Chris Jacobs
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 25 | A+LAA | 548 | .266/.390/.499 | 25 | 1 | 101 | — | .218/.315/.420 |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA/AA/A+CWS | 346 | .271/.358/.386 | 5 | 2 | 58 | — | .221/.282/.300 |
| 2016 | 27 | AASTL | 121 | .212/.258/.336 | 4 | 0 | 26 | — | .183/.217/.278 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 18 | ROK | GCL Dodgers | — | 107 | 96 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 327 | 365 | 692 | 115 | 379 | 34 | 10 | 314 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK | GCL Dodgers | — | 171 | 144 | 39 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 271 | 382 | 396 | 778 | 125 | 336 | 20 | 14 | 353 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK | Ogden Raptors | — | 171 | 148 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 277 | 371 | 439 | 810 | 162 | 389 | 29 | 12 | 361 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 160 | 149 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 264 | 409 | 674 | 195 | 269 | 31 | 6 | 295 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 253 | 215 | 62 | 14 | 0 | 12 | 34 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 288 | 391 | 521 | 912 | 233 | 355 | 25 | 13 | 401 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 337 | 300 | 82 | 15 | 0 | 17 | 31 | 103 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 273 | 353 | 493 | 846 | 220 | 361 | 31 | 9 | 374 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 96 | 85 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 274 | 329 | 603 | 141 | 260 | 34 | 10 | 272 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 294 | 248 | 71 | 13 | 1 | 14 | 34 | 96 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 286 | 388 | 516 | 904 | 230 | 399 | 33 | 12 | 392 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | INTL | Adelaide Bite | — | 166 | 144 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 44 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 243 | 335 | 382 | 717 | 139 | 309 | 27 | 9 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 548 | 451 | 120 | 28 | 1 | 25 | 75 | 117 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 266 | 390 | 499 | 889 | 233 | 303 | 21 | 14 | 391 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 56 | 49 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 321 | 367 | 689 | 143 | 265 | 23 | 9 | 315 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 56 | 49 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 265 | 357 | 367 | 724 | 102 | 406 | 30 | 11 | 331 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 234 | 205 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 47 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 283 | 366 | 395 | 762 | 112 | 355 | 20 | 10 | 343 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 121 | 113 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 212 | 258 | 336 | 595 | 124 | 282 | 32 | 5 | 265 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Dodgers | — | 107 | 100 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 206 | 210 | 416 | 60 | 307 | 49 | 7 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Dodgers | — | 171 | 153 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 50 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 203 | 282 | 281 | 563 | 78 | 280 | 29 | 9 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 171 | 156 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 71 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 259 | 308 | 567 | 115 | 315 | 42 | 8 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 160 | 152 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 201 | 303 | 504 | 138 | 243 | 40 | 4 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 253 | 228 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 22 | 88 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 304 | 412 | 717 | 184 | 320 | 35 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 337 | 311 | 65 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 20 | 140 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 209 | 270 | 363 | 633 | 154 | 330 | 42 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 96 | 89 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 157 | 211 | 258 | 469 | 101 | 233 | 42 | 6 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 294 | 258 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 126 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 221 | 304 | 403 | 708 | 182 | 346 | 43 | 8 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 548 | 476 | 104 | 22 | 1 | 24 | 50 | 151 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 218 | 315 | 420 | 735 | 202 | 255 | 28 | 9 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 56 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 250 | 255 | 505 | 78 | 245 | 29 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 56 | 51 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 235 | 304 | 333 | 637 | 98 | 371 | 38 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 234 | 215 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 72 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 228 | 284 | 302 | 587 | 74 | 319 | 31 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 121 | 115 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 47 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 183 | 217 | 278 | 495 | 96 | 265 | 39 | 3 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Dodgers | — | 107 | 100 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 206 | 210 | 416 | 60 | 298 | 49 | 7 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Dodgers | — | 107 | 96 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 327 | 365 | 692 | 115 | 379 | 34 | 10 | 314 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Dodgers | — | 171 | 153 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 50 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 203 | 282 | 281 | 563 | 78 | 284 | 29 | 9 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Dodgers | — | 171 | 144 | 39 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 271 | 382 | 396 | 778 | 125 | 336 | 20 | 14 | 353 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 171 | 156 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 71 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 259 | 308 | 567 | 115 | 329 | 42 | 8 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK RAW | Ogden Raptors | — | 171 | 148 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 277 | 371 | 439 | 810 | 162 | 389 | 29 | 12 | 361 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 160 | 152 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 201 | 303 | 504 | 138 | 238 | 40 | 4 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A RAW | Great Lakes Loons | — | 160 | 149 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 264 | 409 | 674 | 195 | 269 | 31 | 6 | 295 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 253 | 228 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 22 | 88 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 304 | 412 | 717 | 184 | 323 | 35 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A RAW | Great Lakes Loons | — | 253 | 215 | 62 | 14 | 0 | 12 | 34 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 288 | 391 | 521 | 912 | 233 | 355 | 25 | 13 | 401 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 337 | 311 | 65 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 20 | 140 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 209 | 270 | 363 | 633 | 154 | 333 | 42 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ RAW | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 337 | 300 | 82 | 15 | 0 | 17 | 31 | 103 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 273 | 353 | 493 | 846 | 220 | 361 | 31 | 9 | 374 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 556 | 493 | 101 | 17 | 1 | 20 | 43 | 237 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 205 | 285 | 365 | 650 | 160 | 332 | 43 | 8 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 556 | 477 | 122 | 21 | 1 | 22 | 59 | 173 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 256 | 352 | 442 | 795 | 187 | 345 | 31 | 11 | 351 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 548 | 476 | 104 | 22 | 1 | 24 | 50 | 151 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 218 | 315 | 420 | 735 | 202 | 261 | 28 | 9 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ RAW | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 548 | 451 | 120 | 28 | 1 | 25 | 75 | 117 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 266 | 390 | 499 | 889 | 233 | 303 | 21 | 14 | 391 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 346 | 317 | 68 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 109 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 215 | 276 | 284 | 560 | 69 | 317 | 32 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 346 | 303 | 82 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 77 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 271 | 358 | 386 | 744 | 116 | 348 | 22 | 10 | 336 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 121 | 115 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 47 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 183 | 217 | 278 | 495 | 96 | 273 | 39 | 3 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA RAW | Springfield Cardinals | — | 121 | 113 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 212 | 258 | 336 | 595 | 124 | 282 | 32 | 5 | 265 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Dodgers | — | 107 | 99 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 206 | 212 | 418 | 61 | 307 | 49 | 7 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Dodgers | — | 171 | 152 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 50 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 204 | 282 | 283 | 565 | 79 | 280 | 29 | 9 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 171 | 155 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 71 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 259 | 310 | 569 | 116 | 315 | 42 | 8 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 160 | 152 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 201 | 303 | 504 | 138 | 243 | 40 | 4 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 253 | 226 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 22 | 88 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 304 | 416 | 720 | 186 | 320 | 35 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 337 | 308 | 65 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 20 | 140 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 211 | 270 | 367 | 637 | 156 | 330 | 42 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 556 | 496 | 101 | 17 | 1 | 20 | 43 | 237 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 204 | 285 | 363 | 648 | 159 | 318 | 43 | 8 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 548 | 476 | 104 | 22 | 1 | 24 | 50 | 151 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 218 | 315 | 420 | 735 | 202 | 255 | 28 | 9 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 346 | 316 | 68 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 109 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 215 | 276 | 285 | 561 | 70 | 315 | 32 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 121 | 115 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 47 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 183 | 217 | 278 | 495 | 96 | 265 | 39 | 3 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2770 | 2501 | 512 | 96 | 5 | 83 | 202 | 1009 | 48 | 12 | 6 | 205 | 277 | 347 | 624 | 142 | 301 | 36 | 7 | 272 | 70 | -98 | +0 | +0 | -49 | +60 | -8.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 120 | 23 | 1 | 19 | 47 | 237 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 204 | 276 | 344 | 620 | 140 | 301 | 36 | 7 | 272 | 70 | -23 | +0 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AASpringfield Cardinals · 121 PAwOBA .260 → .207 (−53)K% 32.2% → 38.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.23% | ÷1.019 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.96% | ÷0.999 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 3.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.968 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.32% | ÷0.966 | ×0.920 | ×1.049 | ×0.968 | 23.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.986 | ×0.840 | ×1.049 | ×0.968 | 2.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.049 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.155 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 3.62% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 93, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 104, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .260 → .207; ISO .124 → .081; BABIP .282 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 234 PAwOBA .334 → .254 (−81)K% 20.1% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.09% | ÷0.932 | ×1.420 | — | — | 30.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.26% | ÷1.060 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.958 | 5.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.28% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.958 | 1.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.58% | ÷0.963 | ×0.940 | ×1.033 | ×0.958 | 25.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.59% | ÷1.175 | ×0.830 | ×1.033 | ×0.958 | 5.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.63% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×1.033 | ×0.958 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.90% | ÷1.090 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.958 | 1.50% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 93, 2B 135, 3B 130, K 86, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .334 → .254; ISO .112 → .076; BABIP .355 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAACharlotte Knights · 56 PAwOBA .307 → .245 (−62)K% 23.2% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.21% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.93% | ÷1.017 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.57% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 3.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.973 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 21.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.78% | ÷0.993 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 2.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.306 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 3.58% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 161, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .307 → .245; ISO .143 → .092; BABIP .265 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AABirmingham Barons · 56 PAwOBA .323 → .263 (−60)K% 30.4% → 37.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.36% | ÷0.981 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.71% | ÷1.019 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 6.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.12% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 25.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.38% | ÷0.875 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.978 | 9.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.087 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 2.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.102 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 101, 2B 75, 3B 117, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .323 → .263; ISO .102 → .089; BABIP .406 → .371. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 548 PAwOBA .383 → .317 (−66)K% 21.4% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.35% | ÷1.036 | ×1.340 | — | — | 27.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.14% | ÷0.979 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 9.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.10% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.968 | 2.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.76% | ÷1.034 | ×0.910 | ×1.014 | ×0.968 | 17.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.014 | ×0.968 | 6.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.30% | ÷0.998 | ×0.760 | ×1.014 | ×0.968 | 0.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.49% | ÷0.934 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 7.14% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 107, 2B 100, 3B 100, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .383 → .317; ISO .233 → .211; BABIP .303 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 294 PAwOBA .388 → .304 (−84)K% 32.7% → 43.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.65% | ÷1.018 | ×1.340 | — | — | 42.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.56% | ÷0.971 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 8.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 1.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.29% | ÷0.993 | ×0.910 | ×1.014 | ×0.978 | 25.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.55% | ÷1.038 | ×0.820 | ×1.014 | ×0.978 | 6.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.66% | ÷1.027 | ×0.760 | ×1.014 | ×0.978 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.21% | ÷0.980 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 8.45% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 108, 3B 105, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .388 → .304; ISO .230 → .184; BABIP .399 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 96 PAwOBA .268 → .207 (−61)K% 34.4% → 41.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.38% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 41.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.42% | ÷1.118 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 6.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.23% | ÷1.053 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 17.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷1.080 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 5.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.135 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.77% | ÷1.001 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 4.60% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 111, 2B 116, 3B 127, K 101, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .268 → .207; ISO .141 → .111; BABIP .260 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 337 PAwOBA .362 → .276 (−86)K% 30.6% → 41.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.56% | ÷0.985 | ×1.340 | — | — | 41.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.90% | ÷1.038 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 6.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.78% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.38% | ÷1.007 | ×0.910 | ×1.047 | ×0.988 | 23.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.61% | ÷0.941 | ×0.820 | ×1.047 | ×0.988 | 6.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.993 | ×0.760 | ×1.047 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.63% | ÷1.086 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 7.23% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 101, 2B 88, 3B 99, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .362 → .276; ISO .220 → .163; BABIP .361 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .