Max Wagner — OGILVIE

Max Wagner3B Frisco RoughRiders

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 215 lbs AA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION319 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%44

BB%11

BABIP286

ISO118

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	20	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	19	18	3	0	0	0	0	5	0	1	0	167	167	167	333		214	26	0	143	-17	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	62	48	12	2	2	1	9	13	4	0	0	250	410	438	847	188	314	21	15	378	142	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	21	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	119	111	28	7	1	3	7	34	1	1	1	252	303	414	717	162	338	29	6	318	101	+0	-0	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	21	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	360	299	70	14	3	10	51	90	7	26	5	234	359	401	760	167	297	25	14	342	118	+8	+3	—	—	+8	1.9
2024	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	72	64	7	0	0	1	7	29	1	2	0	109	208	156	365	47	176	40	10	182	10	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	21	18	5	1	1	1	3	6	0	1	0	278	381	611	992	333	364	29	14	423	172	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2025	23	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	347	307	67	18	2	5	36	106	1	7	7	218	302	339	641	121	315	31	10	290	82	-7	-1	—	—	+8	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	20	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	19	18	3	0	0	0	0	7	0	1	0	167	167	167	333		200	37	0	130	-26	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	62	51	11	2	1	1	6	17	4	0	0	216	344	353	697	137	284	27	10	304	92	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	21	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	119	113	25	6	1	2	5	42	1	1	1	221	261	345	606	124	318	35	4	249	55	-6	-0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2023	21	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	360	316	59	11	3	9	34	122	7	26	5	187	280	326	606	139	259	34	9	265	65	-15	+3	—	—	+8	-0.4
2024	22	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	72	66	6	0	0	1	5	36	1	2	0	91	167	136	303	45	163	50	7	127	-28	-11	+0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2024	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	21	19	5	1	1	1	2	8	0	1	0	263	333	579	912	316	304	38	10	303	91	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2025	23	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	347	318	59	15	2	3	25	124	1	7	7	186	247	274	521	88	290	36	7	234	45	-23	-1	—	—	+8	-1.7
2022	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	81	69	14	2	1	1	6	24	4	1	0	203	304	304	608	101	283	30	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	81	66	15	2	2	1	9	18	4	1	0	227	354	364	718	136	286	22	11	323	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	479	429	83	17	4	10	39	164	8	27	6	193	273	322	595	128	283	34	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	479	410	98	21	4	13	58	124	8	27	6	239	345	405	749	166	308	26	12	336	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	93	85	9	1	1	1	7	45	1	3	0	106	183	176	359	71	205	48	8	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	93	82	12	1	1	2	10	35	1	3	0	146	247	256	503	110	222	38	11	237	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	347	318	59	15	2	3	25	124	1	7	7	186	247	274	521	88	292	36	7	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Chesapeake Baysox	—	347	307	67	18	2	5	36	106	1	7	7	218	302	339	641	121	315	31	10	290	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	81	71	14	2	1	1	6	24	4	1	0	197	304	296	600	99	264	30	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	479	429	83	17	4	10	39	164	8	27	6	193	273	322	595	128	274	34	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	93	85	9	1	1	1	7	45	1	3	0	106	183	176	359	71	195	48	8	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	347	318	59	15	2	3	25	124	1	7	7	186	247	274	521	88	290	36	7	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	479	429	83	17	4	10	39	164	8	27	6	193	273	322	595	128	274	34	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	93	85	9	1	1	1	7	45	1	3	0	106	183	176	359	71	195	48	8	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	347	318	59	15	2	3	25	124	1	7	7	186	247	274	521	88	290	36	7	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	TEX	—	319	291	56	11	0	15	21	136	6	3	2	192	261	385	646	192	293	43	7	278	74	-10	-0	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA RAW	TEX	—	319	281	70	14	0	21	31	111	6	3	2	249	336	523	860	274	329	35	10	374	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	AA MLE	TEX	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		283	44	11	263	64	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	AA MLE	TEX	—	328	299	57	11	0	15	22	140	6	3	2	191	260	378	638	187	292	43	7	278	74	-10	-0	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TEX	31%	350	317	61	13	1	11	26	133	4	5	3	192	262	344	606	151	283	38	7	271	70	-13	-0	+0	+1	+8	-0.4
2028	26	MLB MLE	TEX	45%	393	356	70	14	1	13	29	144	5	6	3	197	267	351	618	154	284	37	7	277	73	-12	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	TEX	49%	411	372	73	15	1	13	31	148	5	6	3	196	267	347	614	151	284	36	8	279	75	-12	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	419	378	74	15	1	13	33	150	5	6	3	196	269	344	613	148	284	36	8	279	75	-12	+0	-1	+1	+9	-0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	416	375	74	15	1	13	33	150	5	6	3	197	271	347	618	149	283	36	8	277	74	-13	+0	-1	+1	+9	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	TEX	31%	109	99	19	4	0	4	8	41	1	2	1	192	259	354	613	162	286	38	7	269	70	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	TEX	45%	175	158	32	6	1	6	13	64	2	2	1	203	272	367	639	165	287	37	7	274	73	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	TEX	49%	202	183	37	7	1	7	15	73	2	3	2	202	270	366	636	164	287	36	7	276	75	-6	-0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	216	194	39	8	1	7	17	77	3	3	2	201	276	361	637	160	287	36	8	276	75	-6	-0	-0	+1	+5	-0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	232	209	42	8	1	8	18	84	3	3	2	201	274	364	638	163	285	36	8	274	74	-7	-0	-1	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	934	843	169	33	4	32	71	339	11	13	8	200	271	363	634	163	287	36	8	274	66	-29	-1	-1	+3	+20	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	118	23	3	22	49	236	8	9	6	201	272	363	635	162	289	36	8	274	66	-20	-0	-1	+2	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2998	2707	518	107	13	78	230	1086	38	67	28	191	264	327	591	136	282	36	8	265	66	-63	-0	-2	+7	+43	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	112	23	3	17	50	235	8	15	6	191	264	327	591	136	281	36	8	265	66	-21	-0	-1	+2	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.4	941	30	13	198	267	352	+3	+1	-0.1	-0.0
/162	664	21	9	+2.4	+0.7	-0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Max Wagner (OGILVIE)	24	35	40	45	45	184/252/330	146	283	10	5	40%	7%	64	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA	24	42→37	43→50	48→45	46	203/285/317	113	292	10	7	32%	9%	72	-0.7	194/293/340	146	311	17	5	39%	10%	82	-0.0	178/283/325	147	289	18	3	41%	11%	72	-0.5
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→29	45	50	37	194/252/314	121	284	13	12	35%	6%	59	-1.6	211/268/301	90	318	8	17	34%	6%	61	-1.5	217/275/286	69	332	7	24	34%	6%	57	-1.1
✕Chad Stevens 2023 · A	24	36→46	43→45	47→50	34	179/237/284	104	302	12	12	43%	6%	47	-2.6	194/261/311	117	308	11	15	38%	7%	62	-1.4	219/287/336	117	327	11	16	34%	7%	74	-0.5
✕Carlos Narváez 2023 · A	24	36→45	46→45	46→45	44	182/271/305	123	284	14	6	38%	10%	65	-1.2	206/290/331	125	292	13	7	32%	9%	78	-0.3	212/295/344	132	286	15	6	29%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	42→45	50→40	39	192/251/296	104	277	10	5	33%	6%	55	-2.0	208/265/332	124	274	13	5	28%	6%	68	-1.0	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Jayson Langfels 2014 · AA	25	42→34	43→40	46→50	37	203/264/308	105	309	11	11	36%	6%	62	-1.4	210/284/294	84	333	6	15	36%	8%	66	-1.1	209/291/277	68	340	4	17	36%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Aaron Palensky 2023 · AA	24	42→33	47→50	48→55	43	202/286/346	144	315	13	10	38%	9%	80	-0.2	200/287/349	149	273	16	20	31%	9%	81	-0.1	182/278/336	154	236	17	25	29%	9%	73	-0.3
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	36	43→50	48→50	38	180/243/288	107	283	11	11	39%	7%	50	-2.3	191/251/293	102	287	8	10	34%	7%	53	-2.1	154/212/246	92	221	3	6	30%	7%	25	-1.0
✕Pedro Pagés 2023 · AAA	24	41→45	44→50	44→40	41	201/265/312	111	295	12	4	34%	7%	63	-1.3	224/284/356	132	292	15	4	27%	7%	80	-0.1	227/286/364	137	285	17	2	26%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2022 · A	24	36→43	42→45	42→50	40	181/251/288	108	274	9	8	35%	7%	53	-2.1	202/278/297	95	279	9	12	29%	8%	65	-1.2	198/280/282	84	265	10	14	27%	8%	60	-0.9
✕Will Wilson 2022 · AA	24	37→38	47→50	51→45	39	189/255/319	130	283	15	8	37%	7%	61	-1.5	198/259/322	124	274	15	6	32%	7%	63	-1.3	191/251/297	106	252	13	4	29%	7%	52	-1.5
✕Travis Demeritte 2019 · AA	24	36→44	49→55	47→50	40	191/253/337	146	276	16	7	36%	7%	65	-1.2	213/279/374	161	310	18	8	35%	8%	83	+0.1	205/271/367	162	301	19	9	36%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	43→45	51→55	41	193/269/299	106	293	11	13	36%	8%	63	-1.4	203/273/300	97	309	8	12	34%	8%	64	-1.3	170/256/241	71	275	3	11	36%	10%	43	-0.6
✕Yusniel Díaz 2022 · AAA	25	35→45	42→45	42→50	37	181/234/285	104	266	10	6	35%	6%	45	-2.7	219/287/340	121	290	13	11	27%	9%	78	-0.3	233/304/359	126	294	14	11	25%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A	24	36→38	46→45	43→45	37	187/254/312	125	281	14	3	37%	6%	60	-1.6	199/273/309	110	266	11	6	28%	7%	67	-1.1	192/273/294	102	248	10	6	25%	7%	61	-1.0
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→40	43→45	47→45	45	171/253/277	106	242	11	6	33%	9%	52	-2.2	190/275/295	105	266	10	5	30%	9%	64	-1.3	176/269/273	97	244	10	3	30%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Logan Hill 2017 · A	24	40	45→50	49→45	36	202/256/323	121	297	12	10	35%	5%	63	-1.4	207/269/354	147	293	17	5	34%	7%	75	-0.5	199/265/350	151	277	19	2	34%	7%	71	-0.6
✕Carson Blair 2014 · A	24	39	44→50	45→30	41	190/258/311	122	294	11	6	37%	8%	61	-1.5	206/279/340	134	336	13	3	39%	9%	76	-0.4	198/275/332	134	322	13	1	40%	9%	69	-0.5
✕Riley Tirotta 2023 · A	24	41→46	41→45	49→50	39	192/261/287	95	321	8	14	40%	8%	56	-1.9	204/284/326	122	316	12	13	36%	9%	74	-0.5	205/290/330	124	310	13	14	35%	9%	75	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps