Orelvis Martinez

Orelvis Martinez2B Buffalo Bisons

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 200 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP248

ISO167

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024

CONTACT40

Whiff%

1018.2%

POWER60

Bat Spd

9076.2

EYE30

Chase%

1050.0%

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	163	142	39	8	5	7	14	29	4	2	0	275	354	549	903	275	296	18	9	385	147	+9	+0	—	—	+4	1.3
2021	19	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	125	112	24	4	0	9	10	28	1	0	1	214	282	491	773	277	197	22	8	332	111	+2	-0	—	—	+3	0.4
2021	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	326	283	79	22	2	19	33	85	8	4	1	279	369	572	942	293	333	26	10	406	161	+24	+0	—	—	+7	3.2
2022	20	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	492	433	88	15	0	30	40	140	12	6	3	203	287	446	733	242	217	28	8	320	103	+1	+0	—	—	+11	1.2
2023	21	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	246	209	55	16	1	11	26	66	2	2	0	263	347	507	854	244	317	27	11	362	131	+9	+0	—	—	+5	1.5
2023	21	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	292	239	54	9	1	17	41	60	2	0	0	226	337	485	822	259	223	21	14	353	125	+9	+0	—	—	+6	1.5
2023	21	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	38	32	7	2	0	0	3	10	2	0	0	219	324	281	606	62	304	26	8	280	76	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	22	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	319	281	75	19	1	17	27	76	8	0	0	267	347	523	870	256	305	24	8	378	142	+16	+0	—	—	+7	2.3
2024	22	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	17	14	2	0	0	1	3	7	0	0	1	143	294	357	651	214	167	41	18	299	88	-0	-0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2025	23	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	394	336	59	17	1	13	47	112	7	2	0	176	289	348	637	173	215	28	12	289	82	-9	+0	—	—	+9	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	163	148	27	5	3	5	9	42	4	2	0	182	248	358	607	176	216	26	6	268	68	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2021	19	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	125	116	20	3	0	8	8	38	1	0	1	172	234	405	639	233	171	30	6	267	67	-5	-0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2021	19	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	326	293	63	16	2	14	24	110	8	4	1	215	292	427	719	212	281	34	7	305	93	-3	+0	—	—	+7	0.5
2022	20	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	492	445	70	11	0	22	31	169	12	6	3	157	232	330	562	173	184	34	6	245	52	-28	+0	—	—	+11	-1.8
2023	21	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	246	219	46	13	1	8	18	81	2	2	0	210	276	388	664	178	261	33	7	288	81	-6	+0	—	—	+5	0.0
2023	21	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	292	262	48	8	1	14	24	76	2	0	0	183	257	382	639	198	192	26	8	281	76	-8	+0	—	—	+6	-0.2
2024	22	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	319	292	63	16	1	12	17	91	8	0	0	216	278	401	678	185	264	29	5	293	84	-6	+0	—	—	+7	0.1
2025	23	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	394	351	47	12	1	10	33	136	7	2	0	134	223	259	482	125	174	35	8	219	34	-31	+0	—	—	+9	-2.2
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	163	148	27	5	3	5	9	42	4	2	0	182	248	358	607	176	214	26	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	GCL Blue Jays	—	163	142	39	8	5	7	14	29	4	2	0	275	354	549	903	275	296	18	9	385	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	451	408	83	19	2	22	32	148	9	4	2	203	276	422	698	218	254	33	7	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	451	395	103	26	2	28	43	113	9	4	2	261	345	549	895	289	293	25	10	386	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	492	445	70	11	0	22	31	169	12	6	3	157	232	330	562	173	186	34	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	492	433	88	15	0	30	40	140	12	6	3	203	287	446	733	242	217	28	8	320	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	576	513	101	22	2	24	45	168	6	2	0	197	270	388	657	191	231	29	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA RAW	3 teams	—	576	480	116	27	2	28	70	136	6	2	0	242	340	481	822	240	268	24	12	352	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	336	308	67	17	1	13	18	96	8	0	1	218	278	406	684	188	269	29	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	336	295	77	19	1	18	30	83	8	0	1	261	344	515	860	254	301	25	9	374	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	394	351	47	12	1	10	33	136	7	2	0	134	223	259	482	125	178	35	8	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	—	394	336	59	17	1	13	47	112	7	2	0	176	289	348	637	173	215	28	12	289	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	163	149	27	5	3	5	9	42	4	2	0	181	248	356	604	174	216	26	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	451	407	83	19	2	22	32	148	9	4	2	204	276	423	699	219	251	33	7	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	492	446	70	11	0	22	31	169	12	6	3	157	232	330	561	173	184	34	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	576	520	101	22	2	24	45	168	6	2	0	194	270	383	652	188	224	29	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	336	307	67	17	1	13	18	96	8	0	1	218	278	407	686	189	264	29	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	394	351	47	12	1	10	33	136	7	2	0	134	223	259	482	125	174	35	8	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	576	520	101	22	2	24	45	168	6	2	0	194	270	383	652	188	224	29	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	336	307	67	17	1	13	18	96	8	0	1	218	278	407	686	189	264	29	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	394	351	47	12	1	10	33	136	7	2	0	134	223	259	482	125	174	35	8	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	24	MLB MLE	TOR	10%	26	24	4	1	0	1	2	8	0	0	0	167	231	333	564	167	247	31	8	274	71	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	24	MLB CTX	TOR	10%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						248	33	0	262	71	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TOR	28%	368	331	66	15	1	13	28	114	6	2	0	199	274	369	643	169	253	31	8	285	79	-9	+0	-1	+1	+8	-0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	TOR	38%	406	366	74	16	1	15	31	123	6	2	0	202	275	374	650	172	256	30	8	292	84	-8	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	TOR	42%	419	377	77	17	1	15	33	125	6	2	0	204	279	374	653	170	258	30	8	294	85	-8	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	TOR	45%	424	381	77	17	1	15	34	127	6	2	0	202	278	370	648	168	258	30	8	293	85	-8	+0	-2	+2	+9	0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	TOR	45%	420	377	77	17	1	15	34	126	6	2	0	204	281	374	655	170	257	30	8	292	83	-8	+0	-3	+1	+9	0.0
2032	30	MLB MLE	TOR	46%	414	372	75	16	1	15	33	125	6	2	0	202	277	371	648	169	256	30	8	289	82	-9	+0	-3	+1	+9	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	TOR	28%	102	91	18	4	0	4	8	32	2	1	0	198	277	374	651	176	254	31	8	274	79	-3	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	TOR	38%	153	138	29	6	1	6	12	46	2	1	0	210	283	399	681	188	257	30	8	281	84	-3	+0	-0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	TOR	42%	177	158	33	7	1	7	14	53	3	1	0	209	286	399	684	190	259	30	8	283	85	-3	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	TOR	45%	190	170	36	8	1	7	15	57	3	1	0	212	287	394	681	182	260	30	8	283	85	-3	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	TOR	45%	190	170	35	7	1	7	15	57	3	1	0	206	282	382	664	176	259	30	8	281	83	-4	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.0
2032	30	MLB CTX	TOR	46%	189	169	35	7	1	7	15	57	3	1	0	207	283	385	668	178	257	30	8	279	82	-4	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1001	896	186	39	5	38	79	302	16	6	0	208	284	390	673	182	263	30	8	281	75	-20	+1	-5	+4	+22	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	121	25	3	25	51	196	10	4	0	208	283	390	673	182	263	30	8	281	75	-13	+1	-3	+2	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4889	4401	845	185	15	185	363	1507	82	28	6	192	266	367	633	175	240	31	7	279	75	-50	+2	-11	+9	+54	0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	113	25	2	25	48	200	11	4	1	193	267	371	638	178	241	31	7	279	75	-13	+1	-3	+2	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.6	1,033	37	5	203	276	376	+4	-2	1.2	1.2
/162	664	24	4	+2.4	-1.3	0.8	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Orelvis Martinez (OGILVIE)	24	40	60	45	30	187/260/347	159	247	11	2	32%	7%	71	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johan Mieses 2019 · AA	24	32→33	50→55	44→50	34	183/230/332	148	250	19	3	35%	4%	55	-1.9	198/257/347	149	251	20	6	30%	6%	69	-0.9	191/265/355	164	235	23	7	30%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Rodolfo Castro 2022 · MLB	23	38→41	52→55	45→50	37	209/253/371	163	268	21	8	31%	5%	73	-0.6	213/276/359	146	284	18	8	30%	7%	79	-0.2	203/272/345	142	266	17	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Travis Demeritte 2019 · AA	24	36→44	49→55	47→50	40	191/253/337	146	276	16	7	36%	7%	65	-1.2	213/279/374	161	310	18	8	35%	8%	83	+0.1	205/271/367	162	301	19	9	36%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Lucas May 2009 · AA	24	38→43	49→55	46→45	38	203/250/353	149	262	17	6	30%	5%	67	-1.1	218/272/352	134	287	14	6	28%	6%	75	-0.5	214/273/345	131	281	14	4	28%	6%	72	-0.4
✕J.P. Arencibia 2010 · AAA	24	39→47	52→60	41→30	36	213/245/374	161	260	20	2	28%	3%	70	-0.8	220/268/418	198	262	26	2	27%	6%	90	+0.6	220/274/435	214	255	29	1	27%	6%	93	+0.6
✕Chad Hermansen 2002 · MLB	24	41→43	48→55	44→50	39	212/257/349	137	277	16	6	30%	6%	69	-0.9	219/283/372	153	294	17	12	30%	8%	84	+0.1	208/268/334	127	292	14	14	32%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Renato Núñez 2018 · MLB	24	35→45	56→60	46→30	38	202/249/382	180	245	25	3	30%	5%	74	-0.5	233/293/405	172	288	22	3	27%	7%	96	+1.0	229/300/429	200	270	28	1	26%	7%	102	+1.0
✕Jason Vosler 2019 · AAA	25	38→44	49→55	44→40	40	202/266/349	147	267	17	2	31%	6%	73	-0.6	217/281/382	165	281	20	3	29%	7%	86	+0.3	213/279/377	164	265	21	3	28%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Eric Haase 2017 · AA	24	35→42	49→60	41→40	35	187/241/337	151	281	16	3	39%	6%	61	-1.5	195/250/367	172	282	22	4	38%	6%	71	-0.8	217/276/424	207	286	30	2	35%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Tom Murphy 2016 · MLB	25	38	51→65	44→45	37	202/256/361	159	280	19	6	35%	6%	72	-0.7	208/253/375	167	306	19	5	37%	5%	74	-0.6	247/319/462	215	314	30	2	30%	9%	117	+1.1
✕Brandon Barnes 2011 · AAA	25	39→49	50→55	47→50	35	206/248/362	155	279	19	8	33%	5%	68	-1.0	221/269/359	138	295	14	13	29%	5%	76	-0.4	243/288/366	124	328	11	16	28%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Rodolfo Durán 2023 · AAA	25	37	48→50	47→45	37	199/236/338	139	252	16	4	28%	4%	59	-1.7	221/264/365	144	279	16	5	26%	5%	75	-0.5	225/268/375	150	277	17	3	25%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Aristides Aquino 2019 · AA	25	36→41	49→60	45→50	37	197/242/346	149	259	17	7	32%	5%	63	-1.4	221/283/428	207	273	30	10	31%	7%	98	+1.2	212/278/428	216	266	32	9	33%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Brandon Waring 2010 · AA	24	40→39	52→55	44→40	36	210/267/377	167	297	21	3	36%	6%	80	-0.2	199/261/358	159	289	19	2	36%	6%	74	-0.6	188/255/349	161	272	19	1	37%	6%	66	-0.9
✕Gabriel Quintana 2017 · AA	24	39→43	50→55	42→45	32	207/235/359	152	280	18	4	33%	3%	63	-1.4	202/236/338	136	292	15	4	35%	3%	58	-1.7	190/221/323	133	274	15	1	36%	3%	48	-1.3
✕Ruben Cardenas 2023 · AAA	25	38→43	54→55	45→50	38	210/258/381	171	273	24	9	33%	6%	77	-0.3	218/278/375	157	279	19	11	28%	6%	83	+0.1	215/279/370	155	270	19	11	27%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Sandro Fabian 2022 · AA	24	43→46	51→55	47→45	38	228/264/380	152	266	20	4	24%	4%	79	-0.2	225/270/388	163	256	20	5	21%	4%	83	+0.1	223/272/387	164	251	20	4	20%	5%	81	-0.1
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA	24	37→40	46→55	48→45	41	194/258/325	131	264	14	9	32%	7%	64	-1.3	204/278/363	159	283	19	5	33%	8%	81	-0.1	216/279/422	206	274	28	2	32%	7%	93	+0.4
✕Mike Bianucci 2012 · AA	26	38→40	51→60	44→40	37	206/250/363	157	260	20	4	30%	4%	70	-0.9	222/267/387	165	273	22	4	27%	5%	82	-0.0	226/265/420	194	260	28	2	25%	4%	87	+0.2
✕Mike Hernandez 2008 · AA	24	42→39	51→55	43→30	40	219/264/376	157	276	19	3	28%	5%	78	-0.3	223/270/367	144	291	16	4	28%	6%	78	-0.3	189/237/341	152	264	11	1	32%	4%	57	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps