Aaron Sabato — OGILVIE

Aaron Sabato1B St. Paul Saints

Age 27 R/R 6'0" / 230 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION451 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP299

ISO153

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	97	75	19	3	0	8	19	32	1	0	0	253	411	613	1.024	360	297	33	20	430	177	+9	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2021	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	367	286	54	15	0	11	73	117	7	1	0	189	366	357	723	168	270	32	20	337	114	+6	+0	—	—	+8	1.5
2022	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	99	84	15	4	0	5	10	31	3	2	0	179	289	405	693	226	200	31	10	305	92	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	348	288	65	13	0	17	49	111	8	2	1	226	354	448	802	222	294	32	14	356	127	+11	+0	—	—	+8	1.9
2023	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	319	272	60	19	1	12	42	103	3	2	2	221	331	430	761	210	302	32	13	338	115	+6	-0	—	—	+7	1.2
2023	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	75	65	14	3	0	7	9	27	1	0	0	215	320	585	905	369	226	36	12	387	148	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2024	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	350	306	63	14	0	10	38	104	5	8	2	206	304	350	653	144	275	30	11	298	88	-5	+1	—	—	+8	0.3
2024	25	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	23	15	1	0	0	0	8	9	0	0	0	67	391	67	458		167	39	35	282	77	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2025	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	264	245	60	7	1	14	15	83	1	0	0	245	291	453	744	208	305	31	6	323	105	+2	+0	—	—	+6	0.7
2025	26	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	163	141	43	11	0	9	20	42	2	1	0	305	399	574	973	270	378	26	12	424	173	+14	+0	—	—	+4	1.8
2025	26	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	22	17	2	0	0	0	3	4	1	0	0	118	286	118	403		143	18	14	211	29	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	97	82	16	2	0	7	12	44	1	0	0	195	305	476	781	280	257	45	12	336	114	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2021	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	367	307	41	12	0	8	52	163	7	1	0	134	273	251	524	117	232	44	14	244	51	-21	+0	—	—	+8	-1.3
2022	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	99	87	12	3	0	4	7	40	3	2	0	138	227	310	537	172	169	40	7	231	42	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2022	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	348	302	50	10	0	13	35	151	8	2	1	166	270	328	597	162	257	43	10	266	66	-14	+0	—	—	+8	-0.7
2023	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	319	284	52	18	1	7	30	123	3	2	2	183	268	327	596	144	283	39	9	264	65	-13	-0	—	—	+7	-0.7
2024	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	350	317	53	12	0	9	27	132	5	8	2	167	244	290	534	123	240	38	8	232	43	-24	+1	—	—	+8	-1.6
2024	25	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	23	17	1	0	0	0	6	13	0	0	0	59	304	59	363		140	57	26	206	26	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2025	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	264	250	51	6	1	7	10	101	1	0	0	204	238	320	558	116	295	38	4	244	51	-15	+0	—	—	+6	-1.0
2025	26	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	163	147	36	9	0	7	14	54	2	1	0	245	319	449	768	204	331	33	9	322	104	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2025	26	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	22	18	2	0	0	0	2	6	1	0	0	111	238	111	349		128	27	9	178	7	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	464	389	56	14	0	15	64	206	8	1	0	144	278	296	573	152	240	44	14	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	464	361	73	18	0	19	92	149	8	1	0	202	375	410	785	208	276	32	20	356	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	447	389	62	13	0	17	42	191	11	4	1	159	260	324	584	165	242	43	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	447	372	80	17	0	22	59	142	11	4	1	215	339	438	778	223	272	32	13	344	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	394	351	64	22	1	9	37	152	4	2	2	182	268	328	595	145	286	39	9	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	394	337	74	22	1	19	51	130	4	2	2	220	329	460	789	240	289	33	13	347	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	373	334	53	12	0	9	33	144	5	8	2	159	245	275	520	117	242	39	9	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	373	321	64	14	0	10	46	113	5	8	2	199	309	336	646	137	271	30	12	297	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	449	415	88	15	1	14	26	161	4	1	0	212	265	354	619	142	303	36	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	449	403	105	18	1	23	38	129	4	1	0	261	330	481	812	221	322	29	8	354	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	464	389	56	14	0	15	64	206	8	1	0	144	278	296	573	152	237	44	14	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	447	391	62	13	0	17	42	191	11	4	1	159	260	322	582	164	238	43	9	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	394	350	64	22	1	9	37	152	4	2	2	183	268	329	596	146	283	39	9	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	373	332	53	12	0	9	33	144	5	8	2	160	245	277	522	117	234	39	9	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	449	416	88	15	1	14	26	161	4	1	0	212	265	353	619	142	300	36	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	394	350	64	22	1	9	37	152	4	2	2	183	268	329	596	146	283	39	9	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	373	332	53	12	0	9	33	144	5	8	2	160	245	277	522	117	234	39	9	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	449	416	88	15	1	14	26	161	4	1	0	212	265	353	619	142	300	36	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	MIN	—	451	411	94	24	1	16	28	136	9	5	0	229	292	409	701	180	298	30	6	304	92	-4	+1	+0	-8	+10	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA RAW	MIN	—	451	399	111	29	1	24	40	113	9	5	0	278	357	536	893	258	328	25	9	388	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	27	AAA MLE	MIN	10%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		299	30	10	299	89	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	27	MLB CTX	MIN	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						299	0	0	288	89	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	27	MLB A+C	MIN	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	288	92	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	27	AAA MLE	MIN	—	461	420	95	24	1	16	29	139	9	5	0	226	290	402	693	176	295	30	6	304	92	-4	+1	+0	-8	+10	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIN	31%	333	303	68	16	1	11	22	103	5	3	0	224	288	393	681	168	296	31	7	300	89	-4	+1	-1	-6	+7	-0.3
2028	29	MLB MLE	MIN	40%	352	320	71	16	1	11	24	107	5	3	0	222	287	381	668	159	295	30	7	300	89	-5	+1	-1	-6	+8	-0.4
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIN	31%	103	93	20	5	0	3	7	32	2	1	0	215	284	366	650	151	296	31	7	289	89	-1	+0	-0	-2	+2	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	MIN	40%	139	126	28	6	0	5	10	42	2	1	0	222	290	389	679	167	295	30	7	289	89	-2	+0	-1	-2	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	243	220	48	11	0	8	17	74	4	2	0	218	286	377	664	159	286	30	7	289	68	-3	+0	-1	-4	+5	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	128	29	0	21	45	198	11	5	0	218	285	374	659	156	286	30	7	289	68	-8	+1	-2	-12	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2822	2510	463	108	4	86	249	1067	42	22	5	184	269	333	603	149	274	38	9	268	68	-9	+1	-2	-12	+15	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	107	25	1	20	57	246	10	5	1	185	269	336	605	151	275	38	9	268	68	-8	+1	-2	-12	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	268	9	2	224	285	387	-5	-2	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	21	6	-11.9	-3.7	-0.2	pk7: 0
#5Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	2.6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	19	9	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	2.6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	21	9	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aaron Sabato (OGILVIE)	27	40	60	45	30	221/284/386	165	299	8	3	32%	6%	89	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Evan White 2022 · MLB	26	41→51	52→50	43→40	41	214/272/372	157	286	21	5	32%	7%	80	-0.1	214/281/376	162	272	20	7	28%	8%	84	+0.2	162/239/356	193	176	26	0	27%	8%	61	-0.3
✕Hunter Owen 2021 · AAA	27	42→38	52→55	43→40	34	214/276/378	163	309	20	5	36%	5%	84	+0.1	200/259/332	132	313	16	6	39%	6%	66	-1.1	169/220/297	127	262	19	3	42%	5%	42	-1.7
✕Ernesto Mejia 2013 · AAA	27	46→48	52→55	45	37	237/283/403	166	318	20	7	32%	5%	91	+0.7	223/276/394	171	303	21	8	32%	6%	86	+0.3	192/249/367	175	257	22	7	34%	6%	70	-0.8
✕Brett Carroll 2010 · MLB	27	43→45	51→55	41→50	42	222/278/385	163	273	19	4	26%	6%	86	+0.3	211/280/344	133	268	14	10	26%	7%	77	-0.3	204/273/328	124	261	13	10	26%	7%	67	-0.8
✕Kyle Jensen 2015 · AAA	27	36→46	51→55	44→40	40	196/261/355	158	270	20	4	35%	7%	73	-0.6	205/256/371	166	287	21	3	35%	5%	74	-0.5	190/237/347	157	269	20	0	37%	5%	60	-1.1
✕Mike Bianucci 2013 · AAA	27	40	50→60	44→40	37	214/258/364	150	270	19	4	29%	4%	74	-0.6	229/271/407	178	275	24	4	26%	5%	88	+0.5	226/265/420	194	260	28	2	25%	4%	87	+0.2
✕Chris Jacobs 2016 · AAA	27	45→41	48→55	46→40	44	224/298/366	142	307	17	3	31%	8%	88	+0.5	218/274/325	107	319	11	6	33%	6%	70	-0.9	185/219/265	80	284	13	0	39%	3%	32	-0.7
✕Kyle Garlick 2019 · AAA	27	39→49	50→60	49→40	33	204/245/354	150	297	19	4	38%	4%	65	-1.2	219/270/410	191	306	24	6	35%	5%	88	+0.5	224/281/451	227	289	31	2	34%	6%	100	+0.5
✕Mauro Gomez 2012 · AAA	27	47→50	50→55	45→40	38	236/279/392	156	308	17	4	29%	5%	87	+0.4	231/278/402	171	299	21	4	29%	6%	89	+0.5	222/271/403	181	281	23	2	30%	6%	84	+0.2
✕J.J. Jurries 2006 · AAA	27	45→44	52→55	46→40	41	233/289/405	172	307	20	5	31%	6%	94	+0.9	206/266/328	122	301	14	6	34%	7%	68	-1.0	164/227/246	82	251	9	3	37%	6%	32	-2.1
✕Travis Taijeron 2016 · AAA	27	41→40	51→55	40	42	205/290/369	165	306	19	3	37%	8%	87	+0.4	197/280/342	145	318	15	3	40%	9%	77	-0.3	177/271/328	151	289	17	3	41%	9%	68	-0.8
✕Matt Davidson 2018 · MLB	27	38→44	54→60	42→30	37	209/261/381	172	286	23	2	36%	6%	78	-0.3	217/287/407	190	296	26	2	34%	7%	95	+0.9	216/288/412	197	287	27	0	34%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Casper Wells 2011 · MLB	26	41→44	54→60	45→50	42	216/281/398	182	274	21	10	29%	7%	90	+0.6	224/296/400	176	286	19	8	28%	8%	95	+1.0	219/298/391	173	277	19	6	27%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Chris Gittens 2021 · AA	27	45	50	46→30	45	222/301/372	150	331	19	4	36%	10%	91	+0.7	235/324/403	168	322	21	6	31%	11%	107	+1.8	221/335/409	189	286	25	0	30%	14%	109	+0.7
●Trayce Thompson 2018 · MLB	27	38→47	48→60	46→50	42	198/251/337	139	256	15	8	29%	7%	64	-1.3	175/227/311	136	259	17	10	38%	6%	49	-2.4	206/295/413	207	291	28	7	37%	10%	97	+0.6
✕Anthony Gallas 2015 · AAA	27	42	51→55	44→40	37	221/259/382	161	285	19	4	30%	5%	78	-0.3	216/259/362	146	284	17	5	29%	5%	73	-0.6	206/250/352	146	261	17	2	28%	5%	63	-1.1
✕Brad Glenn 2014 · AAA	27	41→46	51→55	43→45	40	218/266/377	160	281	19	4	30%	6%	79	-0.2	222/268/350	128	299	13	4	29%	6%	73	-0.6	217/262/333	117	295	12	1	30%	5%	64	-0.8
✕Ryan Mulhern 2008 · AAA	27	46→48	48→55	41→40	39	232/281/379	147	312	16	3	30%	6%	85	+0.2	216/273/344	128	300	14	5	31%	6%	74	-0.6	246/301/422	176	304	21	3	26%	5%	100	+0.5
✕Peter O'Brien 2017 · MLB	27	34→44	55→60	45→30	32	196/235/377	181	270	24	3	37%	4%	68	-1.0	177/236/339	162	269	22	3	41%	7%	59	-1.6	156/225/315	159	233	23	1	43%	8%	49	-1.6
✕Brandon Snyder 2015 · MLB	28	40→50	48→55	48→45	35	206/256/345	139	293	16	6	35%	5%	68	-1.0	223/276/365	142	315	15	7	32%	6%	80	-0.2	221/278/367	147	303	17	5	32%	6%	79	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps