Felix Stevens — OGILVIE

Felix StevensOF Knoxville Smokies

Age 28 R/R 6'4" / 225 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .294 / .362

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP293

ISO154

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	20	ROK	DSL Cubs 2	—	210	175	49	15	2	6	26	62	6	7	3	280	391	491	883	211	391	30	12	386	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	16	15	2	1	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	133	188	200	388	67	200	31	0	183	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	115	104	31	7	2	7	8	37	3	1	1	298	365	606	971	308	400	32	7	419	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	290	252	56	13	1	11	32	96	2	1	1	222	315	413	727	190	302	33	11	321	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	256	231	56	18	0	14	22	84	3	4	1	242	316	502	819	260	316	33	9	357	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	216	187	54	10	1	13	24	67	4	4	2	289	381	561	943	273	380	31	11	409	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	75	68	16	4	1	1	6	20	1	1	2	235	307	368	674	132	319	27	8	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	247	208	47	10	2	7	34	85	4	2	0	226	346	394	740	168	342	34	14	335	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	219	185	46	8	0	13	28	79	6	2	0	249	365	503	868	254	355	36	13	383	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	79	62	12	3	1	2	13	26	2	0	1	194	351	371	722	177	278	33	16	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	129	113	27	5	1	2	12	39	2	2	0	239	323	354	677	115	338	30	9	304	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	22	16	3	1	0	1	5	4	0	1	0	188	381	438	818	250	167	18	23	353	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	26	22	3	1	0	0	4	10	0	0	0	136	269	182	451	45	250	38	15	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 2	—	210	184	29	8	1	3	17	76	6	7	3	158	251	261	512	103	230	36	8	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	16	15	2	1	0	0	0	7	1	0	0	133	188	200	388	67	182	44	0	133	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	115	108	19	4	1	4	4	54	3	1	1	176	226	343	569	167	299	47	3	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	290	263	44	10	1	8	21	133	2	1	1	167	234	304	538	137	275	46	7	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	256	238	38	11	0	8	15	110	3	4	1	160	219	307	525	147	245	43	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	216	194	40	7	1	9	17	90	4	4	2	206	284	392	675	186	317	42	8	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	247	219	40	8	2	6	23	106	4	2	0	183	272	320	592	137	312	43	9	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	219	195	36	6	0	10	18	100	6	2	0	185	274	369	643	185	299	46	8	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	129	117	25	5	1	2	8	48	2	2	0	214	276	325	600	111	315	37	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	22	18	3	1	0	1	3	5	0	1	0	167	286	389	675	222	136	23	14	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 2	—	210	184	29	8	1	3	17	76	6	7	3	158	251	261	512	103	241	36	8	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs 2	—	210	175	49	15	2	6	26	62	6	7	3	280	391	491	883	211	391	30	12	386	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	131	123	20	5	1	4	4	61	4	1	1	163	214	317	531	154	276	47	3	237	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	131	119	33	8	2	7	8	42	4	1	1	277	344	555	898	277	371	32	6	390	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	290	263	44	10	1	8	21	133	2	1	1	167	234	304	538	137	286	46	7	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	290	252	56	13	1	11	32	96	2	1	1	222	315	413	727	190	302	33	11	321	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	547	502	90	21	1	20	36	232	8	9	5	179	245	345	590	165	279	42	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	547	486	126	32	2	28	52	171	8	9	5	259	341	506	847	247	340	31	10	370	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	545	481	89	16	2	19	49	241	12	4	1	185	277	345	622	160	312	44	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	545	455	105	21	3	22	75	190	12	4	1	231	354	435	789	204	337	35	14	353	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	177	159	32	7	1	3	13	62	2	3	0	201	270	314	585	113	299	35	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	3 teams	—	177	151	33	7	1	3	21	53	2	3	0	219	322	338	660	119	306	30	12	299	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 2	—	210	185	29	8	1	3	17	76	6	7	3	157	251	259	511	103	230	36	8	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	131	122	20	5	1	4	4	61	4	1	1	164	214	320	533	156	285	47	3	237	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	290	265	44	10	1	8	21	133	2	1	1	166	234	302	536	136	275	46	7	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	547	498	90	21	1	20	36	232	8	9	5	181	245	347	593	167	278	42	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	545	479	89	16	2	19	49	241	12	4	1	186	277	347	623	161	306	44	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	177	160	32	7	1	3	13	62	2	3	0	200	270	312	583	112	289	35	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	545	479	89	16	2	19	49	241	12	4	1	186	277	347	623	161	306	44	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	177	160	32	7	1	3	13	62	2	3	0	200	270	312	583	112	289	35	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CHC	2%	201	179	40	8	1	6	17	60	3	4	1	217	293	362	654	145	289	30	8	293	85	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	CHC	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	218	294	362	656	144	293	33	0	294	85	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	CHC	23%	194	174	37	7	1	5	16	58	2	4	1	216	291	358	649	142	288	30	8	291	83	-4	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	CHC	23%	44	39	8	2	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	217	292	358	651	141	291	30	9	292	83	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	44	39	8	2	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	205	295	333	629	128	280	30	9	292	61	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	119	30	0	15	59	192	15	15	0	207	297	337	634	130	282	30	9	292	61	-13	+3	-5	-4	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2231	2009	368	79	9	66	167	904	38	32	13	183	259	330	589	147	286	41	7	259	61	-6	+1	-1	-2	+7	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	107	23	3	19	49	263	11	9	4	183	259	330	589	147	286	40	8	259	61	-13	+1	-3	-4	+14	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Felix Stevens (OGILVIE)	28	—	—	—	—	215/290/359	144	289	4	3	30%	8%	85	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Stuart Fairchild 2024 · MLB	28	46→43	49→50	52→55	45	228/312/380	152	304	15	16	29%	8%	97	+1.1	225/305/369	144	290	15	23	26%	8%	92	+0.7	216/307/360	144	270	16	31	25%	9%	89	+0.3
✕Narciso Crook 2023 · AAA	28	44→43	50	48→50	39	216/285/370	154	316	17	14	36%	7%	85	+0.2	208/286/343	135	332	14	15	39%	8%	79	-0.2	169/264/285	115	292	12	17	42%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Nick Gorneault 2008 · AAA	29	45→48	49→55	48→50	44	227/283/377	150	290	17	12	28%	7%	85	+0.2	205/260/338	133	270	15	11	29%	7%	68	-1.0	190/244/318	127	249	15	9	29%	6%	54	-1.4
✕Adam Engel 2020 · MLB	28	44→48	45→50	52→60	39	219/275/348	129	297	12	16	30%	5%	75	-0.5	235/292/380	145	304	15	19	27%	5%	89	+0.5	204/273/332	127	285	13	30	31%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Weston Wilson 2023 · AAA	28	40→42	47→55	51→55	40	207/262/334	128	287	15	17	33%	7%	68	-1.0	211/282/367	156	280	20	23	31%	9%	82	+0.0	204/282/368	164	260	22	25	30%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	43→42	46→50	49→50	42	216/272/344	128	288	14	11	30%	6%	74	-0.6	203/269/353	150	324	19	14	41%	7%	75	-0.5	141/210/279	138	225	21	18	47%	7%	34	-1.3
✕Brett Carroll 2011 · MLB	28	40→46	48→55	45→50	43	206/277/346	140	257	15	8	26%	6%	76	-0.4	210/274/349	139	266	16	11	27%	7%	76	-0.4	201/265/338	137	255	17	11	27%	7%	68	-0.7
✕Mario Lisson 2012 · AAA	28	44→49	50	51→55	39	226/276/380	154	295	18	16	30%	6%	84	+0.1	222/287/366	144	279	16	15	26%	7%	84	+0.2	222/292/345	123	288	15	8	27%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Luis Liberato 2024 · AAA	28	45→50	48→50	47→50	47	222/291/372	150	298	15	11	30%	9%	87	+0.4	223/280/339	116	315	10	13	30%	7%	74	-0.5	216/263/303	86	315	5	12	31%	6%	56	-0.9
✕Matt Lloyd 2024 · AA	28	43→42	48→45	48→50	41	214/281/353	139	307	16	9	34%	7%	79	-0.2	214/281/334	120	287	12	12	28%	8%	74	-0.5	205/275/320	116	273	13	12	28%	8%	69	-0.5
✕Corey Julks 2024 · MLB	28	46→50	49→50	54→55	46	234/295/386	152	289	17	21	25%	7%	92	+0.7	229/289/353	124	290	13	18	25%	7%	82	-0.0	222/281/337	115	280	13	16	25%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Ben Guez 2015 · AAA	28	41→51	50	45→50	42	211/285/367	156	285	18	10	32%	7%	84	+0.2	210/287/359	149	309	17	16	36%	8%	83	+0.1	206/303/366	160	266	22	29	30%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Nick Podkul 2024 · AAA	27	43	51→50	49→50	49	219/310/379	160	281	19	6	28%	9%	97	+1.1	208/293/334	126	310	14	5	35%	9%	80	-0.2	192/282/316	124	291	15	2	36%	10%	68	-0.5
✕Ben Harrison 2009 · AAA	27	45→48	48→50	51→50	40	226/288/367	141	315	17	13	32%	7%	85	+0.2	197/265/317	120	307	13	9	38%	7%	65	-1.2	162/240/269	107	252	14	4	39%	8%	43	-1.2
✕Guillermo Rodriguez 2006 · AA	28	43	49→50	51→45	39	221/278/370	149	284	16	9	28%	5%	82	-0.0	225/287/366	141	261	15	6	20%	7%	84	+0.2	222/287/355	133	247	15	2	17%	7%	80	-0.0
✕Kevin Padlo 2024 · MLB	28	40→42	47→55	49→50	46	204/276/339	135	275	15	12	31%	9%	74	-0.6	196/275/323	127	279	14	14	32%	9%	70	-0.8	141/233/249	109	200	13	15	35%	10%	38	-1.6
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA	27	44→48	47→45	53→55	49	223/298/360	138	268	15	16	23%	8%	87	+0.4	228/297/350	122	280	13	24	22%	8%	84	+0.1	222/290/331	110	273	12	28	22%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Rylan Bannon 2024 · MLB	28	40→47	49→50	47→50	50	208/293/355	147	263	18	14	28%	10%	84	+0.2	205/299/343	138	278	15	12	29%	11%	84	+0.1	174/284/300	125	238	14	10	30%	12%	68	-0.9
✕Jerad Head 2011 · AAA	28	47→42	49→55	47→50	40	237/287/392	156	288	16	7	24%	5%	90	+0.6	223/272/368	145	273	17	7	25%	4%	80	-0.2	212/262/347	135	257	16	6	24%	4%	68	-0.7
✕Brent Clevlen 2012 · AAA	28	50→53	47→50	49→50	41	241/294/376	136	344	14	10	33%	7%	88	+0.5	221/278/362	141	307	15	9	31%	7%	80	-0.2	208/261/343	135	278	15	7	30%	7%	66	-0.6