Gabriel Quintana
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 23 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 506 | .242/.287/.439 | 20 | 5 | 61 | — | .199/.232/.361 |
| 2017 | 24 | AADET | 466 | .265/.303/.500 | 22 | 1 | 64 | — | .215/.242/.371 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA/AADET | 164 | .178/.238/.283 | 4 | 0 | 6 | — | .135/.183/.193 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres | — | 240 | 211 | 41 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 56 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 194 | 283 | 275 | 558 | 81 | 255 | 23 | 8 | 258 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK | AZL Padres | — | 273 | 241 | 68 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 61 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 282 | 362 | 452 | 814 | 170 | 345 | 22 | 8 | 361 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK | AZL Padres | — | 163 | 151 | 44 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 291 | 340 | 483 | 823 | 192 | 355 | 23 | 4 | 361 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 365 | 347 | 106 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 91 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 305 | 336 | 447 | 783 | 141 | 390 | 25 | 3 | 346 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK | AZL Padres | — | 24 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 417 | 429 | 845 | 95 | 412 | 17 | 4 | 386 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 566 | 529 | 139 | 35 | 0 | 18 | 21 | 150 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 263 | 305 | 431 | 736 | 168 | 331 | 27 | 4 | 323 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 40 | 39 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 308 | 325 | 718 | 1.043 | 410 | 364 | 32 | 0 | 445 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 483 | 461 | 113 | 31 | 1 | 12 | 16 | 107 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 245 | 272 | 395 | 667 | 150 | 292 | 22 | 3 | 291 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 68 | 62 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 294 | 323 | 617 | 97 | 361 | 37 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 487 | 456 | 110 | 28 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 138 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 241 | 284 | 443 | 727 | 202 | 300 | 28 | 4 | 317 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 19 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 368 | 312 | 681 | 62 | 364 | 26 | 16 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 466 | 434 | 115 | 30 | 3 | 22 | 20 | 124 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 265 | 303 | 500 | 803 | 235 | 315 | 27 | 4 | 344 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 16 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 188 | 267 | 454 | 133 | 200 | 31 | 0 | 206 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 148 | 137 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 54 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 243 | 285 | 528 | 102 | 266 | 36 | 5 | 242 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 240 | 217 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 68 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 115 | 190 | 152 | 342 | 37 | 164 | 28 | 5 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 273 | 249 | 49 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 88 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 197 | 262 | 313 | 575 | 116 | 268 | 32 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 163 | 153 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 53 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 203 | 247 | 320 | 567 | 118 | 282 | 33 | 2 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 365 | 351 | 84 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 126 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 239 | 264 | 342 | 606 | 103 | 346 | 35 | 2 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 24 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 333 | 286 | 619 | 48 | 321 | 25 | 4 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 566 | 535 | 120 | 28 | 0 | 17 | 15 | 199 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 224 | 260 | 372 | 632 | 148 | 310 | 35 | 3 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 40 | 39 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 250 | 538 | 788 | 308 | 329 | 40 | 0 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 483 | 465 | 89 | 24 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 191 | 213 | 325 | 538 | 133 | 244 | 31 | 2 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 487 | 463 | 92 | 23 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 167 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 199 | 232 | 361 | 593 | 162 | 267 | 34 | 3 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 466 | 442 | 95 | 26 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 156 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 242 | 371 | 613 | 156 | 285 | 33 | 3 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 16 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 125 | 133 | 258 | 67 | 163 | 38 | 0 | 158 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 148 | 140 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 66 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 189 | 200 | 389 | 57 | 242 | 45 | 3 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 240 | 217 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 68 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 115 | 190 | 152 | 342 | 37 | 164 | 28 | 5 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Padres | — | 240 | 211 | 41 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 56 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 194 | 283 | 275 | 558 | 81 | 255 | 23 | 8 | 258 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 273 | 249 | 49 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 88 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 197 | 262 | 313 | 575 | 116 | 274 | 32 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Padres | — | 273 | 241 | 68 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 61 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 282 | 362 | 452 | 814 | 170 | 345 | 22 | 8 | 361 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 163 | 153 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 53 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 203 | 247 | 320 | 567 | 118 | 286 | 33 | 2 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Padres | — | 163 | 151 | 44 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 291 | 340 | 483 | 823 | 192 | 355 | 23 | 4 | 361 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 389 | 372 | 89 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 131 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 239 | 269 | 339 | 607 | 99 | 347 | 34 | 2 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 389 | 368 | 113 | 22 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 95 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 307 | 341 | 446 | 787 | 139 | 391 | 24 | 3 | 348 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 566 | 535 | 120 | 28 | 0 | 17 | 15 | 199 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 224 | 260 | 372 | 632 | 148 | 318 | 35 | 3 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ RAW | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 566 | 529 | 139 | 35 | 0 | 18 | 21 | 150 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 263 | 305 | 431 | 736 | 168 | 331 | 27 | 4 | 323 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 591 | 570 | 111 | 30 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 188 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 195 | 217 | 346 | 562 | 151 | 253 | 32 | 2 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 591 | 562 | 139 | 38 | 1 | 17 | 21 | 145 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 247 | 278 | 409 | 687 | 162 | 302 | 25 | 4 | 301 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 506 | 481 | 96 | 24 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 173 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 200 | 233 | 364 | 597 | 164 | 270 | 34 | 3 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 506 | 472 | 114 | 29 | 2 | 20 | 23 | 143 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 242 | 287 | 439 | 725 | 197 | 302 | 28 | 5 | 317 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 466 | 442 | 95 | 26 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 156 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 242 | 371 | 613 | 156 | 293 | 33 | 3 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | Erie SeaWolves | — | 466 | 434 | 115 | 30 | 3 | 22 | 20 | 124 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 265 | 303 | 500 | 803 | 235 | 315 | 27 | 4 | 344 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 164 | 155 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 72 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 135 | 183 | 194 | 376 | 58 | 235 | 44 | 3 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 164 | 152 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 59 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 238 | 283 | 521 | 105 | 258 | 36 | 5 | 239 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 240 | 218 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 68 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 115 | 190 | 151 | 341 | 37 | 164 | 28 | 5 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 273 | 249 | 49 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 88 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 197 | 262 | 313 | 575 | 116 | 268 | 32 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 163 | 153 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 53 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 203 | 247 | 320 | 567 | 118 | 282 | 33 | 2 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 389 | 371 | 89 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 131 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 240 | 269 | 340 | 608 | 100 | 344 | 34 | 2 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 566 | 535 | 120 | 28 | 0 | 17 | 15 | 199 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 224 | 260 | 372 | 632 | 148 | 310 | 35 | 3 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 591 | 570 | 111 | 30 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 188 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 195 | 217 | 346 | 562 | 151 | 251 | 32 | 2 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 506 | 480 | 96 | 24 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 173 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 200 | 233 | 365 | 598 | 165 | 267 | 34 | 3 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 466 | 447 | 95 | 26 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 156 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 213 | 242 | 367 | 609 | 154 | 285 | 33 | 3 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 164 | 154 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 72 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 136 | 183 | 195 | 378 | 58 | 234 | 44 | 3 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3358 | 3174 | 637 | 151 | 7 | 83 | 97 | 1128 | 57 | 28 | 19 | 201 | 238 | 331 | 569 | 130 | 279 | 34 | 3 | 246 | 53 | -188 | -2 | +0 | +12 | +73 | -10.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 614 | 123 | 29 | 1 | 16 | 19 | 218 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 200 | 238 | 329 | 567 | 129 | 278 | 34 | 3 | 246 | 53 | -36 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAErie SeaWolves · 148 PAwOBA .236 → .178 (−58)K% 36.5% → 44.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.49% | ÷0.999 | ×1.220 | — | — | 44.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.41% | ÷1.007 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 3.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.03% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.89% | ÷1.016 | ×0.970 | ×0.987 | ×0.988 | 21.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.41% | ÷0.974 | ×0.860 | ×0.987 | ×0.988 | 2.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.901 | ×0.950 | ×0.987 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.82% | ÷1.112 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 3.34% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .236 → .178; ISO .102 → .065; BABIP .266 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 16 PAwOBA .201 → .158 (−42)K% 31.2% → 37.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.25% | ÷1.011 | ×1.200 | — | — | 37.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.25% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 5.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 16.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.893 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 101, 2B 108, 3B 108, K 102, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .201 → .158; ISO .133 → .099; BABIP .200 → .163. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAErie SeaWolves · 466 PAwOBA .338 → .263 (−74)K% 26.6% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.61% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.86% | ÷1.059 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 2.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.35% | ÷1.020 | ×0.970 | ×0.996 | ×0.998 | 18.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.68% | ÷0.944 | ×0.860 | ×0.996 | ×0.998 | 8.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.97% | ÷1.094 | ×0.950 | ×0.996 | ×0.998 | 0.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.10% | ÷1.259 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 4.39% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 152, 1B 104, 2B 89, 3B 119, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .338 → .263; ISO .235 → .161; BABIP .315 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AASan Antonio Missions · 487 PAwOBA .308 → .256 (−52)K% 28.3% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.34% | ÷1.012 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.90% | ÷1.016 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 2.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.87% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×1.012 | 17.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.81% | ÷0.951 | ×0.840 | ×0.985 | ×1.012 | 7.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.63% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.985 | ×1.012 | 0.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.29% | ÷0.933 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 5.46% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 102, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .308 → .256; ISO .202 → .168; BABIP .300 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 483 PAwOBA .285 → .230 (−55)K% 22.2% → 31.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.15% | ÷0.955 | ×1.340 | — | — | 31.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.11% | ÷0.917 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 2.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.21% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.49% | ÷1.080 | ×0.910 | ×0.984 | ×0.998 | 16.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.76% | ÷0.949 | ×0.820 | ×0.984 | ×0.998 | 7.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.28% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×0.984 | ×0.998 | 0.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.39% | ÷0.805 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 3.87% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 61, 1B 116, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 91, BB 83 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .285 → .230; ISO .150 → .136; BABIP .292 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AASan Antonio Missions · 40 PAwOBA .431 → .346 (−85)K% 32.5% → 41.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.50% | ÷0.963 | ×1.220 | — | — | 41.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.50% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 2.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷0.984 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 14.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷0.989 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 13.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.124 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 15.38% | ÷0.885 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 14.28% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 125, K 93, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .431 → .346; ISO .410 → .326; BABIP .364 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 566 PAwOBA .316 → .272 (−45)K% 26.5% → 35.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.50% | ÷1.013 | ×1.340 | — | — | 35.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.53% | ÷0.955 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 2.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.94% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 1.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.69% | ÷0.982 | ×0.910 | ×1.021 | ×1.012 | 21.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.23% | ÷0.963 | ×0.820 | ×1.021 | ×1.012 | 8.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.021 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.75% | ÷0.875 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 5.05% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 96, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 103, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .316 → .272; ISO .168 → .151; BABIP .331 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AFort Wayne TinCaps · 365 PAwOBA .337 → .264 (−73)K% 24.9% → 34.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.93% | ÷0.986 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.74% | ÷0.951 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 2.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.69% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×1.015 | 27.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.81% | ÷1.204 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | ×1.015 | 5.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.39% | ÷0.956 | ×0.910 | ×1.030 | ×1.015 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.52% | ÷0.907 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 3.15% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 105, 2B 141, 3B 91, K 97, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .337 → .264; ISO .141 → .104; BABIP .390 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .