Billy Cook
RF Indianapolis Indians| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 493 | .275/.379/.474 | 17 | 25 | 87 | — | .221/.305/.366 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLBPIT | 49 | .224/.224/.449 | 3 | 1 | 89 | -0.7 | |
| 2025 | 26 | AAAPIT | 375 | .248/.325/.384 | 8 | 13 | 51 | — | .201/.255/.302 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAAPIT | 96 | .293/.389/.512 | 5 | 6 | 94 | — | .244/.316/.407 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLBPIT | 58 | .179/.207/.250 | 0 | 6 | 25 | -0.5 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 28 | MLBPIT | 57 | .203/.265/.333 | 1 | 3 | 70 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ48% MLB | 29 | MLBPIT | 86 | .202/.265/.330 | 2 | 4 | 69 | -0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 103 | 93 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 258 | 330 | 516 | 846 | 258 | 333 | 32 | 8 | 370 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Orioles Orange | — | 25 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 286 | 348 | 381 | 729 | 95 | 400 | 32 | 4 | 305 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 437 | 389 | 86 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 34 | 139 | 10 | 25 | 4 | 221 | 300 | 422 | 722 | 201 | 298 | 32 | 8 | 318 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 501 | 447 | 112 | 16 | 2 | 24 | 42 | 125 | 6 | 30 | 3 | 251 | 323 | 456 | 780 | 206 | 290 | 25 | 8 | 341 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 89 | 72 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 364 | 458 | 822 | 236 | 293 | 31 | 16 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 49 | 49 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 224 | 449 | 673 | 224 | 296 | 39 | 0 | 291 | 89 | -1 | +0 | +2 | -10 | +1 | -0.7 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 430 | 367 | 102 | 22 | 3 | 16 | 51 | 105 | 9 | 21 | 6 | 278 | 379 | 485 | 864 | 207 | 345 | 24 | 12 | 381 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 63 | 51 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 255 | 377 | 392 | 769 | 137 | 293 | 17 | 13 | 341 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 375 | 331 | 82 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 102 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 248 | 325 | 384 | 709 | 136 | 330 | 27 | 9 | 315 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 58 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 179 | 207 | 250 | 457 | 71 | 303 | 40 | 2 | 206 | 25 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +1 | -0.5 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 96 | 82 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 293 | 389 | 512 | 902 | 220 | 328 | 20 | 12 | 394 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 107 | 105 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 200 | 215 | 343 | 558 | 143 | 300 | 39 | 1 | 245 | 52 | -6 | +1 | +2 | -11 | +2 | -1.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 103 | 96 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 177 | 233 | 344 | 577 | 167 | 277 | 43 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Orioles Orange | — | 25 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 190 | 261 | 238 | 499 | 48 | 304 | 48 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 437 | 402 | 65 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 184 | 10 | 25 | 4 | 162 | 222 | 313 | 535 | 152 | 243 | 42 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 501 | 459 | 94 | 12 | 2 | 15 | 30 | 154 | 6 | 30 | 3 | 205 | 263 | 338 | 600 | 133 | 264 | 31 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 49 | 49 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 224 | 449 | 673 | 224 | 296 | 39 | 0 | 299 | 89 | -1 | +0 | +2 | -10 | +1 | -0.7 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 430 | 381 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 133 | 9 | 21 | 6 | 218 | 302 | 365 | 667 | 147 | 296 | 31 | 9 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 63 | 54 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 241 | 328 | 370 | 698 | 130 | 269 | 22 | 8 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 375 | 344 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 127 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 201 | 255 | 302 | 557 | 102 | 285 | 34 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 58 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 179 | 207 | 250 | 457 | 71 | 303 | 40 | 2 | 205 | 25 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +1 | -0.5 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 96 | 86 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 244 | 316 | 407 | 723 | 163 | 283 | 24 | 8 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 128 | 117 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 55 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 179 | 238 | 325 | 563 | 145 | 283 | 43 | 5 | 249 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 128 | 114 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 41 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 263 | 333 | 491 | 825 | 228 | 348 | 32 | 7 | 357 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 437 | 402 | 65 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 184 | 10 | 25 | 4 | 162 | 222 | 313 | 535 | 152 | 254 | 42 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ RAW | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 437 | 389 | 86 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 34 | 139 | 10 | 25 | 4 | 221 | 300 | 422 | 722 | 201 | 298 | 32 | 8 | 318 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 590 | 540 | 111 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 35 | 182 | 8 | 32 | 3 | 206 | 264 | 339 | 603 | 133 | 269 | 31 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 590 | 519 | 128 | 21 | 2 | 28 | 56 | 153 | 8 | 32 | 3 | 247 | 329 | 457 | 786 | 210 | 291 | 26 | 9 | 344 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 542 | 484 | 107 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 166 | 11 | 26 | 6 | 221 | 298 | 374 | 672 | 153 | 296 | 31 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 542 | 467 | 126 | 26 | 4 | 20 | 59 | 135 | 11 | 26 | 6 | 270 | 365 | 471 | 836 | 201 | 334 | 25 | 11 | 368 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 375 | 344 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 127 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 201 | 255 | 302 | 557 | 102 | 294 | 34 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA RAW | Indianapolis Indians | — | 375 | 331 | 82 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 102 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 248 | 325 | 384 | 709 | 136 | 330 | 27 | 9 | 315 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 154 | 142 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 218 | 275 | 345 | 620 | 127 | 293 | 30 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 154 | 138 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 246 | 320 | 406 | 726 | 159 | 319 | 27 | 8 | 323 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 128 | 118 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 55 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 178 | 238 | 322 | 560 | 144 | 282 | 43 | 5 | 249 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 437 | 403 | 65 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 184 | 10 | 25 | 4 | 161 | 222 | 313 | 534 | 151 | 243 | 42 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 590 | 542 | 111 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 35 | 182 | 8 | 32 | 3 | 205 | 264 | 338 | 602 | 133 | 264 | 31 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 542 | 484 | 107 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 166 | 11 | 26 | 6 | 221 | 298 | 374 | 672 | 153 | 293 | 31 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 375 | 347 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 127 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 199 | 255 | 300 | 554 | 101 | 285 | 34 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 154 | 142 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 218 | 275 | 345 | 620 | 127 | 291 | 30 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 542 | 484 | 107 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 166 | 11 | 26 | 6 | 221 | 298 | 374 | 672 | 153 | 293 | 31 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 375 | 347 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 127 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 199 | 255 | 300 | 554 | 101 | 285 | 34 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 154 | 142 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 218 | 275 | 345 | 620 | 127 | 291 | 30 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | PIT | 45% | 204 | 186 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 62 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 204 | 266 | 339 | 606 | 135 | 268 | 30 | 6 | 271 | 70 | -7 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | PIT | 45% | 57 | 52 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 203 | 265 | 333 | 597 | 130 | 269 | 30 | 7 | 268 | 70 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | PIT | 48% | 180 | 164 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 54 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 204 | 266 | 337 | 603 | 133 | 268 | 30 | 7 | 270 | 69 | -7 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +4 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | PIT | 48% | 86 | 79 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 202 | 265 | 330 | 595 | 128 | 268 | 30 | 7 | 267 | 69 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 193 | 184 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 201 | 238 | 332 | 570 | 130 | 288 | 35 | 4 | 255 | 63 | -9 | +1 | +2 | -12 | +4 | -1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 620 | 125 | 24 | 3 | 17 | 24 | 229 | 7 | 37 | 7 | 202 | 240 | 332 | 572 | 131 | 289 | 35 | 4 | 255 | 63 | -31 | +5 | +6 | -41 | +14 | -4.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2532 | 2308 | 462 | 80 | 15 | 69 | 154 | 852 | 42 | 134 | 20 | 200 | 263 | 338 | 600 | 137 | 279 | 34 | 6 | 261 | 63 | -17 | +3 | +1 | -15 | +9 | -1.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 120 | 21 | 4 | 18 | 40 | 219 | 11 | 34 | 5 | 203 | 266 | 343 | 609 | 140 | 283 | 34 | 6 | 261 | 63 | -27 | +5 | +2 | -23 | +14 | -3.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 96 PAwOBA .384 → .307 (−77)K% 19.8% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.79% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 8.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.966 | ×1.003 | 22.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.966 | ×1.003 | 3.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.966 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 5.57% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .384 → .307; ISO .220 → .160; BABIP .328 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 375 PAwOBA .308 → .244 (−64)K% 27.2% → 33.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.20% | ÷0.965 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.80% | ÷1.112 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 5.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.07% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.02% | ÷1.008 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 21.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.42% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 5.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.49% | ÷0.915 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.72% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 102, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 93, BB 122 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .308 → .244; ISO .136 → .105; BABIP .330 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 430 PAwOBA .373 → .298 (−75)K% 24.4% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.42% | ÷0.948 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.63% | ÷0.977 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 8.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.09% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.28% | ÷1.009 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 21.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.40% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 6.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.11% | ÷0.909 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 4.86% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 90, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .373 → .298; ISO .207 → .158; BABIP .345 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AABowie Baysox · 63 PAwOBA .343 → .291 (−52)K% 17.5% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.46% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.70% | ÷1.028 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 8.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.17% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 2.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.50% | ÷1.008 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.998 | 21.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.062 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 4.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.50% | ÷1.135 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.998 | 2.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.50% | ÷1.249 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 1.56% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 102, 2B 112, 3B 127, K 94, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .343 → .291; ISO .137 → .106; BABIP .293 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AABowie Baysox · 501 PAwOBA .335 → .263 (−72)K% 25.0% → 30.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.95% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.38% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷0.965 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 21.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.97% | ÷1.046 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 3.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷0.998 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.45% | ÷1.208 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 4.87% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 93, 2B 109, 3B 100, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .335 → .263; ISO .206 → .137; BABIP .290 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 437 PAwOBA .310 → .225 (−85)K% 31.8% → 42.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.81% | ÷0.991 | ×1.310 | — | — | 42.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.55% | ÷0.966 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 4.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.29% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 1.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.60% | ÷0.980 | ×0.870 | ×0.952 | ×0.998 | 14.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.40% | ÷0.955 | ×0.780 | ×0.952 | ×0.998 | 6.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.40% | ÷0.964 | ×0.850 | ×0.952 | ×0.998 | 2.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.00% | ÷1.029 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 5.12% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 96, 2B 91, 3B 93, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .310 → .225; ISO .201 → .150; BABIP .298 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 103 PAwOBA .359 → .254 (−106)K% 32.0% → 42.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.04% | ÷1.027 | ×1.360 | — | — | 42.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.77% | ÷1.036 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.94% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.967 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | — | 18.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.055 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | — | 7.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.035 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.035 | ×0.800 | — | — | 7.73% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 93, 2B 111, 3B 107, K 105, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .359 → .254; ISO .258 → .173; BABIP .333 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Orioles Orange · 25 PAwOBA .323 → .226 (−97)K% 32.0% → 46.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 46.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 2.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 2.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 24.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 10.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .323 → .226; ISO .095 → .063; BABIP .400 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .