Ruben CardenasOF
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 28
R/R
6'1" / 185 lbs
AAA
HR +11%H +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.5 · 2026
wRC+†99
AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .296 / .411
PA250
HR10
SB5
K%26
BB%7
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
53→53
PWR
63→63
SPD
53→53
EYE
37→37
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.2 | $0.9M | +$0.0M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $0.7M | $-1M | -$2M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | AZL Indians 1 | 152 | 137 | 29 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .212 | .285 | .307 | .591 | .095 | .264 | 18 | 7 | .265 | 61 | -7 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.3 |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 481 | 446 | 94 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 122 | 5 | 11 | 10 | .211 | .261 | .323 | .583 | .112 | .269 | 25 | 5 | .255 | 53 | -25 | -2 | +0 | -3 | +14 | -1.7 |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | 2 teams | 441 | 415 | 97 | 10 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 153 | 4 | 6 | 4 | .234 | .269 | .427 | .695 | .193 | .305 | 35 | 4 | .298 | 86 | -7 | -0 | +0 | -3 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | 2 teams | 336 | 309 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 16 | 24 | 112 | 2 | 7 | 4 | .178 | .242 | .372 | .614 | .194 | .214 | 33 | 7 | .263 | 60 | -15 | -0 | +0 | -2 | +10 | -0.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | 2 teams | 568 | 512 | 110 | 21 | 3 | 17 | 44 | 178 | 7 | 9 | 12 | .215 | .286 | .367 | .653 | .152 | .289 | 31 | 8 | .283 | 75 | -16 | -3 | +0 | -3 | +16 | -0.7 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 322 | 297 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 17 | 14 | 66 | 9 | 10 | 4 | .239 | .294 | .465 | .758 | .226 | .250 | 20 | 4 | .323 | 105 | +2 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +9 | 1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 250 | 228 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 66 | 4 | 5 | 3 | .232 | .294 | .417 | .711 | .184 | .284 | 26 | 6 | .315 | 99 | -0 | -0 | +0 | -2 | +7 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 20% | PHI | 319 | 289 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 84 | 5 | 5 | 4 | .232 | .297 | .408 | .706 | .176 | .284 | 26 | 7 | .314 | 98 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -2 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 33% | PHI | 340 | 308 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 90 | 5 | 5 | 4 | .231 | .297 | .399 | .696 | .169 | .284 | 26 | 7 | .312 | 97 | -1 | -1 | -2 | -2 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 43% | PHI | 339 | 307 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 90 | 5 | 3 | 3 | .231 | .298 | .401 | .698 | .169 | .283 | 27 | 7 | .309 | 94 | -2 | -1 | -3 | -2 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 52% | PHI | 329 | 298 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 89 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .225 | .291 | .386 | .677 | .161 | .282 | 27 | 7 | .304 | 91 | -3 | -1 | -4 | -2 | +9 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 64% | PHI | 305 | 276 | 62 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 84 | 5 | 1 | 2 | .225 | .291 | .384 | .675 | .159 | .281 | 28 | 7 | .299 | 87 | -5 | -1 | -4 | -2 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 81% | PHI | 265 | 241 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 76 | 4 | 0 | 1 | .216 | .281 | .365 | .647 | .149 | .279 | 29 | 7 | .292 | 82 | -5 | -0 | -5 | -2 | +8 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4447 | 4063 | 899 | 166 | 21 | 155 | 282 | 1237 | 63 | 67 | 54 | .221 | .282 | .387 | .669 | .166 | .275 | 28 | 6 | .294 | 83 | -86 | -8 | -19 | -27 | +126 | -1.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 594 | 131 | 24 | 3 | 23 | 41 | 181 | 9 | 10 | 8 | .221 | .281 | .387 | .668 | .167 | .274 | 28 | 6 | .294 | 83 | -13 | -1 | -3 | -4 | +18 | -0.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | AZL Indians 1 | 152 | 130 | 39 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .300 | .397 | .446 | .844 | .146 | .351 | 12 | 12 | .376 | 146 | +8 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 1.3 |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 481 | 431 | 117 | 24 | 7 | 13 | 40 | 90 | 5 | 11 | 10 | .271 | .340 | .450 | .790 | .179 | .313 | 19 | 8 | .347 | 124 | +13 | -2 | — | — | +14 | 2.5 |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 309 | 290 | 76 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 84 | 3 | 3 | 3 | .262 | .298 | .469 | .767 | .207 | .313 | 27 | 4 | .332 | 112 | +4 | -1 | — | — | +9 | 1.3 |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 132 | 117 | 43 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 1 | 3 | 1 | .368 | .431 | .658 | 1.089 | .291 | .423 | 23 | 9 | .464 | 213 | +17 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 2.1 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 318 | 284 | 59 | 14 | 2 | 16 | 32 | 93 | 1 | 5 | 4 | .208 | .290 | .440 | .730 | .232 | .244 | 29 | 10 | .321 | 104 | +1 | -1 | — | — | +9 | 1.0 |
| 2022 | 24 | ROK | FCL Rays | 18 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .615 | .722 | 1.308 | 2.030 | .692 | .500 | 0 | 22 | .794 | 466 | +7 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.9 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 550 | 476 | 128 | 26 | 3 | 22 | 62 | 145 | 7 | 8 | 12 | .269 | .361 | .475 | .836 | .206 | .338 | 26 | 11 | .367 | 139 | +24 | -3 | — | — | +16 | 3.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | 18 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .412 | .444 | .706 | 1.150 | .294 | .400 | 6 | 6 | .498 | 239 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 322 | 289 | 80 | 17 | 1 | 20 | 22 | 56 | 9 | 10 | 4 | .277 | .347 | .550 | .897 | .273 | .279 | 17 | 7 | .388 | 155 | +20 | +0 | — | — | +9 | 3.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Ruben Cardenas (OGILVIE) | 28 | 53 | 63 | 53 | 37 | .232/.296/.411 | .179 | .284 | 10 | 5 | 26% | 7% | 99 | +0.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Alex Guerrero 2015 · AAA |
28 | 48 | 53→60 | 54→45 | 39 | .249/.287/.427 | .178 | .292 | 21 | 9 | 23% | 4% | 98 | +1.6 | .232/.267/.400 | .168 | .273 | 21 | 8 | 24% | 4% | 82 | +0.5 | .232/.262/.424 | .192 | .266 | 28 | 3 | 25% | 3% | 88 | +0.3 |
|
✕Tyler Moore 2014 · MLB |
27 | 45→46 | 59→65 | 51→40 | 41 | .242/.289/.452 | .210 | .298 | 27 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 106 | +2.2 | .222/.283/.378 | .156 | .281 | 18 | 3 | 27% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .204/.267/.340 | .136 | .256 | 16 | 0 | 27% | 7% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Chris Heisey 2012 · MLB |
27 | 47→52 | 55 | 51→55 | 45 | .249/.306/.431 | .182 | .287 | 23 | 12 | 23% | 6% | 108 | +2.3 | .241/.292/.395 | .154 | .290 | 17 | 11 | 23% | 5% | 92 | +1.2 | .235/.281/.376 | .141 | .282 | 14 | 11 | 22% | 5% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕John Rodriguez 2006 · MLB |
28 | 48→47 | 56→55 | 52→40 | 45 | .249/.317/.443 | .194 | .301 | 25 | 10 | 26% | 7% | 115 | +2.8 | .247/.321/.412 | .165 | .311 | 18 | 6 | 25% | 8% | 108 | +2.3 | .239/.321/.389 | .150 | .307 | 15 | 1 | 25% | 9% | 99 | +0.7 |
|
✕Andrew Young 2022 · MLB |
28 | 42→46 | 56→55 | 47→40 | 38 | .217/.299/.412 | .195 | .311 | 23 | 5 | 36% | 6% | 101 | +1.8 | .205/.283/.364 | .159 | .324 | 19 | 7 | 40% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .170/.256/.306 | .137 | .263 | 18 | 4 | 40% | 8% | 51 | -1.0 |
|
●Harrison Bader 2022 · MLB |
28 | 47→55 | 56→55 | 50→55 | 49 | .245/.324/.441 | .196 | .295 | 24 | 14 | 25% | 9% | 118 | +3.0 | .242/.294/.380 | .138 | .285 | 15 | 23 | 20% | 6% | 89 | +0.9 | .240/.297/.372 | .133 | .292 | 15 | 22 | 23% | 6% | 85 | +0.5 |
|
✕Jayson Nix 2011 · MLB |
28 | 42→49 | 54→55 | 47→55 | 46 | .224/.291/.399 | .174 | .259 | 23 | 11 | 24% | 7% | 93 | +1.3 | .215/.281/.358 | .143 | .270 | 16 | 13 | 26% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .210/.278/.325 | .115 | .278 | 10 | 18 | 27% | 7% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Bobby Dalbec 2023 · MLB |
28 | 43→44 | 60 | 53→50 | 41 | .231/.296/.443 | .212 | .305 | 29 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 107 | +2.2 | .213/.285/.401 | .188 | .321 | 26 | 12 | 39% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 | .200/.275/.384 | .184 | .313 | 25 | 13 | 42% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jason Dubois 2007 · MLB |
28 | 46→45 | 54→60 | 45→40 | 39 | .240/.289/.421 | .181 | .317 | 23 | 5 | 31% | 6% | 98 | +1.6 | .226/.279/.395 | .169 | .294 | 22 | 4 | 30% | 6% | 87 | +0.8 | .223/.289/.431 | .209 | .278 | 30 | 3 | 31% | 6% | 99 | +1.0 |
|
✕Mike Brosseau 2023 · MLB |
29 | 46→56 | 51→55 | 52→45 | 46 | .231/.315/.389 | .158 | .304 | 20 | 8 | 30% | 9% | 101 | +1.8 | .214/.285/.353 | .139 | .270 | 19 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .193/.261/.311 | .118 | .238 | 17 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 55 | -0.7 |
|
✕Casper Wells 2013 · MLB |
28 | 44→46 | 56→60 | 47→50 | 46 | .232/.304/.432 | .200 | .286 | 23 | 8 | 27% | 8% | 107 | +2.2 | .209/.278/.339 | .130 | .286 | 13 | 7 | 30% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .126/.186/.146 | .021 | .186 | 0 | 0 | 30% | 7% | -22 | -1.1 |
|
✕Austin Dean 2022 · MLB |
28 | 46→56 | 52→55 | 41→45 | 44 | .235/.292/.408 | .174 | .297 | 20 | 6 | 28% | 7% | 95 | +1.4 | .221/.282/.369 | .148 | .289 | 17 | 11 | 29% | 6% | 81 | +0.4 | .211/.270/.358 | .147 | .269 | 17 | 12 | 28% | 6% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jason Rogers 2016 · MLB |
28 | 50→53 | 52→55 | 49→45 | 48 | .253/.312/.420 | .167 | .295 | 20 | 5 | 22% | 8% | 106 | +2.2 | .247/.306/.373 | .126 | .300 | 14 | 4 | 21% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .243/.302/.349 | .107 | .295 | 11 | 3 | 21% | 7% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Joe Mather 2010 · MLB |
28 | 40→45 | 56→60 | 51→50 | 46 | .220/.285/.407 | .187 | .238 | 24 | 12 | 20% | 6% | 92 | +1.2 | .216/.270/.339 | .123 | .269 | 12 | 10 | 24% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .206/.260/.310 | .104 | .261 | 10 | 8 | 24% | 7% | 52 | -0.7 |
|
●Scott Hairston 2007 · MLB |
27 | 47→51 | 56→60 | 49→50 | 46 | .249/.307/.442 | .192 | .289 | 25 | 6 | 23% | 7% | 110 | +2.4 | .249/.310/.449 | .200 | .284 | 24 | 7 | 21% | 8% | 113 | +2.6 | .250/.308/.455 | .205 | .279 | 24 | 9 | 20% | 7% | 112 | +1.6 |
|
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2012 · MLB |
28 | 46→48 | 52→55 | 51→50 | 43 | .238/.288/.405 | .168 | .283 | 21 | 14 | 24% | 6% | 93 | +1.3 | .237/.294/.401 | .164 | .283 | 19 | 8 | 23% | 7% | 94 | +1.3 | .226/.292/.387 | .161 | .270 | 18 | 3 | 23% | 8% | 86 | +0.5 |
|
●Corey Hart 2011 · MLB |
29 | 52→56 | 55→60 | 48→55 | 48 | .268/.325/.462 | .194 | .306 | 21 | 13 | 20% | 7% | 123 | +3.3 | .264/.330/.463 | .199 | .311 | 24 | 8 | 22% | 8% | 125 | +3.5 | .247/.315/.431 | .184 | .291 | 22 | 6 | 23% | 8% | 104 | +1.7 |
|
✕Michael Restovich 2007 · MLB |
28 | 45→49 | 54→55 | 47→30 | 43 | .234/.293/.413 | .179 | .298 | 22 | 4 | 29% | 7% | 97 | +1.5 | .233/.283/.408 | .175 | .306 | 22 | 4 | 30% | 6% | 92 | +1.2 | .232/.281/.393 | .161 | .302 | 19 | 2 | 29% | 6% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
✕Mike Wilson 2011 · AAA |
28 | 40→50 | 56→60 | 50 | 45 | .217/.293/.402 | .186 | .279 | 25 | 12 | 32% | 8% | 95 | +1.4 | .230/.299/.389 | .159 | .307 | 19 | 8 | 30% | 8% | 93 | +1.3 | .229/.297/.377 | .148 | .312 | 17 | 4 | 31% | 8% | 86 | +0.4 |
|
●Jonny Gomes 2009 · MLB |
28 | 43→52 | 55→60 | 48→50 | 49 | .224/.315/.414 | .190 | .282 | 23 | 13 | 28% | 10% | 107 | +2.2 | .243/.318/.438 | .195 | .298 | 24 | 10 | 26% | 8% | 115 | +2.7 | .243/.324/.434 | .191 | .295 | 24 | 8 | 25% | 9% | 111 | +2.0 |