Jordan Nwogu — OGILVIE

Jordan NwoguLF Knoxville Smokies

Age 27 R/R 6'2" / 230 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION249 act + 23 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .304 / .250

PA23

HR0

K%26

BB%9

BABIP295

ISO50

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	373	323	80	12	2	10	42	105	6	16	4	248	345	390	735	142	335	28	11	332	111	+5	+2	—	—	+8	1.5
2022	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	378	325	86	17	7	15	37	90	12	19	6	265	361	498	859	234	317	24	10	374	139	+18	+1	—	—	+8	2.8
2023	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	363	324	63	7	1	16	27	137	9	15	7	194	275	370	645	176	272	38	7	288	81	-8	+0	—	—	+8	-0.0
2024	25	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	45	41	7	3	1	1	4	12	0	4	0	171	244	366	610	195	214	27	9	270	69	-2	+1	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	25	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	323	283	68	15	1	6	31	72	4	19	7	240	324	364	688	124	295	22	10	308	95	-2	+1	—	—	+7	0.6
2024	25	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	—	81	75	17	5	0	4	4	14	1	5	0	227	275	453	728	227	224	17	5	315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	26	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	368	325	91	9	2	3	26	92	13	23	7	280	357	348	705	68	376	25	7	322	104	+2	+2	—	—	+8	1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	373	336	63	9	2	7	29	148	6	16	4	188	264	289	553	101	302	40	8	247	53	-21	+2	—	—	+8	-1.1
2022	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	378	335	69	13	5	12	27	121	12	19	6	206	289	382	671	176	265	32	7	288	81	-9	+1	—	—	+8	0.1
2023	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	363	334	50	5	1	11	17	166	9	15	7	150	211	269	481	120	238	46	5	209	28	-31	+0	—	—	+8	-2.4
2024	25	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	45	42	6	2	1	1	3	15	0	4	0	143	200	310	510	167	187	33	7	210	28	-4	+1	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	25	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	323	292	55	11	1	5	22	97	4	19	7	188	255	284	539	96	245	30	7	238	47	-20	+1	—	—	+7	-1.3
2025	26	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	368	333	82	8	2	2	18	113	13	23	7	246	310	300	611	54	351	31	5	274	72	-12	+2	—	—	+8	-0.3
2021	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	373	336	63	9	2	7	29	148	6	16	4	188	264	289	553	101	308	40	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	373	323	80	12	2	10	42	105	6	16	4	248	345	390	735	142	335	28	11	332	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	378	335	69	13	5	12	27	121	12	19	6	206	289	382	671	176	277	32	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	—	378	325	86	17	7	15	37	90	12	19	6	265	361	498	859	234	317	24	10	374	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	363	334	50	5	1	11	17	166	9	15	7	150	211	269	481	120	245	46	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	—	363	324	63	7	1	16	27	137	9	15	7	194	275	370	645	176	272	38	7	288	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	449	408	73	16	2	7	30	136	5	28	7	179	244	279	523	100	244	30	7	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	449	399	92	23	2	11	39	98	5	28	7	231	307	381	688	150	274	22	9	306	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	368	333	82	8	2	2	18	113	13	23	7	246	310	300	611	54	360	31	5	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Knoxville Smokies	—	368	325	91	9	2	3	26	92	13	23	7	280	357	348	705	68	376	25	7	322	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	373	335	63	9	2	7	29	148	6	16	4	188	264	290	554	101	302	40	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	378	336	69	13	5	12	27	121	12	19	6	205	289	381	670	176	265	32	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	363	334	50	5	1	11	17	166	9	15	7	150	211	269	481	120	238	46	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	449	411	73	16	2	7	30	136	5	28	7	178	244	277	521	100	238	30	7	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	368	334	82	8	2	2	18	113	13	23	7	246	310	299	610	54	351	31	5	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	363	334	50	5	1	11	17	166	9	15	7	150	211	269	481	120	238	46	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	449	411	73	16	2	7	30	136	5	28	7	178	244	277	521	100	238	30	7	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	368	334	82	8	2	2	18	113	13	23	7	246	310	299	610	54	351	31	5	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	CHC	—	249	219	50	7	2	2	21	59	6	10	1	228	313	306	619	78	298	24	8	275	72	-8	+2	+0	-3	+5	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA RAW	CHC	—	151	123	33	4	1	1	21	27	6	9	0	268	400	341	741	73	333	18	14	347	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AAA RAW	CHC	—	98	87	23	4	1	2	9	22	0	1	1	264	333	402	736	138	323	22	9	323	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	27	AA MLE	CHC	2%	23	20	4	1	0	0	2	6	1	1	0	200	304	250	554	50	293	26	9	266	66	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	27	AA MLE	CHC	—	272	239	54	8	2	2	23	65	7	11	1	226	312	301	614	75	297	24	8	274	72	-9	+2	+0	-3	+6	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CHC	27%	333	300	66	10	2	5	23	93	7	3	1	220	291	317	608	97	290	28	7	269	68	-13	+0	-1	-4	+7	-1.0
2028	29	MLB MLE	CHC	37%	352	317	68	10	2	5	25	97	7	2	0	215	287	306	593	91	290	28	7	271	69	-13	+0	-1	-4	+8	-1.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	CHC	27%	89	81	18	3	1	1	6	25	2	1	0	222	292	321	613	99	292	28	7	255	68	-3	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	CHC	37%	131	119	26	4	1	2	9	36	2	1	0	218	285	319	604	101	292	27	7	258	69	-5	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	220	200	44	7	2	3	15	61	4	2	0	220	288	320	608	100	299	28	7	257	59	-8	+0	-1	-2	+5	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	131	21	6	9	44	180	12	6	0	222	289	323	612	102	301	28	7	257	59	-24	+1	-2	-7	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2639	2383	475	72	16	49	171	880	60	107	32	199	270	305	575	105	289	33	6	255	59	-26	+1	-2	-8	+15	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	117	18	4	12	42	217	15	26	8	199	270	305	575	106	289	33	6	255	59	-24	+1	-2	-7	+14	-1.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	225	3	2	215	283	306	-1	+0	-0.3	-0.2
/162	664	9	5	-4.1	+0.0	-1.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jordan Nwogu (OGILVIE)	27	50	30	60	35	211/282/293	82	293	3	6	28%	7%	66	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ian Dawkins 2022 · AA	27	45→50	40	53→50	39	219/260/311	92	288	8	15	27%	4%	60	-1.6	215/262/320	105	289	10	14	28%	5%	63	-1.3	203/252/303	100	268	9	16	27%	5%	52	-0.9
✕Andy Simunic 2012 · AA	26	47→57	38→30	54→50	46	223/289/302	79	310	6	12	28%	8%	69	-0.9	243/291/301	58	319	4	14	23%	6%	69	-0.9	260/302/296	36	332	2	17	21%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Joel Booker 2021 · AAA	27	46→50	39→40	51→55	39	218/272/301	83	301	6	19	29%	5%	63	-1.3	202/240/302	100	319	10	21	38%	4%	51	-2.2	166/186/247	81	274	9	33	43%	1%	15	-1.7
✕Mason McCoy 2022 · AAA	27	43→50	40→45	53→55	39	206/252/305	98	293	7	13	31%	6%	56	-1.9	196/256/317	121	289	12	21	34%	7%	61	-1.5	203/264/296	93	291	8	29	31%	7%	56	-1.5
✕Ron Acuña 2006 · AA	27	46→52	37→40	51→50	39	219/258/298	79	290	3	12	25%	4%	56	-1.9	230/271/305	75	300	3	8	23%	5%	63	-1.4	241/279/299	57	312	1	3	22%	4%	62	-1.0
✕Mark Dolenc 2012 · AA	27	50→52	38→40	50→55	36	231/273/314	83	343	6	17	33%	5%	65	-1.2	212/256/295	83	327	7	14	35%	5%	55	-1.9	140/165/169	29	234	4	15	41%	2%	-12	-1.4
✕Rafael Bautista 2021 · AAA	28	45→55	39→30	53→60	44	217/271/304	87	279	7	16	24%	6%	63	-1.4	215/264/315	100	271	10	9	24%	5%	63	-1.3	201/244/278	77	250	8	6	23%	3%	45	-1.2
✕Torii Hunter Jr. 2022 · AAA	27	43→47	40	50→55	39	201/264/290	88	323	8	15	38%	7%	57	-1.8	215/267/330	115	337	11	23	37%	6%	68	-1.0	211/258/334	123	330	11	39	38%	4%	62	-0.7
✕Willie Argo 2017 · AA	27	44→38	39→40	52→55	47	208/289/293	85	288	7	17	28%	9%	68	-1.0	199/255/330	131	304	14	14	37%	6%	64	-1.3	163/220/293	131	245	14	17	39%	6%	42	-1.5
✕Hunter Jones 2019 · AAA	27	49→57	40	53→55	44	234/289/330	97	294	7	14	22%	6%	76	-0.4	213/270/308	95	291	8	12	28%	6%	64	-1.3	134/194/192	57	197	7	10	34%	5%	8	-1.6
✕Omar Renteria 2017 · AAA	27	45	40→30	52→45	37	215/262/304	89	316	8	13	34%	5%	60	-1.6	224/277/307	83	310	8	11	29%	6%	66	-1.1	220/272/262	42	300	3	7	26%	6%	52	-0.6
✕Shannon Wilkerson 2015 · AAA	27	47→49	37→40	51→55	42	223/264/302	79	285	4	15	23%	5%	59	-1.6	233/275/313	80	285	4	12	19%	5%	65	-1.2	245/286/316	70	290	3	13	16%	5%	66	-0.4
✕Alex De Goti 2022 · AAA	27	43→48	42→45	51→50	44	208/272/316	108	281	8	8	28%	7%	67	-1.1	202/279/294	92	275	7	10	27%	9%	65	-1.2	192/275/269	77	260	6	10	26%	9%	55	-1.1
✕Francisco Williams 2019 · AAA	27	47	37→30	47→45	41	223/276/293	69	304	5	9	27%	6%	62	-1.4	229/267/340	111	292	13	11	26%	5%	70	-0.9	220/225/288	68	267	14	5	24%	1%	36	-0.6
✕David Thompson 2021 · AAA	27	40→48	42→45	50	41	199/258/307	108	258	10	13	26%	6%	60	-1.6	207/279/354	147	283	16	16	32%	6%	80	-0.2	169/253/329	160	225	20	20	34%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Zach Remillard 2021 · AA	27	45→50	40	46→55	37	212/263/295	83	318	8	8	35%	6%	58	-1.7	209/277/297	88	289	8	17	29%	7%	65	-1.2	208/278/289	82	282	8	21	27%	7%	61	-1.1
✕Isaias Rincon 2006 · AAA	27	50	39→30	48→40	43	236/295/321	85	334	7	8	30%	7%	76	-0.4	242/279/323	81	312	5	6	23%	4%	70	-0.9	253/282/324	70	323	2	2	21%	3%	67	-0.4
✕Clint Sammons 2010 · MLB	27	40→50	41→40	50→45	42	200/245/290	89	248	9	10	23%	5%	50	-2.3	180/234/282	102	229	12	7	27%	6%	45	-2.7	140/192/219	79	174	11	2	27%	5%	13	-1.9
✕Mickey McDonald 2022 · AAA	27	49→53	36→30	57→50	44	225/294/296	71	316	3	17	28%	7%	70	-0.8	234/307/321	87	322	6	16	27%	8%	81	-0.1	236/315/303	68	331	4	16	27%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2022 · AA	27	43→49	40→45	52→60	43	206/279/306	100	290	6	20	29%	7%	68	-1.0	197/282/306	109	279	11	26	31%	8%	70	-0.9	174/272/277	103	247	12	31	33%	8%	58	-1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps