Gavin Cross — OGILVIE

Gavin CrossOF Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 25 L/L 6'2" / 210 lbs AAA HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION452 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%33

BB%5

BABIP278

ISO132

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	123	99	29	5	2	7	22	31	1	4	2	293	426	596	1.022	303	355	25	18	438	183	+12	+0	—	—	+3	1.5
2023	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	407	355	73	21	3	12	42	113	7	23	3	206	302	383	685	177	262	28	10	306	94	-3	+3	—	—	+9	0.9
2023	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	34	27	6	2	0	0	6	8	0	7	0	222	364	296	660	74	300	24	18	305	93	-0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	436	383	100	19	0	15	45	105	4	30	2	261	345	428	773	167	318	24	10	343	118	+10	+5	—	—	+9	2.5
2025	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	507	465	112	23	3	17	33	134	2	23	5	241	294	413	707	172	297	26	7	309	95	-3	+3	—	—	+11	1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	123	108	23	4	2	5	13	47	1	4	2	213	303	426	729	213	306	38	11	311	97	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2023	22	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	407	366	57	16	2	9	31	152	7	23	3	156	235	284	519	128	230	37	8	233	44	-27	+3	—	—	+9	-1.5
2024	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	436	401	85	16	0	13	27	129	4	30	2	212	269	349	618	137	266	30	6	268	68	-17	+5	—	—	+9	-0.2
2025	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	507	477	94	19	3	12	21	160	2	23	5	197	234	325	559	128	258	32	4	242	50	-30	+3	—	—	+11	-1.7
2022	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	123	108	23	4	2	5	13	47	1	4	2	213	303	426	729	213	316	38	11	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	123	99	29	5	2	7	22	31	1	4	2	293	426	596	1.022	303	355	25	18	438	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	441	397	63	18	3	9	33	164	7	30	3	159	236	287	523	128	237	37	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	441	382	79	23	3	12	48	121	7	30	3	207	307	377	684	170	265	27	11	306	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	436	401	85	16	0	13	27	129	4	30	2	212	269	349	618	137	274	30	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	436	383	100	19	0	15	45	105	4	30	2	261	345	428	773	167	318	24	10	343	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	507	477	94	19	3	12	21	160	2	23	5	197	234	325	559	128	264	32	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	507	465	112	23	3	17	33	134	2	23	5	241	294	413	707	172	297	26	7	309	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	123	108	23	4	2	5	13	47	1	4	2	213	303	426	729	213	306	38	11	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	441	398	63	18	3	9	33	164	7	30	3	158	236	286	522	128	230	37	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	436	402	85	16	0	13	27	129	4	30	2	211	269	348	617	137	266	30	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	507	479	94	19	3	12	21	160	2	23	5	196	234	324	558	127	258	32	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	441	398	63	18	3	9	33	164	7	30	3	158	236	286	522	128	230	37	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	436	402	85	16	0	13	27	129	4	30	2	211	269	348	617	137	266	30	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	507	479	94	19	3	12	21	160	2	23	5	196	234	324	558	127	258	32	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	KC	—	452	424	83	14	4	11	21	165	5	25	5	196	242	325	568	130	289	37	5	247	53	-25	+3	+0	-3	+10	-1.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA RAW	KC	—	452	414	103	18	5	17	31	138	5	25	5	249	309	440	749	191	331	31	7	329	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AAA MLE	KC	10%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		281	33	0	256	60	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	25	MLB CTX	KC	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						278	0	0	245	60	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	MLB A+C	KC	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	245	53	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	25	AAA MLE	KC	—	461	433	84	14	4	11	21	168	5	25	5	194	240	321	561	127	286	36	5	247	53	-26	+3	-0	-3	+10	-1.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	KC	35%	365	339	70	13	3	10	20	121	3	16	3	206	257	351	608	145	282	33	5	266	66	-15	+2	-0	-2	+8	-0.8
2028	27	MLB MLE	KC	44%	388	359	75	14	3	10	22	126	4	17	3	209	262	348	611	139	283	32	6	270	69	-14	+2	-0	-2	+8	-0.6
2029	28	MLB MLE	KC	49%	401	370	77	14	3	11	24	129	4	17	3	208	264	351	615	143	283	32	6	272	70	-14	+2	-1	-2	+9	-0.7
2027	26	MLB CTX	KC	35%	127	118	23	4	1	3	7	42	1	6	1	195	246	322	568	127	279	33	6	254	66	-5	+1	-0	-1	+3	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	KC	44%	171	157	32	6	1	4	10	56	2	7	1	204	260	331	592	127	280	33	6	258	69	-6	+1	-0	-1	+4	-0.3
2029	28	MLB CTX	KC	49%	196	180	37	7	1	5	12	63	2	8	2	206	263	339	602	133	279	32	6	260	70	-7	+1	-0	-1	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	495	456	92	17	3	12	29	161	5	21	4	202	257	331	588	129	280	33	6	257	62	-19	+3	-1	-3	+11	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	121	22	4	16	38	211	7	28	5	202	258	332	590	130	279	32	6	257	62	-24	+3	-1	-4	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2670	2460	488	98	17	70	160	879	25	137	21	198	254	337	592	139	273	33	6	260	62	-44	+6	-2	-7	+25	-2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	119	24	4	17	39	214	6	33	5	199	255	337	592	139	273	33	6	260	62	-25	+4	-1	-4	+14	-1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Hernán Pérezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,811 PA	2.7	1,811	45	69	252	281	387	-0	+12	3.7	3.7
/162	664	16	25	-0.0	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.8	526	14	22	207	257	347	-3	+0	-0.6	-0.3
/162	664	18	28	-4.0	+0.0	-0.8	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gavin Cross (OGILVIE)	25	35→40	45→50	55→51	45	197/244/328	130	281	8	15	34%	5%	60	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bradlee Beesley 2023 · AA	25	40	45	55→60	37	201/256/323	123	294	12	21	35%	6%	63	-1.4	207/285/328	121	308	10	26	34%	8%	75	-0.5	192/286/323	131	289	10	39	34%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Cam Gibson 2019 · AA	25	40→41	43→45	54→55	43	199/264/310	111	274	10	17	30%	7%	62	-1.4	203/266/305	102	279	8	19	28%	7%	62	-1.4	187/251/284	97	253	7	25	27%	6%	49	-1.8
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	45→50	53→55	44	198/278/323	125	278	13	16	32%	8%	72	-0.7	198/274/306	108	267	10	16	28%	8%	65	-1.2	157/242/244	87	210	7	20	27%	8%	37	-1.4
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA	25	41→39	46→45	48→45	44	208/274/339	131	274	14	10	29%	7%	73	-0.6	216/286/327	111	276	10	7	24%	8%	75	-0.5	200/287/269	68	252	5	0	21%	9%	59	-0.6
✕Matt Fraizer 2023 · AA	25	42→49	44→45	54→55	41	211/263/331	120	283	11	14	29%	6%	66	-1.1	214/264/313	99	293	9	19	28%	6%	62	-1.4	224/277/339	115	316	9	22	30%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Josh Stowers 2022 · AA	25	38→44	50	54→55	41	198/264/345	148	281	18	23	35%	7%	71	-0.8	184/252/310	126	262	14	20	34%	7%	59	-1.7	162/235/275	113	230	12	21	34%	7%	42	-1.8
✕Jeffrey Baez 2019 · AA	25	42→46	44→50	50→60	41	209/265/327	118	279	12	20	29%	6%	67	-1.1	212/263/344	132	294	15	13	32%	6%	70	-0.8	192/240/326	134	257	18	10	32%	5%	55	-1.3
✕Travis Swaggerty 2023 · AAA	25	44	43→45	58→55	44	214/279/332	117	299	10	20	30%	8%	72	-0.7	212/276/323	111	311	9	17	32%	7%	70	-0.9	187/262/247	59	316	0	9	37%	8%	46	-0.4
✕Cody Strait 2008 · AA	25	41→48	46→50	55	39	207/259/343	136	273	13	23	29%	5%	68	-1.0	220/265/346	126	286	11	17	26%	5%	71	-0.8	222/266/344	122	285	10	17	25%	5%	67	-0.7
✕Ronnie Dawson 2021 · AAA	26	38→48	46→45	48→55	37	192/259/319	128	290	14	16	37%	6%	63	-1.3	214/280/317	103	297	9	15	29%	7%	70	-0.8	212/280/307	94	292	8	16	28%	7%	65	-0.9
✕Joseph Dunigan 2011 · AA	25	41→44	51→55	52→50	35	209/257/369	160	315	19	16	39%	6%	74	-0.6	193/246/349	156	350	20	12	48%	6%	65	-1.2	174/228/334	160	323	22	11	51%	6%	53	-1.1
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→38	43→50	47→55	38	183/247/294	111	267	11	13	34%	6%	53	-2.1	200/261/334	134	292	15	19	35%	6%	68	-1.0	196/258/325	129	284	15	24	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Alex Glenn 2016 · AA	25	42	48→55	54→50	40	214/260/367	153	272	15	11	27%	5%	74	-0.6	202/245/315	113	280	10	6	30%	5%	55	-1.9	184/224/275	91	261	8	2	32%	5%	36	-1.3
✕Grant Witherspoon 2022 · A	25	41→46	50	48→50	40	212/262/358	146	285	18	12	32%	6%	73	-0.6	214/274/352	138	298	16	13	32%	7%	76	-0.4	201/267/330	129	280	14	13	32%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Collin DeLome 2011 · AAA	25	36→39	49→55	52→50	33	191/238/342	150	272	17	13	36%	4%	60	-1.6	202/253/327	125	304	12	14	36%	5%	63	-1.4	201/253/326	125	309	11	16	37%	4%	60	-0.8
✕Elijah Dunham 2023 · AA	25	43→42	48→50	58→60	47	219/291/369	150	281	15	28	27%	8%	86	+0.3	206/275/345	139	286	14	25	31%	8%	75	-0.5	190/261/322	133	270	13	24	33%	8%	62	-0.9
✕Travis Witherspoon 2014 · AA	25	42→47	44→45	55	42	212/265/327	115	278	12	24	28%	6%	67	-1.1	201/257/314	113	273	12	20	30%	7%	60	-1.6	186/244/293	107	251	13	22	30%	7%	48	-1.4
✕Micah Pries 2023 · AA	25	45→43	49→50	56→50	38	225/280/378	153	305	15	17	31%	5%	84	+0.2	201/264/331	130	266	13	9	28%	6%	68	-1.0	178/246/297	119	231	12	5	28%	6%	51	-1.0
✕Cory Vaughn 2014 · AA	25	41→42	45	53→50	43	205/281/329	124	284	13	14	31%	8%	74	-0.6	189/257/296	107	273	11	13	33%	7%	57	-1.8	162/232/259	97	233	10	12	34%	7%	37	-1.8
✕Roger Kieschnick 2012 · AA	25	42→46	46→50	48→45	37	216/254/349	133	287	14	9	30%	5%	68	-1.0	216/265/366	150	299	16	6	32%	6%	76	-0.4	207/259/361	154	283	16	4	32%	6%	70	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps