Jordan Nwogu — OGILVIE

Jordan NwoguOF Knoxville Smokies

Age 27 R/R 6'2" / 230 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION151 act + 100 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .281 / .268

PA100

HR1

K%30

BB%7

BABIP285

ISO67

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	373	334	62	10	2	7	31	155	6	16	4	186	267	290	557	105	318	42	8	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	373	323	80	12	2	10	42	105	6	16	4	248	345	390	735	142	335	28	11	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	378	335	67	12	4	13	27	121	12	19	6	200	283	376	660	176	263	32	7	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	378	325	86	17	7	15	37	90	12	19	6	265	361	498	859	234	317	24	10	374	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	363	334	49	5	1	11	17	174	9	15	7	147	208	266	475	120	252	48	5	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	363	324	63	7	1	16	27	137	9	15	7	194	275	370	645	176	272	38	7	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	3 teams	—	449	409	74	15	2	9	29	137	5	28	7	181	244	293	537	112	242	31	6	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	3 teams	—	449	399	92	23	2	11	39	98	5	28	7	231	307	381	688	150	274	22	9	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	368	333	81	9	1	3	18	120	13	23	7	243	308	303	611	60	364	33	5	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	368	325	91	9	2	3	26	92	13	23	7	280	357	348	705	68	376	25	7	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AA	CHC	—	151	130	29	3	1	1	14	35	6	9	0	223	327	285	611	62	295	23	9	283	75	-4	+2	+0	-1	+4	0.1
YTD	27	AA	CHC	—	151	123	33	4	1	1	21	27	6	9	0	268	400	341	741	73	333	18	14	347	123	+4	+2	+0	-1	+4	0.9
ROS	27	AA	CHC	2%	100	89	18	3	0	1	7	30	3	4	1	201	281	268	549	67	291	30	7	263	60	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
ROS	27	MLB	CHC	2%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						292	50	0	245	46	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	27	AA	CHC	—	153	132	29	3	1	1	14	36	6	9	0	220	322	280	603	61	292	24	9	283	74	-4	+2	+0	-1	+4	0.1
TOT	27	AA	CHC	—	251	219	47	6	1	2	21	65	9	13	1	214	308	278	586	64	291	26	8	275	69	-9	+2	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	CHC	27%	267	240	50	7	1	4	19	78	6	8	2	208	283	296	579	87	292	29	7	269	64	-11	+1	-1	-2	+8	-0.5
2028	29	MLB	CHC	37%	309	277	59	9	1	5	22	89	7	9	2	213	288	307	594	94	292	29	7	271	66	-12	+1	-1	-2	+9	-0.6
2029	30	MLB	CHC	43%	336	301	64	10	1	5	25	97	7	9	2	213	288	302	591	90	290	29	7	271	66	-13	+1	-2	-2	+10	-0.7
2027	28	MLB	CHC	27%	72	65	13	2	0	1	5	21	2	2	0	200	278	277	555	77	294	29	7	253	52	-4	+0	-0	-0	+2	-0.2
2028	29	MLB	CHC	37%	115	103	21	3	0	2	8	33	3	3	1	204	281	291	572	87	293	29	7	256	54	-6	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.4
2029	30	MLB	CHC	43%	145	130	28	4	1	2	11	42	3	4	1	215	292	308	599	92	292	29	8	256	54	-7	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	334	300	62	9	1	5	24	97	8	9	2	207	283	293	576	87	285	29	7	255	54	-18	+1	-2	-2	+9	-1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	121	18	2	10	47	189	16	18	4	207	285	296	581	89	285	29	7	255	54	-34	+2	-3	-4	+18	-2.1
Career	—			—	2943	2652	524	80	13	58	195	1001	68	131	38	198	270	303	573	106	288	34	7	257	55	-150	+11	-4	-18	+83	-7.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	116	18	3	13	43	221	15	29	8	198	270	305	576	108	289	34	7	257	55	-33	+3	-1	-4	+18	-1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	373	323	80	12	2	10	42	105	6	16	4	248	345	390	735	142	335	28	11	332	112	+5	+2	—	—	+11	1.8
2022	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	378	325	86	17	7	15	37	90	12	19	6	265	361	498	859	234	317	24	10	374	145	+19	+1	—	—	+11	3.2
2023	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	363	324	63	7	1	16	27	137	9	15	7	194	275	370	645	176	272	38	7	288	79	-9	+0	—	—	+10	0.2
2024	25	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	45	41	7	3	1	1	4	12	0	4	0	171	244	366	610	195	214	27	9	270	65	-2	+1	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	25	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	323	283	68	15	1	6	31	72	4	19	7	240	324	364	688	124	295	22	10	308	94	-2	+1	—	—	+9	0.8
2024	25	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	—	81	75	17	5	0	4	4	14	1	5	0	227	275	453	728	227	224	17	5	315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	26	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	368	325	91	9	2	3	26	92	13	23	7	280	357	348	705	68	376	25	7	322	104	+2	+2	—	—	+10	1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	336	5	9	213	284	305	-2	+0	-0.6	-0.3
	/162	664	10	18	213	284	305	-4.0	+0.0	-1.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jordan Nwogu (OGILVIE)	27	50	30	60	35	214/308/278	64	291	2	13	26%	8%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joel Booker 2021 · AAA	27	45→49	39→40	51→55	39	214/270/299	85	302	7	19	30%	5%	57	-1.2	198/236/300	102	321	10	21	40%	4%	43	-2.2	156/175/240	84	265	10	33	45%	1%	-2	-1.8
✕Ian Dawkins 2022 · AA	27	44→50	41→40	53→50	38	215/254/309	94	285	9	15	28%	4%	53	-1.5	213/260/321	108	292	10	14	29%	5%	59	-1.1	203/251/308	106	273	9	16	28%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Matthew Batten 2022 · AAA	27	49→51	38→40	54→55	41	227/280/300	74	334	6	22	32%	7%	60	-1.0	207/279/301	94	289	9	23	29%	9%	62	-0.9	191/268/284	93	259	9	24	28%	9%	51	-1.4
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2022 · AA	27	43→47	40→45	52→60	43	205/279/305	101	295	6	20	31%	7%	63	-0.8	197/283/312	115	286	13	26	33%	8%	68	-0.5	172/273/285	113	252	14	31	35%	9%	55	-1.0
✕Rafael Bautista 2021 · AAA	28	45→53	40→30	53→60	43	216/267/303	87	278	7	16	24%	6%	56	-1.3	217/264/323	106	273	11	9	24%	4%	61	-1.0	204/247/291	87	252	10	6	23%	3%	41	-1.0
✕Ben DeLuzio 2022 · AAA	27	47→49	41→45	56→60	39	221/278/333	112	313	7	22	30%	6%	69	-0.4	208/268/316	108	295	9	25	31%	6%	61	-1.0	194/258/291	97	275	9	30	31%	6%	47	-1.0
✕Mark Dolenc 2012 · AA	27	48→52	39→40	50→55	36	224/268/311	87	337	7	17	34%	5%	58	-1.2	207/253/294	87	328	8	14	37%	5%	48	-1.9	134/158/172	38	231	6	15	45%	2%	-28	-1.4
✕Kenny Wilson 2017 · AAA	27	48→51	39→40	56→60	44	225/284/312	87	305	5	27	27%	7%	66	-0.6	212/276/307	95	312	7	22	32%	7%	62	-0.9	195/262/289	94	302	8	22	35%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Adam Engel 2019 · MLB	27	43→48	43→50	53→60	39	209/264/326	116	289	10	19	30%	5%	62	-0.9	229/286/370	141	303	14	17	28%	5%	82	+0.5	221/280/353	132	298	13	23	29%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Matt Lipka 2019 · AAA	27	42→52	42→45	55→60	43	206/262/312	105	265	9	21	25%	6%	56	-1.3	225/275/337	112	307	10	25	29%	6%	69	-0.4	229/281/338	109	328	10	40	32%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Andy Simunic 2013 · AA	27	50→58	37→30	52→50	43	238/287/303	65	315	5	13	25%	6%	64	-0.8	235/284/299	64	316	4	14	25%	6%	62	-0.9	234/283/267	33	324	1	18	26%	6%	51	-0.4
✕Willie Argo 2017 · AA	27	44→38	40	52→55	48	210/293/296	86	292	7	17	29%	9%	67	-0.5	198/255/335	137	308	15	14	39%	6%	61	-1.0	159/218/296	137	243	16	17	41%	6%	35	-1.4
✕Kristopher Negrón 2013 · AAA	27	39→49	43→45	56→55	38	197/247/304	107	262	10	20	28%	4%	49	-1.8	204/255/304	100	281	9	16	29%	5%	52	-1.6	219/281/336	117	319	13	14	33%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2010 · AAA	26	46	38→40	56→55	38	216/263/303	86	301	4	17	28%	5%	54	-1.4	238/278/328	90	312	6	20	24%	5%	66	-0.6	249/289/320	71	314	5	23	22%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Mickey McDonald 2022 · AAA	27	46→48	37→30	57→50	43	212/279/285	73	301	4	17	29%	7%	57	-1.2	229/301/318	89	316	7	16	27%	8%	76	+0.0	233/314/304	71	326	5	16	27%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Michael Mitchell 2012 · AA	26	45→55	37→40	56→55	42	213/270/288	74	288	5	24	27%	6%	53	-1.5	207/246/287	80	284	6	19	28%	4%	43	-2.2	196/224/260	63	269	5	20	28%	2%	23	-3.0
✕Hunter Jones 2018 · AA	26	42→52	41→45	53→55	41	207/264/307	99	272	8	16	26%	6%	56	-1.3	219/275/315	96	291	8	13	26%	6%	63	-0.9	225/280/310	85	299	6	13	25%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Michael O'Neill 2019 · AAA	27	42	43→45	55	35	207/257/319	112	308	11	22	35%	5%	56	-1.3	218/268/310	92	334	9	18	35%	6%	59	-1.1	222/269/281	59	347	7	18	36%	5%	46	-1.2
✕Ryan Strausborger 2015 · AAA	27	46→47	41→45	61→55	40	222/259/323	102	280	8	24	24%	4%	58	-1.2	217/263/318	101	281	9	25	25%	5%	59	-1.1	206/258/299	93	271	9	28	27%	5%	49	-0.9
✕Torii Hunter Jr. 2022 · AAA	27	43→47	40	50→55	38	200/264/289	89	328	8	15	39%	7%	52	-1.6	214/266/331	117	341	11	23	38%	6%	63	-0.8	209/255/336	126	332	12	39	39%	4%	56	-0.6