Aaron Sabato — OGILVIE

Aaron Sabato1B St. Paul Saints

Age 27 R/R 6'0" / 230 lbs AAA BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .258 / .332

PA250

HR8

K%38

BB%8

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

60→60

SPD

45→45

EYE

45↘30

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.8peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-21M		$-38M	-$17M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	2 teams	464	389	58	14	0	16	64	206	8	1	0	.149	.282	.308	.590	.159	.247	44	14	.268	63	-19	+0	+0	-8	+13	-1.5
2022	23	A+	2 teams	447	390	64	13	0	17	41	183	11	4	1	.164	.262	.328	.591	.164	.241	41	9	.264	60	-20	+0	+0	-8	+13	-1.5
2023	24	AA	2 teams	394	350	61	20	1	10	38	162	4	2	2	.174	.263	.323	.586	.149	.283	41	10	.259	56	-19	-0	+0	-7	+11	-1.6
2024	25	AA	2 teams	373	334	50	11	0	10	33	154	5	8	2	.150	.237	.272	.509	.123	.234	41	9	.229	33	-28	+1	+0	-7	+11	-2.4
2025	26	AAA	3 teams	449	415	89	14	1	15	26	166	4	1	0	.214	.267	.361	.629	.147	.311	37	6	.273	67	-17	+0	+0	-8	+13	-1.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	27	AAA	St. Paul Saints	35	33	6	2	0	1	1	16	0	0	0	.182	.206	.333	.539	.152	.294	46	3	.236	39	-2	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.2
ROS	27	MLB	MIN	215	196	37	8	0	7	15	84	2	2	1	.189	.254	.337	.590	.148	.284	39	7	.264	60	-10	+0	+0	-4	+6	-0.8
TOT	27	MLB	MIN	250	229	43	10	0	8	16	100	2	2	1	.188	.247	.336	.583	.148	.285	40	6	.260	57	-12	+0	+0	-4	+7	-1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB 20%	MIN	333	302	60	13	1	10	25	114	3	2	1	.199	.267	.348	.614	.149	.274	34	8	.273	67	-12	+0	-1	-6	+9	-1.0
2028	29	MLB 33%	MIN	352	320	64	14	1	10	26	118	3	2	0	.200	.266	.344	.610	.144	.275	34	7	.274	68	-13	+0	-1	-6	+10	-1.0
2029	30	MLB 43%	MIN	363	329	66	14	1	11	28	121	3	1	0	.201	.269	.350	.619	.149	.275	33	8	.274	68	-13	+0	-2	-6	+10	-1.2
2030	31	MLB 52%	MIN	358	325	64	13	1	10	27	120	3	0	0	.197	.265	.335	.600	.138	.274	34	8	.271	66	-14	+0	-3	-6	+10	-1.3
2031	32	MLB 64%	MIN	345	313	61	13	1	9	26	117	3	0	0	.195	.263	.329	.592	.134	.272	34	8	.267	62	-15	+0	-4	-6	+10	-1.5
2032	33	MLB 73%	MIN	318	288	55	11	1	8	24	110	3	0	0	.191	.260	.319	.580	.128	.270	35	8	.261	58	-15	+0	-4	-6	+9	-1.6
2033	34	MLB 91%	MIN	277	252	48	10	1	7	21	98	2	0	0	.190	.258	.321	.580	.131	.268	35	8	.254	53	-15	+0	-5	-5	+8	-1.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4688	4203	777	168	9	140	394	1753	54	23	7	.185	.263	.329	.592	.144	.272	37	8	.264	60	-210	+2	-20	-84	+133	-18.3
/ 162G	—			650	583	107	23	1	19	55	243	7	3	1	.184	.262	.324	.586	.141	.271	37	8	.264	60	-29	+0	-3	-12	+18	-2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	97	75	19	3	0	8	19	32	1	0	0	.253	.411	.613	1.024	.360	.297	33	20	.430	187	+10	+0	—	—	+3	1.3
2021	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	367	286	54	15	0	11	73	117	7	1	0	.189	.366	.357	.723	.168	.270	32	20	.337	116	+7	+0	—	—	+10	1.8
2022	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	99	84	15	4	0	5	10	31	3	2	0	.179	.289	.405	.693	.226	.200	31	10	.305	91	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2022	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	348	288	65	13	0	17	49	111	8	2	1	.226	.354	.448	.802	.222	.294	32	14	.356	130	+12	+0	—	—	+10	2.2
2023	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	319	272	60	19	1	12	42	103	3	2	2	.221	.331	.430	.761	.210	.302	32	13	.338	117	+6	-0	—	—	+9	1.5
2023	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	75	65	14	3	0	7	9	27	1	0	0	.215	.320	.585	.905	.369	.226	36	12	.387	155	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2024	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	350	306	63	14	0	10	38	104	5	8	2	.206	.304	.350	.653	.144	.275	30	11	.298	86	-5	+1	—	—	+10	0.5
2024	25	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	23	15	1	0	0	0	8	9	0	0	0	.067	.391	.067	.458	.000	.167	39	35	.282	74	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	264	245	60	7	1	14	15	83	1	0	0	.245	.291	.453	.744	.208	.305	31	6	.323	106	+2	+0	—	—	+7	0.9
2025	26	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	163	141	43	11	0	9	20	42	2	1	0	.305	.399	.574	.973	.270	.378	26	12	.424	183	+15	+0	—	—	+5	2.0
2025	26	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	22	17	2	0	0	0	3	4	1	0	0	.118	.286	.118	.403	.000	.143	18	14	.211	20	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aaron Sabato (OGILVIE)	27	40	60	45	30	.189/.258/.332	.143	.284	8	2	38%	8%	62	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brock Kjeldgaard 2013 · AA	27	40→43	50	46→45	36	.198/.266/.349	.150	.316	18	7	41%	7%	69	-0.4	.192/.271/.343	.151	.290	20	5	38%	8%	70	-0.3	.169/.253/.323	.154	.238	23	0	38%	8%	56	-1.2
✕Devin Harris 2015 · AA	27	38→39	51→55	43→40	37	.205/.251/.370	.165	.274	19	3	33%	5%	68	-0.5	.212/.257/.366	.154	.289	18	6	32%	5%	69	-0.4	.198/.244/.354	.156	.261	19	4	32%	5%	57	-0.9
✕Hunter Owen 2021 · AAA	27	41→38	53→55	43→40	33	.213/.273/.381	.168	.309	22	5	37%	4%	82	+0.5	.203/.260/.350	.147	.315	19	5	40%	5%	67	-0.5	.174/.223/.318	.144	.265	23	3	43%	4%	42	-1.4
✕Kiel Roling 2013 · AA	26	38→36	51→55	42→30	36	.204/.251/.356	.152	.286	20	3	36%	6%	65	-0.7	.213/.262/.374	.161	.285	20	4	32%	6%	74	-0.1	.200/.251/.369	.169	.254	22	0	30%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Anthony Gallas 2015 · AAA	27	42→43	51→55	44→40	37	.219/.259/.381	.161	.285	19	4	30%	5%	74	-0.1	.219/.261/.375	.156	.289	18	4	30%	5%	73	-0.1	.208/.252/.361	.153	.266	18	2	29%	4%	63	-0.7
✕Kyle Jensen 2015 · AAA	27	36→46	53→60	44→40	39	.196/.262/.365	.168	.273	22	4	36%	7%	72	-0.2	.205/.255/.373	.168	.285	21	3	35%	5%	71	-0.3	.190/.237/.349	.159	.269	21	0	37%	5%	55	-1.0
✕Matt Fields 2012 · AA	27	40→41	46→60	46→45	31	.196/.245/.319	.123	.325	14	4	43%	5%	52	-1.6	.199/.259/.382	.183	.331	26	5	45%	6%	76	+0.0	.185/.246/.373	.188	.289	27	3	45%	6%	64	-0.5
✕Richie Shaffer 2018 · MLB	27	37→39	51→55	46→40	41	.196/.268/.351	.156	.281	20	5	36%	8%	71	-0.3	.183/.247/.322	.139	.302	17	6	43%	7%	54	-1.4	.118/.176/.240	.122	.203	15	0	49%	6%	1	-2.1
✕Logan Hill 2019 · AA	26	39→40	50	41→45	39	.205/.267/.356	.151	.290	19	5	35%	6%	72	-0.2	.209/.270/.357	.148	.300	18	4	35%	7%	73	-0.1	.198/.259/.343	.145	.279	17	1	34%	6%	62	-0.8
✕Kyle Garlick 2019 · AAA	27	39→48	51→60	49→40	33	.205/.247/.361	.156	.300	19	3	38%	4%	64	-0.8	.217/.267/.408	.191	.306	24	5	36%	5%	85	+0.7	.224/.282/.453	.229	.289	31	2	34%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Dustin Geiger 2019 · AA	27	38→47	45→50	47→40	39	.195/.256/.315	.120	.286	13	6	35%	6%	56	-1.3	.205/.270/.325	.120	.330	12	7	38%	7%	65	-0.7	.168/.241/.293	.125	.286	13	0	43%	7%	41	-0.5
✕Elier Hernandez 2022 · AAA	27	38→48	46→50	45→50	35	.197/.243/.314	.117	.280	15	9	35%	4%	50	-1.8	.232/.281/.377	.145	.306	15	10	28%	5%	82	+0.5	.240/.290/.387	.147	.311	14	10	26%	5%	83	+0.5
✕Brahiam Maldonado 2012 · AA	26	39→44	53→55	48→50	36	.205/.259/.374	.168	.298	21	9	38%	6%	72	-0.2	.208/.256/.350	.142	.279	17	9	31%	5%	65	-0.7	.204/.246/.322	.118	.259	13	7	26%	4%	48	-0.8
✕Trey Amburgey 2022 · AAA	27	44	49→50	49→50	38	.225/.269/.378	.153	.298	16	6	30%	5%	77	+0.1	.205/.255/.337	.132	.304	15	7	36%	6%	61	-1.0	.151/.205/.263	.113	.218	16	2	38%	6%	18	-1.4
✕Brendan Katin 2010 · AAA	27	38→48	53→60	49→45	31	.200/.248/.374	.174	.306	21	6	41%	4%	69	-0.4	.211/.274/.410	.199	.287	26	5	35%	6%	89	+1.0	.201/.278/.427	.226	.244	33	1	33%	7%	93	+0.5
✕Dustin Lawley 2015 · AAA	26	38→41	50→55	45	37	.203/.245/.358	.155	.267	18	6	32%	5%	63	-0.9	.196/.236/.324	.128	.271	14	8	32%	4%	49	-1.8	.172/.206/.277	.105	.236	11	10	32%	3%	21	-2.3
✕Brad Glenn 2014 · AAA	27	41→46	53→55	43→45	39	.219/.267/.390	.171	.286	22	4	32%	6%	80	+0.4	.226/.272/.366	.140	.304	16	4	30%	6%	76	+0.0	.221/.265/.347	.127	.300	14	1	30%	5%	64	-0.4
✕D.J. Peterson 2019 · AAA	27	43→44	48→55	44→40	38	.222/.264/.361	.139	.286	16	5	28%	5%	71	-0.3	.211/.256/.346	.135	.282	16	7	30%	5%	64	-0.8	.165/.239/.320	.155	.216	21	2	34%	7%	49	-0.8
✕Adam Brett Walker 2018 · AAA	26	34→44	53→55	48→45	31	.185/.229/.353	.169	.294	22	8	45%	5%	55	-1.4	.195/.253/.344	.149	.323	18	8	42%	7%	63	-0.9	.150/.242/.291	.141	.267	15	3	46%	10%	43	-0.5
✕Mike Ahmed 2019 · AAA	27	42→46	46→50	44→50	40	.209/.273/.338	.129	.311	15	7	36%	7%	69	-0.4	.207/.261/.318	.111	.332	11	10	38%	6%	58	-1.2	.189/.240/.302	.113	.308	11	11	40%	5%	42	-0.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)