Junior Perez — OGILVIE

Junior PerezCF Charlotte Knights

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 165 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION428 act + 272 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.173 / .237 / .309

PA272

HR7

SB9

K%40

BB%7

BABIP271

ISO137

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 56

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT34

xwOBA

190.272

POWER56

Barrel%

7011.1

Avg EV

6490.1

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED57

Sprint

3226.6

DEFENSE54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Padres	—	263	224	25	4	1	2	33	115	4	12	5	112	238	165	403	54	211	44	13	196	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK	DSL Padres	—	263	204	36	6	2	3	53	80	4	12	5	176	356	270	626	93	268	30	20	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	AZL Padres 2	—	238	219	39	9	1	8	14	85	3	11	2	178	237	338	575	160	242	36	6	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	AZL Padres 2	—	238	209	56	14	2	11	24	59	3	11	2	268	352	512	864	244	319	25	10	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	Stockton Ports	—	386	347	53	12	5	4	33	190	3	24	7	153	232	251	483	98	316	49	9	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	Stockton Ports	—	386	329	68	16	5	8	51	145	3	24	7	207	319	359	677	152	337	38	13	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	482	421	86	14	1	14	47	181	5	32	7	204	292	342	634	138	309	38	10	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	482	398	99	21	2	15	70	148	5	32	7	249	368	425	792	176	347	31	15	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	493	451	70	19	1	6	34	231	3	41	9	155	219	242	461	86	296	47	7	203	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	493	434	103	27	2	12	51	150	3	41	9	237	322	392	713	154	332	30	10	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	390	354	50	13	1	7	29	191	1	28	5	141	208	243	451	102	269	49	7	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	390	341	75	24	2	8	42	138	1	28	5	220	307	372	680	152	337	35	11	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	3 teams	—	616	546	91	22	4	19	59	224	3	29	6	167	252	326	578	159	235	36	10	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	3 teams	—	616	515	118	30	6	26	90	174	3	29	6	229	347	462	809	233	288	28	15	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AAA	CWS	—	428	393	68	12	5	11	26	180	1	13	4	173	226	313	539	140	273	42	6	236	39	-30	+1	+0	+2	+12	-1.5
YTD	25	AAA	CWS	—	428	382	80	15	6	14	37	149	1	13	4	209	281	390	671	181	292	35	9	293	82	-9	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.6
ROS	25	AAA	CWS	100%	272	249	43	9	2	7	20	110	1	9	2	173	237	309	546	137	271	40	7	246	46	-16	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
ROS	25	MLB	CWS	100%	272	249	43	9	2	7	20	110	1	9	2	173	237	309	546	137	272	40	7	245	46	-17	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
FULL	25	AAA	CWS	—	700	642	111	21	7	18	46	290	2	22	6	173	230	312	542	139	272	41	7	239	41	-46	+2	+0	+2	+20	-2.2
TOT	25	AAA	CWS	—	700	642	111	21	7	18	46	290	2	22	6	173	230	312	542	139	272	41	7	240	42	-46	+2	+0	+2	+20	-2.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	CWS	65%	415	379	70	14	4	12	31	161	2	13	3	185	250	338	588	153	275	39	7	260	57	-20	+1	+0	+1	+12	-0.5
2028	27	MLB	CWS	65%	421	384	71	14	3	12	32	159	2	13	3	185	251	331	582	146	277	38	8	265	61	-19	+1	+0	+2	+12	-0.4
2027	26	MLB	CWS	65%	270	247	45	9	2	8	20	105	1	9	2	182	246	332	578	150	276	39	7	258	56	-13	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.4
2028	27	MLB	CWS	65%	274	250	47	10	2	8	21	103	1	9	2	188	254	340	594	152	278	38	8	263	59	-13	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	816	746	135	28	6	23	61	318	3	27	6	181	246	327	573	146	275	39	7	255	54	-43	+3	+1	+3	+23	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	107	22	5	18	49	253	2	22	5	180	245	325	569	145	274	39	8	255	54	-34	+2	+0	+2	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	3976	3574	598	130	23	91	332	1647	27	212	49	167	243	293	536	126	272	41	8	239	41	-265	+23	+1	+14	+113	-11.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	98	21	4	15	54	269	4	35	8	168	243	295	537	127	272	41	8	239	41	-43	+4	+0	+2	+18	-1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Padres	—	263	204	36	6	2	3	53	80	4	12	5	176	356	270	626	93	268	30	20	303	90	-3	+0	—	—	+7	0.5
2019	18	ROK	AZL Padres 2	—	238	209	56	14	2	11	24	59	3	11	2	268	352	512	864	244	319	25	10	375	145	+12	+1	—	—	+7	2.1
2021	20	A	Stockton Ports	—	386	329	68	16	5	8	51	145	3	24	7	207	319	359	677	152	337	38	13	307	93	-3	+2	—	—	+11	1.0
2022	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	482	398	99	21	2	15	70	148	5	32	7	249	368	425	792	176	347	31	15	351	127	+15	+4	—	—	+14	3.2
2023	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	493	434	103	27	2	12	51	150	3	41	9	237	322	392	713	154	332	30	10	318	102	+1	+5	—	—	+14	2.0
2024	23	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	390	341	75	24	2	8	42	138	1	28	5	220	307	372	680	152	337	35	11	302	89	-5	+4	—	—	+11	1.0
2025	24	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	182	151	45	14	1	12	30	49	0	11	3	298	414	642	1.057	344	363	27	16	449	202	+21	+1	—	—	+5	2.8
2025	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	405	339	68	15	5	14	57	116	3	16	3	201	321	398	719	198	255	29	14	319	102	+1	+2	—	—	+11	1.5
2025	24	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	29	25	5	1	0	0	3	9	0	2	0	200	286	240	526	40	312	31	10	241	43	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	863	24	29	183	249	331	+3	+3	-1.1	-0.6
	/162	664	18	23	183	249	331	+2.4	+2.5	-0.9	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Junior Perez (OGILVIE)	25	30→34	50→56	60→57	60	173/230/312	139	272	18	22	41%	7%	42	-2.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Josh Stowers 2022 · AA	25	37→43	51→50	54→55	39	198/262/353	154	282	19	23	36%	7%	69	-0.4	186/253/322	136	267	16	20	35%	7%	57	-1.2	163/237/289	126	233	14	21	35%	7%	38	-1.6
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	33→28	45	49→50	42	177/246/290	113	244	14	18	33%	7%	46	-2.0	206/279/324	118	280	13	12	29%	9%	68	-0.5	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Matt Gorski 2023 · AA	25	38→33	50→55	56→55	36	199/252/348	149	299	18	20	39%	6%	63	-0.9	198/244/367	169	274	22	18	36%	5%	65	-0.7	186/231/364	178	245	24	19	35%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	45→50	53→55	42	195/273/320	125	283	13	16	34%	8%	65	-0.7	201/277/315	114	267	11	16	27%	8%	65	-0.7	164/253/261	97	214	9	20	27%	8%	38	-1.1
✕Garrett Whitley 2022 · AAA	25	39→36	50	50→55	39	193/273/351	158	310	17	15	41%	8%	73	-0.1	193/274/325	132	323	14	18	41%	9%	66	-0.6	169/268/299	130	291	14	26	43%	11%	54	-0.8
✕Jeter Downs 2023 · MLB	25	30→40	49→50	53→55	39	174/246/309	136	243	19	22	36%	7%	52	-1.6	199/281/339	140	276	15	22	32%	8%	73	-0.1	191/286/326	134	264	12	27	30%	9%	72	-0.1
✕Jason Martinson 2014 · AA	25	36→39	46→45	54→50	38	184/255/307	124	295	15	15	41%	8%	54	-1.4	186/245/294	108	295	12	14	39%	6%	45	-2.1	162/221/268	105	271	12	8	43%	6%	26	-2.4
✕Bradlee Beesley 2023 · AA	25	40	45→50	54→60	37	201/257/327	126	300	13	21	36%	6%	59	-1.1	206/282/327	121	313	11	26	35%	7%	70	-0.3	189/280/319	130	291	11	39	35%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA	25	37→41	45→50	51→50	38	192/249/314	122	273	13	15	34%	6%	53	-1.5	201/262/346	145	307	18	11	38%	7%	67	-0.5	192/257/340	148	302	19	10	41%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	35→34	45→50	47→50	37	180/243/296	116	289	13	11	40%	7%	46	-2.0	189/248/293	104	291	9	10	36%	7%	46	-2.0	146/203/235	89	219	3	6	33%	7%	8	-1.2
✕Gabriel Cancel 2022 · AAA	25	36→46	53→55	54→50	34	197/243/368	171	284	22	19	39%	5%	65	-0.7	195/257/321	126	312	14	14	40%	7%	58	-1.2	170/244/275	106	277	12	10	41%	8%	38	-0.9
✕Connor Kopach 2021 · AAA	26	39→32	47→50	54→55	36	197/256/332	135	300	15	18	38%	6%	60	-1.0	189/254/303	114	365	13	16	48%	7%	52	-1.6	115/188/208	93	250	14	21	57%	7%	-2	-1.5
✕Eduardo Diaz 2022 · AA	25	38→44	50	51→50	35	202/248/350	149	274	19	13	34%	4%	62	-0.9	208/253/335	127	294	13	13	33%	4%	59	-1.1	203/244/323	120	284	10	14	32%	4%	48	-1.4
✕Will Holland 2023 · AA	25	37→34	44→45	56→60	39	177/263/294	117	312	12	24	43%	9%	55	-1.4	190/273/300	110	292	10	29	36%	8%	59	-1.1	177/263/281	104	261	10	34	33%	8%	49	-0.7
✕Jeffrey Baez 2019 · AA	25	41→43	46→50	50→60	40	207/264/335	128	283	14	20	31%	6%	64	-0.8	213/265/357	144	296	18	13	33%	6%	70	-0.3	193/241/343	149	256	21	10	33%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA	26	39	46→45	54→55	36	201/251/328	127	286	14	18	34%	5%	57	-1.2	188/246/300	112	281	12	22	36%	6%	48	-1.9	163/230/248	84	244	7	29	34%	6%	26	-1.3
✕Brandon Martorano 2023 · AA	25	39	49→50	55→50	39	195/268/342	147	311	16	12	40%	8%	69	-0.4	191/268/312	121	313	14	8	40%	9%	61	-1.0	159/249/259	100	260	14	2	41%	10%	37	-0.9
✕Will Wilson 2022 · AA	24	36→38	47→50	51→45	39	189/255/321	133	280	16	8	37%	7%	57	-1.2	201/261/333	132	277	17	6	32%	7%	63	-0.8	194/254/308	114	254	15	4	29%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Cory Vaughn 2014 · AA	25	41	45	53→50	42	203/278/323	120	288	13	14	33%	8%	68	-0.5	187/255/294	107	275	11	13	34%	7%	50	-1.7	158/228/255	96	233	10	12	35%	6%	26	-1.8
✕Cody Puckett 2012 · AA	25	39	50	50	37	204/255/361	157	274	17	12	32%	5%	68	-0.5	202/248/336	134	252	17	10	27%	5%	57	-1.2	190/234/311	121	230	17	9	25%	5%	43	-1.6