Carter Aldrete2B
Midland RockHounds
Age 28
R/R
6'1" / 205 lbs
AA
HR -6%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .256 / .328
PA185
HR4
K%31
BB%6
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
35→35
PWR
40→40
SPD
40→40
EYE
38↘30
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.3peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-10M | $-15M | -$6M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Giants Black | 82 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .197 | .287 | .268 | .555 | .070 | .250 | 24 | 10 | .250 | 50 | -5 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 288 | 268 | 50 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 114 | 1 | 8 | 3 | .187 | .235 | .299 | .534 | .112 | .291 | 40 | 6 | .233 | 37 | -21 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -1.1 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | 2 teams | 435 | 400 | 86 | 20 | 0 | 16 | 26 | 137 | 2 | 3 | 4 | .215 | .266 | .385 | .651 | .170 | .277 | 31 | 6 | .280 | 72 | -14 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +12 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 409 | 381 | 74 | 17 | 0 | 12 | 22 | 139 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .194 | .240 | .333 | .573 | .139 | .265 | 34 | 5 | .249 | 49 | -24 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +12 | -1.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | INTL | Sultanes de Monterrey | 70 | 65 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .200 | .246 | .308 | .554 | .108 | .231 | 19 | 6 | — | — | — | — | +0 | +0 | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 222 | 209 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .172 | .210 | .273 | .483 | .100 | .234 | 32 | 5 | .213 | 21 | -20 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 185 | 171 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 57 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .205 | .257 | .327 | .584 | .123 | .277 | 31 | 6 | .263 | 59 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 9% | OAK | 214 | 197 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 65 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .208 | .264 | .335 | .599 | .127 | .278 | 30 | 7 | .267 | 62 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 19% | OAK | 266 | 246 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 80 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .203 | .258 | .325 | .583 | .122 | .278 | 30 | 6 | .268 | 63 | -11 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 29% | OAK | 278 | 256 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 84 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .207 | .264 | .328 | .593 | .121 | .277 | 30 | 7 | .267 | 63 | -12 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +8 | -0.6 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 40% | OAK | 275 | 254 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 84 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .201 | .256 | .319 | .575 | .118 | .276 | 31 | 7 | .264 | 60 | -12 | -0 | -4 | +1 | +8 | -0.7 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 49% | OAK | 256 | 236 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 80 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .199 | .256 | .309 | .565 | .110 | .275 | 31 | 7 | .258 | 56 | -13 | -0 | -4 | +1 | +7 | -0.9 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 57% | OAK | 220 | 203 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 70 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .197 | .252 | .305 | .558 | .108 | .273 | 32 | 6 | .252 | 51 | -12 | -0 | -5 | +1 | +6 | -1.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3200 | 2957 | 590 | 122 | 8 | 77 | 196 | 1014 | 12 | 24 | 19 | .200 | .252 | .324 | .576 | .125 | .271 | 32 | 6 | .251 | 50 | -179 | -3 | -19 | +11 | +91 | -10.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 601 | 121 | 25 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 206 | 2 | 5 | 4 | .201 | .253 | .329 | .583 | .128 | .273 | 32 | 6 | .251 | 50 | -36 | -1 | -4 | +2 | +18 | -2.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Giants Black | 82 | 66 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .258 | .388 | .348 | .736 | .091 | .302 | 17 | 16 | .335 | 115 | +1 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 288 | 262 | 63 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 22 | 90 | 1 | 8 | 3 | .240 | .302 | .393 | .695 | .153 | .329 | 31 | 8 | .308 | 94 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 156 | 143 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .231 | .281 | .413 | .694 | .182 | .281 | 28 | 6 | .301 | 88 | -2 | -1 | — | — | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 279 | 242 | 70 | 17 | 0 | 15 | 31 | 60 | 2 | 2 | 2 | .289 | .375 | .545 | .920 | .256 | .322 | 22 | 11 | .396 | 161 | +19 | -0 | — | — | +8 | 2.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 409 | 372 | 83 | 21 | 0 | 13 | 31 | 108 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .223 | .285 | .384 | .669 | .161 | .275 | 26 | 8 | .295 | 84 | -7 | +0 | — | — | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 26 | INTL | Sultanes de Monterrey | 70 | 65 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .200 | .246 | .308 | .554 | .108 | .231 | 19 | 6 | .246 | 47 | -4 | -0 | — | — | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 222 | 204 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .216 | .269 | .348 | .617 | .132 | .264 | 24 | 7 | .273 | 67 | -8 | -1 | — | — | +6 | -0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Carter Aldrete (OGILVIE) | 28 | 35 | 40 | 40 | 30 | .204/.256/.328 | .124 | .277 | 4 | 2 | 31% | 6% | 59 | -0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB |
28 | 41 | 39→45 | 42→40 | 39 | .202/.249/.290 | .088 | .280 | 7 | 5 | 30% | 5% | 45 | -2.1 | .221/.277/.307 | .086 | .290 | 5 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .215/.272/.281 | .066 | .278 | 3 | 2 | 22% | 6% | 49 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jesus Flores 2013 · MLB |
28 | 42→38 | 44→50 | 41→30 | 39 | .211/.246/.330 | .120 | .260 | 12 | 4 | 24% | 4% | 55 | -1.4 | .191/.229/.286 | .095 | .247 | 9 | 4 | 26% | 4% | 36 | -2.7 | .158/.189/.225 | .066 | .209 | 7 | 0 | 28% | 3% | -1 | -1.8 |
|
✕Alvin Colina 2010 · AAA |
28 | 41 | 45 | 45→40 | 39 | .209/.261/.332 | .122 | .276 | 14 | 5 | 29% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .215/.263/.342 | .127 | .288 | 15 | 7 | 30% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .180/.219/.291 | .112 | .242 | 14 | 3 | 32% | 3% | 31 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jeff Mathis 2011 · MLB |
28 | 40→46 | 44→50 | 44→45 | 44 | .203/.264/.313 | .110 | .262 | 13 | 7 | 27% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .197/.247/.313 | .116 | .259 | 12 | 5 | 28% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .213/.264/.317 | .104 | .291 | 8 | 1 | 28% | 6% | 54 | -0.4 |
|
✕David Masters 2021 · AA |
28 | 42→36 | 46→45 | 42→40 | 43 | .212/.279/.339 | .128 | .290 | 14 | 3 | 31% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .215/.274/.369 | .154 | .312 | 19 | 8 | 36% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .170/.231/.347 | .178 | .226 | 28 | 6 | 39% | 6% | 50 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jeremy Farrell 2015 · AAA |
28 | 42→38 | 40→45 | 42→45 | 38 | .202/.265/.299 | .098 | .295 | 7 | 4 | 33% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .208/.259/.304 | .096 | .318 | 7 | 6 | 35% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .189/.229/.269 | .080 | .302 | 4 | 2 | 38% | 2% | 29 | -1.1 |
|
✕Gift Ngoepe 2018 · MLB |
28 | 43→42 | 43→45 | 42→50 | 38 | .204/.261/.315 | .111 | .312 | 9 | 6 | 36% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .185/.255/.294 | .109 | .332 | 11 | 8 | 43% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .137/.222/.220 | .083 | .276 | 10 | 7 | 50% | 9% | 16 | -1.2 |
|
✕John Ryan Murphy 2019 · MLB |
28 | 39→47 | 45→50 | 46→40 | 43 | .202/.249/.316 | .113 | .247 | 14 | 3 | 24% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .205/.255/.366 | .161 | .275 | 22 | 4 | 33% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .177/.226/.373 | .196 | .214 | 30 | 0 | 35% | 6% | 56 | -0.5 |
|
✕Kevin Richardson 2010 · AAA |
29 | 36 | 48→50 | 43→40 | 35 | .191/.246/.323 | .132 | .283 | 17 | 3 | 38% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .200/.247/.340 | .140 | .324 | 17 | 5 | 42% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .191/.237/.332 | .141 | .307 | 18 | 2 | 42% | 4% | 49 | -0.8 |
|
✕Sharlon Schoop 2015 · AA |
28 | 44 | 42→40 | 40→45 | 42 | .218/.270/.319 | .101 | .283 | 10 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .210/.255/.295 | .085 | .272 | 8 | 4 | 25% | 5% | 49 | -1.8 | .204/.257/.319 | .115 | .259 | 12 | 0 | 26% | 6% | 52 | -0.5 |
|
✕Eli Whiteside 2008 · AAA |
28 | 42 | 45→50 | 38→40 | 37 | .215/.250/.341 | .125 | .266 | 13 | 4 | 25% | 3% | 59 | -1.1 | .212/.253/.334 | .122 | .270 | 13 | 5 | 26% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .202/.255/.328 | .127 | .261 | 13 | 3 | 28% | 5% | 54 | -0.5 |
|
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA |
28 | 38 | 44→45 | 48→30 | 43 | .197/.260/.308 | .111 | .260 | 13 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .211/.260/.328 | .117 | .271 | 13 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .210/.254/.324 | .114 | .266 | 12 | 1 | 25% | 5% | 54 | -0.6 |
|
✕Grayson Greiner 2021 · MLB |
28 | 40 | 46→45 | 45→30 | 44 | .206/.272/.331 | .125 | .276 | 15 | 4 | 30% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .196/.260/.306 | .110 | .334 | 12 | 5 | 42% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .177/.244/.263 | .086 | .329 | 9 | 1 | 46% | 8% | 34 | -0.9 |
|
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA |
28 | 38 | 48→50 | 45→40 | 40 | .198/.259/.337 | .138 | .279 | 17 | 5 | 35% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .207/.265/.317 | .110 | .307 | 10 | 8 | 34% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .179/.239/.258 | .079 | .273 | 6 | 4 | 35% | 7% | 31 | -0.7 |
|
✕Carlos Corporán 2012 · MLB |
28 | 41 | 42→45 | 43→40 | 39 | .206/.260/.313 | .107 | .269 | 10 | 4 | 27% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .229/.284/.359 | .130 | .289 | 15 | 4 | 25% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .233/.289/.364 | .130 | .287 | 17 | 1 | 24% | 5% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA |
27 | 41 | 44→45 | 44→40 | 43 | .205/.269/.321 | .117 | .279 | 11 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .216/.284/.361 | .145 | .260 | 15 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .203/.270/.374 | .171 | .212 | 20 | 2 | 16% | 7% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Alberto Concepcion 2008 · AAA |
27 | 41 | 45 | 39→30 | 40 | .208/.265/.328 | .120 | .277 | 13 | 4 | 29% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .225/.288/.352 | .127 | .285 | 13 | 5 | 25% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .235/.304/.347 | .113 | .289 | 11 | 2 | 22% | 7% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Chadwick Tromp 2023 · MLB |
28 | 39 | 50 | 43→40 | 38 | .211/.243/.356 | .145 | .255 | 19 | 4 | 27% | 4% | 60 | -1.0 | .215/.269/.346 | .131 | .269 | 16 | 3 | 26% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .204/.265/.315 | .111 | .259 | 13 | 1 | 26% | 8% | 56 | -0.6 |
|
✕Lucas May 2013 · MLB |
28 | 38→42 | 45→55 | 44→45 | 37 | .197/.240/.320 | .124 | .267 | 12 | 6 | 31% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .199/.235/.300 | .101 | .269 | 10 | 7 | 29% | 4% | 42 | -2.3 | .191/.231/.254 | .063 | .257 | 8 | 3 | 28% | 4% | 26 | -1.1 |
|
✕Beamer Weems 2015 · AAA |
28 | 43→47 | 43→45 | 46→40 | 40 | .212/.261/.317 | .106 | .280 | 11 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .207/.257/.304 | .097 | .253 | 8 | 7 | 21% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .181/.232/.255 | .074 | .221 | 3 | 0 | 19% | 6% | 25 | -1.3 |