Matt Gorski — OGILVIE

Matt Gorski1B ACL Dodgers

Age 28 R/R 6'2" / 220 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION66 act + 134 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .263 / .416

PA134

HR6

SB6

K%35

BB%6

BABIP288

ISO200

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025

CONTACT20

Whiff%

1018.2%

xwOBA

100.253

POWER60

Barrel%

7612.0

Avg EV

1085.3

Bat Spd

8374.8

EYE42

Chase%

1043.9%

SPEED53

Sprint

8128.7

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	401	372	63	16	0	9	20	162	4	18	1	169	220	285	505	116	262	40	5	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	401	358	80	18	0	17	34	125	4	18	1	223	298	416	714	193	285	31	8	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	3 teams	—	323	297	61	10	3	13	21	125	3	20	3	205	265	391	655	185	298	39	7	280	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	3 teams	—	323	284	79	11	4	24	33	92	3	20	3	278	358	599	957	320	324	28	10	409	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	2 teams	—	461	428	73	13	2	14	20	149	5	23	4	171	216	308	525	138	217	32	4	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	2 teams	—	461	415	96	20	2	20	33	116	5	23	4	231	296	434	730	202	266	25	7	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	433	400	79	16	3	21	27	166	0	15	9	198	248	410	658	212	266	38	6	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	433	389	100	24	5	23	38	124	0	15	9	257	323	522	845	265	312	29	9	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	130	123	26	5	1	6	4	46	0	2	1	211	236	415	651	203	270	35	3	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	130	120	30	7	1	6	7	39	0	2	1	250	291	475	766	225	308	30	5	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	ROK	LAD	—	66	58	10	2	0	1	7	26	0	3	2	172	262	259	520	86	281	39	11	227	32	-5	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.5
YTD	28	ROK	LAD	—	66	55	13	3	0	1	10	19	0	3	2	236	354	345	699	109	333	29	15	319	102	+0	-0	+0	-1	+2	0.1
ROS	28	ROK	LAD	0%	134	125	27	5	1	6	8	47	0	6	2	216	263	416	679	200	287	35	6	295	84	-2	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.1
ROS	28	MLB	LAD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		282	—	—	289	79	—	—	-0	-0	—	—
FULL	28	ROK	LAD	—	66	59	10	2	0	1	7	26	0	3	2	169	262	254	516	85	273	39	11	227	32	-5	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.5
TOT	28	ROK	LAD	—	200	183	37	7	1	7	15	73	0	9	4	202	263	366	629	164	286	36	8	273	67	-8	+0	-1	-4	+6	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	LAD	22%	286	265	57	11	1	12	18	97	1	11	3	215	268	400	668	185	287	34	6	295	84	-5	+1	-3	-5	+8	-0.4
2027	29	MLB	LAD	22%	61	57	11	2	0	2	4	21	0	2	1	193	246	333	579	140	283	34	7	288	79	-1	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	103	99	19	2	1	4	5	37	0	2	2	192	233	354	587	162	259	36	5	278	71	-3	-0	-2	-3	+3	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	625	120	13	6	25	32	233	0	13	13	192	234	352	586	160	259	36	5	278	71	-22	-3	-14	-22	+18	-4.2
Career	—			—	2168	2010	386	76	11	81	118	792	13	95	23	192	241	362	603	170	263	37	5	262	59	-101	+10	-5	-39	+61	-7.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	603	115	23	3	24	35	237	4	28	7	191	240	358	598	167	261	36	5	262	59	-30	+3	-1	-12	+18	-2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	401	358	80	18	0	17	34	125	4	18	1	223	298	416	714	193	285	31	8	314	98	-1	+3	—	—	+11	1.4
2022	24	AA	Altoona Curve	—	159	141	39	8	2	6	15	47	2	10	2	277	352	489	842	213	375	30	9	369	141	+7	+1	—	—	+5	1.3
2022	24	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	146	126	37	3	2	17	17	39	1	9	1	294	382	754	1.136	460	278	27	12	470	218	+19	+1	—	—	+4	2.5
2022	24	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	18	17	3	0	0	1	1	6	0	1	0	176	222	353	575	176	200	33	6	255	53	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	65	58	11	4	0	3	6	15	0	4	0	190	266	414	679	224	195	23	9	295	84	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	25	AA	Altoona Curve	—	396	357	85	16	2	17	27	101	5	19	4	238	301	437	738	199	278	26	7	320	103	+2	+2	—	—	+11	1.5
2024	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	433	389	100	24	5	23	38	124	0	15	9	257	323	522	845	265	312	29	9	362	135	+17	-1	—	—	+12	2.9
2025	27	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	42	41	8	0	1	2	1	16	0	0	1	195	214	390	605	195	261	38	2	262	59	-2	-0	-2	-2	+1	-0.5
2025	27	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	88	79	22	7	0	4	6	23	0	2	0	278	329	519	848	241	327	26	7	357	132	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	42	41	8	0	1	2	1	16	0	0	1	195	214	390	605	195	261	38	2	262	59	-2	-0	-2	-2	+1	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	261	12	11	222	264	426	-5	-2	0.1	0.1
	/162	664	31	28	222	264	426	-11.9	-4.6	0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt Gorski (OGILVIE)	28	20	60	53	42	202/263/366	164	286	7	9	36%	8%	67	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Stone Garrett 2023 · MLB	27	38→37	56→55	53→50	35	214/252/400	187	277	25	17	33%	4%	77	+0.1	219/282/362	143	318	16	10	34%	7%	79	+0.3	222/301/341	118	337	12	5	34%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Brian O'Grady 2021 · MLB	29	41→37	57→60	52→50	39	222/276/420	198	292	26	16	33%	6%	92	+1.2	211/277/371	160	292	18	14	33%	8%	79	+0.3	187/262/347	160	256	17	13	33%	8%	66	-0.4
✕Weston Wilson 2022 · AAA	27	42→43	59→55	51→55	46	231/296/433	202	277	28	14	28%	8%	104	+2.0	215/280/381	166	290	22	22	32%	8%	83	+0.6	212/291/397	185	265	26	25	30%	9%	90	+0.7
✕CJ Alexander 2023 · AA	27	38→44	58→60	55→50	34	215/248/408	193	273	27	17	33%	4%	77	+0.1	217/263/394	177	284	23	9	32%	6%	80	+0.4	209/261/375	165	278	20	5	32%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Brad Eldred 2008 · MLB	28	34→40	56→65	48→45	36	197/246/382	185	244	26	10	32%	5%	70	-0.3	201/251/394	193	258	27	8	34%	4%	76	+0.0	203/256/418	215	253	31	9	34%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Aristides Aquino 2021 · MLB	27	39→40	66→65	50	40	232/286/470	239	270	36	11	30%	6%	111	+2.5	213/287/403	190	295	25	8	35%	9%	92	+1.2	192/272/374	181	272	24	6	37%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Justin Maxwell 2013 · MLB	29	43→44	58→60	52→60	45	225/302/428	203	308	26	19	35%	9%	105	+2.1	220/285/378	158	318	18	11	34%	7%	85	+0.7	209/274/345	136	307	15	8	35%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Bobby Dalbec 2023 · MLB	28	42	59→60	53→50	41	226/291/432	206	298	28	6	34%	7%	102	+1.8	210/282/396	186	316	25	12	39%	8%	89	+0.9	197/272/380	184	302	25	13	41%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Jabari Blash 2016 · AAA	27	39→41	58→60	48→50	44	214/292/419	206	279	27	9	33%	8%	98	+1.6	208/310/397	189	306	24	7	37%	11%	101	+1.8	194/309/387	193	292	25	6	39%	12%	95	+0.9
✕J.J. Matijevic 2023 · MLB	27	44→42	58→60	52→50	42	230/293/433	203	313	26	12	34%	8%	102	+1.9	226/286/400	174	310	19	11	32%	7%	90	+1.0	213/276/388	175	290	18	8	32%	7%	79	+0.3
✕Brewer Hicklen 2023 · AAA	27	39→43	53→55	61→60	37	196/272/363	168	322	22	32	44%	8%	76	+0.1	203/283/375	172	293	22	34	37%	8%	84	+0.6	219/291/395	177	297	25	40	34%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Niko Hulsizer 2023 · AAA	26	43→29	57→60	52→50	37	210/279/405	195	353	27	16	46%	8%	89	+1.0	196/276/341	145	310	17	11	39%	9%	72	-0.2	159/253/283	124	247	14	8	39%	10%	46	-1.6
✕Jaylin Davis 2022 · MLB	28	42→45	58→50	48→45	41	226/294/425	199	301	26	10	34%	7%	102	+1.8	199/277/341	142	298	16	7	36%	8%	72	-0.2	180/265/309	130	272	15	4	37%	9%	57	-0.8
✕Sam Hilliard 2022 · MLB	28	32→42	55	55	41	185/252/366	181	256	23	15	37%	8%	68	-0.5	203/278/364	161	283	20	16	34%	9%	79	+0.3	190/268/352	162	268	18	18	34%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Corey Julks 2023 · AAA	27	43→51	55	53→55	42	229/287/409	180	290	23	18	30%	6%	94	+1.3	232/293/371	139	295	15	20	25%	8%	86	+0.8	233/296/352	119	297	11	21	24%	8%	79	+0.2
●Mike Wilson 2011 · AAA	28	39→49	55→60	50	45	214/292/395	181	273	24	12	31%	8%	92	+1.2	235/302/398	163	315	19	8	30%	8%	97	+1.5	236/302/393	156	324	18	4	31%	7%	92	+0.6
●Adolis García 2022 · MLB	29	43→48	58→65	49→50	37	231/276/431	200	299	27	14	33%	5%	95	+1.4	240/300/449	209	297	27	15	28%	7%	110	+2.4	234/301/442	208	284	28	14	28%	8%	106	+2.3
✕Julio Ramirez 2006 · AAA	28	36→31	52→55	52→55	34	202/239/358	156	269	22	23	34%	4%	60	-1.0	199/234/315	116	286	14	17	35%	4%	46	-2.0	160/188/215	55	257	6	12	39%	3%	-3	-1.5
✕Kent Matthes 2014 · AAA	27	40→49	55→65	50	37	218/259/408	190	276	23	13	31%	4%	82	+0.5	204/248/342	138	276	15	10	31%	5%	59	-1.1	188/232/321	133	254	14	8	32%	4%	45	-1.2
●Patrick Wisdom 2021 · MLB	29	38→45	55→70	49→50	41	209/273/387	178	285	25	11	35%	8%	82	+0.5	217/295/456	239	293	34	9	37%	9%	110	+2.4	208/294/461	253	268	37	8	37%	10%	108	+1.6