Nehomar Ochoa Jr.

Nehomar Ochoa Jr.OF Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 21 R/R 6'4" / 230 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION272 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .111 / .111

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%6

BABIP296

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	FCL Astros	—	42	36	8	2	0	3	3	7	2	1	0	222	317	528	845	306	185	17	7	359	129	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	18	INTL	Perth Heat	—	113	105	25	6	1	1	4	34	3	3	0	238	286	343	629	105	338	30	4	281	76	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.0
2024	19	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	394	343	76	15	1	10	38	116	11	17	5	222	319	359	677	137	301	29	10	308	95	-2	+1	—	—	+9	0.8
2025	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	83	74	12	1	0	1	7	26	1	1	2	162	244	216	460	54	229	31	8	217	33	-7	-1	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	20	ROK	FCL Astros	—	22	21	3	0	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	143	182	143	325		231	36	5	155	-9	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	42	37	6	2	0	2	2	10	2	1	0	162	244	378	622	216	140	24	5	239	48	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	19	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	394	358	55	9	1	7	23	162	11	17	5	154	227	243	470	89	245	41	6	212	30	-33	+1	—	—	+9	-2.4
2025	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	83	77	10	1	0	1	4	37	1	1	2	130	183	182	365	52	208	45	5	156	-8	-11	-1	—	—	+2	-1.0
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	22	21	2	0	0	0	1	12	0	0	0	95	136	95	232		198	55	5	96	-49	-4	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2023	18	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	155	141	21	6	0	6	7	35	5	4	0	149	216	319	535	170	147	23	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	155	141	33	8	1	4	7	41	5	4	0	234	294	390	684	156	296	26	5	302	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	394	358	55	9	1	7	23	162	11	17	5	154	227	243	470	89	251	41	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	394	343	76	15	1	10	38	116	11	17	5	222	319	359	677	137	301	29	10	308	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	105	98	12	1	0	1	5	49	1	1	2	122	173	163	336	41	224	47	5	143	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	105	95	15	1	0	1	8	34	1	1	2	158	231	200	431	42	230	32	8	204	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	155	142	21	6	0	6	7	35	5	4	0	148	216	317	533	169	140	23	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	394	357	55	9	1	7	23	162	11	17	5	154	227	244	471	90	245	41	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	105	98	12	1	0	1	5	49	1	1	2	122	173	163	336	41	206	47	5	143	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	155	142	21	6	0	6	7	35	5	4	0	148	216	317	533	169	140	23	5	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	394	357	55	9	1	7	23	162	11	17	5	154	227	244	471	90	245	41	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	105	98	12	1	0	1	5	49	1	1	2	122	173	163	336	41	206	47	5	143	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	HOU	—	272	252	55	12	1	8	15	112	2	29	3	218	268	369	637	151	348	41	6	276	73	-9	+5	+0	-2	+6	0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	HOU	—	146	126	34	5	0	5	17	40	2	18	2	270	366	429	794	159	354	27	12	355	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ RAW	HOU	—	126	118	36	12	1	6	6	41	0	11	1	305	339	576	915	271	411	33	5	390	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A MLE	HOU	0%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	111	111	111	222		294	33	0	251	56	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A MLE	HOU	—	281	261	56	12	1	8	15	115	2	30	3	215	263	360	623	146	340	41	5	275	72	-9	+5	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	319	293	58	11	1	8	19	114	4	11	2	198	256	324	581	126	292	36	6	264	65	-13	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.7
2028	23	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	401	368	76	15	1	11	25	138	5	13	2	207	266	342	609	136	293	34	6	272	71	-14	+2	+0	-2	+9	-0.6
2029	24	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	456	418	88	17	2	13	29	153	6	14	2	211	272	354	626	144	293	34	6	278	74	-14	+2	+0	-3	+10	-0.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	485	444	94	18	2	14	32	160	6	14	2	212	274	356	630	144	293	33	7	281	76	-14	+2	+0	-3	+11	-0.4
2031	26	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	501	457	98	19	2	15	33	166	6	14	2	214	276	363	639	149	293	33	7	282	77	-14	+2	+0	-3	+11	-0.4
2027	22	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	110	101	20	4	0	3	7	39	1	4	1	198	257	327	584	129	294	35	6	254	65	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	194	178	37	7	1	5	12	67	2	6	1	208	266	343	608	135	295	35	6	263	71	-7	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2029	24	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	240	220	47	9	1	7	15	80	3	7	1	214	273	359	632	145	295	33	6	269	74	-7	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	265	243	51	10	1	7	17	88	3	8	1	210	270	346	616	136	295	33	6	272	76	-7	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	279	255	55	11	1	8	18	92	4	8	1	216	278	361	639	145	295	33	6	272	77	-8	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1088	997	210	41	4	30	69	366	13	33	5	211	271	350	621	139	297	34	6	268	62	-34	+5	+0	-7	+24	-1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	125	24	2	18	41	219	8	20	3	210	270	347	617	138	296	34	6	268	62	-20	+3	+0	-4	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2825	2586	503	96	9	75	173	980	44	89	17	195	257	326	582	131	277	35	6	260	62	-69	+9	+0	-13	+47	-2.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	115	22	2	17	40	225	10	20	4	193	256	323	579	129	275	35	6	260	62	-21	+3	+0	-4	+14	-0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.0	1,326	35	39	205	263	338	-8	+0	-1.5	-0.8
/162	664	18	19	-4.0	+0.0	-0.8	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nehomar Ochoa Jr. (OGILVIE)	21	20→25	42→47	57→62	46	191/247/307	116	294	5	14	38%	6%	56	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→40	42→50	54→55	35	184/245/283	99	282	10	12	37%	5%	50	-2.3	197/252/315	118	289	14	16	35%	5%	59	-1.6	203/254/335	133	288	14	24	34%	5%	62	-0.9
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	38→36	45→50	54→50	38	193/255/316	124	276	12	13	34%	6%	61	-1.5	204/262/352	148	296	18	14	36%	6%	72	-0.7	194/255/352	157	279	21	15	37%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Narciso Crook 2016 · A	21	37→43	42→50	53→50	32	188/220/289	102	281	9	12	36%	4%	40	-3.1	199/245/307	108	298	10	10	35%	5%	54	-2.0	206/268/351	145	302	15	14	35%	6%	70	-0.6
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	41→33	45→55	52→50	39	207/251/337	130	273	12	14	29%	5%	63	-1.3	187/234/345	158	264	20	4	37%	5%	60	-1.6	191/265/355	164	235	23	7	30%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Jose Paniagua 2015 · A	21	38	40→50	50→55	42	189/249/288	99	268	7	12	31%	7%	52	-2.2	198/248/295	97	288	8	8	32%	6%	53	-2.1	179/215/276	97	256	10	2	33%	3%	32	-1.0
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	36	40→50	54→45	36	177/235/269	91	291	8	13	40%	6%	42	-2.9	176/238/276	100	311	10	11	44%	6%	45	-2.7	164/227/275	111	272	14	9	43%	6%	39	-1.1
✕Estee Harris 2006 · A	21	36→31	43→50	50	37	187/233/300	113	268	11	14	34%	5%	48	-2.5	188/238/287	99	315	9	13	41%	6%	47	-2.5	172/224/263	91	318	8	13	46%	6%	34	-1.1
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40	52→50	39	198/250/294	96	274	6	10	29%	5%	53	-2.1	216/274/318	102	332	9	10	35%	7%	68	-1.0	210/271/306	96	328	9	12	36%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	41→40	43→50	52→55	43	204/269/311	107	264	11	18	26%	6%	65	-1.2	205/270/351	146	270	17	18	29%	7%	75	-0.5	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→32	43→45	51→50	42	190/258/298	108	281	10	12	34%	8%	57	-1.8	205/269/314	109	303	11	12	34%	7%	65	-1.2	180/254/288	108	265	12	11	34%	8%	53	-1.2
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A	21	40→45	45→50	53→55	40	202/262/329	127	284	11	19	32%	6%	66	-1.1	201/268/318	117	295	9	17	33%	7%	66	-1.1	225/296/393	168	284	19	27	27%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	63	-1.4	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	57	-1.8	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	33	-1.0
✕Brayan Buelvas 2023 · A	21	34→43	46→45	50→55	39	183/243/312	128	244	14	13	31%	6%	55	-1.9	192/254/310	118	276	11	18	33%	7%	59	-1.7	197/258/324	127	284	12	14	34%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Angel Castillo 2010 · A	21	37→39	45→50	51→50	34	188/243/305	117	276	13	10	36%	4%	54	-2.0	195/246/314	119	281	14	12	35%	5%	57	-1.8	183/234/297	114	261	15	13	35%	5%	46	-1.8
✕Demi Orimoloye 2018 · A	21	35→37	41→45	54→55	35	178/226/275	97	266	9	21	36%	5%	40	-3.1	185/236/284	99	287	10	17	37%	5%	46	-2.6	180/226/278	98	281	10	17	38%	4%	37	-2.3
✕Junior Arias 2013 · A	21	36→43	42→45	52→60	33	185/223/284	99	274	10	16	36%	4%	40	-3.0	202/238/306	104	300	11	30	35%	4%	51	-2.3	195/239/312	117	296	15	30	38%	5%	50	-1.0
✕Travis Witherspoon 2010 · A	21	37→47	42→45	56→55	31	185/227/287	102	290	9	10	39%	4%	42	-2.9	213/259/322	109	302	11	19	32%	5%	63	-1.4	209/269/335	126	275	14	25	28%	7%	67	-0.9
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→30	41→45	48→50	44	187/255/292	104	257	8	12	29%	8%	55	-1.9	174/252/260	86	262	6	9	33%	9%	47	-2.5	158/245/237	79	236	5	8	32%	9%	37	-1.9
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	40	187/257/301	114	274	12	9	35%	7%	58	-1.7	198/280/293	95	349	7	8	41%	9%	65	-1.2	152/277/229	77	359	3	4	50%	12%	49	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps