Nehomar Ochoa Jr.OF
Fayetteville Woodpeckers
Age 21
R/R
6'4" / 230 lbs
A
H +4%HR -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 1.0 · 2031
wRC+†60
AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .267 / .321
PA166
HR4
SB12
K%35
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20↗25
PWR
40↗45
SPD
53↗58
EYE
43↗48
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.0peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.0 | $9M | +$8M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.0 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.7 | $4M | +$2M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.5 | $3M | +$0.9M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.3 | $2M | +$0.1M |
| Totals | $7M | $31M | +$24M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | INTL | 2 teams | 155 | 141 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .149 | .216 | .319 | .535 | .170 | .146 | 22 | 5 | .231 | 35 | -11 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.7 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 394 | 358 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 162 | 11 | 17 | 5 | .154 | .227 | .243 | .470 | .089 | .251 | 41 | 6 | .213 | 21 | -35 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +11 | -2.5 |
| 2025 | 20 | A | 2 teams | 105 | 99 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 49 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .121 | .163 | .162 | .325 | .040 | .220 | 47 | 4 | .143 | -32 | -16 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 51 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 1 | 8 | 1 | .178 | .275 | .311 | .586 | .133 | .300 | 45 | 10 | .253 | 52 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | HOU | 115 | 103 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 42 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .184 | .263 | .301 | .564 | .117 | .286 | 37 | 8 | .269 | 64 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| TOT | 21 | MLB | HOU | 166 | 148 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 65 | 3 | 12 | 2 | .182 | .267 | .304 | .571 | .122 | .278 | 39 | 8 | .264 | 60 | -7 | +2 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 11% | HOU | 224 | 198 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 66 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .212 | .297 | .364 | .661 | .152 | .274 | 29 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 28% | HOU | 333 | 294 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 95 | 5 | 10 | 2 | .214 | .300 | .361 | .661 | .146 | .276 | 29 | 9 | .298 | 87 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 45% | HOU | 409 | 361 | 79 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 39 | 115 | 6 | 11 | 2 | .219 | .305 | .374 | .679 | .155 | .278 | 28 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 60% | HOU | 454 | 400 | 89 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 44 | 126 | 7 | 12 | 2 | .223 | .310 | .383 | .693 | .160 | .279 | 28 | 10 | .307 | 93 | -3 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 77% | HOU | 481 | 424 | 94 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 47 | 133 | 7 | 12 | 2 | .222 | .310 | .382 | .692 | .160 | .279 | 28 | 10 | .309 | 95 | -3 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 1.0 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB 92% | HOU | 492 | 432 | 95 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 49 | 137 | 8 | 12 | 2 | .220 | .311 | .377 | .688 | .157 | .279 | 28 | 10 | .309 | 95 | -3 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 1.0 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 495 | 434 | 95 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 50 | 139 | 8 | 11 | 2 | .219 | .311 | .376 | .687 | .157 | .279 | 28 | 10 | .308 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +14 | 0.9 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 491 | 431 | 94 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 50 | 139 | 7 | 11 | 1 | .218 | .309 | .376 | .685 | .158 | .278 | 28 | 10 | .306 | 92 | -4 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +14 | 0.7 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | HOU | 483 | 424 | 91 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 49 | 138 | 7 | 10 | 1 | .215 | .306 | .366 | .672 | .151 | .276 | 29 | 10 | .303 | 90 | -5 | +2 | -2 | -3 | +14 | 0.5 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 471 | 413 | 87 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 48 | 137 | 7 | 9 | 0 | .211 | .303 | .356 | .659 | .145 | .275 | 29 | 10 | .299 | 87 | -7 | +2 | -3 | -3 | +13 | 0.3 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | HOU | 454 | 398 | 82 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 134 | 7 | 8 | 0 | .206 | .299 | .344 | .644 | .138 | .273 | 30 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -8 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +13 | -0.0 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | HOU | 425 | 373 | 75 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 43 | 129 | 6 | 7 | 0 | .201 | .294 | .335 | .629 | .134 | .271 | 30 | 10 | .289 | 79 | -10 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +12 | -0.3 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | HOU | 380 | 334 | 66 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 118 | 5 | 7 | 0 | .198 | .289 | .326 | .615 | .129 | .269 | 31 | 10 | .282 | 74 | -11 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +11 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6361 | 5617 | 1159 | 195 | 22 | 190 | 597 | 1893 | 103 | 153 | 24 | .206 | .294 | .350 | .645 | .144 | .272 | 30 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -140 | +21 | -20 | -38 | +180 | 0.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 574 | 118 | 20 | 2 | 19 | 61 | 193 | 11 | 16 | 2 | .206 | .294 | .347 | .641 | .141 | .271 | 30 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -14 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +18 | 0.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Astros | 42 | 36 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .222 | .317 | .528 | .845 | .306 | .185 | 17 | 7 | .359 | 133 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2023 | 18 | INTL | Perth Heat | 113 | 105 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .238 | .286 | .343 | .629 | .105 | .338 | 30 | 4 | .281 | 73 | -3 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 394 | 343 | 76 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 116 | 11 | 17 | 5 | .222 | .319 | .359 | .677 | .137 | .301 | 29 | 10 | .308 | 94 | -3 | +1 | — | — | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 83 | 74 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .162 | .244 | .216 | .460 | .054 | .229 | 31 | 8 | .217 | 24 | -7 | -1 | — | — | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | FCL Astros | 22 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .143 | .182 | .143 | .325 | .000 | .231 | 36 | 5 | .155 | -23 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Nehomar Ochoa Jr. (OGILVIE) | 21 | 20→25 | 40→45 | 53→58 | 48 | .193/.267/.321 | .127 | .283 | 4 | 3 | 35% | 8% | 63 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A |
21 | 37 | 44→50 | 49→50 | 40 | .188/.259/.305 | .117 | .281 | 12 | 9 | 36% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .194/.278/.291 | .097 | .346 | 7 | 8 | 42% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .146/.273/.221 | .075 | .359 | 3 | 4 | 52% | 12% | 39 | -0.5 |
|
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A |
21 | 37→36 | 45→50 | 54→50 | 38 | .192/.253/.319 | .127 | .271 | 12 | 13 | 33% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .204/.262/.355 | .151 | .295 | 18 | 14 | 36% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .197/.258/.362 | .165 | .284 | 22 | 15 | 38% | 7% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A |
21 | 41→32 | 45→55 | 53→50 | 39 | .208/.253/.334 | .126 | .273 | 12 | 15 | 28% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .188/.236/.349 | .161 | .267 | 20 | 5 | 37% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .194/.269/.375 | .181 | .237 | 26 | 7 | 31% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Alexander Canario 2022 · A |
22 | 37→34 | 51→60 | 50 | 37 | .200/.246/.359 | .159 | .282 | 20 | 14 | 36% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .212/.272/.410 | .198 | .294 | 26 | 14 | 36% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .209/.277/.424 | .216 | .279 | 30 | 13 | 36% | 8% | 90 | +0.6 |
|
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A |
20 | 38→41 | 46→50 | 53→55 | 45 | .189/.278/.319 | .129 | .289 | 14 | 15 | 37% | 10% | 67 | -0.5 | .210/.289/.331 | .121 | .326 | 12 | 16 | 36% | 9% | 74 | -0.1 | .216/.296/.349 | .133 | .314 | 15 | 19 | 33% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A |
21 | 40→45 | 44→55 | 52→55 | 41 | .201/.263/.319 | .117 | .279 | 11 | 19 | 31% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .203/.270/.325 | .122 | .295 | 10 | 17 | 33% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .220/.291/.388 | .168 | .274 | 20 | 25 | 27% | 8% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
✕Romy Gonzalez 2019 · A |
22 | 39→44 | 46→55 | 53→55 | 34 | .196/.247/.327 | .132 | .312 | 14 | 10 | 40% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .198/.251/.317 | .119 | .302 | 12 | 12 | 37% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .258/.302/.412 | .153 | .342 | 17 | 16 | 28% | 5% | 96 | +0.7 |
|
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A |
22 | 38 | 43→50 | 51→45 | 35 | .183/.259/.287 | .104 | .311 | 11 | 11 | 42% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .198/.263/.310 | .112 | .287 | 13 | 7 | 34% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .185/.242/.280 | .095 | .261 | 13 | 5 | 33% | 5% | 38 | -1.0 |
|
●Aristides Aquino 2015 · A |
21 | 36→40 | 46→65 | 49→50 | 35 | .190/.230/.319 | .130 | .259 | 13 | 10 | 32% | 4% | 45 | -2.1 | .201/.240/.341 | .140 | .267 | 15 | 9 | 30% | 4% | 55 | -1.4 | .218/.283/.452 | .234 | .267 | 35 | 9 | 33% | 7% | 98 | +1.0 |
|
✕Carlos Dominguez 2021 · A |
21 | 43→27 | 42→45 | 51→50 | 36 | .201/.283/.313 | .112 | .310 | 9 | 12 | 35% | 5% | 68 | -0.5 | .173/.247/.300 | .127 | .331 | 15 | 12 | 50% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .134/.213/.254 | .119 | .278 | 17 | 13 | 54% | 6% | 21 | -1.6 |
|
●Jerry Sands 2009 · A |
21 | 37→46 | 49→60 | 51→45 | 45 | .195/.277/.339 | .144 | .267 | 18 | 8 | 33% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .231/.297/.425 | .194 | .284 | 25 | 6 | 27% | 8% | 102 | +1.9 | .233/.299/.438 | .204 | .278 | 26 | 7 | 26% | 8% | 105 | +1.8 |
|
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A |
21 | 37→40 | 42→45 | 53→55 | 35 | .184/.244/.282 | .097 | .281 | 10 | 12 | 37% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .196/.251/.317 | .121 | .287 | 14 | 16 | 35% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .198/.249/.325 | .127 | .276 | 15 | 22 | 33% | 5% | 52 | -1.2 |
|
✕Narciso Crook 2016 · A |
21 | 38→43 | 42→55 | 53→50 | 33 | .193/.226/.298 | .105 | .280 | 10 | 12 | 34% | 4% | 37 | -2.6 | .200/.245/.309 | .109 | .293 | 10 | 10 | 34% | 5% | 49 | -1.8 | .199/.278/.357 | .158 | .302 | 19 | 15 | 38% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Travis Demeritte 2016 · A |
21 | 37→43 | 47→60 | 51→50 | 35 | .181/.250/.314 | .133 | .320 | 15 | 9 | 46% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .186/.249/.337 | .151 | .302 | 17 | 9 | 42% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .204/.271/.391 | .188 | .288 | 24 | 7 | 37% | 8% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Niko Hulsizer 2019 · A |
22 | 44→30 | 47→60 | 51→50 | 42 | .211/.300/.348 | .138 | .322 | 15 | 12 | 36% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | .206/.285/.382 | .176 | .328 | 21 | 9 | 41% | 8% | 86 | +0.8 | .193/.269/.393 | .200 | .316 | 27 | 12 | 45% | 8% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2018 · A |
21 | 42→43 | 45→55 | 54→50 | 40 | .209/.270/.337 | .128 | .288 | 12 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .208/.259/.341 | .133 | .291 | 14 | 8 | 32% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .211/.283/.380 | .168 | .276 | 21 | 6 | 31% | 8% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
●Lewis Brinson 2014 · A |
20 | 36→46 | 47→55 | 52→50 | 31 | .178/.230/.308 | .130 | .314 | 15 | 14 | 46% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .220/.268/.368 | .148 | .324 | 17 | 14 | 36% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .237/.289/.413 | .176 | .298 | 20 | 17 | 27% | 6% | 92 | +0.8 |
|
●Will Benson 2019 · A |
21 | 30→40 | 47→55 | 47→55 | 44 | .163/.256/.291 | .128 | .251 | 16 | 9 | 40% | 10% | 51 | -1.7 | .179/.262/.333 | .154 | .273 | 19 | 14 | 39% | 10% | 64 | -0.8 | .221/.322/.401 | .180 | .313 | 18 | 26 | 32% | 12% | 102 | +1.4 |
|
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A |
21 | 38→33 | 43→45 | 51→50 | 43 | .192/.259/.300 | .108 | .274 | 11 | 13 | 33% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .205/.268/.319 | .114 | .301 | 12 | 12 | 34% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .179/.252/.298 | .118 | .265 | 14 | 11 | 36% | 8% | 49 | -1.0 |
|
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A |
21 | 43→45 | 45→55 | 50 | 43 | .213/.273/.339 | .126 | .289 | 12 | 10 | 30% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .229/.292/.389 | .160 | .276 | 19 | 13 | 24% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .230/.293/.405 | .176 | .264 | 22 | 16 | 22% | 7% | 92 | +1.1 |