Alerick Soularie

Alerick SoularieOF Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 27 R/R 6'0" / 175 lbs AA HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 143 proj PA

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .291 / .344

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%8

ISO131

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	125	105	23	3	1	2	19	31	1	9	1	219	344	324	668	105	292	25	15	312	97	-0	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2021	22	ROK	FCL Twins	—	25	20	7	1	0	1	4	6	1	0	0	350	480	550	1.030	200	462	24	16	457	195	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	389	330	75	15	3	10	48	106	7	18	5	227	338	382	719	155	298	27	12	324	105	+3	+2	—	—	+8	1.3
2023	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	270	225	52	5	1	11	39	75	5	22	5	231	357	409	766	178	293	28	14	346	120	+7	+2	—	—	+6	1.5
2024	25	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	160	130	25	6	0	3	17	40	4	15	6	192	305	308	612	115	239	25	11	270	69	-6	+1	—	—	+3	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	125	111	18	2	1	2	13	43	1	9	1	162	256	252	508	90	247	34	10	231	42	-9	+1	—	—	+3	-0.5
2021	22	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	25	22	6	1	0	1	2	9	1	0	0	273	360	455	815	182	358	36	8	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	389	343	60	12	2	8	35	144	7	18	5	175	265	292	556	117	262	37	9	250	55	-21	+2	—	—	+8	-1.1
2023	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	270	236	45	5	1	7	28	90	5	22	5	191	290	309	599	119	268	33	10	268	68	-10	+2	—	—	+6	-0.2
2024	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	160	135	24	5	0	2	12	48	4	15	6	178	265	259	524	81	222	30	8	237	47	-10	+1	—	—	+3	-0.6
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	150	132	23	3	1	2	16	52	2	9	1	174	273	258	531	83	269	35	11	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	150	125	30	4	1	3	23	37	2	9	1	240	367	360	727	120	318	25	15	336	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	389	343	60	12	2	8	35	144	7	18	5	175	265	292	556	117	267	37	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	389	330	75	15	3	10	48	106	7	18	5	227	338	382	719	155	298	27	12	324	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	270	236	45	5	1	7	28	90	5	22	5	191	290	309	599	119	271	33	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	—	270	225	52	5	1	11	39	75	5	22	5	231	357	409	766	178	293	28	14	346	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	160	135	24	5	0	2	12	48	4	15	6	178	265	259	524	81	244	30	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	160	130	25	6	0	3	17	40	4	15	6	192	305	308	612	115	239	25	11	270	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	150	131	23	3	1	2	16	52	2	9	1	176	273	260	533	84	266	35	11	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	389	344	60	12	2	8	35	144	7	18	5	174	265	291	556	116	262	37	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	270	235	45	5	1	7	28	90	5	22	5	191	290	311	601	119	268	33	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	160	143	24	5	0	2	12	48	4	15	6	168	265	245	510	77	222	30	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	270	235	45	5	1	7	28	90	5	22	5	191	290	311	601	119	268	33	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	160	143	24	5	0	2	12	48	4	15	6	168	265	245	510	77	222	30	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	SF	2%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		280	27	9	289	82	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SF	27%	209	186	41	8	1	5	18	56	3	6	2	220	300	355	654	134	280	27	9	292	83	-4	+0	-1	-1	+5	-0.1
2028	29	MLB MLE	SF	37%	264	236	51	10	1	6	22	70	4	8	2	216	294	343	637	127	280	27	8	292	84	-5	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.2
2029	30	MLB MLE	SF	43%	301	268	58	11	1	7	26	80	4	8	2	216	295	343	639	127	280	27	9	291	83	-6	+1	-2	-2	+7	-0.3
2027	28	MLB CTX	SF	27%	56	50	10	2	0	1	5	15	1	2	1	200	286	300	586	100	275	27	9	274	83	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	SF	37%	98	89	18	3	0	2	8	26	1	3	1	202	276	303	579	101	275	27	8	275	84	-2	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.1
2029	30	MLB CTX	SF	43%	130	116	26	5	1	3	11	35	2	3	1	224	302	362	664	138	274	27	8	274	83	-3	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	284	255	54	10	1	6	24	76	4	8	3	212	290	329	619	118	276	27	8	275	69	-6	+0	-2	-2	+6	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	124	23	2	14	55	174	9	18	7	212	290	330	621	118	276	27	8	275	69	-13	+1	-4	-4	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	1754	1546	303	54	7	37	158	543	29	86	23	196	283	312	595	116	271	31	9	270	69	-16	+2	-4	-5	+17	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	113	20	3	14	59	201	11	32	9	197	285	316	601	119	273	31	9	270	69	-13	+2	-3	-4	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	287	7	8	219	294	352	-2	+0	0.1	0.1
/162	664	16	19	-4.0	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alerick Soularie (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	215/291/344	129	280	3	5	27%	8%	82	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA	27	43→45	47→45	53→55	49	218/294/356	138	264	15	16	23%	8%	84	+0.2	221/293/346	125	274	14	24	24%	8%	82	-0.0	215/286/326	111	267	12	28	23%	8%	73	-0.5
✕Weston Wilson 2023 · AAA	28	41→43	47→55	51→55	40	207/263/336	128	288	15	17	33%	7%	68	-1.0	213/285/371	158	283	20	23	31%	9%	84	+0.2	207/286/372	166	264	22	25	30%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Kyle Datres 2023 · AA	27	42	49→50	56→55	44	214/290/357	143	288	17	23	31%	8%	84	+0.1	208/287/335	127	289	15	21	31%	9%	78	-0.3	192/278/307	115	267	14	21	31%	9%	66	-0.5
✕Brian O'Grady 2019 · AAA	27	40→38	47→55	52→50	45	206/276/349	144	272	14	12	29%	8%	76	-0.4	214/274/384	170	291	20	15	32%	7%	84	+0.1	200/265/376	176	270	21	17	33%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Reid Gorecki 2008 · AAA	27	42→51	44→50	48→55	45	208/271/329	120	268	12	18	26%	8%	70	-0.9	238/293/355	117	300	11	20	23%	7%	83	+0.1	238/294/352	114	300	9	21	23%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Corey Julks 2022 · AA	26	45→51	45→50	50→55	42	224/276/352	127	299	12	14	29%	6%	76	-0.4	227/288/378	151	288	18	19	27%	7%	87	+0.4	221/289/367	146	276	17	21	26%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Anthony Norman 2011 · AA	26	42	46→50	54→55	48	211/291/344	132	264	13	14	24%	8%	81	-0.1	212/271/313	101	296	6	10	29%	6%	65	-1.2	228/269/342	114	334	0	12	30%	5%	67	-0.2
✕Alex Call 2022 · AAA	27	43→48	46→50	48→50	48	218/284/345	127	257	14	14	21%	8%	78	-0.3	226/320/367	141	263	15	15	19%	11%	97	+1.1	238/341/359	122	289	11	12	20%	12%	103	+0.8
✕Ryan Cordell 2018 · AAA	26	42→43	49→50	52→50	40	218/266/368	150	278	17	14	28%	6%	76	-0.4	208/258/330	122	282	13	12	30%	6%	65	-1.2	179/234/295	116	256	14	13	35%	6%	47	-1.1
✕Travis Witherspoon 2015 · AA	26	41→47	46→45	53→55	43	209/269/337	127	277	14	23	29%	7%	70	-0.8	200/252/300	100	274	10	17	29%	6%	55	-1.9	169/211/228	59	227	7	19	28%	5%	20	-2.1
✕Jerad Head 2010 · AA	27	45→44	44→50	50	40	223/281/350	126	282	11	11	24%	5%	78	-0.3	229/279/377	148	283	16	7	25%	4%	84	+0.1	223/275/375	152	272	18	7	25%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Michael Helman 2023 · AAA	27	41	49→50	57→55	46	214/274/360	146	257	18	26	25%	7%	78	-0.3	219/277/367	148	268	17	22	24%	6%	80	-0.1	209/267/365	156	250	18	20	24%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Cody Strait 2010 · AA	27	45→48	44→50	51→55	41	224/268/347	123	288	11	16	26%	5%	72	-0.7	215/265/314	99	284	7	16	25%	6%	63	-1.3	171/221/244	73	232	0	24	25%	4%	28	-1.0
✕Narciso Crook 2022 · AAA	27	42→43	47→50	49→50	40	211/279/350	139	304	15	12	34%	7%	78	-0.3	208/282/351	143	321	16	15	38%	7%	80	-0.2	194/272/334	141	306	16	17	39%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Phillip Ervin 2019 · MLB	27	46→51	45→50	54→55	46	229/296/358	129	285	12	23	24%	7%	86	+0.3	225/298/360	135	292	13	15	26%	8%	87	+0.4	215/286/353	139	281	14	16	27%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Michael Gigliotti 2023 · AA	27	41	45→40	57→55	49	202/300/325	123	283	13	26	31%	10%	81	-0.1	215/309/320	105	287	9	16	26%	10%	82	+0.0	206/316/294	88	270	5	13	23%	12%	78	-0.1
✕Daz Cameron 2023 · MLB	26	42→45	44→50	55	40	208/267/329	122	292	11	20	32%	6%	68	-1.0	216/283/359	143	283	16	22	28%	7%	82	-0.0	225/296/393	168	284	19	27	27%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Rylan Bannon 2023 · MLB	27	37→44	47→50	52→50	48	191/275/320	128	248	15	12	29%	9%	70	-0.8	201/294/345	144	266	17	13	29%	11%	82	+0.0	187/289/332	145	245	18	12	30%	12%	76	-0.3
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA	26	41	45→40	48→55	42	208/268/333	125	282	13	14	30%	7%	70	-0.9	232/303/339	107	302	9	27	24%	8%	84	+0.1	241/321/332	91	311	6	48	22%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Jonathan Davis 2018 · AA	26	44→52	43→45	51→55	48	213/297/329	117	284	10	18	27%	9%	80	-0.2	225/302/340	115	291	10	19	25%	7%	84	+0.2	221/304/328	106	311	9	22	29%	9%	79	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps