Alerick SoularieOF
Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 27
R/R
6'0" / 175 lbs
AA
BB -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†74
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .284 / .334
PA143
HR4
SB5
K%31
BB%9
MLB%2%
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.1peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-5M | $-15M | -$9M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | 2 teams | 150 | 132 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 52 | 2 | 9 | 1 | .174 | .273 | .258 | .531 | .083 | .269 | 35 | 11 | .246 | 46 | -9 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 389 | 343 | 62 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 135 | 7 | 18 | 5 | .181 | .270 | .297 | .568 | .117 | .265 | 35 | 9 | .256 | 54 | -20 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +11 | -1.0 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 270 | 235 | 43 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 96 | 5 | 22 | 5 | .183 | .286 | .311 | .597 | .128 | .265 | 36 | 11 | .266 | 62 | -12 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 160 | 135 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 50 | 4 | 15 | 6 | .185 | .272 | .289 | .560 | .104 | .253 | 31 | 8 | .241 | 43 | -10 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | SF | 143 | 128 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 2 | 5 | 1 | .211 | .289 | .359 | .648 | .148 | .281 | 31 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 9% | SF | 209 | 186 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 64 | 3 | 7 | 2 | .210 | .290 | .339 | .629 | .129 | .282 | 31 | 9 | .285 | 76 | -6 | +1 | -1 | -1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 19% | SF | 264 | 235 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 80 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .213 | .294 | .349 | .643 | .136 | .282 | 30 | 9 | .286 | 77 | -7 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 29% | SF | 301 | 268 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 91 | 4 | 9 | 2 | .209 | .289 | .343 | .632 | .134 | .281 | 30 | 9 | .285 | 76 | -8 | +1 | -2 | -2 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 40% | SF | 304 | 271 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 92 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .203 | .282 | .325 | .607 | .122 | .280 | 30 | 9 | .282 | 74 | -9 | +1 | -3 | -2 | +9 | -0.4 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 49% | SF | 296 | 264 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 91 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .205 | .286 | .330 | .615 | .125 | .278 | 31 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -10 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +8 | -0.6 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB 57% | SF | 273 | 243 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 86 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .202 | .284 | .321 | .605 | .119 | .277 | 32 | 9 | .272 | 66 | -10 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +8 | -0.8 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB 68% | SF | 235 | 210 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 76 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .195 | .275 | .310 | .584 | .114 | .275 | 32 | 9 | .265 | 61 | -10 | +1 | -5 | -1 | +7 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2994 | 2650 | 524 | 91 | 12 | 70 | 267 | 957 | 46 | 113 | 28 | .198 | .282 | .320 | .603 | .123 | .276 | 32 | 9 | .271 | 66 | -116 | +11 | -20 | -18 | +85 | -5.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 575 | 114 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 58 | 208 | 10 | 25 | 6 | .198 | .283 | .322 | .604 | .123 | .278 | 32 | 9 | .271 | 66 | -25 | +3 | -4 | -4 | +18 | -1.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 125 | 105 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 31 | 1 | 9 | 1 | .219 | .344 | .324 | .668 | .105 | .292 | 25 | 15 | .312 | 97 | -0 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Twins | 25 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .350 | .480 | .550 | 1.030 | .200 | .462 | 24 | 16 | .457 | 208 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 389 | 330 | 75 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 106 | 7 | 18 | 5 | .227 | .338 | .382 | .719 | .155 | .298 | 27 | 12 | .324 | 106 | +3 | +2 | — | — | +11 | 1.6 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 270 | 225 | 52 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 75 | 5 | 22 | 5 | .231 | .357 | .409 | .766 | .178 | .293 | 28 | 14 | .346 | 123 | +7 | +2 | — | — | +8 | 1.7 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 160 | 130 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 40 | 4 | 15 | 6 | .192 | .305 | .308 | .612 | .115 | .239 | 25 | 11 | .270 | 65 | -6 | +1 | — | — | +5 | -0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Alerick Soularie (OGILVIE) | 27 | — | — | — | — | .204/.284/.334 | .130 | .281 | 4 | 5 | 31% | 9% | 74 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Adam Engel 2019 · MLB |
27 | 42→48 | 43→50 | 54→60 | 39 | .208/.265/.327 | .119 | .287 | 10 | 21 | 30% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .230/.286/.372 | .142 | .305 | 14 | 17 | 28% | 5% | 83 | +0.6 | .227/.287/.366 | .138 | .305 | 13 | 23 | 28% | 5% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Kyle Datres 2023 · AA |
27 | 42→43 | 50 | 55 | 44 | .216/.293/.366 | .150 | .294 | 18 | 23 | 32% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .212/.292/.349 | .137 | .297 | 17 | 21 | 32% | 9% | 80 | +0.4 | .195/.282/.319 | .124 | .275 | 16 | 21 | 33% | 9% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA |
27 | 43→45 | 48→45 | 53→55 | 48 | .221/.296/.363 | .142 | .269 | 16 | 16 | 24% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .221/.293/.348 | .127 | .275 | 14 | 24 | 24% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .214/.285/.324 | .111 | .265 | 13 | 28 | 24% | 8% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Narciso Crook 2022 · AAA |
27 | 43 | 49→55 | 50 | 39 | .215/.277/.364 | .150 | .307 | 16 | 12 | 34% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .214/.286/.373 | .159 | .324 | 19 | 15 | 38% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .200/.278/.359 | .159 | .312 | 19 | 17 | 39% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Ryan Cordell 2019 · MLB |
27 | 39→41 | 47→55 | 51→50 | 38 | .205/.249/.340 | .135 | .267 | 15 | 14 | 29% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .206/.261/.337 | .131 | .289 | 15 | 12 | 33% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .187/.253/.332 | .146 | .269 | 20 | 12 | 37% | 7% | 57 | -0.5 |
|
✕Michael Helman 2023 · AAA |
27 | 41 | 51→55 | 57→55 | 46 | .215/.276/.371 | .155 | .258 | 19 | 25 | 25% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .221/.279/.380 | .159 | .267 | 19 | 22 | 24% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .213/.271/.381 | .168 | .251 | 20 | 20 | 24% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Jim Haley 2022 · AA |
27 | 38→43 | 49→50 | 53→55 | 34 | .201/.250/.347 | .145 | .290 | 18 | 20 | 37% | 4% | 62 | -0.9 | .202/.257/.342 | .140 | .285 | 17 | 20 | 34% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .202/.259/.333 | .130 | .275 | 15 | 22 | 31% | 5% | 58 | -0.8 |
|
✕Brandon Barnes 2013 · MLB |
27 | 43→52 | 48→55 | 50 | 40 | .219/.268/.366 | .146 | .287 | 15 | 14 | 29% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .234/.281/.355 | .121 | .317 | 11 | 14 | 29% | 5% | 76 | +0.1 | .214/.266/.361 | .147 | .296 | 17 | 15 | 33% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 |
|
✕Michael Gigliotti 2023 · AA |
27 | 42 | 46→40 | 57→55 | 48 | .206/.304/.336 | .130 | .293 | 14 | 25 | 32% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .214/.310/.321 | .107 | .288 | 9 | 17 | 26% | 10% | 81 | +0.4 | .206/.316/.294 | .088 | .270 | 5 | 13 | 23% | 12% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Reid Gorecki 2008 · AAA |
27 | 40→50 | 45→50 | 49→55 | 45 | .205/.269/.331 | .126 | .266 | 13 | 19 | 28% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .237/.293/.365 | .128 | .299 | 13 | 19 | 24% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .240/.295/.363 | .123 | .301 | 11 | 21 | 23% | 6% | 80 | +0.3 |
|
✕Blake Tekotte 2014 · MLB |
27 | 40→46 | 46→50 | 50→55 | 41 | .204/.262/.336 | .132 | .274 | 13 | 20 | 30% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .203/.261/.323 | .120 | .276 | 11 | 10 | 29% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .193/.255/.309 | .116 | .262 | 12 | 4 | 30% | 6% | 50 | -0.7 |
|
✕Kevin Smith 2023 · MLB |
27 | 40→45 | 49→55 | 54→50 | 39 | .206/.260/.354 | .148 | .283 | 17 | 14 | 33% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .211/.255/.351 | .140 | .304 | 18 | 16 | 35% | 5% | 65 | -0.7 | .205/.244/.339 | .134 | .297 | 19 | 19 | 37% | 4% | 55 | -0.7 |
|
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2022 · AA |
27 | 40→42 | 46→50 | 53→55 | 37 | .206/.252/.330 | .125 | .286 | 14 | 22 | 33% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .209/.251/.359 | .150 | .287 | 17 | 19 | 32% | 4% | 65 | -0.7 | .200/.242/.346 | .146 | .275 | 16 | 23 | 33% | 4% | 55 | -0.9 |
|
✕Taylor Featherston 2017 · MLB |
27 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 49→50 | 38 | .209/.253/.343 | .135 | .265 | 14 | 11 | 27% | 4% | 62 | -0.9 | .190/.246/.310 | .120 | .287 | 13 | 11 | 37% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .164/.225/.278 | .114 | .280 | 14 | 10 | 44% | 5% | 31 | -1.9 |
|
✕Weston Wilson 2023 · AAA |
28 | 41→43 | 49→55 | 51→55 | 40 | .213/.267/.358 | .145 | .288 | 18 | 17 | 32% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .219/.288/.394 | .175 | .287 | 23 | 23 | 31% | 9% | 91 | +1.1 | .215/.294/.402 | .188 | .269 | 26 | 25 | 30% | 10% | 92 | +0.8 |
|
✕Cody Strait 2010 · AA |
27 | 44→47 | 45→55 | 51→55 | 40 | .220/.263/.351 | .131 | .286 | 12 | 16 | 28% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .214/.262/.316 | .102 | .287 | 7 | 16 | 27% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .168/.218/.244 | .076 | .235 | 0 | 24 | 27% | 4% | 17 | -1.0 |
|
✕Travis Witherspoon 2015 · AA |
26 | 41→47 | 46→45 | 53→55 | 43 | .209/.268/.337 | .128 | .278 | 14 | 23 | 30% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .197/.249/.299 | .102 | .272 | 11 | 18 | 30% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .163/.206/.224 | .061 | .223 | 7 | 19 | 30% | 5% | 7 | -2.2 |
|
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA |
26 | 38→40 | 45 | 54→50 | 42 | .196/.270/.318 | .122 | .273 | 13 | 15 | 32% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .193/.258/.302 | .109 | .284 | 11 | 12 | 34% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .153/.220/.254 | .100 | .233 | 9 | 9 | 36% | 7% | 22 | -1.3 |
|
✕Mitch Longo 2022 · AAA |
27 | 46→45 | 48→45 | 58→50 | 41 | .230/.279/.372 | .142 | .295 | 15 | 20 | 27% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .224/.271/.370 | .146 | .295 | 17 | 15 | 29% | 5% | 76 | +0.1 | .186/.224/.319 | .133 | .236 | 18 | 3 | 30% | 4% | 38 | -0.6 |
|
✕Derrick Mitchell 2014 · AAA |
27 | 41→46 | 47→50 | 48→55 | 41 | .211/.259/.346 | .135 | .267 | 15 | 16 | 27% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .209/.272/.338 | .129 | .264 | 14 | 14 | 26% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .179/.268/.285 | .106 | .210 | 13 | 12 | 21% | 10% | 56 | -0.4 |