Gavin Cross

OF Omaha Storm Chasers
Age 26 L/L 6'2" / 210 lbs AAA HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423AANorthwest Ark…436.261/.345/.428153071—.210/.269/.345
202524AANorthwest Ark…507.241/.294/.413172351—.195/.234/.324
202625AAAKC472.247/.306/.434172557—.201/.249/.335
2027PROJ10% MLB26MLBKC16.184/.231/.3070152-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB27MLBKC70.185/.234/.3092353-0.2
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Speed96
Max EV75
Z-Con%39
Chase%26
Whiff%23
BB%19
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 1.1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%
CompsCorey Ray (age 26) · Ronnie Dawson (age 26) · Mark Contreras (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .231 / .307
PA16
HR0
K%38
BB%6
BABIP263
ISO67
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -8.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +0.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.50-0.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.5-0.22728
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202221 AColumbia Fireflies — 12399 29527 22311 42 2934265961.022 303355 2518 438 100 — — — — — —
202322 A+Quad Cities River Bandits — 407355 7321312 421137 233 206302383685 177262 2810 306 49 — — — — — —
202322 INTLSurprise Saguaros — 3427 6200 680 70 222364296660 74300 2418 305 93 — — — — — —
202423 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 436383 10019015 451054 302 261345428773 167318 2410 343 71 — — — — — —
202524 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 507465 11223317 331342 235 241294413707 172297 267 309 51 — — — — — —
202625 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers — 472433 10720517 321495 255 247306434741 187336 327 326 57 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202221 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 123107 23425 14451 42 215311430741 215307 3711 316 100 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 407366 611739 311437 233 167245303548 137233 358 240 49 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 436400 8415013 281294 302 210269345614 135268 306 273 71 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 507476 9319312 221602 235 195234324558 128255 324 243 51 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 472442 8916511 231795 255 201249335584 133302 385 252 57 — — — — — —
202221 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 123107 23425 14451 42 215311430741 215310 3711 316 100 — — — — — —
202221 A RAWColumbia Fireflies — 12399 29527 22311 42 2934265961.022 303355 2518 438 100 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLE2 teams — 441396 6618310 341557 303 167245303548 136238 358 240 49 — — — — — —
202322 A+ RAW2 teams — 441382 7923312 481217 303 207307377684 170265 2711 306 49 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 436400 8415013 281294 302 210269345614 135271 306 273 71 — — — — — —
202423 AA RAWNorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 436383 10019015 451054 302 261345428773 167318 2410 343 71 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 507476 9319312 221602 235 195234324558 128261 324 243 51 — — — — — —
202524 AA RAWNorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 507465 11223317 331342 235 241294413707 172297 267 309 51 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 472442 8916511 231795 255 201249335584 133308 385 252 57 — — — — — —
202625 AAA RAWOmaha Storm Chasers — 472433 10720517 321495 255 247306434741 187336 327 326 57 — — — — — —
202221 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 123107 23425 14451 42 215311430741 215307 3711 316 100 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLE2 teams — 441397 6618310 341557 303 166245302547 136233 358 240 49 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 436401 8415013 281294 302 209269344613 135268 306 273 71 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 507478 9319312 221602 235 195234322556 128255 324 243 51 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 472441 8916511 231795 255 202249336585 134302 385 252 57 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 436401 8415013 281294 302 209269344613 135268 306 273 71 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLENorthwest Arkansas Naturals — 507478 9319312 221602 235 195234322556 128255 324 243 51 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers — 472441 8916511 231795 255 202249336585 134302 385 252 57 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEKC 10% 380355 6612210 191353 153 186234315549 129265 365 244 52 -22 +2 +0 -2 +8 -0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXKC 10% 1615 3100 160 10 184231307538 124263 386 240 52 -1 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEKC 31% 225209 39716 12792 82 188237317554 129266 355 247 53 -13 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.8
202827 MLB CTXKC 31% 7065 12202 4251 30 185234309544 124264 366 243 53 -4 +1 +0 -0 +2 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 7065 12202 4251 30 185243308551 123263 366 243 58 -4 +1 +0 -0 +2 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650604 11219019 372329 280 185243311554 126263 366 243 58 -36 +6 +0 -4 +14 -2.1
Career— MLE — 23592175 421841561 14180222 12620 194250330580 137271 346 254 58 -21 +2 +0 -2 +8 -1.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650599 11623417 392216 356 194250331581 137270 346 254 58 -37 +3 +0 -4 +14 -2.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 472 PAwOBA .318 → .252 (−65)K% 31.6% → 37.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.57%÷1.000×1.200——37.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.78%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0334.83%
HBP% /PA1.06%—×0.940—×1.0331.03%
Singles /BIP22.89%÷1.000×0.930×0.973×1.03321.40%
Doubles /BIP7.04%÷1.000×0.830×0.973×1.0335.88%
Triples /BIP1.76%÷1.000×0.970×0.973×1.0331.72%
Home runs /BIP5.99%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0334.33%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .318 → .252; ISO .187 → .137; BABIP .336 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 507 PAwOBA .304 → .243 (−61)K% 26.4% → 31.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.43%÷1.022×1.220——31.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.51%÷1.059×0.700—×1.0124.35%
HBP% /PA0.39%—×0.870—×1.0120.35%
Singles /BIP20.85%÷1.034×0.920×0.973×1.01218.26%
Doubles /BIP6.95%÷0.984×0.840×0.973×1.0125.84%
Triples /BIP0.91%÷0.900×0.940×0.973×1.0120.93%
Home runs /BIP5.14%÷1.077×0.800—×1.0123.86%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 107, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 104, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .304 → .243; ISO .172 → .134; BABIP .297 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 436 PAwOBA .334 → .273 (−61)K% 24.1% → 29.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.08%÷0.991×1.220——29.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.40%÷1.056×0.700—×1.0276.40%
HBP% /PA0.92%—×0.870—×1.0270.82%
Singles /BIP23.74%÷1.073×0.920×0.970×1.02720.28%
Doubles /BIP6.83%÷1.025×0.840×0.970×1.0275.58%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.940×0.970×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP5.40%÷0.920×0.800—×1.0274.82%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 115, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 98, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .334 → .273; ISO .167 → .144; BABIP .318 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 407 PAwOBA .299 → .240 (−59)K% 27.8% → 35.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.76%÷1.005×1.270——35.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.83%÷0.929×0.710—×1.0127.60%
HBP% /PA1.72%—×0.790—×1.0121.38%
Singles /BIP15.29%÷0.997×0.920×0.991×1.01214.15%
Doubles /BIP8.68%÷0.957×0.810×0.991×1.0127.37%
Triples /BIP1.24%÷0.908×0.850×0.991×1.0121.16%
Home runs /BIP4.96%÷1.033×0.800—×1.0123.88%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 82, K 101, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .299 → .240; ISO .177 → .137; BABIP .262 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AColumbia Fireflies · 123 PAwOBA .430 → .316 (−115)K% 25.2% → 36.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.20%÷0.937×1.360——36.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.89%÷1.069×0.690—×1.01511.72%
HBP% /PA0.81%—×0.780—×1.0150.64%
Singles /BIP22.06%÷1.054×0.920×1.004×1.01519.62%
Doubles /BIP7.35%÷0.985×0.830×1.004×1.0156.31%
Triples /BIP2.94%÷0.900×0.910×1.004×1.0153.03%
Home runs /BIP10.29%÷1.140×0.800—×1.0157.33%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 111, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 87, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .430 → .316; ISO .303 → .218; BABIP .355 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .