Max Wagner — OGILVIE

Max Wagner3B Frisco RoughRiders

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 215 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION161 act + 156 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .258 / .319

PA156

HR4

K%40

BB%8

BABIP289

ISO135

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	A	2 teams	—	81	69	14	2	1	1	6	23	4	1	0	203	304	304	608	101	277	28	7	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	2 teams	—	81	66	15	2	2	1	9	18	4	1	0	227	354	364	718	136	286	22	11	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	2 teams	—	479	428	81	16	4	11	40	169	8	27	6	189	271	322	593	133	279	35	8	262	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	2 teams	—	479	410	98	21	4	13	58	124	8	27	6	239	345	405	749	166	308	26	12	336	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	93	85	9	1	1	1	7	48	1	3	0	106	183	176	359	71	222	52	8	157	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	93	82	12	1	1	2	10	35	1	3	0	146	247	256	503	110	222	38	11	237	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	347	317	62	16	2	3	26	126	1	7	7	196	259	287	546	91	312	36	7	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	347	307	67	18	2	5	36	106	1	7	7	218	302	339	641	121	315	31	10	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	TEX	—	161	144	28	4	0	9	12	71	4	2	1	194	275	410	685	215	297	44	7	292	82	-3	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.2
YTD	24	AA	TEX	—	161	138	34	5	0	11	18	55	4	2	1	246	350	522	872	275	319	34	11	379	149	+9	+0	+0	+1	+5	1.4
ROS	24	AA	TEX	2%	156	141	26	5	1	4	12	62	2	3	1	184	258	319	577	135	282	40	8	256	54	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
ROS	24	MLB	TEX	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						283	33	0	248	48	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	TEX	—	164	147	28	4	0	9	12	72	4	2	1	190	270	401	671	211	288	44	7	291	81	-4	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.2
TOT	24	AA	TEX	—	317	285	54	9	1	13	24	133	6	5	2	189	267	365	632	175	293	42	8	274	68	-11	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	TEX	31%	350	316	60	12	1	10	27	132	4	6	3	190	262	329	591	139	284	38	8	266	61	-15	+0	+0	+1	+10	-0.4
2028	26	MLB	TEX	45%	393	355	69	13	2	11	31	144	4	6	3	194	267	335	602	141	284	37	8	271	66	-15	+0	+0	+1	+11	-0.3
2029	27	MLB	TEX	49%	411	370	73	14	2	12	33	147	5	7	3	197	272	343	615	146	285	36	8	274	68	-15	+0	+0	+1	+12	-0.2
2030	28	MLB	TEX	52%	419	377	74	14	2	12	34	150	5	7	3	196	272	340	611	143	284	36	8	274	68	-15	+0	-1	+1	+12	-0.2
2027	25	MLB	TEX	31%	109	98	19	4	0	3	9	41	1	2	1	194	269	327	595	133	285	38	8	259	56	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	TEX	45%	175	157	31	6	1	5	14	64	2	3	1	197	272	344	616	146	286	37	8	264	60	-8	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
2029	27	MLB	TEX	49%	202	182	36	7	1	6	16	72	2	3	2	198	270	346	616	148	286	36	8	267	62	-9	-0	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
2030	28	MLB	TEX	52%	216	194	38	7	1	6	18	77	2	3	2	196	271	335	606	139	286	36	8	267	63	-9	-0	-0	+1	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	705	634	124	24	3	20	57	255	7	11	6	196	269	338	607	142	287	36	8	265	61	-31	-0	-0	+3	+20	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	114	22	3	18	53	235	6	10	6	195	269	335	604	140	286	36	8	265	61	-29	-0	-0	+2	+18	-0.9
Career	—			—	2729	2458	468	93	16	65	216	1001	34	67	26	190	265	321	586	130	286	37	8	261	58	-130	+3	-1	+10	+77	-4.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	111	22	4	15	51	238	8	16	6	190	264	318	582	128	286	37	8	261	58	-31	+1	-0	+2	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	19	18	3	0	0	0	0	5	0	1	0	167	167	167	333		214	26	0	143	-32	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	62	48	12	2	2	1	9	13	4	0	0	250	410	438	847	188	314	21	15	378	147	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2023	21	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	119	111	28	7	1	3	7	34	1	1	1	252	303	414	717	162	338	29	6	318	102	+0	-0	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	21	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	360	299	70	14	3	10	51	90	7	26	5	234	359	401	760	167	297	25	14	342	120	+8	+3	—	—	+10	2.2
2024	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	72	64	7	0	0	1	7	29	1	2	0	109	208	156	365	47	176	40	10	182	-2	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	21	18	5	1	1	1	3	6	0	1	0	278	381	611	992	333	364	29	14	423	182	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	23	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	347	307	67	18	2	5	36	106	1	7	7	218	302	339	641	121	315	31	10	290	80	-8	-1	—	—	+10	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	708	20	12	195	267	336	+3	+1	-0.5	-0.2
	/162	664	18	11	195	267	336	+2.4	+0.9	-0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Max Wagner (OGILVIE)	24	35	40	45	45	189/267/365	175	293	13	5	42%	8%	68	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Chad Stevens 2023 · A	24	34→42	42→45	47→50	34	170/231/269	99	302	11	12	45%	7%	33	-2.9	190/257/305	115	308	11	15	39%	7%	54	-1.4	210/277/334	124	312	12	15	34%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Jayson Langfels 2014 · AA	25	41→32	43→40	46→50	37	199/262/305	106	309	11	11	37%	6%	56	-1.3	205/280/293	88	338	7	15	38%	8%	60	-1.0	202/285/275	73	344	5	17	38%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2022 · A	24	37→43	42→45	42→50	40	182/253/289	107	277	8	8	35%	7%	48	-1.9	202/276/293	91	279	9	12	29%	8%	59	-1.1	197/277/277	81	264	9	14	27%	8%	52	-0.8
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→28	45	50	37	195/254/318	123	282	13	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	212/270/305	93	320	9	17	34%	6%	59	-1.1	219/278/292	73	339	7	24	35%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	43→50	50→40	39	192/251/299	107	277	11	5	34%	6%	50	-1.8	211/268/341	130	275	14	5	28%	6%	67	-0.5	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA	24	42→36	43→50	48→45	44	203/282/318	115	297	11	7	33%	8%	68	-0.5	193/294/347	154	320	18	5	41%	11%	82	+0.5	177/286/336	158	296	20	3	43%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Rowdey Jordan 2023 · AA	24	43→42	39→45	48→55	45	204/271/295	91	290	6	12	30%	8%	56	-1.3	206/274/333	127	284	14	20	31%	7%	68	-0.5	199/268/331	132	272	16	23	31%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	40	43→45	51→55	40	193/267/298	105	296	11	13	36%	7%	56	-1.3	203/272/299	96	311	8	12	35%	8%	58	-1.2	170/253/239	69	277	4	11	36%	9%	33	-0.6
✕Carter Aldrete 2022 · A	24	41→40	43→50	47→45	39	202/257/309	107	296	12	10	35%	7%	54	-1.4	210/259/358	148	290	18	5	33%	6%	68	-0.5	196/241/340	144	262	19	2	33%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/255/258	80	271	7	11	34%	9%	40	-2.4	199/285/312	113	313	12	8	37%	9%	68	-0.5	163/272/277	114	257	15	5	39%	11%	52	-0.5
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	35→34	45→50	47→50	37	180/243/296	116	289	13	11	40%	7%	46	-2.0	189/248/293	104	291	9	10	36%	7%	46	-2.0	146/203/235	89	219	3	6	33%	7%	8	-1.2
✕Max Burt 2021 · AA	24	39	40→45	44→55	34	192/239/277	84	280	9	6	34%	4%	38	-2.6	202/254/321	119	291	13	16	34%	5%	56	-1.3	193/249/316	123	274	14	21	34%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Gunnar Heidt 2018 · AA	25	37→39	42→45	47→50	38	186/242/289	103	277	10	12	35%	6%	43	-2.2	197/252/301	104	308	9	13	37%	6%	50	-1.8	206/260/308	103	297	8	9	32%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→55	54→45	40	191/252/295	104	290	10	12	36%	7%	49	-1.8	204/267/315	111	307	11	9	35%	7%	59	-1.1	156/215/246	90	226	9	0	34%	7%	18	-0.7
✕Chase Pinder 2021 · AA	25	40	40→45	40→45	44	192/269/276	84	279	8	5	32%	8%	51	-1.7	218/306/353	135	287	14	8	27%	10%	88	+0.9	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Trevor Schwecke 2023 · AAA	25	39	44→45	41→50	39	195/257/308	113	291	11	6	35%	7%	54	-1.4	218/275/332	114	316	10	14	32%	6%	68	-0.5	223/280/335	112	320	9	17	31%	6%	68	-0.3