Jeffrey Baez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 23 | AA/ROK2 orgs | 327 | .217/.293/.379 | 10 | 9 | 54 | — | .187/.243/.327 |
| 2018 | 24 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 393 | .266/.338/.437 | 12 | 19 | 85 | — | .222/.286/.346 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAJackson Gener… | 397 | .242/.309/.422 | 15 | 9 | 53 | — | .191/.238/.328 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cubs 2 | — | 295 | 262 | 74 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 55 | 5 | 32 | 10 | 282 | 354 | 408 | 762 | 126 | 340 | 19 | 8 | 339 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 221 | 190 | 54 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 40 | 8 | 29 | 9 | 284 | 373 | 426 | 800 | 142 | 340 | 18 | 9 | 354 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 185 | 164 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 39 | 2 | 25 | 3 | 287 | 357 | 384 | 741 | 98 | 371 | 21 | 9 | 331 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A | Kane County Cougars | — | 118 | 106 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 236 | 302 | 491 | 792 | 255 | 302 | 32 | 8 | 339 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 18 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 312 | 548 | 125 | 273 | 28 | 6 | 229 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A | South Bend Cubs | — | 403 | 377 | 107 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 67 | 1 | 34 | 10 | 284 | 325 | 427 | 752 | 143 | 325 | 17 | 5 | 331 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 434 | 369 | 89 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 44 | 80 | 4 | 38 | 11 | 241 | 329 | 363 | 692 | 122 | 282 | 18 | 10 | 303 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 309 | 276 | 60 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 59 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 217 | 292 | 384 | 676 | 167 | 239 | 19 | 8 | 299 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 214 | 312 | 286 | 598 | 71 | 231 | 17 | 11 | 249 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 294 | 256 | 67 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 81 | 5 | 16 | 8 | 262 | 348 | 414 | 762 | 152 | 353 | 28 | 10 | 338 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 99 | 94 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 277 | 306 | 500 | 806 | 223 | 323 | 25 | 4 | 348 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 397 | 360 | 87 | 20 | 0 | 15 | 31 | 108 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 242 | 309 | 422 | 731 | 181 | 303 | 27 | 8 | 324 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cubs 2 | — | 295 | 270 | 48 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 67 | 5 | 32 | 10 | 178 | 237 | 241 | 478 | 63 | 223 | 23 | 5 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 221 | 198 | 42 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 58 | 8 | 29 | 9 | 212 | 281 | 308 | 589 | 96 | 271 | 26 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 185 | 171 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 56 | 2 | 25 | 3 | 205 | 253 | 269 | 522 | 64 | 293 | 30 | 5 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 118 | 111 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 54 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 162 | 198 | 333 | 532 | 171 | 257 | 46 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 18 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 312 | 548 | 125 | 242 | 39 | 6 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 403 | 384 | 87 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 93 | 1 | 34 | 10 | 227 | 258 | 326 | 583 | 99 | 281 | 23 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 434 | 388 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 118 | 4 | 38 | 11 | 201 | 257 | 286 | 543 | 85 | 254 | 27 | 6 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 309 | 284 | 53 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 73 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 187 | 243 | 331 | 574 | 144 | 212 | 24 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 18 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 200 | 250 | 267 | 517 | 67 | 177 | 22 | 6 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 294 | 266 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 101 | 5 | 16 | 8 | 222 | 286 | 346 | 632 | 124 | 321 | 34 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 397 | 372 | 71 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 19 | 128 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 191 | 238 | 328 | 566 | 137 | 252 | 32 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cubs 2 | — | 295 | 270 | 48 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 67 | 5 | 32 | 10 | 178 | 237 | 241 | 478 | 63 | 228 | 23 | 5 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Cubs 2 | — | 295 | 262 | 74 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 55 | 5 | 32 | 10 | 282 | 354 | 408 | 762 | 126 | 340 | 19 | 8 | 339 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 221 | 198 | 42 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 58 | 8 | 29 | 9 | 212 | 281 | 308 | 589 | 96 | 284 | 26 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Cubs | — | 221 | 190 | 54 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 40 | 8 | 29 | 9 | 284 | 373 | 426 | 800 | 142 | 340 | 18 | 9 | 354 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 185 | 171 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 56 | 2 | 25 | 3 | 205 | 253 | 269 | 522 | 64 | 298 | 30 | 5 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Cubs | — | 185 | 164 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 39 | 2 | 25 | 3 | 287 | 357 | 384 | 741 | 98 | 371 | 21 | 9 | 331 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 118 | 111 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 54 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 162 | 198 | 333 | 532 | 171 | 259 | 46 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A RAW | Kane County Cougars | — | 118 | 106 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 236 | 302 | 491 | 792 | 255 | 302 | 32 | 8 | 339 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 421 | 400 | 90 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 100 | 1 | 36 | 10 | 225 | 257 | 325 | 582 | 100 | 285 | 24 | 4 | 252 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 421 | 393 | 110 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 72 | 1 | 36 | 10 | 280 | 321 | 422 | 744 | 142 | 323 | 17 | 5 | 327 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 434 | 388 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 118 | 4 | 38 | 11 | 201 | 257 | 286 | 543 | 85 | 269 | 27 | 6 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ RAW | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 434 | 369 | 89 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 44 | 80 | 4 | 38 | 11 | 241 | 329 | 363 | 692 | 122 | 282 | 18 | 10 | 303 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 327 | 299 | 56 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 78 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 187 | 243 | 328 | 571 | 140 | 218 | 24 | 6 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 327 | 290 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 62 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 217 | 293 | 379 | 672 | 162 | 239 | 19 | 9 | 296 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 393 | 358 | 79 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 136 | 5 | 19 | 8 | 221 | 281 | 346 | 627 | 126 | 327 | 35 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 393 | 350 | 93 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 33 | 106 | 5 | 19 | 8 | 266 | 338 | 437 | 775 | 171 | 345 | 27 | 8 | 341 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 397 | 372 | 71 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 19 | 128 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 191 | 238 | 328 | 566 | 137 | 253 | 32 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA RAW | Jackson Generals | — | 397 | 360 | 87 | 20 | 0 | 15 | 31 | 108 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 242 | 309 | 422 | 731 | 181 | 303 | 27 | 8 | 324 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cubs 2 | — | 295 | 272 | 48 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 67 | 5 | 32 | 10 | 176 | 237 | 239 | 476 | 62 | 223 | 23 | 5 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 221 | 200 | 42 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 58 | 8 | 29 | 9 | 210 | 281 | 305 | 586 | 95 | 271 | 26 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 185 | 172 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 56 | 2 | 25 | 3 | 203 | 253 | 267 | 520 | 64 | 293 | 30 | 5 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 118 | 112 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 54 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 161 | 198 | 330 | 529 | 170 | 257 | 46 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 421 | 401 | 90 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 100 | 1 | 36 | 10 | 224 | 257 | 324 | 581 | 100 | 279 | 24 | 4 | 252 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 434 | 402 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 118 | 4 | 38 | 11 | 194 | 257 | 276 | 533 | 82 | 254 | 27 | 6 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 327 | 302 | 56 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 78 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 185 | 243 | 325 | 567 | 139 | 210 | 24 | 6 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 393 | 360 | 79 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 136 | 5 | 19 | 8 | 219 | 281 | 344 | 625 | 125 | 321 | 35 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 397 | 371 | 71 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 19 | 128 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 191 | 238 | 329 | 567 | 137 | 252 | 32 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2791 | 2567 | 517 | 96 | 17 | 49 | 145 | 795 | 32 | 199 | 62 | 201 | 253 | 309 | 562 | 108 | 269 | 28 | 5 | 246 | 53 | -157 | +15 | +0 | -30 | +60 | -11.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 120 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 185 | 7 | 46 | 14 | 201 | 252 | 306 | 558 | 105 | 268 | 28 | 5 | 246 | 53 | -36 | +4 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAJackson Generals · 397 PAwOBA .314 → .247 (−66)K% 27.2% → 32.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.20% | ÷1.028 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.30% | ÷1.001 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 4.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.63% | ÷0.996 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 17.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.94% | ÷1.099 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 6.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.95% | ÷0.966 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 4.87% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 106, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .314 → .247; ISO .181 → .142; BABIP .303 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AATennessee Smokies · 294 PAwOBA .330 → .276 (−54)K% 27.6% → 34.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.55% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.18% | ÷0.982 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 6.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.70% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.14% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×0.990 | ×0.998 | 23.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷0.966 | ×0.910 | ×0.990 | ×0.998 | 7.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.128 | ×0.880 | ×0.990 | ×0.998 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.947 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.37% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 98, 2B 93, 3B 126, K 95, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .330 → .276; ISO .152 → .128; BABIP .353 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AATennessee Smokies · 309 PAwOBA .293 → .249 (−44)K% 19.1% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.09% | ÷0.981 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.41% | ÷0.976 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 5.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.97% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.13% | ÷1.016 | ×0.920 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | 14.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | 5.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.46% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | 0.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.61% | ÷0.882 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 4.23% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .293 → .249; ISO .167 → .149; BABIP .239 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKAZL Cubs · 18 PAwOBA .274 → .210 (−64)K% 16.7% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 24.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 6.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 14.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 6.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .274 → .210; ISO .071 → .056; BABIP .231 → .177. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 434 PAwOBA .297 → .239 (−58)K% 18.4% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.43% | ÷0.965 | ×1.420 | — | — | 27.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.68% | ÷1.043 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 5.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.80% | ÷1.044 | ×0.940 | ×1.016 | ×0.998 | 19.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.19% | ÷0.920 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×0.998 | 4.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.04% | ÷1.038 | ×0.800 | ×1.016 | ×0.998 | 0.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.77% | ÷1.311 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 1.90% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 162, 1B 109, 2B 84, 3B 108, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .297 → .239; ISO .122 → .094; BABIP .282 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ASouth Bend Cubs · 403 PAwOBA .323 → .255 (−68)K% 16.6% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.63% | ÷0.984 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.46% | ÷1.006 | ×0.690 | — | — | 3.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.25% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.52% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | ×1.012 | — | 22.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.48% | ÷1.109 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | — | 4.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.61% | ÷1.073 | ×0.910 | ×1.012 | — | 1.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.90% | ÷1.064 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.18% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 107, 2B 122, 3B 115, K 97, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .323 → .255; ISO .143 → .105; BABIP .325 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 18 PAwOBA .223 → .174 (−49)K% 27.8% → 38.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.78% | ÷1.025 | ×1.420 | — | — | 38.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷0.960 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 3.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷0.977 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.012 | 17.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.015 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.138 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 6.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.888 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 95, 2B 103, 3B 128, K 105, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .223 → .174; ISO .125 → .084; BABIP .273 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AKane County Cougars · 118 PAwOBA .326 → .232 (−94)K% 32.2% → 46.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.20% | ÷0.952 | ×1.360 | — | — | 45.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.78% | ÷1.058 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 4.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.18% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | ×0.958 | ×1.015 | 14.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.29% | ÷0.914 | ×0.830 | ×0.958 | ×1.015 | 9.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.47% | ÷1.144 | ×0.910 | ×0.958 | ×1.015 | 1.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.82% | ÷1.029 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 6.96% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 106, 2B 83, 3B 129, K 90, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .326 → .232; ISO .255 → .178; BABIP .302 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .