Ismael Alcantara

PosCF

B/TR/R

Born1998-09-25

Age (2027)28

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AALAST SEASON 2023

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2021	22	ALAA	230	.307/.377/.590	12	7	103	—	.246/.303/.455
2022	23	AA/A+LAD	404	.192/.273/.310	8	13	29	—	.163/.230/.252
2023	24	AA/A+LAD	387	.247/.324/.337	6	22	57	—	.220/.279/.288

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	18	ROK	DSL Dodgers 2	—	262	221	59	6	6	1	31	55	7	18	8	267	375	362	737	95	347	21	12	335	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	AZL Dodgers	—	119	101	17	4	1	3	13	33	3	5	2	168	282	317	599	149	215	28	11	272	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK	AZL Dodgers Mota	—	188	156	47	7	3	1	27	46	2	20	0	301	411	404	815	103	414	24	14	366	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	230	205	63	8	7	12	20	66	3	7	3	307	377	590	967	283	402	29	9	414	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	43	34	8	0	1	3	7	11	2	2	1	235	395	559	954	324	250	26	16	415	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	361	321	60	10	3	5	21	96	10	11	6	187	259	283	542	97	247	27	6	244	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	230	207	57	5	1	3	17	61	3	9	8	275	339	353	692	77	375	27	7	312	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	157	137	28	4	1	3	16	45	3	13	1	204	301	314	615	109	278	29	10	283	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	18	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers 2	—	262	231	40	4	4	0	21	67	7	18	8	173	263	225	488	52	232	26	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers	—	119	106	13	3	1	2	8	47	3	5	2	123	205	226	432	104	174	39	7	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers Mota	—	188	167	33	4	2	1	16	66	2	20	0	198	276	263	539	66	309	35	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	230	211	52	5	6	9	14	88	3	7	3	246	303	455	758	209	375	38	6	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	43	36	7	0	1	2	5	14	2	2	1	194	326	417	742	222	230	33	12	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	361	327	52	8	2	4	15	118	10	11	6	159	219	232	451	73	220	33	4	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	230	212	54	5	1	2	12	73	3	9	8	255	304	316	620	61	362	32	5	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	157	142	24	3	1	2	11	57	3	13	1	169	244	246	490	77	255	36	7	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers 2	—	262	231	40	4	4	0	21	67	7	18	8	173	263	225	488	52	241	26	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers 2	—	262	221	59	6	6	1	31	55	7	18	8	267	375	362	737	95	347	21	12	335	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers	—	119	106	13	3	1	2	8	47	3	5	2	123	205	226	432	104	193	39	7	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	AZL Dodgers	—	119	101	17	4	1	3	13	33	3	5	2	168	282	317	599	149	215	28	11	272	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers Mota	—	188	167	33	4	2	1	16	66	2	20	0	198	276	263	539	66	314	35	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	AZL Dodgers Mota	—	188	156	47	7	3	1	27	46	2	20	0	301	411	404	815	103	414	24	14	366	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	230	211	52	5	6	9	14	88	3	7	3	246	303	455	758	209	377	38	6	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	230	205	63	8	7	12	20	66	3	7	3	307	377	590	967	283	402	29	9	414	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	404	363	59	8	3	6	20	132	12	13	7	163	230	251	481	88	232	33	5	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	404	355	68	10	4	8	28	107	12	13	7	192	273	310	583	118	247	26	7	262	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	387	354	77	8	2	4	23	130	6	22	9	218	277	285	562	68	329	34	6	252	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	387	344	85	9	2	6	33	106	6	22	9	247	324	337	661	90	338	27	9	300	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers 2	—	262	232	40	4	4	0	21	67	7	18	8	172	263	224	487	52	232	26	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers	—	119	107	13	3	1	2	8	47	3	5	2	121	205	224	429	103	174	39	7	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers Mota	—	188	168	33	4	2	1	16	66	2	20	0	196	276	262	538	65	309	35	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	230	211	52	5	6	9	14	88	3	7	3	246	303	455	758	209	375	38	6	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	404	369	59	8	3	6	20	132	12	13	7	160	230	247	477	87	221	33	5	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	387	355	77	8	2	4	23	130	6	22	9	217	277	285	561	68	319	34	6	252	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	1590	1432	274	32	18	22	102	530	33	85	29	191	261	285	546	94	283	33	6	241	49	-97	+5	+0	+6	+34	-5.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	112	13	7	9	42	217	13	35	12	191	261	284	545	92	284	33	6	241	49	-39	+2	+0	+2	+14	-2.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AATulsa Drillers · 230 PAwOBA .305 → .271 (−35)K% 26.5% → 31.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.52%	÷1.023	×1.220	—	—	31.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.39%	÷0.973	×0.700	—	×0.998	5.31%
HBP% /PA	1.30%	—	×0.870	—	×0.998	1.13%
Singles /BIP	32.88%	÷0.992	×0.920	×1.050	×0.998	31.94%
Doubles /BIP	3.42%	÷0.942	×0.840	×1.050	×0.998	3.20%
Triples /BIP	0.68%	÷0.900	×0.940	×1.050	×0.998	0.75%
Home runs /BIP	2.05%	÷1.083	×0.800	—	×0.998	1.52%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 98, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 105, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .305 → .271; ISO .077 → .064; BABIP .375 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Great Lakes Loons · 157 PAwOBA .278 → .223 (−55)K% 28.7% → 36.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.66%	÷1.004	×1.270	—	—	36.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.19%	÷0.992	×0.710	—	×0.978	7.13%
HBP% /PA	1.91%	—	×0.790	—	×0.978	1.48%
Singles /BIP	21.74%	÷0.975	×0.920	×1.029	×0.978	20.65%
Doubles /BIP	4.35%	÷1.011	×0.810	×1.029	×0.978	3.51%
Triples /BIP	1.09%	÷0.997	×0.850	×1.029	×0.978	0.93%
Home runs /BIP	3.26%	÷0.951	×0.800	—	×0.978	2.68%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 95, 2B 102, 3B 99, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .278 → .223; ISO .109 → .085; BABIP .278 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Great Lakes Loons · 361 PAwOBA .240 → .197 (−43)K% 26.6% → 32.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.59%	÷1.033	×1.270	—	—	32.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.82%	÷0.980	×0.710	—	×0.988	4.16%
HBP% /PA	2.77%	—	×0.790	—	×0.988	2.16%
Singles /BIP	18.67%	÷1.026	×0.920	×1.037	×0.988	17.14%
Doubles /BIP	4.44%	÷0.985	×0.810	×1.037	×0.988	3.74%
Triples /BIP	1.33%	÷1.150	×0.850	×1.037	×0.988	1.01%
Home runs /BIP	2.22%	÷1.013	×0.800	—	×0.988	1.73%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 105, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .240 → .197; ISO .097 → .075; BABIP .247 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AATulsa Drillers · 43 PAwOBA .404 → .329 (−75)K% 25.6% → 32.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.58%	÷0.971	×1.220	—	—	32.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.28%	÷0.975	×0.700	—	×1.012	11.82%
HBP% /PA	4.65%	—	×0.870	—	×1.012	4.10%
Singles /BIP	17.39%	÷0.953	×0.920	—	×1.012	16.99%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.006	×0.840	—	×1.012	0.00%
Triples /BIP	4.35%	÷1.150	×0.940	—	×1.012	3.60%
Home runs /BIP	13.04%	÷0.993	×0.800	—	×1.012	10.63%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 91, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .404 → .329; ISO .324 → .257; BABIP .250 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 230 PAwOBA .403 → .321 (−82)K% 28.7% → 38.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.70%	÷1.015	×1.360	—	—	38.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.70%	÷0.985	×0.690	—	×0.990	6.03%
HBP% /PA	1.30%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	1.01%
Singles /BIP	25.90%	÷0.965	×0.920	×1.050	×0.990	25.66%
Doubles /BIP	5.76%	÷1.166	×0.830	×1.050	×0.990	4.26%
Triples /BIP	5.04%	÷0.960	×0.910	×1.050	×0.990	4.96%
Home runs /BIP	8.63%	÷0.965	×0.800	—	×0.990	7.09%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 93, 2B 133, 3B 92, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .403 → .321; ISO .283 → .217; BABIP .402 → .375. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 ROKAZL Dodgers Mota · 188 PAwOBA .359 → .244 (−116)K% 24.5% → 35.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.47%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	35.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.83%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.985	8.45%
HBP% /PA	1.06%	—	×0.720	—	×0.985	0.75%
Singles /BIP	32.73%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.950	×0.985	25.11%
Doubles /BIP	6.36%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.950	×0.985	4.29%
Triples /BIP	2.73%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.950	×0.985	1.84%
Home runs /BIP	0.91%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.985	0.70%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .359 → .244; ISO .103 → .067; BABIP .414 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 ROKAZL Dodgers · 119 PAwOBA .266 → .183 (−83)K% 27.7% → 39.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.73%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	39.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.92%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.995	6.74%
HBP% /PA	2.52%	—	×0.720	—	×0.995	1.81%
Singles /BIP	13.24%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.044	×0.995	11.28%
Doubles /BIP	5.88%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.044	×0.995	4.40%
Triples /BIP	1.47%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.044	×0.995	1.10%
Home runs /BIP	4.41%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.995	3.42%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.

Result: wOBA .266 → .183; ISO .149 → .102; BABIP .215 → .174. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 DSLDSL Dodgers 2 · 262 PAwOBA .330 → .223 (−107)K% 21.0% → 25.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.99%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	25.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.83%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	8.24%
HBP% /PA	2.67%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	1.86%
Singles /BIP	27.71%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.014	×0.995	19.02%
Doubles /BIP	3.61%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.014	×0.995	2.19%
Triples /BIP	3.61%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.014	×0.995	2.19%
Home runs /BIP	0.60%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.28%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .330 → .223; ISO .095 → .056; BABIP .347 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).