Melky Mesa

PosLF

B/TR/R

Born1987-01-31

Age (2027)40

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2020

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2018	31	INTLAguilas de Me…	50	.159/.245/.295	0	0	50	—
2019	32	INTLLeones del Es…	122	.272/.320/.386	2	2	100	—
2020	33	INTLLeones del Es…	31	.179/.233/.179	0	1	15	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2006	19	ROK	GCL Yankees	—	159	145	30	7	2	3	11	45	1	3	3	207	268	345	612	138	276	28	7	271	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	ROK	GCL Yankees	—	169	153	36	10	2	3	9	55	4	5	3	235	295	386	681	150	344	33	5	299	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	570	497	112	24	7	20	51	168	11	18	6	225	308	423	730	197	293	29	9	320	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+	Tampa Yankees	—	509	446	116	21	9	19	44	129	11	31	9	260	340	475	815	215	320	25	9	355	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA	Trenton Thunder	—	436	386	97	24	4	9	36	129	9	18	13	251	327	404	731	153	353	30	8	326	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	A+	Tampa Yankees	—	18	12	2	1	0	0	3	4	2	1	0	167	389	250	639	83	250	22	17	320	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	53	48	10	3	3	0	4	10	1	1	0	208	283	396	679	187	263	19	8	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees	—	133	126	29	8	1	9	7	43	0	5	1	230	271	524	794	294	270	32	5	342	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA	Trenton Thunder	—	371	332	92	18	1	14	29	75	6	17	3	277	344	464	808	187	318	20	8	356	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	62	56	14	5	1	2	4	17	0	2	0	250	300	482	782	232	316	27	6	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	332	314	82	15	3	13	11	112	5	13	2	261	297	452	749	191	361	34	3	327	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	94	87	20	4	1	0	6	21	0	1	2	230	280	299	578	69	299	22	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	93	86	24	4	0	5	4	31	3	1	0	279	333	500	833	221	380	33	4	367	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	138	129	33	9	1	4	5	33	4	1	2	256	304	434	738	178	315	24	4	327	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	85	81	17	3	1	2	4	36	0	1	1	210	247	346	593	136	349	42	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	264	246	53	21	1	4	12	89	3	1	1	215	261	358	618	142	316	34	5	272	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	181	174	52	9	2	4	6	50	1	2	1	299	326	443	768	144	400	28	3	340	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	39	32	9	1	0	0	4	10	2	1	0	281	395	312	707	31	409	26	10	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	102	93	27	7	1	0	8	25	1	1	1	290	353	387	740	97	397	25	8	334	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	172	160	34	7	1	5	8	49	4	4	1	212	267	362	630	150	274	28	5	282	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	50	44	7	4	1	0	4	14	1	0	0	159	245	295	540	136	226	28	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	32	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	122	114	31	5	1	2	8	24	0	2	0	272	320	386	706	114	330	20	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	33	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	31	28	5	0	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	179	233	179	412		238	23	6	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2006	19	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees	—	159	149	19	4	1	2	7	65	1	3	3	128	172	208	380	81	207	41	4	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees	—	169	156	23	6	1	2	6	79	4	5	3	147	199	237	436	90	252	47	4	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	570	522	89	18	6	15	32	225	11	18	6	170	234	314	548	144	251	39	6	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ MLE	Tampa Yankees	—	509	462	95	19	6	16	30	184	11	31	9	206	270	377	647	171	289	36	6	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA MLE	Trenton Thunder	—	436	401	87	19	3	8	24	163	9	18	13	217	276	339	616	122	338	37	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	A+ MLE	Tampa Yankees	—	18	14	2	1	0	0	2	5	2	1	0	143	333	214	548	71	239	28	11	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees	—	133	128	24	6	1	8	5	52	0	5	1	188	218	438	656	250	230	39	4	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA MLE	Trenton Thunder	—	371	343	80	14	1	11	20	92	6	17	3	233	287	376	663	143	283	25	5	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	332	317	70	11	3	11	8	133	5	13	2	221	252	379	630	158	327	40	2	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	93	87	19	3	0	4	3	40	3	1	0	218	269	391	660	172	343	43	3	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	138	131	27	7	1	3	3	41	4	1	2	206	246	344	590	137	273	30	2	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	264	250	45	17	1	3	8	106	3	1	1	180	215	292	507	112	284	40	3	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	181	176	39	6	1	2	4	64	1	2	1	222	243	301	544	80	344	35	2	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	102	96	22	6	1	0	5	32	1	1	1	229	275	312	587	83	339	31	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	172	163	27	5	1	3	5	62	4	4	1	166	209	264	473	98	240	36	3	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees	—	159	149	19	4	1	2	7	65	1	3	3	128	172	208	380	81	205	41	4	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	ROK RAW	GCL Yankees	—	159	145	30	7	2	3	11	45	1	3	3	207	268	345	612	138	276	28	7	271	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees	—	169	156	23	6	1	2	6	79	4	5	3	147	199	237	436	90	276	47	4	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	ROK RAW	GCL Yankees	—	169	153	36	10	2	3	9	55	4	5	3	235	295	386	681	150	344	33	5	299	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	570	522	89	18	6	15	32	225	11	18	6	170	234	314	548	144	258	39	6	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	570	497	112	24	7	20	51	168	11	18	6	225	308	423	730	197	293	29	9	320	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ MLE	Tampa Yankees	—	509	462	95	19	6	16	30	184	11	31	9	206	270	377	647	171	296	36	6	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ RAW	Tampa Yankees	—	509	446	116	21	9	19	44	129	11	31	9	260	340	475	815	215	320	25	9	355	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	507	464	100	23	4	9	29	188	12	20	13	216	279	341	620	125	340	37	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	507	446	109	28	7	9	43	143	12	20	13	244	325	399	724	155	339	28	8	323	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	566	528	117	22	2	21	28	162	6	24	4	222	269	390	659	169	276	29	5	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	566	514	135	31	3	25	40	135	6	24	4	263	322	481	803	218	308	24	7	349	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	426	408	88	14	3	14	10	171	5	14	4	216	243	368	611	152	327	40	2	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	426	401	102	19	4	13	17	133	5	14	4	254	293	419	712	165	345	31	4	313	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AA MLE	3 teams	—	316	301	63	14	1	9	8	111	7	3	3	209	247	352	599	143	298	35	3	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AA RAW	3 teams	—	316	296	74	16	2	11	13	100	7	3	3	250	297	429	727	179	341	32	4	322	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	484	461	93	25	3	6	13	184	6	4	2	202	233	308	541	106	319	38	3	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	484	452	114	31	3	8	22	149	6	4	2	252	296	387	683	135	357	31	5	302	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AA MLE	2 teams	—	274	259	49	11	2	3	10	94	5	5	2	189	234	282	515	93	284	34	4	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AA RAW	2 teams	—	274	253	61	14	2	5	16	74	5	5	2	241	299	372	671	130	322	27	6	302	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	INTL MLE	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	50	44	7	4	1	0	4	14	1	0	0	159	245	295	540	136	226	28	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	INTL RAW	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	50	44	7	4	1	0	4	14	1	0	0	159	245	295	540	136	226	28	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	32	INTL MLE	Leones del Escogido	—	122	114	31	5	1	2	8	24	0	2	0	272	320	386	706	114	330	20	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	32	INTL RAW	Leones del Escogido	—	122	114	31	5	1	2	8	24	0	2	0	272	320	386	706	114	330	20	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	33	INTL MLE	Leones del Escogido	—	31	28	5	0	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	179	233	179	412		238	23	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	33	INTL RAW	Leones del Escogido	—	31	28	5	0	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	179	233	179	412		238	23	6	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	19	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees	—	159	150	19	4	1	2	7	65	1	3	3	127	172	207	379	80	207	41	4	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	20	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees	—	169	157	23	6	1	2	6	79	4	5	3	146	199	236	434	89	252	47	4	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	570	522	89	18	6	15	32	225	11	18	6	170	234	314	548	144	251	39	6	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A+ MLE	Tampa Yankees	—	509	463	95	19	6	16	30	184	11	31	9	205	270	376	646	171	289	36	6	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	507	461	100	23	4	9	29	188	12	20	13	217	279	343	622	126	334	37	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	566	527	117	22	2	21	28	162	6	24	4	222	269	391	660	169	269	29	5	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	426	408	88	14	3	14	10	171	5	14	4	216	243	368	611	152	327	40	2	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AA MLE	3 teams	—	316	298	63	14	1	9	8	111	7	3	3	211	247	356	603	144	301	35	3	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	484	462	93	25	3	6	13	184	6	4	2	201	233	307	541	106	308	38	3	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	AA MLE	2 teams	—	274	257	49	11	2	3	10	94	5	5	2	191	234	284	518	93	277	34	4	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4183	3896	779	165	31	99	187	1508	69	130	49	200	249	334	584	134	294	36	4	239	48	-260	+6	+1	-37	+91	-20.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	605	121	26	5	15	29	234	11	20	8	200	249	334	583	134	295	36	4	239	48	-40	+1	+0	-6	+14	-3.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2016 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 172 PAwOBA .274 → .201 (−73)K% 28.5% → 35.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.49%	÷0.969	×1.220	—	—	35.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.65%	÷1.079	×0.700	—	×0.958	2.89%
HBP% /PA	2.33%	—	×0.850	—	×0.958	1.89%
Singles /BIP	18.92%	÷0.995	×0.970	×0.987	×0.958	17.46%
Doubles /BIP	6.31%	÷1.000	×0.860	×0.987	×0.958	5.13%
Triples /BIP	0.90%	÷1.031	×0.950	×0.987	×0.958	0.78%
Home runs /BIP	4.50%	÷1.292	×0.780	—	×0.958	2.60%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 158, 1B 99, 2B 100, 3B 106, K 94, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .274 → .201; ISO .150 → .093; BABIP .274 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAABuffalo Bisons · 102 PAwOBA .326 → .254 (−72)K% 24.5% → 31.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.51%	÷0.937	×1.200	—	—	31.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.84%	÷1.034	×0.690	—	×0.982	5.14%
HBP% /PA	0.98%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.90%
Singles /BIP	27.94%	÷1.008	×0.930	×0.951	×0.982	24.07%
Doubles /BIP	10.29%	÷0.917	×0.830	×0.951	×0.982	8.70%
Triples /BIP	1.47%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.951	×0.982	1.16%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.164	×0.840	—	×0.982	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 102, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 87, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.

Result: wOBA .326 → .254; ISO .097 → .076; BABIP .397 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAABuffalo Bisons · 264 PAwOBA .267 → .219 (−48)K% 33.7% → 40.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	33.71%	÷1.008	×1.200	—	—	40.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.55%	÷1.040	×0.690	—	×0.992	2.99%
HBP% /PA	1.14%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	1.06%
Singles /BIP	17.20%	÷0.981	×0.930	×0.989	×0.992	15.99%
Doubles /BIP	13.38%	÷0.944	×0.830	×0.989	×0.992	11.54%
Triples /BIP	0.64%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.989	×0.992	0.67%
Home runs /BIP	2.55%	÷0.966	×0.840	—	×0.992	2.20%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .267 → .219; ISO .142 → .117; BABIP .316 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 181 PAwOBA .330 → .247 (−83)K% 27.6% → 35.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.62%	÷0.960	×1.220	—	—	35.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.31%	÷1.026	×0.700	—	×0.968	2.19%
HBP% /PA	0.55%	—	×0.850	—	×0.968	0.45%
Singles /BIP	29.84%	÷0.996	×0.970	×0.959	×0.968	26.96%
Doubles /BIP	7.26%	÷1.064	×0.860	×0.959	×0.968	5.45%
Triples /BIP	1.61%	÷1.150	×0.950	×0.959	×0.968	1.24%
Home runs /BIP	3.23%	÷1.130	×0.780	—	×0.968	2.16%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 92, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .330 → .247; ISO .144 → .093; BABIP .400 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 138 PAwOBA .318 → .248 (−70)K% 23.9% → 29.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.91%	÷0.976	×1.220	—	—	29.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.62%	÷1.062	×0.700	—	×0.978	2.33%
HBP% /PA	2.90%	—	×0.850	—	×0.978	2.41%
Singles /BIP	19.79%	÷1.012	×0.970	×0.950	×0.978	17.63%
Doubles /BIP	9.38%	÷0.952	×0.860	×0.950	×0.978	7.87%
Triples /BIP	1.04%	÷0.921	×0.950	×0.950	×0.978	1.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.17%	÷1.066	×0.780	—	×0.978	2.98%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 84, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .318 → .248; ISO .178 → .132; BABIP .315 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAABuffalo Bisons · 93 PAwOBA .356 → .276 (−80)K% 33.3% → 42.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	33.33%	÷0.942	×1.200	—	—	42.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.30%	÷1.041	×0.690	—	×1.003	2.86%
HBP% /PA	3.23%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	3.04%
Singles /BIP	27.27%	÷0.968	×0.930	×0.978	×1.003	25.70%
Doubles /BIP	7.27%	÷0.985	×0.830	×0.978	×1.003	6.01%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.978	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	9.09%	÷1.006	×0.840	—	×1.003	7.62%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 94, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 88, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .356 → .276; ISO .221 → .161; BABIP .380 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 332 PAwOBA .320 → .263 (−56)K% 33.7% → 40.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	33.73%	÷1.010	×1.200	—	—	40.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.31%	÷1.015	×0.690	—	×1.018	2.29%
HBP% /PA	1.51%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	1.44%
Singles /BIP	25.25%	÷0.971	×0.930	×0.970	×1.018	23.88%
Doubles /BIP	7.43%	÷1.026	×0.830	×0.970	×1.018	5.94%
Triples /BIP	1.49%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.970	×1.018	1.42%
Home runs /BIP	6.44%	÷0.976	×0.840	—	×1.018	5.64%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 94, 2B 105, 3B 100, K 102, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .320 → .263; ISO .191 → .153; BABIP .361 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AATrenton Thunder · 371 PAwOBA .347 → .289 (−58)K% 20.2% → 24.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.22%	÷0.990	×1.220	—	—	24.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.55%	÷0.955	×0.700	—	×0.998	5.52%
HBP% /PA	1.62%	—	×0.850	—	×0.998	1.37%
Singles /BIP	22.96%	÷0.980	×0.970	×0.950	×0.998	21.54%
Doubles /BIP	7.00%	÷1.058	×0.860	×0.950	×0.998	5.40%
Triples /BIP	0.39%	÷0.900	×0.950	×0.950	×0.998	0.39%
Home runs /BIP	5.45%	÷0.975	×0.780	—	×0.998	4.35%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 96, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 98, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .347 → .289; ISO .187 → .146; BABIP .318 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .