Ruben Cardenas — OGILVIE

Ruben CardenasOF Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 28 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs AAA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†98

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%25

BB%5

BABIP290

ISO211

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER57

scouting grade only

EYE37

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	20	ROK	AZL Indians 1	—	152	130	39	13	3	0	18	19	3	3	0	300	397	446	844	146	351	12	12	376	140	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.1
2019	21	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	481	431	117	24	7	13	40	90	5	11	10	271	340	450	790	179	313	19	8	347	121	+12	-2	—	—	+10	2.1
2021	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	309	290	76	9	3	15	12	84	3	3	3	262	298	469	767	207	313	27	4	332	111	+4	-1	—	—	+7	1.0
2021	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	132	117	43	4	0	10	12	31	1	3	1	368	431	658	1.089	291	423	23	9	464	200	+16	+0	—	—	+3	1.9
2022	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	318	284	59	14	2	16	32	93	1	5	4	208	290	440	730	232	244	29	10	321	103	+1	-1	—	—	+7	0.8
2022	24	ROK	FCL Rays	—	18	13	8	0	0	3	4	0	1	2	0	615	722	1.308	2.030	692	500	0	22	794	423	+7	+0	—	—	+0	0.8
2023	25	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	550	476	128	26	3	22	62	145	7	8	12	269	361	475	836	206	338	26	11	367	135	+23	-3	—	—	+12	3.2
2023	25	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	18	17	7	2	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	412	444	706	1.150	294	400	6	6	498	223	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2024	26	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	322	289	80	17	1	20	22	56	9	10	4	277	347	550	897	273	279	17	7	388	149	+19	+0	—	—	+7	2.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	20	ROK MLE	AZL Indians 1	—	152	137	29	9	2	0	11	27	3	3	0	212	285	307	591	95	267	18	7	265	65	-6	+1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2019	21	A MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	481	446	92	16	5	8	25	130	5	11	10	206	256	318	575	112	264	27	5	251	56	-25	-2	—	—	+10	-1.7
2021	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	309	294	62	7	3	12	8	106	3	3	3	211	239	378	617	167	267	34	3	257	60	-15	-1	—	—	+7	-0.9
2021	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	132	121	36	3	0	8	8	41	1	3	1	298	346	521	867	223	366	31	6	372	138	+6	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2022	24	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	318	295	44	10	1	10	21	112	1	5	4	149	208	292	500	142	197	35	7	224	38	-24	-1	—	—	+7	-1.8
2022	24	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	18	14	8	0	0	3	3	0	1	2	0	571	667	1.214	1.881	643	385	0	17	676	344	+5	+0	—	—	+0	0.6
2023	25	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	550	496	103	20	3	13	42	173	7	8	12	208	279	339	618	131	280	31	8	273	71	-19	-3	—	—	+12	-1.1
2024	26	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	322	297	69	15	1	14	14	66	9	10	4	232	287	431	718	199	246	20	4	308	95	-2	+0	—	—	+7	0.5
2018	20	ROK MLE	AZL Indians 1	—	152	137	29	9	2	0	11	27	3	3	0	212	285	307	591	95	264	18	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	ROK RAW	AZL Indians 1	—	152	130	39	13	3	0	18	19	3	3	0	300	397	446	844	146	351	12	12	376	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	481	446	92	16	5	8	25	130	5	11	10	206	256	318	575	112	269	27	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	481	431	117	24	7	13	40	90	5	11	10	271	340	450	790	179	313	19	8	347	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	441	415	97	9	3	20	16	146	4	6	4	234	269	414	683	181	302	33	4	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	441	407	119	13	3	25	24	115	4	6	4	292	338	523	861	231	344	26	5	371	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	336	309	52	10	1	13	24	112	2	7	4	168	233	333	566	165	211	33	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	336	297	67	14	2	19	36	93	2	7	4	226	313	478	792	253	258	28	11	346	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	568	512	107	21	3	14	44	178	7	9	12	209	281	344	624	135	286	31	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	568	493	135	28	3	23	63	146	7	9	12	274	364	483	847	209	340	26	11	372	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	322	297	69	15	1	14	14	66	9	10	4	232	287	431	718	199	251	20	4	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	322	289	80	17	1	20	22	56	9	10	4	277	347	550	897	273	279	17	7	388	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	ROK MLE	AZL Indians 1	—	152	137	29	9	2	0	11	27	3	3	0	212	285	307	591	95	267	18	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	481	448	92	16	5	8	25	130	5	11	10	205	256	317	573	112	264	27	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	441	418	97	9	3	20	16	146	4	6	4	232	269	411	680	179	297	33	4	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	336	307	52	10	1	13	24	112	2	7	4	169	233	336	568	166	207	33	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	568	512	107	21	3	14	44	178	7	9	12	209	281	344	624	135	280	31	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	322	296	69	15	1	14	14	66	9	10	4	233	287	432	720	199	246	20	4	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	568	512	107	21	3	14	44	178	7	9	12	209	281	344	624	135	280	31	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	322	296	69	15	1	14	14	66	9	10	4	233	287	432	720	199	246	20	4	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	PHI	10%	20	19	5	1	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	263	300	474	774	211	287	25	5	314	98	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.5
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	28	MLB CTX	PHI	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						290	0	0	307	98	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	PHI	33%	319	290	69	14	1	11	20	79	6	6	3	238	301	407	708	169	287	25	6	313	98	-1	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.3
2028	30	MLB MLE	PHI	46%	340	309	73	15	1	11	22	84	6	6	3	236	300	398	698	162	286	25	6	311	97	-1	+0	-2	-2	+7	0.2
2029	31	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	339	308	72	14	1	11	22	84	6	5	3	234	298	393	690	159	284	25	6	308	94	-2	-0	-3	-2	+7	0.0
2027	29	MLB CTX	PHI	33%	104	94	23	5	0	4	7	26	2	2	1	245	311	426	736	181	290	25	7	307	98	-0	+0	-0	-1	+2	0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	PHI	46%	156	142	35	7	1	6	10	39	3	3	2	246	310	437	746	190	289	25	6	305	97	-1	-0	-1	-1	+3	0.1
2029	31	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	182	165	40	8	1	6	12	45	3	3	2	242	306	412	718	170	287	25	7	302	94	-1	-0	-2	-1	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	442	401	98	20	2	16	29	110	8	8	5	244	308	424	732	180	295	25	7	304	79	-2	-0	-3	-3	+10	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	144	29	3	24	43	162	12	12	7	244	309	425	734	181	294	25	7	304	79	-3	-1	-4	-4	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3318	3042	665	124	18	103	199	911	48	63	43	219	277	373	650	154	274	27	6	284	79	-4	-0	-6	-6	+22	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	130	24	4	20	39	178	9	12	8	218	276	372	649	154	273	27	6	284	79	-3	-0	-4	-4	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Franmil Reyeslast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,078 PA	3.1	2,078	108	6	249	310	464	-22	-18	5.5	5.5
/162	664	35	2	-7.1	-5.7	1.8	pk7: 6
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Craig Monroelast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,898 PA	4.4	2,898	114	19	253	302	443	-28	-32	3.8	4.3
/162	664	26	4	-6.5	-7.4	0.9	pk7: 5
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Nomar Mazaralast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,690 PA	4.1	2,690	85	7	256	315	414	-29	-21	3.7	3.7
/162	664	21	2	-7.1	-5.3	0.9	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.7	467	15	8	237	297	403	-3	+0	0.7	0.7
/162	664	22	11	-4.0	+0.0	1.0	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ruben Cardenas (OGILVIE)	28	54	57	53	37	237/297/407	170	287	9	5	25%	6%	98	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alex Guerrero 2015 · AAA	28	49	54→60	55→45	40	252/291/435	183	295	21	9	23%	4%	101	+1.4	230/267/396	166	271	21	8	24%	4%	84	+0.1	232/262/427	196	265	28	3	25%	3%	89	+0.2
✕Chris Heisey 2013 · MLB	28	49→52	51→55	50→55	43	251/306/410	159	303	18	10	24%	6%	101	+1.4	225/283/381	156	268	18	10	23%	6%	86	+0.3	195/274/369	174	227	23	8	26%	9%	78	-0.1
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2012 · MLB	28	46→48	51→55	51→50	44	238/289/395	158	283	19	14	24%	6%	91	+0.7	235/295/393	158	283	18	7	23%	7%	93	+0.8	226/292/383	157	272	17	3	23%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Josh Fields 2012 · MLB	29	51→56	53→55	51→50	45	260/315/437	177	318	20	12	24%	7%	111	+2.1	247/294/366	119	339	11	11	28%	6%	86	+0.3	247/292/352	104	342	8	9	29%	6%	81	-0.1
✕Mike Brosseau 2022 · MLB	28	43→53	51→50	50→45	45	223/301/382	160	285	19	7	28%	8%	94	+0.9	221/297/363	142	286	19	6	28%	8%	88	+0.4	215/291/338	122	274	18	3	27%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Marshall McDougall 2007 · MLB	28	50→56	50	53→45	46	252/308/410	159	314	18	11	25%	8%	102	+1.5	234/270/380	146	266	17	6	19%	5%	80	-0.1	264/312/415	151	286	19	7	15%	6%	102	+0.9
✕Mikie Mahtook 2018 · MLB	28	50→54	48→55	54→50	42	248/298/398	151	310	15	10	25%	5%	95	+1.0	220/284/383	163	280	20	12	28%	7%	87	+0.4	198/261/357	159	248	21	12	29%	7%	71	-0.6
✕Jeff Baker 2009 · MLB	28	49→51	52→55	53→45	45	251/307/426	175	312	20	7	26%	7%	105	+1.7	262/317/408	146	326	14	5	23%	7%	104	+1.6	270/321/402	131	336	10	2	22%	7%	103	+0.6
✕Tyrone Taylor 2022 · MLB	28	48→52	55→60	53→55	46	249/315/441	192	291	23	10	23%	7%	112	+2.2	242/296/437	195	287	22	12	24%	6%	104	+1.6	237/288/427	190	284	20	14	24%	5%	97	+0.6
✕Chris Aguila 2006 · MLB	27	51→54	50→55	51→50	45	256/300/415	159	300	17	14	21%	6%	100	+1.3	246/294/386	140	306	15	12	24%	6%	91	+0.6	240/292/385	145	298	18	11	25%	6%	87	+0.2
✕Jayson Nix 2011 · MLB	28	43→49	54→55	46→55	46	230/296/403	173	266	22	10	23%	7%	97	+1.1	217/283/355	138	276	15	13	26%	7%	80	-0.1	209/278/323	114	277	11	18	27%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Mario Lisson 2012 · AAA	28	45→49	50	51→55	39	229/279/384	155	301	18	16	30%	6%	86	+0.3	229/294/376	147	289	16	15	26%	7%	89	+0.5	230/303/360	129	300	15	8	27%	8%	88	+0.3
●Alex Liddi 2017 · AAA	28	46→56	49→55	50	38	229/271/384	155	312	16	10	31%	5%	82	-0.0	222/271/380	158	299	20	9	31%	6%	82	-0.0	216/269/378	162	286	22	8	32%	6%	79	-0.1
●Harrison Bader 2022 · MLB	28	49→56	56→55	50→55	48	252/326/450	198	301	24	14	24%	8%	118	+2.7	242/292/377	135	285	15	24	20%	6%	88	+0.5	245/306/402	157	304	19	16	25%	6%	98	+0.7
✕Mike Wilson 2011 · AAA	28	40→50	54→55	50	45	215/292/386	171	275	23	12	30%	8%	91	+0.7	231/299/387	156	309	19	8	30%	8%	94	+0.9	230/297/379	149	312	17	4	30%	7%	88	+0.2
✕Brian Goodwin 2019 · MLB	28	46→52	51→60	50	45	234/296/398	164	301	19	12	28%	8%	95	+0.9	239/310/419	180	314	20	11	29%	9%	105	+1.7	232/309/408	176	302	19	9	28%	10%	98	+0.7
✕Cheslor Cuthbert 2021 · MLB	28	47→56	49→50	46→45	44	239/292/387	147	287	17	4	23%	6%	91	+0.6	213/284/364	151	257	18	6	24%	8%	83	+0.1	177/257/321	144	205	18	1	24%	8%	60	-0.9
✕Tim Beckham 2018 · MLB	28	52→55	52→55	46→50	42	257/308/425	167	340	19	7	30%	6%	105	+1.7	241/296/412	171	310	21	5	28%	7%	98	+1.2	254/304/433	180	332	23	3	30%	6%	103	+0.6
✕Emmanuel Rivera 2023 · MLB	27	46→56	52→55	48→45	45	239/296/410	171	284	20	6	24%	7%	97	+1.1	245/305/367	122	302	12	5	22%	7%	91	+0.6	249/309/339	90	313	8	4	22%	7%	83	+0.1
●Juan Encarnacion 2004 · MLB	28	52→58	52→55	51→50	49	263/312/436	173	283	19	17	15%	6%	109	+2.0	263/318/430	167	291	18	9	16%	7%	110	+2.1	265/321/428	163	294	18	6	16%	6%	106	+1.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps