Carter Aldrete — OGILVIE

Carter Aldrete2B Midland RockHounds

Age 28 R/R 6'1" / 205 lbs AA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 185 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .250 / .323

PA15

HR0

K%27

BB%5

ISO116

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	21	ROK	AZL Giants Black	—	82	66	17	3	0	1	13	14	1	1	1	258	388	348	736	91	302	17	16	335	113	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2021	23	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	288	262	63	13	0	9	22	90	1	8	3	240	302	393	695	153	329	31	8	308	94	-2	+0	—	—	+6	0.5
2022	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	156	143	33	8	0	6	10	43	0	1	2	231	281	413	694	182	281	28	6	301	90	-2	-1	—	—	+3	0.1
2022	24	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	279	242	70	17	0	15	31	60	2	2	2	289	375	545	920	256	322	22	11	396	154	+18	-0	—	—	+6	2.4
2023	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	409	372	83	21	0	13	31	108	1	2	1	223	285	384	669	161	275	26	8	295	86	-7	+0	—	—	+9	0.2
2024	26	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	70	65	13	4	0	1	4	13	0	1	1	200	246	308	554	108	231	19	6	246	53	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	27	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	222	204	44	10	1	5	15	54	0	0	2	216	269	348	617	132	264	24	7	273	71	-8	-1	—	—	+5	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	21	ROK MLE	AZL Giants Black	—	82	71	14	2	0	1	8	20	1	1	1	197	287	268	555	70	241	24	10	250	55	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2021	23	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	—	288	268	50	9	0	7	16	112	1	8	3	187	235	299	534	112	281	39	6	231	42	-20	+0	—	—	+6	-1.3
2022	24	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	156	146	29	7	0	5	7	53	0	1	2	199	235	349	585	151	255	34	4	245	52	-9	-1	—	—	+3	-0.6
2022	24	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	—	279	254	57	13	0	11	19	81	2	2	2	224	284	406	689	181	271	29	7	296	86	-4	-0	—	—	+6	0.1
2023	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	409	381	73	17	0	11	22	133	1	2	1	192	238	323	560	131	253	33	5	244	51	-24	+0	—	—	+9	-1.5
2025	27	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	222	209	38	8	1	4	10	67	0	0	2	182	219	287	506	105	233	30	5	214	31	-18	-1	—	—	+5	-1.5
2019	21	ROK MLE	AZL Giants Black	—	82	71	14	2	0	1	8	20	1	1	1	197	287	268	555	70	250	24	10	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	AZL Giants Black	—	82	66	17	3	0	1	13	14	1	1	1	258	388	348	736	91	302	17	16	335	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	—	288	268	50	9	0	7	16	112	1	8	3	187	235	299	534	112	287	39	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	Eugene Emeralds	—	288	262	63	13	0	9	22	90	1	8	3	240	302	393	695	153	329	31	8	308	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	435	400	85	20	0	15	26	135	2	3	4	212	264	375	639	163	273	31	6	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	435	385	103	25	0	21	41	103	2	3	4	268	341	496	837	229	307	24	9	362	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	409	381	73	17	0	11	22	133	1	2	1	192	238	323	560	131	257	33	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	409	372	83	21	0	13	31	108	1	2	1	223	285	384	669	161	275	26	8	295	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	INTL MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	70	65	13	4	0	1	4	13	0	1	1	200	246	308	554	108	231	19	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	INTL RAW	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	70	65	13	4	0	1	4	13	0	1	1	200	246	308	554	108	231	19	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	222	209	38	8	1	4	10	67	0	0	2	182	219	287	506	105	241	30	5	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	—	222	204	44	10	1	5	15	54	0	0	2	216	269	348	617	132	264	24	7	273	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	ROK MLE	AZL Giants Black	—	82	73	14	2	0	1	8	20	1	1	1	192	287	260	548	68	241	24	10	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	—	288	269	50	9	0	7	16	112	1	8	3	186	235	297	532	112	281	39	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	435	404	85	20	0	15	26	135	2	3	4	210	264	371	635	161	265	31	6	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	409	383	73	17	0	11	22	133	1	2	1	191	238	321	559	131	253	33	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	222	210	38	8	1	4	10	67	0	0	2	181	219	286	505	105	233	30	5	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	409	383	73	17	0	11	22	133	1	2	1	191	238	321	559	131	253	33	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	222	210	38	8	1	4	10	67	0	0	2	181	219	286	505	105	233	30	5	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	OAK	2%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	214	267	286	552	71	267	27	7	257	60	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	OAK	23%	214	200	42	9	1	4	11	56	1	2	1	210	255	325	580	115	269	26	5	262	63	-9	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.5
2027	29	MLB CTX	OAK	23%	49	46	10	2	0	1	3	13	0	1	0	217	265	326	591	109	274	27	6	262	63	-2	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	49	46	10	2	0	1	3	13	0	1	0	217	265	326	591	109	281	27	6	262	48	-2	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	610	133	27	0	13	40	172	0	13	0	218	266	326	592	108	282	26	6	262	48	-28	+3	-4	+2	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	1735	1608	318	70	2	43	98	540	6	17	13	198	246	324	571	126	264	31	6	239	48	-10	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	602	119	26	1	16	37	202	2	6	5	198	246	324	570	126	263	31	6	239	48	-28	+0	-4	+2	+14	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Aldrete (OGILVIE)	28	35	40	40	30	207/250/323	115	267	4	2	27%	5%	60	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	42	39→45	42→40	40	202/250/286	84	278	6	5	29%	6%	51	-2.3	223/280/308	85	291	5	5	23%	6%	68	-1.0	217/273/283	67	280	2	2	22%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Jesus Flores 2013 · MLB	28	42→38	44→50	41→30	40	211/247/328	118	259	12	4	24%	4%	59	-1.6	192/231/286	94	249	9	4	26%	4%	44	-2.8	158/189/223	65	209	7	0	28%	3%	10	-1.8
✕Caonabo Cosme 2007 · AAA	28	42	44→45	45	42	211/262/323	112	271	11	8	26%	6%	64	-1.3	224/255/348	124	314	14	7	32%	4%	68	-1.0	228/248/352	124	322	14	4	34%	3%	62	-0.6
✕Jeff Mathis 2012 · MLB	29	38→46	41→50	43→45	41	191/242/288	96	249	9	6	27%	6%	49	-2.4	204/257/329	125	273	14	4	29%	6%	64	-1.3	210/260/314	105	285	8	1	28%	6%	58	-0.4
✕Chadwick Tromp 2023 · MLB	28	39	48→45	42→40	38	208/242/342	134	254	17	4	26%	4%	61	-1.5	212/269/330	118	271	13	3	26%	7%	69	-0.9	200/262/302	101	259	11	1	26%	8%	57	-0.8
✕Jackson Williams 2014 · AAA	28	39	44→45	44→40	41	201/245/316	115	247	12	3	25%	5%	57	-1.8	204/261/288	84	261	7	5	23%	7%	55	-1.9	191/251/251	60	245	4	2	22%	7%	42	-1.4
✕Sharlon Schoop 2015 · AA	28	44	40	38→45	42	215/266/308	92	275	8	4	24%	6%	62	-1.4	208/253/291	83	269	7	3	24%	5%	53	-2.1	200/253/303	103	256	10	0	25%	6%	53	-0.7
✕Eli Whiteside 2008 · AAA	28	42	44→50	38→40	37	214/250/334	120	266	12	4	25%	3%	62	-1.4	213/255/334	121	273	13	5	26%	4%	65	-1.2	209/262/343	134	271	14	3	28%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Patrick Brady 2015 · AAA	27	42	46→45	44→45	40	215/259/342	128	277	14	8	28%	5%	68	-1.0	215/268/320	105	300	8	12	29%	6%	65	-1.2	214/272/305	91	303	3	14	28%	7%	60	-0.5
✕Clint Sammons 2011 · MLB	28	35→45	40	44→45	43	179/232/262	83	220	9	8	23%	6%	39	-3.1	189/241/312	123	249	16	7	30%	6%	55	-2.0	148/174/263	115	189	19	0	35%	2%	16	-1.2
✕Alvin Colina 2010 · AAA	28	42	44→45	44→40	40	212/266/327	115	280	12	5	29%	6%	68	-1.0	215/266/337	122	291	13	8	30%	5%	70	-0.9	180/219/284	104	245	12	3	31%	3%	38	-1.1
✕Horacio Vasquez 2014 · AAA	28	45	39→40	39→40	39	218/249/304	85	271	7	7	22%	4%	54	-2.0	219/255/293	74	286	6	8	25%	4%	53	-2.1	223/250/264	41	293	2	6	24%	3%	43	-0.8
✕Gavin Collins 2022 · AAA	27	40	43→45	44→40	44	202/271/309	107	256	12	6	25%	7%	65	-1.2	215/285/332	117	272	13	6	25%	7%	76	-0.4	204/266/298	94	236	10	3	18%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Seth Bynum 2009 · AA	28	42→43	47→50	42→50	40	216/265/347	131	286	14	6	30%	6%	71	-0.8	213/257/348	135	293	16	10	32%	5%	68	-1.0	205/249/333	128	281	15	11	32%	5%	60	-1.0
✕Jesús Sucre 2016 · MLB	28	43	38→40	43→40	42	206/239/279	74	247	6	4	20%	4%	45	-2.7	232/274/337	105	271	11	6	18%	4%	72	-0.7	239/278/332	93	274	11	3	17%	4%	68	-0.3
✕John Ryan Murphy 2019 · MLB	28	39→46	46→50	46→40	43	204/252/325	121	249	15	3	25%	6%	61	-1.5	205/257/356	151	281	20	5	33%	6%	71	-0.8	172/222/349	176	212	27	0	34%	6%	55	-0.8
✕Alberto Concepcion 2008 · AAA	27	41	44→45	39→30	41	206/264/322	116	269	12	3	28%	6%	65	-1.2	226/290/345	119	284	12	6	24%	6%	80	-0.1	235/305/338	103	289	10	2	21%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Brant Ust 2007 · AA	29	41→43	42→45	41→30	37	207/253/303	97	280	11	3	30%	5%	57	-1.8	213/265/311	98	291	9	6	29%	5%	63	-1.4	205/252/295	90	278	8	0	28%	4%	53	-0.6
✕Craig Tatum 2010 · MLB	27	43→47	42→45	42→30	41	211/257/311	100	269	10	3	25%	5%	59	-1.6	211/269/285	74	270	5	6	22%	7%	58	-1.7	209/273/247	38	267	0	4	20%	8%	49	-0.6
✕Jason Alfaro 2006 · AAA	28	44	44→45	43→30	41	217/251/332	115	252	11	4	19%	4%	62	-1.4	225/258/349	124	252	14	4	17%	4%	69	-0.9	224/254/346	123	245	15	2	16%	4%	65	-0.8