 196 | 177 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 65 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 192 | 259 | 282 | 542 | 90 | 284 | 33 | 6 | 249 | 54 | -11 | +2 | +5 | +1 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 196 | 175 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 62 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 206 | 280 | 303 | 583 | 97 | 300 | 32 | 7 | 265 | 54 | -11 | +2 | +5 | +1 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2026 | 30 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 216 | 199 | 47 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 69 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 236 | 286 | 422 | 708 | 186 | 308 | 32 | 6 | 311 | 97 | -1 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2026 | 30 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 216 | 199 | 48 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 69 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 241 | 291 | 442 | 733 | 201 | 311 | 32 | 6 | 318 | 97 | -1 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Tigers | — | 119 | 106 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 179 | 265 | 292 | 557 | 113 | 200 | 23 | 8 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 235 | 218 | 45 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 206 | 260 | 266 | 526 | 60 | 283 | 26 | 6 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 415 | 392 | 83 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 145 | 3 | 35 | 6 | 212 | 251 | 278 | 529 | 66 | 327 | 35 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 267 | 240 | 43 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 89 | 5 | 29 | 5 | 179 | 262 | 279 | 541 | 100 | 266 | 33 | 7 | 240 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 383 | 356 | 67 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 157 | 1 | 35 | 12 | 188 | 241 | 239 | 480 | 51 | 322 | 41 | 6 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 591 | 546 | 107 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 203 | 11 | 27 | 14 | 196 | 252 | 289 | 542 | 93 | 287 | 34 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 310 | 287 | 78 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 97 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 272 | 320 | 404 | 724 | 132 | 380 | 31 | 5 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 347 | 323 | 68 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 108 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 211 | 263 | 325 | 588 | 115 | 296 | 31 | 6 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 425 | 394 | 99 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 97 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 251 | 304 | 365 | 669 | 114 | 311 | 23 | 6 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 357 | 333 | 90 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 109 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 270 | 314 | 468 | 783 | 198 | 357 | 31 | 4 | 339 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 196 | 178 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 65 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 191 | 259 | 281 | 540 | 90 | 290 | 33 | 6 | 249 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 216 | 200 | 47 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 69 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 235 | 286 | 420 | 706 | 185 | 311 | 32 | 6 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 357 | 333 | 90 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 109 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 270 | 314 | 468 | 783 | 198 | 357 | 31 | 4 | 339 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 196 | 178 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 65 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 191 | 259 | 281 | 540 | 90 | 290 | 33 | 6 | 249 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 216 | 200 | 47 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 69 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 235 | 286 | 420 | 706 | 185 | 311 | 32 | 6 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB MLE | PHI | 100% | 270 | 248 | 59 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 78 | 3 | 17 | 3 | 241 | 297 | 422 | 720 | 181 | 302 | 29 | 6 | 316 | 100 | +0 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +6 | 0.7 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB CTX | PHI | 100% | 167 | 153 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 48 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 245 | 300 | 435 | 735 | 190 | 304 | 29 | 6 | 322 | 100 | +0 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +4 | 0.3 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 32 | MLB MLE | PHI | 82% | 156 | 143 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 46 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 236 | 291 | 409 | 700 | 173 | 298 | 29 | 6 | 309 | 95 | -1 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB CTX | PHI | 82% | 128 | 118 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 239 | 294 | 421 | 715 | 182 | 299 | 30 | 6 | 314 | 95 | -1 | +1 | -3 | -1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 957 | 882 | 207 | 25 | 7 | 30 | 53 | 292 | 8 | 42 | 10 | 235 | 284 | 381 | 665 | 146 | 314 | 31 | 6 | 293 | 67 | -18 | +4 | +5 | +2 | +21 | 1.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 599 | 140 | 17 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 198 | 5 | 29 | 7 | 234 | 282 | 379 | 661 | 145 | 313 | 30 | 6 | 293 | 67 | -12 | +3 | +3 | +1 | +14 | 0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4184 | 3840 | 851 | 123 | 47 | 73 | 236 | 1321 | 44 | 253 | 67 | 222 | 275 | 335 | 610 | 114 | 315 | 32 | 6 | 267 | 67 | -18 | +6 | +3 | +0 | +25 | 1.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 597 | 131 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 37 | 205 | 7 | 39 | 10 | 219 | 273 | 330 | 603 | 111 | 312 | 32 | 6 | 267 | 67 | -10 | +3 | +2 | +0 | +14 | 0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 47 PAwOBA .235 → .178 (−57)K% 29.8% → 36.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.79% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.64% | ÷1.027 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 6.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.13% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 1.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.52% | ÷1.051 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.972 | 15.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.023 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.972 | 5.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.903 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 110, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .235 → .178; ISO .049 → .037; BABIP .259 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 185 PAwOBA .438 → .366 (−72)K% 23.8% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.78% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.19% | ÷1.005 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 6.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.62% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×1.033 | ×0.982 | 24.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.83% | ÷0.970 | ×0.830 | ×1.033 | ×0.982 | 9.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.33% | ÷0.985 | ×0.970 | ×1.033 | ×0.982 | 3.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.925 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 4.95% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 97, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .438 → .366; ISO .274 → .222; BABIP .434 → .391. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAARochester Red Wings · 360 PAwOBA .376 → .308 (−68)K% 19.4% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.44% | ÷0.980 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.06% | ÷0.956 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 5.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.56% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.98% | ÷0.996 | ×0.930 | ×1.012 | ×0.992 | 25.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.75% | ÷1.137 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | ×0.992 | 4.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.38% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | ×0.992 | 2.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.37% | ÷1.058 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 2.87% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 99, 2B 127, 3B 130, K 96, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .376 → .308; ISO .193 → .137; BABIP .371 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 15 PAwOBA .340 → .270 (−70)K% 0.0% → 0.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.973 | ×1.310 | — | — | 0.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.33% | ÷1.005 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.948 | 7.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.67% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.948 | 4.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.981 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.948 | 14.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.894 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.948 | 6.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.913 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.913 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 96, 2B 79, 3B 83, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 22.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .340 → .270; ISO .083 → .075; BABIP .250 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAATacoma Rainiers · 255 PAwOBA .301 → .262 (−40)K% 26.7% → 31.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷1.020 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.63% | ÷1.048 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.39% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.50% | ÷1.013 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 18.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.29% | ÷0.839 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 6.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.52% | ÷0.902 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 2.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.40% | ÷1.144 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.70% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 103, 2B 68, 3B 80, K 104, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .301 → .262; ISO .172 → .143; BABIP .290 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 141 PAwOBA .371 → .320 (−51)K% 27.7% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.66% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.09% | ÷1.038 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.42% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.56% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.008 | ×1.018 | 31.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.81% | ÷1.013 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×1.018 | 4.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.49% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×1.018 | 3.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.65% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 3.15% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 96, K 100, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .371 → .320; ISO .184 → .144; BABIP .434 → .404. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 19 PAwOBA .333 → .239 (−94)K% 31.6% → 43.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.58% | ÷0.988 | ×1.360 | — | — | 43.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷1.017 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.960 | 3.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.960 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 41.67% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.960 | 36.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.960 | 6.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.960 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.937 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.960 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 100, 2B 98, 3B 103, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.0 → −4.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .333 → .239; ISO .056 → .037; BABIP .500 → .434. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAErie SeaWolves · 526 PAwOBA .306 → .240 (−66)K% 27.9% → 34.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.95% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.22% | ÷1.050 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.90% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷0.978 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 22.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.077 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 4.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.55% | ÷1.127 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 1.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.33% | ÷1.294 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 2.64% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 159, 1B 96, 2B 115, 3B 125, K 99, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .306 → .240; ISO .151 → .099; BABIP .321 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).