Joe Gray Jr.
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A+MIL | 527 | .193/.283/.353 | 15 | 17 | 29 | — | .137/.213/.255 |
| 2023 | 23 | AA/A+MIL | 479 | .232/.291/.353 | 11 | 17 | 31 | — | .181/.227/.270 |
| 2024 | 24 | AANorthwest Ark… | 96 | .136/.255/.185 | 0 | 4 | 0 | — | .118/.202/.165 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | AZL Brewers | — | 98 | 77 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 25 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 182 | 351 | 325 | 675 | 143 | 235 | 26 | 18 | 316 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 248 | 215 | 47 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 70 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 219 | 311 | 381 | 693 | 163 | 277 | 28 | 8 | 309 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 231 | 190 | 55 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 61 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 289 | 410 | 632 | 1.042 | 342 | 361 | 26 | 14 | 441 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 70 | 58 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 69 | 229 | 138 | 367 | 69 | 91 | 34 | 14 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 527 | 462 | 89 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 51 | 177 | 7 | 17 | 2 | 193 | 283 | 353 | 636 | 160 | 267 | 34 | 10 | 284 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 39 | 37 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 54 | 103 | 81 | 184 | 27 | 100 | 44 | 3 | 93 | -65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 440 | 402 | 100 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 104 | 7 | 16 | 8 | 249 | 307 | 378 | 685 | 129 | 306 | 24 | 6 | 306 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 96 | 81 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 136 | 255 | 185 | 441 | 49 | 200 | 28 | 12 | 214 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 98 | 84 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 119 | 237 | 226 | 463 | 107 | 179 | 37 | 11 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 248 | 220 | 37 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 94 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 168 | 250 | 277 | 527 | 109 | 241 | 38 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 231 | 201 | 43 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 83 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 214 | 310 | 458 | 768 | 244 | 290 | 36 | 10 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 527 | 474 | 65 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 230 | 7 | 17 | 2 | 137 | 213 | 255 | 469 | 118 | 216 | 44 | 7 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 39 | 37 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 54 | 103 | 81 | 184 | 27 | 104 | 56 | 3 | 72 | -65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 440 | 411 | 79 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 138 | 7 | 16 | 8 | 192 | 239 | 287 | 526 | 95 | 257 | 31 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 96 | 85 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 118 | 202 | 165 | 367 | 47 | 175 | 34 | 8 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 98 | 84 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 119 | 237 | 226 | 463 | 107 | 170 | 37 | 11 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Brewers | — | 98 | 77 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 25 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 182 | 351 | 325 | 675 | 143 | 235 | 26 | 18 | 316 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 549 | 484 | 90 | 16 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 204 | 17 | 24 | 3 | 186 | 274 | 357 | 632 | 171 | 271 | 37 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 549 | 463 | 106 | 23 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 155 | 17 | 24 | 3 | 229 | 343 | 454 | 796 | 225 | 290 | 28 | 11 | 350 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 527 | 474 | 65 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 230 | 7 | 17 | 2 | 137 | 213 | 255 | 469 | 118 | 222 | 44 | 7 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 527 | 462 | 89 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 51 | 177 | 7 | 17 | 2 | 193 | 283 | 353 | 636 | 160 | 267 | 34 | 10 | 284 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 479 | 448 | 80 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 161 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 179 | 225 | 266 | 491 | 87 | 254 | 34 | 4 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 479 | 439 | 102 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 121 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 232 | 291 | 353 | 644 | 121 | 293 | 25 | 6 | 288 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 96 | 85 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 118 | 202 | 165 | 367 | 47 | 189 | 34 | 8 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 96 | 81 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 136 | 255 | 185 | 441 | 49 | 200 | 28 | 12 | 214 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 98 | 85 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 118 | 237 | 224 | 461 | 106 | 179 | 37 | 11 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 549 | 485 | 90 | 16 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 204 | 17 | 24 | 3 | 186 | 274 | 357 | 631 | 171 | 265 | 37 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 527 | 476 | 65 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 230 | 7 | 17 | 2 | 137 | 213 | 254 | 468 | 118 | 216 | 44 | 7 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 479 | 449 | 80 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 161 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 178 | 225 | 265 | 490 | 87 | 245 | 34 | 4 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 96 | 87 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 115 | 202 | 161 | 363 | 46 | 175 | 34 | 8 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 96 | 87 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 115 | 202 | 161 | 363 | 46 | 175 | 34 | 8 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1749 | 1575 | 255 | 48 | 13 | 39 | 119 | 664 | 35 | 68 | 13 | 162 | 237 | 283 | 520 | 121 | 242 | 38 | 7 | 230 | 42 | -121 | +8 | +0 | -10 | +38 | -8.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 95 | 18 | 5 | 14 | 44 | 247 | 13 | 25 | 5 | 162 | 236 | 282 | 518 | 120 | 245 | 38 | 7 | 230 | 42 | -45 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -3.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 96 PAwOBA .212 → .168 (−44)K% 28.1% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.12% | ÷0.991 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.056 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 8.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.81% | ÷1.073 | ×0.920 | ×0.997 | ×1.012 | 12.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.025 | ×0.840 | ×0.997 | ×1.012 | 3.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.85% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.997 | ×1.012 | 1.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.920 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 115, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 98, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .212 → .168; ISO .049 → .046; BABIP .200 → .175. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 440 PAwOBA .299 → .228 (−71)K% 23.6% → 31.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.64% | ÷0.955 | ×1.270 | — | — | 31.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.91% | ÷1.024 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 4.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.83% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 20.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.70% | ÷0.966 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 4.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.34% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.69% | ÷1.033 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.85% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 91, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .299 → .228; ISO .129 → .094; BABIP .306 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AABiloxi Shuckers · 39 PAwOBA .091 → .072 (−19)K% 43.6% → 57.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 43.59% | ÷0.924 | ×1.220 | — | — | 57.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 1.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.56% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 2.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 4.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.827 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.027 | 5.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.055 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 98, 2B 65, 3B 80, K 85, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .091 → .072; ISO .027 → .023; BABIP .100 → .104. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 527 PAwOBA .280 → .211 (−70)K% 33.6% → 43.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.59% | ÷0.977 | ×1.270 | — | — | 43.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.68% | ÷0.944 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 7.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.33% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 1.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.19% | ÷1.083 | ×0.920 | ×0.967 | ×1.012 | 14.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.37% | ÷1.049 | ×0.810 | ×0.967 | ×1.012 | 5.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.40% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.967 | ×1.012 | 1.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.885 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 4.82% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 117, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 95, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .280 → .211; ISO .160 → .124; BABIP .267 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 248 PAwOBA .306 → .232 (−73)K% 28.2% → 38.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.23% | ÷1.001 | ×1.350 | — | — | 38.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.06% | ÷0.988 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 5.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.63% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 3.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.69% | ÷0.982 | ×0.910 | ×0.973 | ×1.027 | 19.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.83% | ÷1.132 | ×0.830 | ×0.973 | ×1.027 | 3.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.38% | ÷0.956 | ×0.820 | ×0.973 | ×1.027 | 1.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.52% | ÷1.155 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.027 | 4.07% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 96, 2B 126, 3B 91, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .306 → .232; ISO .163 → .111; BABIP .277 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ACarolina Mudcats · 231 PAwOBA .432 → .323 (−109)K% 26.4% → 36.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.41% | ÷0.996 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.85% | ÷1.017 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 9.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.60% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.28% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×0.958 | ×1.015 | 14.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.63% | ÷1.177 | ×0.830 | ×0.958 | ×1.015 | 7.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.43% | ÷1.052 | ×0.910 | ×0.958 | ×1.015 | 4.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.30% | ÷0.974 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 7.75% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 98, 2B 135, 3B 110, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .432 → .323; ISO .342 → .257; BABIP .361 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKAZL Brewers · 98 PAwOBA .312 → .215 (−97)K% 25.5% → 36.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.51% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 36.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 11.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.04% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.962 | ×1.022 | 10.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.962 | ×1.022 | 6.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.962 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 3.07% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .312 → .215; ISO .143 → .102; BABIP .235 → .179. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .