Orelvis Martinez

Orelvis Martinez2B Buffalo Bisons

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 200 lbs AAA HR +12%BB +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.8 · 2028

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .271 / .376

PA320

HR12

K%31

BB%8

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35↗40

PWR

60→60

SPD

45→45

FLD

40↗45

EYE

46↘30

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.0peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$3M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$3M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2031	Arb-3	$1M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.6M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	+0.1	$0.5M	-$0.1M
Totals		$6M		$15M	+$10M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	163	148	27	5	3	5	9	42	4	2	0	.182	.248	.358	.607	.176	.214	26	6	.268	63	-7	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2021	19	A	2 teams	451	407	86	19	2	24	33	145	9	4	2	.211	.285	.445	.730	.233	.258	32	7	.306	92	-4	+0	+0	+2	+13	1.1
2022	20	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	492	446	72	11	0	24	30	178	12	6	3	.161	.234	.348	.581	.186	.194	36	6	.254	53	-26	+0	+0	+2	+14	-1.1
2023	21	AA	3 teams	576	512	105	22	2	28	46	172	6	2	0	.205	.278	.420	.698	.215	.238	30	8	.298	86	-9	+0	+0	+2	+16	1.0
2024	22	AAA	2 teams	336	308	68	16	1	15	18	96	8	0	1	.221	.281	.425	.707	.205	.266	29	5	.306	92	-3	-0	-1	+1	+10	0.7
2025	23	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	394	351	50	12	1	13	33	136	7	2	0	.142	.230	.293	.524	.151	.180	35	8	.231	35	-29	+0	+0	+1	+11	-1.6
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	TOR	320	288	58	13	1	12	24	99	5	2	0	.201	.274	.378	.653	.177	.255	31	8	.290	80	-7	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 19%	TOR	368	331	68	15	1	14	29	111	5	2	0	.205	.279	.384	.663	.178	.260	30	8	.299	87	-5	+0	-2	+1	+10	0.5
2028	26	MLB 27%	TOR	406	364	77	17	1	16	33	120	6	2	0	.212	.288	.396	.683	.184	.264	30	8	.304	91	-4	+0	-2	+1	+12	0.8
2029	27	MLB 36%	TOR	419	376	80	17	1	17	34	122	6	2	0	.213	.288	.399	.687	.186	.265	29	8	.305	92	-4	+0	-2	+1	+12	0.8
2030	28	MLB 41%	TOR	424	380	81	17	1	17	35	124	6	1	0	.213	.290	.397	.687	.184	.266	29	8	.305	91	-4	+0	-2	+2	+12	0.7
2031	29	MLB 44%	TOR	420	376	79	17	1	16	35	124	6	1	0	.210	.288	.388	.676	.178	.265	30	8	.303	90	-5	+0	-3	+1	+12	0.6
2032	30	MLB 48%	TOR	414	370	77	16	1	16	35	124	6	0	0	.208	.287	.386	.674	.178	.263	30	8	.299	87	-6	+0	-4	+1	+12	0.4
2033	31	MLB 50%	TOR	401	358	74	16	1	15	34	121	6	0	0	.207	.286	.383	.669	.176	.261	30	8	.296	84	-7	+0	-4	+1	+11	0.1
2034	32	MLB 55%	TOR	384	344	70	15	1	14	32	118	5	0	0	.203	.281	.375	.656	.172	.260	31	8	.291	81	-8	+0	-5	+1	+11	-0.1
2035	33	MLB 59%	TOR	355	318	62	13	1	12	29	112	5	0	0	.195	.273	.355	.628	.160	.257	32	8	.285	76	-9	+0	-6	+1	+10	-0.4
2036	34	MLB 62%	TOR	311	278	53	11	1	10	26	101	4	0	0	.191	.269	.345	.615	.155	.255	32	8	.278	71	-10	+0	-6	+1	+9	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6634	5955	1187	252	20	268	515	2045	106	26	6	.199	.275	.383	.658	.184	.249	31	8	.290	80	-148	+3	-38	+24	+188	2.9
/ 162G	—			650	583	116	25	2	26	50	200	10	3	1	.199	.273	.383	.656	.184	.249	31	8	.290	80	-15	+0	-4	+2	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	163	142	39	8	5	7	14	29	4	2	0	.275	.354	.549	.903	.275	.296	18	9	.385	153	+10	+0	—	—	+5	1.5
2021	19	A+	Vancouver Canadians	125	112	24	4	0	9	10	28	1	0	1	.214	.282	.491	.773	.277	.197	22	8	.332	112	+2	-0	—	—	+4	0.5
2021	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	326	283	79	22	2	19	33	85	8	4	1	.279	.369	.572	.942	.293	.333	26	10	.406	169	+25	+0	—	—	+9	3.6
2022	20	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	492	433	88	15	0	30	40	140	12	6	3	.203	.287	.446	.733	.242	.217	28	8	.320	103	+2	+0	—	—	+14	1.6
2023	21	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	246	209	55	16	1	11	26	66	2	2	0	.263	.347	.507	.854	.244	.317	27	11	.362	135	+10	+0	—	—	+7	1.8
2023	21	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	292	239	54	9	1	17	41	60	2	0	0	.226	.337	.485	.822	.259	.223	21	14	.353	128	+9	+0	—	—	+8	1.8
2023	21	INTL	Tigres del Licey	38	32	7	2	0	0	3	10	2	0	0	.219	.324	.281	.606	.062	.304	26	8	.280	73	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	22	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	319	281	75	19	1	17	27	76	8	0	0	.267	.347	.523	.870	.256	.305	24	8	.378	147	+17	+0	—	—	+9	2.7
2024	22	INTL	Tigres del Licey	17	14	2	0	0	1	3	7	0	0	1	.143	.294	.357	.651	.214	.167	41	18	.299	87	-0	-0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2025	23	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	394	336	59	17	1	13	47	112	7	2	0	.176	.289	.348	.637	.173	.215	28	12	.289	79	-9	+0	—	—	+11	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Orelvis Martinez (OGILVIE)	24	35→40	60	45	30	.199/.271/.376	.178	.255	12	2	31%	8%	80	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Renato Núñez 2018 · MLB	24	35→45	55→60	47→30	38	.202/.247/.376	.175	.244	24	3	30%	5%	69	-0.4	.234/.292/.409	.175	.289	23	3	27%	7%	96	+1.5	.238/.308/.452	.215	.278	31	1	26%	7%	111	+1.7
●Tom Murphy 2015 · AA	24	39→35	51→65	43→45	40	.206/.270/.367	.161	.283	20	5	34%	6%	76	+0.0	.210/.257/.382	.172	.299	21	5	36%	5%	74	-0.1	.244/.316/.459	.215	.308	30	2	30%	9%	117	+1.2
✕J.P. Arencibia 2010 · AAA	24	40→47	52→60	42→30	36	.217/.248/.382	.165	.265	21	2	28%	3%	70	-0.3	.217/.265/.409	.192	.260	25	2	27%	5%	85	+0.7	.218/.271/.424	.206	.254	28	1	27%	6%	87	+0.6
✕Michael Chavis 2019 · AAA	23	42→47	53→60	48→45	37	.224/.274/.396	.171	.292	22	5	31%	5%	85	+0.7	.238/.294/.423	.185	.320	25	6	32%	6%	100	+1.7	.232/.288/.419	.186	.309	26	5	33%	6%	93	+0.7
✕Rodolfo Castro 2022 · MLB	23	37→42	53→55	45→50	36	.206/.249/.375	.169	.268	22	7	32%	5%	69	-0.4	.216/.278/.374	.158	.286	20	8	31%	7%	81	+0.4	.207/.276/.361	.154	.269	19	11	30%	7%	74	-0.1
✕Eric Haase 2018 · AA	25	36→41	55→65	45→40	37	.198/.258/.386	.188	.291	23	5	40%	7%	76	+0.0	.200/.252/.383	.183	.288	24	4	38%	6%	72	-0.2	.218/.277/.437	.219	.284	32	2	35%	7%	94	+0.9
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2008 · AA	24	37→47	54→55	51→50	42	.207/.268/.381	.174	.255	23	10	29%	7%	79	+0.3	.212/.262/.374	.162	.265	19	10	27%	5%	74	-0.1	.240/.297/.413	.174	.280	20	7	22%	7%	94	+0.9
✕Chris Wallace 2012 · AA	24	43→39	53→60	43→45	37	.226/.278/.395	.169	.291	21	4	30%	5%	86	+0.8	.219/.270/.345	.126	.313	13	4	33%	5%	69	-0.4	.218/.268/.316	.098	.333	9	3	35%	5%	58	-0.5
●Jo Adell 2023 · MLB	24	40→44	54→65	47→50	35	.212/.262/.389	.176	.300	22	9	36%	5%	78	+0.2	.217/.279/.423	.206	.277	28	12	32%	7%	95	+1.4	.218/.285/.446	.228	.252	34	12	29%	7%	101	+1.4
✕Brandon Wood 2010 · MLB	25	41→45	54→65	47→50	41	.220/.270/.396	.176	.272	23	7	29%	6%	83	+0.6	.200/.244/.327	.127	.261	16	4	29%	5%	53	-1.5	.195/.239/.297	.102	.259	11	1	29%	5%	40	-1.3
✕Travis Demeritte 2020 · MLB	25	39→43	52→60	46→50	41	.206/.270/.376	.170	.289	20	7	35%	8%	78	+0.2	.215/.278/.388	.173	.317	21	9	37%	8%	85	+0.7	.197/.256/.365	.168	.292	22	12	39%	7%	65	-0.3
✕Brandon Waring 2010 · AA	24	40→41	53→55	45→40	36	.212/.268/.379	.168	.298	21	3	36%	6%	79	+0.3	.201/.264/.366	.165	.296	20	2	37%	6%	73	-0.1	.190/.258/.361	.171	.278	21	1	38%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Devin Mann 2022 · AA	25	40→45	51→55	43→45	43	.211/.284/.372	.161	.275	19	7	30%	7%	83	+0.6	.217/.298/.374	.157	.285	17	5	29%	9%	89	+1.0	.215/.298/.370	.155	.281	18	3	29%	9%	85	+0.5
✕Joey Bart 2020 · AA	23	43	52→50	45→40	38	.228/.270/.393	.165	.288	21	7	29%	5%	82	+0.5	.229/.283/.369	.140	.329	16	5	34%	5%	81	+0.4	.234/.323/.349	.115	.320	13	1	28%	9%	90	+0.6
✕Ruben Cardenas 2022 · AA	24	43→42	52→55	44→50	37	.226/.265/.383	.157	.294	21	7	31%	5%	77	+0.1	.217/.272/.395	.178	.282	24	9	31%	6%	84	+0.6	.208/.272/.388	.180	.257	24	10	29%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Ryan Casteel 2015 · AA	24	44→47	52→55	44→40	41	.230/.277/.394	.164	.289	21	4	28%	6%	85	+0.7	.225/.264/.353	.128	.308	14	5	30%	5%	68	-0.5	.194/.252/.386	.191	.248	28	0	34%	6%	69	-0.2
●Shea Langeliers 2022 · AA	24	40→48	58→65	47→45	37	.222/.268/.412	.190	.284	28	4	33%	5%	87	+0.8	.221/.280/.418	.197	.277	27	5	30%	7%	93	+1.3	.254/.314/.505	.250	.279	37	6	24%	7%	126	+2.3
✕Lucas May 2009 · AA	24	38→42	51→55	47→45	37	.204/.249/.361	.157	.263	19	7	31%	5%	65	-0.7	.216/.269/.355	.139	.287	15	6	29%	6%	72	-0.2	.211/.270/.344	.132	.280	15	4	29%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Welington Castillo 2012 · MLB	25	40→50	53→60	42→30	38	.218/.263/.387	.169	.267	22	3	28%	5%	78	+0.2	.243/.313/.392	.149	.309	18	3	26%	8%	100	+1.7	.256/.312/.443	.187	.311	26	1	26%	7%	109	+1.6
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2022 · AAA	24	44	51→55	46→45	37	.231/.266/.389	.158	.274	18	5	24%	3%	79	+0.3	.225/.268/.384	.159	.265	21	3	24%	4%	79	+0.3	.217/.266/.366	.149	.249	21	1	22%	5%	71	-0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)