Phillip Sikes

OF Worcester Red Sox
Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs AAA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202324AABOS476.210/.301/.33393941—.178/.248/.271
202425AABOS432.239/.331/.408132457—.192/.266/.315
202526AAABOS195.200/.295/.3356433—.153/.228/.244
2027PROJ10% MLB28MLBBOS13.190/.257/.3080056-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB29MLBBOS43.190/.257/.3071156-0.2
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AAA
Max EV93
Speed47
BB%30
Z-Con%27
Chase%21
Whiff%13
CompsAndrés Alvarez (age 27) · McCarthy Tatum (age 27) · Trent Giambrone (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .257 / .308
PA13
HR0
K%31
BB%8
BABIP269
ISO111
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +2.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.40-0.4WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.4-0.22728
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER45
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202122 ROKFCL Red Sox — 8474 29803 8242 51 3924646221.086 230553 2910 474 92 — — — — — —
202223 A+Greenville Drive — 185157 391116 25441 80 248355446801 197303 2414 354 65 — — — — — —
202223 ASalem Red Sox — 195159 411845 28557 121 258392516907 258360 2814 397 76 — — — — — —
202324 AAPortland Sea Dogs — 476414 871839 4414610 397 210301333635 123292 319 286 41 — — — — — —
202425 AAPortland Sea Dogs — 432377 9023113 4212610 249 239331408739 170320 2910 331 57 — — — — — —
202526 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 195170 34506 16697 42 200295335631 135289 358 287 33 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202122 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 8477 20502 5352 51 260321403724 143423 426 304 92 — — — — — —
202223 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 185168 32815 14541 80 190257339596 149238 298 265 65 — — — — — —
202223 A MLESalem Red Sox — 195167 301334 20817 121 180294365659 186295 4210 280 76 — — — — — —
202324 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 476428 761337 3017810 397 178248271519 93263 376 229 41 — — — — — —
202425 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 432390 7516110 2914910 249 192266315581 123268 347 252 57 — — — — — —
202526 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 195176 27404 10827 42 153228244472 91242 425 217 33 — — — — — —
202122 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 8477 20502 5352 51 260321403724 143450 426 304 92 — — — — — —
202122 ROK RAWFCL Red Sox — 8474 29803 8242 51 3924646221.086 230553 2910 474 92 — — — — — —
202223 A MLE2 teams — 380335 612139 341358 201 182273343616 161268 369 273 71 — — — — — —
202223 A RAW2 teams — 380316 8029511 53998 201 253374481855 228330 2614 376 71 — — — — — —
202324 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 476428 761337 3017810 397 178248271519 93275 376 229 41 — — — — — —
202324 AA RAWPortland Sea Dogs — 476414 871839 4414610 397 210301333635 123292 319 286 41 — — — — — —
202425 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 432390 7516110 2914910 249 192266315581 123278 347 252 57 — — — — — —
202425 AA RAWPortland Sea Dogs — 432377 9023113 4212610 249 239331408739 170320 2910 331 57 — — — — — —
202526 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 195176 27404 10827 42 153228244472 91250 425 217 33 — — — — — —
202526 AAA RAWWorcester Red Sox — 195170 34506 16697 42 200295335631 135289 358 287 33 — — — — — —
202122 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 8477 20502 5352 51 260321403724 143423 426 304 92 — — — — — —
202223 A MLE2 teams — 380335 612139 341358 201 182273343616 161267 369 273 71 — — — — — —
202324 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 476433 761337 3017810 397 176248268516 92263 376 229 41 — — — — — —
202425 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 432390 7516110 2914910 249 192266315581 123268 347 252 57 — — — — — —
202526 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 195176 27404 10827 42 153228244472 91242 425 217 33 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202425 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 432390 7516110 2914910 249 192266315581 123268 347 252 57 — — — — — —
202526 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 195176 27404 10827 42 153228244472 91242 425 217 33 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202728 MLB MLEBOS 10% 245223 42816 15825 62 184252301553 116259 336 251 56 -13 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202728 MLB CTXBOS 10% 1312 1000 140 00 190257308565 118269 318 256 56 -1 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202829 MLB MLEBOS 27% 159145 27504 10533 31 185252300552 115260 336 251 56 -8 +0 -1 -1 +3 -0.7
202829 MLB CTXBOS 27% 4339 8201 3141 10 190257307564 117269 337 256 56 -2 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4339 8201 3141 10 205279333612 128292 337 256 55 -2 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650590 12130015 4521215 150 205278332611 127292 337 256 55 -34 +3 -6 -4 +14 -2.7
Career— MLE — 18551668 30768739 12667543 9822 184259303562 119276 367 249 55 -15 +0 -1 -2 +6 -1.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 10824214 4423715 348 185259305564 120277 367 249 55 -34 +1 -3 -4 +14 -2.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 195 PAwOBA .281 → .217 (−64)K% 35.4% → 41.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.38%÷1.013×1.200——41.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.69%÷1.042×0.690—×1.0185.18%
HBP% /PA3.59%—×0.940—×1.0183.44%
Singles /BIP22.77%÷1.060×0.930×0.964×1.01819.60%
Doubles /BIP4.95%÷0.991×0.830×0.964×1.0184.07%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×0.964×1.0180.00%
Home runs /BIP5.94%÷0.984×0.700—×1.0184.30%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 112, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 103, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.

Result: wOBA .281 → .217; ISO .135 → .096; BABIP .289 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 432 PAwOBA .324 → .252 (−72)K% 29.2% → 34.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.17%÷1.033×1.220——34.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.72%÷1.025×0.700—×0.9986.63%
HBP% /PA2.31%—×0.850—×0.9981.96%
Singles /BIP21.12%÷1.004×0.970×0.950×0.99819.35%
Doubles /BIP9.16%÷1.165×0.860×0.950×0.9986.41%
Triples /BIP0.40%÷1.150×0.950×0.950×0.9980.31%
Home runs /BIP5.18%÷1.018×0.780—×0.9983.96%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 101, 2B 133, 3B 130, K 107, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .324 → .252; ISO .170 → .123; BABIP .320 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 476 PAwOBA .284 → .229 (−55)K% 30.7% → 37.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.67%÷1.000×1.220——37.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.24%÷1.032×0.700—×1.0126.34%
HBP% /PA2.10%—×0.850—×1.0121.81%
Singles /BIP21.27%÷0.972×0.970×0.950×1.01220.41%
Doubles /BIP6.72%÷1.144×0.860×0.950×1.0124.85%
Triples /BIP1.12%÷0.900×0.950×0.950×1.0121.14%
Home runs /BIP3.36%÷1.048×0.780—×1.0122.53%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 94, 2B 129, 3B 80, K 100, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .284 → .229; ISO .123 → .092; BABIP .292 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ASalem Red Sox · 195 PAwOBA .389 → .280 (−109)K% 28.2% → 41.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.21%÷0.930×1.360——41.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.36%÷0.967×0.690—×0.99010.14%
HBP% /PA3.59%—×0.780—×0.9902.77%
Singles /BIP13.46%÷1.026×0.920×0.950×0.99011.35%
Doubles /BIP17.31%÷0.950×0.830×0.950×0.99014.22%
Triples /BIP3.85%÷1.106×0.910×0.950×0.9902.98%
Home runs /BIP4.81%÷0.873×0.800—×0.9904.36%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 121, K 86, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .389 → .280; ISO .258 → .187; BABIP .360 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Greenville Drive · 185 PAwOBA .346 → .265 (−81)K% 23.8% → 29.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.78%÷1.059×1.310——29.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.97%÷1.001×0.600—×0.9987.76%
HBP% /PA0.54%—×0.770—×0.9980.42%
Singles /BIP18.58%÷1.005×0.870×0.950×0.99815.26%
Doubles /BIP9.73%÷1.000×0.780×0.950×0.9987.20%
Triples /BIP0.88%÷1.150×0.850×0.950×0.9980.62%
Home runs /BIP5.31%÷0.996×0.880—×0.9984.68%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 112, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .346 → .265; ISO .197 → .165; BABIP .303 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKFCL Red Sox · 84 PAwOBA .462 → .304 (−158)K% 28.6% → 41.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.57%÷0.999×1.440——41.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.52%÷0.997×0.620—×0.9755.78%
HBP% /PA2.38%—×0.720—×0.9751.67%
Singles /BIP36.00%÷0.980×0.820—×0.97529.38%
Doubles /BIP16.00%÷1.029×0.720—×0.97510.91%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.951×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP6.00%÷0.951×0.780—×0.9754.80%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 96, 2B 106, 3B 90, K 100, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .462 → .304; ISO .230 → .147; BABIP .553 → .423. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).