Junior Perez — OGILVIE

Junior PerezCF Las Vegas Aviators

INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 165 lbs AAA HR -6%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

wRC+†3

AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .254 / .318

PA134

HR3

SB5

K%40

BB%9

MLB%40%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30↗34

PWR

50↗56

SPD

60↘57

FLD

45↗54

EYE

52↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.1peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-3M		$-10M	-$8M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Padres	263	224	25	4	1	2	33	115	4	12	5	.112	.238	.165	.403	.054	.211	44	13	.196	8	-27	+0	+0	+1	+7	-1.9
2019	18	ROK	AZL Padres 2	238	219	39	9	1	8	14	85	3	11	2	.178	.237	.338	.575	.160	.242	36	6	.247	47	-14	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.5
2021	20	A	Stockton Ports	386	347	51	11	4	5	33	190	3	24	7	.147	.227	.245	.472	.098	.299	49	9	.217	24	-33	+2	+0	+1	+11	-1.9
2022	21	A	Stockton Ports	482	419	81	15	1	13	49	191	5	32	7	.193	.285	.327	.612	.134	.306	40	10	.271	66	-19	+4	+0	+2	+14	0.0
2023	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	493	450	77	20	1	7	35	200	3	41	9	.171	.236	.267	.502	.096	.286	41	7	.226	31	-38	+5	+0	+2	+14	-1.8
2024	23	AA	Midland RockHounds	390	354	55	16	1	7	29	184	1	28	5	.155	.221	.266	.487	.110	.287	47	7	.215	23	-34	+4	+0	+1	+11	-1.8
2025	24	AA	3 teams	616	543	94	23	4	21	62	225	3	29	6	.173	.262	.346	.608	.173	.243	37	10	.265	61	-27	+3	+0	+2	+17	-0.4
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	25	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	86	79	9	1	0	1	5	35	0	3	1	.114	.167	.165	.331	.051	.178	41	6	.159	-20	-12	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.9
ROS	25	MLB	OAK	48	44	7	2	0	1	4	19	0	2	0	.159	.229	.273	.502	.114	.263	40	8	.243	44	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
TOT	25	MLB	OAK	134	123	16	3	0	2	9	54	0	5	1	.130	.189	.203	.393	.073	.203	40	7	.189	3	-15	+1	+0	+0	+4	-1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB 56%	OAK	365	328	60	13	2	10	32	115	2	14	3	.183	.260	.326	.586	.143	.244	32	9	.265	61	-16	+2	+0	+1	+10	-0.3
2028	27	MLB 74%	OAK	388	348	66	14	2	11	35	120	2	15	3	.190	.268	.336	.604	.147	.248	31	9	.270	65	-15	+2	+0	+1	+11	-0.1
2029	28	MLB 82%	OAK	401	360	69	15	2	11	36	123	2	15	3	.192	.269	.336	.605	.144	.250	31	9	.271	66	-15	+2	-0	+1	+11	-0.1
2030	29	MLB 88%	OAK	400	359	68	14	2	11	36	123	2	14	3	.189	.267	.331	.598	.142	.250	31	9	.271	65	-16	+2	-1	+1	+11	-0.2
2031	30	MLB 94%	OAK	398	357	67	14	2	11	36	124	2	13	2	.188	.266	.331	.596	.143	.248	31	9	.268	63	-17	+2	-2	+1	+11	-0.4
2032	31	MLB	OAK	387	347	64	14	1	10	35	122	2	11	2	.184	.263	.317	.580	.133	.247	32	9	.264	60	-17	+1	-3	+1	+11	-0.6
2033	32	MLB	OAK	370	332	60	13	1	10	33	119	2	9	1	.181	.259	.316	.575	.136	.245	32	9	.259	56	-18	+1	-3	+1	+10	-0.8
2034	33	MLB	OAK	341	306	53	11	1	8	31	112	1	7	1	.173	.251	.294	.546	.121	.243	33	9	.254	52	-18	+1	-4	+1	+10	-1.1
2035	34	MLB	OAK	298	268	47	10	1	7	27	100	1	5	0	.175	.253	.299	.552	.123	.240	34	9	.247	47	-18	+1	-5	+1	+8	-1.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6264	5605	983	218	27	153	560	2267	38	282	59	.175	.255	.306	.561	.130	.257	36	9	.252	51	-347	+33	-17	+22	+177	-13.4
/ 162G	—			650	582	103	23	3	16	58	235	4	29	6	.177	.256	.309	.565	.132	.260	36	9	.252	51	-36	+3	-2	+2	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Padres	263	204	36	6	2	3	53	80	4	12	5	.176	.356	.270	.626	.093	.268	30	20	.303	90	-3	+0	—	—	+7	0.5
2019	18	ROK	AZL Padres 2	238	209	56	14	2	11	24	59	3	11	2	.268	.352	.512	.864	.244	.319	25	10	.375	145	+12	+1	—	—	+7	2.1
2021	20	A	Stockton Ports	386	329	68	16	5	8	51	145	3	24	7	.207	.319	.359	.677	.152	.337	38	13	.307	93	-3	+2	—	—	+11	1.0
2022	21	A	Stockton Ports	482	398	99	21	2	15	70	148	5	32	7	.249	.368	.425	.792	.176	.347	31	15	.351	127	+15	+4	—	—	+14	3.2
2023	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	493	434	103	27	2	12	51	150	3	41	9	.237	.322	.392	.713	.154	.332	30	10	.318	102	+1	+5	—	—	+14	2.0
2024	23	AA	Midland RockHounds	390	341	75	24	2	8	42	138	1	28	5	.220	.307	.372	.680	.152	.337	35	11	.302	89	-5	+4	—	—	+11	1.0
2025	24	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	182	151	45	14	1	12	30	49	0	11	3	.298	.414	.642	1.057	.344	.363	27	16	.449	202	+21	+1	—	—	+5	2.8
2025	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	405	339	68	15	5	14	57	116	3	16	3	.201	.321	.398	.719	.198	.255	29	14	.319	102	+1	+2	—	—	+11	1.5
2025	24	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	29	25	5	1	0	0	3	9	0	2	0	.200	.286	.240	.526	.040	.312	31	10	.241	43	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Junior Perez (OGILVIE)	25	30→34	50→56	60→57	60	.179/.254/.318	.140	.280	3	5	40%	9%	57	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeter Downs 2023 · MLB	25	31→41	49→50	53→55	38	.175/.246/.310	.136	.249	18	21	37%	7%	51	-1.7	.198/.279/.340	.142	.275	16	23	32%	8%	73	-0.1	.197/.289/.341	.144	.269	13	27	30%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	46→50	54→55	43	.195/.275/.328	.133	.280	14	16	34%	8%	68	-0.5	.196/.270/.305	.109	.263	10	17	28%	8%	59	-1.1	.156/.241/.247	.091	.208	8	20	27%	8%	30	-1.4
✕Bradlee Beesley 2023 · AA	25	40	45→50	54→60	37	.202/.257/.328	.126	.297	13	21	35%	6%	59	-1.1	.205/.281/.332	.127	.308	11	27	35%	7%	71	-0.3	.190/.283/.327	.137	.290	12	39	35%	8%	66	-0.3
✕Josh Stowers 2022 · AA	25	38→41	49→50	53→55	40	.197/.264/.341	.144	.286	18	23	36%	7%	66	-0.6	.182/.252/.318	.136	.265	16	20	36%	7%	56	-1.3	.157/.232/.277	.120	.228	13	21	36%	7%	34	-1.7
✕Pedro León 2023 · AAA	25	39→45	47→50	53→55	44	.190/.291/.330	.140	.299	15	30	38%	10%	76	+0.1	.208/.284/.359	.151	.307	18	24	36%	7%	80	+0.4	.210/.280/.364	.153	.306	19	24	36%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Matt Gorski 2023 · AA	25	38→34	52→60	55	36	.201/.255/.362	.161	.296	21	19	39%	6%	68	-0.5	.202/.249/.372	.170	.277	22	19	35%	6%	68	-0.5	.192/.237/.369	.177	.251	24	19	34%	5%	61	-0.6
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	36	45→50	48→50	37	.186/.248/.306	.120	.290	14	12	39%	7%	50	-1.7	.185/.245/.287	.102	.286	9	10	36%	7%	43	-2.2	.153/.212/.244	.092	.224	3	6	32%	7%	14	-1.0
✕Garrett Whitley 2022 · AAA	25	39→38	48→50	49→55	39	.188/.270/.337	.149	.320	15	14	43%	9%	68	-0.5	.196/.278/.332	.136	.320	15	18	40%	9%	70	-0.3	.175/.274/.307	.132	.292	15	26	41%	11%	58	-0.7
✕Jason Martinson 2014 · AA	25	37→41	47→50	54→50	38	.191/.258/.322	.131	.293	16	15	39%	7%	59	-1.1	.193/.251/.307	.114	.301	13	14	38%	6%	51	-1.7	.168/.226/.281	.113	.280	13	8	43%	6%	31	-2.1
✕Ryan Kreidler 2023 · MLB	25	41→44	48→50	51→55	43	.209/.284/.346	.137	.296	16	17	34%	8%	76	+0.1	.191/.272/.320	.129	.274	15	20	34%	9%	65	-0.7	.170/.257/.286	.116	.250	13	23	35%	9%	47	-1.1
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA	25	37→40	46→50	51→50	38	.193/.251/.319	.126	.276	14	14	35%	6%	55	-1.4	.200/.261/.341	.141	.304	17	11	38%	7%	65	-0.7	.192/.258/.339	.147	.301	18	10	40%	7%	59	-0.7
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	34→29	46→45	49→50	44	.182/.254/.300	.117	.244	15	18	31%	8%	52	-1.6	.203/.279/.317	.114	.274	13	12	29%	9%	66	-0.6	.204/.281/.310	.106	.271	11	8	28%	9%	64	-0.4
✕José Barrero 2023 · MLB	25	40→47	46→50	50→55	35	.201/.252/.326	.125	.298	15	14	37%	5%	56	-1.3	.197/.259/.343	.146	.290	18	20	37%	6%	66	-0.6	.186/.254/.339	.153	.266	19	24	36%	6%	60	-0.6
✕Will Holland 2023 · AA	25	38→35	44→45	56→60	40	.182/.266/.298	.116	.308	12	23	41%	8%	57	-1.2	.188/.270/.297	.109	.289	10	29	36%	8%	58	-1.2	.175/.260/.280	.105	.257	10	34	34%	8%	47	-0.8
✕Gabriel Cancel 2022 · AAA	25	36→43	52→50	53→50	34	.198/.245/.362	.164	.283	21	18	38%	5%	64	-0.8	.199/.259/.327	.128	.310	14	14	38%	7%	60	-1.0	.176/.251/.283	.107	.280	12	10	39%	8%	43	-0.8
✕Melky Mesa 2012 · AA	25	40→44	48→55	51→55	36	.201/.261/.345	.143	.304	15	17	38%	6%	66	-0.6	.218/.265/.371	.153	.310	18	17	35%	5%	74	-0.1	.215/.255/.374	.159	.296	21	17	34%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA	26	38→40	45	54→50	42	.196/.270/.318	.122	.273	13	15	32%	7%	63	-0.8	.193/.258/.302	.109	.284	11	12	34%	7%	53	-1.5	.153/.220/.254	.100	.233	9	9	36%	7%	22	-1.3
✕Jordan Brewer 2023 · AA	25	42	43→45	55	40	.199/.276/.305	.105	.313	10	19	37%	7%	62	-0.9	.199/.267/.312	.113	.279	11	16	31%	7%	60	-1.0	.189/.257/.301	.112	.252	11	16	28%	7%	50	-0.9
✕Monte Harrison 2021 · MLB	25	45→43	46→50	58→60	33	.208/.264/.335	.127	.358	15	27	44%	6%	65	-0.7	.203/.268/.334	.131	.366	16	34	45%	7%	66	-0.6	.184/.249/.300	.116	.344	15	38	47%	7%	46	-1.1
✕Justin Dean 2022 · AA	25	44→47	44→45	58→65	39	.210/.280/.329	.119	.316	12	27	35%	7%	70	-0.3	.198/.276/.296	.098	.321	9	32	38%	8%	59	-1.1	.208/.288/.296	.088	.322	8	47	35%	9%	62	-0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)