Jase BowenCF El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AAA HR +13%BB +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.3 · 2028
wRC+†70
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .254 / .323
PA320
HR7
SB8
K%33
BB%6
MLB%10%
BAT: -10.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-11BATRUN: -0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
3037
PWR
5050
SPD
6057
FLD
5052
EYE
4135
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2028

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1M+$0.4M
2029Arb-1$0.8M+0.3$1M+$0.5M
2030Arb-2$0.9M+0.2$0.9M+$0.0M
2031Arb-3$3M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.4M
2033Ext / FA-deal$0.6M
Totals $4M $0.1M -$4M
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201918 ROKGCL Pirates 147135 21330 9501 52 .156.214.222.436 .067.244 346 .183 -2 -17 +0 +0 +1 +4 -1.2
202120 ABradenton Marauders 405367 621018 1915315 161 .169.239.267.506 .098.257 385 .224 30 -32 +3 +0 +1 +11 -1.7
202221 A3 teams 667612 12021315 392578 285 .196.253.314.567 .118.303 396 .249 49 -39 +4 +0 +2 +19 -1.4
202322 A+3 teams 637586 11114720 2620217 329 .189.245.340.584 .150.247 324 .252 51 -35 +3 +0 +2 +18 -1.2
202423 AAAltoona Curve 450416 8614110 201406 228 .207.253.317.571 .111.280 314 .246 46 -27 +1 +0 +2 +13 -1.2
202524 AA3 teams 357328 691537 251342 205 .210.270.338.609 .128.330 387 .266 62 -15 +2 +0 +1 +10 -0.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202625 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas 9085 17424 5320 13 .200.244.435.680 .235.265 366 .309 95 -1 -1 +0 +0 +3 0.1
ROS25 MLBSD 230213 42826 13782 73 .197.250.338.588 .141.280 346 .264 60 -10 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.3
TOT25 MLBSD 320298 5912410 181102 86 .198.248.366.614 .168.274 346 .277 70 -11 -1 +0 +1 +9 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202726 MLB 19%SD 363334 7214410 231033 115 .216.272.371.643 .156.276 286 .284 76 -10 +0 +0 +1 +10 0.2
202827 MLB 27%SD 386354 7715411 261093 126 .218.277.376.652 .158.277 287 .287 78 -10 +0 +0 +1 +11 0.3
202928 MLB 33%SD 399365 8016411 271124 115 .219.280.375.656 .156.278 287 .288 79 -10 +0 -0 +1 +11 0.3
203029 MLB 38%SD 400365 7916311 281134 115 .216.280.367.647 .151.277 287 .287 78 -10 +0 -1 +1 +11 0.2
203130 MLB 42%SD 398364 7715311 281143 105 .212.273.360.633 .148.276 297 .284 75 -11 +0 -2 +1 +11 -0.0
203231 MLB 45%SD 386353 7415310 271123 84 .210.272.354.626 .144.274 297 .280 72 -12 +0 -3 +1 +11 -0.2
203332 MLB 49%SD 369337 701439 261093 63 .208.270.347.618 .139.273 307 .275 69 -13 +0 -3 +1 +10 -0.5
203433 MLB 57%SD 341312 631238 231033 43 .202.263.337.600 .135.271 307 .270 65 -14 -0 -4 +1 +10 -0.7
203534 MLB 67%SD 298274 541027 20922 32 .197.257.325.582 .128.269 317 .263 60 -14 -0 -5 +1 +8 -0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 62335715 115721249154 379198179 20671 .202.262.338.599 .135.277 326 .264 60 -279 +13 -17 +22 +177 -8.6
/ 162G 650596 12022516 402078 217 .201.261.336.596 .134.276 326 .264 60 -29 +1 -2 +2 +18 -0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201918 ROKGCL Pirates 147130 29440 14351 52 .223.303.315.619 .092.302 2410 .280 72 -5 +0 +4 -0.0
202120 ABradenton Marauders 405354 7812214 3211115 161 .220.312.384.696 .164.275 278 .312 97 -1 +3 +11 1.3
202221 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers 109102 18413 5350 50 .176.215.324.538 .147.227 325 .234 37 -8 +1 +3 -0.4
202221 ABradenton Marauders 417367 10217214 381108 202 .278.358.450.808 .172.356 269 .357 132 +15 +3 +12 3.1
202221 INTLSydney Blue Sox 141127 34623 12270 33 .268.331.417.748 .150.316 199 .329 110 +2 -1 +4 0.5
202322 AAAltoona Curve 3332 7320 170 21 .219.242.438.680 .219.280 213 .291 81 -1 +0 +1 0.0
202322 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers 493435 11215423 3512116 245 .257.335.469.804 .211.302 257 .351 127 +15 +3 +14 3.2
202322 INTLSalt River Rafters 111100 29524 9271 63 .290.355.500.855 .210.362 248 .372 143 +5 +0 +3 0.9
202423 AAAltoona Curve 450407 9817210 291066 228 .241.301.366.667 .125.297 246 .295 84 -8 +1 +13 0.6
202524 AAAIndianapolis Indians 145126 37933 19360 73 .294.386.484.870 .190.391 2513 .385 153 +9 +0 +4 1.3
202524 AAAltoona Curve 196175 451115 17632 132 .257.330.417.747 .160.370 329 .331 111 +2 +2 +6 1.0
202524 ABradenton Marauders 1614 2000 240 00 .143.250.143.393 .000.200 2512 .200 12 -2 +0 +0 -0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jase Bowen (OGILVIE) 25 30→37 50 60→57 35 .200/.254/.323 .123.285 711 33% 6% 57 -0.6
Bradlee Beesley
2023 · AA
25 40 45→50 54→60 37 .202/.257/.328 .126.297 1321 35% 6% 59 -1.1 .205/.281/.332 .127.308 1127 35% 7% 71 -0.3 .190/.283/.327.137.290123935%8%66-0.3
Jeter Downs
2023 · MLB
25 31→41 49→50 53→55 38 .175/.246/.310 .136.249 1821 37% 7% 51 -1.7 .198/.279/.340 .142.275 1623 32% 8% 73 -0.1 .197/.289/.341.144.269132730%9%77+0.1
Adam Engel
2018 · MLB
26 39→48 43→50 58→60 40 .195/.257/.310 .114.277 926 32% 6% 54 -1.4 .220/.274/.346 .126.300 1117 29% 5% 71 -0.3 .227/.287/.366.138.305132328%5%79+0.1
Jorge Mateo
2020 · AAA
25 40→46 43→50 59→65 35 .200/.239/.322 .123.289 925 34% 4% 49 -1.8 .215/.256/.344 .129.298 1124 31% 4% 63 -0.9 .217/.264/.366.149.272144425%5%70-0.2
Troy Stokes Jr.
2021 · AAA
25 39→38 46→50 54→55 43 .195/.275/.328 .133.280 1416 34% 8% 68 -0.5 .196/.270/.305 .109.263 1017 28% 8% 59 -1.1 .156/.241/.247.091.20882027%8%30-1.4
Willie MacIver
2022 · AA
25 36→35 45 51→55 38 .187/.245/.306 .118.262 1414 33% 6% 50 -1.8 .203/.276/.332 .129.299 1515 35% 8% 69 -0.4 .230/.309/.359.129.323131830%8%87+0.4
Arismendy Alcántara
2017 · MLB
25 41→48 47→55 59→55 37 .210/.250/.352 .142.291 1325 32% 5% 62 -0.9 .210/.252/.342 .132.302 1221 33% 5% 60 -1.0 .212/.259/.378.167.294181434%6%70-0.2
Stone Garrett
2021 · AA
25 39→37 47→60 51→50 30 .201/.238/.335 .135.305 1515 39% 3% 53 -1.5 .216/.257/.388 .172.295 2215 34% 5% 76 +0.0 .220/.282/.390.169.299211132%7%85+0.4
Brandon Hicks
2011 · AAA
25 37→40 46→50 51→50 38 .193/.251/.319 .126.276 1414 35% 6% 55 -1.4 .200/.261/.341 .141.304 1711 38% 7% 65 -0.7 .192/.258/.339.147.301181040%7%59-0.7
Max Burt
2023 · AAA
26 39 46→45 54→55 36 .202/.252/.327 .125.285 1417 34% 5% 57 -1.2 .190/.247/.303 .113.282 1322 36% 6% 49 -1.8 .172/.233/.265.093.260102636%6%31-1.4
Corey Toups
2018 · AAA
25 44→47 43→45 55→50 40 .212/.271/.329 .117.297 1017 31% 6% 65 -0.7 .203/.266/.307 .104.321 1015 37% 7% 58 -1.2 .177/.247/.258.081.30091941%7%34-1.3
Shay Whitcomb
2023 · AA
24 38→44 48→55 54→55 32 .193/.241/.327 .134.309 1719 42% 5% 53 -1.5 .203/.258/.366 .163.282 2218 35% 6% 70 -0.3 .204/.266/.379.174.263251932%6%75-0.0
Cory Vaughn
2015 · AAA
26 38→40 45 54→50 42 .196/.270/.318 .122.273 1315 32% 7% 63 -0.8 .193/.258/.302 .109.284 1112 34% 7% 53 -1.5 .153/.220/.254.100.2339936%7%22-1.3
Josh Stowers
2022 · AA
25 38→41 49→50 53→55 40 .197/.264/.341 .144.286 1823 36% 7% 66 -0.6 .182/.252/.318 .136.265 1620 36% 7% 56 -1.3 .157/.232/.277.120.228132136%7%34-1.7
Jason Martinson
2014 · AA
25 37→41 47→50 54→50 38 .191/.258/.322 .131.293 1615 39% 7% 59 -1.1 .193/.251/.307 .114.301 1314 38% 6% 51 -1.7 .168/.226/.281.113.28013843%6%31-2.1
José Barrero
2023 · MLB
25 40→47 46→50 50→55 35 .201/.252/.326 .125.298 1514 37% 5% 56 -1.3 .197/.259/.343 .146.290 1820 37% 6% 66 -0.6 .186/.254/.339.153.266192436%6%60-0.6
Mike Jarvis
2023 · AAA
25 38 45 58→60 39 .194/.254/.317 .123.257 1222 29% 5% 56 -1.3 .180/.234/.287 .107.241 1127 30% 5% 39 -2.5 .158/.210/.248.091.214103431%5%17-1.9
Melky Mesa
2012 · AA
25 40→44 48→55 51→55 36 .201/.261/.345 .143.304 1517 38% 6% 66 -0.6 .218/.265/.371 .153.310 1817 35% 5% 74 -0.1 .215/.255/.374.159.296211734%4%66-0.4
Chris Amador
2008 · AA
25 43→44 46→50 55 34 .217/.260/.345 .128.300 1422 32% 4% 65 -0.7 .214/.259/.330 .116.289 1215 29% 4% 60 -1.0 .203/.247/.311.108.268101227%4%46-1.5
Ryan Kreidler
2023 · MLB
25 41→44 48→50 51→55 43 .209/.284/.346 .137.296 1617 34% 8% 76 +0.1 .191/.272/.320 .129.274 1520 34% 9% 65 -0.7 .170/.257/.286.116.250132335%9%47-1.1